TV Ad Measurement 2021 Emarketer
TV Ad Measurement 2021 Emarketer
TV Ad Measurement 2021 Emarketer
Paul Verna
TV Ad
Measurement 2021
Opportunities and Challenges in the Convergence of Linear
and Digital TV
How can participants work through these challenges? KEY STAT: Combined US ad spending on linear and
CTV platforms will exceed $93 billion by 2025, from just
The roles that companies can play in streamlining the under $80 billion this year. All the growth will come from
ecosystem vary according to their place in the supply chain. CTV spending.
That said, industry efforts to pool addressable inventory and
create universal identifiers that buyers and sellers can use
for enhanced audience targeting and measurement are a
good start. Contents
2 TV Ad Measurement 2021: Opportunities and Challenges
WHAT’S IN THIS REPORT? This report examines the state
in the Convergence of Linear and Digital TV
of TV ad measurement, including the progress the industry
has made toward correlating linear and digital campaigns 3 The TV Ad Measurement Opportunity
and the challenges that continue to stand in the way of 7 Potential Disruptors
holistic metrics.
8 Acting on the Opportunities
10 Key Takeaways
12 Insider Intelligence Interviews
13 Read Next
13 Sources
13 Editorial and Production Contributors
the days when media buyers complained that half their $76.75 $77.01
$79.32
$72.86 $4.36 $6.42 $70.79 $17.44 $21.37 $24.76 $27.47
campaign spend was wasted, but they just didn’t know $13.41
$2.64 $9.03
which half. Although that adage predates television, it
could easily refer to TV ads transacted on broad age
and gender targets with panel-based ratings as the
common currency. $70.22 $72.40 $70.59 $61.76 $65.90 $67.88 $67.20 $66.53 $65.86
2025, massive growth in CTV spending during the same 268303 eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com
period will inject over $14 billion into the market for TV
The US traditional TV advertising business will stay flat over
screen advertising. Further, more linear TV dollars will flow
the next four years as spending increases slightly in 2022
to addressable and programmatic channels, resulting in
but trends downward to $65.86 billion in 2025—essentially
substantial growth in advertising that’s digital in nature and,
the same as the 2021 total of $65.90 billion.
therefore, more readily measurable than traditional TV.
TV ad spending % change
Note: includes broadcast TV (network, syndication, and spot) and cable TV; excludes digital
Source: eMarketer, March 2021
268418 eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com
$17.44
These trends were firmly in place before COVID-19 but were
48.6% accelerated by the pandemic.
$13.41 “We’ve seen a mass shift in consumer behavior over the last
15-plus months,” said Tim Sims, chief revenue officer at The
30.0% Trade Desk. “People have moved faster than I think anyone
22.5%
anticipated into streaming services.”
15.9%
10.9%
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Viewing trends will increase consumer time and advertising
CTV ad spending % change dollars spent on inherently measurable forms of TV
Note: digital advertising that appears on CTV devices; includes display ads that appear on advertising, helping ad buyers improve the ROI of campaigns
home screens and in-stream video ads that appear on CTVs from platforms like Hulu, Roku,
and YouTube; excludes network-sold inventory from traditional linear TV and addressable TV
with lower-funnel key performance indicators such as
advertising conversions and site visits. Still, significant hurdles remain,
Source: eMarketer, March 2021
268419 eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com including the following:
As TV advertisers continue to assimilate the opportunities “If you’re an automaker, you can now do more than just
that digital can provide, they are grappling with the target your ad to, say, men ages 18 to 49,” The Trade Desk’s
potential tradeoffs of narrow targeting versus aiming for Sims said. “You can track whether people visited your
massive scale. website or built a model of a car they're interested in, and
you can serve them a customized ad and see if they came to
“If you try to hyper target your ads, are you losing the ability the lot.”
to reach a large audience at scale?” said Darren Olive,
executive vice president of national advertising sales and Sims elaborated further that, with these digital platforms,
strategy at video streaming service Crackle Plus. “It's a really marketers can think about blended measurement beyond
a mix of art and science where you want to be in the right reach and frequency by looking at marketing outcomes,
environment and you want to have brand messaging, but you sales lift, and other benchmarks.
want that lower-funnel purchase intent metric too. Ideally,
those things work hand-in-hand instead of just going all in
on one or the other.”
and digital video ad spending. This migration was firmly in None, solutions are fine as is
3%
place before the pandemic, but it was accelerated by large
numbers of people staying home and watching streaming Note: n=350
Source: Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB), "Video Ad Spend 2020 & Outlook for 2021"
video on CTVs. Those trends are leading marketers, conducted by Advertiser Perceptions, May 4, 2021
networks, and intermediaries to a place where the value of 265997 eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com
“People would complain about Nielsen, but they loved the Both these studies suggest that the industry faces a
fact that there was only one set of data on the planet and challenge not only in resolving identify conflicts and other
that everyone had the same numbers,” said Jim Spaeth, issues across linear and digital systems but also in driving
partner at TV consulting firm Sequent Partners. “Now you consistency within CTV.
have all these different sources, and nothing matches.”
“The IP addresses that are central to the measurement of Marketers and Agencies
television attribution are also likely to be deemed personally
identifiable information,” said Alice Sylvester, partner at For marketers and their ad agencies, the convergence of TV
Sequent Partners. “Right now, advanced targeting can occur and digital video advertising presents opportunities to reach
in television, but there's an eye toward a future where that younger consumers and capture important data on their
may not be quite as automatic.” media consumption patterns, purchase habits, and other
metrics that can inform strategic decisions.
What Do US Marketers Need Publishers and Media “The migration of viewing habits is particularly pronounced
Companies to Provide to Buy* More Confidently in certain demographics,” said Stacy Daft, general manager
From Them in a Cookieless World? of enterprise commercial business development at TV and
% of respondents, Dec 2020
CTV ad platform Amobee. “You tend to find the younger
Transparency in measurement audiences consuming content on CTV at a faster pace.”
48%
Confidence in consent management/privacy policies Based on a marketer’s objective, it could be more efficient to
42%
reach younger viewers on CTV as opposed to linear TV, but
Ability to bring their own data to table
the approach doesn’t have to be exclusive to either platform.
41%
More accuracy across open web, mobile, and OTT
“TV is still a very efficient medium to reach a lot of people
39%
with a specific budget,” Daft said. “But because of the
Openness to second- and third-party data attributes and behaviors
37%
fragmentation, advertisers now need to look across different
More scale across open web, mobile, and OTT
platforms to cobble together the frequency they need for
36% the clients.”
TV Networks
Feb 17, 2021
263814 eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com
Measurement Firms
Device Makers The 800-pound gorilla in the measurement space is
Smart TV manufacturers are among the newest and most Nielsen, whose viewer ratings have been the currency on
powerful players in the TV ad space. Because their devices which TV ads have been transacted for generations. But TV
are in millions of households, most of which opt in to sharing networks and ad buyers have long complained that Nielsen’s
anonymized viewing information via automatic content panel-based system isn’t built for the demands of the CTV
recognition (ACR), the companies are sitting on a gold mine ad marketplace.
of data that can be of tremendous use to advertisers.
Recently, VAB—the trade group for US TV networks—
“The ACR data is becoming more and more valuable,” said petitioned the Media Rating Council to suspend its
Raghu Kodige, co-founder and chief product officer at LG accreditation of Nielsen’s national ratings service. VAB’s
Ads. “Companies that have large scale, like LG, Samsung, main complaint is that Nielsen undercounted viewing,
Vizio, and Roku aren’t licensing that ACR data to a lot of particularly among minority audiences, during the pandemic.
people. If an agency wants to use the ACR data for targeting Whether this effort results in specific action against Nielsen,
and measurement, they have to go directly to these four or the point is almost moot. The bigger issue is the growing
five companies.” tension between Nielsen and its TV network clients, who
pay significant sums to access the viewing data that Nielsen
captures through its consumer-based panel.
Industry Consortia
Go Addressable: A group of TV distributors formed in 2021
to promote addressable TV advertising. Its founding members
include Altice USA, Charter Communications, Comcast, Cox
Media, DirecTV, DISH Media, Frontier Communications,
and Vizio.
OpenAP: A consortium of TV networks formed to provide
a single source for premium video advertising inventory
and unified audience-based buying. Members are AMC
Networks, Fox, NBCUniversal, ViacomCBS, Univision, and The
Weather Channel.
Project OAR: An initiative by media and tech companies
launched in 2019 to develop an open standard for addressable
advertising on connected TVs. Members include Vizio, AMC
Networks, Comcast NBCUniversal, Discovery Networks,
Disney, Fox, Freewheel, Hearst, Scripps, Univision, ViacomCBS,
Warner Media.
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