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Rose Prevention Paradox (Presentation Slide)

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Rose’ Prevention

Paradox
Prepared by:
1. Nur Aqilah Binti Azmi (055644)
2. Teh Nuraqilah Binti Mohamad Yusoff (054398)
Introduction
Primary prevention: By epidemiologist Geoffrey
Rose
- Population strategy
- High-risk individual A large number of people
strategy exposed to a low risk is likely
to produce more cases than
Rose prevention paradox: a small number of people
A preventative measure that exposed to a high risk
brings large benefits to the
community offers little to
each participating individual

Thompson, C. (2016). Rose’s Prevention Paradox. Journal of


Applied Philosophy, 35(2), 242–256. doi:10.1111/japp.12177
Geoffrey Rose Biography
1926 - 1993
Epidemiologist and physicians.

Education: Oxford University

Medical training: St. Mary’s Hospital

Coordinated WHO Multiple Risk Factor


Trial, INTERSALT

WHO Expert Report - population strategies


on CVD prevention

“Sick population and sick individuals”

Henry Blackburn, Barker DJP (1993). GA Rose, CBE, DM,


FRCP, FRCGP, FFFHM. BMJ, 307: 1418.
Type of Prevention Approaches

Individual based Population based

Term : The ‘High-risk’ Strategy Term : The Population Strategy

Aim : determine high-risk sensitive Aim : manage the factors that


individuals and provide them with influence incidence throughout the
some individualised protection entire population
Advantages of Strategies Involved
The ‘high-risk’ strategy The Population Strategy
intervention appropriate to individuals, Radical

Subject moivation Large potential for population

Physician motivatiion Behaviourally appropriate

Cost-effective use of resources

Favourable benefit : risk ratoio


Disadvantages of Strategies Involved
The ‘high-risk’ strategy The Population Strategy
Difficulties and cost of screening Small benefit to individual (‘Prevention
Paradox’)

Palliative and temporary - not radical Poor motivation of subject & physician

Limited potential for individual & Worrisome benefit : risk ratio


population
Behaviorally inappropriate
Application of Rose’ Prevention Paradox in COVID-19
The high risk subpopulation may have a less impact on the ultimate result, such as infection and death,
than a low-risk subpopulation.

High risk subpopulation:


● Underprivileged
● Elderly
● Disable
● Poor, homeless
● Low literacy rate

In COVID-19, high risk population is the healthcare professional


who are exposed to aerosol-generating methods frequently
utilized in ICU and emergency rooms.

Low risk exposure refers to citizens living their daily life.


Application of Rose’ Prevention Paradox in COVID-19
A study by Halperin et al. propose a hypothetical
scenario with a population of 5.5 million which is
then divided into 10 levels of exposure to
SARS-CoV-2.
The smallest group, which we set at 100,000, is
Group 10, which consists of healthcare
professionals engaging in high-risk treatments.

Finding:
● Half of the new infections - top half of the
exposure with smallest number of people.
● Half of new infection also found - bottom
half of exposure with largest number of
people.
Limitation
Identifying those at high
Certain health
risk; and last, sudden
death, the disease's late, intervention should
unexpected, and focus on the high-risk
frequently fatal first population
symptom.

Issue of disease mass


or population causes or Offers little to each
the population strategy participating
need for primary individual
prevention.

Geoffrey Rose’s Prevention Paradox « Heart Attack Prevention. (n.d.).


http://www.epi.umn.edu/cvdepi/essay/geoffrey-roses-prevention-para
dox/
Thank you

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