TheFuelCellIndustryReview2021 4
TheFuelCellIndustryReview2021 4
TheFuelCellIndustryReview2021 4
Fuel Cell
Industry
Review
2021
NOTE ON CURRENCIES
The following exchange rates can be used as guidance to convert currencies mentioned in this report.
These are the average mid-point exchange rates from 30th November 2020 to 30th November 2021.
US$1 = € 0.8407 €1 = US$ 1.1899 1£ = US$ 1.3723 1¥ = US$ 0.0092
US$1 = £ 0.7289 €1 = £ 0.8673 1£ = € 1.1536 1¥ = € 0.0077
US$1 = ¥ 108.60 €1 = ¥ 129.17 1£ = ¥ 149.04 1¥ = £ 0.0067
July 2022
Portable fuel cells encompass those designed or able to be moved, including small auxiliary power
units (APU); Stationary power fuel cells are units designed to provide power to a ‘fixed’ location, also
including APUs on e.g. trucks and large vessels; Transport fuel cells provide either primary propulsion
or range-extending capability for vehicles.
RoW
Asia
North America
Europe
80 Asia
North America
60
Europe
40
20
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021f
2500
RoW
2000 Asia
North America
1500
Europe
1000
500
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021f
2021f is our forecast for the full year, based on firm data from January to September, and in most cases to as late as December.
We have revised the figures for 2020 in this report, now with firm full year data where previously a final quarter forecast was required.
With a global focus, Hyzon announced the Hyzon In January 2021, Navistar said it would partner
Zero Carbon Alliance, which includes existing with General Motors to develop fuel cell trucks for
customers and infrastructure providers Ark and long-haul duty. The Navistar regional haul
Hiringa, but also adds fuels companies Raven SR International RH tractor will use GM Hydrotec 80
and ReCarbon Inc, and finance and insurance kW FC cubes to create a H2-powered variant of the
players Bank of America and AXA. Joining the Class 8 truck. Navistar expects commercial
alliance are Saudi companies Modern Group and production in 2024.
NEOM, intending to set up a facility for 10,000
vehicles, with detailed plans to be set out in the
next 18 months.
Nikola also reached a pivotal step in its journey,
by opening its 50,000 m2 manufacturing facility in
Ulm, Germany. Through the JV with Iveco, Nikola
Tre fuel cell vehicles built on the Iveco S-Way
chassis will start road testing in 2022 and could
be produced at a rate of 1,000 per shift, per year,
from 2023 and ramping up in the following years.
Nikola’s facility in Arizona, US will also build the
500-mile range Tre and, additionally, the longer,
900-mile range Two, a sleeper variant
specifically for the US market, planned for
production in 2024.
Further to the main objective of reducing carbon The Hydrogen Act, claimed to be the world’s first
emissions, many hydrogen strategies highlight hydrogen-related law, took effect in February
country-specific opportunities, often related to 2021, while hydrogen pilot cities Ulsan, Ansan and
the establishment of activities across the Wanju-Jeonju will use hydrogen as their primary
hydrogen value chain. In consequence, different energy source starting in 2022. The Hydrogen
strategies may have distinct strategic goals, Economy Committee, chaired by the Prime
depending on local comparative advantages, Minister, is set to supervise the development of
which results in a somewhat fragmented global the hydrogen economy.
approach. Hydrogen to play a key role in the EU
The combined impact of this raft of strategy Multiple hydrogen strategies have recently
announcements is a pipeline of over 500 clean emerged in Europe, at EU and national levels. The
hydrogen projects on the drawing board today, European Commission’s Hydrogen Strategy for a
with spending plans that could reach more than Climate-Neutral Europe recognises the pivotal role
US$700bn to 2030. that green hydrogen could play in achieving
Japan envisions a hydrogen society climate neutrality, targeting 40 GW of installed
electrolyser capacity by 2030 and large-scale fuel
Japan was the first country to call for the adoption cell deployment in hard-to-abate sectors by 2050.
of a hydrogen-based society, in the aftermath of These ambitions are largely supported by the
the 2011 earthquake and tsunami leading to hydrogen strategies from Member States, which
Fukushima’s nuclear accident. But a national also touch on country specific drivers and
vision for H2 had been around for decades. The objectives as discussed below.
nation’s Basic Hydrogen Strategy aims for a
hydrogen society in the 2050 timeframe, with On top of this, industry association Hydrogen
FC deployment targets on the way, including Europe suggests importing hydrogen from North
800k cars, 1.2k buses, 10k forklifts, 900 HRS and Africa and Ukraine in its supplementary 2x40 GW
5.3m Ene-Farm units by 2030. Initiative. The organisation has also published its
Hydrogen Roadmap Europe, which outlines an
Based on strong public-private support and ambitious scenario with 3.7m FC cars, 500k FC
collaboration, the country seeks to promote the light commercial vehicles, 45k FC trucks and
utilisation of hydrogen across multiple sectors, buses, 570 FC trains and 3.7k HRS by 2030, as well
together with international cooperation and as 2.5m FC CHP units by 2040.
100
Portable
80 Stationary
60 Transport
40
20
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021f
2500
Portable
2000 Stationary
Transport
1500
1000
500
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021f
2021f is our forecast for the full year, based on firm data from January to September, and in most cases to as late as December.
We have revised the figures for 2020 in this report, now with firm full year data where previously a final quarter forecast was required.
A key objective of the Arcola work on the 314/614 Finally, in April, in Germany, HeiterBlick in Leipzig
on the Bo’ness and Kinneil Railway is to establish announced it would collaborate with Chemnitz
opportunities for the Scottish rail supply chain to companies Hörmann Vehicle Engineering and
industrialise the technology and develop skills. Flexiva Automation & Robotik to develop an H2
The powertrain is based around Arcola’s A-Drive fuel cell powered tram. The four-year project is
fuel cell platform, developed in the Dundee subject of €2.1m funding award from the
manufacturing facility. Arcola’s new class 614 has Federal Ministry of Transport and Digital
a Ballard 70 kW module under each driving car, Infrastructure (BMVI).
plus the 210 kg 700 bar H2 total tanks; the centre- Asia – All change
car is fitted with lithium-titanate batteries in place
of the transformer. Asia’s interest in fuel cell trains can be traced back
to at least the late 1990s with projects
A challenge facing all the UK’s fuel cell undertaken in Japan. While Japan’s efforts
conversions is loading gauge, which is smaller continue, it is clear Korea is now leading the way.
than the rest of Europe. Finding the space for the A major driver for Korea is the Government’s
fuel cell modules, batteries and less energy dense ambition to eliminate diesel passenger trains by
CH2 is challenging. The HydroFLEX (itself now 2029. There is also activity in fuel cell heavy rail
reclassified as the 799), uses space inside the and trams in China.
passenger cabin for its single Ballard FCveloCity-
HD 100 kW fuel cell (as a range extender) and Many of the projects underway in Korea include
277 kg H2 storage within 36 pressure tanks, not an the Korean Railroad Research Institute (KRRI) as a
ideal solution. A HydroFLEX 2 is planned, to partner, to facilitate trials, and Hyundai Rotem,
improve the layout and increase the power and the rolling stock business of Hyundai Motor
performance. Group, with direct access to the NEXO fuel cell
module.
The HydroFLEX and Breeze trains started tests,
but it is not clear whether any orders for either As 2021 opened, KRRI was already working with
train is due, though the Tees Valley in North East Hyundai Rotem to develop a fuel cell train,
England has been mentioned as a possible first capable of 110 km/hour (68 mph), and a 600 km
pilot site. (373 mile) range from a charge of CH2. A pilot is
expected to run from 2022 on a restored section
Hydrogen availability is a key factor in the of the Donghae Bukbu Line, between Gangneung
viability of the fuel, whatever the domain. In July and Jejin.
2021, Alstom signed an MoU with Plastic
Omnium, setting up a joint team to manage the
technical and commercial development of
on-board H2 storage solutions for the railway
market, with development projects already under
way. The partners aim to launch these solutions
for regional trains in France and Italy from 2022.
Interest in fuel cells and hydrogen continued to In July 2021, Norled took delivery of its first LH2
grow in 2021, with new orders, new entrants, and ferry, MF Hydra (with Ballard FCwave fuel cells).
companies looking to use fuel cells in ever-larger Initial operations will be on battery power alone,
platforms, but with margins for freight and for operation on hydrogen is expected within 2022.
ferries being low until recently, still at a slow pace. The Norwegian Public Roads Administration
The most powerful marine system so far was announced the winning tender for the 15-year
ordered, the first of shipping-company Silversea’s operation of a hydrogen-powered ferry on the
Evolution class, set to enter operation by 2023. Bodø-Røst-Værøy-Moskenes route from 2025, on
A H2 fuel cell system, hybridised with a battery, this occasion Norled losing out to Torghatten
will supplement the main power supply and carry Nord.The Topeka project, reported last year,
the ship’s total hotel load of up to 4 MW. Liquefied remains on course, with NOK219m (€22m) in state
natural gas will be consumed as the main fuel in aid from ENOVA receiving approval.
dual-fuel engines. The year also saw the first
commercial fuel cell powered ferries delivering to It was busy for Norwegian fuel cell developer
their owners, with operations to start from 2022. TECO 2030, receiving an Approval in Principle
(“AIP”) for its 400 kW marine PEM module (FCM
The regulatory environment is also adapting, with 400), developed in partnership with AVL, and
draft guidelines for fuel cell power installations moving into their new production facility. The
agreed by IMO for approval in 2022. ABS awarded plan is to start pilot production in 2022, ramping
Bloom a Concept Verified Statement of Maturity, up to 1.2 GW of fuel cells annually. TECO also
another step on the path to commercial use, and signed an agreement with Chemgas Shipping BV
we saw new designs for fuel cell powered vessels to supply up to 200 MW of fuel cell systems for
receiving approvals from classification societies. installation on 120 barges and 40-60 tugboats to
The fuel choices are many: compressed hydrogen transport green H2 made in Romania to Germany
for smaller vessels, liquid hydrogen for large and Austria as part of the Blue Danube project as
ships; ammonia and LNG. The use of these fuels in outlined last year. First deliveries are scheduled
fuel cells vies with combustion engines. Ammonia for 2023 but the majority after 2025.
is favoured by many actors, given its high energy In December 2020, the Norwegian energy storage
density and ease of production from green H2. company, Corvus Energy, announced an MoU
with Toyota. Corvus’ new dedicated fuel cell
division will design and certify the marine fuel cell
system using the Toyota fuel cell technology as a
building block for larger systems. Toyota itself
established a new Fuel Cell Business Group in
Brussels to deliver on its growing portfolio of
maritime opportunities.
The MoU facilitated Corvus as lead to the H2NOR
collaboration, with €5.9m funding from
Innovation Norway and the Research Council of
Norway. The project aims to develop cost-
effective, marinised, PEM fuel cells based on
Toyota modules. Partners Equinor, Norled,
Wilhelmsen, LMG Marin, the NCE Maritime
CleanTech cluster and the University of South-
Eastern Norway, aim to have a system installed by
2023 and the system marine-certified and
commercially available by 2024. To deliver
flexibility, a second system – designated as SOFC/
HTPEM – is to be launched in 2025.
Space
In August, Connecticut-based Infinity Fuel Cell
reported that its air-independent, zero gravity,
Non-Flow-Through H2 fuel cell power plant is on
track to be onboard an upcoming unmanned
launch of Blue Origin’s New Shepard commercial
space vehicle. Developed under a NASA ‘Tipping
Point’ cooperative agreement started in 2020, the
2022 launch should demonstrate survival of the
fuel cell from launch rigours and operation in a
weightless environment.
100
AFC
80 MCFC
SOFC
60
PAFC
40
DMFC
20 PEMFC
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021f
2500
AFC
2000 MCFC
SOFC
1500
PAFC
1000
DMFC
500 PEMFC
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021f
2021f is our forecast for the full year, based on firm data from January to September, and in most cases to as late as December.
We have revised the figures for 2020 in this report, now with firm full year data where previously a final quarter forecast was required.
Intelligent Energy has a history of trying to build a Bambili Energy is focused on the beneficiation of
telecoms market with its PEM technology, notably South Africa’s platinum group metals through the
in India. 2021 saw a product revamp, the IE-Drive development of an indigenous fuel cell industry.
P100 for LDVs, IE-Drive HD for HDVs, IE-flight for It offers the MRFC5000 i5 kW power system based
aviation, joining the IE-Soar (UAV) and IE-Lift on a single 2 m tall cabinet. The unit can be scaled
systems. In recent years, it has sold some backup out to needs of 100 kW or more, with an option to
units for Malaysian telecoms operators. In package systems in shipping containers.
September, Intelligent Energy appointed Start-up PowerUP Energy, was awarded €150k
Singapore’s Powerzone Technologies, a builder of from Estonia’s Environmental Investment Center
power generator sets, to pursue opportunities in (Keskkonnainvesteeringute Keskus – KIK), to
Asia. Telecoms has been identified as a key target develop two 12 kW H2 fuel cell UP12K prototypes
for the IE-Lift Series, utilising H2 fuel and outputs and, by early 2023, to validate the units with
of 1, 2 and 4 kW. The units are smaller and lighter, Mushi Bio Power in Namibia and the National
though still higher cost than battery backup. Radio and Telecommunication Corporation
TCP’s Ecolite GH2, developed in 2018, uses an in Pakistan.
IE-Lift 801 module, to deliver up to 1 kW power SFC Energy for many years focused solely on small
off-grid, typically for events and for portable DMFC systems. But following the
construction sites. January 2020 agreement with adKor, SFC now
Intelligent Energy’s partner AJC also packages the develops and markets the Jupiter series of PEM
IE-Lift systems into welfare cabins, to create clean H2 systems. The use of H2 fuel delivers greater
power for the domestic needs of construction resilience to cold climates over diesel or
workers. A smaller, less mature, system has been kerosene-fuelled gensets. The platform is scalable
demonstrated by the UK SOFC company, Adelan. from 2.5 kW to 50 kW.
SFC is now on its 5th-generation EFOY Pro 2800, Johnson Matthey is a crucial supplier, with a
methanol-fuelled, with an output up to 125 W renewed JDA and supply agreement to
and a maximum charging capacity of 250 Ah per March 2024.
day. The higher output power is aimed at the DMFCs can be part of larger ensembles (24
sailing community, as an APU/charger to hotel microgrids for remote villages in India, with local
batteries. partner FC TecNrgy, were announced in March
2021) but for higher power needs the PEM-based
Jupiter systems can offer more than the DMFC.
Since June 2021, E4tech (www.e4tech.com) has been part of ERM (www.erm.com), the world’s
leading pure-play sustainability consultancy. We have also been joined by Element Energy
(www.element-energy.co.uk), a specialist low-carbon energy consultancy. Their skills and knowledge
strengthen and complement ours in fuel cells, hydrogen and many other areas.
The Review effort is led by those below, and supported by many members of E4tech, in data gathering,
drafting and interpretation in different languages, such as Chinese, French, Italian and German.
Prof David Hart is a Director of E4tech, responsible for the Fuel Cell and Hydrogen
Practices. In 25 years in the sector he has been an expert adviser, consulted and carried
out research for national governments, major industrial companies, start-ups, financial
organisations and NGOs. He has been an invited keynote speaker at conferences on six
continents.
Dr Tom Houghton is a member of the Fuel Cell & Hydrogen Sector group
at E4tech. He is a Consulting Director in E4tech’s London office with more than 15 years’
experience in the energy sector gained in consultancy, research, banking and industry.
He has expertise in both hydrogen energy and power systems.
Jonathan Lewis has over twenty years’ experience in business development, from
strategy and policy through business plans to technology commercialisation. More than
10 years in the fuel cell and hydrogen area, he was with Rolls-Royce Fuel Cell Systems Ltd,
and is now an independent adviser. He has extensive experience, including in a variety of
roles with the FCH JU.
E4tech, ERM and Element have conducted numerous influential analyses in the fuel cells and hydrogen
energy space, in addition to renewable and bio-based fuels and chemicals; batteries and other energy
storage; low carbon transport, innovation policy and support and sustainability more broadly. We have
also supported technology development, designed and led major funding applications and projects,
due diligence of potential acquisitions, and conducted compliance analyses of various kinds.
We are always happy to discuss aspects of the sector and questions you may have. Please contact us
directly through www.e4tech.com and we’ll find the right person for you to talk to.