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Module 11 Case Study .

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Class Activity

Common Statistical Tests in Epidemiology


Part I
Researchers at the University of Coffeeville in NYC performed a cohort study to investigate the relationship
between maternal smoking in pregnancy and adolescent obesity. To ensure that the study population was
representative of the Coffeeville population, they randomly selected 600 infants at birth across Coffeeville.
Subjects were followed to age 17 to determine if smoking status of the mother during pregnancy is
associated with obesity status at age 17. Several subjects were lost to follow-up resulting in only 450 teens
contributing obesity data at the close of the study. The classifications are presented in the 2x2 table below.

Maternal Smoking Obesity Status at age 17


Status During Obese Non-Obese Total
Pregnancy
Smoked 23 75 98
throughout
Never Smoked 49 303 352
Total 72 378 450

According to data from the CDC’s Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System (YRBSS), the prevalence of
obesity among 17 years olds in Coffeeville is 11%. Using the z-test for a single proportion, test whether the
proportion of obese children in this study differs from that of the Coffeeville population of 17 year old teens.
Test at the 5% level of significance. [Use the 7-step hypothesis testing procedure].

a) Using correct statistical notation, state the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses.

b) State the rejection region at the 5% alpha level i.e. determine the decision rule.

c) Compute the value of your test statistic. Test statistics: 0.05/ square root (0.0979/450)= 3.39

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d) Sketch the appropriate curve to aid in your decision to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis.

The critical value =+/- 1.96.

e) Do you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Why or why not?

Since 3.39> 1.96, we reject the null hypothesis. There is evidence to conclude the
proportion of obese children in this study differs from the Coffeville population

f) State your practical conclusion.

g) Report the p-value

h) Construct a 95% CI for the sample proportion. Interpret this interval for your research colleagues.

i) Your principal investigator asks you to write a draft of the conclusion of your study. What will you
write (if anything) about the difference in the prevalence of obesity in your sample population vs.
the Coffeeville population of 17 year old teens?

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Question 2
Suppose you measure the resting heart rates (beats per minute) in a sample of “overweight” (defined as
BMI > 25) and “normal weight” (defined as BMI between 18.5 and 25) men at a state university. There are
25 overweight men and 20 normal weight men in the sample. Is there a significant difference in the resting
heart rates of the two groups?

Resting Heart Rates


(Beats per minute)
Overweight Normal
78 72
100 82
100 64
88 64
62 84
94 61
61 68
88 69
78 78
76 80
77 87
90 58
96 96
85 68
83 66
82 62
67 72
77 64
79 76
91 95
80
75
75
68
90

a) Using correct statistical notation, state the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses
Significant difference in resting heartbeats if the two groups

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b) State the rejection region at the 5% alpha level i.e. determine the decision rule.
c) Compute the value of your test statistic.

Where, µoverweight =81.60, Soverweight = 10.74, µnormal =73.30, Snormal = 11.10


N1= 10.7355
N2= 11.1029

The test statistics; 2.53


The degrees of freedom =40

d) Sketch the appropriate curve to aid in your decision to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis.

The p value is 0.0155. P value is less than 0.05. So we reject the null
hypothesis. There is evidence to say the significant difference in resting heart
beats of the two groups

e) Do you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Why or why not?

f) State your practical conclusion.

g) Report the p-value

h) Construct a 95% CI for the sample proportion. Interpret this interval.

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