LR ETS FuelEU
LR ETS FuelEU
LR ETS FuelEU
FuelEU Maritime
Brijesh Tewari
Lloyd’s Register
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Upcoming Challenges: a fragmented regulatory landscape
Sea Cargo Charter
Applicability: 5,000 GT+
BIMCO
ETSA Clause EEOI
UK
MRV
EU
WtW TtW
China
SEEMP
?
DCS CII EEDI EEXI 400 GT+
400 GT+
IMO
Clean
BIMCO Shipping
CII Clause Act 2022
AER
400 GT+
Market-based Compliance
Poseidon Principle
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EU ETS
Headlines - what shipping can expect from EU ETS?
based on Directive EU 2023/959 and 2023/957
Extend emission scope to Requirement for shipping starts Phase-in period of: For ships below 5,000 and 50% emission for voyages
greenhouse gas covering from 01 January 2024. above 400 GT, MRV to- and from-EU ports.
CO2, N2O and CH4. Deadline for EUA surrendering
2024 40% reporting is applicable
changed from 30 April to 30 Sept. 2025 70% from 2025. If by 2028 IMO still has no
▪ MRV inclusion from 2024.
2026 100% comparable MBM, EU may
▪ ETS inclusion from 2026 Deadline for verified emission A review clause for their consider increasing the
reports submission changed Ex. 40% of emissions reported subsequent inclusion in the 50% requirement for extra-
from 30 April to 31 March. for year 2024, payable in 2025. EU ETS (by Dec 2026) EU voyages.
Polluter pays At Company Level non-EU transhipment stop Ice-class discount Offshore ships added
Member States to make sure Reporting and submission the exclusion from the Surrender 5% fewer Offshore vessels above
shipping company’s EUA cost of the aggregated concept of port of call allowances than their 5,000 GT to be included in
can be reimbursed by the emissions data is now at should only target verified emissions taking ETS from 2027.
commercial operators, who company level, as opposed containerships and ports place until 31 December
determine:
to each ship. whose main activity is the 2030 (IA or IA Super or an Offshore ships below 5,000
▪ Fuel purchase transhipment of equivalent ice class) and above 400 GT follows
▪ Cargo carried Several MRV rules have containers. lowering GT schedule
▪ Route & Speed changed to adopt it. mentioned above.
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EU ETS Directive “Cap-and-Trade”
polluter pays for operational (Tank-to-Wake) greenhouse gas emissions
EEA
Port B
5,000 GT + Flag neutral for To-EU 50% 2024 40% Sufficient EUAs to
Based on EU MRV From- EU 50%
and ships calling 2025 70% Administering
Reg. 2015/757 Between EU 100%
(400 - 4999 GT) EEA1 ports At EU berth 100% 2026 100% Authority
ETS to be reviewed
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GHG Scope and Applicability – what is covered and when?
ETS for CO2 only
ETS for all GHGs
ETS to be reviewed
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Preliminary Assessment: ETS greenhouse gas inclusion
narrowing the LNG as fuel benefit, but still better than conventional fuel
MRV Annex I FuelEU Annex II + IPCC 5th GWP100
Diesel/Gas oil ISO 8217 Grades DMX through DMB 3.206 3.255 +1.5% 3.087
Light fuel oil (LFO) ISO 8217 Grades RMA through RMD 3.151 3.200 +1.6% 3.161
Heavy fuel oil (HFO) ISO 8217 Grades RME through RMK 3.114 3.163 +1.6% 3.163
Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) Propane 3.000 3.823 +27.4% 3.366
Butane 3.030 3.852 +27.1% 3.391
Liquefied natural gas (LNG) 3.1% methane-slip (DF medium speed) 2.750 3.561 +29.5% 2.937
1.7% methane-slip (DF slow speed) 2.750 3.208 +16.7% 2.647
0.2% methane-slip (DF slow speed) 2.750 2.830 +2.9% 2.334
2.6% methane-slip (LBSI) 2.750 3.435 +24.9% 2.834
No methane-slip (abatement) 2.750 2.779 +1.1% 2.293
Methanol 1.375 1.424 +3.6% 2.898
Ammonia 0.000 0.048 0.104
Source: FuelEU Maritime Annex II: Table 1 Default factors, TtW & IPCC Fifth Assessment Report GWP100 and EC Concept notes
MRV Rules and methods for monitoring and reporting GHG emissions and other relevant information Delegated act by 01 Oct 2023
Rules on verification and accreditation in relation to maritime transport emissions Delegated act
Rules on the reporting of aggregated emissions data at company level Delegated act
Templates for monitoring plans, emissions reports, reports at company level Implementing act
ETS Rules for the administration of shipping companies by administering authorities Implementing act
List of shipping companies which performed maritime activity under the EU ETS, with their attribution to the
Implementing act before 01 Feb 2024
adminsitering authority responsible
List of non-EU neighbouring container transhipments ports Implementing act by 31 Dec 2023
List of islands and of transnational maritime routes under public service contract or obligation subject to
Implementing act
derogations under the EU ETS
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Emission
allowances
EUA - what is the definition of emission allowances?
Obtaining EUA
▪ Primary market: auctions of EUAs by member States
through the European Energy Exchange (EEX)
▪ Secondary market: trading EUAs facilitated by the EEX
▪ EUAs made available in the primary market (auctions
generally expected to be through the EEX) will decline by
4.3% (2024-27) and 4.4% (from 2028) per annum
European Union Allowance (EUA)
Holding EUA
▪ Union Registry (an online database): the registry keeps
‘allowance’ means an allowance to emit
track of the ownership of allowances held in electronic
one tonne of CO2 equivalent during a
accounts, just as a bank has a record of all its customers
specified period, which shall be valid only
and their money
for the purposes of meeting the
requirements of this Directive and shall be ▪ Account: To participate in the EU ETS, companies have
transferable in accordance with the to open an account in the Union Registry. To open an
provisions of this Directive. account, they must send a request to the national
Source: DIRECTIVE 2003/87/EC Article 3a)
administrator, who collects and checks all supporting
documentation
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Allowance surrender date postponed offering opportunities
100
80
60
lowest BAU 6-month EUA trade
40 window
20
0
Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23
By March 31 By Sept 30
MRV Reporting Period Company level verified emission report deadline for Using past
submitted to administering authorities/EC allowances
surrendering auction price to
Optimisation Potential demonstrate the
optimisation
potential as well
From first MRV voyage to reporting deadline: 15 months apart as challenges
having a laissez-
faire attitude
From first MRV voyage to EUA surrendering deadline: 21 months apart toward EUA
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Practicalities
Administering Authorities – which EU country is responsible?
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Polluter pays – legal measure remains unclear at this stage
▪ the port where a ship stops to load or unload cargo • Stops for the sole purposes of refuelling, obtaining supplies,
relieving the crew of a ship other than an offshore ship, going
into dry-dock or making repairs to the ship and/or its
▪ the port where a ship stops to embark or disembark equipment
passengers
• Stops in port because the ship needs assistance or in distress
▪ the port where an offshore ship stops to relieve the
crew • Ship-to-ship transfers carried out outside ports
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New definitions help mitigate risk of evasive port calls
50%
Transshipment
Adding an extra stop of a non-EEA transhipment port before a EEA port within
Ports EU itineraries could significantly reduce EU ETS exposure. Emissions will be
accounted for the last-mile voyage only, i.e. between the non-EEA transhipment
port and the EEA port A.
• in a non-EU neighbouring country
• at a distance of less than 300 nms of an EU port 50%
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Upcoming MRV rule changes with ETS
BEFORE AFTER
Reporting
principle At ship level At company level
Jan.01 Jan.01
▼ ▼
For voyages YYYY YYYY +1 YYYY YYYY+1
starting and YYYY YYYY YYYY+1
ending in 2
accounted under the first calendar the respective data shall be accounted
calendar years year concerned under the calendar year concerned
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EUA economic to be embedded into daily commercial operation
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Case Study - EU ETS Example : LNG Carrier
EEA
Port B
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Impacts and Challenges under EU ETS
EUA Balance
polluter-pays concept may
+ 2,145,812 EUA sound simple, there are however
[Year 2025] practical challenges. Be mindful
about the commercial impacts
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Some finer points !
1. Companies can open Trading accounts now and buy EUAs. The EUAs are valid until 2030.
2. Formulate the compliance / trading strategy.
3. Estimate cash flow and apply risk management as per risk appetite
4. Understand the EUA price dynamics and parameters
5. Track the market
6. Speculation may not turn out to be useful
7. Estimate the administrative burden of environmental compliance
8. Calculate the EUA price level for which a technological change compensates for the cost of
environmental compliance
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Fuel EU Maritime
FuelEU Maritime - GHG Intensity / Compliance Balance / Fuel Penalty
Extent of underperformance Annual total amount of energy Penalty to be paid in EUR per
against the target for the year (MJ) delivered to the ship non-compliant fuel ton
as percentage of GHGIE actual [%] as per metric ton of VLSFO eq. [MT] as EUR per VLSFO eq. [€/MT]
GHGIE actual
× Fuel Electricity
× 𝐸𝑈𝑅 2400
GHGIE target +
WtW GHG intensity
[gCO2eq/MJ]
VLSFO conversion
1 2 3
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The Lifecycle of Zero- and Low-Carbon Fuels
Well-to-Wake refers to all stages in the lifecycle of marine fuels – both well-to-tank and tank-to-wake
Well-to-Wake
Primary
Energy
Production
Transport &
Production Conversion Storage Bunkering Propulsion
Distribution
Cultivation
Harvest
Collection
Well-to-Tank Tank-to-Wake
Well-to-Tank includes, but is not limited to, operations leading Tank-to-Wake includes, but is not limited to, the application of
to the production of the fuel, including production, conversion the fuel on board of the ship (through e.g., combustion in vessel
processes, transport & distribution, storage and bunkering. engines or fuel cell propulsion)
Source: Sustainable Shipping Initiative, Defining sustainability criteria for marine fuels report (September 2021). 29
FuelEU Maritime brings new pressures and new plays to shipping
2.
There will be a financial penalty for
under-performance relevant to each
quantum of non-compliant energy
3.
Over-performance will be rewarded
– compliance surplus can be banked
or pooled
Bulbous Bow
Improvement of Advanced Rudder & Propeller
Energy Efficiency –
Not a measure to Improvement of Energy Efficiency –
improve GHG Not a measure to improve GHG
intensity of the intensity of the Energy Used
Energy Used
Important Date GHG reduction rate RFNBO mandate Pooling prerequisites Non-compliance multiplier
From 01 January 2025, FuelEU Reference value: If by 2031 RFNBO usage is still A pool is only valid when: A FuelEU penalty multiplier of:
requirements start. less than 1%, from 2034, 2% of
91.16 gCO2 eq/MJ 1. total pooled compliance is 1 + (n -1)/10
yearly average energy used on-
By 31 August 2024, deadline for positive.
Year Reduce by [gCO2 eq/MJ] board shall be met with RFNBO, will be applicable for ships
submitting FuelEU monitoring 2. A ship with deficit cannot
2025 -2% 89.34 otherwise penalties apply. having deficits for 2 or more
plan. end up with higher deficits.
2030 -6% 85.69 years in a row.
3. A ship with surplus cannot
By 31 January each subsequent 2035 -14.5% 77.94 Multiplier of “2” for RFNBO
end up with deficits.
year, deadline for submitting a 2040 -31% 62.90 energy use until 31 December n: number of consecutive years
ship-specific FuelEU report. 2045 -62% 34.64 2033 as reward factor. Pooling is possible from the paying FuelEU penalty.
2050 -80% 18.23 same or different companies.
Charterers pay Fuel suppliers pay Wind assisted reward Non-EU transhipment stop Keeping 5000 GT threshold
Via contractual agreements to Via contractual agreements to With wind assisted ship the exclusion from the concept FuelEU applies to ships above
reimburse the company for the reimburse the company for the propulsion installed onboard, a of port of call targets only 5000 GT.
payment of FuelEU penalties payment of FuelEU penalties reward factor can be applied. containerships and ports whose
from commercial operator who from fuel suppliers: The ship GHG intensity index is main activity is the EC will regularly reassess if they
purchases the fuel or determine: then calculated by multiplying: transshipment of containers. should extend the scope to ships
… in cases where fuels were not below 5000 GT.
• cargo carried ▪ 0.99 for Pwind/Pprop: 5% ▪ Non-EU country
made available to the company
• route ▪ 0.97 for Pwind/Pprop: 10% ▪ < 300 nm of an EU port
as agreed. Regularly means by end of 2027
• speed ▪ 0.95 for Pwind/Pprop: >15% ▪ Port container transshipment
& every five years afterward.
exceeds 65% of port’s total
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FuelEU Maritime
NEW
GHG
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FuelEU Maritime
*rough estimate for demonstration purpose only
FuelEU Maritime GHG Intensity and Reduction Factor Category GHG Intensity*
based on provisional agreement final text 26.4.2023 Fossil fuel 80 ~ 110 gCO2eq/MJ
Bio-fuel 30 ~ 50 gCO2eq/MJ
100%
100%
98%
It starts here:
94%
80%
85.5%
the reference line
corresponds to
the fleet average
69%
60% GHG intensity of
the energy used
on-board ship
40% determined by
EU MRV 2020.
38%
20%
20%
0%
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
€2 € 1.97 50
Between 2035 ~ 2040
7x
FuelE overtakes ETS 0
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
€2
150
€ 1.00 100
e-Methanol (renewable + recycled carbon)
€1
50
€ 0.49 7.09
€1 € 0.36 € 0.36
0 [gCO2eq/MJ]
EU ETS 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
€ 0.10 € 0.22
€0 compliant surplus
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Impact summary EU ETS compliance cost will start higher, How it works FuelEU sets limit for the yearly average greenhouse
whereas FuelEU Maritime penalties (based on LFO) will gas intensity of the energy used onboard by a ship during a
gradually catch up and overtake between 2035 and 2040. reporting period. Penalty calculated based on the extent of under-
or over-performance against the target for the year.
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Pooling Illustrative Example : 2030~2034
paying 227 mil.€ less penalty, an e-methanol ship can save up to 10 VLSFO ships in a pool
Assumptions
1. To calculate the GHGIE intensity limit, 2020 reference value is set to 89.18 [gCO2eq/MJ].
2. VLSFO's well-to-wake carbon intensity is set to 91.40 [gCO2eq/MJ].
3. e-methanol's well-to-wake carbon intensity is set to 7.09 [gCO2eq/MJ].
4. In-scope fuel consumption is calculated proportionally to the in-scope CO2 emission.
5. All ships are technical sister, container ships and have identical trades, therefore the same CO2 emission throughout the years.
6. Ignoring pilot fuel, energy loss during combustion, trade pattern changes due to containment system restriction etc.
0€
2031 : 3.8 mil.€ x 10 x 1.1 = 42 mil.€ methanol will create
2031 : 3.8 mil.€ x 10 x 1.1 = 42 mil.€
enough surpluses to
2032 : 3.8 mil.€ x 10 x 1.2 = 45 mil.€ 2032 : 3.8 mil.€ x 10 x 1.2 = 45 mil.€
balance out deficits of
2033 : 3.8 mil.€ x 10 x 1.3 = 49 mil.€ 2033 : 3.8
ten mil.€
VLSFO xships
10 in
x the
1.3 = 49 mil.€
2034 : 3.8 mil.€ x 10 x 1.4 = 52 mil.€ 2034 : 3.8
samemil.€
poolxevery
10 xyear
1.4 = 52 mil.€
VLSFO / 91.4
Article 20 Penalty Multiplier: 83.83 / GHGIE target
deficit surplus
1 + (n -1)/10
where n is the number of
consecutive reporting periods for
which the company is subject to a
remedial penalty for this ship. 7.09 / e-methanol
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Impacts and Challenges under FuelEU Maritime
Pooling Outcomes
Pay-to-comply will not be a
+ 3,512,009 CO eq 2
viable strategy in the long run
[Year 2035] especially for those who wish to
be ahead of the game
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