Covid 19 Infectionsurveydatasets 20211008 England 08102021091213
Covid 19 Infectionsurveydatasets 20211008 England 08102021091213
Covid 19 Infectionsurveydatasets 20211008 England 08102021091213
Datasets
Contact Details
f this dataset
pa Haughton
@ons.gov.uk
15 October 2021
Contents
UK summary
UK summary - positivity
UK summary - incidence
All data from the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey can be found in the following datasets:
Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey related data
Characteristics of those testing positive for COVID-19 can be found in our fortnightly release:
Coronavirus (COVID-19) infections in the community in countries of the UK
Antibody and vaccination data by UK country and regions in England from the COVID-19 Infection Survey can be found in o
Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey, antibody and vaccination data for the UK
Official reported estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19, UK countries
Official reported estimates of incidence of COVID-19, UK countries
Official reported estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19, England
Modelled daily rates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19, England
Most recent swab test results (latest 2 and 6 week periods), England
Non-overlapping 14-day weighted estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19, England
Modelled percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by region, England
Modelled daily rates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by region, England
Modelled percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by age/school year, England
Modelled daily rates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by age/school year, England
Modelled daily rates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by single year of age, England
Non-overlapping 14-day weighted estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by age/scho
Non-overlapping 14-day weighted estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by region, E
Non-overlapping 14-day weighted estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by age and
Modelled percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by CIS sub-region, England
Official reported estimates of incidence of COVID-19, England
Modelled daily incidence rate of COVID-19 per 10,000 people per day, England
Unrounded modelled daily rates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by region (historic serie
Notes:
1. All estimates are subject to uncertainty, given that a sample is only part of the wider population. Confidence intervals have been pro
the Bayesian modelled weekly estimates.
2. Due to the timeliness of the data received from the laboratories and occurrence of public holidays there are gaps and overlaps betw
estimates.
3. Official reported estimates are plotted at a reference point believed to be most representative of the given week.
4. Some figures (-) were not published at the time.
5. Survey fieldwork for the pilot study began in England on 26 April 2020. In Wales, fieldwork began on 29 June 2020, in Northern Irela
September 2020.
6. Caution should be taken in over-interpreting any small movements in the latest trend.
7. As there was no publication on 15 January 2021 there are no official estimates available for the week ending 9 January 2021. Howev
have been and have provided an estimate in the table above.
8. For the official estimates published on 13 August 2021 and 3 September 2021, the reference week for England starts and ends a day
due to the models ending on different days in those weeks.
COVID-19, UK countries
Wales
Estimated average
% of the population
Method Time period that had COVID-19
14-day weighted estimates - -
14-day weighted estimates - -
14-day weighted estimates - -
14-day weighted estimates - -
14-day weighted estimates - -
14-day weighted estimates - -
14-day weighted estimates - -
14-day weighted estimates - -
14-day weighted estimates - -
modelled weekly estimates - -
modelled weekly estimates - -
modelled weekly estimates - -
modelled weekly estimates 27 July 2020 to 02 August 2020 0.05
modelled weekly estimates 03 August 2020 to 09 August 2020 0.05
modelled weekly estimates 07 August 2020 to 13 August 2020 0.04
modelled weekly estimates 14 August 2020 to 20 August 2020 0.04
modelled weekly estimates 19 August 2020 to 25 August 2020 0.05
modelled weekly estimates 30 August 2020 to 05 September 2020 0.04
modelled weekly estimates 04 September 2020 to 10 September 2020 0.05
modelled weekly estimates 13 September 2020 to 19 September 2020 0.35
modelled weekly estimates 18 September 2020 to 24 September 2020 0.21
modelled weekly estimates 25 September 2020 to 01 October 2020 0.20
modelled weekly estimates 02 October 2020 to 08 October 2020 0.26
modelled weekly estimates 10 October 2020 to 16 October 2020 0.55
modelled weekly estimates 17 October 2020 to 23 October 2020 0.86
modelled weekly estimates 25 October 2020 to 31 October 2020 0.89
modelled weekly estimates 31 October 2020 to 06 November 2020 1.16
modelled weekly estimates 08 November 2020 to 14 November 2020 0.61
modelled weekly estimates 15 November 2020 to 21 November 2020 0.54
modelled weekly estimates 22 November 2020 to 28 November 2020 0.60
modelled weekly estimates 29 November 2020 to 05 December 2020 0.84
modelled weekly estimates 06 December 2020 to 12 December 2020 1.10
modelled weekly estimates 12 December 2020 to 18 December 2020 1.72
modelled weekly estimates 17 December 2020 to 23 December 2020 1.91
modelled weekly estimates 27 December 2020 to 02 January 2021 1.45
modelled weekly estimates 03 January 2021 to 09 January 2021 1.45
modelled weekly estimates 10 January 2021 to 16 January 2021 1.45
modelled weekly estimates 17 January 2021 to 23 January 2021 1.43
modelled weekly estimates 24 January 2021 to 30 January 2021 1.40
modelled weekly estimates 31 January 2021 to 06 February 2021 1.16
modelled weekly estimates 06 February 2021 to 12 February 2021 0.81
modelled weekly estimates 13 February 2021 to 19 February 2021 0.48
modelled weekly estimates 21 February 2021 to 27 February 2021 0.35
modelled weekly estimates 28 February 2021 to 06 March 2021 0.27
modelled weekly estimates 07 March 2021 to 13 March 2021 0.23
modelled weekly estimates 14 March 2021 to 20 March 2021 0.22
modelled weekly estimates 21 March 2021 to 27 March 2021 0.18
modelled weekly estimates 28 March 2021 to 03 April 2021 0.12
modelled weekly estimates 04 April 2021 to 10 April 2021 0.11
modelled weekly estimates 10 April 2021 to 16 April 2021 0.12
modelled weekly estimates 18 April 2021 to 24 April 2021 0.06
modelled weekly estimates 26 April 2021 to 02 May 2021 0.05
modelled weekly estimates 02 May 2021 to 08 May 2021 0.02
modelled weekly estimates 09 May 2021 to 15 May 2021 0.02
modelled weekly estimates 16 May 2021 to 22 May 2021 0.03
modelled weekly estimates 23 May 2021 to 29 May 2021 0.10
modelled weekly estimates 30 May 2021 to 05 June 2021 0.08
modelled weekly estimates 06 June 2021 to 12 June 2021 0.07
modelled weekly estimates 13 June 2021 to 19 June 2021 0.12
modelled weekly estimates 20 June 2021 to 26 June 2021 0.22
modelled weekly estimates 27 June 2021 to 03 July 2021 0.30
modelled weekly estimates 04 July 2021 to 10 July 2021 0.28
modelled weekly estimates 11 July 2021 to 17 July 2021 0.47
modelled weekly estimates 18 July 2021 to 24 July 2021 0.62
modelled weekly estimates 25 July 2021 to 31 July 2021 0.43
modelled weekly estimates 01 August 2021 to 07 August 2021 0.46
modelled weekly estimates 08 August 2021 to 14 August 2021 0.77
modelled weekly estimates 14 August 2021 to 20 August 2021 0.83
modelled weekly estimates 22 August 2021 to 28 August 2021 0.92
modelled weekly estimates 28 August 2021 to 03 September 2021 1.54
modelled weekly estimates 05 September 2021 to 11 September 2021 1.62
modelled weekly estimates 12 September 2021 to 18 September 2021 1.67
modelled weekly estimates 19 September 2021 to 25 September 2021 1.76
modelled weekly estimates 26 September 2021 to 02 October 2021 1.87
ulation. Confidence intervals have been provided for the 14-day weighted estimates and credible intervals are provided for
c holidays there are gaps and overlaps between some of our official estimates, this does not impact the comparability of these
rk began on 29 June 2020, in Northern Ireland fieldwork began on 26 July 2020 and in Scotland fieldwork began on 21
or the week ending 9 January 2021. However, we have conducted some additional analysis to assess what the estimate may
nce week for England starts and ends a day earlier than the reference week for Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland. This is
Wales Nor
Notes:
1. All estimates are subject to uncertainty, given that a sample is only part of the wider population. Confidence intervals used up to an
presented due to change in modelling approach.
2. Due to the timeliness of the data received from the laboratories and occurrence of public holidays there are gaps and overlaps betw
3. When incidence is low, it may not be possible to produce a reliable estimate. In these instances we recommend focusing on the upp
4. From 13 July 2020 estimates are based on the reference day from the reference week. The reference days vary during this period du
This date may differ from the reference day used for the positivity rate.
5. Some figures (-) were not published at the time.
6. For England, indicative estimates are provided between 29 November 2020 and 6 March 2021. For Wales, Northern Ireland and Sco
between 25 April and 12 June 2021 for all UK countries. These indicative estimates were produced using our new positivity based incid
published.
7. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infecti
Wales
ulation. Confidence intervals used up to and including the period 6 July to 12 July 2020, following which credible intervals have been
c holidays there are gaps and overlaps between some of our official estimates, this does not impact the comparability of these estimates.
tances we recommend focusing on the upper credible interval, which gives an upper bound to the incidence of new infections.
he reference days vary during this period due to timeliness of data received from the laboratories and the occurrence of public holidays.
2021. For Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland indicative estimates are provided between 25 October 2020 and 6 March 2021, and
oduced using our new positivity based incidence method, and are presented on the official estimates charts, but were not previously
fection Survey.
anddiseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
Wales
Estimated COVID-
19 incidence rate 95% Lower 95% Upper
per 10,000 people credible credible
per day Interval Interval Method
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
6.73 3.80 10.41 Indicative positivity based estimates
4.44 1.62 7.59 Indicative positivity based estimates
2.73 0.47 5.14 Indicative positivity based estimates
4.25 2.02 6.67 Indicative positivity based estimates
7.64 5.07 10.72 Indicative positivity based estimates
11.64 8.12 15.85 Indicative positivity based estimates
15.46 11.36 20.39 Indicative positivity based estimates
16.57 11.33 22.42 Indicative positivity based estimates
10.44 5.52 15.92 Indicative positivity based estimates
6.65 2.71 11.00 Indicative positivity based estimates
8.38 4.66 12.52 Indicative positivity based estimates
10.16 6.41 14.09 Indicative positivity based estimates
10.15 6.37 13.98 Indicative positivity based estimates
7.56 4.13 11.23 Indicative positivity based estimates
3.22 0.53 6.09 Indicative positivity based estimates
1.72 0.00 3.85 Indicative positivity based estimates
1.45 0.00 3.17 Indicative positivity based estimates
1.25 0.00 2.71 Indicative positivity based estimates
1.40 0.20 2.79 Indicative positivity based estimates
1.29 0.05 2.70 Official positivity based estimates
1.42 0.32 2.78 Official positivity based estimates
1.10 0.16 2.24 Official positivity based estimates
0.77 0.04 1.87 Official positivity based estimates
0.82 0.13 1.82 Official positivity based estimates
0.56 0.06 1.43 Official positivity based estimates
0.46 0.03 1.22 Official positivity based estimates
0.27 0.00 0.84 Indicative positivity based estimates
0.23 0.04 0.55 Indicative positivity based estimates
0.30 0.10 0.66 Indicative positivity based estimates
0.40 0.18 0.80 Indicative positivity based estimates
0.50 0.24 0.94 Indicative positivity based estimates
0.64 0.31 1.14 Indicative positivity based estimates
1.26 0.74 2.01 Indicative positivity based estimates
1.77 1.12 2.71 Official positivity based estimates
2.26 1.40 3.43 Official positivity based estimates
2.93 1.89 4.29 Official positivity based estimates
3.64 2.38 5.24 Official positivity based estimates
3.96 2.49 5.86 Official positivity based estimates
3.91 2.33 5.81 Official positivity based estimates
4.66 2.94 6.67 Official positivity based estimates
5.50 3.71 7.71 Official positivity based estimates
9.64 7.10 12.70 Official positivity based estimates
13.01 9.98 16.82 Official positivity based estimates
14.52 11.09 18.52 Official positivity based estimates
15.09 11.34 19.32 Official positivity based estimates
16.20 12.34 20.57 Official positivity based estimates
Estimated COVID-
19 incidence rate 95% Lower 95% Upper
per 10,000 people credible credible
Time period per day Interval Interval
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
25 October 2020 to 31 October 2020 5.44 1.76 9.74
01 November 2020 to 07 November 2020 4.66 1.39 8.49
08 November 2020 to 14 November 2020 3.65 0.70 7.06
15 November 2020 to 21 November 2020 2.71 0.24 5.50
22 November 2020 to 28 November 2020 2.38 0.28 4.79
29 November 2020 to 05 December 2020 2.82 0.98 5.07
06 December 2020 to 12 December 2020 3.86 1.95 6.11
13 December 2020 to 19 December 2020 4.70 2.48 7.27
20 December 2020 to 26 December 2020 6.47 3.97 9.53
27 December 2020 to 02 January 2021 11.64 8.40 15.73
03 January 2021 to 09 January 2021 20.06 15.21 25.71
10 January 2021 to 16 January 2021 18.34 12.77 24.61
17 January 2021 to 23 January 2021 9.90 4.73 15.47
24 January 2021 to 30 January 2021 7.89 3.53 12.89
31 January 2021 to 06 February 2021 4.51 0.60 8.60
07 February 2021 to 13 February 2021 1.65 0.00 4.51
14 February 2021 to 20 February 2021 1.24 0.00 3.67
21 February 2021 to 27 February 2021 1.55 0.00 3.59
28 February 2021 to 06 March 2021 2.11 0.58 4.15
07 March 2021 to 13 March 2021 2.36 0.61 4.76
14 March 2021 to 20 March 2021 4.02 1.60 7.03
21 March 2021 to 27 March 2021 2.87 0.71 5.48
28 March 2021 to 03 April 2021 0.89 0.00 2.89
03 April 2021 to 09 April 2021 1.15 0.02 2.78
11 April 2021 to 17 April 2021 0.81 0.00 2.22
19 April 2021 to 25 April 2021 1.03 0.19 2.45
25 April 2021 to 01 May 2021 0.64 0.02 1.79
02 May 2021 to 08 May 2021 0.57 0.16 1.24
09 May 2021 to 15 May 2021 0.67 0.25 1.37
16 May 2021 to 22 May 2021 0.75 0.31 1.47
23 May 2021 to 29 May 2021 0.82 0.34 1.61
30 May 2021 to 05 June 2021 0.9 0.32 1.79
06 June 2021 to 12 June 2021 1.15 0.49 2.21
13 June 2021 to 19 June 2021 1.49 0.74 2.62
20 June 2021 to 26 June 2021 1.96 1.05 3.36
27 June 2021 to 03 July 2021 3.21 1.86 5.15
04 July 2021 to 10 July 2021 5.77 3.75 8.45
11 July 2021 to 17 July 2021 10.70 7.44 14.89
18 July 2021 to 24 July 2021 16.67 12.22 22.90
25 July 2021 to 31 July 2021 18.41 13.33 24.54
31 July 2021 to 06 August 2021 17.48 12.18 23.39
14 August 2021 to 20 August 2021 16.14 10.80 22.43
22 August 2021 to 28 August 2021 13.96 8.82 19.98
29 August 2021 to 4 September 2021 12.61 7.99 17.81
05 September 2021 to 11 September 2021 12.43 8.05 17.65
12 Setember 2021 to 18 September 2021 11.33 6.79 16.88
Scotland
Estimated COVID-
19 incidence rate 95% Lower 95% Upper
per 10,000 people credible credible
per day Interval Interval Method
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
5.06 2.92 7.66 Indicative positivity based estimates
5.44 3.21 7.97 Indicative positivity based estimates
6.07 3.81 8.80 Indicative positivity based estimates
6.51 4.21 9.07 Indicative positivity based estimates
6.15 3.83 8.63 Indicative positivity based estimates
6.26 3.88 8.85 Indicative positivity based estimates
5.47 3.35 7.81 Indicative positivity based estimates
4.49 2.42 6.67 Indicative positivity based estimates
7.47 5.22 10.08 Indicative positivity based estimates
8.02 5.63 10.60 Indicative positivity based estimates
5.71 3.44 8.09 Indicative positivity based estimates
7.05 4.72 9.46 Indicative positivity based estimates
5.06 2.80 7.33 Indicative positivity based estimates
3.38 1.43 5.30 Indicative positivity based estimates
4.01 2.12 5.96 Indicative positivity based estimates
2.93 1.39 4.65 Indicative positivity based estimates
2.41 1.05 3.84 Indicative positivity based estimates
2.59 1.32 3.97 Indicative positivity based estimates
3.38 2.07 4.83 Indicative positivity based estimates
4.13 2.58 5.87 Official positivity based estimates
3.46 1.84 5.28 Official positivity based estimates
2.68 1.20 4.08 Official positivity based estimates
1.69 0.57 3.03 Official positivity based estimates
1.21 0.28 2.35 Official positivity based estimates
1.31 0.51 2.37 Official positivity based estimates
0.94 0.22 1.90 Official positivity based estimates
0.38 0.00 1.12 Indicative positivity based estimates
0.66 0.23 1.23 Indicative positivity based estimates
0.92 0.48 1.56 Indicative positivity based estimates
1.11 0.63 1.81 Indicative positivity based estimates
1.24 0.70 1.95 Indicative positivity based estimates
1.70 1.04 2.50 Indicative positivity based estimates
3.29 2.29 4.54 Indicative positivity based estimates
5.53 4.15 7.30 Official positivity based estimates
8.65 6.60 11.29 Official positivity based estimates
9.97 7.55 12.72 Official positivity based estimates
9.36 6.57 12.37 Official positivity based estimates
6.77 4.10 9.70 Official positivity based estimates
4.45 2.16 7.09 Official positivity based estimates
3.21 1.30 5.39 Official positivity based estimates
3.22 1.45 5.15 Official positivity based estimates
9.88 7.44 12.65 Official positivity based estimates
20.17 16.46 24.55 Official positivity based estimates
25.52 20.79 31.08 Official positivity based estimates
19.84 15.11 25.05 Official positivity based estimates
15.20 10.88 20.07 Official positivity based estimates
Contents
Table 1a
Official reported estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19, England
27 April 2020 to 2 October 2021
Notes:
1. Confidence intervals were used up to and including the period 22 June to 5 July 2020, following which credible intervals have been p
2. Due to the timeliness of the data received from the laboratories and occurrence of public holidays there are gaps and overlaps betw
3. Caution should be taken in over-interpreting any small movements in the latest trend.
4. As there was no publication on 15 January 2021 there are no official estimates available for the week ending 9 January 2021. Howev
what the estimate may have been and have provided an estimate in the table above.
VID-19, England
ng which credible intervals have been presented due to change in modelling approach.
lidays there are gaps and overlaps between some of our official estimates, this does not impact the comparability of these estimates.
he week ending 9 January 2021. However, we have conducted some additional analysis to assess
of these estimates.
Contents
Table 1b
Modelled daily rates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19, England
22 August 2021 to 2 October 2021
95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled number of 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper
Modelled % testing credible credible people testing positive credible credible testing positive for credible credible
Date positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval for COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval
22 August 2021 1.31 1.24 1.39 716,100 674,800 758,600 1 in 75 1 in 80 1 in 70
23 August 2021 1.31 1.23 1.39 712,600 671,000 755,600 1 in 75 1 in 80 1 in 70
24 August 2021 1.30 1.22 1.38 709,800 667,800 752,600 1 in 75 1 in 80 1 in 70
25 August 2021 1.30 1.22 1.37 707,500 665,900 749,200 1 in 75 1 in 80 1 in 75
26 August 2021 1.29 1.22 1.37 705,400 664,300 745,700 1 in 75 1 in 80 1 in 75
27 August 2021 1.29 1.22 1.36 703,400 663,000 743,300 1 in 80 1 in 80 1 in 75
28 August 2021 1.29 1.21 1.36 701,300 662,100 740,900 1 in 80 1 in 80 1 in 75
29 August 2021 1.28 1.21 1.36 699,000 659,100 738,900 1 in 80 1 in 85 1 in 75
30 August 2021 1.28 1.20 1.35 696,200 657,000 737,400 1 in 80 1 in 85 1 in 75
31 August 2021 1.27 1.20 1.35 692,800 653,800 734,600 1 in 80 1 in 85 1 in 75
01 September 2021 1.26 1.19 1.34 688,600 648,700 730,600 1 in 80 1 in 85 1 in 75
02 September 2021 1.25 1.18 1.33 683,500 643,600 725,900 1 in 80 1 in 85 1 in 75
03 September 2021 1.24 1.17 1.32 677,400 637,400 717,400 1 in 80 1 in 85 1 in 75
04 September 2021 1.23 1.16 1.30 670,500 631,700 709,300 1 in 80 1 in 85 1 in 75
05 September 2021 1.22 1.15 1.29 662,800 625,100 701,300 1 in 80 1 in 85 1 in 80
06 September 2021 1.20 1.13 1.27 654,700 617,800 691,800 1 in 85 1 in 90 1 in 80
07 September 2021 1.19 1.12 1.25 646,400 610,700 681,600 1 in 85 1 in 90 1 in 80
08 September 2021 1.17 1.11 1.23 638,100 603,100 672,900 1 in 85 1 in 90 1 in 80
09 September 2021 1.16 1.09 1.22 630,300 594,500 665,900 1 in 85 1 in 90 1 in 80
10 September 2021 1.14 1.08 1.21 623,100 586,600 659,900 1 in 90 1 in 95 1 in 85
11 September 2021 1.13 1.06 1.20 616,700 580,000 654,100 1 in 90 1 in 95 1 in 85
12 September 2021 1.12 1.05 1.19 611,300 574,600 649,100 1 in 90 1 in 95 1 in 85
13 September 2021 1.11 1.05 1.18 607,000 570,800 645,400 1 in 90 1 in 95 1 in 85
14 September 2021 1.11 1.04 1.18 604,100 567,800 641,700 1 in 90 1 in 95 1 in 85
15 September 2021 1.11 1.04 1.17 602,800 567,300 639,200 1 in 90 1 in 95 1 in 85
16 September 2021 1.11 1.04 1.17 603,200 569,300 638,900 1 in 90 1 in 95 1 in 85
17 September 2021 1.11 1.05 1.18 605,500 572,500 640,700 1 in 90 1 in 95 1 in 85
18 September 2021 1.12 1.06 1.18 609,900 576,900 645,000 1 in 90 1 in 95 1 in 85
19 September 2021 1.13 1.07 1.20 616,500 583,000 652,000 1 in 90 1 in 95 1 in 85
20 September 2021 1.15 1.08 1.21 625,300 591,400 661,300 1 in 85 1 in 90 1 in 80
21 September 2021 1.17 1.10 1.23 636,200 601,700 672,700 1 in 85 1 in 90 1 in 80
22 September 2021 1.19 1.13 1.26 649,100 613,700 686,500 1 in 85 1 in 90 1 in 80
23 September 2021 1.22 1.15 1.29 663,900 627,600 701,700 1 in 80 1 in 85 1 in 80
24 September 2021 1.25 1.18 1.32 680,400 643,600 719,100 1 in 80 1 in 85 1 in 75
25 September 2021 1.28 1.21 1.35 698,500 661,400 738,000 1 in 80 1 in 80 1 in 75
26 September 2021 1.32 1.25 1.39 718,000 680,400 757,300 1 in 75 1 in 80 1 in 70
27 September 2021 1.36 1.28 1.43 739,100 700,300 779,600 1 in 75 1 in 80 1 in 70
28 September 2021 1.40 1.32 1.48 761,800 719,400 805,300 1 in 70 1 in 75 1 in 70
29 September 2021 1.44 1.35 1.53 786,300 737,600 835,300 1 in 70 1 in 75 1 in 65
30 September 2021 1.49 1.38 1.60 812,600 754,200 872,300 1 in 65 1 in 70 1 in 65
01 October 2021 1.54 1.42 1.67 840,900 772,400 912,600 1 in 65 1 in 70 1 in 60
02 October 2021 1.60 1.45 1.76 871,100 790,100 959,500 1 in 65 1 in 70 1 in 55
Source: Office for National Statistics – Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey
Notes:
1. All results are provisional and subject to revision.
2. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
3. This analysis is based on statistical modelling conducted by our research partners at the University of Oxford.
4. The method combines a statistical modelling approach with population information used in standard population weighting.
5. As this is based on Bayesian analysis, the appropriate uncertainty measure to use is credible intervals rather than confidence intervals. However they can be interpreted in the same way.
6. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
7. The England population used in this analysis relates to the community population aged two years and over. It is not the same as the total population of England as reported in our mid-term population estimates.
8. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
Contents
Table 1c
Most recent swab test results (latest 2 and 6 week periods), England
22 August 2021 to 2 October 2021
Number testing positive for Number in
COVID-19 sample
Most recent two weeks:
Participants 1,643 144,723
Tests 1,702 153,117
Households 1,278 76,494
Notes:
1. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care home
2. This table is based on nose and throat swabs taken.
3. The sample sizes presented in this table relate to the modelled headlines estimates. Some cases that would be reported in our 14-d
model sample due to missing characteristic data, which is required for the multi-level regression post-stratification (mrp).
ns reported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
hat would be reported in our 14-day non-overlapping estimates are excluded from the
st-stratification (mrp).
Contents
Table 1d
Non-overlapping 14-day weighted estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19, England
3 May 2020 to 2 October 2021
95% Lower 95% Upper Estimated number of 95% Lower 95% Upper Estimated ratio of 95% Lower
Estimated % testing confidence confidence people testing positive confidence confidence people testing positive confidence
Time period positive for COVID-19 interval interval for COVID-19 interval interval for COVID-19 interval
03 May 2020 to 16 May 2020 0.34 0.24 0.46 185,000 131,600 252,700 1 in 290 1 in 410
17 May 2020 to 30 May 2020 0.18 0.12 0.26 100,700 68,100 143,500 1 in 540 1 in 800
31 May 2020 to 13 June 2020 0.07 0.03 0.12 36,300 17,000 67,800 1 in 1,500 1 in 3,200
14 June 2020 to 27 June 2020 0.08 0.04 0.14 43,100 21,500 77,100 1 in 1,300 1 in 2,500
28 June 2020 to 11 July 2020 0.05 0.02 0.08 25,600 13,600 43,900 1 in 2,100 1 in 4,000
12 July 2020 to 25 July 2020 0.10 0.06 0.15 53,600 32,200 84,000 1 in 1,000 1 in 1,700
26 July 2020 to 08 August 2020 0.04 0.02 0.07 22,500 12,400 37,400 1 in 2,400 1 in 4,400
09 August 2020 to 22 August 2020 0.06 0.04 0.10 34,000 20,500 53,200 1 in 1,600 1 in 2,700
23 August 2020 to 05 September 2020 0.10 0.07 0.13 52,400 37,900 70,500 1 in 1,000 1 in 1,400
06 September 2020 to 19 September 2020 0.22 0.18 0.26 120,100 100,400 142,500 1 in 450 1 in 540
20 September 2020 to 03 October 2020 0.52 0.48 0.57 284,100 259,400 310,400 1 in 190 1 in 210
04 October 2020 to 17 October 2020 0.93 0.88 0.99 507,000 477,800 537,500 1 in 110 1 in 110
18 October 2020 to 31 October 2020 1.31 1.24 1.38 713,500 677,900 750,600 1 in 75 1 in 80
01 November 2020 to 14 November 2020 1.44 1.37 1.51 785,200 747,600 824,100 1 in 70 1 in 75
15 November 2020 to 28 November 2020 1.27 1.21 1.33 691,300 657,100 726,700 1 in 80 1 in 85
29 November 2020 to 12 December 2020 1.20 1.14 1.26 654,300 620,300 689,500 1 in 85 1 in 90
13 December 2020 to 26 December 2020 1.51 1.44 1.59 825,800 784,900 868,200 1 in 65 1 in 70
27 December 2020 to 09 January 2021 2.20 2.12 2.29 1,199,600 1,154,100 1,246,400 1 in 45 1 in 45
10 January 2021 to 23 January 2021 2.09 2.01 2.18 1,139,800 1,094,500 1,186,400 1 in 50 1 in 50
24 January 2021 to 06 February 2021 1.51 1.44 1.58 824,400 786,300 863,900 1 in 65 1 in 70
07 February 2021 to 20 February 2021 0.83 0.78 0.88 452,600 424,800 481,800 1 in 120 1 in 130
21 February 2021 to 06 March 2021 0.46 0.42 0.50 248,100 226,400 271,300 1 in 220 1 in 240
07 March 2021 to 20 March 2021 0.30 0.27 0.34 165,500 148,000 184,600 1 in 330 1 in 370
21 March 2021 to 03 April 2021 0.31 0.28 0.35 169,600 150,500 190,500 1 in 320 1 in 360
04 April 2021 to 17 April 2021 0.18 0.15 0.21 95,600 81,000 112,000 1 in 570 1 in 670
18 April 2021 to 01 May 2021 0.09 0.07 0.11 48,700 38,800 60,300 1 in 1,100 1 in 1,400
02 May 2021 to 15 May 2021 0.09 0.07 0.11 46,500 37,000 57,700 1 in 1,200 1 in 1,500
16 May 2021 to 29 May 2021 0.13 0.11 0.16 73,200 60,800 87,400 1 in 750 1 in 900
30 May 2021 to 12 June 2021 0.19 0.16 0.22 103,300 87,800 120,700 1 in 530 1 in 620
13 June 2021 to 26 June 2021 0.36 0.31 0.40 194,600 171,700 219,800 1 in 280 1 in 320
27 June 2021 to 10 July 2021 0.91 0.84 0.98 494,600 458,500 532,800 1 in 110 1 in 120
11 July 2021 to 24 July 2021 1.43 1.35 1.52 781,500 736,200 828,700 1 in 70 1 in 75
25 July 2021 to 07 August 2021 1.31 1.23 1.39 713,800 671,000 758,700 1 in 75 1 in 80
08 August 2021 to 21 August 2021 1.31 1.24 1.40 716,600 674,100 761,000 1 in 75 1 in 80
22 August 2021 to 04 September 2021 1.31 1.24 1.39 716,300 674,000 760,500 1 in 75 1 in 80
05 September 2021 to 18 September 2021 1.17 1.10 1.24 636,500 597,900 677,000 1 in 85 1 in 90
19 September 2021 to 02 October 2021 1.33 1.25 1.40 722,700 683,200 763,900 1 in 75 1 in 80
Source: Office for National Statistics – Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey
Notes:
1. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
2. The England population used in this analysis was 54,524,775 and relates to those in private households aged two years and over. It is not the same as the total population of England as reported in our mid-term population estimates.
3. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
4. Individuals and households will feature in multiple 14 day non-overlapping periods. For this reason, it is not appropriate to sum up counts from multiple periods, as this will lead to double counting.
5. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
95% Upper Number of people Number of Number of households Number of
confidence testing positive for people in testing positive for households in
interval COVID-19 sample COVID-19 sample
1 in 220 52 16,551 47 7,715
1 in 380 38 20,531 28 9,341
1 in 800 14 25,339 12 11,704
1 in 710 17 23,846 16 11,467
1 in 1,200 18 31,294 18 15,078
1 in 650 27 30,499 27 14,965
1 in 1,500 18 35,378 18 17,407
1 in 1,000 26 46,378 23 23,321
1 in 770 56 61,369 53 30,878
1 in 380 179 86,198 145 43,963
1 in 180 643 143,139 509 73,226
1 in 100 1,473 183,167 1,140 93,940
1 in 75 1,934 163,589 1,521 83,968
1 in 65 2,096 163,170 1,629 83,120
1 in 75 1,992 184,702 1,527 92,918
1 in 80 1,778 161,639 1,480 83,012
1 in 65 1,938 137,491 1,461 71,538
1 in 45 3,485 166,994 2,508 85,305
1 in 45 3,185 163,601 2,429 83,359
1 in 65 2,356 163,088 1,884 83,194
1 in 110 1,312 170,412 1,079 86,884
1 in 200 634 160,219 484 81,151
1 in 300 427 154,300 351 79,945
1 in 290 382 143,359 312 73,895
1 in 490 208 132,840 171 69,595
1 in 900 117 147,987 103 77,649
1 in 940 112 142,092 100 74,941
1 in 620 172 143,346 136 75,292
1 in 450 211 130,494 175 70,639
1 in 250 359 137,703 308 73,081
1 in 100 909 135,852 710 72,632
1 in 65 1,515 133,896 1,205 72,515
1 in 70 1,422 136,900 1,166 75,096
1 in 70 1,488 137,787 1,173 75,203
1 in 70 1,473 134,268 1,167 72,050
1 in 80 1,425 145,773 1,164 79,036
1 in 70 1,643 144,723 1,278 76,494
rm population estimates.
Contents
Table 1e
Modelled percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by region, England
29 September 2021
95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper
Modelled % testing credible credible testing positive for credible credible
Region Population size positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval
North East 2,575,735 1.68 1.27 2.13 1 in 60 1 in 80 1 in 45
North West 7,083,474 1.67 1.41 1.94 1 in 60 1 in 70 1 in 50
Yorkshire and The Humber 5,315,019 1.88 1.58 2.20 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 45
East Midlands 4,692,054 1.80 1.47 2.18 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45
West Midlands 5,764,021 1.49 1.21 1.81 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55
East of England 6,046,126 1.10 0.89 1.33 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75
London 8,719,115 1.10 0.94 1.28 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 80
South East 8,855,707 1.20 1.01 1.40 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70
South West 5,473,524 1.57 1.31 1.88 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55
Source: Office for National Statistics – Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey
Notes:
1. All results are provisional and subject to revision.
2. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
3. This analysis is based on statistical modelling conducted by our research partners at the University of Oxford.
4. The method combines a statistical modelling approach with population information used in standard population weighting.
5. As this is based on Bayesian analysis, the appropriate uncertainty measure to use is credible intervals rather than confidence intervals. However they can be interpreted in the same way.
6. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
7. Population size is an estimate of the community population aged 2 years old and over in each region.
8. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
Contents
Table 1f
Modelled daily rates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by region, England
22 August 2021 to 2 October 2021
North East
95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled number of 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper
Modelled % testing credible credible people testing positive credible credible testing positive for credible credible
Date positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval for COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval
22 August 2021 1.51 1.17 1.88 38,900 30,200 48,300 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 55
23 August 2021 1.55 1.21 1.93 39,800 31,100 49,700 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 50
24 August 2021 1.58 1.24 1.97 40,700 32,000 50,700 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 50
25 August 2021 1.62 1.28 2.00 41,600 32,900 51,600 1 in 60 1 in 80 1 in 50
26 August 2021 1.65 1.31 2.03 42,500 33,700 52,200 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 50
27 August 2021 1.68 1.34 2.05 43,300 34,600 52,700 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 50
28 August 2021 1.71 1.37 2.08 44,100 35,300 53,600 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 50
29 August 2021 1.74 1.40 2.11 44,800 36,100 54,500 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45
30 August 2021 1.76 1.42 2.14 45,400 36,500 55,200 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45
31 August 2021 1.78 1.43 2.17 45,900 36,900 55,800 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45
01 September 2021 1.79 1.44 2.19 46,100 37,000 56,300 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45
02 September 2021 1.80 1.43 2.19 46,300 37,000 56,500 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45
03 September 2021 1.79 1.43 2.19 46,200 36,800 56,500 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45
04 September 2021 1.78 1.42 2.18 45,900 36,600 56,200 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45
05 September 2021 1.76 1.41 2.15 45,400 36,200 55,400 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45
06 September 2021 1.74 1.38 2.12 44,700 35,600 54,600 1 in 60 1 in 70 1 in 45
07 September 2021 1.70 1.36 2.09 43,900 35,000 53,800 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 50
08 September 2021 1.67 1.33 2.04 42,900 34,200 52,400 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 50
09 September 2021 1.63 1.30 1.99 41,900 33,400 51,200 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 50
10 September 2021 1.58 1.26 1.95 40,700 32,300 50,300 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 50
11 September 2021 1.54 1.21 1.92 39,600 31,200 49,400 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 50
12 September 2021 1.49 1.17 1.87 38,400 30,000 48,100 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 55
13 September 2021 1.45 1.13 1.81 37,300 29,200 46,600 1 in 70 1 in 90 1 in 55
14 September 2021 1.41 1.10 1.76 36,200 28,300 45,200 1 in 70 1 in 90 1 in 55
15 September 2021 1.37 1.07 1.71 35,300 27,700 44,100 1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 60
16 September 2021 1.34 1.05 1.67 34,500 27,000 42,900 1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 60
17 September 2021 1.31 1.03 1.62 33,800 26,500 41,800 1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 60
18 September 2021 1.29 1.02 1.60 33,300 26,300 41,100 1 in 75 1 in 100 1 in 65
19 September 2021 1.28 1.01 1.59 33,100 26,100 41,000 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65
20 September 2021 1.28 1.01 1.59 33,000 26,000 41,000 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65
21 September 2021 1.29 1.01 1.60 33,200 26,100 41,300 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 60
22 September 2021 1.30 1.02 1.63 33,600 26,300 41,900 1 in 75 1 in 100 1 in 60
23 September 2021 1.33 1.05 1.66 34,200 27,100 42,700 1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 60
24 September 2021 1.36 1.08 1.70 35,100 27,800 43,700 1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 60
25 September 2021 1.41 1.12 1.74 36,300 28,800 44,900 1 in 70 1 in 90 1 in 55
26 September 2021 1.46 1.16 1.81 37,600 29,900 46,600 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 55
27 September 2021 1.52 1.21 1.88 39,300 31,200 48,500 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 55
28 September 2021 1.60 1.25 1.99 41,100 32,100 51,300 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 50
29 September 2021 1.68 1.27 2.13 43,200 32,800 54,900 1 in 60 1 in 80 1 in 45
30 September 2021 1.77 1.29 2.31 45,600 33,300 59,500 1 in 55 1 in 75 1 in 45
01 October 2021 1.87 1.30 2.54 48,200 33,500 65,500 1 in 55 1 in 75 1 in 40
02 October 2021 1.98 1.31 2.83 51,000 33,700 72,800 1 in 50 1 in 75 1 in 35
Source: Office for National Statistics – Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey
Notes:
1. All results are provisional and subject to revision.
2. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
3. This analysis is based on statistical modelling conducted by our research partners at the University of Oxford.
4. The method combines a statistical modelling approach with population information used in standard population weighting.
5. As this is based on Bayesian analysis, the appropriate uncertainty measure to use is credible intervals rather than confidence intervals. However they can be interpreted in the same way.
6. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
7. The England population used in this analysis relates to the community population aged two years and over. It is not the same as the total population of England as reported in our mid-term population estimates.
8. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
North West
95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled number of 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower
Modelled % testing credible credible people testing positive credible credible testing positive for credible credible Modelled % testing credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval for COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval
1.36 1.16 1.58 96,000 81,900 112,200 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.59 1.35
1.32 1.12 1.55 93,400 79,100 109,700 1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 65 1.58 1.35
1.28 1.08 1.51 90,800 76,600 107,100 1 in 80 1 in 90 1 in 65 1.58 1.34
1.25 1.05 1.47 88,400 74,400 104,100 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 70 1.58 1.35
1.22 1.03 1.43 86,100 72,700 101,100 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 70 1.59 1.35
1.19 1.00 1.39 84,100 71,200 98,500 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 1.59 1.36
1.16 0.99 1.36 82,500 70,000 96,100 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.59 1.37
1.15 0.97 1.33 81,300 68,900 94,300 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.59 1.37
1.14 0.96 1.32 80,600 68,300 93,200 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.59 1.36
1.13 0.96 1.32 80,400 68,200 93,200 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.59 1.36
1.14 0.96 1.32 80,700 68,300 93,600 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.58 1.34
1.15 0.98 1.34 81,500 69,200 94,800 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.56 1.33
1.17 0.99 1.36 82,800 70,300 96,500 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.54 1.31
1.19 1.02 1.39 84,600 72,100 98,200 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 1.52 1.29
1.23 1.05 1.42 86,800 74,300 100,400 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 70 1.50 1.27
1.26 1.08 1.45 89,200 76,800 103,000 1 in 80 1 in 90 1 in 70 1.47 1.25
1.30 1.12 1.49 91,900 79,200 105,600 1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 65 1.44 1.23
1.33 1.15 1.53 94,500 81,500 108,200 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.42 1.21
1.37 1.18 1.57 97,000 83,900 111,400 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.40 1.18
1.40 1.21 1.61 99,100 85,500 114,100 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.38 1.17
1.42 1.23 1.65 100,800 86,900 116,600 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60 1.37 1.16
1.44 1.24 1.67 101,900 87,600 118,200 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60 1.37 1.15
1.45 1.24 1.68 102,400 88,100 118,800 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60 1.37 1.14
1.44 1.24 1.67 102,300 88,200 118,300 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60 1.38 1.16
1.43 1.24 1.65 101,500 87,600 116,900 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60 1.39 1.18
1.42 1.23 1.62 100,300 86,900 114,900 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60 1.41 1.20
1.40 1.22 1.59 98,900 86,300 112,300 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 65 1.44 1.23
1.37 1.20 1.57 97,300 85,000 110,900 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.48 1.27
1.35 1.18 1.54 95,900 83,700 109,200 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.52 1.30
1.34 1.17 1.53 94,700 82,600 108,300 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.56 1.34
1.33 1.15 1.52 94,100 81,500 107,800 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.61 1.38
1.33 1.15 1.53 94,000 81,300 108,300 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.65 1.42
1.34 1.15 1.54 94,700 81,700 109,200 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.69 1.45
1.36 1.17 1.57 96,200 83,000 110,900 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.73 1.48
1.39 1.21 1.59 98,600 85,500 112,900 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.77 1.52
1.44 1.25 1.64 101,900 88,500 116,300 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60 1.80 1.56
1.50 1.31 1.71 106,300 92,600 121,000 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 60 1.83 1.58
1.58 1.36 1.80 111,700 96,400 127,700 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.86 1.59
1.67 1.41 1.94 118,000 99,800 137,100 1 in 60 1 in 70 1 in 50 1.88 1.58
1.77 1.45 2.11 125,200 102,700 149,100 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 50 1.90 1.55
1.88 1.49 2.31 133,200 105,700 163,300 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 45 1.92 1.50
2.00 1.53 2.54 142,000 108,400 180,200 1 in 50 1 in 65 1 in 40 1.94 1.45
tion estimates.
Yorkshire and The Humber East Midlands
95% Upper Modelled number of 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled number of
credible people testing positive credible credible testing positive for credible credible Modelled % testing credible credible people testing positive
Interval for COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval for COVID-19
1.84 84,300 72,000 98,000 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.24 1.01 1.50 58,000
1.84 84,100 71,600 97,500 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.23 1.01 1.50 57,900
1.84 84,100 71,400 97,700 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.24 1.01 1.50 58,300
1.84 84,100 71,600 97,800 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.26 1.03 1.52 59,000
1.85 84,300 72,000 98,100 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.28 1.05 1.54 60,000
1.85 84,400 72,400 98,400 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.31 1.07 1.56 61,300
1.85 84,600 72,600 98,100 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.34 1.11 1.60 62,700
1.85 84,600 72,700 98,100 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.37 1.13 1.63 64,100
1.84 84,500 72,400 98,000 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.39 1.15 1.66 65,400
1.84 84,200 72,100 97,600 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.42 1.17 1.70 66,500
1.83 83,700 71,300 97,500 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.43 1.18 1.72 67,200
1.83 83,000 70,500 97,000 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.44 1.18 1.72 67,400
1.81 82,000 69,500 96,000 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.43 1.17 1.72 67,100
1.78 80,800 68,500 94,400 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55 1.41 1.16 1.70 66,400
1.74 79,500 67,600 92,700 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55 1.39 1.14 1.67 65,200
1.71 78,200 66,600 90,900 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60 1.36 1.12 1.62 63,600
1.68 76,800 65,400 89,300 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60 1.32 1.09 1.57 61,900
1.65 75,500 64,300 87,600 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.28 1.06 1.53 60,100
1.62 74,400 62,900 86,300 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.24 1.02 1.49 58,400
1.61 73,500 62,000 85,400 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.21 0.99 1.46 56,900
1.60 72,900 61,600 85,200 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.19 0.96 1.44 55,700
1.60 72,600 61,100 84,900 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.17 0.94 1.43 54,800
1.60 72,700 60,800 84,900 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 65 1.16 0.94 1.41 54,400
1.60 73,100 61,600 85,200 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.16 0.94 1.41 54,500
1.62 74,000 62,500 85,900 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.17 0.96 1.42 55,000
1.64 75,200 63,800 87,000 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.20 0.98 1.44 56,100
1.67 76,700 65,500 88,600 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60 1.23 1.02 1.47 57,600
1.70 78,600 67,500 90,300 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60 1.27 1.06 1.51 59,500
1.74 80,700 69,200 92,300 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 60 1.32 1.10 1.57 61,900
1.79 82,900 71,100 95,000 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.37 1.15 1.64 64,500
1.85 85,300 73,300 98,100 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.44 1.20 1.71 67,300
1.91 87,700 75,400 101,300 1 in 60 1 in 70 1 in 50 1.50 1.25 1.78 70,200
1.96 90,000 77,100 104,000 1 in 60 1 in 70 1 in 50 1.56 1.30 1.85 73,100
2.00 92,200 78,900 106,600 1 in 60 1 in 65 1 in 50 1.61 1.35 1.92 75,700
2.04 94,100 80,800 108,300 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 50 1.67 1.41 1.97 78,100
2.07 95,900 82,700 109,800 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 50 1.71 1.45 2.02 80,200
2.10 97,400 83,800 111,900 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 50 1.75 1.47 2.06 81,900
2.14 98,700 84,400 113,700 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 45 1.78 1.48 2.11 83,400
2.20 99,900 83,700 117,200 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 45 1.80 1.47 2.18 84,600
2.29 101,000 82,200 121,600 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 45 1.82 1.44 2.26 85,600
2.38 102,100 79,700 126,500 1 in 50 1 in 65 1 in 40 1.85 1.40 2.37 86,600
2.48 103,200 77,200 132,000 1 in 50 1 in 70 1 in 40 1.87 1.35 2.48 87,600
East Midlands West Midlands
95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled number of 95% Lower 95% Upper
credible credible testing positive for credible credible Modelled % testing credible credible people testing positive credible credible
Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval for COVID-19 Interval Interval
47,600 70,200 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65 1.50 1.26 1.77 86,300 72,800 102,100
47,200 70,200 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65 1.48 1.24 1.76 85,400 71,500 101,700
47,500 70,500 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65 1.47 1.22 1.75 84,500 70,200 101,100
48,200 71,200 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65 1.45 1.20 1.74 83,500 69,300 100,000
49,000 72,000 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65 1.43 1.19 1.71 82,600 68,700 98,300
50,200 73,200 1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 65 1.42 1.18 1.68 81,600 67,900 96,700
51,900 75,100 1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 60 1.40 1.17 1.65 80,500 67,200 95,300
53,100 76,600 1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 60 1.38 1.15 1.63 79,500 66,400 93,800
54,000 78,100 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.36 1.14 1.60 78,400 65,500 92,500
55,000 79,800 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.34 1.11 1.59 77,200 64,200 91,600
55,400 80,600 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.32 1.09 1.57 76,000 63,100 90,600
55,500 80,700 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.30 1.07 1.55 74,700 62,000 89,200
55,100 80,500 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.27 1.06 1.52 73,400 61,100 87,700
54,400 79,700 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.25 1.04 1.49 72,100 59,900 86,100
53,600 78,200 1 in 70 1 in 90 1 in 60 1.23 1.02 1.46 70,800 58,800 84,300
52,500 76,200 1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 60 1.21 1.00 1.43 69,500 57,800 82,500
51,100 73,900 1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 65 1.19 0.99 1.41 68,400 56,900 81,200
49,500 72,000 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65 1.17 0.97 1.38 67,300 56,100 79,700
47,900 70,000 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65 1.15 0.95 1.37 66,500 55,000 78,900
46,500 68,600 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 70 1.14 0.94 1.36 65,800 54,200 78,500
45,200 67,700 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 1.13 0.93 1.35 65,300 53,700 78,000
44,300 67,000 1 in 85 1 in 110 1 in 70 1.13 0.92 1.35 65,000 53,200 77,700
44,100 66,300 1 in 85 1 in 110 1 in 70 1.13 0.92 1.35 64,900 53,000 77,600
44,300 66,200 1 in 85 1 in 110 1 in 70 1.13 0.92 1.35 65,100 53,200 77,700
44,900 66,600 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 1.14 0.93 1.35 65,400 53,700 77,900
46,100 67,600 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 1.15 0.95 1.35 66,100 54,600 78,000
47,700 69,000 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 70 1.16 0.96 1.36 66,900 55,300 78,600
49,800 71,000 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65 1.18 0.98 1.38 67,900 56,200 79,600
51,700 73,800 1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 65 1.20 0.99 1.41 69,100 57,300 81,300
53,900 76,800 1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.22 1.01 1.45 70,500 58,400 83,400
56,100 80,000 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.25 1.04 1.48 72,100 59,700 85,500
58,700 83,500 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55 1.28 1.05 1.52 73,700 60,800 87,700
61,100 86,900 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55 1.31 1.08 1.55 75,400 62,100 89,500
63,500 89,900 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 50 1.34 1.10 1.58 77,100 63,400 91,300
66,000 92,600 1 in 60 1 in 70 1 in 50 1.37 1.13 1.62 78,800 65,100 93,200
67,900 94,900 1 in 60 1 in 70 1 in 50 1.40 1.16 1.65 80,600 66,900 95,300
69,100 96,500 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 50 1.43 1.18 1.69 82,300 68,300 97,100
69,600 99,200 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 45 1.46 1.21 1.74 84,100 69,500 100,300
68,700 102,200 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45 1.49 1.21 1.81 86,000 70,000 104,400
67,700 106,100 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45 1.52 1.20 1.90 87,900 69,000 109,400
65,800 111,200 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 40 1.56 1.18 1.99 89,900 67,900 114,800
63,200 116,500 1 in 55 1 in 75 1 in 40 1.60 1.16 2.13 92,000 66,700 122,500
East of England
Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled number of 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower
testing positive for credible credible Modelled % testing credible credible people testing positive credible credible testing positive for credible
COVID-19 Interval Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval for COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval
1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55 1.17 0.98 1.38 70,600 59,000 83,200 1 in 85 1 in 100
1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 55 1.18 0.98 1.39 71,200 59,400 84,100 1 in 85 1 in 100
1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 55 1.18 0.98 1.40 71,400 59,500 84,500 1 in 85 1 in 100
1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.17 0.98 1.39 71,000 59,300 84,000 1 in 85 1 in 100
1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.16 0.97 1.37 70,200 58,800 82,800 1 in 85 1 in 100
1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.14 0.96 1.34 69,000 58,000 81,200 1 in 90 1 in 100
1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.12 0.94 1.30 67,500 56,900 78,800 1 in 90 1 in 110
1 in 75 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.09 0.92 1.27 65,800 55,600 77,100 1 in 90 1 in 110
1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 60 1.06 0.89 1.24 63,900 53,900 74,900 1 in 95 1 in 110
1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 65 1.03 0.86 1.21 62,100 52,200 73,000 1 in 95 1 in 120
1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 65 1.00 0.84 1.18 60,300 50,600 71,300 1 in 100 1 in 120
1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 65 0.97 0.81 1.15 58,600 49,100 69,800 1 in 100 1 in 120
1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65 0.95 0.79 1.13 57,200 47,700 68,200 1 in 110 1 in 130
1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65 0.93 0.77 1.11 55,900 46,700 66,900 1 in 110 1 in 130
1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 70 0.91 0.76 1.09 55,000 45,800 65,700 1 in 110 1 in 130
1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 0.90 0.75 1.07 54,200 45,200 64,700 1 in 110 1 in 130
1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 0.89 0.74 1.06 53,800 44,800 64,000 1 in 110 1 in 130
1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 0.89 0.74 1.05 53,600 44,700 63,400 1 in 110 1 in 140
1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 75 0.89 0.74 1.05 53,700 44,600 63,400 1 in 110 1 in 140
1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75 0.89 0.74 1.06 53,900 44,700 64,000 1 in 110 1 in 140
1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75 0.90 0.74 1.07 54,400 45,000 64,800 1 in 110 1 in 130
1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75 0.91 0.75 1.09 55,000 45,300 65,700 1 in 110 1 in 130
1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75 0.92 0.76 1.10 55,600 45,800 66,600 1 in 110 1 in 130
1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75 0.93 0.77 1.12 56,400 46,600 67,500 1 in 110 1 in 130
1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75 0.95 0.78 1.13 57,200 47,400 68,500 1 in 110 1 in 130
1 in 85 1 in 110 1 in 75 0.96 0.80 1.14 58,100 48,400 68,900 1 in 100 1 in 120
1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 75 0.97 0.81 1.15 58,900 49,000 69,800 1 in 100 1 in 120
1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 0.99 0.82 1.17 59,700 49,800 70,600 1 in 100 1 in 120
1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 1.00 0.84 1.18 60,500 50,600 71,500 1 in 100 1 in 120
1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 70 1.01 0.84 1.20 61,200 50,900 72,500 1 in 100 1 in 120
1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65 1.02 0.85 1.21 61,900 51,400 73,200 1 in 100 1 in 120
1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65 1.03 0.86 1.23 62,600 51,800 74,100 1 in 95 1 in 120
1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 65 1.04 0.87 1.24 63,200 52,500 75,100 1 in 95 1 in 120
1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 65 1.05 0.88 1.24 63,800 53,200 75,200 1 in 95 1 in 110
1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 60 1.06 0.89 1.26 64,300 54,000 75,900 1 in 95 1 in 110
1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.07 0.91 1.26 64,900 54,800 76,300 1 in 95 1 in 110
1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60 1.08 0.91 1.27 65,400 55,100 77,000 1 in 90 1 in 110
1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 55 1.09 0.91 1.29 66,000 55,000 78,200 1 in 90 1 in 110
1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55 1.10 0.89 1.33 66,700 53,900 80,500 1 in 90 1 in 110
1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 55 1.11 0.88 1.39 67,400 53,100 83,900 1 in 90 1 in 110
1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 50 1.13 0.85 1.45 68,100 51,200 87,700 1 in 90 1 in 120
1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 45 1.14 0.82 1.54 68,900 49,400 92,800 1 in 90 1 in 120
London
95% Upper 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled number of 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper
credible Modelled % testing credible credible people testing positive credible credible testing positive for credible credible Modelled % testing
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval for COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval positive for COVID-19
1 in 75 1.18 1.03 1.35 103,200 89,900 117,800 1 in 85 1 in 95 1 in 75 1.16
1 in 70 1.15 1.00 1.32 100,400 87,000 114,800 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.15
1 in 70 1.13 0.97 1.29 98,300 84,600 112,900 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.13
1 in 70 1.11 0.95 1.28 96,700 83,200 111,300 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.13
1 in 75 1.10 0.94 1.26 95,600 82,300 109,700 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 80 1.13
1 in 75 1.09 0.95 1.25 95,100 82,400 108,800 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 80 1.13
1 in 75 1.09 0.95 1.24 94,900 82,700 108,400 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 80 1.13
1 in 80 1.09 0.95 1.24 95,000 83,000 108,200 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 80 1.13
1 in 80 1.09 0.96 1.24 95,300 83,600 108,400 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.14
1 in 85 1.10 0.96 1.25 95,800 83,700 108,900 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.14
1 in 85 1.10 0.96 1.26 96,200 84,000 109,400 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.14
1 in 85 1.11 0.97 1.26 96,600 84,300 110,000 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.13
1 in 90 1.11 0.97 1.27 96,800 84,500 110,400 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.12
1 in 90 1.11 0.97 1.26 96,700 84,700 110,200 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.11
1 in 90 1.10 0.97 1.26 96,300 84,500 109,600 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.09
1 in 95 1.10 0.96 1.24 95,600 84,100 108,400 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.07
1 in 95 1.09 0.96 1.23 94,600 83,300 106,900 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.05
1 in 95 1.07 0.94 1.21 93,300 82,400 105,500 1 in 95 1 in 110 1 in 85 1.03
1 in 95 1.05 0.93 1.19 91,800 81,000 103,900 1 in 95 1 in 110 1 in 85 1.00
1 in 95 1.03 0.91 1.18 90,100 79,300 102,500 1 in 95 1 in 110 1 in 85 0.98
1 in 95 1.01 0.88 1.15 88,300 77,100 100,600 1 in 100 1 in 110 1 in 85 0.95
1 in 90 0.99 0.86 1.13 86,500 75,300 98,700 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 90 0.93
1 in 90 0.97 0.84 1.11 84,700 73,600 96,900 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 90 0.92
1 in 90 0.95 0.83 1.09 83,000 72,100 94,800 1 in 110 1 in 120 1 in 90 0.91
1 in 90 0.94 0.81 1.07 81,500 71,000 93,100 1 in 110 1 in 120 1 in 95 0.90
1 in 90 0.92 0.80 1.05 80,300 70,200 91,800 1 in 110 1 in 120 1 in 95 0.90
1 in 85 0.91 0.79 1.04 79,400 69,300 90,500 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 0.90
1 in 85 0.90 0.79 1.03 78,700 68,700 89,700 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 0.90
1 in 85 0.90 0.78 1.03 78,500 68,200 89,400 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 100 0.92
1 in 85 0.90 0.78 1.03 78,600 68,100 89,700 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 0.93
1 in 85 0.91 0.78 1.04 79,100 68,200 90,600 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 0.95
1 in 80 0.92 0.79 1.05 79,900 68,800 91,900 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 0.97
1 in 80 0.93 0.80 1.07 81,200 69,800 93,300 1 in 110 1 in 120 1 in 95 1.00
1 in 80 0.95 0.82 1.09 82,800 71,400 95,100 1 in 110 1 in 120 1 in 90 1.03
1 in 80 0.97 0.84 1.11 84,800 73,500 96,800 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 90 1.06
1 in 80 1.00 0.87 1.14 87,100 75,700 99,600 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 90 1.09
1 in 80 1.03 0.89 1.18 89,700 78,000 102,600 1 in 95 1 in 110 1 in 85 1.12
1 in 75 1.06 0.92 1.22 92,700 79,900 106,800 1 in 95 1 in 110 1 in 80 1.16
1 in 75 1.10 0.94 1.28 96,000 81,700 111,700 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 80 1.20
1 in 70 1.14 0.95 1.36 99,500 82,500 118,600 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75 1.23
1 in 70 1.19 0.96 1.46 103,400 83,500 126,900 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 1.27
1 in 65 1.23 0.95 1.57 107,400 83,200 137,000 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65 1.31
South East So
95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled number of 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95% Upper
credible credible people testing positive credible credible testing positive for credible credible Modelled % testing credible credible
Interval Interval for COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
1.00 1.34 103,000 88,300 118,600 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.39 1.15 1.65
0.98 1.33 101,500 86,900 117,300 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.44 1.19 1.72
0.97 1.31 100,500 85,600 115,900 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.49 1.23 1.78
0.96 1.30 99,900 85,200 115,300 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.52 1.26 1.81
0.96 1.29 99,700 85,400 114,500 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.54 1.28 1.83
0.97 1.29 99,800 85,900 114,200 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.55 1.29 1.83
0.98 1.29 100,000 86,500 114,100 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.54 1.29 1.81
0.98 1.29 100,400 86,900 114,200 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.53 1.28 1.79
0.98 1.30 100,700 87,200 115,000 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.50 1.25 1.77
0.99 1.30 100,800 87,300 115,500 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.46 1.22 1.73
0.98 1.31 100,800 86,900 115,800 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.42 1.18 1.69
0.98 1.30 100,400 86,500 115,500 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.37 1.14 1.64
0.97 1.29 99,600 85,600 114,400 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.32 1.09 1.59
0.96 1.28 98,400 84,600 113,500 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.27 1.05 1.53
0.94 1.26 96,900 83,300 111,400 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 80 1.22 1.01 1.47
0.93 1.23 95,000 82,100 108,800 1 in 95 1 in 110 1 in 80 1.18 0.97 1.41
0.91 1.21 93,000 80,700 106,700 1 in 95 1 in 110 1 in 85 1.14 0.93 1.36
0.89 1.18 90,800 78,500 104,200 1 in 100 1 in 110 1 in 85 1.10 0.90 1.31
0.86 1.15 88,600 76,300 101,900 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 85 1.06 0.88 1.27
0.84 1.13 86,400 74,100 99,600 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 90 1.03 0.85 1.24
0.81 1.10 84,500 71,900 97,600 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 90 1.01 0.83 1.21
0.79 1.09 82,700 70,400 96,100 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 90 0.99 0.81 1.19
0.78 1.07 81,300 69,200 94,700 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 0.98 0.80 1.18
0.77 1.05 80,200 68,400 93,400 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 0.97 0.80 1.17
0.77 1.05 79,600 68,100 92,500 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 0.97 0.80 1.17
0.77 1.04 79,300 68,300 91,800 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 0.97 0.80 1.16
0.77 1.04 79,500 68,500 91,900 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 0.98 0.81 1.17
0.78 1.04 80,100 69,000 92,400 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 1.00 0.83 1.18
0.79 1.06 81,100 69,700 93,500 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 1.02 0.84 1.21
0.80 1.08 82,500 70,600 95,200 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 95 1.05 0.87 1.24
0.81 1.10 84,300 71,900 97,300 1 in 110 1 in 120 1 in 90 1.08 0.89 1.28
0.83 1.13 86,300 73,500 100,200 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 90 1.12 0.92 1.32
0.85 1.16 88,600 75,500 102,900 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 85 1.16 0.96 1.38
0.88 1.19 91,100 77,800 105,800 1 in 95 1 in 110 1 in 85 1.21 1.01 1.44
0.91 1.22 93,800 80,300 108,400 1 in 95 1 in 110 1 in 80 1.27 1.07 1.49
0.94 1.25 96,600 83,300 111,100 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 80 1.34 1.13 1.56
0.97 1.29 99,600 86,000 114,200 1 in 90 1 in 100 1 in 80 1.41 1.20 1.64
0.99 1.34 102,600 88,100 118,400 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 75 1.49 1.26 1.74
1.01 1.40 105,800 89,200 124,100 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70 1.57 1.31 1.88
1.01 1.48 109,200 89,200 131,400 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65 1.67 1.35 2.03
1.01 1.58 112,700 89,100 140,100 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65 1.77 1.37 2.25
1.00 1.68 116,400 88,100 149,000 1 in 75 1 in 100 1 in 60 1.88 1.38 2.48
South West
Modelled number of 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper
people testing positive credible credible testing positive for credible credible
for COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval
75,900 62,900 90,400 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60
78,900 65,200 94,100 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60
81,400 67,600 97,300 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55
83,200 69,100 99,100 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55
84,400 70,200 100,400 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55
84,800 70,800 100,300 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55
84,500 70,700 99,300 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55
83,500 69,900 98,200 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55
82,000 68,600 96,800 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55
80,000 66,800 94,800 1 in 70 1 in 80 1 in 60
77,700 64,700 92,300 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60
75,100 62,100 89,900 1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 60
72,400 59,600 86,900 1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 65
69,700 57,400 83,700 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65
67,000 55,100 80,400 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 70
64,500 53,200 77,200 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70
62,100 51,100 74,500 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75
60,000 49,500 71,900 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75
58,200 48,000 69,700 1 in 95 1 in 110 1 in 80
56,600 46,600 67,900 1 in 95 1 in 120 1 in 80
55,300 45,400 66,400 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 80
54,400 44,500 65,400 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 85
53,700 43,800 64,500 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 85
53,300 43,600 64,200 1 in 100 1 in 130 1 in 85
53,100 43,600 63,800 1 in 100 1 in 130 1 in 85
53,300 44,000 63,600 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 85
53,800 44,500 63,800 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 85
54,600 45,500 64,700 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 85
55,800 46,200 66,000 1 in 100 1 in 120 1 in 85
57,200 47,500 67,700 1 in 95 1 in 120 1 in 80
59,000 48,800 70,000 1 in 95 1 in 110 1 in 80
61,200 50,400 72,400 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75
63,600 52,700 75,500 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 75
66,500 55,300 78,600 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 70
69,700 58,600 81,800 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65
73,200 62,000 85,400 1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 65
77,100 65,500 90,000 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 60
81,400 68,700 95,500 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55
86,100 71,600 102,700 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 55
91,200 73,700 111,200 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 50
96,800 75,200 123,300 1 in 55 1 in 75 1 in 45
102,700 75,500 135,900 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 40
Contents
Table 1g
Modelled percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by age/school year, England
29 September 2021
95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper
Modelled % testing credible credible testing positive for credible credible
Grouped age positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval
Age 2 to School Year 6 2.84 2.39 3.34 1 in 35 1 in 40 1 in 30
School Year 7 to School Year 11 6.93 6.24 7.70 1 in 15 1 in 15 1 in 15
School Year 12 to Age 24 0.82 0.58 1.12 1 in 120 1 in 170 1 in 90
Age 25 to Age 34 0.52 0.37 0.70 1 in 190 1 in 270 1 in 140
Age 35 to Age 49 1.25 1.09 1.42 1 in 80 1 in 90 1 in 70
Age 50 to Age 69 0.66 0.57 0.76 1 in 150 1 in 170 1 in 130
Age 70+ 0.58 0.47 0.70 1 in 170 1 in 210 1 in 140
Source: Office for National Statistics – Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey
Notes:
1. All results are provisional and subject to revision.
2. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
3. This analysis is based on statistical modelling conducted by our research partners at the University of Oxford.
4. As this is based on Bayesian analysis, the appropriate uncertainty measure to use is credible intervals rather than confidence intervals. However they can be interpreted in the same way.
5. We have revised the model which produces these estimates as of 20 August 2021. Estimates for each region are now post-stratified to represent the population of England. Previous modelled estimates by age
group were for an 'average' region in terms of infection rates and population, which was the East Midlands.
6. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
7. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
Contents
Table 1h
Modelled daily rates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by age/school year, England
22 August 2021 to 2 October 2021
Age 2 to School Year 6 School Year 7 to School Year 11 School Year 12 to Age 24 Age 25 to Age 34
Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
testing positive for credible credible testing positive for credible credible testing positive for credible credible testing positive for credible
Date COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval
22 August 2021 1.86 1.57 2.20 2.48 2.10 2.93 2.87 2.42 3.37 1.20 0.98
23 August 2021 1.88 1.57 2.22 2.49 2.11 2.94 2.76 2.31 3.26 1.21 0.98
24 August 2021 1.89 1.57 2.25 2.49 2.10 2.96 2.66 2.21 3.16 1.20 0.98
25 August 2021 1.89 1.58 2.26 2.50 2.09 2.98 2.58 2.13 3.08 1.19 0.96
26 August 2021 1.89 1.58 2.27 2.51 2.09 3.00 2.52 2.08 3.02 1.17 0.94
27 August 2021 1.89 1.58 2.25 2.51 2.10 3.00 2.48 2.04 2.97 1.15 0.92
28 August 2021 1.88 1.57 2.23 2.52 2.11 3.00 2.46 2.03 2.94 1.11 0.90
29 August 2021 1.86 1.56 2.21 2.52 2.13 2.99 2.45 2.03 2.91 1.07 0.87
30 August 2021 1.85 1.55 2.19 2.53 2.14 2.97 2.46 2.05 2.90 1.03 0.84
31 August 2021 1.83 1.53 2.16 2.53 2.15 2.96 2.47 2.07 2.91 0.99 0.81
01 September 2021 1.81 1.51 2.15 2.52 2.15 2.95 2.48 2.08 2.92 0.96 0.77
02 September 2021 1.79 1.48 2.14 2.51 2.13 2.94 2.49 2.09 2.94 0.92 0.74
03 September 2021 1.78 1.46 2.13 2.50 2.12 2.94 2.49 2.09 2.95 0.90 0.72
04 September 2021 1.78 1.45 2.13 2.48 2.09 2.92 2.48 2.07 2.93 0.87 0.69
05 September 2021 1.78 1.45 2.14 2.46 2.07 2.91 2.45 2.04 2.90 0.85 0.68
06 September 2021 1.79 1.47 2.15 2.44 2.07 2.88 2.40 2.00 2.84 0.83 0.67
07 September 2021 1.81 1.48 2.16 2.43 2.06 2.86 2.33 1.94 2.75 0.82 0.66
08 September 2021 1.84 1.52 2.19 2.42 2.06 2.84 2.24 1.87 2.65 0.81 0.65
09 September 2021 1.88 1.57 2.23 2.42 2.08 2.82 2.14 1.78 2.54 0.80 0.65
10 September 2021 1.93 1.62 2.28 2.44 2.08 2.84 2.03 1.68 2.42 0.80 0.64
11 September 2021 1.99 1.68 2.35 2.47 2.11 2.86 1.92 1.58 2.31 0.79 0.63
12 September 2021 2.05 1.73 2.42 2.51 2.14 2.92 1.81 1.48 2.19 0.78 0.61
13 September 2021 2.12 1.80 2.51 2.58 2.19 2.99 1.70 1.38 2.08 0.76 0.60
14 September 2021 2.20 1.86 2.60 2.67 2.27 3.10 1.60 1.29 1.96 0.75 0.58
15 September 2021 2.28 1.93 2.68 2.78 2.37 3.23 1.51 1.22 1.85 0.72 0.57
16 September 2021 2.36 2.00 2.76 2.93 2.51 3.38 1.44 1.16 1.75 0.70 0.55
17 September 2021 2.43 2.08 2.82 3.10 2.69 3.54 1.37 1.10 1.66 0.67 0.53
18 September 2021 2.50 2.14 2.88 3.30 2.88 3.75 1.31 1.05 1.59 0.64 0.51
19 September 2021 2.55 2.20 2.93 3.54 3.12 3.98 1.25 1.00 1.54 0.62 0.48
20 September 2021 2.61 2.25 3.00 3.80 3.36 4.25 1.20 0.96 1.48 0.59 0.46
21 September 2021 2.66 2.29 3.06 4.09 3.63 4.57 1.16 0.92 1.45 0.56 0.43
22 September 2021 2.69 2.31 3.11 4.40 3.91 4.92 1.12 0.87 1.41 0.54 0.41
23 September 2021 2.73 2.33 3.16 4.74 4.20 5.29 1.08 0.84 1.37 0.52 0.39
24 September 2021 2.75 2.35 3.19 5.09 4.51 5.68 1.04 0.80 1.32 0.51 0.38
25 September 2021 2.77 2.38 3.21 5.44 4.85 6.06 1.00 0.77 1.26 0.50 0.38
26 September 2021 2.79 2.41 3.22 5.80 5.22 6.44 0.96 0.74 1.21 0.50 0.38
27 September 2021 2.80 2.43 3.23 6.17 5.59 6.83 0.91 0.69 1.17 0.50 0.38
28 September 2021 2.82 2.43 3.27 6.55 5.94 7.22 0.86 0.64 1.14 0.51 0.37
29 September 2021 2.84 2.39 3.34 6.93 6.24 7.70 0.82 0.58 1.12 0.52 0.37
30 September 2021 2.86 2.32 3.46 7.32 6.42 8.30 0.77 0.51 1.12 0.53 0.36
01 October 2021 2.88 2.24 3.60 7.71 6.55 9.00 0.73 0.45 1.13 0.54 0.34
02 October 2021 2.89 2.13 3.79 8.12 6.68 9.82 0.69 0.39 1.15 0.55 0.33
Source: Office for National Statistics – Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey
Notes:
1. All results are provisional and subject to revision.
2. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
3. This analysis is based on statistical modelling conducted by our research partners at the University of Oxford.
4. As this is based on Bayesian analysis, the appropriate uncertainty measure to use is credible intervals rather than confidence intervals. However they can be interpreted in the same way.
5. We have revised the model which produces these estimates as of our 20 August 2021 publication. Estimates for each region are now post-stratified to represent the population of England. Previous modelled
estimates by age group were for an 'average' region in terms of infection rates and population, which was the East Midlands.
6. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
7. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
5 to Age 34 Age 35 to Age 49 Age 50 to Age 69 Age 70+
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper
credible testing positive for credible credible testing positive for credible credible testing positive for credible credible
Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval
1.43 1.15 1.01 1.30 0.85 0.76 0.95 0.52 0.43 0.62
1.45 1.14 1.00 1.30 0.83 0.75 0.93 0.53 0.44 0.64
1.46 1.14 0.99 1.30 0.82 0.73 0.92 0.55 0.45 0.66
1.45 1.13 0.98 1.30 0.80 0.71 0.90 0.56 0.46 0.67
1.43 1.13 0.98 1.30 0.79 0.70 0.89 0.57 0.47 0.69
1.39 1.13 0.98 1.29 0.78 0.69 0.87 0.59 0.48 0.70
1.36 1.12 0.98 1.28 0.77 0.68 0.86 0.60 0.49 0.72
1.31 1.12 0.98 1.27 0.76 0.68 0.86 0.61 0.51 0.73
1.25 1.11 0.98 1.26 0.76 0.68 0.85 0.62 0.52 0.73
1.21 1.10 0.97 1.25 0.76 0.68 0.85 0.63 0.53 0.74
1.16 1.09 0.96 1.24 0.76 0.68 0.86 0.64 0.54 0.75
1.13 1.08 0.94 1.23 0.77 0.68 0.86 0.64 0.54 0.75
1.10 1.06 0.92 1.21 0.77 0.69 0.87 0.64 0.54 0.75
1.07 1.04 0.90 1.19 0.78 0.69 0.88 0.64 0.54 0.75
1.05 1.02 0.88 1.17 0.78 0.69 0.88 0.63 0.53 0.74
1.03 0.99 0.86 1.13 0.78 0.69 0.88 0.62 0.52 0.73
1.02 0.96 0.83 1.10 0.78 0.70 0.88 0.61 0.51 0.72
1.01 0.93 0.81 1.06 0.78 0.70 0.87 0.59 0.50 0.70
1.00 0.90 0.78 1.03 0.77 0.69 0.87 0.57 0.48 0.68
1.00 0.87 0.75 0.99 0.77 0.68 0.86 0.56 0.47 0.66
0.99 0.84 0.73 0.97 0.76 0.67 0.85 0.54 0.45 0.64
0.98 0.82 0.70 0.94 0.74 0.66 0.84 0.52 0.43 0.62
0.97 0.79 0.68 0.92 0.73 0.65 0.82 0.51 0.42 0.61
0.95 0.78 0.66 0.90 0.71 0.63 0.81 0.49 0.40 0.60
0.92 0.76 0.65 0.89 0.70 0.62 0.79 0.48 0.40 0.58
0.88 0.76 0.65 0.88 0.69 0.61 0.77 0.48 0.39 0.57
0.85 0.75 0.65 0.87 0.67 0.60 0.76 0.47 0.39 0.56
0.81 0.76 0.66 0.87 0.66 0.59 0.74 0.47 0.39 0.56
0.77 0.77 0.67 0.88 0.65 0.58 0.73 0.47 0.39 0.56
0.75 0.78 0.68 0.90 0.65 0.57 0.73 0.47 0.39 0.56
0.72 0.81 0.70 0.93 0.64 0.56 0.72 0.48 0.39 0.57
0.70 0.84 0.72 0.97 0.64 0.56 0.73 0.48 0.40 0.58
0.69 0.87 0.75 1.01 0.64 0.56 0.73 0.49 0.40 0.60
0.67 0.92 0.79 1.06 0.64 0.56 0.73 0.50 0.41 0.61
0.66 0.97 0.84 1.12 0.64 0.56 0.73 0.52 0.43 0.62
0.65 1.03 0.90 1.18 0.64 0.57 0.73 0.53 0.44 0.63
0.65 1.10 0.96 1.24 0.65 0.57 0.73 0.55 0.46 0.65
0.67 1.17 1.03 1.32 0.65 0.58 0.74 0.56 0.47 0.66
0.70 1.25 1.09 1.42 0.66 0.57 0.76 0.58 0.47 0.70
0.75 1.34 1.14 1.55 0.67 0.56 0.79 0.59 0.47 0.74
0.82 1.43 1.18 1.71 0.67 0.55 0.82 0.61 0.46 0.79
0.89 1.53 1.21 1.90 0.68 0.53 0.86 0.63 0.44 0.86
Contents
Table 1i
Modelled daily rates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by single year of age, England
22 August 2021 to 2 October 2021
Age 2 Age 3
Notes:
1. All results are provisional and subject to revision.
2. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care home
3. These estimates use a different method to the modelled daily estimates of the percentage testing positive by age group for England
year of age, England
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.97 1.70 1.42 2.03 1.80 1.54
1.95 1.69 1.42 2.01 1.79 1.55
1.92 1.68 1.42 1.99 1.79 1.55
1.90 1.67 1.41 1.97 1.78 1.55
1.87 1.66 1.41 1.95 1.78 1.55
1.85 1.65 1.40 1.93 1.77 1.54
1.82 1.63 1.40 1.91 1.76 1.54
1.80 1.62 1.39 1.89 1.75 1.54
1.77 1.61 1.38 1.87 1.75 1.53
1.75 1.60 1.37 1.85 1.74 1.53
1.72 1.58 1.36 1.84 1.73 1.52
1.70 1.57 1.36 1.82 1.72 1.51
1.68 1.56 1.35 1.80 1.71 1.51
1.66 1.54 1.34 1.78 1.70 1.50
1.64 1.53 1.33 1.77 1.69 1.49
1.62 1.52 1.32 1.75 1.68 1.49
1.61 1.51 1.31 1.74 1.68 1.48
1.59 1.50 1.30 1.73 1.67 1.48
1.58 1.49 1.29 1.72 1.67 1.48
1.58 1.49 1.29 1.72 1.67 1.48
1.57 1.49 1.29 1.72 1.67 1.48
1.57 1.49 1.29 1.72 1.68 1.48
1.57 1.49 1.29 1.73 1.69 1.49
1.58 1.50 1.29 1.74 1.70 1.50
1.60 1.51 1.30 1.76 1.72 1.51
1.62 1.53 1.31 1.78 1.74 1.53
1.64 1.55 1.33 1.81 1.77 1.55
1.67 1.58 1.34 1.85 1.81 1.58
1.71 1.61 1.37 1.89 1.84 1.61
1.75 1.64 1.39 1.94 1.89 1.65
1.80 1.68 1.42 1.99 1.94 1.69
1.85 1.73 1.45 2.05 2.00 1.73
1.91 1.78 1.49 2.12 2.06 1.78
1.97 1.83 1.53 2.19 2.12 1.83
2.04 1.89 1.56 2.27 2.19 1.88
2.12 1.95 1.61 2.36 2.27 1.94
2.20 2.01 1.65 2.45 2.35 2.00
2.29 2.08 1.69 2.55 2.43 2.06
2.38 2.15 1.74 2.66 2.52 2.12
2.49 2.22 1.78 2.78 2.61 2.17
2.60 2.30 1.82 2.90 2.71 2.23
2.72 2.38 1.86 3.04 2.81 2.29
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
2.09 1.89 1.66 2.16 1.99 1.76
2.08 1.90 1.67 2.16 2.00 1.78
2.07 1.90 1.67 2.16 2.00 1.79
2.06 1.90 1.68 2.15 2.01 1.80
2.04 1.90 1.68 2.14 2.01 1.80
2.03 1.90 1.68 2.14 2.02 1.81
2.02 1.89 1.68 2.13 2.02 1.82
2.00 1.89 1.68 2.12 2.03 1.82
1.99 1.89 1.68 2.12 2.03 1.83
1.98 1.88 1.68 2.11 2.03 1.83
1.96 1.88 1.68 2.10 2.03 1.83
1.95 1.87 1.68 2.10 2.03 1.84
1.94 1.87 1.67 2.09 2.04 1.84
1.92 1.87 1.67 2.08 2.04 1.84
1.91 1.86 1.67 2.08 2.04 1.85
1.90 1.86 1.67 2.07 2.04 1.85
1.90 1.86 1.67 2.07 2.05 1.86
1.89 1.86 1.67 2.07 2.06 1.86
1.89 1.86 1.67 2.07 2.07 1.87
1.89 1.87 1.67 2.08 2.08 1.88
1.89 1.87 1.68 2.09 2.09 1.90
1.90 1.89 1.69 2.10 2.11 1.91
1.91 1.90 1.71 2.12 2.14 1.94
1.93 1.92 1.72 2.15 2.17 1.96
1.95 1.95 1.75 2.18 2.20 1.99
1.98 1.98 1.77 2.22 2.25 2.03
2.02 2.02 1.81 2.26 2.29 2.08
2.06 2.06 1.84 2.31 2.35 2.13
2.11 2.12 1.89 2.37 2.42 2.18
2.17 2.17 1.93 2.44 2.49 2.25
2.23 2.24 1.99 2.52 2.57 2.31
2.30 2.31 2.05 2.60 2.65 2.39
2.38 2.38 2.11 2.69 2.75 2.47
2.46 2.46 2.18 2.79 2.85 2.55
2.55 2.55 2.25 2.90 2.95 2.64
2.65 2.64 2.32 3.01 3.07 2.74
2.76 2.74 2.39 3.14 3.19 2.84
2.88 2.85 2.47 3.28 3.32 2.93
3.00 2.96 2.55 3.43 3.46 3.03
3.14 3.07 2.63 3.59 3.60 3.13
3.29 3.19 2.70 3.77 3.75 3.23
3.45 3.32 2.78 3.96 3.90 3.33
Age 7 Age 8 Age 9
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
2.24 2.08 1.86 2.32 2.17 1.95
2.24 2.09 1.88 2.33 2.19 1.98
2.25 2.11 1.89 2.34 2.21 2.00
2.25 2.12 1.91 2.35 2.23 2.02
2.25 2.13 1.92 2.36 2.24 2.04
2.25 2.14 1.93 2.37 2.26 2.05
2.25 2.15 1.95 2.38 2.28 2.07
2.25 2.16 1.96 2.38 2.29 2.09
2.25 2.17 1.97 2.39 2.31 2.10
2.25 2.18 1.98 2.40 2.32 2.12
2.25 2.19 1.99 2.40 2.34 2.13
2.25 2.19 2.00 2.41 2.35 2.15
2.25 2.20 2.01 2.42 2.37 2.16
2.25 2.21 2.01 2.43 2.38 2.18
2.26 2.22 2.02 2.44 2.40 2.20
2.26 2.23 2.03 2.45 2.41 2.21
2.26 2.24 2.05 2.46 2.43 2.23
2.27 2.26 2.06 2.48 2.45 2.25
2.28 2.27 2.07 2.49 2.48 2.27
2.29 2.29 2.09 2.52 2.51 2.30
2.31 2.32 2.12 2.54 2.54 2.33
2.33 2.35 2.14 2.57 2.57 2.36
2.36 2.38 2.17 2.61 2.62 2.40
2.39 2.42 2.21 2.65 2.67 2.45
2.43 2.47 2.25 2.70 2.72 2.50
2.48 2.52 2.30 2.76 2.79 2.56
2.54 2.58 2.36 2.83 2.86 2.63
2.60 2.65 2.42 2.91 2.95 2.70
2.67 2.73 2.49 2.99 3.04 2.79
2.75 2.82 2.57 3.09 3.14 2.88
2.85 2.91 2.65 3.20 3.25 2.99
2.94 3.02 2.75 3.32 3.38 3.10
3.05 3.13 2.85 3.45 3.51 3.22
3.17 3.25 2.95 3.59 3.65 3.34
3.30 3.39 3.07 3.74 3.80 3.47
3.44 3.52 3.18 3.90 3.97 3.61
3.59 3.67 3.30 4.08 4.14 3.76
3.76 3.83 3.43 4.27 4.32 3.90
3.93 3.99 3.55 4.49 4.51 4.05
4.13 4.16 3.67 4.72 4.71 4.20
4.34 4.34 3.80 4.97 4.93 4.35
4.57 4.53 3.92 5.24 5.15 4.49
Age 9 Age 10 Age 11
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
2.40 2.26 2.05 2.49 2.37 2.15
2.42 2.29 2.08 2.52 2.39 2.18
2.44 2.31 2.10 2.54 2.42 2.21
2.45 2.33 2.13 2.56 2.44 2.23
2.47 2.36 2.15 2.58 2.47 2.26
2.48 2.38 2.17 2.60 2.49 2.28
2.50 2.40 2.19 2.62 2.51 2.31
2.51 2.42 2.21 2.64 2.54 2.33
2.53 2.44 2.23 2.66 2.56 2.35
2.54 2.46 2.25 2.68 2.58 2.37
2.56 2.48 2.27 2.70 2.60 2.39
2.57 2.50 2.29 2.72 2.62 2.42
2.58 2.52 2.31 2.74 2.64 2.44
2.60 2.54 2.33 2.76 2.67 2.46
2.62 2.56 2.35 2.78 2.69 2.48
2.63 2.58 2.37 2.80 2.72 2.50
2.65 2.60 2.39 2.83 2.74 2.53
2.68 2.63 2.42 2.86 2.77 2.56
2.70 2.66 2.45 2.89 2.80 2.59
2.73 2.69 2.48 2.93 2.84 2.62
2.77 2.73 2.51 2.97 2.88 2.66
2.81 2.77 2.56 3.01 2.93 2.70
2.85 2.82 2.60 3.07 2.98 2.75
2.90 2.88 2.65 3.13 3.04 2.81
2.97 2.95 2.71 3.20 3.11 2.87
3.04 3.02 2.78 3.28 3.19 2.94
3.12 3.10 2.86 3.37 3.27 3.03
3.21 3.20 2.95 3.47 3.37 3.12
3.31 3.30 3.04 3.58 3.48 3.22
3.42 3.42 3.15 3.71 3.60 3.33
3.55 3.54 3.27 3.84 3.74 3.45
3.68 3.68 3.39 3.99 3.88 3.58
3.83 3.83 3.52 4.16 4.03 3.72
3.99 3.99 3.67 4.33 4.20 3.87
4.16 4.16 3.82 4.52 4.38 4.03
4.35 4.34 3.97 4.73 4.56 4.19
4.56 4.53 4.13 4.96 4.76 4.36
4.78 4.73 4.30 5.20 4.97 4.54
5.02 4.94 4.47 5.47 5.20 4.71
5.29 5.17 4.63 5.76 5.43 4.89
5.58 5.40 4.80 6.08 5.68 5.06
5.89 5.65 4.96 6.43 5.93 5.23
ge 11 Age 12 Age 13
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
2.60 2.48 2.26 2.72 2.60 2.38
2.62 2.51 2.29 2.74 2.62 2.40
2.65 2.53 2.32 2.76 2.64 2.42
2.67 2.55 2.34 2.79 2.66 2.44
2.69 2.58 2.37 2.81 2.68 2.46
2.72 2.60 2.39 2.83 2.69 2.48
2.74 2.62 2.41 2.85 2.71 2.50
2.76 2.64 2.43 2.87 2.73 2.51
2.78 2.66 2.45 2.89 2.74 2.53
2.80 2.68 2.47 2.91 2.76 2.54
2.83 2.70 2.49 2.93 2.77 2.56
2.85 2.72 2.51 2.95 2.78 2.57
2.87 2.74 2.53 2.97 2.80 2.59
2.89 2.76 2.55 2.99 2.81 2.60
2.92 2.78 2.57 3.01 2.83 2.62
2.94 2.81 2.59 3.04 2.85 2.63
2.97 2.83 2.62 3.06 2.86 2.65
3.00 2.86 2.64 3.09 2.88 2.67
3.04 2.89 2.67 3.12 2.91 2.69
3.08 2.92 2.70 3.16 2.93 2.72
3.12 2.96 2.74 3.20 2.97 2.75
3.17 3.01 2.78 3.25 3.00 2.78
3.23 3.06 2.83 3.31 3.05 2.82
3.29 3.12 2.88 3.37 3.10 2.87
3.36 3.18 2.94 3.44 3.15 2.92
3.45 3.26 3.02 3.52 3.22 2.98
3.54 3.34 3.09 3.61 3.30 3.05
3.65 3.44 3.18 3.72 3.38 3.13
3.77 3.55 3.28 3.83 3.48 3.22
3.90 3.66 3.39 3.96 3.58 3.32
4.04 3.79 3.51 4.10 3.70 3.42
4.20 3.93 3.64 4.25 3.82 3.54
4.37 4.08 3.77 4.41 3.96 3.66
4.55 4.24 3.92 4.59 4.10 3.79
4.75 4.41 4.07 4.79 4.25 3.92
4.97 4.60 4.23 5.00 4.42 4.06
5.20 4.79 4.39 5.22 4.59 4.21
5.46 4.99 4.56 5.47 4.77 4.35
5.73 5.21 4.73 5.74 4.96 4.50
6.03 5.43 4.90 6.03 5.16 4.65
6.36 5.67 5.06 6.35 5.37 4.80
6.72 5.92 5.23 6.69 5.59 4.94
ge 13 Age 14 Age 15
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
2.84 2.72 2.49 2.96 2.82 2.58
2.86 2.73 2.51 2.97 2.82 2.59
2.88 2.74 2.52 2.98 2.82 2.59
2.89 2.75 2.53 2.99 2.81 2.59
2.91 2.76 2.54 2.99 2.81 2.59
2.93 2.77 2.55 3.00 2.81 2.59
2.94 2.77 2.56 3.01 2.80 2.59
2.95 2.78 2.57 3.01 2.79 2.58
2.97 2.79 2.57 3.01 2.79 2.58
2.98 2.79 2.58 3.02 2.78 2.57
3.00 2.80 2.59 3.02 2.77 2.57
3.01 2.80 2.59 3.03 2.77 2.56
3.03 2.81 2.60 3.03 2.76 2.55
3.04 2.81 2.60 3.03 2.75 2.55
3.06 2.82 2.61 3.04 2.74 2.54
3.07 2.82 2.61 3.05 2.74 2.53
3.09 2.83 2.62 3.05 2.73 2.53
3.12 2.84 2.63 3.06 2.73 2.53
3.14 2.85 2.64 3.08 2.73 2.53
3.17 2.87 2.66 3.10 2.73 2.53
3.20 2.89 2.68 3.12 2.74 2.53
3.24 2.91 2.70 3.14 2.75 2.54
3.29 2.94 2.73 3.18 2.76 2.56
3.34 2.98 2.76 3.22 2.79 2.58
3.41 3.03 2.80 3.27 2.81 2.60
3.48 3.08 2.85 3.32 2.85 2.63
3.56 3.14 2.90 3.39 2.89 2.67
3.65 3.21 2.97 3.46 2.94 2.71
3.75 3.28 3.04 3.55 2.99 2.76
3.87 3.37 3.12 3.64 3.05 2.82
3.99 3.46 3.20 3.74 3.12 2.88
4.13 3.56 3.29 3.86 3.20 2.95
4.28 3.67 3.39 3.98 3.28 3.02
4.44 3.79 3.50 4.11 3.37 3.09
4.61 3.92 3.61 4.26 3.47 3.17
4.80 4.05 3.72 4.41 3.56 3.26
5.00 4.19 3.83 4.58 3.67 3.34
5.22 4.34 3.95 4.76 3.78 3.42
5.46 4.49 4.07 4.96 3.89 3.51
5.72 4.66 4.19 5.18 4.01 3.59
6.01 4.82 4.30 5.41 4.14 3.67
6.32 5.00 4.41 5.66 4.27 3.75
ge 15 Age 16 Age 17
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
3.07 2.88 2.64 3.14 2.90 2.65
3.07 2.87 2.63 3.13 2.87 2.63
3.06 2.85 2.62 3.11 2.84 2.60
3.06 2.84 2.61 3.08 2.81 2.58
3.05 2.82 2.60 3.06 2.78 2.55
3.04 2.80 2.58 3.04 2.75 2.52
3.03 2.78 2.56 3.02 2.71 2.50
3.02 2.76 2.55 2.99 2.68 2.47
3.02 2.74 2.53 2.97 2.65 2.44
3.01 2.72 2.51 2.94 2.61 2.41
3.00 2.70 2.49 2.92 2.58 2.38
2.99 2.68 2.48 2.90 2.54 2.35
2.98 2.66 2.46 2.87 2.51 2.32
2.97 2.64 2.44 2.85 2.48 2.29
2.96 2.62 2.42 2.83 2.45 2.26
2.95 2.60 2.40 2.81 2.42 2.23
2.95 2.58 2.38 2.79 2.39 2.20
2.95 2.56 2.37 2.77 2.36 2.17
2.95 2.55 2.36 2.76 2.33 2.15
2.95 2.54 2.34 2.75 2.31 2.13
2.96 2.53 2.34 2.74 2.29 2.11
2.97 2.53 2.33 2.74 2.28 2.09
2.99 2.53 2.33 2.74 2.27 2.08
3.01 2.53 2.34 2.75 2.26 2.07
3.04 2.55 2.35 2.76 2.26 2.07
3.08 2.56 2.36 2.78 2.26 2.07
3.13 2.59 2.38 2.81 2.26 2.07
3.18 2.61 2.40 2.84 2.28 2.08
3.24 2.65 2.43 2.88 2.29 2.09
3.31 2.69 2.47 2.93 2.31 2.11
3.39 2.73 2.51 2.98 2.34 2.13
3.48 2.79 2.55 3.04 2.37 2.15
3.57 2.84 2.59 3.11 2.40 2.18
3.67 2.90 2.64 3.18 2.44 2.20
3.78 2.97 2.70 3.26 2.48 2.23
3.90 3.03 2.75 3.35 2.52 2.26
4.03 3.10 2.80 3.44 2.57 2.29
4.17 3.18 2.86 3.54 2.61 2.32
4.32 3.26 2.91 3.64 2.66 2.35
4.49 3.34 2.96 3.76 2.71 2.38
4.66 3.42 3.01 3.89 2.76 2.41
4.85 3.51 3.06 4.02 2.81 2.43
ge 17 Age 18 Age 19
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
3.17 2.86 2.60 3.13 2.76 2.51
3.13 2.81 2.57 3.08 2.71 2.46
3.10 2.77 2.54 3.03 2.65 2.42
3.06 2.73 2.50 2.98 2.60 2.38
3.02 2.69 2.46 2.93 2.55 2.33
2.98 2.64 2.42 2.88 2.50 2.28
2.95 2.60 2.38 2.83 2.44 2.24
2.91 2.55 2.34 2.78 2.39 2.19
2.87 2.51 2.30 2.73 2.34 2.14
2.83 2.46 2.27 2.68 2.29 2.10
2.80 2.42 2.23 2.63 2.24 2.05
2.76 2.38 2.19 2.58 2.19 2.01
2.72 2.33 2.15 2.54 2.14 1.96
2.69 2.29 2.11 2.49 2.09 1.92
2.65 2.25 2.07 2.45 2.04 1.87
2.62 2.21 2.03 2.41 2.00 1.83
2.59 2.17 2.00 2.37 1.96 1.79
2.56 2.14 1.96 2.33 1.91 1.75
2.53 2.10 1.93 2.29 1.88 1.71
2.51 2.07 1.90 2.26 1.84 1.68
2.49 2.04 1.87 2.23 1.81 1.65
2.48 2.02 1.85 2.21 1.78 1.62
2.47 2.00 1.83 2.19 1.75 1.59
2.46 1.98 1.81 2.17 1.73 1.57
2.46 1.97 1.79 2.16 1.71 1.55
2.46 1.96 1.78 2.15 1.69 1.53
2.48 1.96 1.78 2.15 1.68 1.51
2.49 1.96 1.77 2.16 1.67 1.50
2.51 1.96 1.77 2.16 1.66 1.49
2.54 1.97 1.78 2.18 1.66 1.49
2.57 1.98 1.78 2.19 1.66 1.49
2.61 1.99 1.79 2.21 1.67 1.48
2.65 2.01 1.80 2.24 1.67 1.49
2.70 2.03 1.81 2.27 1.68 1.49
2.75 2.05 1.83 2.30 1.69 1.49
2.81 2.07 1.84 2.33 1.70 1.49
2.87 2.09 1.85 2.37 1.71 1.49
2.94 2.12 1.87 2.41 1.72 1.50
3.01 2.15 1.88 2.45 1.73 1.50
3.08 2.18 1.89 2.50 1.75 1.50
3.17 2.20 1.90 2.56 1.76 1.50
3.26 2.23 1.91 2.61 1.78 1.50
ge 19 Age 20 Age 21
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
3.03 2.61 2.37 2.88 2.44 2.20
2.97 2.56 2.32 2.82 2.38 2.15
2.91 2.50 2.27 2.75 2.32 2.10
2.85 2.44 2.22 2.68 2.26 2.05
2.79 2.38 2.17 2.61 2.20 2.00
2.73 2.32 2.12 2.55 2.14 1.94
2.67 2.27 2.07 2.48 2.08 1.89
2.61 2.21 2.02 2.42 2.02 1.84
2.55 2.15 1.97 2.36 1.97 1.79
2.49 2.10 1.92 2.30 1.91 1.74
2.44 2.05 1.87 2.24 1.86 1.69
2.39 1.99 1.82 2.18 1.81 1.64
2.33 1.94 1.77 2.12 1.75 1.60
2.28 1.89 1.73 2.07 1.70 1.55
2.23 1.84 1.68 2.02 1.65 1.50
2.18 1.79 1.64 1.97 1.61 1.46
2.14 1.75 1.59 1.92 1.56 1.42
2.09 1.71 1.55 1.87 1.52 1.38
2.05 1.66 1.51 1.83 1.48 1.34
2.02 1.63 1.48 1.79 1.44 1.30
1.98 1.59 1.44 1.75 1.40 1.27
1.95 1.56 1.41 1.72 1.37 1.23
1.93 1.53 1.38 1.69 1.34 1.20
1.90 1.50 1.35 1.67 1.31 1.18
1.88 1.48 1.33 1.64 1.29 1.15
1.87 1.46 1.31 1.63 1.27 1.13
1.86 1.44 1.29 1.61 1.25 1.11
1.86 1.43 1.28 1.60 1.23 1.09
1.85 1.42 1.26 1.59 1.22 1.08
1.86 1.41 1.25 1.59 1.21 1.07
1.86 1.41 1.24 1.59 1.20 1.05
1.87 1.40 1.24 1.59 1.19 1.04
1.88 1.40 1.23 1.59 1.19 1.04
1.90 1.40 1.23 1.60 1.19 1.03
1.91 1.40 1.22 1.61 1.18 1.02
1.93 1.40 1.22 1.62 1.18 1.01
1.95 1.41 1.22 1.63 1.18 1.01
1.98 1.41 1.21 1.64 1.18 1.00
2.01 1.42 1.21 1.66 1.18 1.00
2.04 1.42 1.21 1.67 1.18 0.99
2.07 1.43 1.20 1.69 1.18 0.98
2.10 1.43 1.19 1.71 1.18 0.97
ge 21 Age 22 Age 23
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
2.70 2.25 2.02 2.50 2.06 1.85
2.63 2.19 1.98 2.43 2.01 1.81
2.56 2.13 1.93 2.36 1.95 1.76
2.49 2.07 1.88 2.29 1.90 1.71
2.42 2.02 1.82 2.23 1.84 1.66
2.35 1.96 1.77 2.16 1.79 1.62
2.29 1.90 1.72 2.10 1.73 1.57
2.22 1.85 1.68 2.03 1.68 1.52
2.16 1.79 1.63 1.97 1.63 1.48
2.10 1.74 1.58 1.91 1.58 1.43
2.04 1.69 1.53 1.85 1.53 1.39
1.98 1.63 1.48 1.80 1.48 1.34
1.93 1.58 1.44 1.75 1.44 1.30
1.87 1.54 1.39 1.69 1.39 1.26
1.82 1.49 1.35 1.64 1.35 1.22
1.77 1.44 1.31 1.59 1.31 1.18
1.72 1.40 1.27 1.55 1.27 1.14
1.68 1.36 1.23 1.51 1.23 1.10
1.63 1.32 1.19 1.46 1.19 1.07
1.59 1.28 1.15 1.43 1.15 1.04
1.56 1.25 1.12 1.39 1.12 1.00
1.52 1.22 1.09 1.36 1.09 0.98
1.49 1.19 1.06 1.33 1.06 0.95
1.47 1.16 1.03 1.30 1.04 0.92
1.44 1.14 1.01 1.28 1.02 0.90
1.42 1.12 0.99 1.26 1.00 0.88
1.41 1.10 0.97 1.24 0.98 0.86
1.39 1.08 0.95 1.23 0.96 0.84
1.38 1.07 0.94 1.21 0.95 0.83
1.37 1.05 0.92 1.21 0.94 0.81
1.37 1.04 0.91 1.20 0.93 0.80
1.37 1.04 0.90 1.19 0.92 0.79
1.37 1.03 0.89 1.19 0.91 0.78
1.37 1.02 0.88 1.19 0.90 0.77
1.37 1.02 0.87 1.19 0.90 0.76
1.37 1.01 0.86 1.19 0.89 0.76
1.38 1.01 0.86 1.19 0.89 0.75
1.38 1.01 0.85 1.19 0.88 0.74
1.39 1.00 0.84 1.20 0.88 0.73
1.40 1.00 0.83 1.20 0.87 0.72
1.41 1.00 0.82 1.21 0.87 0.71
1.43 1.00 0.81 1.22 0.87 0.71
ge 23 Age 24 Age 25
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
2.29 1.88 1.69 2.10 1.72 1.54
2.23 1.83 1.65 2.04 1.68 1.51
2.16 1.78 1.60 1.98 1.63 1.47
2.10 1.73 1.56 1.92 1.59 1.43
2.04 1.68 1.52 1.86 1.54 1.39
1.97 1.63 1.48 1.81 1.50 1.35
1.91 1.58 1.43 1.75 1.45 1.31
1.86 1.54 1.39 1.70 1.41 1.28
1.80 1.49 1.35 1.65 1.37 1.24
1.74 1.44 1.31 1.59 1.33 1.20
1.69 1.40 1.27 1.54 1.29 1.16
1.64 1.36 1.23 1.50 1.25 1.13
1.59 1.31 1.19 1.45 1.21 1.09
1.54 1.27 1.15 1.41 1.17 1.06
1.49 1.23 1.11 1.36 1.13 1.02
1.45 1.19 1.07 1.32 1.10 0.99
1.40 1.15 1.04 1.28 1.07 0.96
1.36 1.12 1.01 1.24 1.03 0.93
1.32 1.08 0.97 1.21 1.00 0.90
1.29 1.05 0.94 1.18 0.97 0.87
1.25 1.02 0.91 1.15 0.95 0.84
1.22 0.99 0.89 1.12 0.92 0.82
1.20 0.97 0.86 1.09 0.90 0.80
1.17 0.95 0.84 1.07 0.87 0.77
1.15 0.92 0.82 1.05 0.86 0.75
1.13 0.91 0.80 1.03 0.84 0.74
1.11 0.89 0.78 1.01 0.82 0.72
1.10 0.87 0.76 1.00 0.81 0.71
1.09 0.86 0.75 0.99 0.80 0.69
1.08 0.85 0.74 0.98 0.79 0.68
1.07 0.84 0.72 0.97 0.78 0.67
1.06 0.83 0.71 0.97 0.77 0.66
1.06 0.82 0.70 0.96 0.76 0.65
1.05 0.82 0.70 0.96 0.76 0.64
1.05 0.81 0.69 0.95 0.75 0.64
1.05 0.80 0.68 0.95 0.75 0.63
1.05 0.80 0.67 0.95 0.74 0.62
1.05 0.80 0.66 0.95 0.74 0.61
1.06 0.79 0.66 0.95 0.73 0.61
1.06 0.79 0.65 0.96 0.73 0.60
1.06 0.78 0.64 0.96 0.73 0.59
1.07 0.78 0.63 0.96 0.72 0.58
ge 25 Age 26 Age 27
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.92 1.58 1.41 1.76 1.45 1.29
1.87 1.54 1.38 1.71 1.41 1.27
1.81 1.50 1.35 1.67 1.38 1.24
1.76 1.46 1.31 1.62 1.35 1.21
1.71 1.42 1.28 1.58 1.31 1.18
1.66 1.38 1.25 1.53 1.28 1.15
1.61 1.34 1.21 1.49 1.25 1.12
1.56 1.30 1.18 1.44 1.21 1.10
1.51 1.27 1.15 1.40 1.18 1.07
1.47 1.23 1.11 1.36 1.15 1.04
1.42 1.19 1.08 1.32 1.12 1.01
1.38 1.16 1.05 1.28 1.09 0.98
1.34 1.12 1.02 1.24 1.05 0.95
1.30 1.09 0.98 1.21 1.02 0.93
1.26 1.06 0.95 1.17 1.00 0.90
1.22 1.03 0.92 1.14 0.97 0.87
1.18 1.00 0.90 1.11 0.94 0.85
1.15 0.97 0.87 1.08 0.91 0.82
1.12 0.94 0.84 1.05 0.89 0.80
1.09 0.91 0.81 1.02 0.87 0.77
1.06 0.89 0.79 0.99 0.84 0.75
1.03 0.86 0.77 0.97 0.82 0.73
1.01 0.84 0.75 0.95 0.80 0.71
0.99 0.82 0.73 0.93 0.79 0.70
0.97 0.81 0.71 0.91 0.77 0.68
0.95 0.79 0.69 0.90 0.76 0.66
0.94 0.78 0.68 0.89 0.74 0.65
0.93 0.76 0.67 0.87 0.73 0.64
0.92 0.75 0.65 0.87 0.72 0.63
0.91 0.74 0.64 0.86 0.71 0.62
0.90 0.73 0.63 0.85 0.71 0.61
0.90 0.73 0.62 0.85 0.70 0.60
0.89 0.72 0.62 0.84 0.70 0.60
0.89 0.72 0.61 0.84 0.69 0.59
0.89 0.71 0.60 0.84 0.69 0.58
0.88 0.71 0.60 0.84 0.69 0.58
0.88 0.70 0.59 0.84 0.68 0.57
0.88 0.70 0.58 0.84 0.68 0.57
0.89 0.70 0.58 0.84 0.68 0.56
0.89 0.69 0.57 0.84 0.68 0.55
0.89 0.69 0.56 0.85 0.67 0.55
0.89 0.69 0.56 0.85 0.67 0.54
ge 27 Age 28 Age 29
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.62 1.33 1.19 1.49 1.23 1.10
1.58 1.30 1.17 1.46 1.21 1.08
1.54 1.28 1.15 1.42 1.19 1.06
1.50 1.25 1.12 1.39 1.16 1.05
1.46 1.22 1.10 1.36 1.14 1.03
1.42 1.19 1.07 1.32 1.12 1.01
1.38 1.16 1.05 1.29 1.09 0.99
1.34 1.13 1.03 1.26 1.07 0.97
1.31 1.11 1.00 1.22 1.05 0.95
1.27 1.08 0.98 1.19 1.02 0.92
1.23 1.05 0.95 1.16 1.00 0.90
1.20 1.02 0.93 1.13 0.98 0.88
1.17 1.00 0.90 1.10 0.95 0.86
1.13 0.97 0.88 1.08 0.93 0.84
1.10 0.95 0.85 1.05 0.91 0.82
1.07 0.92 0.83 1.02 0.89 0.80
1.05 0.90 0.81 1.00 0.86 0.78
1.02 0.87 0.79 0.97 0.84 0.76
0.99 0.85 0.76 0.95 0.82 0.74
0.97 0.83 0.74 0.93 0.81 0.72
0.94 0.81 0.72 0.91 0.79 0.71
0.92 0.79 0.71 0.89 0.77 0.69
0.91 0.78 0.69 0.87 0.76 0.67
0.89 0.76 0.67 0.86 0.74 0.66
0.87 0.75 0.66 0.85 0.73 0.65
0.86 0.73 0.65 0.83 0.72 0.64
0.85 0.72 0.63 0.82 0.71 0.63
0.84 0.71 0.62 0.82 0.71 0.62
0.83 0.71 0.61 0.81 0.70 0.61
0.83 0.70 0.61 0.81 0.69 0.60
0.82 0.69 0.60 0.80 0.69 0.60
0.82 0.69 0.59 0.80 0.69 0.59
0.82 0.69 0.59 0.80 0.68 0.59
0.81 0.68 0.58 0.80 0.68 0.58
0.81 0.68 0.58 0.80 0.68 0.58
0.81 0.68 0.57 0.80 0.68 0.58
0.82 0.68 0.57 0.81 0.68 0.57
0.82 0.67 0.56 0.81 0.68 0.57
0.82 0.67 0.56 0.81 0.68 0.57
0.82 0.67 0.55 0.82 0.68 0.56
0.83 0.67 0.55 0.82 0.68 0.56
0.83 0.67 0.54 0.83 0.68 0.55
ge 29 Age 30 Age 31
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.38 1.15 1.02 1.28 1.07 0.96
1.35 1.13 1.01 1.26 1.06 0.95
1.32 1.11 1.00 1.24 1.05 0.94
1.30 1.09 0.98 1.22 1.03 0.93
1.27 1.07 0.97 1.19 1.02 0.92
1.24 1.05 0.95 1.17 1.00 0.90
1.21 1.03 0.93 1.15 0.99 0.89
1.18 1.01 0.92 1.12 0.97 0.88
1.16 0.99 0.90 1.10 0.95 0.86
1.13 0.98 0.88 1.08 0.94 0.85
1.10 0.96 0.87 1.05 0.92 0.84
1.08 0.94 0.85 1.03 0.91 0.82
1.05 0.92 0.83 1.01 0.89 0.81
1.03 0.90 0.81 0.99 0.87 0.79
1.00 0.88 0.79 0.97 0.86 0.78
0.98 0.86 0.78 0.95 0.84 0.76
0.96 0.84 0.76 0.93 0.82 0.75
0.94 0.82 0.74 0.91 0.81 0.73
0.92 0.81 0.73 0.90 0.79 0.72
0.90 0.79 0.71 0.88 0.78 0.70
0.88 0.77 0.69 0.86 0.77 0.69
0.87 0.76 0.68 0.85 0.76 0.68
0.85 0.75 0.67 0.84 0.74 0.67
0.84 0.74 0.66 0.83 0.73 0.66
0.83 0.73 0.64 0.82 0.73 0.65
0.82 0.72 0.63 0.81 0.72 0.64
0.81 0.71 0.63 0.80 0.71 0.63
0.80 0.70 0.62 0.80 0.71 0.63
0.80 0.70 0.61 0.80 0.71 0.62
0.80 0.70 0.61 0.80 0.70 0.62
0.80 0.69 0.60 0.80 0.70 0.61
0.80 0.69 0.60 0.80 0.70 0.61
0.80 0.69 0.60 0.80 0.70 0.61
0.80 0.69 0.59 0.80 0.71 0.61
0.80 0.69 0.59 0.81 0.71 0.61
0.80 0.69 0.59 0.81 0.71 0.61
0.81 0.69 0.59 0.82 0.71 0.60
0.81 0.69 0.58 0.83 0.72 0.60
0.82 0.70 0.58 0.83 0.72 0.60
0.82 0.70 0.58 0.84 0.72 0.60
0.83 0.70 0.58 0.85 0.73 0.60
0.84 0.70 0.57 0.86 0.73 0.60
ge 31 Age 32 Age 33
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.20 1.02 0.91 1.14 0.98 0.87
1.19 1.01 0.90 1.13 0.97 0.87
1.17 1.00 0.90 1.11 0.97 0.87
1.15 0.99 0.89 1.10 0.96 0.86
1.13 0.98 0.88 1.08 0.95 0.85
1.11 0.96 0.87 1.07 0.94 0.85
1.09 0.95 0.86 1.05 0.93 0.84
1.07 0.94 0.85 1.04 0.92 0.83
1.05 0.93 0.84 1.02 0.91 0.82
1.04 0.91 0.83 1.01 0.90 0.81
1.02 0.90 0.81 0.99 0.88 0.80
1.00 0.88 0.80 0.97 0.87 0.79
0.98 0.87 0.79 0.96 0.86 0.78
0.96 0.86 0.78 0.94 0.85 0.77
0.94 0.84 0.76 0.93 0.84 0.76
0.93 0.83 0.75 0.91 0.83 0.75
0.91 0.82 0.74 0.90 0.81 0.74
0.90 0.80 0.73 0.89 0.80 0.73
0.88 0.79 0.71 0.87 0.79 0.72
0.87 0.78 0.70 0.86 0.78 0.71
0.85 0.77 0.69 0.85 0.77 0.70
0.84 0.76 0.68 0.84 0.76 0.69
0.83 0.75 0.67 0.83 0.76 0.68
0.82 0.74 0.66 0.83 0.75 0.67
0.82 0.73 0.65 0.82 0.74 0.67
0.81 0.73 0.65 0.82 0.74 0.66
0.81 0.72 0.64 0.81 0.74 0.66
0.80 0.72 0.64 0.81 0.74 0.65
0.80 0.72 0.63 0.81 0.74 0.65
0.80 0.72 0.63 0.82 0.74 0.65
0.81 0.72 0.63 0.82 0.74 0.65
0.81 0.72 0.63 0.83 0.74 0.65
0.81 0.72 0.63 0.83 0.75 0.65
0.82 0.73 0.63 0.84 0.75 0.65
0.82 0.73 0.63 0.85 0.75 0.65
0.83 0.73 0.63 0.86 0.76 0.65
0.84 0.74 0.63 0.87 0.77 0.66
0.85 0.74 0.63 0.88 0.77 0.66
0.86 0.75 0.63 0.89 0.78 0.66
0.87 0.75 0.63 0.90 0.79 0.66
0.88 0.76 0.63 0.91 0.79 0.66
0.89 0.76 0.63 0.93 0.80 0.66
ge 33 Age 34 Age 35
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.10 0.96 0.85 1.07 0.95 0.85
1.09 0.95 0.85 1.06 0.95 0.85
1.08 0.95 0.85 1.05 0.94 0.85
1.06 0.94 0.85 1.05 0.94 0.85
1.05 0.93 0.84 1.04 0.93 0.84
1.04 0.93 0.84 1.03 0.93 0.84
1.03 0.92 0.83 1.01 0.92 0.83
1.01 0.91 0.82 1.00 0.91 0.83
1.00 0.90 0.82 0.99 0.91 0.82
0.99 0.89 0.81 0.98 0.90 0.82
0.97 0.88 0.80 0.97 0.89 0.81
0.96 0.87 0.79 0.96 0.88 0.80
0.95 0.86 0.79 0.95 0.87 0.80
0.94 0.85 0.78 0.94 0.86 0.79
0.92 0.84 0.77 0.93 0.86 0.78
0.91 0.83 0.76 0.91 0.85 0.77
0.90 0.82 0.75 0.90 0.84 0.76
0.89 0.81 0.74 0.89 0.83 0.75
0.87 0.80 0.73 0.88 0.82 0.75
0.86 0.79 0.72 0.87 0.81 0.74
0.86 0.78 0.71 0.87 0.80 0.73
0.85 0.78 0.70 0.86 0.80 0.72
0.84 0.77 0.69 0.85 0.79 0.72
0.83 0.76 0.69 0.85 0.79 0.71
0.83 0.76 0.68 0.85 0.78 0.71
0.83 0.76 0.68 0.85 0.78 0.70
0.83 0.76 0.68 0.85 0.78 0.70
0.83 0.76 0.67 0.85 0.78 0.70
0.83 0.76 0.67 0.85 0.78 0.70
0.83 0.76 0.67 0.86 0.79 0.70
0.84 0.76 0.67 0.86 0.79 0.70
0.85 0.77 0.67 0.87 0.80 0.70
0.85 0.77 0.68 0.88 0.80 0.71
0.86 0.78 0.68 0.89 0.81 0.71
0.87 0.78 0.68 0.90 0.82 0.71
0.88 0.79 0.68 0.92 0.83 0.72
0.90 0.80 0.69 0.93 0.84 0.72
0.91 0.81 0.69 0.94 0.85 0.73
0.92 0.82 0.69 0.96 0.86 0.73
0.94 0.83 0.70 0.98 0.87 0.74
0.95 0.83 0.70 0.99 0.88 0.74
0.97 0.84 0.70 1.01 0.89 0.74
ge 35 Age 36 Age 37
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.06 0.96 0.86 1.07 0.98 0.87
1.06 0.95 0.86 1.06 0.98 0.88
1.05 0.95 0.86 1.06 0.97 0.88
1.04 0.95 0.86 1.05 0.97 0.88
1.03 0.95 0.85 1.05 0.97 0.88
1.03 0.94 0.85 1.04 0.97 0.88
1.02 0.94 0.85 1.03 0.96 0.87
1.01 0.93 0.84 1.02 0.96 0.87
1.00 0.92 0.84 1.01 0.95 0.87
0.99 0.92 0.84 1.01 0.94 0.86
0.98 0.91 0.83 1.00 0.94 0.86
0.97 0.90 0.82 0.99 0.93 0.85
0.96 0.89 0.82 0.98 0.92 0.84
0.95 0.89 0.81 0.97 0.92 0.84
0.94 0.88 0.80 0.96 0.91 0.83
0.93 0.87 0.79 0.95 0.90 0.82
0.92 0.86 0.79 0.94 0.89 0.81
0.91 0.85 0.78 0.93 0.88 0.81
0.90 0.84 0.77 0.93 0.88 0.80
0.89 0.84 0.76 0.92 0.87 0.79
0.89 0.83 0.75 0.91 0.86 0.78
0.88 0.82 0.75 0.91 0.86 0.78
0.88 0.82 0.74 0.90 0.85 0.77
0.87 0.81 0.74 0.90 0.85 0.77
0.87 0.81 0.73 0.90 0.84 0.76
0.87 0.81 0.73 0.90 0.84 0.76
0.87 0.81 0.73 0.90 0.84 0.76
0.87 0.81 0.73 0.91 0.85 0.76
0.88 0.81 0.73 0.91 0.85 0.76
0.89 0.82 0.73 0.92 0.85 0.76
0.89 0.82 0.73 0.93 0.86 0.77
0.90 0.83 0.74 0.94 0.87 0.77
0.91 0.84 0.74 0.95 0.88 0.78
0.93 0.85 0.74 0.96 0.88 0.78
0.94 0.86 0.75 0.98 0.89 0.79
0.95 0.86 0.75 0.99 0.90 0.79
0.97 0.88 0.76 1.01 0.92 0.80
0.98 0.89 0.76 1.03 0.93 0.80
1.00 0.90 0.77 1.05 0.94 0.81
1.02 0.91 0.77 1.07 0.95 0.82
1.04 0.92 0.78 1.09 0.97 0.82
1.06 0.93 0.78 1.11 0.98 0.83
ge 37 Age 38 Age 39
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.09 1.00 0.90 1.12 1.04 0.94
1.09 1.01 0.91 1.12 1.04 0.94
1.08 1.01 0.91 1.11 1.04 0.94
1.08 1.00 0.91 1.11 1.04 0.94
1.07 1.00 0.91 1.10 1.04 0.94
1.06 1.00 0.91 1.10 1.04 0.94
1.06 0.99 0.90 1.09 1.03 0.94
1.05 0.99 0.90 1.09 1.03 0.94
1.04 0.98 0.90 1.08 1.02 0.94
1.03 0.98 0.89 1.07 1.02 0.93
1.03 0.97 0.89 1.06 1.01 0.93
1.02 0.97 0.88 1.05 1.00 0.92
1.01 0.96 0.88 1.05 1.00 0.92
1.00 0.95 0.87 1.04 0.99 0.91
0.99 0.94 0.86 1.03 0.98 0.90
0.98 0.94 0.86 1.02 0.97 0.89
0.97 0.93 0.85 1.01 0.97 0.89
0.97 0.92 0.84 1.00 0.96 0.88
0.96 0.91 0.83 1.00 0.95 0.87
0.95 0.90 0.83 0.99 0.94 0.86
0.94 0.90 0.82 0.98 0.94 0.86
0.94 0.89 0.81 0.98 0.93 0.85
0.94 0.89 0.81 0.97 0.92 0.84
0.93 0.88 0.80 0.97 0.92 0.84
0.93 0.88 0.80 0.97 0.92 0.84
0.93 0.88 0.80 0.97 0.92 0.83
0.94 0.88 0.80 0.97 0.92 0.83
0.94 0.88 0.80 0.98 0.92 0.83
0.95 0.89 0.80 0.99 0.92 0.83
0.95 0.89 0.80 0.99 0.93 0.84
0.96 0.90 0.80 1.00 0.94 0.84
0.98 0.91 0.81 1.02 0.94 0.84
0.99 0.91 0.81 1.03 0.95 0.85
1.00 0.92 0.82 1.04 0.96 0.86
1.02 0.94 0.82 1.06 0.98 0.86
1.03 0.95 0.83 1.08 0.99 0.87
1.05 0.96 0.84 1.10 1.00 0.88
1.07 0.97 0.84 1.12 1.01 0.88
1.09 0.98 0.85 1.14 1.03 0.89
1.11 1.00 0.86 1.16 1.04 0.90
1.13 1.01 0.86 1.18 1.06 0.90
1.16 1.02 0.87 1.21 1.07 0.91
ge 39 Age 40 Age 41
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.16 1.08 0.97 1.20 1.11 1.00
1.15 1.08 0.98 1.19 1.11 1.01
1.15 1.08 0.98 1.19 1.12 1.01
1.15 1.08 0.98 1.19 1.12 1.01
1.14 1.08 0.98 1.18 1.11 1.02
1.14 1.08 0.98 1.18 1.11 1.01
1.13 1.07 0.98 1.17 1.11 1.01
1.13 1.07 0.98 1.17 1.10 1.01
1.12 1.06 0.97 1.16 1.10 1.01
1.11 1.06 0.97 1.15 1.09 1.00
1.10 1.05 0.96 1.15 1.09 1.00
1.10 1.04 0.96 1.14 1.08 0.99
1.09 1.04 0.95 1.13 1.07 0.99
1.08 1.03 0.95 1.12 1.07 0.98
1.07 1.02 0.94 1.11 1.06 0.97
1.06 1.01 0.93 1.10 1.05 0.97
1.05 1.00 0.92 1.09 1.04 0.96
1.04 1.00 0.92 1.08 1.03 0.95
1.04 0.99 0.91 1.08 1.02 0.94
1.03 0.98 0.90 1.07 1.01 0.93
1.02 0.97 0.89 1.06 1.01 0.92
1.02 0.97 0.89 1.06 1.00 0.92
1.01 0.96 0.88 1.05 0.99 0.91
1.01 0.96 0.87 1.05 0.99 0.91
1.01 0.96 0.87 1.05 0.99 0.90
1.01 0.95 0.87 1.05 0.99 0.90
1.01 0.95 0.87 1.05 0.99 0.90
1.02 0.96 0.87 1.06 0.99 0.90
1.03 0.96 0.87 1.06 0.99 0.90
1.03 0.97 0.87 1.07 1.00 0.90
1.04 0.97 0.88 1.08 1.00 0.90
1.06 0.98 0.88 1.10 1.01 0.91
1.07 0.99 0.89 1.11 1.02 0.92
1.09 1.00 0.89 1.12 1.03 0.92
1.10 1.01 0.90 1.14 1.04 0.93
1.12 1.03 0.91 1.16 1.06 0.94
1.14 1.04 0.91 1.18 1.07 0.94
1.16 1.05 0.92 1.20 1.08 0.95
1.18 1.07 0.93 1.22 1.10 0.96
1.21 1.08 0.93 1.25 1.11 0.97
1.23 1.10 0.94 1.27 1.13 0.97
1.26 1.11 0.95 1.30 1.14 0.98
ge 41 Age 42 Age 43
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.23 1.14 1.03 1.26 1.16 1.05
1.23 1.14 1.04 1.26 1.17 1.06
1.23 1.15 1.04 1.26 1.17 1.06
1.23 1.15 1.04 1.26 1.17 1.07
1.22 1.14 1.04 1.25 1.17 1.07
1.22 1.14 1.04 1.25 1.16 1.07
1.21 1.14 1.04 1.24 1.16 1.06
1.21 1.13 1.04 1.24 1.16 1.06
1.20 1.13 1.04 1.23 1.15 1.06
1.19 1.12 1.03 1.22 1.15 1.05
1.18 1.12 1.03 1.22 1.14 1.05
1.18 1.11 1.02 1.21 1.13 1.04
1.17 1.10 1.02 1.20 1.13 1.04
1.16 1.10 1.01 1.19 1.12 1.03
1.15 1.09 1.00 1.18 1.11 1.02
1.14 1.08 0.99 1.17 1.10 1.01
1.13 1.07 0.98 1.16 1.09 1.00
1.12 1.06 0.98 1.15 1.08 0.99
1.11 1.05 0.97 1.14 1.07 0.98
1.10 1.04 0.96 1.13 1.06 0.98
1.10 1.03 0.95 1.12 1.05 0.97
1.09 1.03 0.94 1.12 1.04 0.96
1.09 1.02 0.94 1.11 1.04 0.95
1.08 1.02 0.93 1.11 1.03 0.94
1.08 1.01 0.92 1.11 1.03 0.94
1.08 1.01 0.92 1.11 1.03 0.94
1.08 1.01 0.92 1.11 1.03 0.93
1.09 1.01 0.92 1.11 1.03 0.93
1.10 1.02 0.92 1.12 1.03 0.93
1.10 1.02 0.92 1.13 1.03 0.94
1.12 1.03 0.93 1.14 1.04 0.94
1.13 1.04 0.93 1.15 1.05 0.94
1.14 1.05 0.94 1.17 1.06 0.95
1.16 1.06 0.94 1.18 1.07 0.96
1.18 1.07 0.95 1.20 1.08 0.96
1.19 1.08 0.96 1.22 1.09 0.97
1.21 1.09 0.96 1.24 1.10 0.98
1.24 1.11 0.97 1.26 1.12 0.98
1.26 1.12 0.98 1.28 1.13 0.99
1.28 1.14 0.99 1.31 1.15 1.00
1.31 1.15 0.99 1.33 1.16 1.00
1.34 1.17 1.00 1.36 1.17 1.01
ge 43 Age 44 Age 45
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.28 1.18 1.07 1.30 1.18 1.07
1.28 1.18 1.07 1.30 1.18 1.08
1.28 1.18 1.08 1.30 1.19 1.08
1.28 1.18 1.08 1.29 1.19 1.08
1.28 1.18 1.08 1.29 1.19 1.09
1.27 1.18 1.08 1.29 1.18 1.08
1.27 1.17 1.08 1.28 1.18 1.08
1.26 1.17 1.08 1.27 1.17 1.08
1.25 1.17 1.07 1.27 1.17 1.08
1.25 1.16 1.07 1.26 1.16 1.07
1.24 1.15 1.06 1.25 1.16 1.07
1.23 1.14 1.06 1.24 1.15 1.06
1.22 1.14 1.05 1.23 1.14 1.05
1.21 1.13 1.04 1.22 1.13 1.04
1.20 1.12 1.03 1.21 1.12 1.03
1.19 1.11 1.02 1.20 1.11 1.02
1.18 1.10 1.01 1.19 1.10 1.01
1.17 1.09 1.00 1.18 1.09 1.00
1.16 1.08 0.99 1.17 1.08 0.99
1.15 1.07 0.98 1.16 1.07 0.98
1.14 1.06 0.97 1.15 1.06 0.97
1.14 1.05 0.97 1.14 1.05 0.96
1.13 1.04 0.96 1.14 1.04 0.96
1.13 1.04 0.95 1.13 1.03 0.95
1.12 1.03 0.95 1.13 1.03 0.94
1.12 1.03 0.94 1.13 1.03 0.94
1.13 1.03 0.94 1.13 1.02 0.93
1.13 1.03 0.94 1.13 1.02 0.93
1.14 1.03 0.94 1.14 1.03 0.93
1.14 1.04 0.94 1.15 1.03 0.93
1.15 1.04 0.94 1.15 1.03 0.93
1.17 1.05 0.95 1.17 1.04 0.94
1.18 1.06 0.95 1.18 1.05 0.94
1.19 1.07 0.96 1.19 1.06 0.95
1.21 1.08 0.96 1.21 1.07 0.95
1.23 1.09 0.97 1.23 1.08 0.96
1.25 1.10 0.98 1.25 1.09 0.96
1.27 1.12 0.98 1.27 1.10 0.97
1.29 1.13 0.99 1.29 1.11 0.98
1.32 1.14 0.99 1.31 1.13 0.98
1.34 1.16 1.00 1.34 1.14 0.99
1.37 1.17 1.00 1.36 1.15 0.99
ge 45 Age 46 Age 47
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.30 1.18 1.07 1.30 1.17 1.06
1.30 1.18 1.08 1.30 1.17 1.07
1.30 1.18 1.08 1.30 1.17 1.07
1.30 1.18 1.08 1.29 1.17 1.07
1.29 1.18 1.08 1.29 1.17 1.07
1.29 1.18 1.08 1.28 1.17 1.07
1.28 1.18 1.08 1.28 1.16 1.07
1.28 1.17 1.08 1.27 1.16 1.07
1.27 1.16 1.07 1.26 1.15 1.06
1.26 1.16 1.07 1.26 1.15 1.06
1.25 1.15 1.06 1.25 1.14 1.05
1.24 1.14 1.05 1.24 1.13 1.04
1.23 1.13 1.05 1.23 1.12 1.04
1.22 1.12 1.04 1.22 1.11 1.03
1.21 1.11 1.03 1.21 1.10 1.02
1.20 1.10 1.02 1.19 1.09 1.01
1.19 1.09 1.01 1.18 1.08 1.00
1.18 1.08 1.00 1.17 1.07 0.98
1.17 1.07 0.99 1.16 1.05 0.97
1.16 1.06 0.97 1.15 1.04 0.96
1.15 1.05 0.96 1.14 1.03 0.95
1.14 1.04 0.95 1.13 1.02 0.94
1.13 1.03 0.95 1.12 1.01 0.93
1.13 1.02 0.94 1.11 1.00 0.92
1.12 1.02 0.93 1.11 1.00 0.91
1.12 1.01 0.93 1.11 0.99 0.91
1.12 1.01 0.92 1.11 0.99 0.90
1.13 1.01 0.92 1.11 0.99 0.90
1.13 1.01 0.92 1.11 0.99 0.90
1.14 1.01 0.92 1.12 0.99 0.90
1.14 1.02 0.92 1.13 0.99 0.90
1.16 1.02 0.92 1.13 1.00 0.90
1.17 1.03 0.93 1.15 1.01 0.90
1.18 1.04 0.93 1.16 1.01 0.91
1.20 1.05 0.93 1.17 1.02 0.91
1.21 1.06 0.94 1.19 1.03 0.91
1.23 1.07 0.94 1.21 1.04 0.92
1.25 1.08 0.95 1.22 1.05 0.92
1.27 1.09 0.95 1.24 1.06 0.93
1.29 1.10 0.96 1.26 1.07 0.93
1.32 1.11 0.96 1.29 1.08 0.93
1.34 1.13 0.97 1.31 1.09 0.94
ge 47 Age 48 Age 49
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.29 1.15 1.05 1.27 1.13 1.03
1.29 1.16 1.06 1.27 1.14 1.04
1.29 1.16 1.06 1.27 1.14 1.04
1.28 1.16 1.06 1.27 1.14 1.04
1.28 1.16 1.06 1.26 1.14 1.04
1.27 1.15 1.06 1.26 1.13 1.04
1.27 1.15 1.06 1.25 1.13 1.04
1.26 1.14 1.05 1.24 1.12 1.03
1.25 1.14 1.05 1.23 1.12 1.03
1.24 1.13 1.04 1.22 1.11 1.02
1.23 1.12 1.04 1.22 1.10 1.02
1.22 1.11 1.03 1.21 1.09 1.01
1.21 1.10 1.02 1.19 1.08 1.00
1.20 1.09 1.01 1.18 1.07 0.99
1.19 1.08 1.00 1.17 1.06 0.98
1.18 1.07 0.99 1.16 1.05 0.97
1.17 1.06 0.98 1.15 1.04 0.96
1.15 1.05 0.97 1.13 1.02 0.94
1.14 1.03 0.95 1.12 1.01 0.93
1.13 1.02 0.94 1.11 1.00 0.92
1.12 1.01 0.93 1.10 0.99 0.91
1.11 1.00 0.92 1.09 0.98 0.90
1.10 0.99 0.91 1.08 0.97 0.89
1.09 0.98 0.90 1.07 0.96 0.88
1.09 0.97 0.89 1.06 0.95 0.87
1.09 0.97 0.89 1.06 0.94 0.86
1.09 0.97 0.88 1.06 0.94 0.86
1.09 0.96 0.88 1.06 0.94 0.85
1.09 0.96 0.88 1.06 0.94 0.85
1.09 0.96 0.87 1.06 0.94 0.85
1.10 0.97 0.87 1.07 0.94 0.85
1.11 0.97 0.88 1.08 0.94 0.85
1.12 0.98 0.88 1.09 0.95 0.85
1.13 0.98 0.88 1.10 0.95 0.85
1.14 0.99 0.88 1.11 0.96 0.85
1.16 1.00 0.89 1.12 0.96 0.86
1.17 1.01 0.89 1.14 0.97 0.86
1.19 1.01 0.89 1.15 0.98 0.86
1.21 1.02 0.90 1.17 0.99 0.86
1.23 1.03 0.90 1.19 1.00 0.87
1.25 1.04 0.90 1.21 1.00 0.87
1.27 1.05 0.90 1.23 1.01 0.87
ge 49 Age 50 Age 51
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.25 1.11 1.01 1.22 1.08 0.99
1.25 1.11 1.02 1.22 1.08 0.99
1.25 1.11 1.02 1.22 1.09 0.99
1.24 1.11 1.02 1.22 1.09 1.00
1.24 1.11 1.02 1.21 1.08 1.00
1.23 1.11 1.02 1.21 1.08 0.99
1.23 1.10 1.02 1.20 1.08 0.99
1.22 1.10 1.01 1.19 1.07 0.99
1.21 1.09 1.01 1.18 1.06 0.98
1.20 1.08 1.00 1.18 1.06 0.98
1.19 1.08 0.99 1.17 1.05 0.97
1.18 1.07 0.99 1.16 1.04 0.96
1.17 1.06 0.98 1.14 1.03 0.95
1.16 1.05 0.97 1.13 1.02 0.94
1.15 1.04 0.96 1.12 1.01 0.93
1.13 1.02 0.95 1.11 1.00 0.92
1.12 1.01 0.93 1.09 0.98 0.91
1.11 1.00 0.92 1.08 0.97 0.90
1.10 0.99 0.91 1.07 0.96 0.88
1.08 0.97 0.90 1.06 0.95 0.87
1.07 0.96 0.88 1.04 0.93 0.86
1.06 0.95 0.87 1.03 0.92 0.85
1.05 0.94 0.86 1.02 0.91 0.84
1.04 0.93 0.85 1.01 0.90 0.83
1.04 0.92 0.84 1.01 0.89 0.82
1.03 0.92 0.84 1.00 0.89 0.81
1.03 0.91 0.83 1.00 0.88 0.80
1.03 0.91 0.83 1.00 0.88 0.80
1.03 0.91 0.82 1.00 0.88 0.80
1.03 0.91 0.82 1.00 0.88 0.79
1.04 0.91 0.82 1.00 0.88 0.79
1.04 0.91 0.82 1.01 0.88 0.79
1.05 0.91 0.82 1.02 0.88 0.79
1.06 0.92 0.82 1.03 0.89 0.79
1.07 0.92 0.82 1.04 0.89 0.79
1.08 0.93 0.83 1.05 0.90 0.80
1.10 0.94 0.83 1.06 0.90 0.80
1.11 0.94 0.83 1.07 0.91 0.80
1.13 0.95 0.83 1.09 0.91 0.80
1.14 0.96 0.83 1.10 0.92 0.80
1.16 0.97 0.83 1.12 0.93 0.80
1.18 0.97 0.83 1.14 0.93 0.80
ge 51 Age 52 Age 53
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.19 1.05 0.96 1.15 1.02 0.92
1.19 1.05 0.96 1.15 1.02 0.93
1.19 1.05 0.96 1.15 1.02 0.93
1.19 1.05 0.97 1.15 1.02 0.94
1.18 1.05 0.97 1.15 1.02 0.94
1.18 1.05 0.97 1.14 1.02 0.93
1.17 1.05 0.96 1.14 1.01 0.93
1.16 1.04 0.96 1.13 1.01 0.93
1.15 1.03 0.95 1.12 1.00 0.92
1.15 1.03 0.95 1.11 0.99 0.92
1.14 1.02 0.94 1.10 0.99 0.91
1.13 1.01 0.93 1.09 0.98 0.90
1.11 1.00 0.92 1.08 0.97 0.89
1.10 0.99 0.91 1.07 0.96 0.88
1.09 0.98 0.90 1.06 0.95 0.87
1.08 0.97 0.89 1.05 0.94 0.86
1.06 0.95 0.88 1.03 0.92 0.85
1.05 0.94 0.87 1.02 0.91 0.84
1.04 0.93 0.86 1.01 0.90 0.83
1.03 0.92 0.84 0.99 0.88 0.81
1.01 0.90 0.83 0.98 0.87 0.80
1.00 0.89 0.82 0.97 0.86 0.79
0.99 0.88 0.81 0.96 0.85 0.78
0.98 0.87 0.80 0.95 0.84 0.77
0.98 0.86 0.79 0.94 0.83 0.76
0.97 0.86 0.78 0.94 0.83 0.75
0.97 0.85 0.78 0.93 0.82 0.75
0.97 0.85 0.77 0.93 0.82 0.74
0.97 0.85 0.77 0.93 0.81 0.74
0.97 0.84 0.76 0.93 0.81 0.73
0.97 0.84 0.76 0.94 0.81 0.73
0.98 0.85 0.76 0.94 0.81 0.73
0.98 0.85 0.76 0.95 0.81 0.73
0.99 0.85 0.76 0.95 0.82 0.73
1.00 0.86 0.76 0.96 0.82 0.73
1.01 0.86 0.76 0.97 0.83 0.73
1.02 0.87 0.76 0.98 0.83 0.73
1.03 0.87 0.77 0.99 0.84 0.73
1.04 0.88 0.77 1.00 0.84 0.73
1.06 0.88 0.77 1.02 0.85 0.73
1.07 0.89 0.77 1.03 0.85 0.73
1.09 0.90 0.77 1.05 0.86 0.73
ge 53 Age 54 Age 55
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.12 0.98 0.89 1.08 0.95 0.86
1.12 0.98 0.90 1.08 0.95 0.87
1.12 0.99 0.90 1.08 0.95 0.87
1.12 0.99 0.90 1.08 0.95 0.87
1.11 0.99 0.90 1.08 0.95 0.87
1.11 0.98 0.90 1.07 0.95 0.87
1.10 0.98 0.90 1.07 0.94 0.87
1.10 0.97 0.90 1.06 0.94 0.86
1.09 0.97 0.89 1.05 0.93 0.86
1.08 0.96 0.89 1.04 0.93 0.85
1.07 0.95 0.88 1.03 0.92 0.85
1.06 0.95 0.87 1.02 0.91 0.84
1.05 0.94 0.86 1.01 0.90 0.83
1.04 0.93 0.85 1.00 0.89 0.82
1.03 0.91 0.84 0.99 0.88 0.81
1.01 0.90 0.83 0.98 0.87 0.80
1.00 0.89 0.82 0.97 0.86 0.79
0.99 0.88 0.81 0.95 0.85 0.78
0.97 0.87 0.80 0.94 0.83 0.77
0.96 0.85 0.78 0.93 0.82 0.75
0.95 0.84 0.77 0.91 0.81 0.74
0.94 0.83 0.76 0.90 0.80 0.73
0.93 0.82 0.75 0.89 0.79 0.72
0.92 0.81 0.74 0.88 0.78 0.71
0.91 0.80 0.73 0.88 0.77 0.70
0.91 0.79 0.72 0.87 0.76 0.69
0.90 0.79 0.72 0.87 0.75 0.69
0.90 0.78 0.71 0.86 0.75 0.68
0.90 0.78 0.71 0.86 0.75 0.67
0.90 0.78 0.70 0.86 0.74 0.67
0.90 0.78 0.70 0.86 0.74 0.67
0.90 0.78 0.70 0.87 0.74 0.67
0.91 0.78 0.70 0.87 0.74 0.67
0.92 0.78 0.70 0.88 0.75 0.67
0.92 0.79 0.70 0.88 0.75 0.67
0.93 0.79 0.70 0.89 0.75 0.67
0.94 0.79 0.70 0.90 0.76 0.67
0.95 0.80 0.70 0.91 0.76 0.66
0.96 0.80 0.70 0.92 0.76 0.66
0.98 0.81 0.70 0.93 0.77 0.66
0.99 0.81 0.70 0.95 0.77 0.66
1.00 0.82 0.70 0.96 0.78 0.66
ge 55 Age 56 Age 57
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
1.04 0.91 0.83 1.00 0.88 0.80
1.04 0.92 0.83 1.01 0.88 0.80
1.04 0.92 0.84 1.01 0.89 0.81
1.04 0.92 0.84 1.00 0.89 0.81
1.04 0.92 0.84 1.00 0.89 0.81
1.03 0.92 0.84 1.00 0.88 0.81
1.03 0.91 0.84 0.99 0.88 0.81
1.02 0.91 0.83 0.99 0.88 0.80
1.01 0.90 0.83 0.98 0.87 0.80
1.01 0.89 0.82 0.97 0.86 0.79
1.00 0.89 0.82 0.96 0.86 0.79
0.99 0.88 0.81 0.95 0.85 0.78
0.98 0.87 0.80 0.94 0.84 0.77
0.97 0.86 0.79 0.93 0.83 0.76
0.96 0.85 0.78 0.92 0.82 0.75
0.94 0.84 0.77 0.91 0.81 0.74
0.93 0.83 0.76 0.90 0.79 0.73
0.92 0.81 0.75 0.88 0.78 0.72
0.91 0.80 0.74 0.87 0.77 0.71
0.89 0.79 0.72 0.86 0.76 0.69
0.88 0.78 0.71 0.85 0.75 0.68
0.87 0.76 0.70 0.83 0.73 0.67
0.86 0.75 0.69 0.82 0.72 0.66
0.85 0.74 0.68 0.82 0.71 0.65
0.84 0.74 0.67 0.81 0.71 0.64
0.84 0.73 0.66 0.80 0.70 0.63
0.83 0.72 0.66 0.80 0.69 0.63
0.83 0.72 0.65 0.79 0.69 0.62
0.83 0.71 0.64 0.79 0.68 0.62
0.83 0.71 0.64 0.79 0.68 0.61
0.83 0.71 0.64 0.79 0.68 0.61
0.83 0.71 0.64 0.79 0.68 0.61
0.83 0.71 0.63 0.80 0.68 0.60
0.84 0.71 0.63 0.80 0.68 0.60
0.84 0.71 0.63 0.81 0.68 0.60
0.85 0.72 0.63 0.81 0.68 0.60
0.86 0.72 0.63 0.82 0.69 0.60
0.87 0.72 0.63 0.83 0.69 0.60
0.88 0.73 0.63 0.84 0.69 0.60
0.89 0.73 0.63 0.85 0.69 0.60
0.90 0.73 0.63 0.86 0.70 0.60
0.91 0.74 0.63 0.87 0.70 0.59
ge 57 Age 58 Age 59
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.97 0.85 0.77 0.94 0.82 0.75
0.97 0.85 0.78 0.94 0.83 0.75
0.97 0.86 0.78 0.94 0.83 0.75
0.97 0.86 0.78 0.94 0.83 0.76
0.97 0.86 0.78 0.94 0.83 0.76
0.96 0.85 0.78 0.93 0.83 0.76
0.96 0.85 0.78 0.93 0.82 0.75
0.95 0.85 0.78 0.92 0.82 0.75
0.95 0.84 0.77 0.92 0.81 0.75
0.94 0.83 0.77 0.91 0.81 0.74
0.93 0.83 0.76 0.90 0.80 0.74
0.92 0.82 0.75 0.89 0.79 0.73
0.91 0.81 0.75 0.88 0.78 0.72
0.90 0.80 0.74 0.87 0.78 0.71
0.89 0.79 0.73 0.86 0.77 0.70
0.88 0.78 0.72 0.85 0.75 0.69
0.86 0.77 0.70 0.83 0.74 0.68
0.85 0.75 0.69 0.82 0.73 0.67
0.84 0.74 0.68 0.81 0.72 0.66
0.83 0.73 0.67 0.80 0.71 0.65
0.81 0.72 0.66 0.79 0.69 0.63
0.80 0.71 0.65 0.77 0.68 0.62
0.79 0.70 0.64 0.76 0.67 0.61
0.78 0.69 0.63 0.75 0.66 0.60
0.78 0.68 0.62 0.75 0.65 0.59
0.77 0.67 0.61 0.74 0.65 0.59
0.76 0.66 0.60 0.73 0.64 0.58
0.76 0.66 0.60 0.73 0.64 0.57
0.76 0.66 0.59 0.73 0.63 0.57
0.76 0.65 0.59 0.73 0.63 0.56
0.76 0.65 0.58 0.73 0.63 0.56
0.76 0.65 0.58 0.73 0.63 0.56
0.76 0.65 0.58 0.73 0.63 0.56
0.77 0.65 0.58 0.73 0.63 0.55
0.77 0.65 0.58 0.74 0.63 0.55
0.78 0.65 0.57 0.74 0.63 0.55
0.78 0.66 0.57 0.75 0.63 0.55
0.79 0.66 0.57 0.76 0.63 0.55
0.80 0.66 0.57 0.76 0.63 0.55
0.81 0.66 0.57 0.77 0.64 0.55
0.82 0.67 0.57 0.78 0.64 0.54
0.83 0.67 0.57 0.79 0.64 0.54
ge 59 Age 60 Age 61
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.91 0.80 0.72 0.88 0.77 0.70
0.91 0.80 0.73 0.88 0.78 0.70
0.91 0.80 0.73 0.88 0.78 0.71
0.91 0.81 0.73 0.88 0.78 0.71
0.91 0.80 0.73 0.88 0.78 0.71
0.91 0.80 0.73 0.88 0.78 0.71
0.90 0.80 0.73 0.88 0.78 0.71
0.89 0.80 0.73 0.87 0.78 0.71
0.89 0.79 0.73 0.86 0.77 0.71
0.88 0.79 0.72 0.86 0.77 0.70
0.87 0.78 0.71 0.85 0.76 0.70
0.86 0.77 0.71 0.84 0.75 0.69
0.85 0.76 0.70 0.83 0.74 0.68
0.84 0.75 0.69 0.82 0.73 0.67
0.83 0.74 0.68 0.81 0.73 0.67
0.82 0.73 0.67 0.80 0.71 0.66
0.81 0.72 0.66 0.79 0.70 0.64
0.80 0.71 0.65 0.77 0.69 0.63
0.78 0.70 0.64 0.76 0.68 0.62
0.77 0.69 0.63 0.75 0.67 0.61
0.76 0.67 0.62 0.74 0.66 0.60
0.75 0.66 0.60 0.73 0.65 0.59
0.74 0.65 0.59 0.72 0.64 0.58
0.73 0.64 0.58 0.71 0.63 0.57
0.72 0.63 0.58 0.70 0.62 0.56
0.71 0.63 0.57 0.69 0.61 0.55
0.71 0.62 0.56 0.69 0.61 0.55
0.71 0.62 0.55 0.68 0.60 0.54
0.70 0.61 0.55 0.68 0.60 0.54
0.70 0.61 0.55 0.68 0.59 0.53
0.70 0.61 0.54 0.68 0.59 0.53
0.70 0.61 0.54 0.68 0.59 0.53
0.70 0.61 0.54 0.68 0.59 0.52
0.71 0.61 0.54 0.69 0.59 0.52
0.71 0.61 0.53 0.69 0.59 0.52
0.72 0.61 0.53 0.69 0.59 0.52
0.72 0.61 0.53 0.70 0.59 0.52
0.73 0.61 0.53 0.71 0.60 0.52
0.74 0.61 0.53 0.71 0.60 0.51
0.74 0.62 0.53 0.72 0.60 0.51
0.75 0.62 0.52 0.73 0.60 0.51
0.76 0.62 0.52 0.74 0.60 0.51
ge 61 Age 62 Age 63
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.85 0.75 0.68 0.83 0.73 0.66
0.86 0.76 0.68 0.83 0.73 0.66
0.86 0.76 0.69 0.84 0.74 0.67
0.86 0.76 0.69 0.84 0.74 0.67
0.86 0.76 0.69 0.84 0.74 0.67
0.86 0.76 0.69 0.83 0.74 0.68
0.85 0.76 0.69 0.83 0.74 0.68
0.85 0.76 0.69 0.83 0.74 0.67
0.84 0.75 0.69 0.82 0.73 0.67
0.84 0.75 0.68 0.82 0.73 0.67
0.83 0.74 0.68 0.81 0.73 0.66
0.82 0.73 0.67 0.80 0.72 0.66
0.81 0.73 0.67 0.79 0.71 0.65
0.80 0.72 0.66 0.78 0.70 0.64
0.79 0.71 0.65 0.77 0.70 0.64
0.78 0.70 0.64 0.76 0.69 0.63
0.77 0.69 0.63 0.75 0.68 0.62
0.76 0.68 0.62 0.74 0.66 0.61
0.74 0.67 0.61 0.73 0.65 0.60
0.73 0.66 0.60 0.72 0.64 0.59
0.72 0.64 0.59 0.71 0.63 0.58
0.71 0.63 0.58 0.70 0.62 0.57
0.70 0.62 0.57 0.69 0.61 0.56
0.69 0.61 0.56 0.68 0.60 0.55
0.68 0.61 0.55 0.67 0.60 0.54
0.68 0.60 0.54 0.66 0.59 0.53
0.67 0.59 0.53 0.66 0.58 0.52
0.67 0.59 0.53 0.65 0.58 0.52
0.66 0.58 0.52 0.65 0.57 0.51
0.66 0.58 0.52 0.65 0.57 0.51
0.66 0.58 0.52 0.65 0.57 0.51
0.66 0.58 0.51 0.65 0.57 0.51
0.67 0.58 0.51 0.65 0.57 0.50
0.67 0.58 0.51 0.66 0.57 0.50
0.67 0.58 0.51 0.66 0.57 0.50
0.68 0.58 0.51 0.66 0.57 0.50
0.68 0.58 0.51 0.67 0.57 0.50
0.69 0.59 0.51 0.68 0.58 0.50
0.70 0.59 0.50 0.68 0.58 0.50
0.70 0.59 0.50 0.69 0.58 0.50
0.71 0.59 0.50 0.70 0.58 0.49
0.72 0.59 0.50 0.71 0.59 0.49
ge 63 Age 64 Age 65
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.81 0.71 0.64 0.79 0.69 0.62
0.81 0.71 0.64 0.79 0.69 0.63
0.82 0.72 0.65 0.79 0.70 0.63
0.82 0.72 0.65 0.80 0.70 0.64
0.82 0.72 0.66 0.80 0.71 0.64
0.82 0.72 0.66 0.80 0.71 0.64
0.81 0.72 0.66 0.79 0.71 0.64
0.81 0.72 0.66 0.79 0.71 0.64
0.80 0.72 0.66 0.79 0.70 0.64
0.80 0.71 0.65 0.78 0.70 0.64
0.79 0.71 0.65 0.78 0.70 0.63
0.79 0.70 0.64 0.77 0.69 0.63
0.78 0.70 0.64 0.76 0.68 0.63
0.77 0.69 0.63 0.76 0.68 0.62
0.76 0.68 0.62 0.75 0.67 0.61
0.75 0.67 0.62 0.74 0.66 0.60
0.74 0.66 0.61 0.73 0.65 0.59
0.73 0.65 0.60 0.72 0.64 0.59
0.72 0.64 0.59 0.71 0.63 0.58
0.71 0.63 0.58 0.69 0.62 0.57
0.69 0.62 0.57 0.68 0.61 0.56
0.68 0.61 0.56 0.67 0.60 0.55
0.68 0.60 0.55 0.67 0.59 0.54
0.67 0.59 0.54 0.66 0.59 0.53
0.66 0.59 0.53 0.65 0.58 0.52
0.65 0.58 0.52 0.64 0.57 0.51
0.65 0.57 0.52 0.64 0.57 0.51
0.64 0.57 0.51 0.64 0.56 0.50
0.64 0.57 0.51 0.63 0.56 0.50
0.64 0.56 0.50 0.63 0.56 0.50
0.64 0.56 0.50 0.63 0.56 0.49
0.64 0.56 0.50 0.63 0.56 0.49
0.64 0.56 0.50 0.64 0.56 0.49
0.65 0.56 0.50 0.64 0.56 0.49
0.65 0.56 0.49 0.64 0.56 0.49
0.66 0.57 0.49 0.65 0.56 0.49
0.66 0.57 0.49 0.66 0.56 0.49
0.67 0.57 0.49 0.66 0.57 0.49
0.68 0.57 0.49 0.67 0.57 0.49
0.68 0.58 0.49 0.68 0.57 0.48
0.69 0.58 0.49 0.69 0.57 0.48
0.70 0.58 0.48 0.70 0.58 0.48
ge 65 Age 66 Age 67
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.76 0.67 0.60 0.74 0.65 0.58
0.77 0.67 0.61 0.75 0.66 0.59
0.77 0.68 0.61 0.75 0.66 0.60
0.78 0.68 0.62 0.76 0.67 0.60
0.78 0.69 0.62 0.76 0.67 0.61
0.78 0.69 0.63 0.76 0.67 0.61
0.78 0.69 0.63 0.76 0.67 0.61
0.77 0.69 0.63 0.76 0.67 0.61
0.77 0.69 0.63 0.76 0.67 0.61
0.77 0.68 0.62 0.75 0.67 0.61
0.76 0.68 0.62 0.75 0.67 0.61
0.76 0.68 0.62 0.74 0.66 0.60
0.75 0.67 0.61 0.74 0.66 0.60
0.74 0.66 0.61 0.73 0.65 0.59
0.73 0.66 0.60 0.72 0.65 0.59
0.72 0.65 0.59 0.71 0.64 0.58
0.71 0.64 0.58 0.70 0.63 0.57
0.70 0.63 0.58 0.69 0.62 0.56
0.69 0.62 0.57 0.68 0.61 0.56
0.68 0.61 0.56 0.67 0.60 0.55
0.67 0.60 0.55 0.66 0.59 0.54
0.66 0.59 0.54 0.65 0.58 0.53
0.66 0.58 0.53 0.65 0.58 0.52
0.65 0.58 0.52 0.64 0.57 0.51
0.64 0.57 0.51 0.63 0.56 0.51
0.64 0.56 0.51 0.63 0.56 0.50
0.63 0.56 0.50 0.62 0.55 0.49
0.63 0.55 0.50 0.62 0.55 0.49
0.63 0.55 0.49 0.62 0.54 0.49
0.62 0.55 0.49 0.62 0.54 0.48
0.63 0.55 0.49 0.62 0.54 0.48
0.63 0.55 0.49 0.62 0.54 0.48
0.63 0.55 0.48 0.62 0.54 0.48
0.63 0.55 0.48 0.63 0.54 0.48
0.64 0.55 0.48 0.63 0.55 0.48
0.64 0.55 0.48 0.64 0.55 0.48
0.65 0.56 0.48 0.64 0.55 0.48
0.66 0.56 0.48 0.65 0.56 0.48
0.66 0.56 0.48 0.66 0.56 0.48
0.67 0.57 0.48 0.67 0.56 0.48
0.68 0.57 0.48 0.68 0.57 0.47
0.69 0.57 0.48 0.69 0.57 0.47
ge 67 Age 68 Age 69
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.72 0.63 0.56 0.70 0.61 0.55
0.73 0.64 0.57 0.71 0.62 0.56
0.74 0.64 0.58 0.72 0.63 0.56
0.74 0.65 0.59 0.72 0.63 0.57
0.74 0.65 0.59 0.72 0.64 0.57
0.74 0.66 0.59 0.73 0.64 0.58
0.74 0.66 0.60 0.73 0.64 0.58
0.74 0.66 0.60 0.73 0.64 0.58
0.74 0.66 0.60 0.72 0.64 0.58
0.74 0.66 0.60 0.72 0.64 0.58
0.73 0.65 0.59 0.72 0.64 0.58
0.73 0.65 0.59 0.71 0.64 0.58
0.72 0.65 0.59 0.71 0.63 0.58
0.72 0.64 0.58 0.70 0.63 0.57
0.71 0.63 0.58 0.70 0.62 0.57
0.70 0.63 0.57 0.69 0.62 0.56
0.69 0.62 0.56 0.68 0.61 0.55
0.68 0.61 0.55 0.67 0.60 0.55
0.67 0.60 0.55 0.66 0.59 0.54
0.66 0.59 0.54 0.65 0.58 0.53
0.65 0.58 0.53 0.65 0.58 0.52
0.65 0.58 0.52 0.64 0.57 0.51
0.64 0.57 0.51 0.63 0.56 0.51
0.63 0.56 0.50 0.62 0.55 0.50
0.62 0.55 0.50 0.62 0.55 0.49
0.62 0.55 0.49 0.61 0.54 0.49
0.61 0.54 0.49 0.61 0.54 0.48
0.61 0.54 0.48 0.60 0.53 0.48
0.61 0.54 0.48 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.61 0.54 0.48 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.61 0.54 0.48 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.61 0.54 0.47 0.61 0.53 0.47
0.62 0.54 0.47 0.61 0.53 0.47
0.62 0.54 0.47 0.61 0.54 0.47
0.63 0.54 0.47 0.62 0.54 0.47
0.63 0.54 0.47 0.63 0.54 0.47
0.64 0.55 0.47 0.63 0.54 0.47
0.65 0.55 0.47 0.64 0.55 0.47
0.65 0.55 0.47 0.65 0.55 0.47
0.66 0.56 0.47 0.66 0.56 0.47
0.67 0.56 0.47 0.67 0.56 0.47
0.68 0.57 0.47 0.68 0.56 0.47
ge 69 Age 70 Age 71
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.68 0.59 0.53 0.67 0.58 0.51
0.69 0.60 0.54 0.67 0.59 0.52
0.70 0.61 0.55 0.68 0.59 0.53
0.70 0.62 0.55 0.69 0.60 0.54
0.71 0.62 0.56 0.69 0.61 0.55
0.71 0.63 0.56 0.70 0.61 0.55
0.71 0.63 0.57 0.70 0.62 0.55
0.71 0.63 0.57 0.70 0.62 0.56
0.71 0.63 0.57 0.70 0.62 0.56
0.71 0.63 0.57 0.70 0.62 0.56
0.71 0.63 0.57 0.69 0.62 0.56
0.70 0.63 0.57 0.69 0.62 0.56
0.70 0.62 0.57 0.69 0.61 0.56
0.69 0.62 0.56 0.68 0.61 0.55
0.69 0.61 0.56 0.68 0.61 0.55
0.68 0.61 0.55 0.67 0.60 0.54
0.67 0.60 0.55 0.66 0.59 0.54
0.66 0.59 0.54 0.66 0.59 0.53
0.65 0.59 0.53 0.65 0.58 0.52
0.65 0.58 0.52 0.64 0.57 0.52
0.64 0.57 0.51 0.63 0.56 0.51
0.63 0.56 0.51 0.62 0.56 0.50
0.62 0.55 0.50 0.62 0.55 0.49
0.61 0.55 0.49 0.61 0.54 0.49
0.61 0.54 0.49 0.60 0.54 0.48
0.60 0.54 0.48 0.60 0.53 0.48
0.60 0.53 0.48 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.59 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.59 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.59 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.61 0.53 0.47 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.61 0.53 0.47 0.61 0.53 0.47
0.62 0.54 0.47 0.62 0.54 0.47
0.62 0.54 0.47 0.62 0.54 0.47
0.63 0.54 0.47 0.63 0.55 0.47
0.64 0.55 0.47 0.64 0.55 0.47
0.65 0.55 0.47 0.65 0.56 0.47
0.66 0.56 0.47 0.66 0.56 0.47
0.67 0.56 0.47 0.67 0.57 0.47
0.68 0.57 0.47 0.69 0.57 0.47
ge 71 Age 72 Age 73
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.65 0.56 0.50 0.63 0.54 0.48
0.66 0.57 0.51 0.64 0.55 0.49
0.67 0.58 0.52 0.65 0.56 0.50
0.67 0.59 0.52 0.66 0.57 0.51
0.68 0.59 0.53 0.66 0.58 0.52
0.68 0.60 0.54 0.67 0.59 0.52
0.68 0.60 0.54 0.67 0.59 0.53
0.68 0.61 0.55 0.67 0.59 0.53
0.69 0.61 0.55 0.67 0.60 0.54
0.68 0.61 0.55 0.67 0.60 0.54
0.68 0.61 0.55 0.67 0.60 0.54
0.68 0.61 0.55 0.67 0.60 0.54
0.68 0.61 0.55 0.67 0.60 0.54
0.67 0.60 0.55 0.67 0.60 0.54
0.67 0.60 0.54 0.66 0.59 0.54
0.66 0.59 0.54 0.66 0.59 0.53
0.66 0.59 0.53 0.65 0.58 0.53
0.65 0.58 0.53 0.64 0.58 0.52
0.64 0.58 0.52 0.64 0.57 0.52
0.63 0.57 0.51 0.63 0.57 0.51
0.63 0.56 0.51 0.62 0.56 0.50
0.62 0.55 0.50 0.62 0.55 0.50
0.61 0.55 0.49 0.61 0.55 0.49
0.61 0.54 0.49 0.60 0.54 0.48
0.60 0.54 0.48 0.60 0.54 0.48
0.60 0.53 0.48 0.60 0.53 0.48
0.59 0.53 0.47 0.59 0.53 0.47
0.59 0.53 0.47 0.59 0.53 0.47
0.59 0.53 0.47 0.59 0.53 0.47
0.59 0.53 0.47 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.61 0.54 0.47
0.61 0.54 0.47 0.61 0.54 0.47
0.62 0.54 0.47 0.62 0.55 0.48
0.62 0.55 0.47 0.63 0.55 0.48
0.63 0.55 0.47 0.64 0.56 0.48
0.64 0.56 0.48 0.65 0.56 0.48
0.65 0.56 0.48 0.66 0.57 0.48
0.67 0.57 0.48 0.68 0.58 0.48
0.68 0.57 0.48 0.69 0.58 0.48
0.69 0.58 0.48 0.70 0.59 0.48
ge 73 Age 74 Age 75
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.61 0.53 0.46 0.60 0.51 0.45
0.63 0.54 0.48 0.61 0.53 0.46
0.63 0.55 0.49 0.62 0.54 0.47
0.64 0.56 0.50 0.63 0.55 0.48
0.65 0.57 0.51 0.64 0.56 0.49
0.66 0.57 0.51 0.64 0.56 0.50
0.66 0.58 0.52 0.65 0.57 0.51
0.66 0.58 0.52 0.65 0.58 0.51
0.66 0.59 0.53 0.66 0.58 0.52
0.67 0.59 0.53 0.66 0.58 0.52
0.67 0.59 0.53 0.66 0.58 0.52
0.67 0.59 0.53 0.66 0.59 0.52
0.66 0.59 0.53 0.66 0.59 0.53
0.66 0.59 0.53 0.66 0.59 0.52
0.66 0.59 0.53 0.65 0.58 0.52
0.65 0.58 0.53 0.65 0.58 0.52
0.65 0.58 0.52 0.65 0.58 0.52
0.64 0.58 0.52 0.64 0.57 0.51
0.63 0.57 0.51 0.63 0.57 0.51
0.63 0.56 0.51 0.63 0.56 0.50
0.62 0.56 0.50 0.62 0.56 0.50
0.62 0.55 0.49 0.62 0.55 0.49
0.61 0.55 0.49 0.61 0.55 0.49
0.61 0.54 0.48 0.61 0.54 0.48
0.60 0.54 0.48 0.60 0.54 0.48
0.60 0.54 0.48 0.60 0.54 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.60 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.60 0.54 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.61 0.54 0.47
0.60 0.54 0.47 0.61 0.54 0.47
0.61 0.54 0.47 0.62 0.54 0.47
0.61 0.54 0.47 0.62 0.55 0.48
0.62 0.55 0.48 0.63 0.55 0.48
0.63 0.55 0.48 0.64 0.56 0.48
0.64 0.56 0.48 0.65 0.57 0.49
0.65 0.57 0.48 0.66 0.57 0.49
0.66 0.57 0.49 0.68 0.58 0.49
0.67 0.58 0.49 0.69 0.59 0.49
0.69 0.59 0.49 0.70 0.60 0.50
0.70 0.60 0.49 0.72 0.61 0.50
0.72 0.60 0.49 0.74 0.61 0.50
ge 75 Age 76 Age 77
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.59 0.50 0.44 0.58 0.49 0.42
0.60 0.51 0.45 0.59 0.50 0.44
0.61 0.53 0.46 0.60 0.52 0.45
0.62 0.54 0.47 0.61 0.53 0.46
0.63 0.55 0.48 0.62 0.54 0.47
0.64 0.55 0.49 0.63 0.55 0.48
0.64 0.56 0.50 0.63 0.55 0.49
0.65 0.57 0.50 0.64 0.56 0.49
0.65 0.57 0.51 0.64 0.56 0.50
0.65 0.58 0.51 0.65 0.57 0.50
0.65 0.58 0.51 0.65 0.57 0.51
0.65 0.58 0.52 0.65 0.57 0.51
0.65 0.58 0.52 0.65 0.57 0.51
0.65 0.58 0.52 0.65 0.57 0.51
0.65 0.58 0.52 0.65 0.57 0.51
0.65 0.58 0.51 0.65 0.57 0.51
0.64 0.57 0.51 0.64 0.57 0.50
0.64 0.57 0.51 0.64 0.56 0.50
0.63 0.56 0.50 0.63 0.56 0.50
0.63 0.56 0.50 0.63 0.55 0.49
0.62 0.55 0.49 0.62 0.55 0.49
0.62 0.55 0.49 0.62 0.55 0.48
0.61 0.54 0.48 0.61 0.54 0.48
0.61 0.54 0.48 0.61 0.54 0.47
0.61 0.54 0.48 0.61 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.54 0.47 0.61 0.53 0.47
0.60 0.53 0.47 0.61 0.53 0.47
0.61 0.53 0.47 0.61 0.53 0.47
0.61 0.54 0.47 0.61 0.53 0.47
0.61 0.54 0.47 0.62 0.54 0.47
0.62 0.54 0.47 0.62 0.54 0.47
0.62 0.55 0.47 0.63 0.55 0.47
0.63 0.55 0.48 0.64 0.55 0.47
0.64 0.56 0.48 0.65 0.56 0.48
0.65 0.56 0.48 0.66 0.56 0.48
0.66 0.57 0.49 0.67 0.57 0.48
0.67 0.58 0.49 0.68 0.58 0.49
0.69 0.59 0.49 0.70 0.59 0.49
0.70 0.60 0.50 0.72 0.60 0.50
0.72 0.60 0.50 0.73 0.61 0.50
0.74 0.61 0.50 0.75 0.62 0.50
0.76 0.62 0.50 0.77 0.63 0.50
ge 77 Age 78 Age 79
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.57 0.48 0.41 0.56 0.47 0.40
0.58 0.50 0.43 0.58 0.49 0.42
0.59 0.51 0.44 0.59 0.50 0.43
0.60 0.52 0.45 0.60 0.51 0.44
0.61 0.53 0.46 0.61 0.52 0.45
0.62 0.54 0.47 0.62 0.53 0.46
0.63 0.54 0.48 0.62 0.54 0.47
0.63 0.55 0.48 0.63 0.54 0.47
0.64 0.56 0.49 0.63 0.55 0.48
0.64 0.56 0.49 0.64 0.55 0.48
0.64 0.56 0.50 0.64 0.56 0.49
0.65 0.57 0.50 0.64 0.56 0.49
0.65 0.57 0.50 0.64 0.56 0.49
0.65 0.57 0.50 0.64 0.56 0.49
0.64 0.57 0.50 0.64 0.56 0.49
0.64 0.56 0.50 0.64 0.56 0.49
0.64 0.56 0.50 0.64 0.55 0.49
0.63 0.56 0.49 0.63 0.55 0.48
0.63 0.55 0.49 0.63 0.55 0.48
0.63 0.55 0.48 0.62 0.54 0.47
0.62 0.54 0.48 0.62 0.54 0.47
0.62 0.54 0.47 0.61 0.53 0.47
0.61 0.54 0.47 0.61 0.53 0.46
0.61 0.53 0.47 0.61 0.53 0.46
0.61 0.53 0.46 0.61 0.52 0.45
0.61 0.53 0.46 0.61 0.52 0.45
0.61 0.53 0.46 0.61 0.52 0.45
0.61 0.53 0.46 0.61 0.52 0.45
0.61 0.53 0.46 0.61 0.52 0.45
0.62 0.53 0.46 0.62 0.53 0.45
0.62 0.54 0.46 0.62 0.53 0.45
0.63 0.54 0.46 0.63 0.53 0.45
0.64 0.55 0.47 0.64 0.54 0.46
0.65 0.55 0.47 0.65 0.55 0.46
0.66 0.56 0.47 0.66 0.55 0.46
0.68 0.57 0.48 0.68 0.56 0.47
0.69 0.58 0.48 0.69 0.57 0.47
0.71 0.59 0.49 0.71 0.58 0.47
0.72 0.60 0.49 0.73 0.59 0.48
0.74 0.61 0.49 0.75 0.60 0.48
0.76 0.62 0.49 0.77 0.61 0.48
0.78 0.62 0.49 0.79 0.62 0.48
ge 79 Age 80 Age 81
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.56 0.47 0.39 0.56 0.46 0.38
0.57 0.48 0.41 0.57 0.48 0.40
0.58 0.49 0.42 0.58 0.49 0.41
0.59 0.50 0.43 0.59 0.50 0.42
0.60 0.51 0.44 0.60 0.51 0.43
0.61 0.52 0.45 0.61 0.52 0.44
0.62 0.53 0.46 0.62 0.52 0.45
0.62 0.54 0.46 0.62 0.53 0.45
0.63 0.54 0.47 0.63 0.53 0.46
0.63 0.55 0.47 0.63 0.54 0.46
0.64 0.55 0.48 0.63 0.54 0.47
0.64 0.55 0.48 0.63 0.54 0.47
0.64 0.55 0.48 0.64 0.55 0.47
0.64 0.55 0.48 0.63 0.55 0.47
0.64 0.55 0.48 0.63 0.54 0.47
0.63 0.55 0.48 0.63 0.54 0.47
0.63 0.55 0.48 0.63 0.54 0.46
0.63 0.54 0.47 0.62 0.53 0.46
0.62 0.54 0.47 0.62 0.53 0.46
0.62 0.53 0.46 0.61 0.52 0.45
0.61 0.53 0.46 0.61 0.52 0.45
0.61 0.52 0.45 0.60 0.51 0.44
0.61 0.52 0.45 0.60 0.51 0.44
0.60 0.52 0.45 0.60 0.51 0.43
0.60 0.51 0.44 0.60 0.50 0.43
0.60 0.51 0.44 0.60 0.50 0.42
0.60 0.51 0.44 0.60 0.50 0.42
0.60 0.51 0.44 0.60 0.50 0.42
0.61 0.51 0.44 0.60 0.50 0.42
0.61 0.52 0.44 0.61 0.50 0.42
0.62 0.52 0.44 0.61 0.51 0.42
0.63 0.52 0.44 0.62 0.51 0.42
0.64 0.53 0.44 0.63 0.52 0.43
0.65 0.54 0.44 0.64 0.52 0.43
0.66 0.54 0.45 0.66 0.53 0.43
0.68 0.55 0.45 0.67 0.54 0.43
0.69 0.56 0.45 0.69 0.54 0.44
0.71 0.57 0.46 0.70 0.55 0.44
0.73 0.58 0.46 0.72 0.56 0.44
0.75 0.59 0.46 0.74 0.57 0.44
0.77 0.59 0.46 0.76 0.58 0.44
0.79 0.60 0.47 0.78 0.59 0.45
ge 81 Age 82 Age 83
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.56 0.46 0.37 0.56 0.45 0.36
0.57 0.47 0.38 0.57 0.47 0.37
0.58 0.48 0.40 0.59 0.48 0.38
0.59 0.49 0.41 0.60 0.49 0.39
0.60 0.50 0.42 0.60 0.50 0.40
0.61 0.51 0.43 0.61 0.50 0.41
0.62 0.52 0.43 0.62 0.51 0.42
0.62 0.52 0.44 0.62 0.52 0.43
0.63 0.53 0.45 0.63 0.52 0.43
0.63 0.53 0.45 0.63 0.53 0.44
0.63 0.53 0.45 0.63 0.53 0.44
0.63 0.54 0.46 0.63 0.53 0.44
0.63 0.54 0.46 0.63 0.53 0.44
0.63 0.54 0.46 0.63 0.53 0.44
0.63 0.54 0.46 0.63 0.53 0.44
0.63 0.53 0.45 0.62 0.52 0.44
0.62 0.53 0.45 0.62 0.52 0.44
0.62 0.52 0.45 0.61 0.51 0.43
0.61 0.52 0.44 0.61 0.51 0.43
0.61 0.51 0.44 0.60 0.50 0.42
0.60 0.51 0.43 0.60 0.50 0.42
0.60 0.50 0.43 0.59 0.49 0.41
0.59 0.50 0.42 0.59 0.49 0.40
0.59 0.49 0.42 0.59 0.48 0.40
0.59 0.49 0.41 0.58 0.48 0.40
0.59 0.49 0.41 0.58 0.48 0.39
0.59 0.49 0.41 0.58 0.47 0.39
0.59 0.49 0.40 0.59 0.47 0.39
0.60 0.49 0.40 0.59 0.47 0.38
0.60 0.49 0.40 0.59 0.48 0.38
0.61 0.49 0.40 0.60 0.48 0.38
0.62 0.50 0.40 0.61 0.48 0.38
0.63 0.50 0.41 0.62 0.49 0.38
0.64 0.51 0.41 0.63 0.49 0.39
0.65 0.51 0.41 0.64 0.50 0.39
0.66 0.52 0.41 0.66 0.50 0.39
0.68 0.53 0.42 0.67 0.51 0.39
0.70 0.54 0.42 0.69 0.52 0.39
0.71 0.54 0.42 0.71 0.53 0.39
0.73 0.55 0.42 0.73 0.53 0.40
0.75 0.56 0.42 0.75 0.54 0.40
0.78 0.57 0.42 0.77 0.55 0.40
ge 83 Age 84 Age 85
95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled % 95% Lower
confidence testing positive for confidence confidence testing positive for confidence
interval COVID-19 interval interval COVID-19 interval
0.57 0.45 0.34 0.58 0.44 0.33
0.58 0.46 0.36 0.59 0.46 0.34
0.59 0.47 0.37 0.60 0.47 0.35
0.60 0.48 0.38 0.61 0.48 0.36
0.61 0.49 0.39 0.62 0.49 0.37
0.62 0.50 0.40 0.63 0.49 0.38
0.62 0.51 0.41 0.63 0.50 0.39
0.63 0.51 0.41 0.63 0.51 0.40
0.63 0.52 0.42 0.64 0.51 0.40
0.63 0.52 0.42 0.64 0.51 0.40
0.63 0.52 0.42 0.64 0.51 0.41
0.63 0.52 0.43 0.64 0.51 0.41
0.63 0.52 0.43 0.64 0.51 0.41
0.63 0.52 0.43 0.63 0.51 0.41
0.63 0.52 0.43 0.63 0.51 0.41
0.62 0.51 0.42 0.63 0.51 0.41
0.62 0.51 0.42 0.62 0.50 0.40
0.61 0.51 0.42 0.61 0.50 0.40
0.61 0.50 0.41 0.61 0.49 0.39
0.60 0.49 0.40 0.60 0.48 0.39
0.60 0.49 0.40 0.60 0.48 0.38
0.59 0.48 0.39 0.59 0.47 0.37
0.59 0.48 0.39 0.59 0.46 0.37
0.58 0.47 0.38 0.58 0.46 0.36
0.58 0.47 0.38 0.58 0.46 0.36
0.58 0.46 0.37 0.58 0.45 0.35
0.58 0.46 0.37 0.58 0.45 0.35
0.58 0.46 0.37 0.58 0.45 0.34
0.59 0.46 0.36 0.59 0.45 0.34
0.59 0.46 0.36 0.59 0.45 0.34
0.60 0.46 0.36 0.60 0.45 0.34
0.61 0.47 0.36 0.61 0.45 0.34
0.62 0.47 0.36 0.62 0.46 0.34
0.63 0.48 0.36 0.63 0.46 0.34
0.64 0.48 0.36 0.64 0.47 0.34
0.65 0.49 0.36 0.66 0.47 0.34
0.67 0.50 0.36 0.67 0.48 0.34
0.69 0.50 0.37 0.69 0.49 0.34
0.70 0.51 0.37 0.71 0.49 0.34
0.72 0.52 0.37 0.73 0.50 0.34
0.74 0.52 0.37 0.75 0.51 0.34
0.77 0.53 0.37 0.77 0.51 0.34
ge 85
95% Upper
confidence
interval
0.60
0.61
0.62
0.63
0.63
0.64
0.64
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.64
0.64
0.64
0.63
0.63
0.62
0.61
0.61
0.60
0.59
0.59
0.59
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.59
0.59
0.60
0.60
0.61
0.62
0.64
0.65
0.66
0.68
0.70
0.72
0.74
0.76
0.78
Contents
Table 1j
Non-overlapping 14-day weighted estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for Covid-19 by age/school year, England
3 May 2020 to 2 October 2021
Number of Estimated %
Estimated % 95% Lower 95% Upper people testing Number of testing 95% Lower 95% Upper Number of people Number of
testing positive confidence confidence positive for people in positive for confidence confidence testing positive for people in
Time period for Covid-19 interval interval Covid-19 sample Covid-19 interval interval Covid-19 sample
03 May 2020 to 16 May 2020 0.44 0.14 1.03 6 1,271 0.24 0.02 0.98 * 936
17 May 2020 to 30 May 2020 0.14 0.03 0.42 3 1,649 0.10 0.00 0.55 * 1,212
31 May 2020 to 13 June 2020 0.00 - 0.18 * 2,015 0.00 - 0.25 * 1,466
14 June 2020 to 27 June 2020 0.06 0.00 0.31 * 1,852 0.11 0.01 0.40 * 1,278
28 June 2020 to 11 July 2020 0.00 - 0.15 * 2,404 0.00 - 0.21 * 1,731
12 July 2020 to 25 July 2020 0.09 0.01 0.34 * 2,332 0.00 - 0.22 * 1,680
26 July 2020 to 08 August 2020 0.04 0.00 0.20 * 2,604 0.04 0.00 0.24 * 1,896
09 August 2020 to 22 August 2020 0.04 0.00 0.14 * 3,343 0.07 0.01 0.27 * 2,381
23 August 2020 to 05 September 2020 0.12 0.05 0.23 8 4,678 0.02 0.00 0.13 * 3,355
06 September 2020 to 19 September 2020 0.26 0.15 0.43 18 6,563 0.27 0.12 0.52 12 4,600
20 September 2020 to 03 October 2020 0.32 0.21 0.45 33 10,887 0.62 0.45 0.84 50 7,565
04 October 2020 to 17 October 2020 0.63 0.49 0.79 83 13,116 1.39 1.14 1.68 124 9,158
18 October 2020 to 31 October 2020 1.21 1.01 1.44 150 11,829 1.96 1.64 2.31 159 8,368
01 November 2020 to 14 November 2020 1.51 1.28 1.77 163 11,713 2.04 1.71 2.41 163 8,372
15 November 2020 to 28 November 2020 1.47 1.26 1.71 192 14,034 2.39 2.06 2.75 226 10,070
29 November 2020 to 12 December 2020 1.47 1.25 1.72 175 11,702 2.29 1.96 2.65 195 8,380
13 December 2020 to 26 December 2020 2.20 1.91 2.52 219 9,659 3.30 2.86 3.79 220 7,067
27 December 2020 to 09 January 2021 2.06 1.80 2.35 250 12,185 3.20 2.81 3.62 282 8,979
10 January 2021 to 23 January 2021 2.33 2.05 2.63 284 12,018 2.26 1.93 2.62 202 9,093
24 January 2021 to 06 February 2021 1.48 1.25 1.73 177 11,803 1.61 1.34 1.93 144 9,085
07 February 2021 to 20 February 2021 0.74 0.58 0.92 91 12,339 0.65 0.48 0.86 58 9,343
21 February 2021 to 06 March 2021 0.47 0.34 0.62 51 11,718 0.56 0.40 0.77 47 9,014
07 March 2021 to 20 March 2021 0.40 0.29 0.55 44 10,652 0.35 0.22 0.52 28 7,933
21 March 2021 to 03 April 2021 0.55 0.40 0.74 51 9,965 0.44 0.29 0.63 33 7,588
04 April 2021 to 17 April 2021 0.30 0.19 0.46 25 9,041 0.33 0.21 0.49 27 6,917
18 April 2021 to 01 May 2021 0.08 0.04 0.16 10 10,218 0.14 0.07 0.25 12 7,753
02 May 2021 to 15 May 2021 0.11 0.05 0.20 11 9,505 0.10 0.04 0.21 8 7,242
16 May 2021 to 29 May 2021 0.15 0.08 0.26 17 9,772 0.33 0.21 0.50 25 7,679
30 May 2021 to 12 June 2021 0.15 0.08 0.27 14 8,207 0.35 0.22 0.53 24 6,406
13 June 2021 to 26 June 2021 0.37 0.24 0.53 34 9,164 0.63 0.44 0.87 41 7,379
27 June 2021 to 10 July 2021 1.19 0.97 1.46 110 9,037 1.81 1.48 2.20 118 7,124
11 July 2021 to 24 July 2021 1.91 1.61 2.25 162 8,529 2.86 2.43 3.34 189 6,803
25 July 2021 to 07 August 2021 2.02 1.70 2.37 165 8,030 3.25 2.80 3.76 210 6,498
08 August 2021 to 21 August 2021 2.09 1.77 2.45 172 8,191 2.41 2.03 2.85 160 6,643
22 August 2021 to 04 September 2021 2.02 1.71 2.37 174 8,864 2.70 2.31 3.13 192 7,075
05 September 2021 to 18 September 2021 2.17 1.86 2.51 203 9,564 2.63 2.25 3.06 197 7,656
19 September 2021 to 02 October 2021 3.16 2.80 3.55 313 10,300 5.02 4.52 5.56 407 8,033
Source: Office for National Statistics – Coronavirus (Covid-19) Infection Survey
Notes:
1. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
2. The England population used in this analysis was 54,524,775 and relates to the community population aged two years and over. It is not the same as the total population of England as reported in our mid-term population estimates.
3. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
4. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the Covid-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/Covid-19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
5. Some figures have been suppressed (*) due to low sample counts and secondary suppression has been applied where appropriate.
6. "-" denotes that an estimate is not available.
7. Individuals and households will feature in multiple 14 day non-overlapping periods. For this reason, it is not appropriate to sum up counts from multiple periods, as this will lead to double counting.
Age 16/17 - Age 24
(School Year 12 - Age 24) Age 25 - Age 34 Age 35 - Age 49
m population estimates.
Age 50 - Age 69 Age 70+
Estimated % Estimated %
Number of testing 95% Lower 95% Upper Number of people Number of testing 95% Lower 95% Upper Number of people Number of
people in positive for confidence confidence testing positive for people in positive for confidence confidence testing positive for people in
sample Covid-19 interval interval Covid-19 sample Covid-19 interval interval Covid-19 sample
3,192 0.30 0.16 0.50 16 5,837 0.25 0.07 0.61 6 2,745
3,951 0.15 0.06 0.31 9 7,145 0.09 0.02 0.29 5 3,327
4,741 0.06 0.02 0.14 6 8,890 0.05 0.00 0.22 * 4,430
4,223 0.10 0.03 0.26 7 8,238 0.10 0.02 0.29 4 4,948
5,630 0.10 0.04 0.21 11 10,862 0.01 0.00 0.03 * 6,515
5,493 0.12 0.06 0.21 12 10,455 0.12 0.03 0.30 5 6,312
6,359 0.03 0.01 0.08 6 12,326 0.06 0.02 0.15 5 7,179
8,347 0.03 0.01 0.07 6 15,960 0.02 0.00 0.07 * 9,538
11,528 0.05 0.03 0.09 13 20,963 0.05 0.02 0.11 * 12,156
16,660 0.15 0.11 0.21 48 28,672 0.14 0.08 0.23 23 17,090
28,273 0.34 0.28 0.40 161 47,186 0.27 0.21 0.35 76 27,654
35,969 0.67 0.60 0.75 413 60,935 0.46 0.39 0.55 157 35,785
31,919 1.06 0.97 1.16 580 54,828 0.74 0.63 0.85 224 31,476
32,234 1.22 1.12 1.33 664 55,032 0.75 0.64 0.87 213 30,692
37,357 0.92 0.84 1.01 543 61,359 0.49 0.42 0.58 170 33,202
32,562 0.96 0.87 1.06 505 54,045 0.62 0.53 0.73 181 29,819
27,237 1.07 0.97 1.17 532 46,922 0.57 0.48 0.68 155 26,719
33,344 1.88 1.76 2.01 1,073 56,589 1.15 1.03 1.29 368 31,634
33,103 1.75 1.63 1.88 965 54,645 0.95 0.83 1.08 284 29,998
32,905 1.42 1.31 1.53 755 54,365 0.91 0.80 1.03 286 30,150
34,323 0.71 0.63 0.79 406 57,276 0.48 0.39 0.57 147 31,386
32,206 0.38 0.32 0.44 188 53,552 0.20 0.15 0.27 58 29,660
30,855 0.23 0.19 0.28 120 52,902 0.15 0.11 0.21 44 29,398
28,672 0.20 0.16 0.25 96 48,754 0.17 0.11 0.23 40 27,854
25,921 0.13 0.10 0.17 57 45,804 0.06 0.04 0.10 17 26,476
29,491 0.05 0.03 0.08 27 50,745 0.02 0.01 0.05 7 29,055
28,073 0.05 0.03 0.08 28 48,837 0.05 0.02 0.09 11 28,350
28,533 0.08 0.05 0.11 37 49,207 0.05 0.03 0.08 19 28,354
25,399 0.10 0.07 0.13 49 45,681 0.06 0.03 0.10 14 26,933
27,602 0.15 0.12 0.20 70 47,364 0.10 0.06 0.15 26 27,449
27,355 0.40 0.34 0.47 175 46,929 0.15 0.11 0.21 48 27,221
26,493 0.67 0.60 0.76 314 47,063 0.46 0.38 0.56 122 27,357
26,068 0.66 0.59 0.74 340 49,360 0.37 0.30 0.46 104 29,007
25,996 0.80 0.72 0.89 402 49,834 0.41 0.33 0.50 118 29,030
26,183 0.80 0.72 0.89 374 47,493 0.64 0.54 0.76 164 27,632
29,043 0.78 0.70 0.87 391 51,024 0.58 0.49 0.68 172 30,131
28,866 0.70 0.62 0.78 339 50,515 0.58 0.48 0.69 162 28,837
Contents
Table 1k
non-overlapping 14-day weighted estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for Covid-19 by region, England
3 May 2020 to 2 October 2021
North East North W
Notes:
1. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
2. The England population used in this analysis was 54,524,775 and relates to the community population aged two years and over. It is not the same as the total population of England as reported in our mid-term population estimates.
3. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
4. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the Covid-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/Covid-19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
5. Some figures have been suppressed (*) due to low sample counts and secondary suppression has been applied where appropriate.
6. "-" denotes that an estimate is not available.
7. Individuals and households will feature in multiple 14 day non-overlapping periods. For this reason, it is not appropriate to sum up counts from multiple periods, as this will lead to double counting.
North West Yorkshire and The Humber
ation estimates.
East Midlands West Midlands
Number of
households Number of
Number of testing positive households in
people in sample for Covid-19 sample
1,957 * 924
2,486 4 1,132
3,198 * 1,478
3,147 * 1,529
3,759 * 1,813
3,793 * 1,867
4,352 * 2,141
5,443 3 2,727
6,786 5 3,414
8,892 7 4,499
13,042 31 6,728
16,519 50 8,582
13,964 71 7,304
14,615 99 7,550
16,704 86 8,532
14,735 60 7,720
12,120 57 6,434
15,205 123 7,968
15,647 165 8,040
15,257 123 7,862
16,143 69 8,227
14,915 28 7,707
14,038 19 7,373
12,903 8 6,796
12,106 5 6,457
13,046 * 6,997
12,185 4 6,549
12,533 8 6,730
10,435 4 5,935
11,513 17 6,346
11,616 43 6,386
11,221 65 6,287
10,806 60 6,284
11,946 86 6,786
12,166 122 6,799
13,122 94 7,226
14,273 124 7,615
Contents
Table 1l
Non-overlapping 14-day weighted estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by age and
11 July 2021 to 2 October 2021
North East
Estimated %
testing 95% Lower
positive for confidence
14-day non-overlapping periods Age band COVID-19 interval
Age 2 - Age 11 3.20 1.47
Age 12 - Age 16 1.86 0.34
Age 17 - Age 24 7.06 3.88
Age 25 - Age 34 3.51 1.85
Age 35 - Age 49 2.07 1.25
Age 50 - Age 69 1.80 1.24
11 July 2021 to 24 July 2021 Age 70+ 0.87 0.39
Age 2 - Age 11 3.92 1.79
Age 12 - Age 16 5.59 2.68
Age 17 - Age 24 4.99 2.32
Age 25 - Age 34 1.31 0.49
Age 35 - Age 49 1.23 0.65
Age 50 - Age 69 1.45 0.95
25 July 2021 to 07 August 2021 Age 70+ 0.72 0.27
Age 2 - Age 11 2.22 0.77
Age 12 - Age 16 3.50 1.32
Age 17 - Age 24 0.52 0.06
Age 25 - Age 34 1.88 0.81
Age 35 - Age 49 1.20 0.59
Age 50 - Age 69 0.67 0.34
08 August 2021 to 21 August 2021 Age 70+ 0.36 0.13
Age 2 - Age 11 3.57 1.85
Age 12 - Age 16 4.19 2.29
Age 17 - Age 24 2.55 0.92
Age 25 - Age 34 1.41 0.42
Age 35 - Age 49 1.59 0.89
Age 50 - Age 69 1.04 0.63
22 August 2021 to 04 September 2021 Age 70+ 1.83 1.10
Age 2 - Age 11 1.65 0.53
Age 12 - Age 16 3.60 1.37
Age 17 - Age 24 1.82 0.46
Age 25 - Age 34 1.18 0.35
Age 35 - Age 49 1.63 0.88
Age 50 - Age 69 1.20 0.78
05 September 2021 to 18 September 2021 Age 70+ 0.68 0.30
Age 2 - Age 11 3.60 1.85
Age 12 - Age 16 3.52 1.74
Age 17 - Age 24 0.92 0.17
Age 25 - Age 34 0.59 0.07
Notes:
1. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care home
2. The England population used in this analysis was 54,524,775 and relates to the community population aged two years and over. It is
3. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
4. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infecti
5. Individuals and households will feature in multiple 14 day non-overlapping periods. For this reason, it is not appropriate to sum up c
g positive for COVID-19 by age and region, England
Estimated % Estimated %
95% Upper Number of testing 95% Lower 95% Upper Number of testing
confidence people in positive for confidence confidence people in positive for
interval sample COVID-19 interval interval sample COVID-19
6.00 293 2.75 1.79 4.03 1,057 2.14
5.65 210 3.74 2.55 5.29 918 3.17
11.64 215 4.69 3.21 6.58 798 4.27
6.02 428 1.57 0.94 2.45 1,416 0.85
3.21 998 1.74 1.27 2.31 3,214 1.63
2.52 2,350 0.83 0.60 1.12 6,308 0.58
1.66 1,380 1.10 0.74 1.58 3,696 0.45
7.35 282 1.55 0.91 2.46 1,071 3.82
10.11 244 3.37 2.16 4.99 818 5.29
9.21 220 3.60 2.33 5.30 702 3.69
2.83 471 1.38 0.83 2.15 1,488 1.74
2.09 963 1.02 0.68 1.47 3,219 1.88
2.13 2,325 0.64 0.46 0.88 6,502 0.82
1.55 1,263 0.53 0.29 0.89 3,787 0.34
4.96 275 2.87 1.92 4.12 1,120 4.01
7.40 223 2.05 1.15 3.36 869 2.80
1.89 214 2.55 1.59 3.85 842 4.07
3.68 445 0.88 0.48 1.50 1,540 1.38
2.18 962 1.31 0.93 1.77 3,295 1.62
1.17 2,430 0.93 0.70 1.21 6,903 1.14
0.81 1,348 0.62 0.37 0.97 4,052 0.35
6.17 397 2.63 1.64 3.98 1,063 2.75
6.99 364 2.12 1.21 3.42 829 4.02
5.54 294 1.38 0.61 2.68 728 2.77
3.42 494 1.59 0.93 2.54 1,436 1.03
2.62 1,159 0.82 0.51 1.24 3,250 1.41
1.61 2,327 0.88 0.64 1.18 6,688 1.15
2.86 1,298 0.68 0.43 1.03 3,886 0.53
3.83 353 2.64 1.78 3.76 1,248 2.28
7.54 247 2.38 1.48 3.62 975 2.60
4.77 213 1.69 0.85 3.00 799 1.60
2.88 504 1.19 0.67 1.96 1,547 0.62
2.73 991 1.08 0.74 1.50 3,572 1.20
1.78 2,477 1.04 0.79 1.34 7,072 1.06
1.33 1,328 0.68 0.44 1.00 4,184 0.89
6.26 436 2.59 1.81 3.58 1,443 4.51
6.28 354 6.02 4.56 7.78 1,123 5.61
2.79 285 1.16 0.48 2.34 812 1.16
2.14 483 0.49 0.17 1.09 1,558 0.93
1.88 1,249 1.34 0.95 1.83 3,770 1.38
1.38 2,486 0.92 0.68 1.22 7,057 1.06
1.89 1,403 0.72 0.47 1.06 4,054 0.88
diseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
eason, it is not appropriate to sum up counts from multiple periods, as this will lead to double counting.
Yorkshire and The Humber East Midlands
Estimated %
95% Lower 95% Upper Number of testing 95% Lower 95% Upper Number of
confidence confidence people in positive for confidence confidence people in
interval interval sample COVID-19 interval interval sample
1.22 3.47 875 2.53 1.33 4.34 591
1.81 5.12 671 4.29 2.49 6.86 487
2.68 6.42 547 2.53 1.22 4.61 445
0.38 1.64 1,053 1.43 0.74 2.48 752
1.13 2.28 2,530 1.73 1.09 2.58 1,785
0.38 0.85 5,107 0.48 0.26 0.80 3,602
0.23 0.79 2,957 0.53 0.23 1.06 2,078
2.56 5.47 878 1.75 0.77 3.40 498
3.64 7.39 708 4.25 2.58 6.54 509
2.24 5.68 570 1.95 0.91 3.64 434
0.95 2.91 1,095 1.14 0.53 2.15 832
1.32 2.60 2,579 1.22 0.74 1.88 1,836
0.59 1.13 5,301 0.67 0.43 1.00 3,898
0.15 0.66 2,951 0.25 0.09 0.53 2,299
2.60 5.89 812 1.43 0.59 2.88 624
1.49 4.77 652 4.65 2.87 7.07 514
2.52 6.19 588 3.61 2.01 5.94 476
0.69 2.45 1,137 1.33 0.64 2.43 833
1.11 2.27 2,512 0.85 0.42 1.51 1,859
0.85 1.50 5,420 0.73 0.48 1.06 3,918
0.17 0.62 3,120 0.25 0.08 0.60 2,283
1.73 4.15 937 2.02 1.02 3.57 575
2.59 5.93 744 2.17 1.09 3.85 545
1.43 4.83 525 1.54 0.59 3.23 436
0.52 1.80 995 0.99 0.42 1.97 843
0.97 1.99 2,575 1.20 0.77 1.77 1,897
0.83 1.55 4,741 0.84 0.56 1.22 3,905
0.26 0.94 2,605 0.65 0.31 1.20 2,259
1.34 3.60 967 2.19 1.11 3.87 587
1.49 4.20 732 4.08 2.41 6.42 527
0.66 3.21 550 1.00 0.27 2.59 417
0.23 1.31 1,105 0.73 0.19 1.88 793
0.74 1.82 2,737 0.99 0.60 1.55 1,885
0.78 1.40 5,406 0.75 0.49 1.09 3,886
0.57 1.32 3,119 0.68 0.38 1.12 2,387
3.18 6.19 1,059 4.48 2.99 6.42 750
4.06 7.53 826 6.81 4.89 9.19 668
0.40 2.59 534 1.01 0.32 2.37 504
0.42 1.77 1,083 0.61 0.19 1.45 817
0.96 1.92 2,736 1.78 1.14 2.65 2,123
0.76 1.45 5,063 0.66 0.41 1.01 3,944
0.53 1.36 2,734 0.69 0.32 1.29 2,148
Estimated % Estimated %
testing 95% Lower 95% Upper Number of testing 95% Lower 95% Upper
positive for confidence confidence people in positive for confidence confidence
COVID-19 interval interval sample COVID-19 interval interval
2.21 1.30 3.51 889 0.90 0.37 1.81
3.36 2.03 5.21 662 1.54 0.73 2.84
3.34 1.98 5.27 569 3.31 1.93 5.25
2.02 1.21 3.16 1,042 0.74 0.27 1.62
1.56 1.05 2.24 2,293 0.99 0.61 1.51
0.73 0.50 1.03 4,435 0.37 0.22 0.58
0.39 0.17 0.77 2,576 0.18 0.06 0.43
2.94 1.82 4.49 774 0.99 0.41 1.98
3.53 2.12 5.49 600 2.72 1.57 4.36
2.02 1.01 3.57 598 2.51 1.46 4.01
1.05 0.51 1.91 949 1.18 0.57 2.17
0.73 0.39 1.24 2,193 0.54 0.30 0.89
0.84 0.58 1.17 4,448 0.37 0.22 0.58
0.47 0.24 0.81 2,682 0.28 0.14 0.49
1.72 0.95 2.85 899 1.83 1.04 2.98
1.61 0.72 3.10 660 2.23 1.26 3.63
3.15 1.83 5.04 555 3.54 2.16 5.45
0.92 0.41 1.75 1,043 0.95 0.41 1.88
1.15 0.75 1.69 2,332 0.81 0.49 1.26
0.57 0.37 0.85 4,634 0.84 0.59 1.15
0.45 0.21 0.84 2,694 0.32 0.12 0.68
1.49 0.72 2.70 742 1.89 1.06 3.10
3.20 1.93 4.97 569 1.91 1.04 3.19
2.94 1.61 4.90 533 3.26 1.99 4.99
1.33 0.67 2.35 889 0.81 0.33 1.63
1.42 0.92 2.10 2,057 1.09 0.71 1.59
0.84 0.58 1.18 4,078 0.57 0.38 0.82
0.49 0.24 0.89 2,507 0.59 0.32 0.98
2.27 1.29 3.68 775 2.01 1.20 3.16
2.72 1.61 4.29 663 2.31 1.31 3.77
1.22 0.44 2.68 554 1.62 0.75 3.01
0.90 0.41 1.69 1,047 0.46 0.16 1.02
0.95 0.59 1.45 2,346 1.07 0.69 1.56
0.76 0.53 1.06 4,667 0.56 0.36 0.82
0.48 0.25 0.83 2,911 0.43 0.22 0.74
3.51 2.42 4.89 988 2.22 1.40 3.33
5.40 3.77 7.48 714 3.90 2.68 5.47
0.55 0.14 1.42 609 0.52 0.14 1.33
0.22 0.04 0.68 1,034 0.57 0.20 1.26
0.93 0.56 1.46 2,464 1.08 0.72 1.55
0.81 0.57 1.13 4,547 0.59 0.38 0.87
0.66 0.35 1.12 2,603 0.38 0.20 0.67
ngland London South East
Estimated % Estimated %
Number of testing 95% Lower 95% Upper Number of testing 95% Lower
people in positive for confidence confidence people in positive for confidence
sample COVID-19 interval interval sample COVID-19 interval
858 1.64 1.13 2.30 2,036 1.46 0.86
738 3.33 2.40 4.50 1,468 2.47 1.60
552 3.45 2.53 4.60 1,530 3.00 2.00
880 1.86 1.42 2.39 3,919 0.79 0.38
2,501 0.98 0.75 1.26 7,191 0.91 0.61
4,740 0.72 0.54 0.94 8,710 0.58 0.40
3,058 0.65 0.41 0.97 4,087 0.18 0.08
910 1.76 1.19 2.49 1,859 1.95 1.23
712 2.52 1.71 3.55 1,385 2.08 1.31
645 1.95 1.29 2.82 1,450 2.76 1.80
1,065 2.24 1.76 2.80 3,891 0.98 0.55
2,787 0.99 0.74 1.30 6,804 0.88 0.59
5,572 0.69 0.52 0.90 8,828 0.52 0.36
3,492 0.47 0.27 0.75 4,404 0.16 0.07
817 1.73 1.14 2.52 1,740 1.23 0.68
708 2.23 1.48 3.21 1,357 1.86 1.20
625 2.55 1.81 3.50 1,494 2.81 1.81
1,039 1.43 1.06 1.89 3,624 0.97 0.51
2,657 1.17 0.90 1.49 6,387 1.00 0.71
5,431 1.03 0.80 1.29 8,290 0.61 0.45
3,441 0.69 0.43 1.03 3,942 0.38 0.22
1,093 1.10 0.67 1.70 1,883 1.81 1.21
822 1.97 1.26 2.93 1,380 2.22 1.52
653 1.80 1.13 2.72 1,288 2.74 1.79
1,004 1.14 0.77 1.62 3,253 0.47 0.20
2,922 1.01 0.77 1.31 6,325 0.84 0.59
5,556 0.75 0.56 0.97 8,015 0.62 0.45
3,451 0.64 0.39 0.98 3,837 0.47 0.29
1,020 1.86 1.31 2.56 2,337 2.07 1.37
839 2.02 1.40 2.81 1,706 2.68 1.81
629 1.93 1.27 2.82 1,551 2.62 1.64
1,082 0.55 0.32 0.89 3,806 1.30 0.75
3,034 0.73 0.54 0.96 7,722 0.37 0.21
5,648 0.74 0.56 0.96 9,124 0.64 0.47
3,516 0.72 0.47 1.05 4,252 0.42 0.23
1,174 2.20 1.56 3.00 1,879 2.77 2.01
900 4.12 3.07 5.40 1,377 4.01 3.00
626 0.71 0.32 1.36 1,249 0.83 0.34
1,086 0.46 0.25 0.77 3,512 0.48 0.18
3,059 0.71 0.51 0.95 6,688 0.89 0.62
5,409 0.48 0.33 0.66 8,514 0.58 0.42
3,451 0.50 0.29 0.81 3,959 0.33 0.17
South East South West
Estimated %
95% Upper Number of testing 95% Lower 95% Upper Number of
confidence people in positive for confidence confidence people in
interval sample COVID-19 interval interval sample
2.30 1,275 1.44 0.64 2.78 655
3.63 1,164 1.35 0.42 3.21 485
4.33 957 2.13 0.91 4.20 408
1.45 1,421 1.72 0.84 3.12 719
1.29 4,068 0.96 0.55 1.55 1,913
0.80 7,635 0.56 0.34 0.87 4,176
0.34 4,660 0.16 0.05 0.41 2,865
2.92 1,303 0.89 0.24 2.29 455
3.13 1,136 2.57 1.27 4.59 386
4.04 963 2.63 1.18 5.01 335
1.61 1,477 0.77 0.23 1.85 752
1.25 4,004 0.81 0.44 1.37 1,683
0.71 8,261 0.49 0.29 0.77 4,225
0.33 5,159 0.40 0.18 0.79 2,970
2.05 1,254 2.44 1.32 4.10 650
2.75 1,202 2.41 1.21 4.28 458
4.15 949 3.17 1.70 5.36 438
1.67 1,510 1.08 0.41 2.27 741
1.36 4,064 0.76 0.39 1.34 1,928
0.80 8,180 0.66 0.43 0.97 4,628
0.60 5,047 0.24 0.11 0.48 3,103
2.60 1,501 2.53 1.39 4.22 673
3.13 1,277 4.33 2.69 6.57 545
4.00 1,042 4.37 2.56 6.92 416
0.94 1,377 1.44 0.68 2.67 815
1.16 3,986 1.53 0.97 2.29 2,012
0.82 7,666 0.80 0.54 1.12 4,517
0.72 4,601 0.64 0.37 1.03 3,188
2.99 1,453 2.44 1.44 3.86 824
3.82 1,310 2.45 1.40 3.97 657
3.97 939 2.73 1.45 4.63 473
2.09 1,509 1.22 0.49 2.49 837
0.59 4,424 0.57 0.33 0.94 2,332
0.85 8,074 0.57 0.36 0.84 4,670
0.69 5,105 0.43 0.23 0.74 3,329
3.72 1,631 4.39 3.03 6.12 940
5.25 1,333 6.29 4.54 8.45 738
1.69 919 0.82 0.24 2.01 584
1.01 1,562 0.87 0.32 1.87 915
1.22 4,337 1.12 0.71 1.68 2,440
0.78 8,265 0.48 0.30 0.73 5,230
0.58 5,059 0.41 0.22 0.68 3,426
Contents
Table 1m
Modelled percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by CIS sub-region, England
26 September 2021 to 2 October 2021
95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled ratio of people 95% Lower 95% Upper
Modelled % testing credible credible testing positive for credible credible
Geography Code Region Local authority areas positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval COVID-19 Interval Interval
J06000101 North East Northumberland 1.44 1.13 1.84 1 in 70 1 in 90 1 in 55
J06000102 North East North Tyneside 1.39 1.05 1.87 1 in 70 1 in 95 1 in 55
J06000103 North East Newcastle upon Tyne 1.84 1.42 2.40 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 40
J06000104 North East South Tyneside; Sunderland; Gateshead 1.84 1.50 2.26 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 45
J06000105 North East Darlington; County Durham 1.90 1.55 2.33 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 45
J06000106 North East Hartlepool; Middlesbrough; Redcar and Cleveland; Stockton-on-Tees 1.57 1.20 2.05 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 50
J06000107 North West Allerdale; Barrow-in-Furness; Carlisle; Copeland; Eden; South Lakeland 1.62 1.30 2.02 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 50
J06000108 North West Blackpool; Fylde; Lancaster; Preston; Ribble Valley; South Ribble; Wyre 1.26 1.02 1.55 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65
J06000109 North West Burnley; Hyndburn; Pendle; Rossendale; Bury 1.73 1.41 2.12 1 in 60 1 in 70 1 in 45
J06000110 North West Blackburn with Darwen; Chorley; Bolton 1.56 1.24 1.95 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 50
J06000111 North West Rochdale 1.79 1.36 2.39 1 in 55 1 in 75 1 in 40
J06000112 North West Oldham 1.66 1.26 2.18 1 in 60 1 in 80 1 in 45
J06000113 North West West Lancashire; Knowsley; Liverpool; Sefton 1.61 1.33 1.95 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 50
J06000114 North West Wigan; St. Helens 1.48 1.18 1.84 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 55
J06000115 North West Salford 1.87 1.44 2.43 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 40
J06000116 North West Tameside 1.77 1.36 2.28 1 in 55 1 in 75 1 in 45
J06000117 North West Manchester 1.69 1.33 2.11 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 45
J06000118 North West Halton; Warrington; Trafford 1.26 1.01 1.56 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65
J06000119 North West Stockport 1.74 1.40 2.18 1 in 60 1 in 70 1 in 45
J06000120 North West Wirral 0.84 0.59 1.20 1 in 120 1 in 170 1 in 85
J06000121 North West Cheshire East 1.40 1.11 1.77 1 in 70 1 in 90 1 in 55
J06000122 North West Cheshire West and Chester 1.33 1.04 1.71 1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 60
J06000123 Yorkshire and The Humber Craven; Hambleton; Harrogate; Richmondshire; Ryedale; Scarborough; Selby 1.27 1.03 1.57 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65
J06000124 Yorkshire and The Humber York 1.19 0.85 1.63 1 in 85 1 in 120 1 in 60
J06000125 Yorkshire and The Humber East Riding of Yorkshire 1.44 1.12 1.84 1 in 70 1 in 90 1 in 55
J06000126 Yorkshire and The Humber Bradford 1.78 1.42 2.21 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45
J06000127 Yorkshire and The Humber Leeds 1.82 1.48 2.23 1 in 55 1 in 65 1 in 45
J06000128 Yorkshire and The Humber Kingston upon Hull, City of 2.56 1.94 3.38 1 in 40 1 in 50 1 in 30
J06000129 Yorkshire and The Humber Calderdale 2.22 1.78 2.78 1 in 45 1 in 55 1 in 35
J06000130 Yorkshire and The Humber Wakefield 1.61 1.26 2.07 1 in 60 1 in 80 1 in 50
J06000131 Yorkshire and The Humber Kirklees 2.26 1.87 2.74 1 in 45 1 in 55 1 in 35
J06000132 Yorkshire and The Humber Barnsley 1.87 1.45 2.41 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 40
J06000133 Yorkshire and The Humber North East Lincolnshire; North Lincolnshire; Doncaster; Rotherham 1.53 1.27 1.85 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55
J06000134 Yorkshire and The Humber Sheffield 1.51 1.19 1.90 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 55
J06000135 East Midlands Ashfield; Bassetlaw; Broxtowe; Gedling; Mansfield; Newark and Sherwood; Rushcliffe 1.58 1.29 1.94 1 in 65 1 in 75 1 in 50
J06000136 East Midlands Boston; East Lindsey; Lincoln; North Kesteven; South Holland; South Kesteven; West Lindsey 1.19 0.96 1.49 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 65
J06000137 East Midlands Amber Valley; Bolsover; Chesterfield; Derbyshire Dales; Erewash; High Peak; North East Derbyshire; South Derbyshire 1.66 1.39 2.00 1 in 60 1 in 70 1 in 50
J06000138 East Midlands Nottingham 1.36 0.97 1.91 1 in 75 1 in 100 1 in 50
J06000139 East Midlands Derby 1.55 1.18 2.03 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 50
J06000140 East Midlands Blaby; Charnwood; Harborough; Hinckley and Bosworth; Melton; North West Leicestershire; Oadby and Wigston 1.64 1.33 2.02 1 in 60 1 in 75 1 in 50
J06000141 East Midlands Leicester 1.93 1.45 2.55 1 in 50 1 in 70 1 in 40
J06000142 East Midlands Rutland; Corby; Daventry; East Northamptonshire; Kettering; Northampton; South Northamptonshire; Wellingborough 1.30 1.05 1.62 1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 60
J06000143 West Midlands Telford and Wrekin; Stoke-on-Trent; Stafford 1.82 1.45 2.29 1 in 55 1 in 70 1 in 45
J06000144 West Midlands Cannock Chase; East Staffordshire; Lichfield; Newcastle-under-Lyme; South Staffordshire; Staffordshire Moorlands; Tamworth 1.45 1.18 1.77 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 55
J06000145 West Midlands Shropshire 1.37 1.06 1.75 1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 55
J06000146 West Midlands Walsall 1.55 1.18 2.03 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 50
J06000147 West Midlands Wolverhampton 1.24 0.90 1.68 1 in 80 1 in 110 1 in 60
J06000148 West Midlands Sandwell 1.34 1.00 1.80 1 in 75 1 in 100 1 in 55
J06000149 West Midlands Birmingham 1.52 1.23 1.87 1 in 65 1 in 80 1 in 55
J06000150 West Midlands Solihull 1.39 1.06 1.84 1 in 70 1 in 95 1 in 55
J06000151 West Midlands Coventry 1.65 1.23 2.20 1 in 60 1 in 80 1 in 45
J06000152 West Midlands Bromsgrove; Redditch; Dudley 1.48 1.19 1.86 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 55
J06000153 West Midlands North Warwickshire; Nuneaton and Bedworth; Rugby; Stratford-on-Avon; Warwick 1.24 0.99 1.54 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65
J06000154 West Midlands Herefordshire, County of; Malvern Hills; Worcester; Wychavon; Wyre Forest 1.22 0.98 1.52 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65
J06000155 East of England Breckland; Broadland; Great Yarmouth; King's Lynn and West Norfolk; North Norfolk; Norwich; South Norfolk 0.93 0.74 1.18 1 in 110 1 in 130 1 in 85
J06000156 East of England Peterborough 1.51 1.12 2.03 1 in 65 1 in 90 1 in 50
J06000157 East of England Cambridge; East Cambridgeshire; Fenland; Huntingdonshire; South Cambridgeshire 0.93 0.74 1.16 1 in 110 1 in 140 1 in 85
J06000158 East of England Suffolk Coastal; Waveney 1.02 0.73 1.43 1 in 100 1 in 140 1 in 70
J06000159 East of England Tendring; Babergh; Forest Heath; Ipswich; Mid Suffolk; St Edmundsbury 0.89 0.69 1.14 1 in 110 1 in 140 1 in 90
J06000160 East of England Luton; Bedford; Central Bedfordshire 1.40 1.13 1.75 1 in 70 1 in 90 1 in 55
J06000161 East of England Broxbourne; Dacorum; Hertsmere; North Hertfordshire; Three Rivers; Watford; St Albans; Welwyn Hatfield; East Hertfordshire; Stevenage 1.16 0.97 1.39 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 70
J06000162 East of England Southend-on-Sea; Braintree; Chelmsford; Colchester; Maldon; Rochford; Uttlesford 1.09 0.88 1.34 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75
J06000163 East of England Thurrock; Basildon; Brentwood; Castle Point; Epping Forest; Harlow 1.22 0.98 1.52 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65
J06000164 London Enfield 1.22 0.94 1.58 1 in 80 1 in 110 1 in 65
J06000165 London Barnet 1.35 1.08 1.68 1 in 75 1 in 90 1 in 60
J06000166 London Waltham Forest 1.27 0.98 1.68 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 60
J06000167 London Harrow 1.09 0.82 1.43 1 in 90 1 in 120 1 in 70
J06000168 London Redbridge 1.05 0.79 1.38 1 in 95 1 in 130 1 in 70
J06000169 London Haringey 1.20 0.91 1.56 1 in 85 1 in 110 1 in 65
J06000170 London Havering 1.41 1.10 1.82 1 in 70 1 in 90 1 in 55
J06000171 London Brent 1.29 0.98 1.69 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 60
J06000172 London Barking and Dagenham 1.06 0.76 1.48 1 in 95 1 in 130 1 in 70
J06000173 London City of London; Hackney; Islington 1.26 1.00 1.59 1 in 80 1 in 100 1 in 65
J06000174 London Camden 1.19 0.90 1.58 1 in 85 1 in 110 1 in 65
J06000175 London Hillingdon 1.42 1.10 1.81 1 in 70 1 in 90 1 in 55
J06000176 London Newham 1.01 0.74 1.36 1 in 100 1 in 130 1 in 75
J06000177 London Ealing 1.11 0.85 1.44 1 in 90 1 in 120 1 in 70
J06000178 London Tower Hamlets 1.08 0.79 1.47 1 in 95 1 in 130 1 in 70
J06000179 London Hammersmith and Fulham; Kensington and Chelsea; Westminster 1.20 0.95 1.51 1 in 85 1 in 100 1 in 65
J06000180 London Greenwich 0.96 0.72 1.26 1 in 100 1 in 140 1 in 80
J06000181 London Bexley 1.04 0.80 1.36 1 in 95 1 in 130 1 in 75
J06000182 London Southwark 1.19 0.92 1.54 1 in 85 1 in 110 1 in 65
J06000183 London Lambeth 0.99 0.75 1.28 1 in 100 1 in 130 1 in 80
J06000184 London Hounslow 1.63 1.26 2.10 1 in 60 1 in 80 1 in 50
J06000185 London Lewisham 0.96 0.71 1.27 1 in 100 1 in 140 1 in 80
J06000186 London Wandsworth 1.18 0.91 1.52 1 in 85 1 in 110 1 in 65
J06000187 London Kingston upon Thames; Merton; Richmond upon Thames 1.11 0.92 1.35 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75
J06000188 London Bromley 0.93 0.74 1.15 1 in 110 1 in 140 1 in 85
J06000189 London Sutton 1.03 0.78 1.36 1 in 95 1 in 130 1 in 75
J06000190 London Croydon 1.11 0.87 1.42 1 in 90 1 in 120 1 in 70
J06000191 South East Milton Keynes 1.59 1.21 2.10 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 50
J06000192 South East Aylesbury Vale; Chiltern; South Bucks; Wycombe 1.06 0.81 1.34 1 in 95 1 in 120 1 in 75
J06000193 South East West Berkshire; Cherwell; Oxford; South Oxfordshire; Vale of White Horse; West Oxfordshire 1.08 0.86 1.34 1 in 95 1 in 120 1 in 75
J06000194 South East Medway 0.93 0.66 1.32 1 in 110 1 in 150 1 in 75
J06000195 South East Bracknell Forest; Slough; Windsor and Maidenhead; Runnymede; Spelthorne; Surrey Heath 1.09 0.87 1.36 1 in 90 1 in 120 1 in 75
J06000196 South East Reading; Wokingham; Hart; Rushmoor 1.06 0.83 1.35 1 in 95 1 in 120 1 in 75
J06000197 South East Canterbury; Dover; Swale; Thanet 0.94 0.70 1.24 1 in 110 1 in 140 1 in 80
J06000198 South East Elmbridge; Epsom and Ewell; Guildford; Mole Valley; Reigate and Banstead; Tandridge; Waverley; Woking 1.23 1.03 1.49 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 65
J06000199 South East Ashford; Dartford; Gravesham; Maidstone; Sevenoaks; Folkestone and Hythe; Tonbridge and Malling; Tunbridge Wells 1.11 0.91 1.37 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75
J06000200 South East Isle of Wight; Basingstoke and Deane; East Hampshire; Eastleigh; Fareham; Gosport; Havant; New Forest; Test Valley; Winchester 1.23 1.04 1.46 1 in 80 1 in 95 1 in 70
J06000201 South East Eastbourne; Hastings; Lewes; Rother; Wealden 1.43 1.12 1.82 1 in 70 1 in 90 1 in 55
J06000202 South East Adur; Arun; Chichester; Crawley; Horsham; Mid Sussex; Worthing 1.13 0.93 1.38 1 in 90 1 in 110 1 in 75
J06000203 South East Southampton 1.54 1.08 2.16 1 in 65 1 in 95 1 in 45
J06000204 South East Brighton and Hove 1.29 0.94 1.77 1 in 75 1 in 110 1 in 55
J06000205 South East Portsmouth 1.35 0.93 1.94 1 in 75 1 in 110 1 in 50
J06000206 South West Cheltenham; Cotswold; Forest of Dean; Gloucester; Stroud; Tewkesbury 1.18 0.94 1.49 1 in 85 1 in 110 1 in 65
J06000207 South West Swindon 1.79 1.33 2.42 1 in 55 1 in 75 1 in 40
J06000208 South West South Gloucestershire 1.25 0.93 1.67 1 in 80 1 in 110 1 in 60
J06000209 South West Bath and North East Somerset; Bristol, City of; North Somerset 1.49 1.20 1.84 1 in 65 1 in 85 1 in 55
J06000210 South West Wiltshire 1.43 1.14 1.80 1 in 70 1 in 85 1 in 55
J06000211 South West Mendip; Sedgemoor; South Somerset; Taunton Deane; West Somerset 1.05 0.81 1.36 1 in 95 1 in 120 1 in 75
J06000212 South West East Devon; Exeter; Mid Devon; North Devon; Teignbridge; Torridge; West Devon 1.16 0.92 1.47 1 in 85 1 in 110 1 in 70
J06000213 South West East Dorset; North Dorset; Purbeck; West Dorset; Weymouth and Portland 1.08 0.84 1.41 1 in 90 1 in 120 1 in 70
J06000214 South West Bournemouth; Poole; Christchurch 1.99 1.57 2.52 1 in 50 1 in 65 1 in 40
J06000215 South West Cornwall; Isles of Scilly 1.16 0.87 1.54 1 in 85 1 in 110 1 in 65
J06000216 South West Plymouth; Torbay; South Hams 1.37 1.05 1.79 1 in 75 1 in 95 1 in 55
Source: Office for National Statistics – Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey
Notes:
1. All results are provisional and subject to revision.
2. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
3. This analysis is based on statistical modelling conducted by our research partners at the University of Oxford.
4. The method combines a statistical modelling approach with population information used in standard population weighting.
5. As this is based on Bayesian analysis, the appropriate uncertainty measure to use is credible intervals rather than confidence intervals. However they can be interpreted in the same way.
6. Sub-regional estimates are based on a different model to our headline estimates. Our sub-regional estimates are calculated as an average over a seven-day period and should not be compared to our headline positivity estimates which are for
a single reference date. As a result, sub-regional estimates are not as responsive as the headline positivity estimates to changes in the most recent days.
7. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
8. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
9. Please note, due to different trends across the four countries, we have modelled Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland separately to England. In previous weeks, Northern Ireland has been modelled separately, and England, Wales and
Scotland have been modelled together.
Contents
Table 1n
Official reported estimates of incidence of COVID-19, England
8 June 2020 to 18 September 2021
Estimated COVID-19
incidence rate per
Time period 10,000 people per day
Presenting incidence based on 14 day non-overlapping periods, unweighted. Headline figures not comparable to previou
08 June 2020 to 21 June 2020 0.59
14 June 2020 to 27 June 2020 0.64
22 June 2020 to 05 July 2020 0.30
Methodological change to use of unweighted modelling for headline estimates, based on weekly midpoint. Headline figu
06 July 2020 to 12 July 2020 0.31
Methodological change to use Bayesian, weighted modelling with rate presented per 10,000 people per day. Headline fi
13 July 2020 to 19 July 2020 0.52
20 July 2020 to 26 July 2020 0.78
27 July 2020 to 02 August 2020 0.68
03 August 2020 to 09 August 2020 0.69
07 August 2020 to 13 August 2020 0.44
14 August 2020 to 20 August 2020 0.40
19 August 2020 to 25 August 2020 0.36
30 August 2020 to 05 September 2020 0.58
04 September 2020 to 10 September 2020 1.10
13 September 2020 to 19 September 2020 1.75
18 September 2020 to 24 September 2020 1.54
25 September 2020 to 01 October 2020 3.16
02 October 2020 to 08 October 2020 5.11
10 October 2020 to 16 October 2020 6.46
17 October 2020 to 23 October 2020 9.52
25 October 2020 to 31 October 2020 8.38
31 October 2020 to 06 November 2020 8.75
08 November 2020 to 14 November 2020 7.14
22 November 2020 to 28 November 2020 4.71
These are positivity-based indicative estimates and were not published at the time
29 November 2020 to 05 December 2020 7.17
06 December 2020 to 12 December 2020 8.62
13 December 2020 to 19 December 2020 13.45
20 December 2020 to 26 December 2020 19.64
27 December 2020 to 02 January 2021 15.52
03 January 2021 to 09 January 2021 11.60
10 January 2021 to 16 January 2021 13.09
17 January 2021 to 23 January 2021 11.30
24 January 2021 to 30 January 2021 9.23
31 January 2021 to 06 February 2021 6.18
07 February 2021 to 13 February 2021 3.53
14 February 2021 to 20 February 2021 2.44
21 February 2021 to 27 February 2021 1.68
28 February 2021 to 06 March 2021 1.87
Official positivity-based estimates
07 March 2021 to 13 March 2021 2.00
14 March 2021 to 20 March 2021 2.29
21 March 2021 to 27 March 2021 2.75
28 March 2021 to 03 April 2021 2.04
03 April 2021 to 09 April 2021 1.31
11 April 2021 to 17 April 2021 0.66
19 April 2021 to 25 April 2021 0.54
These are positivity-based indicative estimates and were not published at the time
25 April 2021 to 01 May 2021 0.53
02 May 2021 to 08 May 2021 0.60
09 May 2021 to 15 May 2021 0.74
16 May 2021 to 22 May 2021 0.99
23 May 2021 to 29 May 2021 1.32
30 May 2021 to 05 June 2021 1.51
06 June 2021 to 12 June 2021 2.33
Official positivity-based estimates
13 June 2021 to 19 June 2021 3.05
20 June 2021 to 26 June 2021 5.20
27 June 2021 to 03 July 2021 8.25
04 July 2021 to 10 July 2021 11.57
11 July 2021 to 17 July 2021 13.69
18 July 2021 to 24 July 2021 11.97
25 July 2021 to 31 July 2021 9.82
31 July 2021 to 06 August 2021 9.85
14 August 2021 to 20 August 2021 11.75
22 August 2021 to 28 August 2021 11.19
29 August 2021 to 04 September 2021 10.29
05 September 2021 to 11 September 2021 9.60
12 September 2021 to 18 September 2021 10.27
Source: Office for National Statistics – Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey
Notes:
1. Confidence intervals used up to and including the period 6 July to 12 July 2020, following which credible intervals have been presen
2. From 13 July 2020 estimates are based on the reference day from the reference week. The reference days vary during this period du
occurrence of public holidays. This date may differ from the reference day used for the positivity rate.
3. Due to the timeliness of the data received from the laboratories and occurrence of public holidays there are gaps and overlaps betw
4. Some figures (-) were not published at the time.
5. From 26 March 2021 we have reintroduced our estimates of incidence for England based on a new positivity based method. Indicati
6. As of 13 June 2021 we have changed the reference date used for our official estimates of incidence of PCR-positive cases to 14 days
reference date was 10 days prior to the positivity reference day.
7. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infecti
8. These statistics refer to infections reported in the community, by which we mean private households. These figures exclude infectio
9. Individuals and households will feature in multiple 14 day non-overlapping periods. For this reason, it is not appropriate to sum up c
95% Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95% Upper
confidence/ confidence/ Estimated number of confidence/ confidence/
credible credible new COVID-19 infections credible credible
Interval Interval per day Interval Interval
s not comparable to previous estimates
0.27 1.29 - - -
0.34 1.21 3,500 1,900 6,600
0.14 0.67 1,700 700 3,700
ekly midpoint. Headline figures not comparable to previous estimates
0.13 0.77 1,700 700 4,200
people per day. Headline figures not comparable to previous estimates
0.28 1.00 2,800 1,500 5,500
0.40 1.49 4,200 2,200 8,100
0.38 1.17 3,700 2,100 6,400
0.42 1.08 3,800 2,300 5,900
0.22 0.76 2,400 1,200 4,200
0.21 0.69 2,200 1,100 3,800
0.21 0.58 2,000 1,100 3,200
0.38 0.84 3,200 2,000 4,600
0.77 1.51 6,000 4,200 8,300
1.31 2.30 9,600 7,100 12,600
1.19 1.96 8,400 6,500 10,700
2.53 4.19 17,200 13,800 22,900
4.15 6.99 27,900 22,700 38,200
5.46 8.55 35,200 29,800 46,600
7.06 14.53 51,900 38,500 79,200
6.92 10.93 45,700 37,700 59,600
7.25 10.93 47,700 39,500 59,600
6.29 8.09 38,900 34,300 44,100
4.09 5.40 25,700 22,300 29,400
ere are gaps and overlaps between some of our official estimates, this does not impact the comparability of these estimates.
ositivity based method. Indicative results using this new method are provided between 29 November 2020 and 6 March 2021.
f PCR-positive cases to 14 days prior to the positivity reference date. Previously the incidence
/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
t is not appropriate to sum up counts from multiple periods, as this will lead to double counting.
Contents
Table 1o
Modelled daily incidence rate of COVID-19 per 10,000 people per day, England
12 August 2021 to 22 September 2021
Modelled COVID-19 95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled number of
Incidence rate per credible credible new COVID-19 infections
Date 10,000 people per day Interval Interval per day
12 August 2021 11.96 10.84 13.10 65,200
13 August 2021 12.13 11.01 13.27 66,100
14 August 2021 12.25 11.13 13.42 66,800
15 August 2021 12.34 11.22 13.50 67,300
16 August 2021 12.36 11.24 13.55 67,400
17 August 2021 12.35 11.18 13.55 67,300
18 August 2021 12.27 11.07 13.49 66,900
19 August 2021 12.14 10.94 13.34 66,200
20 August 2021 11.97 10.79 13.17 65,300
21 August 2021 11.78 10.62 12.96 64,300
22 August 2021 11.59 10.44 12.76 63,200
23 August 2021 11.40 10.27 12.54 62,100
24 August 2021 11.21 10.08 12.35 61,100
25 August 2021 11.05 9.91 12.21 60,300
26 August 2021 10.92 9.79 12.07 59,500
27 August 2021 10.81 9.70 11.98 58,900
28 August 2021 10.72 9.65 11.89 58,500
29 August 2021 10.65 9.60 11.79 58,100
30 August 2021 10.59 9.55 11.73 57,700
31 August 2021 10.52 9.49 11.64 57,400
01 September 2021 10.44 9.39 11.51 56,900
02 September 2021 10.34 9.29 11.43 56,400
03 September 2021 10.21 9.16 11.32 55,700
04 September 2021 10.07 9.02 11.19 54,900
05 September 2021 9.91 8.85 11.04 54,100
06 September 2021 9.75 8.69 10.85 53,200
07 September 2021 9.60 8.55 10.67 52,300
08 September 2021 9.47 8.44 10.50 51,600
09 September 2021 9.38 8.36 10.40 51,100
10 September 2021 9.34 8.32 10.35 50,900
11 September 2021 9.38 8.37 10.40 51,100
12 September 2021 9.49 8.48 10.50 51,800
13 September 2021 9.68 8.68 10.68 52,800
14 September 2021 9.94 8.96 10.94 54,200
15 September 2021 10.27 9.28 11.24 56,000
16 September 2021 10.65 9.70 11.61 58,100
17 September 2021 11.07 10.14 12.05 60,400
18 September 2021 11.52 10.57 12.51 62,800
19 September 2021 11.97 10.97 12.99 65,300
20 September 2021 12.40 11.34 13.47 67,600
21 September 2021 12.79 11.69 13.92 69,700
22 September 2021 13.11 11.96 14.29 71,500
Source: Office for National Statistics – Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey
Notes:
1. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care home
2. This method was developed in collaboration with our research partners at the University of Oxford, the University of Manchester an
3. The model does not control for within household clustering.
4. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
5. The England population used in this analysis relates to the community population aged two years and over. It is not the same as the
6. When incidence is low, it may not be possible to produce a reliable estimate. In these instances we recommend focusing on the upp
7. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infecti
8. All results are provisional and subject to revision.
95% Lower 95% Upper Modelled number of 95% Lower 95% Upper
credible credible new COVID-19 infections credible credible
Interval Interval per week Interval Interval
59,100 71,400 456,500 413,500 499,900
60,000 72,400 462,900 420,200 506,600
60,700 73,200 467,600 424,900 512,300
61,200 73,600 470,800 428,300 515,300
61,300 73,900 471,800 429,100 517,300
61,000 73,900 471,200 426,700 517,100
60,400 73,500 468,200 422,500 514,800
59,600 72,700 463,300 417,400 509,200
58,800 71,800 457,000 411,800 502,600
57,900 70,700 449,800 405,300 494,700
56,900 69,600 442,400 398,500 487,000
56,000 68,400 435,000 392,000 478,500
55,000 67,400 427,900 384,700 471,500
54,000 66,600 421,800 378,300 466,000
53,400 65,800 416,600 373,700 460,800
52,900 65,300 412,500 370,400 457,300
52,600 64,800 409,200 368,400 453,800
52,400 64,300 406,500 366,500 449,800
52,100 64,000 404,200 364,400 447,800
51,800 63,400 401,600 362,300 444,100
51,200 62,800 398,400 358,400 439,500
50,700 62,300 394,600 354,700 436,100
49,900 61,700 389,800 349,500 432,000
49,200 61,000 384,500 344,100 426,900
48,300 60,200 378,400 337,800 421,400
47,400 59,200 372,100 331,500 414,200
46,600 58,200 366,300 326,200 407,400
46,000 57,300 361,400 322,200 400,900
45,600 56,700 358,000 318,900 397,100
45,400 56,400 356,600 317,500 395,100
45,600 56,700 358,000 319,500 396,900
46,200 57,200 362,300 323,700 400,700
47,300 58,200 369,400 331,400 407,600
48,900 59,700 379,300 342,000 417,700
50,600 61,300 391,800 354,300 429,200
52,900 63,300 406,400 370,100 443,000
55,300 65,700 422,500 386,900 459,800
57,600 68,200 439,700 403,500 477,600
59,800 70,800 456,900 418,800 495,800
61,800 73,400 473,200 432,700 514,000
63,800 75,900 488,000 446,300 531,200
65,200 77,900 500,600 456,300 545,500
ported in hospitals, care homes and/or other communal establishments.
he University of Manchester and the MRC Biostatistics Unit.
over. It is not the same as the total population of England as reported in our mid-term population estimates.
commend focusing on the upper credible interval, which gives an upper bound to the incidence of new infections.
methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
Contents
Table 1p
Unrounded modelled daily rates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19 by region (historic serie
Published for academic and research purposes.
Date
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Date positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
08 August 2021 1.2496928083746500 1.1778153733107700 1.3225729694842500
09 August 2021 1.2549359263826600 1.1802095671984400 1.3294269985661300
10 August 2021 1.2618048450949600 1.1846200316014300 1.3366357553461900
11 August 2021 1.2700443911073700 1.1936098377847400 1.3449735868677700
12 August 2021 1.2794229991164100 1.2043196981871100 1.3528213558419400
13 August 2021 1.2897022834831900 1.2169896148907000 1.3612037569971300
14 August 2021 1.3005954042870400 1.2305884671468800 1.3702914521725000
15 August 2021 1.3117325194934700 1.2428969640379700 1.3803390411157300
16 August 2021 1.3226501223155100 1.2551396486123400 1.3918209169989400
17 August 2021 1.3328135816773100 1.2623449584136100 1.4041060879032700
18 August 2021 1.3416708985704800 1.2674788202131400 1.4154831120237600
19 August 2021 1.3487243230010200 1.2729296408885800 1.4261131925519400
20 August 2021 1.3535993227225400 1.2746498959278500 1.4329995765503700
21 August 2021 1.3560905567857500 1.2769134118256500 1.4357848795519700
22 August 2021 1.3561722656385900 1.2771583093975500 1.4361488762331800
23 August 2021 1.3539728080905900 1.2759934783586500 1.4310222914169300
24 August 2021 1.3497248787487100 1.2706954641409200 1.4244058820743100
25 August 2021 1.3437095829213900 1.2667664041471600 1.4186430187919100
26 August 2021 1.3362119528021500 1.2596794218539100 1.4116617449546900
27 August 2021 1.3274987271112400 1.2500695648196600 1.4031882016753200
28 August 2021 1.3178194960150500 1.2401385223467800 1.3936367971552500
29 August 2021 1.3074233475371900 1.2294752093694100 1.3831059767579900
30 August 2021 1.2965778317999600 1.2187153344675400 1.3710551617293900
31 August 2021 1.2855767740942300 1.2089253994598200 1.3592811549498000
01 September 2021 1.2747279520883500 1.2005490174440700 1.3457942924824800
02 September 2021 1.2643192287755900 1.1926196938916500 1.3324598777453100
03 September 2021 1.2545699123636000 1.1866499367460400 1.3222130303006500
04 September 2021 1.2455804286543900 1.1794934620025000 1.3125377267560700
05 September 2021 1.2372961096433300 1.1734396319866100 1.3041420988261400
06 September 2021 1.2294993096872600 1.1660480851884600 1.2987203512879900
07 September 2021 1.2218383252003000 1.1564077017334600 1.2931999292439900
08 September 2021 1.2138926017453600 1.1477127211450800 1.2874320002991400
09 September 2021 1.2052631978298300 1.1377220207913000 1.2769118826378900
10 September 2021 1.1956682366441800 1.1283266629858300 1.2667484524844200
11 September 2021 1.1850186074117000 1.1197493015303200 1.2557377923393000
12 September 2021 1.1734522608742600 1.1077475237761600 1.2441466370822900
13 September 2021 1.1613162795549100 1.0934850061581000 1.2324797338466100
14 September 2021 1.1491011997033400 1.0776133590750600 1.2234952711068700
15 September 2021 1.1373461914911000 1.0584515481847300 1.2175655973163200
16 September 2021 1.1265414813549400 1.0375896548606500 1.2171768905080900
17 September 2021 1.1170536266700600 1.0153419332323500 1.2210930170188500
18 September 2021 1.1090914195730100 0.9932963505980140 1.2314943470727700
Date
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Date positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
09 August 2020 0.0773320785811387% 0.0537939246708313% 0.1077850338948160%
10 August 2020 0.0752060805007212% 0.0535154585662026% 0.1022189877814220%
11 August 2020 0.0733926836341483% 0.0532750760473590% 0.0978265437919622%
12 August 2020 0.0718699739467158% 0.0529718847990327% 0.0944790414161096%
13 August 2020 0.0706203518390901% 0.0526421913974575% 0.0917160717445535%
14 August 2020 0.0696291242395671% 0.0523653240648851% 0.0896697967487482%
15 August 2020 0.0688844868084870% 0.0523288932052505% 0.0882229116575113%
16 August 2020 0.0683781315479681% 0.0522370588729148% 0.0872440329385974%
17 August 2020 0.0681059448131876% 0.0523750112884975% 0.0863593519144421%
18 August 2020 0.0680684674484234% 0.0524899165712386% 0.0859467132893321%
19 August 2020 0.0682709717556169% 0.0530250584910564% 0.0859348849666550%
20 August 2020 0.0687231589479242% 0.0537090536020461% 0.0860320710652198%
21 August 2020 0.0694385801794697% 0.0545787398734073% 0.0866549415530548%
22 August 2020 0.0704339234708294% 0.0556619774136197% 0.0873524687146213%
23 August 2020 0.0717282912823817% 0.0570831518364350% 0.0885803482369813%
24 August 2020 0.0733425368557321% 0.0586682182952665% 0.0902289476470584%
25 August 2020 0.0752986549036851% 0.0605321436325835% 0.0921559339369423%
26 August 2020 0.0776191527370618% 0.0627775950849826% 0.0944193922772999%
27 August 2020 0.0803262735108750% 0.0653084775411042% 0.0971179739025051%
28 August 2020 0.0834409132584492% 0.0680888538006392% 0.1003410763005670%
29 August 2020 0.0869810785548258% 0.0713064995887694% 0.1043662889187480%
30 August 2020 0.0909597815080804% 0.0750512069225659% 0.1085420127180660%
31 August 2020 0.0953823625883853% 0.0791734080197847% 0.1132659021891390%
01 September 2020 0.1002433553450780% 0.0833305414619358% 0.1185906528879910%
02 September 2020 0.1055231470819210% 0.0882671096641121% 0.1242823393349280%
03 September 2020 0.1111848568677950% 0.0933532393389380% 0.1305728373320650%
04 September 2020 0.1171720783828160% 0.0989056628962295% 0.1374453788904760%
05 September 2020 0.1234084174336150% 0.1043928125938600% 0.1442657521146760%
06 September 2020 0.1297999803970210% 0.1100017669261680% 0.1513917654297080%
07 September 2020 0.1362419028130110% 0.1153321859338060% 0.1590742414203220%
08 September 2020 0.1426293892023730% 0.1208054252253800% 0.1665447965119960%
09 September 2020 0.1488724941800280% 0.1261992080237660% 0.1732657412869110%
10 September 2020 0.1549123139611710% 0.1315196164087820% 0.1801607443430690%
11 September 2020 0.1607350526659320% 0.1364743946655130% 0.1866409057277780%
12 September 2020 0.1663803254981040% 0.1413404452033920% 0.1931786442875000%
13 September 2020 0.1719413791869290% 0.1458332849704880% 0.1995583954535310%
14 September 2020 0.1775572074707970% 0.1500392080334020% 0.2068621254233520%
15 September 2020 0.1833987938394850% 0.1536037471424430% 0.2155281806115170%
16 September 2020 0.1896529594930740% 0.1567699358652110% 0.2259325035457530%
17 September 2020 0.1965072226312930% 0.1596316899377800% 0.2381843760060550%
18 September 2020 0.2041381244526500% 0.1621037428031030% 0.2515741538283140%
19 September 2020 0.2127044278743650% 0.1650320660175640% 0.2691441484952880%
Notes:
1. These statistics refer to infections occurring in private households. These figures exclude infections reported in hospitals, care home
2. This analysis is based on statistical modelling conducted by our research partners at the University of Oxford.
3. As this is based on Bayesian analysis, the appropriate uncertainty measure to use is credible intervals rather than confidence interva
4. Please see our methods article for more methodological information on the COVID-19 Infection Survey.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infecti
5. This table is based on analysis of nose and throat swabs.
OVID-19 by region (historic series), England
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible Modelled % testing
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval positive for COVID-19
1.2328772127659300 0.9268339015208240 1.5581227390109300 1.5891484738620100
1.2822106083066400 0.9675827049398910 1.6204650447485000 1.5912204084711800
1.3322443860591300 1.0105403565278000 1.6878609557680400 1.5768186558079100
1.3824625289010400 1.0541337323919800 1.7462547786845000 1.5472248918321100
1.4323841121468300 1.1041389322503700 1.7956873410803700 1.5051349638266800
1.4815522743002300 1.1502820850165400 1.8512710363268300 1.4542145494238500
1.5295031164442700 1.2030311219287000 1.8933208789109800 1.3985517231804200
1.5757288228133200 1.2474867212080400 1.9454925463244300 1.3421424710634600
1.6196519787442700 1.2855984890210200 2.0040726682994700 1.2885063982658100
1.6606247427276600 1.3184649812985500 2.0517265278216000 1.2404702506728800
1.6979582202094100 1.3452885899650200 2.1002973991929100 1.2001036732511000
1.7309768450293400 1.3735023465475000 2.1344046111963400 1.1687605875011200
1.7590834896491500 1.3955928199501700 2.1565998355881800 1.1471722184719100
1.7818168311867300 1.4227011010035500 2.1816451613859300 1.1355468721597300
1.7988850178072300 1.4421665136130900 2.1849909855231900 1.1336480325518200
1.8101681424285600 1.4603512811750400 2.1898384005413500 1.1408397521736100
1.8156931566590600 1.4701777054416500 2.1933651815526100 1.1561035700626200
1.8155941768045400 1.4680190259988500 2.1953971326868300 1.1780432712459600
1.8100749653120500 1.4589906612928600 2.1836901874249100 1.2049018832972000
1.7993874073921400 1.4392319793863300 2.1916298456022200 1.2346176639401400
1.7838315285427000 1.4186855559004700 2.1736014182658800 1.2649401005463100
1.7637725095999500 1.3954901037313900 2.1534491759807000 1.2936118377487400
1.7396622877416400 1.3698543460069900 2.1273887816271100 1.3186001570560400
1.7120507263215600 1.3519396207633700 2.0981205719826700 1.3383390135968400
1.6815749298465100 1.3339100411638900 2.0678149758138900 1.3519294426139200
1.6489235720424400 1.3137574563453400 2.0314550378067200 1.3592501684483700
1.6147827821909700 1.2895501266776700 1.9901340998338800 1.3609520901893400
1.5797774619248000 1.2605461032112100 1.9485513089734800 1.3583418432443200
1.5444242476409100 1.2277990847772800 1.9070136605434800 1.3531878852080900
1.5091090812860900 1.1901389417948900 1.8718922869085800 1.3474967853213700
1.4740948765381300 1.1523764383487300 1.8351323345212400 1.3433043855156300
1.4395556611328700 1.1193512732462300 1.7924658394627400 1.3425108587844500
1.4056257003893300 1.0827665313700000 1.7584082506890100 1.3467689345599900
1.3724478179776600 1.0620033870109600 1.7241609956315800 1.3574183333615000
1.3402057286715400 1.0367504879761300 1.6872111392924400 1.3754508208174800
1.3091305545279900 1.0092232834666200 1.6471959219759900 1.4014897572802700
1.2794801713160700 0.9767040634644690 1.6185512514855400 1.4357740402786500
1.2514989215992100 0.9393901715861480 1.5997035287703100 1.4781467873977600
1.2253717281589200 0.8905058849068710 1.6097354586919200 1.5280618326960300
1.2011889021394300 0.8306615819600680 1.6410328528124800 1.5846336218401400
1.1789356808991300 0.7819992143204270 1.6798218709005900 1.6467651243463400
1.1585149345747600 0.7242846056798140 1.7285938934936200 1.7133903729768500
vals rather than confidence intervals. However they can be interpreted in the same way.
ses/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation
North West Yorkshire and The Humber
95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible
Interval Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval
1.3686859202743500 1.8252440158453900 1.6277606395093200 1.3823394051892100
1.3651189736629100 1.8271317982704000 1.6110094998065000 1.3690379881528400
1.3512929422572400 1.8076281639652200 1.5966170389629600 1.3559184037852500
1.3290280564435400 1.7771800371431500 1.5847538369776500 1.3460901754860100
1.2939703412659700 1.7269985096468400 1.5756047952874900 1.3401758904473900
1.2530641185881900 1.6709543394043800 1.5693224804230700 1.3359585367861700
1.2089695005315400 1.6042474639168500 1.5659734174532900 1.3303495133828900
1.1571191929807700 1.5418276489514400 1.5654887587974700 1.3306628557119700
1.1033861520642200 1.4871510721888800 1.5676291150774800 1.3286918608896100
1.0554363845646800 1.4399810117030900 1.5719697772697800 1.3230117444975800
1.0127957565417800 1.4009650063746200 1.5779082231434900 1.3232651747800300
0.9806049469181510 1.3733387781600400 1.5846917428383500 1.3312887318829700
0.9622805452093940 1.3521706900789600 1.5914600982680100 1.3345865365084800
0.9544944926871850 1.3339540794554200 1.5972969508634700 1.3388519278886200
0.9595920118981100 1.3287913591600600 1.6012845467933500 1.3470153958236000
0.9707908169483760 1.3315455460470100 1.6025584191784200 1.3569102550672200
0.9891978575256990 1.3467437901915500 1.6003615630653300 1.3581126459938700
1.0112329096715700 1.3642555869398800 1.5940991958360500 1.3557059764537700
1.0353870126758800 1.3894256929205700 1.5833946357749200 1.3460177015222300
1.0625748272141300 1.4230773003157300 1.5681438006587100 1.3358669494565000
1.0878541599466400 1.4610889152844600 1.5485614894345900 1.3172394015757000
1.1111837978509500 1.4994392138609400 1.5252091730290900 1.2923048856720000
1.1299431894049700 1.5306514943515200 1.4989937960501300 1.2696820031275600
1.1506129111785500 1.5496342276234800 1.4711312440263400 1.2410600199802900
1.1641635809308700 1.5659520956351700 1.4430758282273000 1.2200500327154000
1.1726715923199200 1.5681025484707600 1.4164256988170800 1.1981779035386900
1.1789408266381100 1.5609643516331800 1.3928201936573800 1.1828818274724900
1.1745593220337700 1.5542566215503000 1.3738464352264800 1.1667219844075100
1.1679508412649400 1.5496318591880000 1.3609687466028500 1.1563063697219900
1.1597292515369700 1.5485054520942900 1.3554873948486300 1.1496063629336100
1.1491969957495100 1.5492897592871400 1.3585254116772800 1.1477520929122700
1.1446754658985400 1.5510565404063000 1.3710360282806000 1.1579169992373000
1.1491961535010600 1.5563893868246900 1.3938197192680000 1.1760855946868900
1.1568075653132200 1.5695652821881800 1.4275390497046900 1.2029504579876500
1.1795144106871400 1.5776183647515400 1.4727210463128100 1.2472523146775600
1.2055442605802400 1.5961092246869600 1.5297403923922000 1.3044973063637600
1.2441363433119900 1.6267306068257900 1.5987825511450500 1.3601451226282200
1.2824663004525300 1.6795071097224600 1.6797944554387600 1.4222157788947500
1.3043095526269900 1.7619325048212600 1.7724419490519500 1.4842631720555000
1.3174449131037300 1.8661583612828400 1.8761069970634400 1.5288382670232100
1.3284107561384900 2.0012523905367100 1.9899714068052800 1.5644299325259900
1.3316045854213500 2.1517257330456800 2.1132436119208500 1.5927807165882800
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
1.8962240704523100 1.1991881628143600 0.9747766248432650 1.4571200212676600
1.8794172485598200 1.2135511151323200 0.9816583558941780 1.4717605984463900
1.8718657961098400 1.2256030125732600 0.9897225030782820 1.4872981106977700
1.8651027612783700 1.2355328036962600 1.0009116370808000 1.4944363771234600
1.8478864718581700 1.2438193251687100 1.0098477427808300 1.5012618079687400
1.8310048583958400 1.2511549993360700 1.0201518002199700 1.5030572230779700
1.8198511882926400 1.2583378224205700 1.0266858275477900 1.5044482224719200
1.8205203782698400 1.2661546403866300 1.0361116667666000 1.5093298615870100
1.8222775356353000 1.2752759843151200 1.0434173641908200 1.5258041937750600
1.8335573649757100 1.2861752815488300 1.0503924094829000 1.5449164809923400
1.8504462502765400 1.2990767070842600 1.0591592185157800 1.5610891946111400
1.8663548604436700 1.3139292743757900 1.0640054008388600 1.5896706940055600
1.8671246949677600 1.3304014911426700 1.0763520353502900 1.6141528941509500
1.8719652397824500 1.3478911500080800 1.0911632216511800 1.6366254923190900
1.8744119991491100 1.3655477952709100 1.1080737866683600 1.6572997659135300
1.8789398259569300 1.3823097393000900 1.1230513763198900 1.6699985681208100
1.8662010244463800 1.3969613837920200 1.1428167637655600 1.6869221191928200
1.8577987530231900 1.4082179441063100 1.1583217432485400 1.6893446351420200
1.8508905683223800 1.4148416261773000 1.1708681306443000 1.6961929804012300
1.8354200469728800 1.4157851890992000 1.1710120804403800 1.7032871859661200
1.8149828722388900 1.4103471711687000 1.1619241940824900 1.6934661084004000
1.7939559763911600 1.3983119509012000 1.1482715069016500 1.6859675840720500
1.7618637632746300 1.3800427977327600 1.1340976311536300 1.6623352081082700
1.7250856949242900 1.3565014950529600 1.1143195907132100 1.6337503259785000
1.6872050209682700 1.3291842128455900 1.0936427343548300 1.5952809790305700
1.6506927632665900 1.2999849840313700 1.0708959832166700 1.5516894238638600
1.6207666697140100 1.2710169882055500 1.0451363235760100 1.5155486908588600
1.5941936127435000 1.2444304475670300 1.0218604871763400 1.4853129974663600
1.5759957961963400 1.2222617304728800 1.0004980978617200 1.4659344602603800
1.5809471878405200 1.2063343924668500 0.9816051048174010 1.4512157264585900
1.5895148872018600 1.1982158039176500 0.9718756369945140 1.4473371043926500
1.6069888056456900 1.1992187740203700 0.9665169279066550 1.4529744462201000
1.6313918284578000 1.2104293914386700 0.9738599402189560 1.4646232522708700
1.6620617121442600 1.2327402970030400 0.9959652131480830 1.4911036697286600
1.7105000249500800 1.2668712189063300 1.0321928375124600 1.5278565924555500
1.7685466977174500 1.3133642524859500 1.0792928189354600 1.5772680655901500
1.8494461112346800 1.3725494954887800 1.1339331043622900 1.6498941211976200
1.9554920703055400 1.4444878124987800 1.1856116376825400 1.7244707914237900
2.0869950660102000 1.5289125947337200 1.2298385631431900 1.8427398550154500
2.2545340716043800 1.6252112440617600 1.2719915834175800 2.0084427903978900
2.4643620086433500 1.7325070792988600 1.3022860489445700 2.2121038443365400
2.7248864614118900 1.8499180105653400 1.3246528672075800 2.4688672640903600
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible Modelled % testing
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval positive for COVID-19
1.1816365182088000 0.9790655785822650 1.4068771848556400 1.1850391905155900
1.2273420022362800 1.0158834329907800 1.4625903940590800 1.1762286034798600
1.2738071936121400 1.0499671501305400 1.5204581578489400 1.1713467850278800
1.3200698165953100 1.0871620076618900 1.5685504198972200 1.1697934645366300
1.3649689722404800 1.1305170053228900 1.6203201439236500 1.1707612013517400
1.4071678073497700 1.1668174494063100 1.6668275916872000 1.1732518383387500
1.4451968003215200 1.2060618771785600 1.7035638928181600 1.1761091386661000
1.4775283908323800 1.2346063330308300 1.7474590762272100 1.1780771859266600
1.5026892686297400 1.2546451884937400 1.7793309487373700 1.1778901146087300
1.5194061767299100 1.2674630725708100 1.8030449400966500 1.1743903340983300
1.5267670589692700 1.2693280220609100 1.8146054027618700 1.1666614040571700
1.5243670202624200 1.2636427407081200 1.8200634875932200 1.1541518400456400
1.5124040131186400 1.2481206594510700 1.8030871975418000 1.1367619980582100
1.4916963815315100 1.2295143356479900 1.7737730111615100 1.1148710919296700
1.4636124495156000 1.2143091967988600 1.7417785892243500 1.0892950120114100
1.4299250414783800 1.1951759682397500 1.6938027589652100 1.0611833792262100
1.3926224543383500 1.1713472437022100 1.6445014311136600 1.0318793268000600
1.3537151369638600 1.1403672158727300 1.5943507061382400 1.0027722096328600
1.3150724914515800 1.1079420878388500 1.5527369279290500 0.9751701868344130
1.2783104390933600 1.0708964435839100 1.5160378556490400 0.9502091497536310
1.2447340471771900 1.0362250795604400 1.4773083912904800 0.9288018114394630
1.2153262986660900 1.0063219226095000 1.4481110990308000 0.9116204997683250
1.1907669780663600 0.9822348569998450 1.4192184145173100 0.8991016734427910
1.1714647169613200 0.9639997362203090 1.3942822564483100 0.8914594648990840
1.1575887690894000 0.9581823059656110 1.3761291616353500 0.8886983340598670
1.1490928652887700 0.9520710255681170 1.3591621380419000 0.8906195853039720
1.1457296972682300 0.9538585713263940 1.3560412945555600 0.8968217739536970
1.1470599649650400 0.9595537657324460 1.3535014866473100 0.9067000052687980
1.1524637009911400 0.9629327177266160 1.3635047400778800 0.9194530021589500
1.1611631247394400 0.9700758800245070 1.3751509701544500 0.9341085872037690
1.1722649975263800 0.9752042177358240 1.3914759753522000 0.9495767183197700
1.1848260446639500 0.9815034408960730 1.4099159923116800 0.9647336158730770
1.1979379649749700 0.9914579432061640 1.4282159690394300 0.9785312541532490
1.2108205874437900 0.9996277313377220 1.4458826830154700 0.9901159568286210
1.2229056847757800 1.0133720537494700 1.4563424158145900 0.9989321101069930
1.2338927078185900 1.0206365410212100 1.4693944032640800 1.0047861655157100
1.2437626476832600 1.0238752548580600 1.4783182445164700 1.0078538109609900
1.2527461228865100 1.0167547723656700 1.5001733733481600 1.0086271702836900
1.2612530421762900 1.0049897552728700 1.5459565094416600 1.0078136794427200
1.2697795832433000 0.9740736363098210 1.6018230746092400 1.0062080327575200
1.2788109629878000 0.9384136558790560 1.6649945501791000 1.0045601155940100
1.2887353838169200 0.8984691997773160 1.7436872954832600 1.0034559396004700
95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible
Interval Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval
0.9873535938882260 1.4028170478467500 1.4193353046228300 1.2430150833201500
0.9761142575523610 1.3960846537432700 1.3900898426710500 1.2111797506476500
0.9718625154462280 1.3977332160277400 1.3600076994797800 1.1845988403797800
0.9708111219427130 1.3925816862191500 1.3294535638046900 1.1580480407537700
0.9813852249564800 1.3825192759358800 1.2989411736199200 1.1334421128885300
0.9890241013017650 1.3834786883680400 1.2690697753184800 1.1120952837386600
0.9903047212046780 1.3798651248343500 1.2404556074241300 1.0918518665048100
0.9934668442218860 1.3826841650178100 1.2136710554731900 1.0692568881647300
0.9905737712262420 1.3873098317991600 1.1891999532810400 1.0454428358199200
0.9821022661571800 1.3851341858637700 1.1674119299007200 1.0207641448983600
0.9723054628377720 1.3818128851164600 1.1485536141781700 0.9983816727461510
0.9576817994064020 1.3712958849161400 1.1327512185605300 0.9827729089401280
0.9439527682076630 1.3534129071397600 1.1200180118078100 0.9694528552238210
0.9254168195072960 1.3277803551885300 1.1102612302423400 0.9664161350712530
0.9069748653130240 1.2879996465191900 1.1032854110144900 0.9637585722583690
0.8838934115985680 1.2567208191103800 1.0987921311500500 0.9615173168660770
0.8590130491334210 1.2228004459849000 1.0963788897526600 0.9631631569346070
0.8359154078229370 1.1842624716208700 1.0955416890011900 0.9642166131633670
0.8101581551600130 1.1550701197953600 1.0956862590313900 0.9668417615645650
0.7864975039584870 1.1281501867068400 1.0961516051229200 0.9650700308925800
0.7677848764152590 1.1029419003504300 1.0962467674068500 0.9618063570820860
0.7537640873546440 1.0831499066777700 1.0952979637260300 0.9572491627572910
0.7377235148825640 1.0725006467439700 1.0926996750493800 0.9540791652274400
0.7336864457688030 1.0674365890699300 1.0879609944311700 0.9520589303193010
0.7318568705072990 1.0609963593013300 1.0807387198634900 0.9474497373898780
0.7356929968445780 1.0605814067324100 1.0708514845720000 0.9420663279423870
0.7400170163119990 1.0693534066641500 1.0582738956311700 0.9324085293440950
0.7475882205791510 1.0814247431691900 1.0431145786443700 0.9178523730793630
0.7555851288247760 1.0995129147516200 1.0255854371857000 0.9027799909377370
0.7645220591981770 1.1200077466478300 1.0059701941564900 0.8802665599042340
0.7732167476652870 1.1401958036761300 0.9845983465111610 0.8565146774144260
0.7824809568437650 1.1597908479057800 0.9618270284069590 0.8313301293303860
0.7960938622921070 1.1765077167725800 0.9380294774046010 0.8088529343273100
0.8115233633274140 1.1914215445330000 0.9135862683599280 0.7878391980911330
0.8245278465522850 1.1956131364538000 0.8888750287908080 0.7664978636747380
0.8334758151406680 1.2036302857676300 0.8642559267392830 0.7432988846192260
0.8354380450795500 1.2115727568220000 0.8400530204517210 0.7165735177806030
0.8176459311171580 1.2188059721380500 0.8165343943060430 0.6834949903819800
0.7948434152521380 1.2416873938641500 0.7938958042555820 0.6456317569526720
0.7694250456705970 1.2731863663949900 0.7722527410597910 0.6041664413785480
0.7329423566008520 1.3118222744610600 0.7516444403318250 0.5638048672141050
0.6908018628567880 1.3709794646258100 0.7320509912408580 0.5247318841716240
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
1.6041057669406800 1.1496847159873200 0.9822287552828420 1.3349530259612700
1.5803143349460600 1.1959111395423600 1.0195747636593900 1.3931255795660400
1.5486247685115700 1.2295542744062000 1.0463511359515500 1.4317454022408500
1.5123910541879300 1.2497314173785400 1.0625742228052300 1.4511253682774400
1.4718316105637600 1.2568627473139200 1.0731635384643700 1.4513813124110000
1.4365209406113200 1.2525428951225100 1.0716018012741500 1.4399475605273300
1.4026466988340400 1.2392241584617200 1.0642242121522800 1.4210301013425700
1.3690917950394300 1.2198082067859300 1.0505141969807800 1.3974485219928600
1.3450056656714800 1.1972473125878300 1.0296482654599000 1.3748467092973800
1.3281506225306500 1.1742272411687700 1.0096265181874500 1.3490918539807200
1.3117502163032400 1.1529616384808600 0.9901646012084860 1.3248859326946000
1.2995328826937900 1.1350910742518000 0.9718875703008950 1.3104975581849200
1.2861211798242200 1.1216589483372600 0.9573684395716080 1.2939281453005900
1.2747890686136100 1.1131319052312100 0.9501999994985870 1.2839412592991400
1.2605525775304700 1.1094393829565300 0.9486991825101840 1.2772742225079300
1.2541694717688500 1.1100194066690900 0.9532094013105550 1.2777817647343300
1.2512055415944900 1.1138707885332100 0.9596231923185950 1.2806562185646800
1.2442529837596100 1.1196219819659200 0.9656144638322090 1.2864755263021900
1.2428826620467000 1.1256312797218300 0.9741170711539630 1.2965005311272100
1.2435749564110600 1.1301298252866100 0.9767242830357130 1.3015949254269700
1.2476708973476100 1.1314074670998100 0.9749215091662720 1.3052965993474300
1.2491339680426300 1.1280241544369600 0.9679111080907420 1.3020700868965300
1.2459971645363400 1.1190123332380100 0.9576663211335550 1.2944890904382100
1.2380423675054900 1.1040268495077100 0.9481967407184020 1.2791180621596000
1.2288205169053400 1.0834046925261800 0.9310933121988790 1.2563994629194100
1.2120357328707500 1.0581178392382400 0.9105223412824880 1.2256156484970800
1.1934627082082000 1.0296311170632100 0.8852063429155020 1.1914699414690300
1.1808770132903700 0.9997016063098920 0.8563112554908990 1.1571455744127000
1.1631543625093300 0.9701669006263170 0.8226729909640690 1.1250931727384000
1.1433210056445400 0.9427639172008200 0.7973737178309350 1.0969560612654900
1.1246609733721500 0.9190028272906390 0.7762438522232160 1.0708209254646300
1.1018920383864800 0.9001006395275170 0.7520893818365350 1.0512189737969000
1.0771842609860600 0.8869633640753990 0.7421611662684880 1.0377709050967800
1.0484197752355900 0.8801979161635560 0.7369677618641840 1.0247229838103700
1.0196399986277800 0.8801346345110560 0.7408421430161960 1.0220508829898500
0.9935749719804130 0.8868462532434230 0.7517198814156540 1.0274081575728900
0.9713624745239580 0.9001570669291490 0.7633605086623870 1.0470207828773900
0.9593796615384670 0.9196453339228790 0.7690115485877620 1.0770706524507300
0.9545239337210390 0.9446517129786160 0.7750374845566570 1.1223515663196500
0.9532495157595610 0.9743155493154780 0.7771105487441320 1.1863359954783800
0.9627650040574690 1.0076670611053600 0.7705387557191790 1.2690627205575800
0.9763187633309680 1.0438042521296600 0.7635042389717290 1.3717428151104100
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
1.6320197287916800 0.9613274996811770 0.8116708547378640 1.1216735165455200
1.6655160379044500 0.9805220075077460 0.8278607012994360 1.1497672029889800
1.6859817546710800 1.0037188993034300 0.8441502829013650 1.1769118946537000
1.6921206048361400 1.0305583903303700 0.8706962193771200 1.2085238619871300
1.6810660130168600 1.0603894628293800 0.8980150261406970 1.2383893601835900
1.6562339754535800 1.0922553719269700 0.9302219451701660 1.2721859083556500
1.6279435776957700 1.1249020668035100 0.9642381298159800 1.3014247194124000
1.5963262805403200 1.1568243188886300 0.9960844041461440 1.3360453856957600
1.5637922164585900 1.1863611802547900 1.0229828880650200 1.3709010961557200
1.5319101085296900 1.2118427163269700 1.0443405304357800 1.3977585843617100
1.5037707314563600 1.2317749050477600 1.0544307367365600 1.4253582290246700
1.4725490021873300 1.2450334795215300 1.0603606649677800 1.4415363296547600
1.4368237751206900 1.2510269477927700 1.0648100557008100 1.4508446932211200
1.4032967183883100 1.2497901155766400 1.0696315981245800 1.4482284599309300
1.3729290274081700 1.2419839801995400 1.0676586308247400 1.4367437020945800
1.3471615930925000 1.2288014628787000 1.0604886139624800 1.4184486107232900
1.3260594493723700 1.2118021173223300 1.0447279682343400 1.3965580468329400
1.3165672930126900 1.1927136898387300 1.0255842904525700 1.3727440926947300
1.3033930833142300 1.1732397599259000 1.0071556837182400 1.3531169269304700
1.2938736873206400 1.1549024076554400 0.9881358632638980 1.3319642888255000
1.2899296036053300 1.1389329536180200 0.9749490197703620 1.3225626449914300
1.2916639623824000 1.1262089448885000 0.9598873826804200 1.3106372113285700
1.2899132086318900 1.1172261129957000 0.9527964820102430 1.3050877630293400
1.2837954573212600 1.1120912986491500 0.9499404275640780 1.2984259971591300
1.2778561124447400 1.1105252960921200 0.9507610450643070 1.2898126865880000
1.2718096224485000 1.1118711500952300 0.9584428785478050 1.2822229480299100
1.2652016013735100 1.1151113874046200 0.9660106852630480 1.2802334816571000
1.2590863402458200 1.1189047319809500 0.9691174341725920 1.2788693108348800
1.2451890382557000 1.1216566456760400 0.9703725740756000 1.2881921390970900
1.2392528824172600 1.1216361133091100 0.9690289898300260 1.2936541579937000
1.2316569405312700 1.1171417902027900 0.9558226252303320 1.2966046407734500
1.2201711162058100 1.1067045823241600 0.9405038083232170 1.2892750170659500
1.2042897403550100 1.0892952180867400 0.9251102078469770 1.2740691168572800
1.1835390518557900 1.0644920465754300 0.9043017637599920 1.2474067828677900
1.1637649813925900 1.0325642019955400 0.8759807945531960 1.2067276477647100
1.1436545462499400 0.9944420387716050 0.8411006358164450 1.1608628288583900
1.1262118144085100 0.9515760110562670 0.7998844485437340 1.1137267637270800
1.1101698076374700 0.9057155383075250 0.7510612646732210 1.0760575704239900
1.1057684687228700 0.8586582076537160 0.6977643364705790 1.0434258103194200
1.1141686715332500 0.8120200347563650 0.6390830544510460 1.0137157718248300
1.1347186408214500 0.7670616819569500 0.5792422518587440 0.9914781931501500
1.1521003025001100 0.7245825541285120 0.5244082163677840 0.9687891575273580
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
1.4726595629459600 0.8838129336979100 0.7431234461775120 1.0351130147660300
1.4773155966561700 0.8808897985027420 0.7387771775049940 1.0396148064288000
1.4867635494539400 0.8819716109949360 0.7361736979375540 1.0424179197485700
1.4955725507533600 0.8871993910781070 0.7400041267670210 1.0455852322021400
1.5088388702282000 0.8966462893229960 0.7482706089079940 1.0525411070092900
1.5266138907093100 0.9102987396994490 0.7648491665287120 1.0677710875898700
1.5484606188385400 0.9280314232995970 0.7868087255895870 1.0847639108974500
1.5718325534134500 0.9495809359709310 0.8070649636670840 1.1072021604337500
1.6003561862595500 0.9745241260329140 0.8297775708638640 1.1345338716871000
1.6281495896149300 1.0022670727966200 0.8558439500763860 1.1623224703119200
1.6485146193603000 1.0320494871004800 0.8843919248299430 1.1967050178664400
1.6596259904782100 1.0629669531949500 0.9081173386567900 1.2338495857047700
1.6590963795890600 1.0940102676688700 0.9334934071302580 1.2667749647930500
1.6444574280557300 1.1241179602054100 0.9652816466234950 1.2960176330411400
1.6194123524305100 1.1522359118474100 0.9916651570508770 1.3245739137771900
1.5896035555471900 1.1773775727257200 1.0159700064348700 1.3470127591064500
1.5507265499891900 1.1986796461265700 1.0371257526583400 1.3697024893575500
1.5090900434293700 1.2154504075697900 1.0520151035764600 1.3836395069779700
1.4644146468118000 1.2272097401055900 1.0599228027894100 1.3999855356785900
1.4313895103992300 1.2337204149212000 1.0605994382628800 1.4142462970712800
1.3948023465413900 1.2350089706409700 1.0557106959541500 1.4213164206226700
1.3630046541844700 1.2313726775100000 1.0529835765556000 1.4225959506886600
1.3327146445013900 1.2233680694001600 1.0442286916855100 1.4170555114165100
1.3059304330972600 1.2117776824304000 1.0345070025131200 1.4015034319036400
1.2838342862758400 1.1975551843260200 1.0268903951370200 1.3840007672264000
1.2674382432475000 1.1817539400408400 1.0166208687630300 1.3624473739130800
1.2575867314721300 1.1654483565406700 1.0035410508367100 1.3410622105843200
1.2534124808564100 1.1496593462313200 0.9930473952285710 1.3182317560077000
1.2561185970596900 1.1352941853291400 0.9788688888318590 1.3027093784316400
1.2612347931755000 1.1231073919279300 0.9681399276129110 1.2959808207782500
1.2692046314895300 1.1136843264495100 0.9558309232042430 1.2821498749503700
1.2817347216787200 1.1074445086722800 0.9445675752195850 1.2791988247579500
1.2871182120118000 1.1046582583641300 0.9410800025378220 1.2767790914082100
1.2909675006346900 1.1054687475394500 0.9450065248102780 1.2754660852247400
1.2886858137751500 1.1099119911292100 0.9548262057000280 1.2781926736489300
1.2845650983809800 1.1179295132631600 0.9610124041813540 1.2860342701366800
1.2802565252170900 1.1293720495823800 0.9681327435194470 1.3073184968803700
1.2879533007811100 1.1439971548254100 0.9723959907720810 1.3374586579063000
1.3022253187685300 1.1614682561552400 0.9656886671560370 1.3776733999625300
1.3277566349826300 1.1813666192759600 0.9581391999806300 1.4407955602083800
1.3592735674164700 1.2032298942271700 0.9453946037611170 1.5137649506344000
1.4036480076898400 1.2266306097398600 0.9226769956274790 1.5977137657535400
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
1.7037160667724400 0.9788919830091410 0.8258060877326660 1.1471704964061800
1.6754001206609300 0.9645265956602330 0.8094127962908600 1.1327135299957800
1.6455523542366500 0.9491124487225970 0.7969345975059590 1.1177856931869000
1.6133928133495000 0.9332282952022280 0.7876271338635140 1.0975493045957900
1.5762969646743800 0.9176385385159170 0.7781013241820650 1.0711540191269200
1.5424332477954100 0.9032135092647100 0.7673718790722270 1.0536209491618100
1.5147137882291600 0.8908453838582810 0.7568148655575200 1.0350010156954000
1.4978471857904200 0.8813746057796420 0.7492658455753430 1.0216366034254900
1.4828786552427400 0.8755356429786270 0.7404976290298430 1.0140968845961100
1.4869597654938500 0.8739237963066770 0.7346465606833660 1.0181503433553600
1.4922801091342300 0.8769789599325830 0.7354064297142270 1.0298297402526900
1.5077337868769800 0.8849790006101970 0.7396335891843030 1.0417382962347200
1.5227708929081100 0.8980349087303190 0.7508709982581450 1.0586813950961000
1.5392880907052300 0.9160815668986180 0.7679889936453960 1.0802786840040000
1.5555686193890600 0.9388612214984880 0.7929387416566000 1.1049170166465600
1.5731961686598500 0.9659009575406120 0.8224826296399300 1.1306095152045700
1.5948991459911900 0.9964901028274040 0.8523003077430790 1.1584237285955700
1.6189160511833900 1.0296677123045500 0.8816922221444050 1.1906975642139500
1.6419209033060100 1.0642328516402300 0.9138852426009050 1.2269992836523100
1.6600597355265700 1.0987897287139700 0.9441733526112900 1.2671825710195200
1.6729402731040300 1.1318345080874500 0.9706606965084360 1.3101118684380600
1.6701197253558300 1.1618808493136200 0.9929935481627920 1.3417884312250000
1.6552936227704800 1.1876089276518800 1.0158329802166900 1.3746602000082700
1.6269433112203100 1.2080120913332700 1.0308134727030900 1.3978152717494800
1.5888289000890700 1.2225111418780100 1.0462501740167200 1.4120261052376500
1.5417891410592900 1.2310113858234100 1.0537793190721500 1.4221285537023300
1.4921037828611100 1.2338911367787200 1.0619723921547200 1.4187628276105600
1.4441591265822200 1.2319274343119200 1.0615209910816100 1.4167628816574100
1.3999244914948500 1.2261790034552300 1.0531358319103200 1.4109018599101900
1.3604822815076300 1.2178531219429400 1.0411765250846400 1.4060331645699300
1.3256918220400600 1.2081809892897200 1.0290925827049600 1.3986807335948700
1.2982683799753000 1.1983178633796300 1.0152117308012800 1.3971645059718800
1.2791634790194800 1.1892738440029200 1.0054386170161000 1.3830325757026200
1.2658429124789800 1.1818725443959100 1.0033540695519400 1.3736750673831800
1.2571716687196000 1.1767301416055700 1.0046082376313500 1.3661753177320500
1.2628410240206700 1.1742467698093700 1.0018486934075700 1.3615928069414000
1.2844975098933400 1.1746050209944200 1.0003770954384200 1.3594028455327100
1.3182159747839900 1.1777750159920600 0.9935902109885340 1.3757206963410600
1.3712597103489800 1.1835306081921900 0.9739532645827370 1.4091231396771300
1.4493004465024700 1.1914853912858300 0.9499406819017500 1.4515166046277300
1.5367494995003300 1.2011590848170200 0.9234745587824460 1.5193056679680500
1.6496126204364400 1.2120837651025700 0.8897440381141440 1.5963179898839200
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
1.7420496039955000 0.9999018377006050 0.8412782110711840 1.1632282697703500
1.7935085107848300 1.0199582407210800 0.8583943173341450 1.1880699290234000
1.8222689758148900 1.0347975350891500 0.8675886902482900 1.2063051094336100
1.8305531065049500 1.0438686978659300 0.8753100783288530 1.2176519208303800
1.8207191572399200 1.0469792981261700 0.8835085115420090 1.2222480160443300
1.7962113623943400 1.0443030444728100 0.8862898588229540 1.2155137811547700
1.7615021746525700 1.0363461963552900 0.8804061168312000 1.2067292719799800
1.7294651545840500 1.0238855120244000 0.8699462275017780 1.1907971145923000
1.6929998354302600 1.0078931738290600 0.8566198260641980 1.1740679954965700
1.6595055946114300 0.9894619597972360 0.8375598975694810 1.1553752831304600
1.6257770135764600 0.9697389221301050 0.8156837357177670 1.1337494937188500
1.5934482639668500 0.9498706198769070 0.7969191043518270 1.1095635940121400
1.5676336111438400 0.9309593991781440 0.7797784946706330 1.0894582285108000
1.5413098492463400 0.9140288443239790 0.7657629641782250 1.0723180219574400
1.5185302985901600 0.8999967404911790 0.7562017556480050 1.0538222485124900
1.5037257465112900 0.8896546461240950 0.7484650714125560 1.0407164292998800
1.4991927831240600 0.8836536262774140 0.7441099133249020 1.0319440371495600
1.4995445026826600 0.8824955415576850 0.7451484404356810 1.0297445855718400
1.5110256795195100 0.8865286995857100 0.7499280792355620 1.0347914704292600
1.5303849651575200 0.8959460430763020 0.7542807655418510 1.0513712943153600
1.5510644395388200 0.9107836884997460 0.7618218893437160 1.0698106536334100
1.5784382477492800 0.9309176768852120 0.7756423894121220 1.0992797115069500
1.5983774980977700 0.9560572680466710 0.7980875374083460 1.1253744549574500
1.6152293780505900 0.9857340356813480 0.8270621666239560 1.1600885370576400
1.6271181320698500 1.0192875397805800 0.8629392205023370 1.1926324379185200
1.6360784357173600 1.0558506272400200 0.9031195954604690 1.2257802956226400
1.6438029000816400 1.0943403865722400 0.9424791934960360 1.2611365873965000
1.6466222554979300 1.1334638761435500 0.9778604701013380 1.2995351684966200
1.6474061337400800 1.1717496747028400 1.0114689673901200 1.3447649148116800
1.6395560359924600 1.2076152870236100 1.0389146576800500 1.3898109287253400
1.6265545651137300 1.2394749220005400 1.0628163129150300 1.4327245818543400
1.6051936383441500 1.2658819393908900 1.0856374039568500 1.4631553820772300
1.5788151090485700 1.2856874561248900 1.1035456424799600 1.4803705264173800
1.5445242944034300 1.2981856746106000 1.1150309773799700 1.4953699664670900
1.5059269849702600 1.3032127029286400 1.1230223199195600 1.4999588422021500
1.4676584720261900 1.3011723097983400 1.1241079972697100 1.4973648631036300
1.4328174960554700 1.2929781972715600 1.1185135388407700 1.4882267202555500
1.4022574723122000 1.2799223943884100 1.0939849374987800 1.4875743498987000
1.3827357649064100 1.2634955855102000 1.0629762887624800 1.4910311442275200
1.3674210548222100 1.2451916612924200 1.0140007172614900 1.5043411222874800
1.3683226332321700 1.2263241654782600 0.9654525563278050 1.5297422789404600
1.3665578778231600 1.2078699784608900 0.9010773770415690 1.5668363027822300
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
1.2495586757007500 0.6829060713019910 0.5529913406120790 0.8197524675241900
1.3445727508535500 0.7389224511982090 0.6022778786690560 0.8862929198886430
1.4353062259273400 0.7941856730471390 0.6499932946537230 0.9516435445268300
1.5233962567313600 0.8472038652727800 0.6960699634808850 1.0122735719837400
1.6014974444981600 0.8965227386625460 0.7409567573835540 1.0676520135242800
1.6704092455229900 0.9408323576403690 0.7844888766781420 1.1134078966298800
1.7360518748999600 0.9790516953447770 0.8183508803895030 1.1579795206021600
1.7833302405935900 1.0103858540498700 0.8508124411355630 1.1915843839658300
1.8181327338574100 1.0343580257133400 0.8724306354217560 1.2193495644578400
1.8414940455749200 1.0508214620565600 0.8837187235171580 1.2376594015139500
1.8501850120010300 1.0599555516495500 0.8919982052781000 1.2500346115021800
1.8423766977705300 1.0622466825416900 0.8928965125115730 1.2577812804045400
1.8256151156636200 1.0584519928898700 0.8897983361884310 1.2472976910150400
1.7984171689994100 1.0495445626531700 0.8817912773200990 1.2318973587732300
1.7608826440605200 1.0366421999953200 0.8722761660067140 1.2129291357287800
1.7141990904676100 1.0209269107188300 0.8636020591195600 1.1935049160647500
1.6686253567614500 1.0035658380670000 0.8539094773744610 1.1705678456358100
1.6280977730057500 0.9856450519214440 0.8402684970085830 1.1487049050039200
1.5952345335152300 0.9681247417944290 0.8240174260896620 1.1314561335593600
1.5657697034996800 0.9518192854622240 0.8063313782353630 1.1156617123354200
1.5452841513900200 0.9374001639440820 0.7915455993780150 1.1016046374185100
1.5302669992296400 0.9254154133217190 0.7781032062647560 1.0910288060815600
1.5213153315634100 0.9163171661451030 0.7658580826450470 1.0807695579813600
1.5167872073633900 0.9104889736017670 0.7599717599869600 1.0731939360248900
1.5176574023277500 0.9082665611254690 0.7579896761638730 1.0681654432098500
1.5243488372937600 0.9099486847087680 0.7635074072111010 1.0699506920122300
1.5375187547929500 0.9157979792772800 0.7701670873504180 1.0738257999561900
1.5551390480803500 0.9260344033200470 0.7772414495868940 1.0854388850147200
1.5796675605990200 0.9408256156239420 0.7955037883186630 1.1015815899616800
1.6134594639622900 0.9602791769052360 0.8100304675989480 1.1246211156357800
1.6463468222448500 0.9844408637139330 0.8276003070998490 1.1552553168454600
1.6791340595328000 1.0133017427484700 0.8502389765205680 1.1899002875669100
1.7022603793840800 1.0468142136577800 0.8804234844815870 1.2272209756208700
1.7148894361813200 1.0849144128312200 0.9145872819525980 1.2708688940539000
1.7257774984637000 1.1275458846530100 0.9550246510429550 1.3141786895258400
1.7249212549039500 1.1746781858891300 1.0032894335233800 1.3614129506524800
1.7205338634755400 1.2263149225540600 1.0505666034282900 1.4172127898176700
1.7304542304330000 1.2824889547031000 1.0919515677315000 1.4848677974167700
1.7549668299528900 1.3432476743694200 1.1241468002607400 1.5798374580035400
1.7877667488329600 1.4086371185527500 1.1494837967252800 1.7002814330447700
1.8300504852383100 1.4786985571018200 1.1623204684453100 1.8407010919129200
1.8856168554492600 1.5534936178288900 1.1665006772578100 2.0121305816249800
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.8481305612014600 0.4019516759464810 0.3104711536450150 0.5038727001910110
0.8913773004814730 0.4307762291272430 0.3354784617915080 0.5390677953891040
0.9438206569730130 0.4655811929005770 0.3630127997216920 0.5778451825310030
1.0067323532389300 0.5069013470610840 0.4004053622344370 0.6274060859121000
1.0715406347261400 0.5550170244059000 0.4433829990402080 0.6806679986103280
1.1458960048354100 0.6098178848019490 0.4901305208645720 0.7411561350135070
1.2303051137175200 0.6706489113244900 0.5449848770267020 0.8080862196104170
1.3190527395922400 0.7361704286428910 0.6023124414681630 0.8803557497403270
1.4170088031006500 0.8042808952049260 0.6647597584238430 0.9578114124361120
1.5168148744299300 0.8721584937229100 0.7269127833429620 1.0330916185763600
1.6122717898544400 0.9364644932300000 0.7805216229870000 1.1093476453268400
1.6990193283408600 0.9937125168408950 0.8295788833148780 1.1771748953656900
1.7726754326155600 1.0407507139775000 0.8684493331347360 1.2365430622982900
1.8242787998290400 1.0752508253081300 0.9021382707248210 1.2733290292799200
1.8617613176106700 1.0960773156793000 0.9238601879117140 1.2918217254693500
1.8735450699443600 1.1034374371674700 0.9352179754221520 1.2979614059925300
1.8706473952242700 1.0987806817483100 0.9366157059195920 1.2837352743311300
1.8496353827928400 1.0844931148809100 0.9217646987330630 1.2643658067579900
1.8228962034714200 1.0634844887649100 0.9046484663167970 1.2418124975533000
1.7918578815862700 1.0387759225485200 0.8809408899282080 1.2179271633649000
1.7583709195716500 1.0131685648453700 0.8588845804773250 1.1931155008337800
1.7227384556810800 0.9890292713864360 0.8352251538072030 1.1700427187215100
1.6864420567178400 0.9681889344143110 0.8172353602199920 1.1437959307870400
1.6513523142498200 0.9519246465218550 0.8031504911668850 1.1234269257438400
1.6179522562276900 0.9409898535149930 0.7941927294284760 1.1097442628444600
1.5896225688371800 0.9356621727151440 0.7883977370039290 1.0980770903111900
1.5700088981728800 0.9357902967033230 0.7909326570567430 1.0945318987031200
1.5604398323366900 0.9408344255361680 0.7959813035771450 1.0970473388303100
1.5563325390917000 0.9499058896103200 0.8050056869049510 1.1073961561737700
1.5585043250344100 0.9618190232031870 0.8136886307468250 1.1259522137669000
1.5681091072296900 0.9751701987460620 0.8203075697962710 1.1418244503329800
1.5796881691164200 0.9884538895394930 0.8286419249089040 1.1642145568369000
1.5858158261537200 1.0002138179546700 0.8401704767243810 1.1829920469873900
1.5925911553391300 1.0092115935433500 0.8456061442935610 1.1907510017461700
1.5923331697755200 1.0145816589405700 0.8560337231183520 1.1954047352250600
1.5983057684809900 1.0159366644739300 0.8564543861768890 1.1957076513716700
1.5976508512003000 1.0133955329356300 0.8488783984686760 1.1937727317700200
1.6028993640984400 1.0075254400538300 0.8296572986913270 1.1947149409509800
1.6308062246431200 0.9992110363875390 0.8020035933252810 1.2106330800379500
1.6680939501145400 0.9894801618740550 0.7705434970409370 1.2306981910654000
1.7192966715038300 0.9793192744815720 0.7347448790738030 1.2569423838092600
1.7794600190734800 0.9695042908575880 0.6908019851823920 1.2934814239228800
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.5215400859079660 0.2199906773225500 0.1577895350872800 0.2941571547321000
0.5572870502559480 0.2322640776821550 0.1676940514437830 0.3082878758422290
0.5936295811408160 0.2463136712219670 0.1801631831116470 0.3260343062336060
0.6306066983941900 0.2624619337898600 0.1933889459841400 0.3454751421832430
0.6703697395861660 0.2810898773610140 0.2095989280111650 0.3689639070723860
0.7097026161349250 0.3026334842756950 0.2284474180475730 0.3913888655361480
0.7520548585034570 0.3275708529230470 0.2504986552974340 0.4172296656392060
0.7971001419050490 0.3563987790202160 0.2746810753438560 0.4505684295935970
0.8531873271372490 0.3895978306047130 0.3057941746225530 0.4861397764727750
0.9128331742839890 0.4275853780412810 0.3378642821556960 0.5284159948410110
0.9811105513417690 0.4706568211367190 0.3727285975674720 0.5798863840551540
1.0565637431030300 0.5189166935997090 0.4134165948625300 0.6357202252096770
1.1310692455891300 0.5722035731687190 0.4588487092658530 0.6995466813037850
1.2089531893672800 0.6300157719508810 0.5058576604629010 0.7647895233507600
1.2882011519467300 0.6914484174563570 0.5599554524301380 0.8334826036848590
1.3650453256807700 0.7551562335295130 0.6191421779679060 0.9036809952201110
1.4485845960793400 0.8193590090730150 0.6771521515177700 0.9745776012489620
1.5287118384194100 0.8819065793806940 0.7317973050464080 1.0402042619068200
1.6053334003968300 0.9404148364893940 0.7868775789660770 1.1063263068538800
1.6788183942877300 0.9924721170661940 0.8329997582647700 1.1646403961913600
1.7452169478132500 1.0358969356150600 0.8678605549824130 1.2186873638738900
1.7981531802884100 1.0690079262992300 0.8938947221509920 1.2544635060141200
1.8343334528890300 1.0908529684539300 0.9160656453047360 1.2792132375855400
1.8532188221544300 1.1013449778330200 0.9297503297057070 1.2963852723257700
1.8636238590393100 1.1012702457706400 0.9333193736495820 1.2934394197654300
1.8565856830145500 1.0921668842598200 0.9280813498647010 1.2830663119301100
1.8399720221081800 1.0761042749659700 0.9185050133615960 1.2590918761385500
1.8173005284776000 1.0554165542228300 0.9009440302080220 1.2329318545717000
1.7898993663461800 1.0324467201309600 0.8760315762999870 1.2063645196361500
1.7586930983213300 1.0093442967861800 0.8502672866219020 1.1824885381406200
1.7273728324400000 0.9879367395053260 0.8265971638872850 1.1642838904849200
1.6982238618287800 0.9696725678436920 0.8067705774530260 1.1466828638573100
1.6679366195141200 0.9556191904754760 0.7928083354576270 1.1320122634087400
1.6360139402333200 0.9464924953074960 0.7850670745198940 1.1198463738526900
1.6002455708519400 0.9426969420650040 0.7853866307405230 1.1112337726543700
1.5794611524188500 0.9443611941552700 0.7928886329153290 1.1055341091023200
1.5568219360837100 0.9513627150444120 0.7987557641681400 1.1113135886706300
1.5495701952888400 0.9633436825729650 0.8031332137427620 1.1300744097331600
1.5594948249201900 0.9797292031931290 0.8013888313003350 1.1691990781283500
1.5800414787798200 0.9997662985234890 0.7961900858156120 1.2218739286692900
1.6216206131506500 1.0226070745873800 0.7813537029230230 1.2916047701954400
1.6609492464019700 1.0474600176247100 0.7638545226698620 1.3755592370678000
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.3512618962290030 0.1395512627271250 0.0916039551390191 0.1978217529868410
0.3741170952523910 0.1502152544688960 0.1007728702140610 0.2089912825312330
0.3977673122551840 0.1615205936511180 0.1105460251971530 0.2210066503204210
0.4238520120525130 0.1735086132092480 0.1207466160950730 0.2338479505395590
0.4481804891952620 0.1862643631721390 0.1315352396592040 0.2485351340131020
0.4756557406246990 0.1999217708522280 0.1436899534602580 0.2655851771835310
0.5058767734265490 0.2146634031126900 0.1559592556581930 0.2836635161803340
0.5379500820627490 0.2307159916853570 0.1691851503558580 0.3029974661773830
0.5756164412282740 0.2483437537757510 0.1833226425564700 0.3241403285523040
0.6156439104713720 0.2678415723602530 0.1984182434012740 0.3487195040002790
0.6599402922680550 0.2895293433781540 0.2144366915042950 0.3760925001435170
0.7074017339848350 0.3137475026443190 0.2346578740905340 0.4052027760585630
0.7588848635277610 0.3408522446603420 0.2561390777869650 0.4369913087220730
0.8149207859354050 0.3712075825399690 0.2810314362907350 0.4723533470280850
0.8719579761343530 0.4051705154685720 0.3102937735066270 0.5098736156623660
0.9347627053322810 0.4430654997013460 0.3442003029896890 0.5515835028301210
0.9986919062596050 0.4851454479127750 0.3838753997396390 0.5986895506416390
1.0659041788938900 0.5315387794457240 0.4260683802073350 0.6501314560725030
1.1377354535523000 0.5821855477066620 0.4709309529106130 0.7056897409880810
1.2146992405798800 0.6367699292668210 0.5190871759924500 0.7687149044594810
1.2971322441516200 0.6946604022161690 0.5691585914421780 0.8349042343813030
1.3808603983074200 0.7548713386150150 0.6230358556944060 0.9060282975782610
1.4604188477403200 0.8160590236349000 0.6768432339522920 0.9782100518439310
1.5360777872817600 0.8765605756500510 0.7292310945152090 1.0484465604256200
1.6016964978131200 0.9344766521808000 0.7781573916071020 1.1118261088891900
1.6626869659604300 0.9877905205061720 0.8304417267337790 1.1677619630083900
1.7143937839079500 1.0345099554965300 0.8737270762632620 1.2153760433917400
1.7603978491630100 1.0728163406325600 0.9084061468543730 1.2524678591805300
1.8028294444244100 1.1012068848076200 0.9334439664894720 1.2815666839188300
1.8303051586909000 1.1186186616706900 0.9463642697239470 1.3062329842564200
1.8512315233678800 1.1245246512685000 0.9505535620450820 1.3152934305065500
1.8638944420977200 1.1189913570026000 0.9455311517802570 1.3113808269756100
1.8638871026931800 1.1026867419362800 0.9276692017286940 1.2911719253497600
1.8521981993120300 1.0768294720265900 0.9073328821877990 1.2617715475690400
1.8283877273215500 1.0430780073139700 0.8802226132385240 1.2216241517031600
1.8026370350971300 1.0033700176790600 0.8462536169243540 1.1734039294618000
1.7762048664326600 0.9597347098910120 0.8039726998664110 1.1290542822097900
1.7608752356392400 0.9141076235796240 0.7530024289277040 1.0880836707812800
1.7562907963703300 0.8681759514166450 0.6955477534985760 1.0574548916255500
1.7609599427343700 0.8232730111964410 0.6373448472250290 1.0366510167911600
1.7807191472271800 0.7803270913940960 0.5757574673778380 1.0195003415389000
1.8092011712110700 0.7398575622668860 0.5178413984869740 1.0081936331430900
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.2670980193504690 0.1067084325370820 0.0656622195087047 0.1584238946109090
0.2753187297875170 0.1111760190193100 0.0700533998245069 0.1620275908460140
0.2859423662686280 0.1163839397654150 0.0749890452593363 0.1673889509365930
0.2973427737261880 0.1223820346297790 0.0804618042678004 0.1747272156241190
0.3112740525953850 0.1292090418946850 0.0867557801265862 0.1820963694734540
0.3272475459829380 0.1368884238261870 0.0933673191943471 0.1907542186827010
0.3451417671240950 0.1454238753748800 0.1007329929580270 0.2008672084189890
0.3659402731575370 0.1547963284446910 0.1083803447737790 0.2119452224297420
0.3894582769748330 0.1649647720935550 0.1158514642722860 0.2241996647485520
0.4166535557071010 0.1758731101793770 0.1232934178355210 0.2380544792524980
0.4459311408390350 0.1874643373295620 0.1313507062040960 0.2543849617889450
0.4767350314782080 0.1997015575420030 0.1406992746799710 0.2700891565712830
0.5085207606282640 0.2125932359733510 0.1508395179058360 0.2852635220638130
0.5414485422612860 0.2262183592433360 0.1615593068893680 0.3024614292790680
0.5730416792430140 0.2407466864862070 0.1743361470785670 0.3192598738489450
0.6069842757397840 0.2564503249487440 0.1871430912962350 0.3386865994954840
0.6410211014991650 0.2737050213319090 0.2023685360850440 0.3584983185134240
0.6787416753049180 0.2929818095360780 0.2189868955896790 0.3813365098275860
0.7203064561831130 0.3148309619829920 0.2370300996490960 0.4076643104330160
0.7689367166625190 0.3398600270310870 0.2584158454047130 0.4377580671481570
0.8201486686721240 0.3687062470952960 0.2818672371484820 0.4711266745334930
0.8806945626826730 0.4020014712880000 0.3081631091925970 0.5121171081121040
0.9455236655639300 0.4403256173769450 0.3409909767393860 0.5571946341028020
1.0165478882212900 0.4841436464350120 0.3796822234308630 0.6065438381228250
1.0886911914271500 0.5337218004005530 0.4218549934002760 0.6595034777225230
1.1647041050326800 0.5890225385168920 0.4704566004197750 0.7190603211105640
1.2450132578434900 0.6495850981064720 0.5263448504303890 0.7824468827547520
1.3330018765038100 0.7144099584990820 0.5861961606256300 0.8520574128601470
1.4207709975606300 0.7818787278232780 0.6460134489964080 0.9270222322674630
1.5144676947997700 0.8497510318774100 0.7042040259715890 1.0071962949224300
1.6062276608394600 0.9152790531467950 0.7590584395983080 1.0872060387896200
1.6906392159127500 0.9754610275893820 0.8099266096859950 1.1597967056943700
1.7654029630787200 1.0274160381604100 0.8556410536719720 1.2190445700821000
1.8218515494058100 1.0688141276266100 0.8942110187529600 1.2656196055260500
1.8569396104525000 1.0982591504360700 0.9221499183617720 1.2941259987505900
1.8786581925067100 1.1155188001132800 0.9411188619116780 1.3079896434390300
1.8939919006307300 1.1215348916150200 0.9474967999696960 1.3115496213733300
1.9086219986549300 1.1182129389597500 0.9316499552206430 1.3229288262640800
1.9245532592445400 1.1080531972228800 0.8989972254738240 1.3351314053982600
1.9585745456588700 1.0937176707439900 0.8555457809377260 1.3581742920547100
1.9994777923606700 1.0776194396722900 0.8038670303059550 1.3901128488279800
2.0443016222037100 1.0615833923045400 0.7525313780798370 1.4328232070938700
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.2678264904851210 0.1117200656220840 0.0696700481028247 0.1641403588761280
0.2663277293244180 0.1081647233443600 0.0680269806246463 0.1588505194871720
0.2652703893608070 0.1055964070815570 0.0669311098564608 0.1553432109510210
0.2653223082126130 0.1039968464202700 0.0664023575535335 0.1524071413858520
0.2657405043831500 0.1033547900320240 0.0667247552406964 0.1501719727531640
0.2687692995607660 0.1036645258365740 0.0666709094954047 0.1491334969738820
0.2726840978136490 0.1049233533446920 0.0677144364918958 0.1505815461763880
0.2773922638159120 0.1071287837352020 0.0695342469670674 0.1530587668817140
0.2842287484397750 0.1102762206970070 0.0717443269804378 0.1569147478727770
0.2924891544290110 0.1143577784176770 0.0743032233428353 0.1626139191924910
0.3031167067473940 0.1193626997121560 0.0784172201901411 0.1691906604936780
0.3145445569390710 0.1252795107448830 0.0824324898572433 0.1781527681230270
0.3288391922604680 0.1320996007906180 0.0876743203216255 0.1878851801378480
0.3433860330325680 0.1398214510095390 0.0936794322781455 0.1983058768598180
0.3615317513763160 0.1484544404691040 0.1009315954642700 0.2080734330688020
0.3814271323639050 0.1580212141920290 0.1096225086252930 0.2189980904757420
0.4026975919417210 0.1685580788898750 0.1186929586623100 0.2321578908652690
0.4278979078207240 0.1801136894657560 0.1279592262301060 0.2452963002192750
0.4563678127032300 0.1927471354119150 0.1368178392455770 0.2609444064544060
0.4902502912920000 0.2065270995994640 0.1474865317071690 0.2781695164896160
0.5276863701744340 0.2215337713907480 0.1589418274407540 0.2968028249094880
0.5680999348866100 0.2378645447347590 0.1713396979862530 0.3168691733702100
0.6114023549651040 0.2556433405219120 0.1839553562953780 0.3402538477150330
0.6561989196007140 0.2750320106959070 0.2003261282161310 0.3625411754301230
0.7046284499745650 0.2962412018198630 0.2190049284135650 0.3852038314411110
0.7532203391472350 0.3195377366245390 0.2389353662604690 0.4113122316337230
0.8026111749835570 0.3452462385419940 0.2631665674555320 0.4384899486192500
0.8553106810081580 0.3737442579741110 0.2883591656255230 0.4700745722154430
0.9120353545852890 0.4054521476014450 0.3151890694306070 0.5074345926653970
0.9741497873813110 0.4408208315779290 0.3452886442720130 0.5469685844231210
1.0378718511444600 0.4803218910147860 0.3788922487877140 0.5952897837874460
1.1056283808781100 0.5244446031563890 0.4155787135136210 0.6448130572839010
1.1765884027438800 0.5737034114051600 0.4554888299051040 0.7039019931914960
1.2464123108028900 0.6286567101081040 0.5026780408661290 0.7688227218100750
1.3151052246483400 0.6899342115120180 0.5579592294271710 0.8338964449841110
1.3883157429819700 0.7582665345420000 0.6212306564187560 0.9107659548218690
1.4622200793246000 0.8345084740075650 0.6881980370171310 0.9952525279353360
1.5495281403733200 0.9196480971403250 0.7574369140261250 1.0999055394388900
1.6568377460700200 1.0147981906436400 0.8257052054380910 1.2241100719770900
1.7892936443053800 1.1211745294204300 0.8851926397184310 1.3850956020135200
1.9475283669124000 1.2400759508817900 0.9405333871007180 1.5838033723186200
2.1398942574119300 1.3728927561102500 0.9936396130742580 1.8220548827598200
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.2709986260065870 0.1073180343053290 0.0653495175392688 0.1609907164750360
0.2680667778012060 0.1072340853035840 0.0665189117549571 0.1610027947702200
0.2658365729762430 0.1071778368380240 0.0665701678910082 0.1597519026878400
0.2635506574548650 0.1071422428888730 0.0666335252395096 0.1597820935283730
0.2609137542292780 0.1071345038126780 0.0670767157530654 0.1587743496340820
0.2592514883561550 0.1071726436584980 0.0672070229109183 0.1587292005862680
0.2586428558761460 0.1072810846278620 0.0673825561298962 0.1586927385625960
0.2586497366814880 0.1074869563971560 0.0678706258689063 0.1589442188100130
0.2604947087007550 0.1078184967986630 0.0675361796203620 0.1590690246231080
0.2631436422486910 0.1083061126174190 0.0680312217970774 0.1611354908026990
0.2668594012089340 0.1089857603777670 0.0683736165259253 0.1619048566128070
0.2708629232517210 0.1099035625043750 0.0689290729906922 0.1627067633445000
0.2746047271268060 0.1111202088958360 0.0699226659915828 0.1641375994006920
0.2803971014339820 0.1127137995764310 0.0711677098984977 0.1657149822594850
0.2860697372403860 0.1147802954257100 0.0733222314307365 0.1672222753327420
0.2923048973599060 0.1174314525432960 0.0762229576537936 0.1700840004317490
0.3003371926737590 0.1207907535814030 0.0787343221357513 0.1737052043849240
0.3094880012228270 0.1249882097641690 0.0822855108120024 0.1790327403325530
0.3188870115200380 0.1301549282330860 0.0858812249066259 0.1858014402721620
0.3333717335714140 0.1364180956090980 0.0905648702424239 0.1932795082851810
0.3503304783891290 0.1438966506355630 0.0961297827668241 0.2026600540131400
0.3665648411007360 0.1526975075580060 0.1034297650534480 0.2137184665789440
0.3866910286538760 0.1629117938997620 0.1108776504249660 0.2270180309486600
0.4079694225628190 0.1746102180675010 0.1199047285823250 0.2439037356350260
0.4316358540768600 0.1878364825362200 0.1307920432719560 0.2602148028160840
0.4568106486597330 0.2025978020562180 0.1428062094383000 0.2765718192969880
0.4844597783869710 0.2188523120852560 0.1561501417080510 0.2948947742855360
0.5175341068677320 0.2364946007196010 0.1712199131708270 0.3162718822498780
0.5532541089234960 0.2553426210172620 0.1864918297329530 0.3394146579470240
0.5928417596273940 0.2751312551327630 0.2033863604348680 0.3637529575605720
0.6390223803256450 0.2955187917093980 0.2195966907365830 0.3892087153759390
0.6897743606899870 0.3161113969002270 0.2372491062345640 0.4136460989885170
0.7438623055408950 0.3365066657198310 0.2523346142825720 0.4363250335146050
0.8012416637815820 0.3563511431028410 0.2676010115226790 0.4590047221034040
0.8646337429556060 0.3754004554639880 0.2842684863586760 0.4835697097852690
0.9340234318309360 0.3935673676002550 0.2974739783572750 0.5073408611668910
1.0107932097821900 0.4109448173800000 0.3099396794594420 0.5299350647861110
1.0986573070029300 0.4277975308219450 0.3148599677053180 0.5597210978512430
1.2085521823767300 0.4445243737460670 0.3153306157953960 0.6004733050448830
1.3551358216202800 0.4616003415754040 0.3112147983110980 0.6464120964194950
1.5213121979260200 0.4795093869786900 0.3032546707874370 0.7036206943462120
1.7259053999983200 0.4986769121346700 0.2957764788399670 0.7732262036276910
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.2278205478516430 0.0585848973522426 0.0303213051116996 0.0959996134818388
0.2314642868588450 0.0619220241998876 0.0329936856991331 0.1003514771752890
0.2348314037489830 0.0656440659566447 0.0358312835995718 0.1047756792870290
0.2388606478181870 0.0697294200897519 0.0389950873034704 0.1104544298714490
0.2444887246318690 0.0741328154315666 0.0425899364493393 0.1163005763349810
0.2493016360961550 0.0787807092230882 0.0461777211570590 0.1222798784448540
0.2553598858049120 0.0835679944002852 0.0495962361270502 0.1288767409174740
0.2603485323129740 0.0883581958944946 0.0530511990855673 0.1353472029511320
0.2648033184265410 0.0929895192231572 0.0555847702081694 0.1421100731922290
0.2687711010667980 0.0972883207056764 0.0582699826667327 0.1484799045145090
0.2720636685363760 0.1010896242592070 0.0606854604715946 0.1543014759091730
0.2726525669894090 0.1042616320697420 0.0628019473856296 0.1585134674102120
0.2730909950730230 0.1067288423010250 0.0650446323080600 0.1616713391284990
0.2715428787008410 0.1084877066122790 0.0671177905426208 0.1643099767318440
0.2693026514855150 0.1096104592410530 0.0681888454104559 0.1651366936974100
0.2659504776722920 0.1102363253529440 0.0695570534657503 0.1651879897060830
0.2637760463981000 0.1105531816745210 0.0704132656486875 0.1641073786081940
0.2618515162214010 0.1107751662707160 0.0702382559230577 0.1633386343794630
0.2604826541384340 0.1111218739160370 0.0710320686799736 0.1626118739920220
0.2613840752177150 0.1118030130641980 0.0715938666240581 0.1620630337733410
0.2639855556800080 0.1130098667188990 0.0724346058424552 0.1630899155804290
0.2691178059784390 0.1149126811600790 0.0735167696013317 0.1653162169521360
0.2761284741741610 0.1176617664339000 0.0751049602771145 0.1693015484151290
0.2855002094780920 0.1213896538263730 0.0779506325878601 0.1734711664093720
0.2976480497120000 0.1262118650173300 0.0814346959908827 0.1783334233360900
0.3120419922913100 0.1322244483601670 0.0867396707133905 0.1854822021842280
0.3286651124447840 0.1394973099021960 0.0926734386374394 0.1942121947266630
0.3490353257305010 0.1480635257253410 0.0997362085629532 0.2040416735372030
0.3723008751681620 0.1579063102968810 0.1081796407880540 0.2161314888023680
0.3996125243568710 0.1689470251205670 0.1175636257407960 0.2305140332429110
0.4288010533676910 0.1810391043782330 0.1264483523023220 0.2467317945818480
0.4579609403525490 0.1939732331384530 0.1360163856688110 0.2633994103040580
0.4874103746559720 0.2074976164306980 0.1455462138672940 0.2816988986092320
0.5179625959597480 0.2213533352984820 0.1567055145634110 0.2987613148260460
0.5451326393716570 0.2353194374728950 0.1674300096362880 0.3164118997061010
0.5699565619073510 0.2492577104742330 0.1763356328150630 0.3340096277519130
0.5947703108614350 0.2631455236906880 0.1834483519515070 0.3536803257506280
0.6229271860029530 0.2770878941172180 0.1886907437802830 0.3767307774501240
0.6560452395685830 0.2913058884988550 0.1932039194661540 0.4085142843974380
0.6963495287248390 0.3061047170182250 0.1939972624137440 0.4484997604143970
0.7478909528877530 0.3218285329443990 0.1921287355189330 0.4942034641884480
0.8109258952883110 0.3388088283385790 0.1902680345689300 0.5493967848139430
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.1858472417611390 0.0604961837611755 0.0330474764901933 0.0968361570340280
0.1869144758639720 0.0599319210723504 0.0333128897276316 0.0950520054368482
0.1893300372454530 0.0599192667282841 0.0337198163898386 0.0939119695748829
0.1932286013487040 0.0604548721168853 0.0345080645192134 0.0940560027829176
0.1965004211583050 0.0615324765004930 0.0356613601399709 0.0950233250459050
0.2023804675205370 0.0631398200878548 0.0371865156225745 0.0975836925352825
0.2071986931977270 0.0652542365827519 0.0388229380872633 0.1003159839531220
0.2142862143403490 0.0678377169654111 0.0407302054997880 0.1035479896907220
0.2207478481873030 0.0708325707962485 0.0424127998329687 0.1077388228691240
0.2286892437183490 0.0741590368205953 0.0446870452941847 0.1134161191913900
0.2355191335802840 0.0777161387606639 0.0466464376199702 0.1190717464079170
0.2435357450278640 0.0813865813928238 0.0489117887741748 0.1252397796488800
0.2509316321430410 0.0850455214267327 0.0510559562602697 0.1308810911922120
0.2561496323491990 0.0885718725799702 0.0534997154478321 0.1366677603909450
0.2597533155734380 0.0918598856439143 0.0564111104119386 0.1402605475206190
0.2619482788552000 0.0948285526980718 0.0587633853190853 0.1448687022227240
0.2623746342893990 0.0974270868369622 0.0609033386269998 0.1469748332636810
0.2639146311021660 0.0996360347778045 0.0623543811187151 0.1504763079098560
0.2639536640350790 0.1014648833817330 0.0636441867906735 0.1529885440576190
0.2648768406059810 0.1029477511077200 0.0649338315065213 0.1548090737011170
0.2651316720828640 0.1041386875925240 0.0660334675111564 0.1549333686622740
0.2656423046263060 0.1051074362683950 0.0668365076072112 0.1565338261966350
0.2651305240267490 0.1059356938910710 0.0673549500228586 0.1575223594532600
0.2652873420319510 0.1067133554106420 0.0684741694683658 0.1578640656541110
0.2643568653792160 0.1075341697461020 0.0692362653783218 0.1574280910874280
0.2636314596346810 0.1084905894310130 0.0701140874015689 0.1584392490475510
0.2645835663147270 0.1096681368857910 0.0714177579581304 0.1596889007792170
0.2666999011678530 0.1111400730709570 0.0728774315086330 0.1599108911781360
0.2711589988609700 0.1129633784022490 0.0737536903427819 0.1618450991067390
0.2772499790455910 0.1151770019933230 0.0748344324928285 0.1651139793932640
0.2828933935269660 0.1178030361192370 0.0764455137898322 0.1693488107496250
0.2904520804585180 0.1208509718261040 0.0783047758080498 0.1745779334023130
0.2984472754327630 0.1243245355353140 0.0802653569739971 0.1794561841381730
0.3073153090889190 0.1282298933386510 0.0831567607303024 0.1849288535775280
0.3177705804988400 0.1325834328756690 0.0859925729491997 0.1896658705192340
0.3299432850650770 0.1374171488246460 0.0888970183837512 0.1967868380699110
0.3460031591020580 0.1427800668854290 0.0903617749129820 0.2068736312221120
0.3680101807178250 0.1487351553720750 0.0908507939288459 0.2201955795345470
0.3979408853942090 0.1553525867888200 0.0893594262770260 0.2388162831062010
0.4334182016353750 0.1627016994323370 0.0882370554674697 0.2628449280795820
0.4747726776168470 0.1708452818724610 0.0862450548234020 0.2913526522472540
0.5271272292673330 0.1798407059748750 0.0843587203847388 0.3261197550733060
on South East
95% Upper credible Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
Interval positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.1539930524945390 0.0593287236565069 0.0317503369363080 0.0960193234443279
0.1552324733860710 0.0599873385324634 0.0327374223160596 0.0959441970258837
0.1581043987906530 0.0604278912461447 0.0332775514407514 0.0954856495839485
0.1597395509637680 0.0606656314479150 0.0339408490252248 0.0955673956921085
0.1629313757111840 0.0607456486602224 0.0344687198476192 0.0948484325569823
0.1670475348351360 0.0607359499392853 0.0347360078926759 0.0939266866198471
0.1715757008319340 0.0607178919739962 0.0348472865622604 0.0935926511251254
0.1759248424340640 0.0607765971483094 0.0350907356330013 0.0932855785429482
0.1810715075247470 0.0609933646115162 0.0351994213720511 0.0938678790471294
0.1869208697974770 0.0614409606206475 0.0356941000810665 0.0945300018945796
0.1937554895370150 0.0621815834206784 0.0360043372316394 0.0961225542000217
0.2006988212056530 0.0632665834248298 0.0367418001519443 0.0984511092760645
0.2061476909127900 0.0647367481962428 0.0375947092928893 0.1006997299523110
0.2111678666097750 0.0666220390972198 0.0385803703529825 0.1035025716487930
0.2163484429313440 0.0689399658248983 0.0401767291007971 0.1065673219810950
0.2212165283946690 0.0716922227688779 0.0420610935663214 0.1093599329257530
0.2257047660048430 0.0748597548203745 0.0441738951912284 0.1141290076104960
0.2318831052806640 0.0783970517026632 0.0465384225870600 0.1191956874017270
0.2373607269146900 0.0822271250403452 0.0489870861293806 0.1247885549194860
0.2423940199921580 0.0862391340080911 0.0519128896454037 0.1310757846292620
0.2482160301819280 0.0902907127796854 0.0546373554094848 0.1368971693607350
0.2518519444558500 0.0942164153822735 0.0570970798487685 0.1427754527648540
0.2549860817898550 0.0978422222092842 0.0593422663493521 0.1482175783093880
0.2563566839259990 0.1010040611748330 0.0611412347737836 0.1523504053706100
0.2581174496654980 0.1035665583035110 0.0635995801201749 0.1544728640686180
0.2601489544428070 0.1054376578660930 0.0659541335771877 0.1557279189183930
0.2623005896510510 0.1065758198364940 0.0670957983087662 0.1562453773299830
0.2637162152630060 0.1069888525197970 0.0676750166907381 0.1564641617500540
0.2645879470024590 0.1067260050493710 0.0680829459643473 0.1563898770739130
0.2649475721173600 0.1058665838603740 0.0674289359519083 0.1550600631186840
0.2654356808964150 0.1045084996837340 0.0659902798436503 0.1526134265166840
0.2647627209963400 0.1027590248824010 0.0645491258875263 0.1505985919159590
0.2628979424405180 0.1007283991144620 0.0628574355646193 0.1484220743078020
0.2593142768299230 0.0985255661919025 0.0609488294026030 0.1464490781232380
0.2551671449828170 0.0962547390998336 0.0582676724030679 0.1446061527296830
0.2511564782426270 0.0940117170079232 0.0552656755595160 0.1426826827940440
0.2461969558728280 0.0918796186993199 0.0526032686896510 0.1415540215245750
0.2432990206240770 0.0899245217519656 0.0489671928095013 0.1432374125888850
0.2431556922264730 0.0881920615223667 0.0451856089920688 0.1466857099518670
0.2453925608969320 0.0867062082549235 0.0412400079997830 0.1497916681871810
0.2490669774011020 0.0854712520774265 0.0373828195577891 0.1567387664203160
0.2540336038103570 0.0844776209492385 0.0334780376599866 0.1639405034460630
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1595622941769750% 0.0726318969600665% 0.0425222362710038% 0.1132350820887500%
0.1588927913707260% 0.0706542974584881% 0.0417994566224915% 0.1100945099718310%
0.1578212629911540% 0.0687700367419323% 0.0410307223269311% 0.1066478238429090%
0.1572649063423400% 0.0669766582449394% 0.0400277630292279% 0.1036912987531770%
0.1552778432011920% 0.0652816544643864% 0.0390827896254361% 0.1007731665363830%
0.1540052367219510% 0.0636983358452029% 0.0379437738257164% 0.0983415630978079%
0.1532540850455730% 0.0622415179655015% 0.0369116438127599% 0.0960721981886872%
0.1534193913430860% 0.0609242376736985% 0.0359232192769867% 0.0944698809211576%
0.1540971459768890% 0.0597562335561901% 0.0348805643638954% 0.0927708691518087%
0.1548998490195050% 0.0587442971552238% 0.0339998811577309% 0.0916383307427263%
0.1570853869107930% 0.0578940383719615% 0.0334669602093942% 0.0912590101838618%
0.1598020502618030% 0.0572122585313972% 0.0327454703966328% 0.0914587691380670%
0.1623853536236050% 0.0567090462516476% 0.0320317217100328% 0.0907305707699998%
0.1661321889535130% 0.0563988874496411% 0.0318100832873852% 0.0901359903443870%
0.1692327286985470% 0.0563004337965361% 0.0317640986867061% 0.0896231985139142%
0.1732818169873380% 0.0564349849590631% 0.0321177450539324% 0.0891814743122408%
0.1780700045937440% 0.0568240844480588% 0.0323898317802767% 0.0897795497470002%
0.1841251693060330% 0.0574868197092335% 0.0328172791097613% 0.0904409520443590%
0.1908505006294700% 0.0584374304596325% 0.0335062871546763% 0.0915532198899047%
0.1980211454415360% 0.0596836960340447% 0.0341591487166258% 0.0938030416591639%
0.2050067394829680% 0.0612263455049079% 0.0350527275627885% 0.0964843398093075%
0.2125144669263630% 0.0630594617056240% 0.0359789190224018% 0.0995045446333028%
0.2198422772218290% 0.0651715749057277% 0.0373772111926473% 0.1031872301142880%
0.2264877870225750% 0.0675469193211756% 0.0393861382014323% 0.1063999598014700%
0.2317114684694860% 0.0701662327357543% 0.0411727310065520% 0.1095151919271280%
0.2348178521634700% 0.0730065924417936% 0.0433233756166154% 0.1142676138581700%
0.2374872736500620% 0.0760401289608689% 0.0457582925894792% 0.1182241695173980%
0.2394094803348570% 0.0792319851407969% 0.0485507697904285% 0.1222034916024940%
0.2417396353379420% 0.0825384411727309% 0.0508222573905847% 0.1252522010860750%
0.2430324930787850% 0.0859064932256137% 0.0534030044644898% 0.1302705680813500%
0.2448200654716500% 0.0892761412754657% 0.0556266176466666% 0.1344862035265440%
0.2473299906224190% 0.0925860783403100% 0.0580327195472186% 0.1393577797904360%
0.2486426826411230% 0.0957824243643806% 0.0598749365030288% 0.1439960781508960%
0.2498929458214760% 0.0988289055026519% 0.0616284951672004% 0.1484258668727340%
0.2522512435572880% 0.1017159414322540% 0.0628012548570487% 0.1534333700548360%
0.2543352057745500% 0.1044659672984490% 0.0634067497233086% 0.1567986114696240%
0.2578497290217490% 0.1071331824315280% 0.0632859883583524% 0.1613433346565900%
0.2663022854404410% 0.1097975040473500% 0.0629898755935360% 0.1689083865197450%
0.2797230153584310% 0.1125541621179260% 0.0612722390999898% 0.1786148370315500%
0.2957171087069170% 0.1155014467359570% 0.0591851279661046% 0.1916222191794550%
0.3147642846236900% 0.1187292991601730% 0.0563600721541684% 0.2076194179458610%
0.3400420267273470% 0.1223108514772900% 0.0538878148170635% 0.2245775494837440%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1551843563060950% 0.0742807005396658% 0.0437803048735544% 0.1133246267200780%
0.1556070606308210% 0.0733135704861417% 0.0434316224067025% 0.1112460196335400%
0.1555895519602420% 0.0724632749950310% 0.0434812513211536% 0.1088972002043230%
0.1549547039814510% 0.0716935854389775% 0.0431982625096552% 0.1073016646821210%
0.1551664370867430% 0.0709692283360912% 0.0426605895222968% 0.1065380171511430%
0.1543672948529160% 0.0702552451857509% 0.0424849607852899% 0.1066022735576880%
0.1537463786316440% 0.0695164864955813% 0.0420654307931711% 0.1056884153818980%
0.1535207473750220% 0.0687181821309579% 0.0412818575479672% 0.1051797924327350%
0.1531713281215410% 0.0678282027153518% 0.0403379341809931% 0.1042570434274420%
0.1532151219276430% 0.0668209993933892% 0.0393747133305433% 0.1033225951077450%
0.1537144709173520% 0.0656824722513390% 0.0385826193520118% 0.1022961351009800%
0.1544161310407750% 0.0644144430308078% 0.0376028538444699% 0.1005071220478470%
0.1542388246655260% 0.0630372630685185% 0.0366144801714052% 0.0987855421741665%
0.1548274665188000% 0.0615895041721874% 0.0356121045965447% 0.0965910078871969%
0.1554243849540820% 0.0601245447953652% 0.0348213694493692% 0.0944205078731626%
0.1551287794077250% 0.0587048310394999% 0.0340722627980023% 0.0927609857794980%
0.1559418759555860% 0.0573952525600763% 0.0330587969912981% 0.0906474298064001%
0.1572334143558280% 0.0562571791770533% 0.0322802394283705% 0.0887228941258206%
0.1593255302921600% 0.0553442882557664% 0.0317152461084434% 0.0873161129675554%
0.1623339021090050% 0.0547006284172267% 0.0311736660735626% 0.0862645580966824%
0.1660938193909090% 0.0543607083079940% 0.0311148494481603% 0.0856265971583759%
0.1700222227118980% 0.0543509607378523% 0.0310101593595813% 0.0853898546538963%
0.1740964584769950% 0.0546917569703783% 0.0309994503721931% 0.0862526836602044%
0.1780754124612370% 0.0553991817913834% 0.0314425463900078% 0.0873670359931453%
0.1826738980027030% 0.0564859521540223% 0.0324099013159984% 0.0886778965375250%
0.1876472920253020% 0.0579611166102245% 0.0334232402471542% 0.0909535150645760%
0.1926872706321880% 0.0598284835517599% 0.0348441662476396% 0.0933442235909404%
0.1992716799191700% 0.0620840806457473% 0.0364834409301813% 0.0955887589331715%
0.2062825801353770% 0.0647133217202177% 0.0384709399498046% 0.0989641632041129%
0.2138135197424100% 0.0676888892674407% 0.0403713693675427% 0.1026019350534140%
0.2213916586906790% 0.0709705142036464% 0.0428654351322938% 0.1068723715212050%
0.2300017431009650% 0.0745076932844748% 0.0454505309682171% 0.1124368817320180%
0.2376753814642370% 0.0782458058343343% 0.0474082549966358% 0.1184877479130560%
0.2452330784156170% 0.0821351065200187% 0.0496825402730890% 0.1240451237467970%
0.2521189598204410% 0.0861409564371941% 0.0516884009726895% 0.1301806377982220%
0.2605261900715430% 0.0902528827122298% 0.0535889007705680% 0.1383228345286450%
0.2715139033868620% 0.0944900626089487% 0.0545072095157228% 0.1470736321385920%
0.2847710870965190% 0.0989017206064754% 0.0545417764768737% 0.1574471091225820%
0.3012339483839120% 0.1035623678343110% 0.0539054621715100% 0.1696710648730490%
0.3211709815871450% 0.1085631926262440% 0.0528642964639584% 0.1848655511634350%
0.3466036317210210% 0.1140016988278240% 0.0516570568201449% 0.2032703335669690%
0.3782629511073030% 0.1199717043682220% 0.0502179400049423% 0.2275069745139290%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1671650902569460% 0.1210064941753580% 0.0776853040007433% 0.1769122274232660%
0.1642675775243600% 0.1118513964498080% 0.0715378334000124% 0.1640430529767800%
0.1614399386220100% 0.1038664533634740% 0.0659335108566010% 0.1525710779962160%
0.1594404713923010% 0.0969432698160834% 0.0612766554641336% 0.1429478017279720%
0.1579218995783170% 0.0909879822463943% 0.0569784615692876% 0.1352774405687870%
0.1574110859914360% 0.0859142624571940% 0.0538203840101272% 0.1285863091744790%
0.1572493689815840% 0.0816377194850378% 0.0510413914557551% 0.1229870941800740%
0.1567684086103350% 0.0780724483980648% 0.0484459632930862% 0.1177575703419260%
0.1566743669437190% 0.0751298379221970% 0.0462020650218944% 0.1137523307386390%
0.1568023263789410% 0.0727192893834839% 0.0443920133393680% 0.1106893485761030%
0.1574593620668170% 0.0707502404111033% 0.0426290992828283% 0.1082493193290580%
0.1578049468129570% 0.0691347805845657% 0.0415286173306216% 0.1062158756357120%
0.1576105342770340% 0.0677901562332607% 0.0404470217443926% 0.1054452200572110%
0.1568648045867800% 0.0666405946169192% 0.0395933964419891% 0.1038543725305760%
0.1556259186722740% 0.0656181525856289% 0.0387026605114993% 0.1026350708316100%
0.1542191576488890% 0.0646626837898702% 0.0379945060653332% 0.1012818736004930%
0.1529658129854710% 0.0637214146600042% 0.0370719268766417% 0.1003573339428640%
0.1512658587346200% 0.0627488619474971% 0.0362474659168489% 0.0998156396633779%
0.1506758235689230% 0.0617077716077862% 0.0354084890929100% 0.0984552796779221%
0.1507656028407890% 0.0605713671950581% 0.0344252549635845% 0.0973118243769271%
0.1509981737432320% 0.0593265698347960% 0.0332976834100688% 0.0953773835500595%
0.1517543379881140% 0.0579772321105547% 0.0322819250269848% 0.0935405803500178%
0.1527763096734440% 0.0565461103074267% 0.0311663190163643% 0.0909374569443116%
0.1538460984621920% 0.0550744917899528% 0.0303223297844977% 0.0886125520970826%
0.1546359421567290% 0.0536190804576151% 0.0297859861260422% 0.0857999647509546%
0.1568365661396460% 0.0522466494015801% 0.0288477411747838% 0.0837626112211094%
0.1581787706556740% 0.0510276945774274% 0.0281393375684391% 0.0815757786093380%
0.1605378366822490% 0.0500305628766906% 0.0278606652483744% 0.0794983937834082%
0.1650956698097340% 0.0493172394590747% 0.0276532748440111% 0.0790007857944191%
0.1702744955434360% 0.0489413668390173% 0.0273294262161127% 0.0787102480972469%
0.1761576975346490% 0.0489484253043981% 0.0273351022452249% 0.0780608272601545%
0.1829491420727030% 0.0493775437147147% 0.0277845743653220% 0.0789090222538345%
0.1894137589047630% 0.0502641924628394% 0.0278738202078923% 0.0808411968520348%
0.1953935636762800% 0.0516429819096952% 0.0281368206365303% 0.0836090446983360%
0.2021084951313650% 0.0535498643947010% 0.0287536286854120% 0.0870672427981644%
0.2087880693005930% 0.0560231679739439% 0.0295331584790340% 0.0925439227779994%
0.2176833293847680% 0.0591030917660460% 0.0299950171079731% 0.0995889054580595%
0.2293886500633140% 0.0628296396549142% 0.0306781684189071% 0.1072133512953690%
0.2421225106914130% 0.0672395647909405% 0.0313567992368606% 0.1183260402376190%
0.2610787288789820% 0.0723638326732276% 0.0316991090863854% 0.1331592158317480%
0.2830840357075590% 0.0782284005462721% 0.0318224485476046% 0.1497643813774400%
0.3110816963362400% 0.0848626371303550% 0.0317893250935991% 0.1713976888962970%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19
Modelled % testing
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.2135697154709110% 0.1353125192177230% 0.0864967493629636% 0.1949552794619570%
0.2066733543013370% 0.1357603544571370% 0.0876037098541626% 0.1951187268346650%
0.1996529062410330% 0.1351235526923650% 0.0878521216344667% 0.1942567796390590%
0.1926965312677010% 0.1333769160014980% 0.0869157966549358% 0.1919769707212900%
0.1863840244901650% 0.1305928576499750% 0.0848477458079092% 0.1879800781695110%
0.1805023445160250% 0.1269244136917520% 0.0826275444014404% 0.1828247100598880%
0.1756777972206430% 0.1225770237216370% 0.0796946822019483% 0.1762910725549320%
0.1706691050542240% 0.1177773189274500% 0.0759167971509959% 0.1701714363506670%
0.1663707431870360% 0.1127461287039610% 0.0722551510528628% 0.1630128531897560%
0.1642588925669980% 0.1076797679411040% 0.0682409148218058% 0.1552472466498550%
0.1625005012130200% 0.1027402024419580% 0.0643908120258471% 0.1483893138244600%
0.1604935936076460% 0.0980522693209507% 0.0609390781560305% 0.1428663393971150%
0.1593090434564360% 0.0937051981715477% 0.0578037693003885% 0.1374400804051000%
0.1580905949902930% 0.0897559435586195% 0.0547254565700175% 0.1321069884999980%
0.1567231264623110% 0.0862327079247377% 0.0527457950254813% 0.1276133883179840%
0.1564345057849290% 0.0831379799699837% 0.0508921604919244% 0.1240002412016270%
0.1556753481733810% 0.0804511353080016% 0.0490089942058924% 0.1200778343315250%
0.1554074154067320% 0.0781310547311799% 0.0477639235786173% 0.1173890319974270%
0.1570735797895420% 0.0761193408614892% 0.0464326436351447% 0.1154269519986320%
0.1574712606647520% 0.0743446117853008% 0.0449458629222454% 0.1136280381794210%
0.1584354112430740% 0.0727280586544262% 0.0436449358927442% 0.1115691549652820%
0.1577447495054770% 0.0711900147292175% 0.0424796933300008% 0.1097365157895170%
0.1573355517542440% 0.0696567938570946% 0.0411466379268305% 0.1074442415498470%
0.1560345194193560% 0.0680666958608444% 0.0401528390083679% 0.1052136691669930%
0.1544228122486000% 0.0663740500340728% 0.0392490795975595% 0.1027349157434800%
0.1524256044625820% 0.0645505826180974% 0.0380504474936162% 0.0998851077619361%
0.1512635533515040% 0.0625841474403502% 0.0364182125028587% 0.0965067848186311%
0.1498284409799820% 0.0604756463932999% 0.0349450316931106% 0.0937389596160506%
0.1487959419331320% 0.0582354305267126% 0.0334146565065856% 0.0909204025236580%
0.1478539565192170% 0.0558804014925295% 0.0314850269843226% 0.0885328205143440%
0.1488939140937030% 0.0534324751671160% 0.0295053007534261% 0.0860170997298184%
0.1499131460320490% 0.0509182968436883% 0.0274288412033009% 0.0835004964194314%
0.1511741672234560% 0.0483694624370754% 0.0253567410511379% 0.0806933795679129%
0.1529491030737020% 0.0458222708170474% 0.0232137773394514% 0.0779437422562760%
0.1553110332203200% 0.0433162815199612% 0.0211279743274639% 0.0757423762761122%
0.1586571322934220% 0.0408915346329172% 0.0191068648897506% 0.0730933567193855%
0.1641232630577330% 0.0385849188298257% 0.0171034615106570% 0.0713260280297176%
0.1710096835443940% 0.0364265668782030% 0.0150094676414455% 0.0698293085778593%
0.1825286459044760% 0.0344371766653159% 0.0131321752125791% 0.0684656103537329%
0.1957238600397910% 0.0326268535312293% 0.0114567157184000% 0.0677993628617436%
0.2133649235468950% 0.0309956273304585% 0.0097847073596680% 0.0684116339834903%
0.2342988334728950% 0.0295354053592451% 0.0084034453123432% 0.0695775514543918%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.2969363850284560% 0.1816002671320550% 0.1259708350006190% 0.2466291981111840%
0.2872042287872780% 0.1711967865277900% 0.1175229728096400% 0.2346450713908390%
0.2762747225696210% 0.1620238212302330% 0.1099757802022900% 0.2238533048248910%
0.2652232888352490% 0.1539396822676110% 0.1038259191093470% 0.2148152210847340%
0.2516891312020650% 0.1468127312110850% 0.0981070566996812% 0.2059547988514930%
0.2382494619952730% 0.1405160974131780% 0.0942632802150017% 0.1979251640492230%
0.2269648899644060% 0.1349230221851820% 0.0900493572354965% 0.1903865432909820%
0.2157817237071300% 0.1299046410535140% 0.0861597923720902% 0.1843306184479130%
0.2066860238030430% 0.1253312165345630% 0.0824105791322391% 0.1791264038553940%
0.1981140365617040% 0.1210768483520430% 0.0793294711609106% 0.1743893021639640%
0.1908922001163370% 0.1170267039672240% 0.0757618628240425% 0.1705497032092710%
0.1843405184739300% 0.1130850317075580% 0.0726603198032672% 0.1658955048225620%
0.1784256473930290% 0.1091818676315200% 0.0694015382675746% 0.1615666885541640%
0.1718321658377440% 0.1052766035619380% 0.0664511107211054% 0.1562195924378230%
0.1667449343188370% 0.1013574461051390% 0.0640054086870668% 0.1517279858617940%
0.1627727445412560% 0.0974370033294352% 0.0613287734440614% 0.1468982895995650%
0.1594903823682720% 0.0935453380497842% 0.0585113552713949% 0.1410056097243990%
0.1574656508293080% 0.0897224013210094% 0.0560296120257924% 0.1349593290860610%
0.1561626515773130% 0.0860116267526878% 0.0532112174382385% 0.1296843529601900%
0.1561058279092120% 0.0824557623257987% 0.0505221288252263% 0.1256265310789180%
0.1554989203892650% 0.0790950915134553% 0.0477504301302760% 0.1216291828829990%
0.1559228649630210% 0.0759674226111335% 0.0459558202588088% 0.1173388029338490%
0.1566856768516620% 0.0731088438677361% 0.0442272763265127% 0.1116747267752130%
0.1563858840313490% 0.0705542986451086% 0.0426294932450967% 0.1081097082805290%
0.1557387093025150% 0.0683374105914264% 0.0412037435850273% 0.1050357432451650%
0.1548683301646920% 0.0664894780288198% 0.0403260942287167% 0.1024179306634470%
0.1542819773537190% 0.0650379598893222% 0.0395043074359811% 0.0998830180242715%
0.1534841205506000% 0.0640049743427097% 0.0389643872425817% 0.0974841025856307%
0.1523089564988080% 0.0634063167743512% 0.0386092551794413% 0.0962041976028715%
0.1518801360710700% 0.0632513472776947% 0.0386453937795353% 0.0962046771239459%
0.1508906200457690% 0.0635438885853819% 0.0387505708925964% 0.0970659471563676%
0.1494683593906420% 0.0642840687593410% 0.0388809159097364% 0.0975083945918779%
0.1481005974246380% 0.0654708503981969% 0.0391916353842462% 0.0991605940389810%
0.1472541751880400% 0.0671048067104366% 0.0397380166756951% 0.1017864043546750%
0.1465055708988320% 0.0691905572838527% 0.0402143274132861% 0.1056207216582830%
0.1450164577440620% 0.0717382272249586% 0.0411991795887973% 0.1114341213176580%
0.1450937881244900% 0.0747634263084241% 0.0413792306783274% 0.1183290354439400%
0.1471231184515710% 0.0782856172002833% 0.0414612489124432% 0.1272667705590450%
0.1505969574491230% 0.0823253485313207% 0.0414834678771728% 0.1381645205495700%
0.1541896632485630% 0.0869015969998460% 0.0411327670766887% 0.1525935949606850%
0.1599660763480790% 0.0920312722793755% 0.0403471979428659% 0.1692744031855420%
0.1677394591691290% 0.0977336521926190% 0.0392635632674628% 0.1913699920074300%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.3410884024767250% 0.2025785456996540% 0.1438619660911480% 0.2725486585899010%
0.3361849623670190% 0.2013994591100990% 0.1424006103852530% 0.2710242800397490%
0.3301295245854330% 0.1991606360504250% 0.1401790021377930% 0.2663328136177750%
0.3239360610913550% 0.1958784903055770% 0.1382581000847980% 0.2624841908786160%
0.3147052225913910% 0.1916563249275300% 0.1355851296119030% 0.2577783049116900%
0.3046095869874850% 0.1866621651911660% 0.1323118236092390% 0.2526067075984730%
0.2947113437554660% 0.1810992716327680% 0.1283269250262400% 0.2474314664950110%
0.2846023806545280% 0.1751770067832260% 0.1233309210488540% 0.2402485031220780%
0.2750606772464750% 0.1690879577847900% 0.1178519065285190% 0.2336643552943120%
0.2670293774036310% 0.1629940111341820% 0.1123083805596160% 0.2268889176898640%
0.2570296059329780% 0.1570209470521640% 0.1069707606808960% 0.2208869247051540%
0.2470580610616500% 0.1512591045448720% 0.1023561739613830% 0.2133564401936240%
0.2365478671549540% 0.1457670653095710% 0.0981213484597862% 0.2061542899608510%
0.2259793005798820% 0.1405758451893620% 0.0943671668308538% 0.1988311138116610%
0.2169851366134850% 0.1356922350153460% 0.0908664625006130% 0.1920594884116890%
0.2074436572692240% 0.1311011640855660% 0.0876779920976346% 0.1857508825576560%
0.1977306398670240% 0.1267678745200720% 0.0845561211994794% 0.1791989411850990%
0.1899521226537540% 0.1226410840934220% 0.0811474378999970% 0.1742276367138070%
0.1837720997814590% 0.1186581399749560% 0.0778935867527008% 0.1705268567871320%
0.1788223326244420% 0.1147525191336180% 0.0745601953080473% 0.1659429385814230%
0.1735514338315910% 0.1108631088951400% 0.0716216058596324% 0.1614372745463130%
0.1688434779479410% 0.1069437878356250% 0.0684736410611176% 0.1563224877264160%
0.1653582568228150% 0.1029712616080990% 0.0649166838430387% 0.1513865798554390%
0.1614643428025630% 0.0989491830709796% 0.0621379437149503% 0.1454818294886540%
0.1587439936381780% 0.0949073912870123% 0.0596222957809063% 0.1390587785717210%
0.1557689658268710% 0.0908964127779249% 0.0572752351217579% 0.1327492720427080%
0.1541559471711020% 0.0869786875878184% 0.0548243752183355% 0.1274619503130700%
0.1528231582995850% 0.0832187864746628% 0.0524673776539809% 0.1224674100515600%
0.1525832703458560% 0.0796748930058670% 0.0498868559689812% 0.1184002413217940%
0.1521215194585910% 0.0763931262613588% 0.0476071197809578% 0.1137190410464040%
0.1528045325708190% 0.0734052398666220% 0.0451291735129405% 0.1101616875782910%
0.1523138087990230% 0.0707292630840784% 0.0428748159773711% 0.1077539885213370%
0.1516830847768120% 0.0683720254434748% 0.0407303410818365% 0.1051775631964310%
0.1515021864608830% 0.0663323120843637% 0.0385311420180778% 0.1039579190495310%
0.1512411104076240% 0.0646035727215814% 0.0366437299638850% 0.1028259531563240%
0.1496907788391820% 0.0631755246949809% 0.0346268789333681% 0.1020313363166140%
0.1506604550276190% 0.0620345088995401% 0.0329393942410288% 0.1022354640741580%
0.1522836588166290% 0.0611629529920141% 0.0308190401746390% 0.1038836337957360%
0.1547865836576160% 0.0605386791026415% 0.0287827660175332% 0.1065513340863910%
0.1584625104980730% 0.0601350111605127% 0.0265912765046057% 0.1107814668778910%
0.1650796317500870% 0.0599226672884136% 0.0243936960260851% 0.1164179408527480%
0.1712830359567820% 0.0598742651987365% 0.0224561619810137% 0.1222159949825420%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.3417168810573520% 0.1924872988013220% 0.1349312231079540% 0.2625955941019790%
0.3382482027989280% 0.1956505749587860% 0.1384518643809400% 0.2645536496878360%
0.3361328952053390% 0.1982190901765190% 0.1405431515760160% 0.2665092004058970%
0.3332766459849650% 0.2000770276871420% 0.1424271520052740% 0.2696243465358090%
0.3291380075905290% 0.2011479835000090% 0.1436762054798920% 0.2693598569494550%
0.3254467144298770% 0.2013931101276670% 0.1449333823848490% 0.2689431264195060%
0.3224721752002380% 0.2008041750795590% 0.1452493022421580% 0.2670514037542570%
0.3196135166532260% 0.1993951493298750% 0.1439473176609690% 0.2659054931146860%
0.3181711614984040% 0.1971957293203370% 0.1415210108354640% 0.2643602024774450%
0.3165589965914800% 0.1942486740027110% 0.1380049267044180% 0.2640454652195950%
0.3123209385497490% 0.1906107458636600% 0.1350615433876680% 0.2603309475532330%
0.3064905190367580% 0.1863552801381130% 0.1302712369515920% 0.2553745120193040%
0.2998917483186640% 0.1815736585696310% 0.1263553955809570% 0.2489576680489270%
0.2906641648070360% 0.1763734628690240% 0.1216758155455190% 0.2431015157029480%
0.2800176761299390% 0.1708725321164730% 0.1175935278068560% 0.2360114099511060%
0.2700723265969390% 0.1651898739814990% 0.1134653403690850% 0.2271594641472120%
0.2599841507553800% 0.1594356479735340% 0.1088639321280180% 0.2196293397525280%
0.2497752334125700% 0.1537027878647750% 0.1048883035681790% 0.2135421370545920%
0.2387669694925170% 0.1480622350105510% 0.1007745130091690% 0.2064538514114980%
0.2279022415393670% 0.1425625561340800% 0.0963655816156717% 0.2000651780148440%
0.2180928515493100% 0.1372334082479810% 0.0917660829756098% 0.1937580356447340%
0.2083716859935870% 0.1320913170149040% 0.0871083794501966% 0.1867650113976550%
0.1992472538151520% 0.1271458055627700% 0.0838925912939838% 0.1814929160245190%
0.1899639905610070% 0.1224041052043970% 0.0802921483404011% 0.1755474294067920%
0.1825202970900230% 0.1178733789880590% 0.0771765811145257% 0.1682190786158810%
0.1755260663718350% 0.1135603408999740% 0.0740335544072826% 0.1625447792260440%
0.1691613750982900% 0.1094690439530780% 0.0709456398793371% 0.1568205427766150%
0.1642928179049630% 0.1055981656126770% 0.0687439759448241% 0.1515416205381890%
0.1602280039035850% 0.1019391958757040% 0.0661655240018952% 0.1471876629496160%
0.1578928668835020% 0.0984765514150633% 0.0631828738314253% 0.1430265356245610%
0.1559713695962610% 0.0951899470587940% 0.0602491187876117% 0.1397556086575640%
0.1552168767110400% 0.0920585682313228% 0.0575059274398836% 0.1359290345037550%
0.1559790801774140% 0.0890659332971943% 0.0546833384709294% 0.1330615710326960%
0.1582559564582250% 0.0862040153151125% 0.0519138051382026% 0.1305451443625330%
0.1618793818644070% 0.0834753335378375% 0.0490516605618086% 0.1291753046532960%
0.1670418180952260% 0.0808923099872689% 0.0459975609232937% 0.1275298628166600%
0.1741509827678800% 0.0784740282819552% 0.0429497197383300% 0.1258805549841450%
0.1829880104283980% 0.0762413295172776% 0.0398602340070128% 0.1252545594057930%
0.1945138075711390% 0.0742116550484057% 0.0362663059180889% 0.1277764118495330%
0.2107362967401610% 0.0723950734841205% 0.0331922145589105% 0.1307936472516100%
0.2293467129791130% 0.0707925731888141% 0.0298450592675517% 0.1345663272891640%
0.2512713871446040% 0.0693971482925784% 0.0265331061957851% 0.1391442295978680%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.3506987690617680% 0.2259971289370640% 0.1651940409658820% 0.3005298057243970%
0.3512189372016720% 0.2232086552550100% 0.1625124182602640% 0.2969436399587110%
0.3514577504321900% 0.2204546413778230% 0.1597541828050450% 0.2927161032219490%
0.3515289291485570% 0.2177401137995270% 0.1578538765006100% 0.2897968236944470%
0.3500161620151870% 0.2150937892727480% 0.1559465510597050% 0.2848110844297840%
0.3469706789127820% 0.2125561162661710% 0.1551083534657440% 0.2804661926480810%
0.3445570489055930% 0.2101655296739720% 0.1524712630729270% 0.2769357832606020%
0.3421939802683540% 0.2079464566163610% 0.1506308293640020% 0.2742590903051130%
0.3408358333171380% 0.2059016741489250% 0.1489933989272490% 0.2718425327842790%
0.3393221666604180% 0.2040101043206570% 0.1473605127379980% 0.2710036773867610%
0.3381569575375070% 0.2022295636014660% 0.1453310695724110% 0.2685478012478410%
0.3367040863899000% 0.2005027811229190% 0.1442088240553020% 0.2658000978138090%
0.3346956970619920% 0.1987644226730350% 0.1427569124384300% 0.2644682375046790%
0.3312756064822350% 0.1969470048893380% 0.1417016164446340% 0.2622482998832890%
0.3269893728970930% 0.1949843853648290% 0.1411736818191560% 0.2605349329474790%
0.3237381630477790% 0.1928127112806210% 0.1392953492168370% 0.2578834025828570%
0.3193904661062980% 0.1903698944973540% 0.1370659487130660% 0.2546777280282000%
0.3147086600192430% 0.1875954187044930% 0.1345439458156730% 0.2502203403676810%
0.3104890633074200% 0.1844322709392450% 0.1313863057636460% 0.2467074856758120%
0.3053479594599470% 0.1808319805590530% 0.1275019218332460% 0.2429993814038200%
0.2983460640285130% 0.1767623934079930% 0.1232764623200140% 0.2401894760072100%
0.2905016585876510% 0.1722163912679560% 0.1187530679662700% 0.2362157353957210%
0.2812787978439670% 0.1672188577554270% 0.1141605867723320% 0.2304301073171460%
0.2694945495147430% 0.1618292364669450% 0.1099375291248780% 0.2232728466266050%
0.2576924607699030% 0.1561381233960070% 0.1056718166751690% 0.2156096093712780%
0.2464247929168170% 0.1502581257821200% 0.1021411944921510% 0.2080349734573640%
0.2349675758702310% 0.1443110060482440% 0.0981356178389660% 0.2004041205015620%
0.2242356802917810% 0.1384141998530130% 0.0934992887876340% 0.1930679057375030%
0.2150295536795250% 0.1326697755835970% 0.0895093120845960% 0.1861279648420990%
0.2064672322862500% 0.1271579030789550% 0.0846512533366360% 0.1801361018129680%
0.1982730204410390% 0.1219354028400560% 0.0803989033735350% 0.1745477344598800%
0.1902909126337860% 0.1170385214600210% 0.0759017547077030% 0.1691963138553350%
0.1835850926057680% 0.1124881406037510% 0.0717528014887400% 0.1627831247170230%
0.1773334028406200% 0.1082953481713790% 0.0675130419470980% 0.1589531357967020%
0.1715055393228500% 0.1044656397228560% 0.0639488792971830% 0.1562060685464360%
0.1685713960724900% 0.1010007905079050% 0.0604121878177740% 0.1532385316810210%
0.1651259942732710% 0.0978983819671270% 0.0569073302634570% 0.1523357402797450%
0.1639639983341450% 0.0951498117280660% 0.0529647052600590% 0.1515925064612970%
0.1653832269127810% 0.0927381578912350% 0.0491170178041370% 0.1525750261252150%
0.1683674381726480% 0.0906374173830210% 0.0449686912356270% 0.1551788162513840%
0.1739707390642960% 0.0888144206461140% 0.0411895218263100% 0.1599950708907250%
0.1795615540176590% 0.0872342441434460% 0.0368393351968600% 0.1665261964349370%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.3832634032553870% 0.3298691359139290% 0.2562389596984210% 0.4154246246432190%
0.3800180328738860% 0.3167921077812270% 0.2443736018838860% 0.4007848771121350%
0.3771610341459960% 0.3030453337431510% 0.2326474504187070% 0.3855960591605550%
0.3727072041741250% 0.2889320277758700% 0.2212816923292940% 0.3674223588677010%
0.3662034529034660% 0.2748357334732980% 0.2099925175173990% 0.3502340042921220%
0.3597486291198290% 0.2611631423824990% 0.1983505263311700% 0.3334652017990100%
0.3554515805681800% 0.2482921704256220% 0.1878196699006150% 0.3193002517631910%
0.3514449380345690% 0.2365346761133110% 0.1772419814149620% 0.3056375018640700%
0.3478725296235150% 0.2261172171122590% 0.1680023809982170% 0.2934777377660210%
0.3454945287371070% 0.2171778417993560% 0.1602694421876140% 0.2843513746246610%
0.3439284283509960% 0.2097737323839700% 0.1532758628509480% 0.2761873792285290%
0.3438619019805890% 0.2038937869195690% 0.1479745843493130% 0.2699558805805450%
0.3431509058799440% 0.1994712484513490% 0.1441174901267160% 0.2656720749812900%
0.3415247063297020% 0.1963933329629700% 0.1412409690213510% 0.2630773388978480%
0.3401030668241480% 0.1945067818986110% 0.1403682434596280% 0.2616942898734680%
0.3378621598578090% 0.1936200204894140% 0.1393203975057480% 0.2595290278049630%
0.3360458250772320% 0.1935040054486230% 0.1395526557169500% 0.2594831042774240%
0.3360195475866770% 0.1938947836216000% 0.1403950564647140% 0.2593781168206970%
0.3370558392108870% 0.1945010404424800% 0.1403933725097750% 0.2610081214310690%
0.3372762910257300% 0.1950191876904810% 0.1403197616106790% 0.2622486770029200%
0.3365340846995680% 0.1951566228575960% 0.1400594860326920% 0.2626850187524850%
0.3335461521803490% 0.1946609016701900% 0.1397936086973550% 0.2630300881519600%
0.3298360863354960% 0.1933495512412580% 0.1384127895392480% 0.2617195046392480%
0.3248769137705250% 0.1911334482058380% 0.1365400074318500% 0.2583649261988240%
0.3187590694378010% 0.1880272748077310% 0.1340078658549130% 0.2540115520784240%
0.3115403746305400% 0.1841437549236330% 0.1314553652812420% 0.2482090461271600%
0.3018321774208770% 0.1796730252395610% 0.1289340675775400% 0.2418682590692360%
0.2931578130116590% 0.1748526354474150% 0.1251527191462710% 0.2349016698829480%
0.2854323316897270% 0.1699355927618600% 0.1207276453470870% 0.2289959278173880%
0.2759248540921710% 0.1651630717617870% 0.1165957114592120% 0.2246802359992780%
0.2670148020051730% 0.1607457007177620% 0.1125089864079950% 0.2199208442388650%
0.2565202987397330% 0.1568541353039900% 0.1085870977397350% 0.2162665959589010%
0.2479436640893490% 0.1536171529549670% 0.1059641354255400% 0.2124780003809470%
0.2379923851124920% 0.1511242936865370% 0.1028248139132310% 0.2097098009653470%
0.2302513657173710% 0.1494300606570410% 0.1005909690045050% 0.2082261094356160%
0.2234818823899530% 0.1485574857717790% 0.0987594672079359% 0.2095383292245690%
0.2191530608939020% 0.1485000537308180% 0.0975124976306887% 0.2122942955853030%
0.2156373980431540% 0.1492222829005050% 0.0954273582261310% 0.2171585693290540%
0.2142728406695800% 0.1506605302309290% 0.0930491781992931% 0.2262663748148740%
0.2150436422334000% 0.1527267012086340% 0.0888281133566766% 0.2380306893405940%
0.2183498658437400% 0.1553183197593330% 0.0849769254382270% 0.2532531945897080%
0.2213179773477560% 0.1583385885461850% 0.0808052392370885% 0.2718765004153190%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.4690238161783620% 0.3531958761235120% 0.2775533111469480% 0.4418229087025700%
0.4466285336303550% 0.3527677029015300% 0.2761566629668860% 0.4428974467590090%
0.4265532789117080% 0.3503275610279140% 0.2742036401306340% 0.4411799905274400%
0.4087549927969090% 0.3458069405037990% 0.2712221904507090% 0.4356865587927890%
0.3924800552106050% 0.3392824742720570% 0.2664365177153470% 0.4289581623308370%
0.3782313628174380% 0.3309580292520180% 0.2586326962591050% 0.4168827890256910%
0.3670435714683050% 0.3211326925942530% 0.2504561445007720% 0.4050457042587100%
0.3586924602617310% 0.3101635684771110% 0.2402618066935440% 0.3919942149836090%
0.3522345032520630% 0.2984313050580310% 0.2297600761996550% 0.3791153101263900%
0.3485684211143560% 0.2863130563885900% 0.2188434127108930% 0.3647808776662680%
0.3464285347304830% 0.2741639123408140% 0.2076095514677020% 0.3507746786289640%
0.3441606272372850% 0.2623051850149690% 0.1974222550694730% 0.3388676230069760%
0.3425982835983100% 0.2510169544744950% 0.1874691839355200% 0.3250468123005110%
0.3407781950122430% 0.2405327133170430% 0.1793202264681650% 0.3118753156029420%
0.3404007999063520% 0.2310350737812720% 0.1718904665430080% 0.2998611772739950%
0.3387275819959820% 0.2226525529162580% 0.1657294568474360% 0.2882611830575510%
0.3397357512869780% 0.2154579849945660% 0.1599995752442090% 0.2805009674084550%
0.3409283688770160% 0.2094690840493130% 0.1539545136168710% 0.2736291627735100%
0.3412815407074600% 0.2046513224872080% 0.1496395468787510% 0.2674160046941210%
0.3415184577258750% 0.2009228822584390% 0.1458108293548970% 0.2652957212114960%
0.3426143668412010% 0.1981611384207970% 0.1429779220232530% 0.2641541454362050%
0.3417466167687410% 0.1962099784814200% 0.1407126334426170% 0.2629745867433450%
0.3397473621657760% 0.1948872154415490% 0.1394014047881100% 0.2628041039963940%
0.3366344976155320% 0.1939914279698670% 0.1393723797315240% 0.2625507259896670%
0.3322036073150800% 0.1933078316867130% 0.1394260829680710% 0.2612603602732420%
0.3274114310910510% 0.1926133191382260% 0.1396197182930150% 0.2593395030397650%
0.3217844502196760% 0.1916815465462420% 0.1388617933070140% 0.2569982390804110%
0.3161668067154250% 0.1902896348339350% 0.1378101473752230% 0.2538101785947640%
0.3117886039062030% 0.1882282685188310% 0.1353209614850260% 0.2512301637126360%
0.3086702185649200% 0.1853163066218710% 0.1325598301419510% 0.2500218266763870%
0.3032650669932440% 0.1814193271085090% 0.1283907966977320% 0.2470044184021080%
0.2971332651393140% 0.1764691874125000% 0.1231463504133250% 0.2417873093991640%
0.2900445333503990% 0.1704796319417840% 0.1178334727674280% 0.2340097421916550%
0.2824678625536850% 0.1635523900054740% 0.1114536818343070% 0.2261489507073280%
0.2745823038860000% 0.1558698589436270% 0.1040078799980290% 0.2177927289755380%
0.2674629933930450% 0.1476740939886940% 0.0966629530782004% 0.2088321450273970%
0.2638264274328750% 0.1392360224297670% 0.0885831577088126% 0.2011278259142540%
0.2626326006476740% 0.1308216943295290% 0.0799320442102411% 0.1936243992906960%
0.2643023791699330% 0.1226627252845840% 0.0712556579329963% 0.1883839843354670%
0.2677133513615810% 0.1149359553564400% 0.0627938536816364% 0.1848565731457530%
0.2737477292352700% 0.1077539681312900% 0.0551752520801257% 0.1810245509554510%
0.2811963973542650% 0.1011650226770740% 0.0478264795712411% 0.1800117309956500%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.7314344052781230% 0.3852949088407080% 0.3042112040698350% 0.4766685575127220%
0.6861800344718570% 0.3679202095195700% 0.2875051700761050% 0.4569599747284480%
0.6416404183100990% 0.3545214853895130% 0.2755255635332800% 0.4419540342692200%
0.5983369257070890% 0.3446212731895720% 0.2666394250513590% 0.4302907869461150%
0.5564400374707300% 0.3377128476478780% 0.2626614287615600% 0.4215544423005620%
0.5177872904025600% 0.3332548068634770% 0.2599727559847430% 0.4143188072845940%
0.4839561745235080% 0.3306641109599870% 0.2591312959986340% 0.4115081272675220%
0.4546122900285400% 0.3293143692943060% 0.2571815331299570% 0.4106328367465960%
0.4301690815681250% 0.3285458894369540% 0.2563629502299010% 0.4096488063395710%
0.4104346297780680% 0.3276919423487180% 0.2557909531535630% 0.4103187026627750%
0.3928067765591150% 0.3261215774616200% 0.2541104091161360% 0.4116231711474480%
0.3787235624327770% 0.3232937000572340% 0.2512174745520720% 0.4090487705980630%
0.3660302724778540% 0.3188117354686430% 0.2466290032224150% 0.4051723327966360%
0.3548642945058490% 0.3124654929877690% 0.2405040419687360% 0.3972070274966430%
0.3473673150684940% 0.3042486734954780% 0.2338712515273570% 0.3866916634348180%
0.3411417465300320% 0.2943467563402670% 0.2253322087815410% 0.3739430186720520%
0.3382417397048290% 0.2830983720368240% 0.2158723155999610% 0.3608909001687870%
0.3362985081115520% 0.2709402144796340% 0.2045503026583950% 0.3472915986562650%
0.3367419856674710% 0.2583484138433880% 0.1926509778368520% 0.3337901962720990%
0.3381285477256480% 0.2457876184228400% 0.1812912211775270% 0.3195633028044930%
0.3402137605939590% 0.2336744206599480% 0.1713108633092040% 0.3061279389964970%
0.3401699282986600% 0.2223566095043200% 0.1610845551590040% 0.2928365635020120%
0.3402796045830790% 0.2121059023584390% 0.1530487491681770% 0.2808055497532060%
0.3391897178853950% 0.2031200128640040% 0.1466605519056570% 0.2691390823355960%
0.3362045758863780% 0.1955298604287720% 0.1409568401724340% 0.2593011187664230%
0.3317713317927940% 0.1894086857552300% 0.1367665258069910% 0.2511842332007580%
0.3274398011786440% 0.1847811011717950% 0.1331446601956410% 0.2443625428471730%
0.3218439281529050% 0.1816312428429190% 0.1311513615369690% 0.2412931605517620%
0.3185492844171670% 0.1799100389894220% 0.1297336871411130% 0.2401871310862650%
0.3165414779441820% 0.1795421430949900% 0.1290508887816980% 0.2403388335384220%
0.3141776713377120% 0.1804333017518170% 0.1294499926024940% 0.2417913173821300%
0.3131957082327040% 0.1824787997482270% 0.1312005422038240% 0.2448464095859620%
0.3123253589354970% 0.1855731268372010% 0.1335388638930770% 0.2488426080308280%
0.3142573774194690% 0.1896202230859390% 0.1366070966209430% 0.2544554889712800%
0.3151625110967060% 0.1945428362362430% 0.1398118729071750% 0.2611339419290910%
0.3195670536468630% 0.2002890479873420% 0.1435162391137700% 0.2688871490418370%
0.3253804483820570% 0.2068342440839240% 0.1463183327129930% 0.2794076464234830%
0.3376577340581550% 0.2141778299691420% 0.1482886487944010% 0.2926989408514460%
0.3550036136571340% 0.2223356208134540% 0.1479581589802320% 0.3092235500642600%
0.3767693850988470% 0.2313306202866980% 0.1472349427537950% 0.3355270531699170%
0.4048515405499700% 0.2411863775557220% 0.1446875481680700% 0.3655544399428940%
0.4356081628260820% 0.2519279711002180% 0.1412839950126060% 0.4044670419069690%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.9917107892900540% 0.6438780482270840% 0.5336226991749700% 0.7672903141531380%
0.9637109281722380% 0.6034590186600310% 0.4982104765797580% 0.7218925322823000%
0.9263617787845230% 0.5641395457588950% 0.4635578659227640% 0.6766519730729720%
0.8873478273121360% 0.5265039148857330% 0.4319839423356470% 0.6321057509100660%
0.8437701770607400% 0.4911740602313840% 0.4031224815994230% 0.5896057695625240%
0.7990525325175490% 0.4587169932277070% 0.3759361733794600% 0.5509272284107900%
0.7543691635390270% 0.4295773562803760% 0.3497862905792380% 0.5168006848206220%
0.7110189837038250% 0.4040422830471710% 0.3271539512961860% 0.4870401741363010%
0.6674113479549490% 0.3822359931713590% 0.3065997519897930% 0.4635636808135950%
0.6277629240395470% 0.3641351484856140% 0.2903563019189040% 0.4445547173613270%
0.5897022586307850% 0.3495939621281300% 0.2772912915359210% 0.4302670752440950%
0.5533971079296300% 0.3383695041639410% 0.2652010271682960% 0.4194609374496370%
0.5180158140399440% 0.3301409500543410% 0.2575041372017640% 0.4113013011385230%
0.4852058420904360% 0.3245202642819480% 0.2541837755821980% 0.4044563621644570%
0.4569223674693460% 0.3210552255360410% 0.2515645492261680% 0.4027242486251060%
0.4305254610741990% 0.3192285171128840% 0.2501568042249380% 0.4011453920413080%
0.4095140878342170% 0.3184587052263390% 0.2497804706781910% 0.3987028110882840%
0.3921440664670520% 0.3181099896998770% 0.2494194439394310% 0.3993778606020550%
0.3771825846382690% 0.3175170033342510% 0.2487573097564850% 0.3981850044044460%
0.3665819629148470% 0.3160279582316550% 0.2471552628538410% 0.3978751486937120%
0.3565944165381450% 0.3130639371613400% 0.2430815582620770% 0.3949393073684130%
0.3473775126658330% 0.3081852086837730% 0.2373032029999630% 0.3899251294343460%
0.3403636866540420% 0.3011496710134210% 0.2318943561009060% 0.3825496201850450%
0.3347482024162160% 0.2919470573838790% 0.2242959916733420% 0.3710548901743670%
0.3303888778049230% 0.2807972690987230% 0.2154248182841710% 0.3568939391934870%
0.3266662287178740% 0.2681111167743550% 0.2043046868237190% 0.3409539344491670%
0.3251520746519280% 0.2544228756812290% 0.1936211308490130% 0.3253664838884590%
0.3243693027099210% 0.2403115560595620% 0.1815005016884400% 0.3092734189465460%
0.3239573688114830% 0.2263287553857930% 0.1688927168451220% 0.2936624128107240%
0.3257027046446350% 0.2129459170377140% 0.1572052429363080% 0.2783849878100850%
0.3268420864031730% 0.2005259043894820% 0.1460370714595560% 0.2647564944427980%
0.3281401826001510% 0.1893165965444480% 0.1367006815211530% 0.2519106023607180%
0.3299426159668800% 0.1794599322601070% 0.1279509136431540% 0.2403133472781680%
0.3310097589917200% 0.1710088071563070% 0.1202992154098250% 0.2307484254683980%
0.3311853615479240% 0.1639455375772040% 0.1137149362256960% 0.2224483425957190%
0.3308075729945500% 0.1581979795067190% 0.1082594885068750% 0.2164758238911560%
0.3327370563427950% 0.1536518664003360% 0.1024922635283190% 0.2144676083312540%
0.3351766654073720% 0.1501600121538880% 0.0975472706231514% 0.2145910101490420%
0.3418897300422530% 0.1475505598432000% 0.0924247078732406% 0.2171933398468530%
0.3518428459259360% 0.1456373945714800% 0.0867538825941074% 0.2226414177959040%
0.3642568333090310% 0.1442360712850660% 0.0806204688489045% 0.2303404474286950%
0.3795425370936380% 0.1431879814226070% 0.0745603716336118% 0.2405370187708680%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
1.2926679483957600% 0.9100144130949070% 0.7793335937177440% 1.0560361261670400%
1.2215597084093300% 0.8722858623713370% 0.7404462758068880% 1.0170024395119500%
1.1586622828818600% 0.8312862008154440% 0.7018020536597030% 0.9702670900403140%
1.1002651172624900% 0.7877684296609310% 0.6649520701804190% 0.9197606621436160%
1.0528784770065600% 0.7427477182616290% 0.6288251218192560% 0.8694402507531040%
1.0099729805260200% 0.6973604166439770% 0.5909110348383470% 0.8163550874831120%
0.9752613839765380% 0.6527256933593930% 0.5521576924128460% 0.7618965109467510%
0.9466367245883810% 0.6098353104352830% 0.5120539123166130% 0.7148954297363040%
0.9179569532297270% 0.5694848617590830% 0.4742852668281380% 0.6724347267020480%
0.8899253667144130% 0.5322469187730360% 0.4397115278993400% 0.6322350591409490%
0.8604016041747350% 0.4984772928926140% 0.4089445527371230% 0.5967611073873310%
0.8273185942336510% 0.4683416993598380% 0.3810027326540640% 0.5640806091128680%
0.7897915280166230% 0.4418507412095970% 0.3569253718123300% 0.5328200771971790%
0.7491276814299470% 0.4188943949428140% 0.3376275912193170% 0.5060889018826420%
0.7066323699673500% 0.3992711585258090% 0.3218774655488200% 0.4830369962462560%
0.6648649816090030% 0.3827104571298230% 0.3085324896931490% 0.4651316127275400%
0.6231430298981140% 0.3688892625912560% 0.2977485810509850% 0.4488599083551580%
0.5845929881947650% 0.3574451380599100% 0.2873246874804470% 0.4347476576421330%
0.5482217899664800% 0.3479882478238780% 0.2793970484696300% 0.4258673232259200%
0.5129608852805900% 0.3401144653881760% 0.2718091744826530% 0.4194274062146580%
0.4812463816227280% 0.3334207278810330% 0.2657241855608210% 0.4115311251198930%
0.4524847640019500% 0.3275224159906240% 0.2593805544426940% 0.4067084329925020%
0.4269270137865670% 0.3220711141158110% 0.2531587716408840% 0.4003310423639930%
0.4037209930796110% 0.3167700945283530% 0.2493199480259550% 0.3947531761876910%
0.3839527991241340% 0.3113847325357980% 0.2455099341708400% 0.3876111504666980%
0.3658944380580400% 0.3057459942133790% 0.2408272971396450% 0.3814678265774630%
0.3518305391845170% 0.2997468873718820% 0.2361353032834680% 0.3734897484725460%
0.3406881391224840% 0.2933336602171410% 0.2303394497372180% 0.3671656348973750%
0.3334700783898250% 0.2864947839481130% 0.2235855232573580% 0.3599175076995060%
0.3286678885252370% 0.2792508482912380% 0.2158545129499500% 0.3535898227179540%
0.3249218731423060% 0.2716474312228780% 0.2079206794848900% 0.3462206688595460%
0.3223269419498580% 0.2637512693240600% 0.2003565676944090% 0.3365851898508500%
0.3194078462734420% 0.2556483978646980% 0.1930744748601780% 0.3273997292732210%
0.3180426698473910% 0.2474420205403510% 0.1852491762315940% 0.3199519457017640%
0.3169597609256550% 0.2392480375356420% 0.1773609211205740% 0.3123793376896840%
0.3171146292076170% 0.2311872790926900% 0.1690551258447140% 0.3033332305753920%
0.3182544673394480% 0.2233750493702850% 0.1592292051997600% 0.2981498617808500%
0.3235456698998220% 0.2159099302501780% 0.1492564787137630% 0.2948533919176710%
0.3318906934890810% 0.2088644276426360% 0.1387748488772480% 0.2953281007443660%
0.3439327036883340% 0.2022798084405200% 0.1274225168329620% 0.2964589286449700%
0.3585211827755510% 0.1961665617769150% 0.1157277589100270% 0.3005273181809650%
0.3743031014670580% 0.1905107056401050% 0.1046363808311060% 0.3057587738897750%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
1.9653766892241600% 1.0321390049039100% 0.8934846553389310% 1.1861983769685700%
1.8864639445160300% 0.9991102031870670% 0.8627220102029530% 1.1528633680294700%
1.7963051527037800% 0.9709583521985490% 0.8356810001405340% 1.1227130731210000%
1.6965934217888500% 0.9467029323523960% 0.8123538538172990% 1.0967310970104200%
1.5941100365442700% 0.9252012295860720% 0.7952348138585660% 1.0671378408106200%
1.4915588467446200% 0.9051920147219510% 0.7807924376213990% 1.0435780504065400%
1.3957896542447300% 0.8853567499019250% 0.7626203287378670% 1.0215561831248600%
1.3063674588240500% 0.8644045315344780% 0.7439057072624280% 0.9980523561650030%
1.2300904419023900% 0.8411801084897820% 0.7217651805584550% 0.9746742166483550%
1.1620959963657700% 0.8147841845200280% 0.6944556960568690% 0.9498654850515900%
1.0993043409387900% 0.7846850403854760% 0.6653692399816840% 0.9185008915138050%
1.0421241151005400% 0.7507949210644330% 0.6336156487141410% 0.8807242467094740%
0.9943580368916010% 0.7134877201473650% 0.6010122241073360% 0.8360450917158990%
0.9511379412121730% 0.6735471692787250% 0.5670906215609770% 0.7928719398088090%
0.9142356547620830% 0.6320532151280420% 0.5312344666978680% 0.7416607615652970%
0.8823010290040920% 0.5902312759917910% 0.4946730720243360% 0.6930781377343180%
0.8544556731890980% 0.5492976068566080% 0.4576388921074800% 0.6481526040666670%
0.8291932240417810% 0.5103311612367470% 0.4228585247651070% 0.6052644939157600%
0.8037739567246100% 0.4741905970414460% 0.3898174691533250% 0.5656226110890830%
0.7799701234767590% 0.4414803005987600% 0.3598083276781560% 0.5310303220938080%
0.7532039583455770% 0.4125572463199380% 0.3334380661337540% 0.4985579212954920%
0.7224934430876780% 0.3875642281582430% 0.3108287374417780% 0.4707883871177250%
0.6856885871800950% 0.3664744369088760% 0.2918373333490170% 0.4479758202820150%
0.6457005234605450% 0.3491355468939730% 0.2778241864062960% 0.4279826652155940%
0.6044841648738930% 0.3353061008527480% 0.2667148508316430% 0.4115176020903980%
0.5641523946593070% 0.3246813819877540% 0.2596567768789920% 0.3989215219215280%
0.5238876456836160% 0.3169093737756850% 0.2532202056522980% 0.3898884982574390%
0.4866011352183870% 0.3115997114523020% 0.2476175408721110% 0.3844487928635770%
0.4532340767296720% 0.3083298454680390% 0.2442304050704950% 0.3812337433139650%
0.4222784047616230% 0.3066530192823260% 0.2415683863538450% 0.3804862709018280%
0.3947730174772130% 0.3061119944470510% 0.2400416069335010% 0.3815127855867960%
0.3701418815746620% 0.3062605853830160% 0.2387847439463180% 0.3829022663479030%
0.3507265079018570% 0.3066921202787550% 0.2379652129161630% 0.3834955989393930%
0.3336424128526130% 0.3070706057626660% 0.2377423816122190% 0.3833390872301360%
0.3190033566408740% 0.3071578584959730% 0.2380428240347400% 0.3841523354681080%
0.3100832340192430% 0.3068294408316650% 0.2366788142334010% 0.3851054530478030%
0.3045481491380570% 0.3060744489069990% 0.2328553868624430% 0.3878171543114270%
0.3038159419709710% 0.3049783730006840% 0.2262652117727510% 0.3941956526418980%
0.3086424411729060% 0.3036926949587330% 0.2163036398287110% 0.4035077183025560%
0.3168426327578040% 0.3023978014903760% 0.2053576794731710% 0.4147330499555580%
0.3272716680554660% 0.3012662161557200% 0.1939786713169180% 0.4281345838902870%
0.3387608199225890% 0.3004313620486490% 0.1820248442786940% 0.4467795547724450%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
2.4592909146969300% 1.3509184780628600% 1.1821937491610800% 1.5364714781129500%
2.3900183105188700% 1.2751161784036000% 1.1108588030287700% 1.4554199565479600%
2.3137230801703300% 1.2094672037294900% 1.0522888710149500% 1.3848362041771900%
2.2302007391645400% 1.1532461317139000% 1.0031507714315300% 1.3212105378885800%
2.1419613928959900% 1.1056786077838900% 0.9650435828797610% 1.2622164443578600%
2.0547596182970700% 1.0659297248734300% 0.9354109565637680% 1.2108175623467600%
1.9711472239772100% 1.0330879374975000% 0.9059631584671610% 1.1709719566677400%
1.8861289587808000% 1.0061502132577900% 0.8803527761397260% 1.1418100347729500%
1.8011343696344100% 0.9840135616686890% 0.8591394717600850% 1.1199100653980800%
1.7197909411504400% 0.9654772818521450% 0.8386427439790090% 1.1047008746868600%
1.6378398985800800% 0.9492593221794460% 0.8198840113399450% 1.0908883314690200%
1.5581086098075700% 0.9340289088489150% 0.8037825404845790% 1.0780573156080000%
1.4787177143242500% 0.9184559447158240% 0.7880932431956830% 1.0634830699881800%
1.3988768244864600% 0.9012756197934630% 0.7728940425699950% 1.0430615700316400%
1.3247426396741300% 0.8813643575687550% 0.7554493728981670% 1.0220817699515100%
1.2561034584160100% 0.8578208120846910% 0.7348803099234160% 0.9944559543890970%
1.1917050874138600% 0.8300432660808320% 0.7094786062605630% 0.9648175141329420%
1.1326334188172700% 0.7977927126723670% 0.6813342865402790% 0.9304474790168970%
1.0793851819114700% 0.7612297669230520% 0.6486368310117080% 0.8899611969075850%
1.0294430756690900% 0.7209144537865000% 0.6105977664113480% 0.8474095792492740%
0.9820833186145610% 0.6777620134403790% 0.5697189395214700% 0.8005071645506580%
0.9378952454172300% 0.6329554577137740% 0.5287527708467610% 0.7503593204303710%
0.8958925879310630% 0.5878252967121930% 0.4890226469655140% 0.6975182703574270%
0.8545615511481710% 0.5437155276517370% 0.4507319240740200% 0.6454404138539650%
0.8145141905767430% 0.5018590945175690% 0.4160341406200150% 0.5959918955340050%
0.7781463875675380% 0.4632835397823190% 0.3832912732166020% 0.5513378788179840%
0.7428535065594900% 0.4287592365115990% 0.3531219053060970% 0.5133540698388830%
0.7108972419390360% 0.3987916586602920% 0.3269920071180600% 0.4799577727989950%
0.6811828337474780% 0.3736495971798080% 0.3037258404247750% 0.4526223772291470%
0.6507097523957840% 0.3534157947200870% 0.2843315872708960% 0.4313860523880870%
0.6209383791589310% 0.3380456880751130% 0.2693459860598600% 0.4156692437304640%
0.5882960215842430% 0.3274225330269380% 0.2595722388414200% 0.4045538837890750%
0.5562422521531900% 0.3214011669064300% 0.2542778398548860% 0.3987612862282660%
0.5229189248656240% 0.3198364177863020% 0.2531912996979510% 0.3968369197446460%
0.4907228158621170% 0.3225949318610190% 0.2572980361531300% 0.3994169174162450%
0.4618725234695080% 0.3295510506455070% 0.2633083656423750% 0.4060637383388280%
0.4360057100059310% 0.3405689980891390% 0.2703529310561420% 0.4201754707216510%
0.4121475460485780% 0.3554759506403250% 0.2782645654376290% 0.4417517803786420%
0.3973715671920200% 0.3740343532718400% 0.2839680283638520% 0.4762099737492720%
0.3839955723601310% 0.3959273306645810% 0.2894858229331130% 0.5225716095799430%
0.3730368126062800% 0.4207773970635280% 0.2914379641034930% 0.5750797611618960%
0.3639382278091500% 0.4482239045115340% 0.2932818093881800% 0.6412831218639130%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
2.9267830153388700% 1.9092997542869400% 1.7015443889809600% 2.1349596610550000%
2.8568155907731100% 1.8640113030979500% 1.6570682886934900% 2.0930150499074200%
2.7867262138123700% 1.8043619084320900% 1.6006737565022600% 2.0251611372065700%
2.7144026419838700% 1.7325763216007600% 1.5390908735473300% 1.9441908992431300%
2.6434063315234900% 1.6518966852445000% 1.4684335100445200% 1.8516424193263900%
2.5768902419870300% 1.5661106887508200% 1.3910926087296000% 1.7544642772888900%
2.5133720010364000% 1.4790572732205100% 1.3151377520810100% 1.6557645453472500%
2.4509238283900800% 1.3942109757053500% 1.2358641438192000% 1.5646516165702700%
2.3930836556494800% 1.3144046781882000% 1.1608505339447600% 1.4793481188964600%
2.3271155850588100% 1.2417020608442300% 1.0903985912749800% 1.4059675146596600%
2.2558446368400500% 1.1773936048243000% 1.0268879314686200% 1.3392404859817800%
2.1793806601014400% 1.1220718518712900% 0.9745095654039290% 1.2786096187894700%
2.0940623738758900% 1.0757413503058500% 0.9340778762669680% 1.2307502961368000%
2.0032570789510500% 1.0379296353439300% 0.9009313540013920% 1.1879270145642600%
1.9062695115684900% 1.0077806332220400% 0.8765243037627720% 1.1488409449213200%
1.8136939705016900% 0.9841261558284490% 0.8565073141995900% 1.1200539730543100%
1.7218615451609500% 0.9655422211899710% 0.8427451619100910% 1.1009245211609100%
1.6374776506436800% 0.9504038038940960% 0.8263845187351680% 1.0861217875636700%
1.5582088124806900% 0.9369536899058660% 0.8116943852793890% 1.0742794946839000%
1.4821253117348100% 0.9233977922533760% 0.7947522399480710% 1.0644505598030500%
1.4039925176585400% 0.9080304973809820% 0.7761071634077790% 1.0514387937562500%
1.3318115356923500% 0.8893808232319030% 0.7580224238728190% 1.0291216359683800%
1.2601535449652800% 0.8663570988061580% 0.7360493773166600% 1.0054384320174400%
1.1951080149197700% 0.8383598652699360% 0.7129632879305520% 0.9740185231878020%
1.1358601606806000% 0.8053344282737310% 0.6853886601224530% 0.9345857172501140%
1.0800272681029100% 0.7677470524523440% 0.6552464975000530% 0.8897165638974590%
1.0283836025089100% 0.7264882075201520% 0.6186922418228280% 0.8451049266395540%
0.9864293004118530% 0.6827249890262910% 0.5808871492531750% 0.7970759999427710%
0.9468406645999780% 0.6377355704071340% 0.5375765077845660% 0.7479227333925070%
0.9085277458146050% 0.5927580622062820% 0.4965694946905150% 0.7001129040600640%
0.8725477005180400% 0.5488764343516100% 0.4554988822308490% 0.6534016254796140%
0.8357784664387200% 0.5069525251465180% 0.4177385502263950% 0.6083584829285560%
0.7991414735273390% 0.4676010907669940% 0.3822317727496980% 0.5664692210793020%
0.7615307287611080% 0.4311975721751780% 0.3497380456403470% 0.5248362667149140%
0.7240108628320370% 0.3979062079196480% 0.3208172316984980% 0.4864160960402890%
0.6908145384374260% 0.3677178373121450% 0.2930683652569830% 0.4539330515891530%
0.6575369612359200% 0.3404901739660770% 0.2665785984928590% 0.4234351983756430%
0.6310057923076540% 0.3159868097506530% 0.2414156035492870% 0.4017550272390550%
0.6145650335893650% 0.2939137787941710% 0.2169070816626420% 0.3853713696521310%
0.6011881969794870% 0.2739538531356780% 0.1924486725619630% 0.3736772830866950%
0.5922067515706410% 0.2557989500636530% 0.1693127188536100% 0.3635307530773400%
0.5807186824996510% 0.2391804454761080% 0.1491570043932710% 0.3566886698353200%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
3.2873589832445700% 1.9532685489920000% 1.7527783750767000% 2.1648979363551000%
3.2672071343698000% 1.9369892647072700% 1.7320275239492600% 2.1532794615647200%
3.2300535640956900% 1.9247953479897100% 1.7182068902552800% 2.1408817322690300%
3.1852272863472100% 1.9152937559368700% 1.7109638306622100% 2.1281278427993600%
3.1279282385439500% 1.9067009574288700% 1.7089625918304800% 2.1148920599486900%
3.0648958812977900% 1.8969332239325800% 1.7077391863596200% 2.1001940974270500%
3.0056469326050700% 1.8837451874602800% 1.6968089215862000% 2.0843250776815300%
2.9445079995489800% 1.8649202662618400% 1.6762881578114100% 2.0676431804978400%
2.8890130508852600% 1.8385031383142700% 1.6443774344175400% 2.0445033791995700%
2.8345718346473300% 1.8030467334521100% 1.6059202671989900% 2.0132220879774200%
2.7791160677781800% 1.7578304272489200% 1.5605908753302400% 1.9709544544603300%
2.7252713264447700% 1.7030001255586900% 1.5041893185427500% 1.9183241441293800%
2.6668826409553200% 1.6395905918128600% 1.4464176381747500% 1.8494788485247700%
2.6011268017524400% 1.5694155345819400% 1.3848906152676200% 1.7670471069025100%
2.5350920930273300% 1.4948439581567300% 1.3195350716831100% 1.6781917836337500%
2.4682950170787200% 1.4185097424195500% 1.2532492777797800% 1.5881395083955200%
2.3995612865533900% 1.3430144888019200% 1.1864092871869700% 1.5040113306249400%
2.3295371843534400% 1.2706775288934100% 1.1203056063455900% 1.4295960266878400%
2.2575135313975600% 1.2033662682476500% 1.0565335262128000% 1.3605732969985000%
2.1792794172283100% 1.1424144357650600% 0.9974808024239870% 1.2966858167071500%
2.0958867001710200% 1.0886147212200800% 0.9435833863451060% 1.2394731728869000%
2.0061574535375600% 1.0422608994040500% 0.9001430706159840% 1.1923305541672300%
1.9118776107109100% 1.0032131397937700% 0.8662131514254350% 1.1494272091544600%
1.8124692035187400% 0.9709659001514290% 0.8389304571108460% 1.1103125275070500%
1.7112558685638600% 0.9447068960443100% 0.8165754661975640% 1.0772069858656400%
1.6154185600909300% 0.9233651436786050% 0.8015068814262170% 1.0494596394951900%
1.5239553170175900% 0.9056540966223440% 0.7865240380019050% 1.0311363295798800%
1.4386042681814900% 0.8901212163980080% 0.7694931936430360% 1.0177326838328900%
1.3622576484638300% 0.8752168385140530% 0.7556037169733890% 1.0047803485785700%
1.2884117016953300% 0.8593918393927870% 0.7386395563906330% 0.9919665439153100%
1.2245255748351500% 0.8412249040634910% 0.7203292746779240% 0.9774043706189480%
1.1667003044717600% 0.8195673827076820% 0.6978035197808780% 0.9558972482651170%
1.1111533369170700% 0.7936805999605840% 0.6745273305255910% 0.9289755302941280%
1.0620570267026200% 0.7633328426461090% 0.6480647461764560% 0.8952353473027510%
1.0169630820683600% 0.7288264047941870% 0.6171944765306940% 0.8553613143442650%
0.9793062659771680% 0.6909403359771600% 0.5819807817097810% 0.8102705255703860%
0.9511820725266110% 0.6507972155059050% 0.5442929006193720% 0.7701857810740260%
0.9310087610147870% 0.6096831953721740% 0.5012243004548720% 0.7292735122929590%
0.9236103677567850% 0.5688609207621980% 0.4537780085906610% 0.6980444938745540%
0.9206142114905660% 0.5294112402672840% 0.4072855936265460% 0.6693978936531570%
0.9223867506015690% 0.4921251738297010% 0.3626409844106710% 0.6471032827008980%
0.9276869688258750% 0.4574499168520010% 0.3221229043128680% 0.6226253881937130%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
3.5624351916817800% 2.0539766877762900% 1.8486181020178700% 2.2675540480442100%
3.4983561906506900% 2.0216106804902500% 1.8141225301801200% 2.2405086406348700%
3.4442608767144700% 1.9974666020831800% 1.7918878400971500% 2.2129630094405000%
3.3941400304671800% 1.9809122368818400% 1.7803674332798900% 2.1924364272901000%
3.3505435510892100% 1.9710070263852100% 1.7776708265260400% 2.1774439566058200%
3.3090642367914500% 1.9665085883746700% 1.7768321593723200% 2.1629049798562700%
3.2819662676207300% 1.9658882103580700% 1.7827628569613100% 2.1568487563681300%
3.2572134969244100% 1.9673670364267000% 1.7841763256190200% 2.1601977232618600%
3.2402805470441800% 1.9689835333313400% 1.7842400705063300% 2.1697904052645700%
3.2233234435242000% 1.9686974575405100% 1.7782206239885000% 2.1745449354828200%
3.2007956746367900% 1.9645266149486300% 1.7657811874234800% 2.1776633514412300%
3.1674711676076500% 1.9547022703053500% 1.7519270479521200% 2.1704716556286300%
3.1231628251395100% 1.9378204130546200% 1.7335694192639100% 2.1516498297734100%
3.0688244518769000% 1.9129627019484300% 1.7090372826506500% 2.1268492517811900%
3.0064511598304800% 1.8797648625904100% 1.6795849466572800% 2.0878673283150700%
2.9394611765001900% 1.8384209569262900% 1.6451612524090500% 2.0408190236691100%
2.8700435090077600% 1.7896258637706300% 1.6017344899505600% 1.9871087424147200%
2.7989613601688800% 1.7344707452817300% 1.5496773955312700% 1.9303537408745600%
2.7318307399819600% 1.6743133110650600% 1.4892438174558800% 1.8717329598215100%
2.6683770526907500% 1.6106449285566000% 1.4260672706264600% 1.8058946658254900%
2.5948711238361800% 1.5449714352570900% 1.3635334914733900% 1.7396474456424800%
2.5258607366675400% 1.4787169221001800% 1.3005316658529400% 1.6693313649599300%
2.4504603719796500% 1.4131528453126100% 1.2411299666020700% 1.5986458594549900%
2.3762039093812500% 1.3493504497637000% 1.1875671698536600% 1.5240967195842800%
2.3007569153178800% 1.2881529492376700% 1.1366129200077500% 1.4557429806752800%
2.2247072174143600% 1.2301643539950500% 1.0869771855580200% 1.3868543464046400%
2.1487992105788700% 1.1757529979043600% 1.0382354404795700% 1.3236691177393200%
2.0758650325064600% 1.1250686552922700% 0.9923455054260990% 1.2705534441831000%
2.0026695091630600% 1.0780721352507800% 0.9462733845038400% 1.2208497572583500%
1.9287714492160600% 1.0345753873102000% 0.9039523424542390% 1.1746250181886200%
1.8524611914122500% 0.9942887638853020% 0.8628624567267360% 1.1360041740666900%
1.7707098719415100% 0.9568706359183990% 0.8261928889294330% 1.0971650497177900%
1.6818984637482300% 0.9219735768779660% 0.7930008557837210% 1.0602177716427400%
1.5830789746475100% 0.8892813129354880% 0.7649245661441020% 1.0248979920819500%
1.4851543396668100% 0.8585319075082150% 0.7377279996032970% 0.9855543167500500%
1.3917167748758100% 0.8295251734316950% 0.7104548329809100% 0.9535715234288670%
1.3028490874903000% 0.8021155853969140% 0.6838037905152040% 0.9271870574625390%
1.2212455252947300% 0.7761951264073420% 0.6544798181918120% 0.9051860780366790%
1.1532925566340000% 0.7516726138049610% 0.6181773830719920% 0.8934083493155040%
1.0912067622710600% 0.7284565033123260% 0.5807600560788630% 0.8895589901351740%
1.0379509722722000% 0.7064469120815450% 0.5425257925933120% 0.8915059806029070%
0.9904556605822510% 0.6855401311162200% 0.5038949737391850% 0.8944212238854570%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
3.9377473896143700% 2.1433614357516500% 1.9163516038731800% 2.3857488251582200%
4.0151746625466900% 2.2003423881051100% 1.9637107117438700% 2.4549138843673500%
4.0630410173612800% 2.2397020718161500% 1.9943497480575600% 2.5034785973922800%
4.0692062080603100% 2.2596566490238300% 2.0128133441757200% 2.5243410999285600%
4.0327758241587800% 2.2602187061038300% 2.0186062688038100% 2.5167729119040400%
3.9643082207443300% 2.2431674510769900% 2.0114540658130400% 2.4898179086171600%
3.8720336843432800% 2.2117313622080200% 1.9901277010450900% 2.4388445754471900%
3.7631227007546500% 2.1700758359346100% 1.9635628887600300% 2.3832695362551000%
3.6506755382024900% 2.1227244557690700% 1.9232571581477600% 2.3293289615982200%
3.5435368006306700% 2.0740325913758100% 1.8733225526332300% 2.2777071216941500%
3.4403197482730600% 2.0277892109195000% 1.8299221281493700% 2.2307904014837700%
3.3547453258414900% 1.9869702656271000% 1.7903924040326800% 2.1925666439976300%
3.2773750502005900% 1.9536250010961400% 1.7558727546763300% 2.1618244331095200%
3.2114003275100300% 1.9288549137502300% 1.7329390859550300% 2.1368498817738200%
3.1563551406178700% 1.9128434564934200% 1.7175655932965100% 2.1179004659845800%
3.1169393954381000% 1.9049068939094100% 1.7135506048576800% 2.1039428067098200%
3.0864013191156200% 1.9035555083811000% 1.7174000230992100% 2.0974522557896900%
3.0647728827384100% 1.9065732398373400% 1.7221278232091800% 2.0991628658207300%
3.0531426580581500% 1.9111375664053900% 1.7230128567238300% 2.1089315450225300%
3.0480362269060600% 1.9140054947410900% 1.7188280349212500% 2.1199858190341300%
3.0424548483682000% 1.9117825077756000% 1.7109158898897900% 2.1256150828743000%
3.0295218528346400% 1.9012686766386300% 1.6951707543374800% 2.1187676839790400%
3.0061761619591500% 1.8798446475037400% 1.6695440469950500% 2.0990778083092100%
2.9667811643254700% 1.8458307912791000% 1.6339302858456100% 2.0620753757464000%
2.9101507266194700% 1.7987395856092700% 1.5948925408135800% 2.0111145879472000%
2.8389918547525900% 1.7393547618657000% 1.5440568585116200% 1.9427098828578800%
2.7560852799388700% 1.6696104773397000% 1.4825332887868100% 1.8623331055258200%
2.6629199484342200% 1.5922962679314900% 1.4140515767936500% 1.7768854708458500%
2.5669480622817700% 1.5106580374823500% 1.3367210765860100% 1.6866339793829900%
2.4708435116672100% 1.4279847120029300% 1.2577588081395000% 1.6006528804804500%
2.3784736801851400% 1.3472597048729400% 1.1788603099696200% 1.5159873678285600%
2.2843617574927700% 1.2709246608209300% 1.1079730134901700% 1.4388585589175100%
2.1925966937899400% 1.2007655887788900% 1.0416213645310800% 1.3680938472105000%
2.1029038777161500% 1.1379021643979300% 0.9850330623186950% 1.2971473123310100%
2.0150111527803800% 1.0828462755332700% 0.9382973815884510% 1.2327755981753600%
1.9347619841117800% 1.0355951263275500% 0.8982227993802440% 1.1767377806181100%
1.8644251661309300% 0.9957326056928090% 0.8643863312456870% 1.1310021617435600%
1.8081886382220300% 0.9625247073751320% 0.8334002076294540% 1.1026773958022300%
1.7647745183278600% 0.9350064520421620% 0.7985710841641860% 1.0803825707886200%
1.7359265215625800% 0.9120665886955550% 0.7640958987859160% 1.0777845463014100%
1.7212432748563400% 0.8925410707484080% 0.7244102181482870% 1.0872000173144100%
1.7178287879016500% 0.8753262657889390% 0.6852568806385910% 1.1046642175525800%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
3.0060311247705700% 1.6199619430374200% 1.4448570521696900% 1.8064915707704100%
3.2068911028770500% 1.7113364894150300% 1.5205971683060700% 1.9173617912056200%
3.3973442053252700% 1.8012801107061400% 1.5950414218881700% 2.0248782628160200%
3.5717419668430900% 1.8876994406024700% 1.6642223133982600% 2.1252473971304800%
3.7191401549902300% 1.9684223980540600% 1.7378779105298200% 2.2188426258414700%
3.8393888199595900% 2.0413392776612100% 1.8051000784117000% 2.2980033092892700%
3.9281944359969100% 2.1045514487482800% 1.8652988103802500% 2.3556636859885000%
3.9854227160654500% 2.1564523627680100% 1.9222487976016300% 2.4066606944934600%
4.0131244394355800% 2.1956591866889000% 1.9649883584729100% 2.4435187973378000%
4.0295914943536900% 2.2213187470665800% 1.9951173145759200% 2.4630169501503200%
4.0121425228357600% 2.2332695499624800% 2.0053494103255200% 2.4736117428799500%
3.9811548246913900% 2.2320880191920800% 2.0039268458220400% 2.4743463150830000%
3.9238022174279500% 2.2190673723840200% 1.9908645324864900% 2.4609026111478400%
3.8506657231104200% 2.1961240745966500% 1.9707081312500000% 2.4345147143128200%
3.7646506691637400% 2.1656391907265600% 1.9456630275062100% 2.3963897805509000%
3.6693829650842000% 2.1302544742024000% 1.9226467412262700% 2.3441957986006400%
3.5740835486324600% 2.0926513375827900% 1.8927172768696400% 2.3021590667777500%
3.4764389931862700% 2.0553419946094900% 1.8624084895089500% 2.2603340106781900%
3.3948556605943800% 2.0204959065739100% 1.8322411830055300% 2.2195055855352800%
3.3208530350566600% 1.9898138212537400% 1.7968652410172000% 2.1885513116510700%
3.2676718777701000% 1.9644501283403000% 1.7682752474721300% 2.1654602133986900%
3.2187507687848800% 1.9449755286049400% 1.7469245090588100% 2.1507904347186800%
3.1837290337011200% 1.9313681053183500% 1.7286916053451300% 2.1440465214433200%
3.1515768584061500% 1.9230220088261100% 1.7197409580758700% 2.1371490674635300%
3.1244227234535000% 1.9187680660338900% 1.7172006229456900% 2.1349513776925500%
3.0974985154971000% 1.9169080125190300% 1.7207779269287000% 2.1305635256623600%
3.0728032815255900% 1.9152717182934800% 1.7204031947912800% 2.1208378626107400%
3.0472814564854000% 1.9113124432774400% 1.7219613633457600% 2.1139686694029200%
3.0238778714723100% 1.9022562006795700% 1.7109664703470100% 2.1028660120744200%
2.9977284046678600% 1.8853151975704600% 1.6897987777320200% 2.0914347828950800%
2.9608314897636000% 1.8579607608773200% 1.6577117079604600% 2.0708617237034600%
2.9221306035607700% 1.8182297442928300% 1.6153793011603000% 2.0350864139945500%
2.8645077026355300% 1.7650159037273900% 1.5635290718725200% 1.9822900659441000%
2.7887673325494500% 1.6982834188390500% 1.4988054391232200% 1.9088668833652500%
2.6959278807311900% 1.6191430137765300% 1.4269107116432000% 1.8200922746789700%
2.5942486297151600% 1.5297560988059700% 1.3492548066685300% 1.7189138548057200%
2.4790706758346600% 1.4330736263774500% 1.2642950436977800% 1.6125648068970200%
2.3659154746994300% 1.3324595900389600% 1.1697198311151200% 1.5096619753885600%
2.2629947093051500% 1.2312773345955200% 1.0648543803615500% 1.4138557953363800%
2.1685529960319800% 1.1325193304766700% 0.9536781914109650% 1.3215234394575300%
2.0836922547308000% 1.0385387954753700% 0.8514586914078400% 1.2449240719563500%
2.0082856299242800% 0.9509059380486270% 0.7504107157800680% 1.1742130253983100%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
1.7726424112557100% 1.0662830507630700% 0.9331220953681570% 1.2088567301654900%
1.9019223280628500% 1.1154498637041300% 0.9783527353135320% 1.2589647401722800%
2.0495569454675300% 1.1739204834526200% 1.0277414945125300% 1.3243961516391300%
2.2156605611163300% 1.2424369323260600% 1.0899596804792800% 1.4027117586652700%
2.3975483513692500% 1.3212733781810800% 1.1615635319936400% 1.4881535884232700%
2.5915209783919900% 1.4100848928589900% 1.2448572633625800% 1.5837175322175700%
2.7956875292371400% 1.5077520406786000% 1.3372286403114400% 1.6841656595023200%
3.0101326673467700% 1.6122552714388400% 1.4346948666765000% 1.7946716474524400%
3.2260937198826600% 1.7206285430686200% 1.5324351425788800% 1.9165039404049800%
3.4454544003727200% 1.8290465035180700% 1.6294736616488600% 2.0399468398563200%
3.6522448173060600% 1.9330855022129600% 1.7180505289406000% 2.1658999335320900%
3.8433026352231100% 2.0281618203907300% 1.7968950896647400% 2.2742618285827900%
3.9961350771197000% 2.1100971170832200% 1.8673096161356100% 2.3698036689742600%
4.1100201859578500% 2.1757093269119700% 1.9209347721616700% 2.4422163105200600%
4.1732267481496800% 2.2230850165717000% 1.9641591544949100% 2.4900071740653300%
4.1867344953007100% 2.2511855120775900% 1.9969864191498700% 2.5157795458133800%
4.1592301078129600% 2.2605133809214200% 2.0135454097916400% 2.5176682911702000%
4.0944551666556000% 2.2531574561051000% 2.0145962199346700% 2.4990893673205500%
4.0013689328798000% 2.2324068934215300% 2.0036855646187700% 2.4656831009437200%
3.8999915795000400% 2.2022405412832900% 1.9821864417686100% 2.4253956560405100%
3.7920577302497000% 2.1668046575242700% 1.9550650976980400% 2.3848864251194100%
3.6902829879542000% 2.1299682615700900% 1.9206058977384700% 2.3495555694279200%
3.5857203106589000% 2.0950029539503300% 1.8882848516496400% 2.3139891347172100%
3.4978406180869800% 2.0643922129429800% 1.8569697318338000% 2.2813389502069500%
3.4224418209111200% 2.0397470550236400% 1.8355799720057100% 2.2508561467417200%
3.3589593367698400% 2.0217945200733100% 1.8234710432946500% 2.2262539296893100%
3.3066277254993200% 2.0104097925125600% 1.8187928613251900% 2.2111358106228100%
3.2698376149394700% 2.0046758375082400% 1.8169815992627700% 2.2020046218066800%
3.2450823634495200% 2.0029698409090800% 1.8179059182352900% 2.1978332977210200%
3.2346294931972200% 2.0030879414874000% 1.8137026831462600% 2.2039783209087100%
3.2350032826914500% 2.0024242211570600% 1.8049718104669300% 2.2127928374524500%
3.2362348889224100% 1.9982136402653800% 1.7935998493387800% 2.2131184265992500%
3.2251172038773400% 1.9878313094169100% 1.7777271574705600% 2.2094470439603400%
3.2042498900772100% 1.9691163043844500% 1.7614446287069600% 2.1920690307760600%
3.1685916820001900% 1.9406660149361100% 1.7390506798543000% 2.1560478982405200%
3.1169695528294000% 1.9020377980773800% 1.7032324970580200% 2.1095829228802200%
3.0517220558143100% 1.8538062950912500% 1.6618262647210600% 2.0511664896791800%
2.9779138634447800% 1.7974563523240700% 1.6096340998726200% 1.9945286910596200%
2.9075897531800000% 1.7351322437353100% 1.5401568510726900% 1.9465063177326700%
2.8409068019400300% 1.6692977486094700% 1.4500259778601800% 1.9027065428174500%
2.7894722229125400% 1.6023756554002500% 1.3560264672324200% 1.8722849882408300%
2.7486486485279900% 1.5364262546841500% 1.2556782324100100% 1.8485276922446800%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
1.2501301775908500% 0.7575410670767280% 0.6456258772531870% 0.8774479063032550%
1.3086039442822400% 0.7816100990296750% 0.6671391428553290% 0.9050401636399220%
1.3714505194516800% 0.8095104360286500% 0.6909264677321850% 0.9380380237178680%
1.4367642601710900% 0.8418211549307680% 0.7199743053778790% 0.9745612336174460%
1.5130402896011000% 0.8791225421889020% 0.7543421074212860% 1.0160956468780300%
1.5941154054995800% 0.9219793335412160% 0.7950339095004130% 1.0592102548609300%
1.6830404206123500% 0.9709126984380760% 0.8427004701067130% 1.1083671643037500%
1.7828457310608500% 1.0263603561186700% 0.8960789506013060% 1.1644382546467500%
1.8931222427475600% 1.0886263980452000% 0.9565711214869850% 1.2283208440090100%
2.0218751459043700% 1.1578245680044300% 1.0248180271825900% 1.3010140948839700%
2.1691544052652100% 1.2338206818737600% 1.0952228117621700% 1.3895069096043500%
2.3351631792260800% 1.3161812155378400% 1.1680375064796600% 1.4805979284604500%
2.5142124048479400% 1.4041354761945900% 1.2446654265440600% 1.5818447295613600%
2.7090056259188500% 1.4965579688325600% 1.3293979025490000% 1.6830022882247200%
2.9103539570874300% 1.5919756938265300% 1.4145565097405400% 1.7887090843846900%
3.1130213051293300% 1.6886026842388100% 1.5006713522190200% 1.8927962592896900%
3.3151377622495200% 1.7844018192249100% 1.5890684436736900% 1.9983913913107500%
3.5121831986549600% 1.8771722957895400% 1.6756224992888500% 2.0955371339236700%
3.6933641886969300% 1.9646599501984800% 1.7546089530370600% 2.1928633256450300%
3.8591569683182400% 2.0446861255495000% 1.8287216636921200% 2.2808663511251800%
4.0018554208223300% 2.1152881151613300% 1.8913680323243900% 2.3553804033339200%
4.1094022418555800% 2.1747957107262100% 1.9415857405531500% 2.4287373089895100%
4.1843516412910300% 2.2217522351179900% 1.9795831760549700% 2.4799187072311700%
4.2155426057049600% 2.2551944115654100% 2.0075542336842200% 2.5157810088831100%
4.1997127357566200% 2.2747870326293900% 2.0297177991489300% 2.5364708456880800%
4.1463860764912700% 2.2808348250877900% 2.0395885669719200% 2.5391756556551000%
4.0571222187952600% 2.2742264692686900% 2.0465475691845600% 2.5206971703520600%
3.9534441359394300% 2.2563196950219500% 2.0395786548292000% 2.4862004385636300%
3.8322616824589400% 2.2287886268598300% 2.0208637326064300% 2.4472753128925100%
3.7074571801141800% 2.1934608002438400% 1.9891768258714100% 2.4064797835138100%
3.5931437631923500% 2.1521698232248200% 1.9473856387461900% 2.3661315601444100%
3.4901201843670500% 2.1066417323705600% 1.9017253172557200% 2.3243786857544600%
3.3987596915504800% 2.0584219883897700% 1.8507518793169900% 2.2792849571299500%
3.3167483780668300% 2.0088395948474300% 1.7993007244465500% 2.2288247762817800%
3.2425432033982300% 1.9589979167621300% 1.7548817029153200% 2.1723433467808200%
3.1813730917552700% 1.9097796796077200% 1.7175196596251500% 2.1159689455305300%
3.1365670072655400% 1.8618559267306500% 1.6792636854308500% 2.0619922700101900%
3.1106155524552300% 1.8156938099927800% 1.6349076933777300% 2.0102967221079300%
3.1087446397085200% 1.7715639118645600% 1.5781490380606800% 1.9784057764394100%
3.1303972112452100% 1.7295524575843500% 1.5147057845447600% 1.9666674131258100%
3.1821524131261500% 1.6895860275786200% 1.4445144469433700% 1.9602607625599100%
3.2571400890852900% 1.6514758192839600% 1.3691846773559500% 1.9670450118207600%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.8603444068857830% 0.6583838574176700% 0.5593526188310080% 0.7618247727570320%
0.9151108575921070% 0.6575468614629560% 0.5577142712876010% 0.7647807244665530%
0.9706570975329780% 0.6598964788370650% 0.5573708312114140% 0.7694556893188710%
1.0277690833578200% 0.6657671051626910% 0.5615550896143090% 0.7785489893697700%
1.0816908912129500% 0.6754818650256220% 0.5707619969297430% 0.7893339569762860%
1.1359990292978300% 0.6893515559048240% 0.5844559810062620% 0.8027479708641660%
1.1928476965240800% 0.7076682998593210% 0.6046886925756150% 0.8216801307765320%
1.2493830592161700% 0.7306949931070070% 0.6275607489619240% 0.8469043733259730%
1.3099947797369800% 0.7586527899879320% 0.6536808818766530% 0.8765046107718850%
1.3800388091025700% 0.7917093988176040% 0.6824590963138050% 0.9117829859674700%
1.4568397725704200% 0.8299708489621920% 0.7167572882143820% 0.9536971684197740%
1.5404470491209300% 0.8734785432690330% 0.7524915279395350% 1.0051525043972000%
1.6301229869823000% 0.9222118476882780% 0.7945809889755190% 1.0615054903835500%
1.7298196786761500% 0.9760944229048850% 0.8413439176477500% 1.1206382943192200%
1.8367737645751100% 1.0350005088908600% 0.8954764127208780% 1.1821283913919100%
1.9514292272546100% 1.0987561843168200% 0.9565101208517270% 1.2487020926213000%
2.0767440963096100% 1.1671309228080900% 1.0239092086492600% 1.3215454609060500%
2.2110832043744300% 1.2398168242543600% 1.0964749528045000% 1.3969151127385900%
2.3603263956343300% 1.3163963420748200% 1.1659728092483400% 1.4790552885931000%
2.5190817932126200% 1.3963031974937200% 1.2398589347637600% 1.5667446043635400%
2.6952510112054600% 1.4787842286748600% 1.3109900633939000% 1.6600520370568200%
2.8819238628508100% 1.5628710832790700% 1.3787339740461300% 1.7587556634120300%
3.0731004381944700% 1.6473694190080100% 1.4504949276814500% 1.8588259339379800%
3.2613942650119500% 1.7308699550907100% 1.5224097261342400% 1.9599105879164600%
3.4328145689430900% 1.8117814769705100% 1.5947682552139800% 2.0522127327886100%
3.5892395200131500% 1.8883823701040700% 1.6625749044438900% 2.1330752393392200%
3.7075494130641100% 1.9588858706808500% 1.7345398075716700% 2.2028636655511400%
3.8069640844036000% 2.0215154075736400% 1.7997140051075900% 2.2652825539057600%
3.8779655710672100% 2.0745596958901100% 1.8531004194113900% 2.3167455451503100%
3.9181414421526900% 2.1163775678566400% 1.8947439741269800% 2.3568987107646800%
3.9213140463735100% 2.1455949460627000% 1.9162196612718000% 2.3924163216338700%
3.8908130603116100% 2.1612568144217500% 1.9298198865516400% 2.4134969967610500%
3.8200216005660400% 2.1629412070302900% 1.9284934883942700% 2.4166626636038900%
3.7057576889716700% 2.1508431165083800% 1.9206009468135900% 2.4036735588588500%
3.5587994324499600% 2.1258059210769100% 1.9011836789065000% 2.3707959545840300%
3.3824672796734200% 2.0892832736153300% 1.8747973220684000% 2.3199242047801800%
3.1875541830775600% 2.0432269562264500% 1.8401840996566300% 2.2603033235725300%
2.9917273496856800% 1.9899123810427700% 1.7915815051456500% 2.1952533908388000%
2.8108490995806100% 1.9317274895312000% 1.7293792609221000% 2.1402390802783100%
2.6407324141856000% 1.8709576031677900% 1.6541340463625900% 2.0992017472162200%
2.4958318188862400% 1.8095961668769800% 1.5637819350020700% 2.0685009024670900%
2.3673754539459200% 1.7492010141678600% 1.4721714079697500% 2.0519957470180100%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
1.0952975231168000% 0.8381905028968160% 0.7236814081826420% 0.9620451494290310%
1.1138293296828900% 0.8442910475124450% 0.7278590078291740% 0.9711011012520650%
1.1230704515474700% 0.8491910831168770% 0.7310305985426650% 0.9768089029638630%
1.1235132670644400% 0.8525133372009560% 0.7343835986581860% 0.9817889002033820%
1.1157499499005300% 0.8539207134539070% 0.7378545841482210% 0.9828025357897420%
1.0971075053023300% 0.8531289416169410% 0.7384247627559480% 0.9789289554898020%
1.0750329110808000% 0.8499156383212330% 0.7379622143211220% 0.9721999224681220%
1.0496664478239400% 0.8441299987900390% 0.7322815057777020% 0.9654323329444080%
1.0218317092703100% 0.8357062418108180% 0.7224345240326190% 0.9573331099323400%
0.9910826361449830% 0.8246809919347180% 0.7102744493014630% 0.9486510720572260%
0.9596370830164330% 0.8112112287837590% 0.6974916200584790% 0.9343696869844170%
0.9294483646664880% 0.7955868561589200% 0.6819872340206700% 0.9218292884486120%
0.9009649206236170% 0.7782316301770640% 0.6661912074279450% 0.9043529790835580%
0.8734908971345860% 0.7596885109734390% 0.6505679662156450% 0.8818558737651420%
0.8484842004247840% 0.7405896918576590% 0.6335244591403530% 0.8568361902362250%
0.8284638919417110% 0.7216159967203670% 0.6190652289542830% 0.8323029691009240%
0.8149734912235520% 0.7034533088160120% 0.6046686929387220% 0.8105225379467700%
0.8058252091621930% 0.6867541838153850% 0.5911529119610010% 0.7917356235278570%
0.8064507346760750% 0.6721108745020550% 0.5770696952330070% 0.7753947695782020%
0.8138653222639660% 0.6600426182642210% 0.5656532995639180% 0.7647018188118530%
0.8282076089581670% 0.6509964981230240% 0.5552416961013360% 0.7581409341257050%
0.8493880615899950% 0.6453585123761750% 0.5484727663192830% 0.7534642632177210%
0.8793090591062190% 0.6434701522804740% 0.5463378568749580% 0.7552363057632500%
0.9151137543424080% 0.6456457434370860% 0.5479248227342360% 0.7561977802180050%
0.9589807359090170% 0.6521866995488830% 0.5539274190472920% 0.7625770936576420%
1.0103298084364300% 0.6633902371384360% 0.5647867425267080% 0.7739971012746240%
1.0685053800438500% 0.6795516528144440% 0.5804725700576400% 0.7895042234406240%
1.1354366993602400% 0.7009607444191490% 0.6009287085582420% 0.8119871688192780%
1.2125483018961100% 0.7278942388943420% 0.6253158516515200% 0.8430396281925390%
1.2997591992405400% 0.7606070772461470% 0.6520385286263500% 0.8806563633684740%
1.3954742872165800% 0.7993259567772660% 0.6849661900632710% 0.9254545270836850%
1.4993697443529600% 0.8442484229217720% 0.7238400616824620% 0.9773731701026870%
1.6096263045097800% 0.8955498140057920% 0.7682763646586640% 1.0349049272565300%
1.7212139136434100% 0.9533984417541530% 0.8218069790346150% 1.0983783741390000%
1.8349141897567500% 1.0179768617763100% 0.8827382812590930% 1.1674776602641200%
1.9445793740218500% 1.0895047230890800% 0.9521568527297560% 1.2413171449793000%
2.0658427403858700% 1.1682575260685400% 1.0264328033102500% 1.3232829763443200%
2.1938321727881500% 1.2545765622137800% 1.0990436802901100% 1.4187130230443100%
2.3420156736217000% 1.3488686485719000% 1.1697011304581500% 1.5381584323142000%
2.5251973479427400% 1.4515994382309800% 1.2300703214424500% 1.6884727487325000%
2.7296708950804500% 1.5632897830052700% 1.2801803746850100% 1.8681398872383200%
2.9737213812247500% 1.6845293028156900% 1.3332084649355100% 2.0856276618646300%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.8827854888699880% 0.6555842492800710% 0.5504687344431610% 0.7737860832119630%
0.8979786973052390% 0.6906258353452350% 0.5813688550871610% 0.8140926841988810%
0.9202503641234400% 0.7254833418023190% 0.6108250975879410% 0.8513460693910960%
0.9463574081649830% 0.7593614501774610% 0.6431130941000280% 0.8875818672056410%
0.9775645563535490% 0.7913802386300750% 0.6742575392890190% 0.9191153646644370%
1.0130891502965000% 0.8206107022532680% 0.7044428842773150% 0.9475956905174220%
1.0510755165428700% 0.8461191797482910% 0.7318162954794230% 0.9690296215919230%
1.0905669223876700% 0.8670228986385160% 0.7533885279824610% 0.9905509181362170%
1.1283082505514500% 0.8825570158928610% 0.7681984603429680% 1.0086673239131700%
1.1591083034099500% 0.8921490896801050% 0.7759873985749380% 1.0204971874627300%
1.1753586108753800% 0.8954912026524730% 0.7758741440116970% 1.0289061490877500%
1.1799122333964800% 0.8925955424687800% 0.7708886759181610% 1.0276981895384400%
1.1686368362721900% 0.8838188308550860% 0.7614483380668000% 1.0189002674173000%
1.1354325939201600% 0.8698459031136360% 0.7493709851556800% 1.0031106061413600%
1.0917710809340200% 0.8516319111934710% 0.7351958849896000% 0.9807392407913560%
1.0407040067771200% 0.8303128341210690% 0.7187587138753050% 0.9527748865132560%
0.9849697119222300% 0.8071013625031670% 0.6981315680352080% 0.9254034270626910%
0.9295790758590060% 0.7831871902062080% 0.6769104973831520% 0.8986727362956990%
0.8805299283640320% 0.7596571395738460% 0.6555645057245730% 0.8718648261694330%
0.8377485125161730% 0.7374434004893490% 0.6339578184947520% 0.8488793557016700%
0.8019162477864990% 0.7173004107228730% 0.6132442198183620% 0.8285235112267220%
0.7770380245279620% 0.6998049624593090% 0.5957943745466470% 0.8095290159192890%
0.7603605450081620% 0.6853711179123550% 0.5826659869756170% 0.7944157320108410%
0.7542246308236270% 0.6742713354362710% 0.5737750762863840% 0.7814945300331030%
0.7564016121216460% 0.6666569963593350% 0.5683918430706490% 0.7724209448215680%
0.7687941730448640% 0.6625742709714360% 0.5667865414592990% 0.7656587661667350%
0.7921717974547870% 0.6619741537389870% 0.5672043274280700% 0.7631669809140320%
0.8282066938293580% 0.6647180099787900% 0.5698250100055490% 0.7658667715576120%
0.8761686297113970% 0.6705818041521900% 0.5749716449744770% 0.7733897615440330%
0.9345957281697070% 0.6792631079184620% 0.5792178532507370% 0.7865920462003050%
1.0016256628194200% 0.6903948107540670% 0.5876770484252610% 0.8038894102893210%
1.0751773801140400% 0.7035680336206430% 0.5969829525412920% 0.8218703527366150%
1.1517006362241300% 0.7183641657815370% 0.6080251176983500% 0.8421332572244750%
1.2265291974544900% 0.7343927238891950% 0.6210231735578180% 0.8578638226574690%
1.2974368664029100% 0.7513288508354790% 0.6386046894886270% 0.8743178196669670%
1.3656922077948100% 0.7689428955685780% 0.6542481615488380% 0.8924457273180470%
1.4272899953921300% 0.7871154574494000% 0.6686360387969890% 0.9156387703208550%
1.4937775997324300% 0.8058344915537860% 0.6772625932143520% 0.9457137574170650%
1.5649196288034200% 0.8251755287055850% 0.6815995582752490% 0.9846960550714080%
1.6519041359008000% 0.8452701789486880% 0.6789280644911570% 1.0333527746428500%
1.7492751849559000% 0.8662704386550110% 0.6703057907734720% 1.0914480397054000%
1.8598206022139300% 0.8883162809708640% 0.6593188795914030% 1.1602214051166300%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.8790943684348530% 0.4719254432495070% 0.3887649508339640% 0.5653816752007890%
0.8739980579171490% 0.4882385262828640% 0.4014488075220620% 0.5853294398650570%
0.8719357415747250% 0.5078765071958980% 0.4173134014810430% 0.6081055810000700%
0.8686569893249550% 0.5309851213882570% 0.4373639392946310% 0.6351566950131290%
0.8682462187041130% 0.5575781447889650% 0.4608885265117410% 0.6619844360440420%
0.8713168790847240% 0.5874999761059680% 0.4891101967797090% 0.6939201416311110%
0.8783992808571220% 0.6203851596228970% 0.5217346724133060% 0.7282957656330510%
0.8894620808643950% 0.6556234799549690% 0.5561970266932250% 0.7621109300266730%
0.9079941430486950% 0.6923425972840220% 0.5892502635864490% 0.8030817992813690%
0.9335305832481120% 0.7294211323974860% 0.6215593960758470% 0.8446622598134650%
0.9630547812700440% 0.7655420704299880% 0.6546854969688880% 0.8873415593241790%
0.9949654144244290% 0.7992886564906770% 0.6852834206340080% 0.9256833034544780%
1.0287462151513900% 0.8292738341747740% 0.7107869469414140% 0.9607711212364000%
1.0604165094537000% 0.8542831266646390% 0.7322734006812250% 0.9871333821078630%
1.0898550315340900% 0.8734041667382530% 0.7519589757877640% 1.0053722704587000%
1.1128428460524700% 0.8861172293311410% 0.7650781133183700% 1.0171872657545600%
1.1306549657820400% 0.8923303313208880% 0.7731467703938520% 1.0195980802904400%
1.1400730511639900% 0.8923563676440630% 0.7751399573197650% 1.0193609671606500%
1.1425404796020600% 0.8868430501629230% 0.7696966709193540% 1.0128163362661400%
1.1368897476782700% 0.8766745921736680% 0.7610261268702250% 1.0035927906505800%
1.1196819443066600% 0.8628654268424890% 0.7476452597226740% 0.9902262533036080%
1.0906040519503300% 0.8464620764685630% 0.7322352521693790% 0.9737579432853140%
1.0561597362492200% 0.8284626096151540% 0.7142934819969070% 0.9551588380272520%
1.0117489342191400% 0.8097568749262470% 0.6968521634078950% 0.9340851953713620%
0.9611269960848720% 0.7910865952380150% 0.6829394272195050% 0.9102543895863650%
0.9116668471277930% 0.7730227192355760% 0.6684734777435650% 0.8854746367676120%
0.8645880931077240% 0.7559574722856650% 0.6548969987639960% 0.8647793595675950%
0.8249557771413910% 0.7401093231563110% 0.6382407505009830% 0.8471638535454690%
0.7937161739494040% 0.7255397456406950% 0.6248861599210470% 0.8322370303922880%
0.7732748678127990% 0.7121807017630520% 0.6108370758541410% 0.8198207662956760%
0.7615650205939210% 0.6998710456055750% 0.5977580234234490% 0.8094049946584420%
0.7608628896602040% 0.6883986835756610% 0.5849301430205720% 0.7990633584344680%
0.7693220692272860% 0.6775437497334100% 0.5743826261766230% 0.7889596122950890%
0.7882981530099860% 0.6671169164458540% 0.5641003394548400% 0.7764689235263900%
0.8201223782882660% 0.6569869657179820% 0.5555602803689780% 0.7654308793604690%
0.8667193465318250% 0.6470933334831150% 0.5488514440684330% 0.7580634424876180%
0.9286460070940340% 0.6374423713776050% 0.5392500550424240% 0.7487510192504050%
1.0126128273274700% 0.6280897643058770% 0.5220972302514210% 0.7488410686611050%
1.1260493756481200% 0.6191147476831570% 0.5009597758640600% 0.7512582538777250%
1.2724279658470700% 0.6105934780742330% 0.4764310538683030% 0.7645748763125470%
1.4554638666304800% 0.6025786973682960% 0.4515621519187880% 0.7840400921173510%
1.6775793682725100% 0.5950909792942360% 0.4259790759238260% 0.8054607901022780%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.8615819134011060% 0.3895811192469420% 0.3208704003012440% 0.4662537709698640%
0.8958531115428510% 0.3973160600503210% 0.3261165079558990% 0.4762562494860140%
0.9179898631871930% 0.4061915620144210% 0.3326637292418230% 0.4898691997480220%
0.9331894497421430% 0.4163902945425660% 0.3411686557910510% 0.5024947189935690%
0.9350478326057470% 0.4281179235632480% 0.3507654942743770% 0.5139502365722100%
0.9309304928044400% 0.4415914241597480% 0.3626530290262870% 0.5283858420412980%
0.9213924250251960% 0.4570222285606610% 0.3766827133087910% 0.5459815051468060%
0.9081114436992290% 0.4745965471240050% 0.3927968898536060% 0.5653194378766070%
0.8969096452625230% 0.4944553797385750% 0.4111840280256440% 0.5885280439871540%
0.8891953971123480% 0.5166763296016310% 0.4292261368940010% 0.6125708665731990%
0.8847619998063000% 0.5412585305475340% 0.4489852963876960% 0.6421195902395650%
0.8841720163453030% 0.5681110210531770% 0.4709960466073060% 0.6748791321639500%
0.8868656413239000% 0.5970439895263180% 0.4958140438984830% 0.7096175267449030%
0.8940900687237760% 0.6277617788474790% 0.5231087213856240% 0.7424312705799040%
0.9052861251996920% 0.6598566988897230% 0.5522015007677190% 0.7754144777919830%
0.9212606544563660% 0.6928037634428180% 0.5845948489835430% 0.8093508726758940%
0.9422472073233100% 0.7259583343773400% 0.6179676747516630% 0.8442674706457270%
0.9670791073318510% 0.7585607526790270% 0.6510317988964310% 0.8764603852383390%
0.9988203051861120% 0.7897533847949240% 0.6805980621036980% 0.9085791324134820%
1.0332644248329700% 0.8186150333800730% 0.7038001859792170% 0.9411535580937030%
1.0699136844779700% 0.8442146858456830% 0.7277720694876230% 0.9713285787055660%
1.1005579880326600% 0.8656813742750240% 0.7448928026229880% 0.9979118503613860%
1.1265805569014700% 0.8822809502425820% 0.7598684243832220% 1.0170604020852100%
1.1434829227766200% 0.8934861416269230% 0.7717601764788440% 1.0290694596832800%
1.1499054004638300% 0.8990255615125990% 0.7779361266415260% 1.0322069480875700%
1.1435994903304700% 0.8989013100522930% 0.7797116998929290% 1.0288085468645700%
1.1273198151396700% 0.8933723887199020% 0.7774044321545830% 1.0196170399766400%
1.1058216077983900% 0.8829095996329640% 0.7682809460712880% 1.0035792698246900%
1.0780006002650900% 0.8681337951702880% 0.7549038854903060% 0.9884115632492600%
1.0485284772558300% 0.8497512319267180% 0.7365243223502240% 0.9684959750591360%
1.0145853127979900% 0.8284972601983360% 0.7165775218170730% 0.9483832133130880%
0.9773850810822200% 0.8050942701107680% 0.6942108645714290% 0.9246927246251180%
0.9386745304115160% 0.7802241090972550% 0.6720171605174160% 0.8989949432325100%
0.8972095695080920% 0.7545111433029270% 0.6477225418623160% 0.8696157526404920%
0.8569352504567690% 0.7285107771521420% 0.6251670490290740% 0.8388857834112470%
0.8209856056792280% 0.7026994029389950% 0.6032835578288740% 0.8099489377816630%
0.7870953535378610% 0.6774643899776310% 0.5781593573434280% 0.7852400516660310%
0.7635387288722360% 0.6530954958680500% 0.5503303619354780% 0.7658248716084950%
0.7478845288567840% 0.6297808874295690% 0.5195835664486150% 0.7519133885630660%
0.7398906275169310% 0.6076112709751200% 0.4842017368178940% 0.7448407493033140%
0.7362447032124320% 0.5865945456484360% 0.4477892574617180% 0.7443337917361250%
0.7347646582303170% 0.5666814471966720% 0.4134342453001970% 0.7454970138110820%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.6128350751564580% 0.3353150396885430% 0.2727332543975670% 0.4063569319984070%
0.6427244427673950% 0.3479705911841420% 0.2833218347547120% 0.4197083813634760%
0.6737303035091530% 0.3595089528036910% 0.2925308629904530% 0.4338504201944320%
0.7065506233639760% 0.3698064682816880% 0.3011344311688560% 0.4467858611689860%
0.7382930903219540% 0.3788730796695450% 0.3100181339390150% 0.4559132584060380%
0.7719051777747270% 0.3868513684584370% 0.3183086179270250% 0.4633510938974300%
0.8027614654509710% 0.3939991079651990% 0.3253223343466150% 0.4698203045304760%
0.8326454532385470% 0.4006615644665700% 0.3316296010823240% 0.4765562330440060%
0.8620641414276450% 0.4072409456643260% 0.3366004921615170% 0.4853164543049900%
0.8894962028717820% 0.4141691118422380% 0.3410506764644340% 0.4959278391663000%
0.9095610237215120% 0.4218868923654680% 0.3464739703630470% 0.5062832404732450%
0.9267692089227220% 0.4308303214510970% 0.3524098135663460% 0.5179333762969420%
0.9376571355807680% 0.4414217676474470% 0.3608986737131890% 0.5309516285451270%
0.9398207984716710% 0.4540626993617580% 0.3717367432632290% 0.5451951774441670%
0.9356332152020100% 0.4691246654681900% 0.3844812819085480% 0.5609478066236880%
0.9290966421913950% 0.4869356984397880% 0.4004015546756970% 0.5796703611462700%
0.9216953504978330% 0.5077604631273720% 0.4193917134613890% 0.6039098298680120%
0.9150405560375150% 0.5317738637552180% 0.4417402222783860% 0.6289122125871520%
0.9102488196180920% 0.5590293676480560% 0.4657897527721310% 0.6601412892293740%
0.9101908653193900% 0.5894249043828740% 0.4925130905353470% 0.6942346215897040%
0.9147297666102680% 0.6226706618701910% 0.5213561521710610% 0.7310356129442130%
0.9203455071030140% 0.6582641027459890% 0.5520241417333770% 0.7728819218403360%
0.9307257932511620% 0.6954776955116120% 0.5846945610045420% 0.8160476349276250%
0.9454928717731380% 0.7333639829857640% 0.6194860335659100% 0.8594110130451390%
0.9580707617466040% 0.7707808437889310% 0.6558468270518960% 0.8972532318898800%
0.9765074977984960% 0.8064376653849220% 0.6895671045266780% 0.9325352834907150%
1.0002961290533800% 0.8389612634832900% 0.7227444337623890% 0.9652648886456040%
1.0282086024659500% 0.8669790161683870% 0.7478801552233470% 0.9953692323956000%
1.0573171539488000% 0.8892154305154200% 0.7691450615438260% 1.0172949607642100%
1.0885113613799100% 0.9045963539676030% 0.7822639624092530% 1.0349749830114300%
1.1150030871930400% 0.9123516861892330% 0.7859076140601430% 1.0494884032227000%
1.1325326153755700% 0.9121032917578050% 0.7834725802307200% 1.0531728448000200%
1.1423392481426600% 0.9039218607141240% 0.7753176855692740% 1.0432493389446400%
1.1395334844830200% 0.8883373845601100% 0.7618749351859140% 1.0225687075927700%
1.1217626634057700% 0.8662943978145100% 0.7430539812638100% 0.9969022026016790%
1.0983814775063200% 0.8390543438019630% 0.7198042606647810% 0.9644425410337150%
1.0685923050617300% 0.8080597789163270% 0.6918560296029150% 0.9318376006408950%
1.0382916999758300% 0.7747838681090430% 0.6550896858389850% 0.9043364594016700%
1.0144511298221900% 0.7405902938444610% 0.6118231563619850% 0.8802436406437070%
0.9959178774635530% 0.7066229734960490% 0.5651113791819940% 0.8657023851753700%
0.9808889991997700% 0.6737346269684040% 0.5187783000673580% 0.8533497748886490%
0.9708644838323450% 0.6424524693370080% 0.4727947592809040% 0.8429673401554730%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.4462055409874930% 0.2180886407724350% 0.1651323472298870% 0.2778846000016460%
0.4620106201605000% 0.2331178282678490% 0.1789171988033400% 0.2948112612274290%
0.4808246264539520% 0.2490036061766990% 0.1934375545183210% 0.3138627698199900%
0.4995723955674180% 0.2655602395529180% 0.2088675822482960% 0.3328230343977680%
0.5215560415027900% 0.2825368080268040% 0.2242219853175590% 0.3512150807735260%
0.5467762202382970% 0.2996206201425600% 0.2405794426603650% 0.3691305130460860%
0.5736151152679300% 0.3164474180539740% 0.2562086800637680% 0.3858164862159770%
0.6037261071062040% 0.3326211364380480% 0.2707590276748600% 0.4031117149960840%
0.6362875548204800% 0.3477450707129530% 0.2844342126052270% 0.4188889834445900%
0.6733640161647440% 0.3614637773314780% 0.2962583341855900% 0.4337531345574080%
0.7102217600296790% 0.3735112832486030% 0.3057989890092320% 0.4492050478164150%
0.7482592957292940% 0.3837575113742340% 0.3135915342735670% 0.4608011801577530%
0.7848696317907950% 0.3922429979300000% 0.3204102166992130% 0.4699803068071190%
0.8190315310516470% 0.3991933332357360% 0.3264164906887350% 0.4771514287913580%
0.8486117686059860% 0.4050093159103550% 0.3328118748328730% 0.4844352919252160%
0.8731985523265010% 0.4102349908858570% 0.3377056969887930% 0.4900513469581640%
0.8918652591358040% 0.4155110769149920% 0.3429263848013940% 0.4960664170455110%
0.9058032612376860% 0.4215237260431790% 0.3481528753361810% 0.5028668502679780%
0.9171151098878530% 0.4289574770950760% 0.3543911605577300% 0.5098324853057900%
0.9253588548379410% 0.4384575859450380% 0.3612948371215210% 0.5240550068801530%
0.9330533877762290% 0.4506023586852050% 0.3708162358493510% 0.5415378193519990%
0.9351046295199220% 0.4658822657433160% 0.3832747988964150% 0.5621521420283700%
0.9352493708359220% 0.4846803827724440% 0.3978299602412180% 0.5874766925698930%
0.9299897790340080% 0.5072483330922110% 0.4164654808645770% 0.6130951816281120%
0.9256591934064120% 0.5336733222845230% 0.4407448460237730% 0.6408730354255550%
0.9202940975239730% 0.5638349783195980% 0.4685983245725850% 0.6746185960925420%
0.9142784302603340% 0.5973554937984360% 0.4995322385690260% 0.7054344729602640%
0.9134775170559160% 0.6335526932250420% 0.5317796197518500% 0.7418152809896850%
0.9156014538796570% 0.6714120004989390% 0.5641044794688010% 0.7822005911463880%
0.9233248336707660% 0.7095975221865500% 0.5966156770168000% 0.8253352873632560%
0.9342489954537980% 0.7465212541835260% 0.6287975718872790% 0.8695860189412120%
0.9507823582700260% 0.7804797847128050% 0.6591846445448820% 0.9081753802551920%
0.9699833452364870% 0.8098495519976200% 0.6866720937877550% 0.9421486476892110%
0.9901441980914010% 0.8333092878676940% 0.7099011828916060% 0.9683805148761800%
1.0168053820702100% 0.8500408326144410% 0.7273067602709970% 0.9824798760288330%
1.0475852335673500% 0.8598567080225390% 0.7405141242613360% 0.9889042691220180%
1.0840607101344300% 0.8632188680224900% 0.7450451258467690% 0.9895400944532400%
1.1320715415945700% 0.8611427008018580% 0.7368902341104700% 0.9945200557542880%
1.1964392286341800% 0.8550109422711730% 0.7147384928422340% 1.0088462213661800%
1.2784794872619600% 0.8463405951091950% 0.6848410948455550% 1.0242694624770900%
1.3723712564362400% 0.8365460406249080% 0.6476662138108290% 1.0449715729367700%
1.4781049905838500% 0.8267264605430420% 0.6112392653050830% 1.0715093501208000%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.3473563631594170% 0.1029451667824620% 0.0669760384159683% 0.1478172370314630%
0.3558516755396050% 0.1115211605562410% 0.0741515340909020% 0.1572273098689680%
0.3658165630376540% 0.1215461946809300% 0.0826125026503901% 0.1676679594682340%
0.3758794213105640% 0.1331661988026270% 0.0925789998222730% 0.1811427524491050%
0.3868426270630190% 0.1464893895713290% 0.1042128621285210% 0.1964354173375560%
0.3991997243702880% 0.1615626732267170% 0.1176925215742240% 0.2137048266516100%
0.4128040367338080% 0.1783435393040040% 0.1328916555806570% 0.2318745838794910%
0.4280757896248330% 0.1966717288912120% 0.1489517753311320% 0.2529557477817600%
0.4458230580588790% 0.2162478748908300% 0.1652150934392460% 0.2752460621608130%
0.4649620885870610% 0.2366282230079990% 0.1815474219350190% 0.2984195583867460%
0.4882263352543330% 0.2572438845727140% 0.1983392309945610% 0.3232406173123980%
0.5132238883295580% 0.2774486831965820% 0.2159267960077270% 0.3469614059580590%
0.5385709102877340% 0.2965918555259730% 0.2323239337529320% 0.3679620931615690%
0.5646211220297730% 0.3141030752302440% 0.2487937229129710% 0.3878972171938190%
0.5901847258436480% 0.3295713419637040% 0.2632850220117610% 0.4041502140042030%
0.6189989589481740% 0.3427994723967200% 0.2768853114842740% 0.4186666877737970%
0.6474881313971360% 0.3538227506517660% 0.2883832787909180% 0.4304617261597120%
0.6770223050441030% 0.3628908864904530% 0.2976546682940300% 0.4391374417065220%
0.7101496863249700% 0.3704221825766500% 0.3039725201457900% 0.4464145292096970%
0.7427450371731440% 0.3769440173163370% 0.3096061257116270% 0.4543744355133300%
0.7763732276461090% 0.3830333791493430% 0.3148147212531630% 0.4618124417035440%
0.8097826925833690% 0.3892667972545110% 0.3199942850991460% 0.4694545899995220%
0.8413029746700280% 0.3961832931731370% 0.3250206120335710% 0.4772133473615560%
0.8677265231885470% 0.4042592215654740% 0.3320089103404960% 0.4872014043723300%
0.8888986471009990% 0.4138912229480450% 0.3399244418175340% 0.4965852715644500%
0.9100916825745590% 0.4253830598708950% 0.3509169245413700% 0.5088040956188460%
0.9261257856375440% 0.4389333474205960% 0.3637506577635690% 0.5239956278182950%
0.9391045331208960% 0.4546234585849180% 0.3777490670216690% 0.5422533772028400%
0.9505790343991050% 0.4724075426507630% 0.3924271889295810% 0.5641497219662590%
0.9615393195263590% 0.4921089701585460% 0.4082876719898010% 0.5889146308114480%
0.9679172779764570% 0.5134288166524380% 0.4236615719255500% 0.6137866862823250%
0.9694752284994640% 0.5359713683670110% 0.4421092326029780% 0.6408125050163820%
0.9642697666292970% 0.5592885282111480% 0.4610058037565930% 0.6692729181705360%
0.9522976444057170% 0.5829397276909190% 0.4797988884882880% 0.6974466370337230%
0.9371267283357410% 0.6065580285901980% 0.5015360229982920% 0.7244454810124060%
0.9194143352803820% 0.6299089389937690% 0.5233681908499410% 0.7472774108101360%
0.9018986761127760% 0.6529282649578540% 0.5431010331512660% 0.7721963108771560%
0.8895889519987700% 0.6757297015423620% 0.5600746075142980% 0.8012653895141880%
0.8858187250247630% 0.6985802905738770% 0.5703082946834890% 0.8385380787534660%
0.8878549592522330% 0.7218493211728590% 0.5706732838769850% 0.8871490832772850%
0.8938641814493600% 0.7459408486979500% 0.5682142610731540% 0.9441509742974060%
0.9029548985686010% 0.7712204733231860% 0.5604045829149120% 1.0108700267403500%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.3279685654809420% 0.0970365193776359% 0.0597531125199585% 0.1443926113144820%
0.3301875175288840% 0.0981480961574827% 0.0617324863655878% 0.1441330118010240%
0.3331062621939170% 0.1001053528417880% 0.0639811551132733% 0.1444028876556800%
0.3363930151854840% 0.1029934089035360% 0.0669168204387822% 0.1470066337880580%
0.3405504345240120% 0.1069056312610060% 0.0709111214423998% 0.1500666270060850%
0.3445228220464300% 0.1119415324280730% 0.0759922503125895% 0.1546098297592750%
0.3506333063139890% 0.1182021490906370% 0.0818604533878133% 0.1617372793699790%
0.3567209406007110% 0.1257830580076500% 0.0887641716749914% 0.1702956950592720%
0.3656523739871000% 0.1347654636875640% 0.0962884546848643% 0.1812048607675620%
0.3773575293576130% 0.1452061135328370% 0.1048201951375060% 0.1941587493511760%
0.3890247015591190% 0.1571271074764340% 0.1144359174123100% 0.2086283801448980%
0.4032765909613990% 0.1705068420508520% 0.1251150419930280% 0.2246297145454680%
0.4183849882908890% 0.1852732250911150% 0.1376222922999010% 0.2429593020851190%
0.4349324613396680% 0.2012998781134400% 0.1513582495134810% 0.2611241886186990%
0.4518095261427490% 0.2184054560605330% 0.1661354547619700% 0.2807684558922950%
0.4698732987866720% 0.2363557703331270% 0.1821631582262000% 0.2996416507419170%
0.4907651022611150% 0.2548684126636450% 0.1997977934212750% 0.3200570310921030%
0.5130466102718000% 0.2736201203031600% 0.2169722466788760% 0.3385284927739050%
0.5377359515560560% 0.2922578875010030% 0.2338033683473410% 0.3597708398222350%
0.5650991860135220% 0.3104151979590720% 0.2489572666853170% 0.3798315707816110%
0.5939927788251350% 0.3277341266554360% 0.2638625704154630% 0.3999430310885940%
0.6270748319082750% 0.3438922672599530% 0.2784252746256280% 0.4190023481793570%
0.6590133921501030% 0.3586310056538760% 0.2910845962249090% 0.4373793039620840%
0.6918097192093880% 0.3717796844509990% 0.3018102334919080% 0.4518562107473860%
0.7236639916677700% 0.3832698584293660% 0.3122734663302680% 0.4638136162578480%
0.7550405234124080% 0.3931356868526450% 0.3217003506833760% 0.4730709562423400%
0.7850109998644110% 0.4015000773693340% 0.3294311749222620% 0.4819764340555860%
0.8160575631475490% 0.4085501454172830% 0.3357349616632870% 0.4897091471049580%
0.8448065565432650% 0.4145083336712900% 0.3411542585247540% 0.4974317797557560%
0.8739928371407170% 0.4196061462896110% 0.3446724157849900% 0.5034620662629570%
0.8995485529434920% 0.4240658274501050% 0.3456121832227550% 0.5101540111366510%
0.9240869943731890% 0.4280922053421210% 0.3473123079116930% 0.5161127600595680%
0.9364363441808450% 0.4318734742734370% 0.3495923393937410% 0.5227032044840200%
0.9445347193957600% 0.4355869945645650% 0.3523156182872370% 0.5274803530415650%
0.9499950539927620% 0.4394050099048020% 0.3565731415965670% 0.5309797225075460%
0.9535805674999440% 0.4434957870579330% 0.3603929241440890% 0.5362329923911560%
0.9526841926833170% 0.4480178254291330% 0.3620956912667190% 0.5459402725496520%
0.9589411835635550% 0.4531077910107570% 0.3602355029146070% 0.5598728112995800%
0.9698506545854590% 0.4588658357556890% 0.3534006882440640% 0.5798941491244430%
0.9850043269578130% 0.4653442015380430% 0.3420042479939060% 0.6070396779751330%
1.0075376294917500% 0.4725460096747270% 0.3278684501357410% 0.6382017014110670%
1.0369122151544100% 0.4804407959490810% 0.3127021109264800% 0.6776147560023850%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.2951094017403000% 0.0725504054959095% 0.0394248242000488% 0.1176746437362140%
0.2984915984875460% 0.0741713014509298% 0.0414455406479749% 0.1178477000136090%
0.3020757260580680% 0.0758327871519556% 0.0434501012862488% 0.1193348235237780%
0.3044066461054320% 0.0775574279925016% 0.0454481309412554% 0.1208492094376990%
0.3072096882665130% 0.0793874486665153% 0.0472579917280461% 0.1218372205286050%
0.3103984764452260% 0.0813822479290743% 0.0495420792258760% 0.1234851328483570%
0.3136433458121410% 0.0836141469569064% 0.0515393453644544% 0.1253623578162740%
0.3162975476545600% 0.0861636814936712% 0.0539294111106821% 0.1279142781935730%
0.3208614189910260% 0.0891156479970148% 0.0562434010324331% 0.1312945363191490%
0.3254868775036240% 0.0925566769265816% 0.0589226223421839% 0.1348936083476440%
0.3325511724062010% 0.0965745250833894% 0.0621408285649593% 0.1394735619159020%
0.3397950254178350% 0.1012587241466320% 0.0659039282600194% 0.1449070270056350%
0.3467200951384790% 0.1067017977512300% 0.0697727230917232% 0.1514539186756040%
0.3535281518076130% 0.1130000123075790% 0.0749809943299885% 0.1587818512254000%
0.3605376134290350% 0.1202525792952820% 0.0814176540614419% 0.1672889315663960%
0.3666407083438190% 0.1285583933637910% 0.0891657579874551% 0.1767308073043630%
0.3737541602104550% 0.1380097774938040% 0.0977436904228202% 0.1869427463186510%
0.3823684886794910% 0.1486832998144770% 0.1073213924075140% 0.1990502415676800%
0.3925786084840220% 0.1606284731174150% 0.1181549936449070% 0.2134255763073420%
0.4048473800562090% 0.1738559286850960% 0.1292822644545440% 0.2283278803300870%
0.4200106679641380% 0.1883272652202520% 0.1417692470463770% 0.2450628022143400%
0.4379521137547600% 0.2039489390113650% 0.1549232973359460% 0.2634609884748460%
0.4570472592023110% 0.2205720424817600% 0.1689017569029060% 0.2823063555812880%
0.4768754581629190% 0.2379985757046030% 0.1846494374496590% 0.3018484839472620%
0.4977025256120940% 0.2559931578899080% 0.2006398428975410% 0.3220184579340040%
0.5201790483320460% 0.2742976894912050% 0.2170614622644750% 0.3416657905468200%
0.5450570634700590% 0.2926459608030260% 0.2333083009169340% 0.3604765738706000%
0.5705548480332640% 0.3107759687505030% 0.2491843711918610% 0.3792636860464240%
0.6006628958555860% 0.3284394749310400% 0.2649647848552840% 0.3976401461158430%
0.6327998060826290% 0.3454102534230660% 0.2802983419052580% 0.4164946881246890%
0.6684692508382950% 0.3614934930440660% 0.2928346569193790% 0.4355971301125390%
0.7019006304670950% 0.3765382577653900% 0.3050543984453080% 0.4547518231318970%
0.7338228808849790% 0.3904528546522050% 0.3167651672712010% 0.4714487528841140%
0.7647767633264400% 0.4032202922542210% 0.3284469510877070% 0.4865816016248210%
0.7923801079090360% 0.4149090452113730% 0.3408140978984680% 0.5008975212026880%
0.8193775082600560% 0.4256741836573210% 0.3513355409308480% 0.5123279061536170%
0.8440254237418180% 0.4357458957458850% 0.3574970509171620% 0.5252669246741760%
0.8735398061086880% 0.4454058412942340% 0.3589990835929930% 0.5413705268256280%
0.9120811275392810% 0.4549552677036400% 0.3580461568308000% 0.5638025229045970%
0.9634328479261380% 0.4646810610857370% 0.3511666239077640% 0.5935487943685390%
1.0183688151833700% 0.4748261996262580% 0.3422891321198270% 0.6279293991741960%
1.0821408214737000% 0.4855695786798390% 0.3309648322997790% 0.6697591139383280%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.2513118304951470% 0.0900719463137611% 0.0487838655237944% 0.1435949187020640%
0.2524789110104570% 0.0887284696424821% 0.0496910521677350% 0.1393663167789960%
0.2550799850161530% 0.0876825928059160% 0.0505557031429702% 0.1353424309986330%
0.2603814437027380% 0.0869109662710367% 0.0508861777687933% 0.1334137063718000%
0.2654903085200330% 0.0863921405304211% 0.0511663169885258% 0.1319606043953310%
0.2704137263174910% 0.0861050448927134% 0.0516947214593729% 0.1308711625874230%
0.2758839533056490% 0.0860274740277755% 0.0517340052104336% 0.1302583902297100%
0.2831372645708040% 0.0861356701471083% 0.0519466152094843% 0.1305024939012380%
0.2911092378617670% 0.0864058158311737% 0.0517861679400748% 0.1302896430812330%
0.2985573089185110% 0.0868176962930793% 0.0518630309429822% 0.1310663798341280%
0.3077976315388010% 0.0873600932572934% 0.0521662362528750% 0.1318109635722750%
0.3157143939545750% 0.0880368394476768% 0.0524925224201040% 0.1328552450735480%
0.3229538996044680% 0.0888721174617380% 0.0536303767769130% 0.1340784013506910%
0.3278607756693530% 0.0899136909844836% 0.0548249059878304% 0.1341201566153110%
0.3313194647465970% 0.0912333098717242% 0.0565429363909445% 0.1346668665182150%
0.3337290671752950% 0.0929243346811914% 0.0581718580803926% 0.1352476277225820%
0.3360448210557490% 0.0950973615988888% 0.0606872471244730% 0.1366922172191370%
0.3388130639696710% 0.0978750176773389% 0.0630905484954520% 0.1400389393090990%
0.3407746789073250% 0.1013870379742910% 0.0660710938431246% 0.1438456379053980%
0.3459550968145410% 0.1057663245035300% 0.0697881517331258% 0.1480269851231590%
0.3523005634516670% 0.1111461165695630% 0.0744995970462969% 0.1539565925324410%
0.3590481017829970% 0.1176578479314560% 0.0789267536615812% 0.1622342022801560%
0.3666564058890560% 0.1254288214442550% 0.0853157190632513% 0.1722616447446960%
0.3758566536541910% 0.1345785284063930% 0.0925323007568738% 0.1841829812622410%
0.3862380087131340% 0.1452123168778050% 0.1022151351119130% 0.1952318917893570%
0.3962640933557940% 0.1574112756302000% 0.1132723307707000% 0.2090304183164330%
0.4095204591659240% 0.1712178225966460% 0.1258702471063970% 0.2257410682880760%
0.4247327032359530% 0.1866177384010890% 0.1397559954090140% 0.2427559442837420%
0.4421654568952140% 0.2035212810395720% 0.1546027789633080% 0.2609015310690450%
0.4624228589340560% 0.2217482257514590% 0.1696106106083390% 0.2820282513562100%
0.4837191907576330% 0.2410233870162800% 0.1856524613935010% 0.3061619847442860%
0.5070284948714730% 0.2609892136926060% 0.2017910411004180% 0.3285846247678130%
0.5327326489566420% 0.2812393356267880% 0.2189182008035610% 0.3520665206487600%
0.5560283283446780% 0.3013713514407120% 0.2368023382382120% 0.3754187261476410%
0.5781230837873650% 0.3210501700692520% 0.2553099969821220% 0.3962791021458390%
0.6000063753348260% 0.3400677577773290% 0.2731444427111200% 0.4169456172275110%
0.6244886743899630% 0.3583841111817980% 0.2890683182752510% 0.4364080803848250%
0.6519522945486060% 0.3761386802247710% 0.3025604591978970% 0.4576299940518900%
0.6881730947114950% 0.3936294381459560% 0.3111482785717460% 0.4853086272088560%
0.7310169847459370% 0.4112645424000980% 0.3165141223783900% 0.5223561630390800%
0.7822959437333810% 0.4294955615896180% 0.3164191336824470% 0.5641895027534520%
0.8471462791310550% 0.4487402556957700% 0.3134128237371780% 0.6151622738189700%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1887929243289000% 0.0791726175510145% 0.0380660135156223% 0.1385507200276410%
0.1926812471238260% 0.0789022672392532% 0.0389612524089289% 0.1360456619681160%
0.1978319355171970% 0.0790330104927557% 0.0396881545996692% 0.1345073770175690%
0.2033596292532970% 0.0795289107331002% 0.0408724210619188% 0.1339298446838800%
0.2090161960784760% 0.0803522279619496% 0.0424197176255148% 0.1328598147492870%
0.2162484257004930% 0.0814589669973583% 0.0437197707166008% 0.1332872713949290%
0.2247395387031900% 0.0827936831632525% 0.0451740796700220% 0.1341404823764610%
0.2321662766416540% 0.0842855147493342% 0.0466432015563157% 0.1357492646670360%
0.2420748135088330% 0.0858474773265898% 0.0473150408198463% 0.1388121468752350%
0.2542436321686630% 0.0873805387583963% 0.0485819317832043% 0.1419605506992310%
0.2665440459398960% 0.0887828350090536% 0.0490547520690847% 0.1440199176432730%
0.2776450797665010% 0.0899627521867093% 0.0495940633998144% 0.1451866227302540%
0.2896321715654210% 0.0908529966943684% 0.0506086606217730% 0.1462198950183900%
0.2995804595793700% 0.0914219418707701% 0.0514697066849312% 0.1454794792720490%
0.3092843199705320% 0.0916790540839152% 0.0516867310824308% 0.1455265537520870%
0.3176061983468770% 0.0916730321607446% 0.0519087226280598% 0.1452459094957530%
0.3215202619621740% 0.0914836876990192% 0.0523990309996624% 0.1429693351220350%
0.3271800198570100% 0.0912104746906338% 0.0527035467978888% 0.1417364167575070%
0.3322345180347980% 0.0909611866064576% 0.0528155262277631% 0.1408112193081300%
0.3363488123742540% 0.0908436244852533% 0.0529059779761159% 0.1404674825768250%
0.3391648579128140% 0.0909615455603814% 0.0536263354391130% 0.1408781158281040%
0.3412089138929730% 0.0914146506661089% 0.0539139494517554% 0.1405321789355400%
0.3419219449397140% 0.0923012821754216% 0.0547729189711023% 0.1406309429063720%
0.3427773645347220% 0.0937220702517624% 0.0564233322312533% 0.1415747993434570%
0.3427410968040130% 0.0957829051436330% 0.0592358080025190% 0.1421053125298660%
0.3415220718222960% 0.0985961175548570% 0.0621416204316430% 0.1439577621848460%
0.3409921264907320% 0.1022793936531980% 0.0657666526856975% 0.1479340587908940%
0.3428470300168580% 0.1069525758253300% 0.0700528147422339% 0.1527744743960370%
0.3475692195409390% 0.1127330446867330% 0.0741594589950646% 0.1596988588009040%
0.3533451646443450% 0.1197308584287440% 0.0799303339591320% 0.1687094987064480%
0.3619462114339710% 0.1280452477148350% 0.0859800506198098% 0.1788260526701350%
0.3748355581550580% 0.1377643172206810% 0.0932429455993645% 0.1906606218504010%
0.3891994706733470% 0.1489696314896870% 0.1024088498059910% 0.2054373432775550%
0.4058953669566770% 0.1617464851926200% 0.1130077497620340% 0.2218595148893480%
0.4247911210672630% 0.1761990365134560% 0.1249290629042690% 0.2383238239084300%
0.4451150122452200% 0.1924675384326820% 0.1386093578851280% 0.2566545257051210%
0.4688769580554430% 0.2107434760395950% 0.1549156168668590% 0.2770715427364310%
0.5000074842374340% 0.2312783906099470% 0.1716576777018470% 0.3026984274108570%
0.5390225428784470% 0.2543839851087010% 0.1861576805684640% 0.3344313727564480%
0.5939397122388420% 0.2804245444277050% 0.1981634543450780% 0.3768437161261870%
0.6587446169905570% 0.3098070865134400% 0.2065771858054160% 0.4353848337249090%
0.7419060137472200% 0.3429792578722740% 0.2119684684179630% 0.5121754067524320%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1746747598238690% 0.0705896970545564% 0.0361958806981735% 0.1100659204074730%
0.1743189950621000% 0.0711922968905274% 0.0376410832035768% 0.1099034429828560%
0.1750829727363780% 0.0718355370277219% 0.0389477690475609% 0.1098821907259220%
0.1764543885017280% 0.0725206050826770% 0.0401747482630406% 0.1099154244587210%
0.1775014093019770% 0.0732487003371167% 0.0415718679262111% 0.1097478377816090%
0.1791359078752920% 0.0740210194512132% 0.0431153389735046% 0.1098960033440640%
0.1817053715257820% 0.0748386528355215% 0.0445996283995288% 0.1104719178402850%
0.1840312451986350% 0.0757023961688877% 0.0460003853690175% 0.1109142972826420%
0.1870540238612570% 0.0766124977247597% 0.0475074612095757% 0.1114665745277110%
0.1899193548260080% 0.0775683746807909% 0.0493482586955196% 0.1118408101781190%
0.1936583684839270% 0.0785683390728783% 0.0507240571842418% 0.1124687406299250%
0.1977956388077910% 0.0796093759242827% 0.0521336057563647% 0.1128966949349660%
0.2025653679471520% 0.0806870122281112% 0.0537814052116446% 0.1140504985616840%
0.2077762304564810% 0.0817953060204710% 0.0551388778780746% 0.1154754426823480%
0.2143215858830450% 0.0829269701692989% 0.0561623694047122% 0.1168978068325280%
0.2204966415230830% 0.0840736268151261% 0.0573667357663410% 0.1180746971333400%
0.2267558368947940% 0.0852261679252903% 0.0587630236183106% 0.1196738234253340%
0.2349748246583060% 0.0863751788545054% 0.0602064896713517% 0.1214937398809210%
0.2433234345913580% 0.0875113697133964% 0.0614213350046950% 0.1227690769489230%
0.2514195459059520% 0.0886259578441824% 0.0624423457391451% 0.1246924171207710%
0.2593155092158120% 0.0897109557220493% 0.0634663994360252% 0.1257508348332760%
0.2661566215363760% 0.0907593406267991% 0.0643372685010961% 0.1274286758611630%
0.2729356416861230% 0.0917651104458119% 0.0654137813524006% 0.1284591184048860%
0.2796581320367130% 0.0927232568150449% 0.0663358020894051% 0.1295689833126220%
0.2872800806959850% 0.0936297053915279% 0.0667106716123508% 0.1308406746174690%
0.2938516741859590% 0.0944812784830786% 0.0672372870386589% 0.1314912208764620%
0.3021140093024420% 0.0952757260681367% 0.0678672107977556% 0.1326472968204700%
0.3075021236534930% 0.0960118494925489% 0.0681627877512942% 0.1340203066255340%
0.3122720593850550% 0.0966897127325630% 0.0683671730955671% 0.1348822139782220%
0.3180670330844010% 0.0973109056866256% 0.0687804929770811% 0.1357554223329180%
0.3218904982340780% 0.0978787995928128% 0.0688049524244222% 0.1366221007738820%
0.3267443723767200% 0.0983987225563446% 0.0688297269830837% 0.1377804973428270%
0.3310055737256140% 0.0988779871663229% 0.0687648459718065% 0.1389707674625210%
0.3338150454684710% 0.0993257225654119% 0.0685359299816738% 0.1397939235510240%
0.3397400855941170% 0.0997524963362543% 0.0681897306006193% 0.1417828422721090%
0.3454315059028970% 0.1001697500851620% 0.0678759268787588% 0.1430574688062040%
0.3536498247639750% 0.1005891081544470% 0.0670171657435355% 0.1456648736716940%
0.3623649584143190% 0.1010216440932640% 0.0663890518001498% 0.1484207469036950%
0.3734949648073000% 0.1014772000602580% 0.0654100946845434% 0.1515052263268870%
0.3867096783043740% 0.1019638497221130% 0.0639369502205030% 0.1554937462777810%
0.4032143681723690% 0.1024875782182410% 0.0626146403218349% 0.1600556772327900%
0.4182091863105650% 0.1030522284345910% 0.0609429543537228% 0.1648116904117570%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1464780153463350% 0.0552455869230057% 0.0234477937706828% 0.0921063430121572%
0.1441809116590940% 0.0560202645388980% 0.0248184609952800% 0.0923334410987369%
0.1428361704307770% 0.0568289986995134% 0.0263635869030736% 0.0924013207964276%
0.1424059335669030% 0.0576708499297189% 0.0278753992230404% 0.0928894119524159%
0.1425669985634940% 0.0585452808032018% 0.0293202620355770% 0.0927744236634982%
0.1436436142307420% 0.0594522300756455% 0.0306661643742096% 0.0928218887646768%
0.1453342099857240% 0.0603920287207621% 0.0321962917186536% 0.0936714136967638%
0.1469581832565870% 0.0613651533357969% 0.0338431315825472% 0.0943417567926687%
0.1486643667192910% 0.0623718415579571% 0.0351015747986645% 0.0953429279222803%
0.1508274283959280% 0.0634116181264843% 0.0365517278532849% 0.0959031554471679%
0.1531679793818300% 0.0644827953953878% 0.0380413402310790% 0.0971188467201547%
0.1564584744029870% 0.0655820173816564% 0.0395643546101395% 0.0984590380795962%
0.1598289296729710% 0.0667039124909554% 0.0409618910153841% 0.0999440340276908%
0.1634803825833040% 0.0678409080689982% 0.0419763452221053% 0.1012886669940350%
0.1679062808422470% 0.0689832408673908% 0.0430017991428075% 0.1032506938455290%
0.1724989613008060% 0.0701191724736028% 0.0439726401311459% 0.1052973886768160%
0.1776484867538000% 0.0712353899145945% 0.0450483170819456% 0.1075246325460240%
0.1831205687025210% 0.0723175431826899% 0.0461133864656270% 0.1101335878129800%
0.1891957100847570% 0.0733508494788258% 0.0471016512136494% 0.1124976537928750%
0.1966522801080550% 0.0743206851331457% 0.0477876078088853% 0.1142153218816230%
0.2029216734255750% 0.0752130950083256% 0.0486160169059071% 0.1157783551111900%
0.2102378091475670% 0.0760151757444932% 0.0493931585444051% 0.1169388534831420%
0.2177275902988440% 0.0767153278494669% 0.0498662677716662% 0.1181930947871310%
0.2256069032876190% 0.0773034121489624% 0.0502875878997724% 0.1197079057561090%
0.2318275912032960% 0.0777708765461946% 0.0506861032755269% 0.1200902639606540%
0.2387484071401090% 0.0781109293325296% 0.0508221212167537% 0.1198954862713940%
0.2475007644101470% 0.0783188202536250% 0.0510554111581633% 0.1194165270620820%
0.2549840320745550% 0.0783922515366635% 0.0509034654300329% 0.1189677595194230%
0.2629467147383620% 0.0783318863078148% 0.0506058570583759% 0.1177166988098860%
0.2714250176935630% 0.0781418652192010% 0.0506166680443577% 0.1171133550385270%
0.2799685498617710% 0.0778302007883652% 0.0503904900797761% 0.1161310131516200%
0.2872946816106420% 0.0774089088074046% 0.0498776681397251% 0.1152874580928340%
0.2942981938665120% 0.0768937659960783% 0.0491745073061983% 0.1140136545671520%
0.3015175888472180% 0.0763036494145244% 0.0486562023589596% 0.1132495695999360%
0.3082038698054000% 0.0756594991276432% 0.0474631736128768% 0.1128874629939800%
0.3175898810371480% 0.0749830258043255% 0.0467604772485768% 0.1132213014446740%
0.3297214996841850% 0.0742953352108050% 0.0454498735276743% 0.1125066979186060%
0.3426425034317750% 0.0736156489582674% 0.0436786477675188% 0.1133251889694420%
0.3561254068475910% 0.0729602680556518% 0.0416537928213711% 0.1149183096596250%
0.3739032702750350% 0.0723418679723102% 0.0396623514297496% 0.1156060516207720%
0.3946351344758000% 0.0717691506920488% 0.0375727338797959% 0.1173698048398270%
0.4158621486378650% 0.0712468271421055% 0.0353048261828473% 0.1199329224007870%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1570734501125280% 0.0589944041054956% 0.0207810847301927% 0.1100728971102910%
0.1532838049794970% 0.0589557845882986% 0.0217024218752414% 0.1076694695374220%
0.1490482343984920% 0.0589684679560942% 0.0226459627129928% 0.1052226806151800%
0.1459271662351410% 0.0590382989720831% 0.0236258896317200% 0.1035431038716300%
0.1435563486102080% 0.0591719763027550% 0.0247650229615982% 0.1020631063802970%
0.1421671719956330% 0.0593761181826919% 0.0252580935041892% 0.1009925368931670%
0.1411088201623000% 0.0596568923464876% 0.0263624519932143% 0.0998742874889231%
0.1402096762491640% 0.0600200053548775% 0.0271443848643502% 0.0996393063352242%
0.1400486807789830% 0.0604708531894433% 0.0282711460252003% 0.0989080479083558%
0.1407358544843420% 0.0610146661897360% 0.0292760741812094% 0.0986082272573027%
0.1420688391976040% 0.0616565284876001% 0.0302651462557206% 0.0983278445965073%
0.1434253562252510% 0.0624012057428463% 0.0318049233962327% 0.0983894166960094%
0.1447998804351610% 0.0632527673295829% 0.0331718145703258% 0.0985878219675288%
0.1461999084125270% 0.0642140348576985% 0.0345693855619276% 0.0990679554488862%
0.1482574148277960% 0.0652859258745981% 0.0362676718825003% 0.0997724379678014%
0.1514589925700130% 0.0664667899669261% 0.0379169102679146% 0.1005040461488150%
0.1548544167352430% 0.0677518542443545% 0.0394106159377371% 0.1012167296327840%
0.1584986424148150% 0.0691329027909678% 0.0408776535076615% 0.1024383869677460%
0.1631717266330720% 0.0705983015625229% 0.0423270489541102% 0.1038665339896580%
0.1683377474912190% 0.0721334360952141% 0.0438816807647383% 0.1049730633161930%
0.1734456823182280% 0.0737215509964273% 0.0456696393355218% 0.1071135847510850%
0.1796731447877430% 0.0753448812464222% 0.0469882344821494% 0.1093639517617420%
0.1875262137583310% 0.0769858789206151% 0.0486202902563927% 0.1119963514358110%
0.1956460714010060% 0.0786283050990410% 0.0501777004056487% 0.1143537258401270%
0.2036560422115580% 0.0802579994273946% 0.0517744655405727% 0.1176837418529300%
0.2123753177069130% 0.0818632488429879% 0.0531952563735298% 0.1201655674786490%
0.2221749934918850% 0.0834348100796568% 0.0544082866264569% 0.1219516135553810%
0.2313686866544850% 0.0849657451892415% 0.0554551236061372% 0.1244501528964340%
0.2391956387364270% 0.0864512684994639% 0.0561553935688068% 0.1264874985856240%
0.2479063645114250% 0.0878887689548962% 0.0569181299553996% 0.1283650476831990%
0.2557284403637060% 0.0892780810790989% 0.0578701981106682% 0.1300424357364840%
0.2638215482838290% 0.0906219624497643% 0.0581206787642423% 0.1331904255579460%
0.2701887193529130% 0.0919266305098304% 0.0583258668757052% 0.1358216566951450%
0.2766857724262260% 0.0932021474633318% 0.0583456857835683% 0.1387371810956900%
0.2850893721191880% 0.0944624393967574% 0.0583108634099948% 0.1412812875590580%
0.2947316385090970% 0.0957247992238236% 0.0584723336409613% 0.1453908843486150%
0.3055036739265320% 0.0970088385580283% 0.0584842012140618% 0.1494569141839250%
0.3188013898732310% 0.0983349922883307% 0.0583130156521979% 0.1555128611804850%
0.3347789589869500% 0.0997228081186074% 0.0579798940795124% 0.1618924790569900%
0.3544144876135610% 0.1011893457644750% 0.0573699690460634% 0.1683332896479310%
0.3758999706781380% 0.1027480551181860% 0.0564340241214731% 0.1766759183124780%
0.3996672696935190% 0.1044085011473600% 0.0554640702989452% 0.1866854758093200%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1390313963486700% 0.0402699818217571% 0.0097908537800997% 0.0827968965003791%
0.1327310942308780% 0.0404195733075512% 0.0104967433417401% 0.0819608874583509%
0.1303896622964840% 0.0406052731202663% 0.0111272570174900% 0.0810818719500769%
0.1263527282730170% 0.0408292866112688% 0.0120707040368496% 0.0799308780193784%
0.1220882095763280% 0.0410938130928505% 0.0127613068464835% 0.0793323957357238%
0.1202852584878140% 0.0414008451104801% 0.0135439529893882% 0.0786176132767729%
0.1177976575759740% 0.0417522924542167% 0.0143898521338428% 0.0780525866056754%
0.1161354130012350% 0.0421503277417110% 0.0152047829058022% 0.0773467840489741%
0.1158182929388360% 0.0425978139287975% 0.0160889380018018% 0.0769460970694736%
0.1153373031671940% 0.0430986631163409% 0.0167390273728414% 0.0769987056890133%
0.1151978151512600% 0.0436579982696089% 0.0175244139338581% 0.0768897365138684%
0.1156264149984280% 0.0442820411176645% 0.0183420870577027% 0.0772265052133023%
0.1162970921259210% 0.0449777152150843% 0.0192466967421870% 0.0777078666168093%
0.1167076738283180% 0.0457520131368741% 0.0205032720571160% 0.0778287437257348%
0.1175991822949230% 0.0466112166960868% 0.0214483034416907% 0.0782188905374804%
0.1184327696734310% 0.0475600755514799% 0.0226608292286366% 0.0787532402924692%
0.1204522308518050% 0.0486010480506213% 0.0238644893148006% 0.0795245632801657%
0.1222975637270710% 0.0497336958866025% 0.0249941615559081% 0.0806959836517615%
0.1242944960703880% 0.0509543040946825% 0.0263050243957327% 0.0825187664537074%
0.1279397816455770% 0.0522557677707247% 0.0277196460479722% 0.0839111052077101%
0.1310450522469350% 0.0536277437945274% 0.0290845703792642% 0.0856319495638446%
0.1348097346422450% 0.0550570135674362% 0.0304350808013528% 0.0879396873487536%
0.1398201882172610% 0.0565279558896251% 0.0316967112864697% 0.0905482226040768%
0.1449963395314950% 0.0580230094450115% 0.0327498866461048% 0.0930600936898729%
0.1508148659525630% 0.0595230301301508% 0.0341594025499008% 0.0959147561374215%
0.1566725498917970% 0.0610075221287645% 0.0351521294441343% 0.0987291086534037%
0.1632456666022570% 0.0624548246105144% 0.0359881393217970% 0.1013198060624280%
0.1701073841773100% 0.0638424331833710% 0.0369625643808457% 0.1042246620111970%
0.1775866569396670% 0.0651476860212458% 0.0376282448291743% 0.1071103791206760%
0.1842436703944330% 0.0663490135208876% 0.0379361035501298% 0.1094405493017250%
0.1916366419669690% 0.0674278175252283% 0.0382626776100246% 0.1106337636454580%
0.1989988341686850% 0.0683708208738913% 0.0383662105645611% 0.1119498520706170%
0.2071826126868810% 0.0691724660973307% 0.0384192738557546% 0.1132539193595760%
0.2147209805283190% 0.0698367503176876% 0.0385476780820583% 0.1148141675372700%
0.2238999807518130% 0.0703778839155098% 0.0383403631500644% 0.1165347670611790%
0.2341528442302350% 0.0708194111480804% 0.0380205715838152% 0.1191999665546880%
0.2459597587183310% 0.0711918567559990% 0.0378330704017065% 0.1219324997980650%
0.2591703990710780% 0.0715293756001258% 0.0373295420528177% 0.1247962922959910%
0.2758863178996910% 0.0718660973978788% 0.0368790654622607% 0.1288580573811740%
0.2975635148215330% 0.0722328119498526% 0.0357699134405300% 0.1326634312100410%
0.3215755910386340% 0.0726544085646442% 0.0343404198371239% 0.1378675027736940%
0.3466400913398350% 0.0731482046360289% 0.0326889481151493% 0.1442618858716270%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1058834429854540% 0.0310645846429402% 0.0051432324958138% 0.0807023412683995%
0.1034383358379570% 0.0305086379280578% 0.0055200352721283% 0.0754491229327770%
0.1020822423376390% 0.0300436283539312% 0.0058736426095466% 0.0721765375120978%
0.1006507255909520% 0.0296707209033167% 0.0062749039233969% 0.0695467885082435%
0.1002615685103390% 0.0293922637543836% 0.0066494784832690% 0.0676774624590212%
0.0985332552929720% 0.0292108005953071% 0.0070572779535369% 0.0661379942887186%
0.0983159203914782% 0.0291288323559097% 0.0074754535431242% 0.0644937866730098%
0.0979557151295745% 0.0291489795401441% 0.0078375104528795% 0.0639153672585607%
0.0973335251329644% 0.0292742854780298% 0.0081348152442851% 0.0632197779716111%
0.0968918450379049% 0.0295084885342394% 0.0084225283264857% 0.0633284718668915%
0.0971458015140104% 0.0298561677259771% 0.0088791626560804% 0.0628823884457410%
0.0968908755875885% 0.0303227251633469% 0.0094198276722908% 0.0622622134615147%
0.0971012930565421% 0.0309142082850303% 0.0099430773649843% 0.0620635194198954%
0.0974493204933825% 0.0316369969937212% 0.0105889687292736% 0.0622255049914999%
0.0979512370046222% 0.0324973909098048% 0.0113320638360637% 0.0628595842148608%
0.0981831974829667% 0.0335011373357983% 0.0120945742652917% 0.0634688160669842%
0.0992713361008347% 0.0346529474937386% 0.0129530467396457% 0.0641656525573645%
0.1002469677459510% 0.0359560593867394% 0.0138147980618241% 0.0657069198260583%
0.1011126734078660% 0.0374119161928144% 0.0147912697270145% 0.0672418087755512%
0.1028021697090600% 0.0390200294786758% 0.0161823719653321% 0.0689875883666433%
0.1044995147307860% 0.0407780751635382% 0.0174628328359688% 0.0707231483594678%
0.1074768271114180% 0.0426822219035754% 0.0190730352068420% 0.0726749966208789%
0.1114043845914750% 0.0447276257969903% 0.0205842655325849% 0.0751921643223780%
0.1147811849304340% 0.0469089675608138% 0.0222652621904798% 0.0781510124492384%
0.1183203355985460% 0.0492208903353720% 0.0240682139464972% 0.0815620504046733%
0.1227427494454790% 0.0516582378586130% 0.0261236544690084% 0.0849107379214627%
0.1274208728380550% 0.0542160874872631% 0.0282440863147486% 0.0887403202568465%
0.1307592836644200% 0.0568896879785350% 0.0299658203272263% 0.0929588429122935%
0.1342308718386700% 0.0596745039621166% 0.0318085655535021% 0.0971330921208592%
0.1387024270424320% 0.0625665995351648% 0.0339244062642149% 0.1016593810411900%
0.1434719473045400% 0.0655635419066444% 0.0357931158211012% 0.1068725798726430%
0.1462318057194920% 0.0686658744710599% 0.0371044358849453% 0.1121344110321800%
0.1501645540298540% 0.0718790238781686% 0.0385760898127249% 0.1168723945843160%
0.1544444012414910% 0.0752153186631882% 0.0399032284780624% 0.1228358960735190%
0.1578154696251970% 0.0786956733090289% 0.0410352371347600% 0.1292764841495780%
0.1615907372590700% 0.0823504878838422% 0.0420327436179794% 0.1373828364044250%
0.1663717765034670% 0.0862194495329803% 0.0428639982625351% 0.1467773225258220%
0.1723070252372450% 0.0903501684208542% 0.0431763610322290% 0.1579146173081070%
0.1782201803488190% 0.0947958745600071% 0.0432746785047382% 0.1710592736328790%
0.1882308261529910% 0.0996126860084674% 0.0432416185231031% 0.1882334477270280%
0.1963728935531030% 0.1048572140683410% 0.0431434954954917% 0.2104694970778270%
0.2075778925844410% 0.1105855222813160% 0.0430201992626855% 0.2342185485090570%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.2918525796620820% 0.0442072129389591% 0.0165440933951057% 0.0992343254173394%
0.2687812699585120% 0.0434514594846839% 0.0167502904400971% 0.0949195261985202%
0.2503217224784110% 0.0427627279174173% 0.0171404602302482% 0.0890735988473383%
0.2322357990253740% 0.0421349893959098% 0.0173638934935397% 0.0846987915089536%
0.2195689378961350% 0.0415619699066206% 0.0176987567859511% 0.0810718701970753%
0.2070105481645000% 0.0410372328302085% 0.0178573860392449% 0.0774176361697461%
0.1928713407383270% 0.0405545652871908% 0.0178116107937528% 0.0752328911156803%
0.1839688449362490% 0.0401084825912652% 0.0179762044747795% 0.0723381091677907%
0.1753447022287260% 0.0396946840304386% 0.0180112957225740% 0.0710386102172081%
0.1671967826776550% 0.0393103336316837% 0.0180285443026563% 0.0689024495438661%
0.1592818774172750% 0.0389540992480001% 0.0180212675318302% 0.0674372277544863%
0.1504561637449910% 0.0386259509516197% 0.0180631559120919% 0.0662615938118455%
0.1445076807212780% 0.0383267788462269% 0.0181272113878164% 0.0650297507308702%
0.1390820909005580% 0.0380579264444272% 0.0180975245808671% 0.0643874195146246%
0.1338218808471580% 0.0378207424993548% 0.0180015658449103% 0.0627598829820426%
0.1280252125315890% 0.0376162354688655% 0.0179119894993413% 0.0620034418881577%
0.1228446178840330% 0.0374448808474217% 0.0178986918938517% 0.0614346395756789%
0.1183344048510340% 0.0373065934341586% 0.0176582852135362% 0.0608428106052061%
0.1140735669975280% 0.0372008423065113% 0.0176584783148362% 0.0606585669987976%
0.1105439612031330% 0.0371268605210401% 0.0176866583608595% 0.0603918287233205%
0.1063447265358820% 0.0370838870233370% 0.0177543185202250% 0.0604807972740525%
0.1036696622845940% 0.0370713766273144% 0.0178134953578000% 0.0604519322698916%
0.1005931709202070% 0.0370891256638230% 0.0179714841948775% 0.0603102802601944%
0.0985793839609788% 0.0371372840011628% 0.0179765740725147% 0.0604837390302714%
0.0970075610953135% 0.0372162535869123% 0.0180862491981867% 0.0604504648011428%
0.0953878786491452% 0.0373265024387206% 0.0182230990115385% 0.0606102058348313%
0.0948672866614703% 0.0374683444207392% 0.0184245389651772% 0.0608288658815973%
0.0939794033248059% 0.0376417449659297% 0.0183387183707413% 0.0615726885943766%
0.0932667060489218% 0.0378462101241455% 0.0184776037650052% 0.0621542796568407%
0.0928344088968033% 0.0380808022101663% 0.0185408299317802% 0.0630015885802429%
0.0918285407307877% 0.0383443020337568% 0.0185614825127730% 0.0638669338783970%
0.0915642466123798% 0.0386355076374717% 0.0185627288637687% 0.0651368549734613%
0.0915202371592435% 0.0389536262167706% 0.0185447134402967% 0.0662262340245217%
0.0926116729305412% 0.0392986856623229% 0.0185735221470631% 0.0675310113722940%
0.0930383636143944% 0.0396718740695924% 0.0184574124631366% 0.0694241565286231%
0.0949895857279057% 0.0400757191159226% 0.0183055949797302% 0.0713750661479474%
0.0959294020775313% 0.0405140494224498% 0.0182134839388443% 0.0731106382564162%
0.0982588894449735% 0.0409917331904403% 0.0180711822462202% 0.0756207231188439%
0.1004732285955990% 0.0415142531926066% 0.0177688897432395% 0.0791253709690018%
0.1033577468240930% 0.0420872358747774% 0.0176157644457265% 0.0836416730328252%
0.1071229735576120% 0.0427160938528295% 0.0174202756901512% 0.0878838229404532%
0.1110036293243180% 0.0434059618903294% 0.0170927361855197% 0.0928030250835561%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.2378966732270200% 0.0665250709055247% 0.0207925578213067% 0.1652091999239760%
0.2245952002511120% 0.0643417988440631% 0.0213390038631309% 0.1532190194114950%
0.2155727849874710% 0.0623388989431991% 0.0216629566913855% 0.1423337529044240%
0.2043652396958060% 0.0604867344830928% 0.0216713294432819% 0.1337326680770860%
0.1973256351823710% 0.0587521224553509% 0.0216212518558322% 0.1272127561289410%
0.1918441333440750% 0.0571004976404253% 0.0217393643924368% 0.1193215600225130%
0.1855970973740430% 0.0554986396627411% 0.0216255910277597% 0.1130575149109320%
0.1800886561733580% 0.0539175409676187% 0.0215197928502581% 0.1077927232628110%
0.1731728506930970% 0.0523349019832888% 0.0213932810417628% 0.1032071079640800%
0.1682689136891840% 0.0507367566301693% 0.0210204935586595% 0.0988795235583974%
0.1625899906666580% 0.0491178987342687% 0.0207234663674985% 0.0942520580920153%
0.1589658961308840% 0.0474810680423671% 0.0204165920992073% 0.0902095077231284%
0.1539296845011260% 0.0458351641066978% 0.0201664884992225% 0.0861910081879734%
0.1491332246622000% 0.0441929690009043% 0.0195158495410934% 0.0817871372388443%
0.1448834189771330% 0.0425689044282627% 0.0189271425398256% 0.0780198444341138%
0.1407585755437390% 0.0409772341520275% 0.0181154126848573% 0.0744065394994098%
0.1367739996532640% 0.0394309189987246% 0.0172834248374741% 0.0709699424703860%
0.1343176891861810% 0.0379411232422672% 0.0164209301653466% 0.0677200524789994%
0.1314023706854550% 0.0365172178592433% 0.0157486086400646% 0.0650641405232622%
0.1282141798459410% 0.0351670521724592% 0.0148814977626235% 0.0620485485478836%
0.1258310143647790% 0.0338972682120990% 0.0139760103319545% 0.0601912974015399%
0.1235582417937380% 0.0327134943744705% 0.0131071626270413% 0.0585347980300329%
0.1217200850908850% 0.0316203501356760% 0.0122619887488102% 0.0567778480008010%
0.1206309379132110% 0.0306212887726232% 0.0116534093257794% 0.0552713528370494%
0.1188412804911600% 0.0297183688604975% 0.0109435845921459% 0.0544361363367607%
0.1178983635609030% 0.0289120609641254% 0.0103526174060752% 0.0537732703342500%
0.1176405179194990% 0.0282011693887068% 0.0098800003853920% 0.0531887746408917%
0.1173074322017090% 0.0275829032156256% 0.0094685831432819% 0.0523268599096081%
0.1165993768301580% 0.0270530905609657% 0.0089761211343302% 0.0521215274930634%
0.1175862237755570% 0.0266065073574999% 0.0086609887170332% 0.0521764073462718%
0.1177739910648110% 0.0262372847140081% 0.0082855879790990% 0.0520765453540621%
0.1183369245868320% 0.0259393572219816% 0.0078848442464341% 0.0517075752219089%
0.1186942364781580% 0.0257069102322095% 0.0076432630769679% 0.0516438649984877%
0.1188172810161840% 0.0255347761286847% 0.0072891105080585% 0.0516508021604154%
0.1195412065551420% 0.0254187244977203% 0.0070092390239254% 0.0523248018177147%
0.1209549649132490% 0.0253555984333222% 0.0068121035887959% 0.0525162418473779%
0.1225237764523570% 0.0253432752039447% 0.0066098129543028% 0.0533051088018552%
0.1242699487875930% 0.0253804721421706% 0.0063784968945176% 0.0544243994259176%
0.1265681863666590% 0.0254664681527694% 0.0060794576446309% 0.0557754363684165%
0.1299201338034080% 0.0256008553023485% 0.0058724470508002% 0.0572971596849030%
0.1354997111906360% 0.0257834644296047% 0.0055165322383251% 0.0590062418790976%
0.1407905483096190% 0.0260146206304207% 0.0052355321396223% 0.0606802909854992%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1592507749583190% 0.0432112775632282% 0.0159203908689395% 0.0905134429171565%
0.1538951563335470% 0.0431778543339879% 0.0168441727843782% 0.0867887546198548%
0.1504681302274300% 0.0431868952004685% 0.0174908742987301% 0.0846537449645206%
0.1459696098745050% 0.0432330591742745% 0.0184654642096672% 0.0834712784858344%
0.1437649120014070% 0.0433079114546518% 0.0191703631347316% 0.0814462620762880%
0.1417457767973310% 0.0434002297840563% 0.0196295031615665% 0.0799531572547755%
0.1384167998887150% 0.0434967008560047% 0.0201658398765542% 0.0794289503566836%
0.1370678174001760% 0.0435829504810381% 0.0203412693031568% 0.0790822274805272%
0.1365674112136690% 0.0436447766908369% 0.0206010883028815% 0.0780627316685433%
0.1359389928184300% 0.0436693934976152% 0.0211192435736974% 0.0771961896436328%
0.1366171569071850% 0.0436464709412775% 0.0212332571892021% 0.0765409881955175%
0.1357267771485970% 0.0435687923824669% 0.0215129495102476% 0.0766215270787322%
0.1339354750928390% 0.0434324401839538% 0.0216214807248847% 0.0759794429661172%
0.1322467402210290% 0.0432365393594151% 0.0215913433676898% 0.0745310001496495%
0.1304941019120600% 0.0429826950527262% 0.0216868794475421% 0.0740583200649791%
0.1286300304388640% 0.0426743180449573% 0.0216330998629366% 0.0725824355913284%
0.1278793838445320% 0.0423160267023429% 0.0215155713452208% 0.0708597997080578%
0.1253762661487080% 0.0419132511448746% 0.0212562487126530% 0.0698081550172847%
0.1240517053750450% 0.0414720704666201% 0.0210790682180921% 0.0686475436887878%
0.1213558619588120% 0.0409992188872742% 0.0209297704490027% 0.0674340029165189%
0.1185421948683740% 0.0405021333039797% 0.0207588544994807% 0.0663452737491663%
0.1159717198747540% 0.0399889050141496% 0.0204341440660782% 0.0648421483423373%
0.1143082058417530% 0.0394680456264938% 0.0202105739581625% 0.0631483894679555%
0.1121300942276110% 0.0389480605679149% 0.0196736562186848% 0.0621557829026583%
0.1098454129071010% 0.0384369058849177% 0.0194200530131565% 0.0615918696880583%
0.1071339926991510% 0.0379414511348015% 0.0190392342150964% 0.0605764538617321%
0.1046727461081110% 0.0374670701706310% 0.0185548850079317% 0.0596230980739552%
0.1036717068359450% 0.0370174434216134% 0.0180248401822336% 0.0591430946432821%
0.1026217237337480% 0.0365946018786275% 0.0174194486925096% 0.0587253163918262%
0.1019076502140200% 0.0361991926614860% 0.0168589457271004% 0.0582625814807893%
0.1007715128308120% 0.0358309071605281% 0.0161403765094143% 0.0581302407112807%
0.1001282946135500% 0.0354889869997646% 0.0157071857211717% 0.0581715932272113%
0.0998893819882630% 0.0351727112046687% 0.0149972322755579% 0.0584260775170621%
0.0997310263889618% 0.0348817723509249% 0.0146222537312622% 0.0584115798045263%
0.0993245940012644% 0.0346164723419799% 0.0140497216417666% 0.0591093842648671%
0.0996632566284297% 0.0343777081722077% 0.0133186082124155% 0.0596364517266120%
0.1005883946316990% 0.0341667669786525% 0.0126725692445904% 0.0602383281183622%
0.1007823491119780% 0.0339849959524648% 0.0119776516500744% 0.0613766113497592%
0.1011912315895680% 0.0338334446889364% 0.0113078434502647% 0.0624706450615726%
0.1024852519270720% 0.0337125886418529% 0.0106890117192220% 0.0634075234813404%
0.1041950897822160% 0.0336222324608745% 0.0099844410388265% 0.0647533681391647%
0.1068528611415340% 0.0335616663841939% 0.0093460496650690% 0.0662848265075169%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1631695384573460% 0.0467987346608986% 0.0172368312708228% 0.0966184146023061%
0.1559673188271680% 0.0467270948482305% 0.0182906473931521% 0.0931540832697849%
0.1511413371361680% 0.0467051192075356% 0.0191802071823583% 0.0904446623202093%
0.1478608562409150% 0.0467301513931051% 0.0200911586705756% 0.0882304469801755%
0.1426522173705330% 0.0467970191588919% 0.0209537475345441% 0.0866160750360958%
0.1400460263755820% 0.0468978692137917% 0.0218275967461734% 0.0851559533206262%
0.1379568750050460% 0.0470224865111036% 0.0226738978610724% 0.0838757993912398%
0.1365758773657070% 0.0471589940752362% 0.0233193302235897% 0.0827372338704898%
0.1378166677598020% 0.0472947851720182% 0.0239195941571949% 0.0816499632991704%
0.1369842776449240% 0.0474175058446685% 0.0242530072255535% 0.0812082105677279%
0.1385112849346740% 0.0475159015053327% 0.0247127913096833% 0.0806182232310375%
0.1393828271024920% 0.0475803797051174% 0.0250653854196839% 0.0800277556670138%
0.1405458098145160% 0.0476032207020660% 0.0252630674540590% 0.0797275206241256%
0.1389437977240500% 0.0475784681199318% 0.0254559221928169% 0.0795153064833078%
0.1398383828895750% 0.0475016227572370% 0.0255657995875079% 0.0796718878500044%
0.1406415737562600% 0.0473693141948082% 0.0255648640239526% 0.0794322265896877%
0.1398053290752770% 0.0471791206157656% 0.0256114497446727% 0.0779163902278895%
0.1383390809690100% 0.0469296470246313% 0.0256169635422219% 0.0769687860996113%
0.1368772956118330% 0.0466208709029437% 0.0255558521181931% 0.0765385358038825%
0.1351496281601370% 0.0462546504237348% 0.0252182895189513% 0.0755352395048845%
0.1326149383853590% 0.0458352016237034% 0.0249552112049356% 0.0744174476182557%
0.1299898710505550% 0.0453693256260579% 0.0246670860750648% 0.0730129017646060%
0.1247030799130040% 0.0448662256234255% 0.0242734332268113% 0.0716413807826132%
0.1209058104772740% 0.0443368811133587% 0.0238741365369441% 0.0704713500382600%
0.1163530890733860% 0.0437930932957518% 0.0232739197514397% 0.0698664577015544%
0.1138500097263970% 0.0432464184675060% 0.0228394633942244% 0.0691937631889085%
0.1103745836823920% 0.0427072268350813% 0.0221855015796722% 0.0688353621535537%
0.1087506501753640% 0.0421840661070052% 0.0212146942107984% 0.0682523792403868%
0.1066980255411240% 0.0416834090697913% 0.0205334011728699% 0.0680872539474289%
0.1053169361058450% 0.0412097646071482% 0.0199170413215084% 0.0680179317995805%
0.1049667763539470% 0.0407660594335072% 0.0190364795296044% 0.0681069465998733%
0.1042859447032470% 0.0403541608108808% 0.0177840831676238% 0.0683249818292554%
0.1039241111263320% 0.0399754048327991% 0.0169091924628067% 0.0685646915955155%
0.1030767634207220% 0.0396310139624859% 0.0159652705645629% 0.0686251982721598%
0.1029099074453980% 0.0393223255169664% 0.0151224994792659% 0.0688492242031161%
0.1031408601845960% 0.0390508031521326% 0.0143422949177277% 0.0696675781652844%
0.1034387861362900% 0.0388178573342433% 0.0136108485643614% 0.0704743492564477%
0.1054249121802350% 0.0386245482734660% 0.0128248281301550% 0.0713838219769633%
0.1061453279269390% 0.0384712778121591% 0.0120266576009831% 0.0728439421922765%
0.1071313872945170% 0.0383575919255742% 0.0113291451622218% 0.0740339457872837%
0.1080893679140710% 0.0382822142357263% 0.0106700605149633% 0.0758216021018957%
0.1105155363890940% 0.0382434177940560% 0.0100855218517600% 0.0780037315390653%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1282907391563640% 0.0426007063304764% 0.0269140425328003% 0.0629773691254064%
0.1263264200927380% 0.0424646718236067% 0.0273289208205132% 0.0616158380576421%
0.1250969490172180% 0.0423832269080391% 0.0275076393109278% 0.0606850007045986%
0.1238105254539020% 0.0423549557123131% 0.0278050486702834% 0.0600362394649633%
0.1232893109725860% 0.0423774338108585% 0.0280769798878613% 0.0593219196591409%
0.1230025340700030% 0.0424470663331340% 0.0283791076082569% 0.0589066229694392%
0.1222173557679450% 0.0425592943489023% 0.0287350681070646% 0.0590132962509907%
0.1221230575471750% 0.0427090631601743% 0.0291886563481793% 0.0589789288530572%
0.1222610904338610% 0.0428914198868964% 0.0294320467046943% 0.0592475877088840%
0.1224286752040510% 0.0431020916105317% 0.0298043217932378% 0.0594532039136805%
0.1223885781871490% 0.0433379018598614% 0.0300658491324453% 0.0594007851996998%
0.1227636130517370% 0.0435969209023096% 0.0304647511422074% 0.0594898419148598%
0.1240931483653870% 0.0438783112563556% 0.0309105680903562% 0.0596685032523958%
0.1248324190583690% 0.0441819075352467% 0.0312043781144582% 0.0597842512371107%
0.1248247165483580% 0.0445076359956236% 0.0315047894904483% 0.0600380613054927%
0.1255663496490450% 0.0448549155851259% 0.0320163775064583% 0.0602656844555355%
0.1276152753612620% 0.0452221821210880% 0.0324855218674071% 0.0605771398386472%
0.1287450034473090% 0.0456066441691155% 0.0328325434922840% 0.0613376841184217%
0.1300937497795630% 0.0460043221289687% 0.0331751639948798% 0.0616969710582005%
0.1313657136007480% 0.0464103521522814% 0.0334930362846591% 0.0622826315038716%
0.1339939649444340% 0.0468194681418404% 0.0338253049119743% 0.0626052716276590%
0.1352995694537340% 0.0472265264621670% 0.0341106524217757% 0.0633554132649533%
0.1364938202904550% 0.0476269270945073% 0.0343372724257387% 0.0639046798211094%
0.1387711333103130% 0.0480168204642169% 0.0345898838988616% 0.0645355784449236%
0.1409182007278290% 0.0483930630429614% 0.0348274309998836% 0.0648873828348323%
0.1428749483445630% 0.0487529736420657% 0.0350509423593905% 0.0656787800649368%
0.1436665151429080% 0.0490940170943253% 0.0352519729220882% 0.0663869320394739%
0.1457711893230230% 0.0494135796024706% 0.0354807961597581% 0.0667704261382966%
0.1459216460150520% 0.0497089888648358% 0.0355395794640296% 0.0674141671085688%
0.1452221236050710% 0.0499778720375037% 0.0356091323886787% 0.0677669575590971%
0.1470444518747090% 0.0502188455370042% 0.0357118928327046% 0.0684117600468816%
0.1479114450893020% 0.0504324139474599% 0.0356244256520885% 0.0690250748333466%
0.1473774333925670% 0.0506218555551378% 0.0355398113976267% 0.0693953562065418%
0.1470894625415240% 0.0507938312408143% 0.0353623781781758% 0.0698292366841887%
0.1482226293317660% 0.0509585010530604% 0.0352877950206997% 0.0704148253821079%
0.1484443253926850% 0.0511290617048005% 0.0351850730324703% 0.0713296801756464%
0.1489696946165060% 0.0513207794669890% 0.0349549174376362% 0.0721911280495001%
0.1509798369377870% 0.0515497212668665% 0.0347644103765296% 0.0732758540843261%
0.1540361218306550% 0.0518314404309661% 0.0345792921297496% 0.0746934945376122%
0.1552987330134240% 0.0521798542869863% 0.0343280393060498% 0.0765115005934235%
0.1564030231157830% 0.0526064917628645% 0.0341869050969603% 0.0782991347449638%
0.1603363876416190% 0.0531202275501001% 0.0338511039789393% 0.0802374906333223%
on South East
95% credible interval Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
Upper positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.2668554295299750% 0.0607707475666564% 0.0389451981902348% 0.0948282887125080%
0.2401106809192670% 0.0593610196175770% 0.0390098779493553% 0.0894518052604709%
0.2233524094050240% 0.0581200388530797% 0.0387713060902712% 0.0851502570918745%
0.2100884101468540% 0.0570294121757808% 0.0386483629343815% 0.0819981129280695%
0.1977557135001460% 0.0560723783082962% 0.0385252337082266% 0.0792485997284297%
0.1893419033414370% 0.0552332960919148% 0.0381617275288244% 0.0774166573478798%
0.1831954152734280% 0.0544978638944339% 0.0378688839735989% 0.0755688375504464%
0.1776076945179990% 0.0538536257419530% 0.0376802709458861% 0.0743815123962331%
0.1723412091246030% 0.0532904604949328% 0.0374971380788606% 0.0729701071668663%
0.1682734999618990% 0.0528008615015755% 0.0373294954607347% 0.0718067711557780%
0.1657324404212510% 0.0523799134746073% 0.0371597917777193% 0.0709686806143575%
0.1633447443413380% 0.0520249636858737% 0.0370527463017289% 0.0702663242611687%
0.1600125002711260% 0.0517350579352509% 0.0368365822397426% 0.0695887429358844%
0.1586345311835330% 0.0515102572437021% 0.0368914323754848% 0.0690598602350599%
0.1582156288641340% 0.0513509634136922% 0.0369527626701297% 0.0684959358312148%
0.1576754894144340% 0.0512573641799704% 0.0369837118658939% 0.0683414332527983%
0.1577119434815420% 0.0512290720621977% 0.0369946749574785% 0.0681429507121038%
0.1570851656220450% 0.0512649869374694% 0.0369493063824552% 0.0679896080286907%
0.1572800601151620% 0.0513633695781581% 0.0368867467058423% 0.0680043163658609%
0.1578064157197030% 0.0515220771182190% 0.0369415330307919% 0.0679792158733410%
0.1584462620364020% 0.0517388850370268% 0.0371612288337273% 0.0682923951914920%
0.1599556468824930% 0.0520118074331082% 0.0374963453882732% 0.0686762764044603%
0.1609276809467960% 0.0523393319865264% 0.0378245127470155% 0.0691255211989172%
0.1625500935610030% 0.0527205099769830% 0.0381128452437058% 0.0698862644253879%
0.1641640197553600% 0.0531548822105513% 0.0384567367455342% 0.0705969678142348%
0.1672226886895120% 0.0536422703150529% 0.0388553960380470% 0.0713030597828041%
0.1707266601574270% 0.0541825077527367% 0.0392240028609151% 0.0722506772053270%
0.1743430769134230% 0.0547752146492303% 0.0395594277883734% 0.0732544845447484%
0.1776315822831640% 0.0554197272787066% 0.0399920863171455% 0.0744108516648693%
0.1833316891138540% 0.0561152734355615% 0.0403319808286192% 0.0753855810590528%
0.1896288088805570% 0.0568614398101642% 0.0408365084728716% 0.0765760722275628%
0.1972789280169220% 0.0576589122027859% 0.0412524278745968% 0.0779159971154557%
0.2047341662507990% 0.0585103953997109% 0.0416382671261757% 0.0795390246778329%
0.2128283093408200% 0.0594215552777615% 0.0420510978439019% 0.0818468573786429%
0.2243868926900830% 0.0604017934327382% 0.0424631378174637% 0.0839583071919413%
0.2370641072290270% 0.0614646816834456% 0.0428496352746997% 0.0860309536324828%
0.2523511622179160% 0.0626279529195172% 0.0430658880418826% 0.0894017803174554%
0.2729143738849550% 0.0639130512738071% 0.0433612078221551% 0.0931874102269007%
0.2965384805236710% 0.0653443652622642% 0.0433378480106777% 0.0973922328920086%
0.3222412370040690% 0.0669483867431039% 0.0434120807329455% 0.1026586309385600%
0.3575715036405320% 0.0687531616225708% 0.0437167051395452% 0.1104630092421700%
0.3988846734174630% 0.0707885550529952% 0.0438613138558222% 0.1188455128511450%
South West
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.9349423104714350 0.7423371467323210 1.1589157281885400
0.9381674852534100 0.7441435269078210 1.1641773960926900
0.9460306832027280 0.7479441891649160 1.1686495893562400
0.9589063771786240 0.7605721886055380 1.1798664159473700
0.9771465818321760 0.7774112459689760 1.1941574986251400
1.0010463622973300 0.7999823150464650 1.2247679716948100
1.0307949651799000 0.8317674854900380 1.2521798162895800
1.0664174346709800 0.8668308945428730 1.2853694864972800
1.1077131715217800 0.9014826509528540 1.3333754136396700
1.1541989867784200 0.9422918719351400 1.3915668914266700
1.2050647288884000 0.9854976749078010 1.4499688415391300
1.2591492485499200 1.0288219424059400 1.5120387357257300
1.3149431095389500 1.0799390981977100 1.5771682771181700
1.3706222451024700 1.1259925256276900 1.6393364436881700
1.4241143168136100 1.1721992674254200 1.7046325667483100
1.4731974935418000 1.2189065669739900 1.7523355721881100
1.5156297365967800 1.2545184257668500 1.7942044449823500
1.5493044791609800 1.2877764363764200 1.8316883176755800
1.5724243503268400 1.3055932895857000 1.8580257859261800
1.5836776317883700 1.3151945472778200 1.8702933378765100
1.5823938977255700 1.3094093558874400 1.8737861442716000
1.5686496202505400 1.2881664979659900 1.8629788143455700
1.5432961260168600 1.2668810137739000 1.8409581266014200
1.5078938627575200 1.2361661802339000 1.7995763660333900
1.4645567055823500 1.2025517418296200 1.7493273335751900
1.4157316245463300 1.1696491175811000 1.6884549347569500
1.3639542651402400 1.1257429653466200 1.6275527736762700
1.3116240901735900 1.0813990003732800 1.5604182783130700
1.2608332544439400 1.0341549303708900 1.5055049171251200
1.2132660182550300 0.9947554821929880 1.4574725996293800
1.1701671624820500 0.9555408328732820 1.4033955880834200
1.1323642334950300 0.9212072782747230 1.3620940420802300
1.1003220387841900 0.8973527109077740 1.3241029602731400
1.0742081165287700 0.8764519512437160 1.2922796565882500
1.0539527595004700 0.8613944265873960 1.2686498179724400
1.0392942542495800 0.8492265234063040 1.2530328704102900
1.0298076020260800 0.8354524788055450 1.2466622333874300
1.0249221433351200 0.8223417858790630 1.2589869961867400
1.0239396215886000 0.7976925628501720 1.2857307922336500
1.0260686463258800 0.7635145483619920 1.3242619124564000
1.0304933075997900 0.7302148042946270 1.3800877952554600
1.0364918562478700 0.6971404186640530 1.4542988996945400
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
1.0095649583980600 0.7913802708863470 1.2662732001707800
1.0144241953643200 0.7990640542359120 1.2689890826579600
1.0132037146564100 0.7910763630085410 1.2726798956687100
1.0066463583331700 0.7861281629221940 1.2581388299187500
0.9961075513167530 0.7815590274023550 1.2392216735596400
0.9833730645570850 0.7756523517992850 1.2104477159935700
0.9704384227652760 0.7683028751736910 1.1912571528762400
0.9593022915341810 0.7605408909447990 1.1750773351500000
0.9518097587684690 0.7607445444582020 1.1620181926530000
0.9495577455401620 0.7571268827243850 1.1647049140597100
0.9538539459924810 0.7576841027295540 1.1691387614059400
0.9657083249649400 0.7649285119110100 1.1830194718508100
0.9858328635096550 0.7827621124759520 1.2083072932724500
1.0146286365937600 0.8088258707591980 1.2388504944710600
1.0521468209685800 0.8456676873115190 1.2793670251333200
1.0980203227008200 0.8916186705196560 1.3250409629543400
1.1513748285841100 0.9388647129450340 1.3829156284728600
1.2107415304427900 0.9940136568345330 1.4479182925314700
1.2740062557366700 1.0559179948605000 1.5289279450602300
1.3384365133890800 1.1158485237226400 1.6021765334432800
1.4008226711141400 1.1662510459915000 1.6715632607247100
1.4577473948149000 1.2129039867649600 1.7386997470647700
1.5059602454982100 1.2486161794159300 1.7971563474282100
1.5427930128477800 1.2762916575627100 1.8380643588854800
1.5665239456198700 1.3002121179409000 1.8651451562597700
1.5766014556313300 1.3064854377390100 1.8703351353742100
1.5736734719746800 1.3031315420150900 1.8612772896192200
1.5594240513747500 1.2921432543769200 1.8391102290979500
1.5362706780456900 1.2683653915466500 1.8187494497629900
1.5070036298779800 1.2402937910563700 1.7871448869404200
1.4744461092953700 1.2074001126157600 1.7587788311134500
1.4411883274178600 1.1735493903811000 1.7232827019350000
1.4094154845260000 1.1514804062291600 1.6913283884967800
1.3808220555497000 1.1312881565232600 1.6561023805386200
1.3565897080098200 1.1195575764165400 1.6161045991633500
1.3374036323607300 1.1044948052462100 1.6001223990941100
1.3234883723187400 1.0956621977556500 1.5904299480315200
1.3146549238351500 1.0746280500235900 1.5937035712392000
1.3103621862005200 1.0400268364298700 1.6296807724177100
1.3098049664272200 1.0051626502352800 1.6756809324243800
1.3120453796729800 0.9591084688654950 1.7495277362684600
1.3162030426457700 0.9116633142601340 1.8286726677869900
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.9200823421107780 0.7139245040783150 1.1513533753562700
0.9329995091942220 0.7250093324792400 1.1655147537153800
0.9468998397242330 0.7331832215154360 1.1792932566252400
0.9613244389924390 0.7459113474200430 1.1975893858516700
0.9757330741375000 0.7626952269878760 1.2094983997013800
0.9895208761779110 0.7791772343284400 1.2294889793938900
1.0020442148737200 0.7939012692314810 1.2439083851336900
1.0126622230672900 0.8099199854106950 1.2622046379222100
1.0207974388933200 0.8141928908522760 1.2776995774655600
1.0260127119270700 0.8138232823181390 1.2877323849531800
1.0280936578950900 0.8144241348492600 1.2835982379138900
1.0271196582463000 0.8124825248249290 1.2798798153218200
1.0235049787487500 0.8082555145350460 1.2733874857375900
1.0179967478750400 0.8061356007349550 1.2627791612443100
1.0116270970487600 0.8050495162652250 1.2537478369713500
1.0056287701829400 0.8015864822322180 1.2399303009955700
1.0013321357207900 0.7986987489584040 1.2249390041395400
1.0000635947993500 0.7993680275111270 1.2161741349688700
1.0030608081160200 0.7992751585156600 1.2160386834593600
1.0114116003999500 0.8091069263089450 1.2306718555481200
1.0260144331991500 0.8235712425100120 1.2484749760958600
1.0475517532472000 0.8377547792359580 1.2747537312829200
1.0764645687030100 0.8611854927846720 1.3056857448607800
1.1129172924408300 0.8971815158700540 1.3452767450553600
1.1567457749694900 0.9341442186594140 1.3946543826902100
1.2073881776248300 0.9859625210261720 1.4431450062056600
1.2638076114817200 1.0415151557767900 1.5075932702788200
1.3244264058701300 1.1005389781264200 1.5691318411607800
1.3871020873122300 1.1541744340773700 1.6354515747157500
1.4491802271747400 1.2101175877307300 1.7078883007522400
1.5076535784565400 1.2524796965170000 1.7831659548274900
1.5594361741986900 1.2959881471310000 1.8501403208968700
1.6017266898043300 1.3295086464844900 1.8998448091675000
1.6323972494930700 1.3540792897056800 1.9374586055401400
1.6503185271315600 1.3734806441829900 1.9532920595392900
1.6555348315117700 1.3804674296316100 1.9549398776019600
1.6492379332147400 1.3745490188359800 1.9448846952088100
1.6335434050094000 1.3341274711641100 1.9507137540084100
1.6111248727413000 1.2837304334697300 1.9656395912291000
1.5847883798058800 1.2230006956271700 1.9943064802355500
1.5570631642266600 1.1461292045339100 2.0228222427731400
1.5298547045435400 1.0702472435074800 2.0696470030824600
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.8527255146258210 0.6624204713948880 1.0743148281517600
0.8538331268731140 0.6610815103023430 1.0843497173034900
0.8581817873942810 0.6661762620319990 1.0894164165470800
0.8656877114368470 0.6757010068180000 1.0990150571070300
0.8761836855931550 0.6880243901866880 1.1046009203138700
0.8893984122976890 0.7025785464583420 1.1132660338353800
0.9049328448808490 0.7117650607597350 1.1252646696913700
0.9222429224604180 0.7228821368546800 1.1415355274511400
0.9406387865023650 0.7424429404040260 1.1668154673911800
0.9593085106660580 0.7534235185997090 1.1903569283235900
0.9773694688340070 0.7634654933973000 1.2176418557521000
0.9939434156608160 0.7711562388993460 1.2388761045087800
1.0082439970141300 0.7805008214242170 1.2576621951974400
1.0196603846203500 0.7916781873696240 1.2687604074929600
1.0278203996604400 0.8066294017308470 1.2705923394922200
1.0326215619313100 0.8181691547112450 1.2740465577939800
1.0342273119863700 0.8228663198231820 1.2798489766599800
1.0330347820028400 0.8226944559330890 1.2753931092046500
1.0296264540586100 0.8155866469261820 1.2711070119946300
1.0247190160572900 0.8104350385429990 1.2659839787103100
1.0191192234291000 0.8056593891389610 1.2648239145692700
1.0136908506376600 0.8006215123117990 1.2539983687912900
1.0093315238530400 0.7965740051123670 1.2535833433733900
1.0069552096525200 0.7969102771018350 1.2471447348316100
1.0074758813752900 0.8020469001031710 1.2459986013236700
1.0117896935426000 0.8129449603499730 1.2485483535654100
1.0207555880335400 0.8228865304005900 1.2501865890368000
1.0351764535397600 0.8359171508170310 1.2654400913822700
1.0557841032262400 0.8577675596305630 1.2873216203417700
1.0832313290808600 0.8746367334284690 1.3221934582862900
1.1180933555706600 0.8997626168289790 1.3638677161412000
1.1608793886444900 0.9361473810561670 1.4113088233178400
1.2120527806026000 0.9814553410109990 1.4626050190873000
1.2720557921546300 1.0340444249563400 1.5292414850145100
1.3413325247889600 1.0997027816040000 1.5979539909776900
1.4203422730389800 1.1766090562964700 1.6837239309056000
1.5095565702063600 1.2560995108591700 1.7801676462224500
1.6094377034434000 1.3365165165598500 1.9127083965790200
1.7204049089950700 1.4048641054790000 2.0657687480523700
1.8428061854723900 1.4538702003067800 2.2610364601978600
1.9769268288050900 1.5107747067227000 2.5091442420225500
2.1230777159350100 1.5478728827487100 2.7900724910782800
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.7871848600793550 0.6168282430748440 0.9858385500563140
0.8132465906968090 0.6374679210082620 1.0159021494571200
0.8363233948935840 0.6586457669077200 1.0504253317574000
0.8560414233709770 0.6732224787598430 1.0775468027032200
0.8723255430796470 0.6870968911347670 1.0930930561273600
0.8853867919128450 0.6986084402162060 1.1032561549604300
0.8956692655754380 0.7102682678136210 1.1142502544022700
0.9037738586903770 0.7156682954131500 1.1182903066083800
0.9103783752796010 0.7199092398077900 1.1290036653277300
0.9161692093157770 0.7226971484286900 1.1370690293157900
0.9217920048307990 0.7233650778602490 1.1522151846470700
0.9278209027464220 0.7226329280620600 1.1592798426361900
0.9347406785166380 0.7273299263112120 1.1700075380553500
0.9429342605479530 0.7361296198990110 1.1788300854718700
0.9526694680180490 0.7444875619870350 1.1857773074478600
0.9640822172794970 0.7535782603883500 1.1946121542770600
0.9771575734367690 0.7680813317056510 1.2019848150568700
0.9917136320068400 0.7767491284868420 1.2193651002363200
1.0073953289267600 0.7908579321599640 1.2437343997549800
1.0236852113584500 0.8018306568795140 1.2681008252415500
1.0399356304648700 0.8162606405898100 1.2931304284074200
1.0554219840283000 0.8299412142520650 1.3165808626570000
1.0694106269992100 0.8433775070444930 1.3363169938777600
1.0812298283585900 0.8598922647032190 1.3458801609772300
1.0903299351456300 0.8713218239900160 1.3523986615470600
1.0963211846007700 0.8751715986270790 1.3505105391465500
1.0989840562990100 0.8765587232972520 1.3475554192500400
1.0982553602952100 0.8748769536248610 1.3450947152539800
1.0942000741118700 0.8693776340350590 1.3406823347591300
1.0869815303787400 0.8635275548857810 1.3351853388954000
1.0768400814979800 0.8543794274214830 1.3273688054860000
1.0640841745464400 0.8446910121243880 1.3132076337176300
1.0490906408663200 0.8344956773898620 1.2938617872631400
1.0323059015814800 0.8212514586951080 1.2768790949411500
1.0142386761036400 0.8040509645298620 1.2527237540646400
0.9954379252870130 0.7863406457395150 1.2392216064527400
0.9764557297981330 0.7629108689546340 1.2217321398215500
0.9578011384483970 0.7327356750109280 1.2068053363067700
0.9398953251591480 0.6930867008179320 1.2137784663659800
0.9230393029674700 0.6505774782038020 1.2305369672374100
0.9074030041100120 0.6046136955817670 1.2642197445338600
0.8930399298137690 0.5595251011098400 1.3093237762851500
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.6366478937893840 0.4755563351178130 0.8208717893964540
0.6614399160615070 0.4953285372638470 0.8463234697176720
0.6870580668135360 0.5173440444671550 0.8802420747984820
0.7132035273845730 0.5401936708892840 0.9093204225762340
0.7395439437112200 0.5636301212226270 0.9342983430966920
0.7657132652985830 0.5898445249175800 0.9640151193933580
0.7913093881372550 0.6140627985263920 0.9879381171714120
0.8158966621058430 0.6346107363650460 1.0155474105394600
0.8390207100333140 0.6493198209825170 1.0423255175440000
0.8602400763541060 0.6696801785710850 1.0655014867169800
0.8791735248057910 0.6829193393817390 1.0964596308998500
0.8955551570234860 0.6919272683117470 1.1201433766797500
0.9092845241953080 0.7031830257556820 1.1333268501888400
0.9204578975575370 0.7149649038730800 1.1430527456599100
0.9293707535346450 0.7225400934054590 1.1571299138940800
0.9364891158013230 0.7275102272291730 1.1620247116691800
0.9423957992881750 0.7320309733150440 1.1719644325767400
0.9477236424163880 0.7358082494710880 1.1770512910415500
0.9530895323475000 0.7388923216474720 1.1852974980370800
0.9590404103763870 0.7419626508036730 1.1954224663548000
0.9660170747682490 0.7479530500336520 1.2102472380530000
0.9743356682766950 0.7510825391529850 1.2210042254794800
0.9841821211877570 0.7583770604798810 1.2291287888882000
0.9956126188082390 0.7693842197950990 1.2435623018750000
1.0085536778828100 0.7835042409960270 1.2503361334428800
1.0227983051060000 0.7998021550465780 1.2653367322726700
1.0379991205300700 0.8130519477954120 1.2833698507886000
1.0536640059330300 0.8316846430100850 1.3051772244301200
1.0691632715769000 0.8523374010272880 1.3257178747688200
1.0837580108499800 0.8607901807541660 1.3488513126281900
1.0966561415380800 0.8672962331655300 1.3679318544766200
1.1070955355260500 0.8756402483926110 1.3807446447751900
1.1144441007110300 0.8842206057055320 1.3906984279870300
1.1182978269550500 0.8869034538607260 1.3985994730682100
1.1185535338147500 0.8873377949098700 1.3952898373061300
1.1154362020089000 0.8841770576106480 1.3863013134690000
1.1094712538523100 0.8703223236632580 1.3841539520728500
1.1014064187837900 0.8473186566705270 1.3945191141194300
1.0921003543610300 0.8160147354001980 1.4018368360625500
1.0824012959238800 0.7772649697425210 1.4314514062838800
1.0730371134777100 0.7319545646937710 1.4744503894042300
1.0645302272940000 0.6919663932859490 1.5259950502723200
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.3570436064693750 0.2475956449941370 0.4901425334576790
0.3784686067064950 0.2646845200298310 0.5139465992410070
0.4029352200025790 0.2875561255425490 0.5443366619806140
0.4305716532532450 0.3116702823826410 0.5809422828276360
0.4613912402226580 0.3378815617980570 0.6165298861638520
0.4952540336766940 0.3644283790527700 0.6549838775900920
0.5318267241507630 0.3933822080690100 0.6953629605600290
0.5705507693727710 0.4285894790664630 0.7383634429003260
0.6106320464573060 0.4628240218236970 0.7814193978176920
0.6510654910533890 0.4946096076733880 0.8279695454120030
0.6907031854629620 0.5270720027866280 0.8747403638251690
0.7283639250448540 0.5604811324238090 0.9167040877562550
0.7629689230377980 0.5875165825938030 0.9635602741178300
0.7936770840139300 0.6148465981480550 0.9958597544602760
0.8199896816227890 0.6396775410234390 1.0273327191087500
0.8418010146333530 0.6616359496790570 1.0539054604482100
0.8593865230815680 0.6769042448778750 1.0710132645758100
0.8733367612910950 0.6889052836584720 1.0837462269611800
0.8844577740374840 0.6972337231263770 1.0990384241251400
0.8936619701769160 0.7009181096691590 1.1103057498499400
0.9018690338996520 0.7015834116965330 1.1275929977592000
0.9099273975110760 0.7049475738576190 1.1419337262430900
0.9185576724779200 0.7130115816319500 1.1546159223261900
0.9283132977973680 0.7217567308856630 1.1585578136375200
0.9395516793471360 0.7361634495618270 1.1780833220831400
0.9524108405948390 0.7481309335553230 1.1895683606796600
0.9667907991955720 0.7642299905690270 1.2058404976055600
0.9823439252573200 0.7820901603369610 1.2222862959133900
0.9984827296577060 0.7907955830405200 1.2388664214341100
1.0144151430952400 0.8028402144914880 1.2518182045570800
1.0292148396898600 0.8155096565542210 1.2717046666281700
1.0419268336558900 0.8224680902514380 1.2948892089667800
1.0516975082269000 0.8315045892466350 1.3040104348913000
1.0579068219805700 0.8392396402645910 1.3092131750663700
1.0602736759312700 0.8417175173521790 1.3128025837774600
1.0589076210528900 0.8423684675283940 1.3095715259297900
1.0542920630828300 0.8377571463796170 1.3023215414184400
1.0472019469554100 0.8154148429219720 1.3142428222396500
1.0385755049595000 0.7858697871397240 1.3372318187551200
1.0293685663606400 0.7414489611812390 1.3573909600245300
1.0204186546667700 0.6964844423787970 1.4018371318463000
1.0123369094975700 0.6529634501953040 1.4560125548673100
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.2297450392266800 0.1444871004313250 0.3314245575213110
0.2429021962401610 0.1559678461832400 0.3460216619962620
0.2580020607050840 0.1687084221842590 0.3634700992953750
0.2752515444563090 0.1835712139714790 0.3842553375437850
0.2948513847341790 0.1989312783565850 0.4071668668860920
0.3169802486712500 0.2171643989034050 0.4356677702160550
0.3417715807810190 0.2382722915058340 0.4662790317387230
0.3692855667988200 0.2611534144710830 0.4997404699564150
0.3994806987401790 0.2853519043527070 0.5374382030418480
0.4321909765436830 0.3121993449560210 0.5805139040075600
0.4671150513122300 0.3387730695468510 0.6251767029306950
0.5038219976055310 0.3675537240615010 0.6682264163950940
0.5417748474699970 0.3984604492721450 0.7134360033536030
0.5803683926870980 0.4300925111606770 0.7550873778594850
0.6189737466058840 0.4643861877784340 0.7970693193701860
0.6569805379641830 0.4983025256058410 0.8416850994388150
0.6938292681894980 0.5307005974803530 0.8808501323898790
0.7290306463649160 0.5631038310853060 0.9185533196907920
0.7621736636772410 0.5907678782098580 0.9547517165866670
0.7929275167022510 0.6172884193590090 0.9925717484337230
0.8210428179333610 0.6413631105341900 1.0265340749486400
0.8463549329566650 0.6633708954776570 1.0583246638509700
0.8687882477375360 0.6811526651593610 1.0830877009512700
0.8883568451722170 0.6946453750699650 1.1051792147460100
0.9051562568047220 0.7084425455358570 1.1251918952167900
0.9193432701424410 0.7223966358004600 1.1450462626464800
0.9311053574222430 0.7322717701623600 1.1583180794687500
0.9406262112292120 0.7422749275789090 1.1698327358564100
0.9480569823402360 0.7448228218356480 1.1774069275162400
0.9535026599880820 0.7484711480749930 1.1867229239235300
0.9570293621500770 0.7488900187718270 1.1968209728746600
0.9586920959606620 0.7471922336061550 1.1993128972209000
0.9585757110266300 0.7439227238760010 1.1999100190402800
0.9568366094411340 0.7405509009509540 1.2005611052574100
0.9537313037128490 0.7394362425254230 1.1976409614173100
0.9496210312625650 0.7322541162958540 1.1910891193698200
0.9449485730494000 0.7210557202571940 1.1947122015374300
0.9401918704794280 0.7003667970969890 1.2063036942670300
0.9358060829786830 0.6726322397928970 1.2300778182938300
0.9321691839843620 0.6429224305276580 1.2729865794403600
0.9295454400338250 0.6062391223529720 1.3237373175170500
0.9280771150603550 0.5691915803157440 1.3926360747237700
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.1568170098778520 0.0871327714231526 0.2468742744904770
0.1641074256325060 0.0944747819851973 0.2539382401060560
0.1723252004674170 0.1020270351408610 0.2637994259102870
0.1815826353171000 0.1109393726776000 0.2729268502868170
0.1920091188100820 0.1197774826020920 0.2844088592446120
0.2037464271193550 0.1303316586222570 0.2965638143288230
0.2169402203005780 0.1417704518336390 0.3119352989368170
0.2317292841149860 0.1527611198995990 0.3306602863038170
0.2482347570705080 0.1657640220194290 0.3529385072370330
0.2665517692908530 0.1781954864440430 0.3764965289715550
0.2867454842112050 0.1922939167829020 0.4010686219660570
0.3088524298353920 0.2079160528331630 0.4315042736539870
0.3328863613795930 0.2248806684194210 0.4618398511360810
0.3588461158090900 0.2454385256499900 0.4959217415719990
0.3867216478724500 0.2694805733583160 0.5285088553226120
0.4164943323159350 0.2918689309658120 0.5652060391413940
0.4481290034353190 0.3192675642811350 0.6001668171282670
0.4815578352887470 0.3477076484187270 0.6381750739751690
0.5166592386257290 0.3776657025511260 0.6812498310560900
0.5532373603004220 0.4090728413955790 0.7281449313869230
0.5910085027361470 0.4420505589280290 0.7729139089969020
0.6295992963921010 0.4734593385218670 0.8182523304576380
0.6685579970737800 0.5052771434138500 0.8673126995271430
0.7073759655055500 0.5378229750010330 0.9102160533723320
0.7455129718309600 0.5697762766320680 0.9519833865541160
0.7824191549071350 0.6025898585204080 0.9916371785355450
0.8175490195406810 0.6346506581201170 1.0249604572602700
0.8503679957586750 0.6644040866007940 1.0622319043252200
0.8803576103156300 0.6913523894250290 1.0996143429361600
0.9070284860279050 0.7120488153116570 1.1316226272319700
0.9299491448632830 0.7298251465436110 1.1631174020403700
0.9487926536298630 0.7405550431721770 1.1906717461679600
0.9633943870413520 0.7536006084310040 1.2108396734200300
0.9738061444683850 0.7630090693967560 1.2233202877950200
0.9803283952043000 0.7662198797096910 1.2304785354563100
0.9835058249658250 0.7672379591512950 1.2328948761049100
0.9840809120335750 0.7608814113673840 1.2394414010871500
0.9829123419922320 0.7439598165783530 1.2559968766955100
0.9808748610795760 0.7188685738524040 1.2871386515938500
0.9787611254205690 0.6845072133611240 1.3290415542274900
0.9772035406184600 0.6478218112950120 1.3860818139970800
0.9766270451780770 0.6089106822840710 1.4471047859667000
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.0755808834761925 0.0320807382816293 0.1413143027602670
0.0810927564603860 0.0366404848707426 0.1480745872168740
0.0873767910662169 0.0411660160891680 0.1548889325249870
0.0945098300383030 0.0465857124418751 0.1625232131254950
0.1025661727445710 0.0527676100240800 0.1719328442635700
0.1116117798993080 0.0592684836570217 0.1841402640735800
0.1216962639897870 0.0670658901404646 0.1964731924977880
0.1328441423866890 0.0748473103351276 0.2112089772892740
0.1450478392469990 0.0845232707557125 0.2259928463017900
0.1582654724674320 0.0944961790173705 0.2429954331365120
0.1724261210360400 0.1046409191640660 0.2615624423586870
0.1874437845753100 0.1159433528385170 0.2817509002437960
0.2032388152134770 0.1274993008721890 0.3032570343834450
0.2197629808545800 0.1396239277352810 0.3244830289727580
0.2370225981069300 0.1532513722504010 0.3433167806729040
0.2550942134573560 0.1669563618108600 0.3672109063096760
0.2741292010751580 0.1820276653175090 0.3884801501183440
0.2943465934269020 0.1967549785448320 0.4110321665535100
0.3160162328143480 0.2134308063995160 0.4396584262296030
0.3394359094855080 0.2302447974287700 0.4699462601879870
0.3649061555201360 0.2502768574098250 0.5020406318566260
0.3927050528313920 0.2724754172832680 0.5346739338840640
0.4230634261428630 0.2964390734497720 0.5733494607393200
0.4561388948897370 0.3230475107569970 0.6115104536264750
0.4919862327604220 0.3531039581803820 0.6523836578013100
0.5305220609049740 0.3875292545051000 0.6947287240098330
0.5714845981717840 0.4233114329327300 0.7407086724574790
0.6143939842304300 0.4612486873291160 0.7919006511376700
0.6585245975183440 0.4997419482791230 0.8430188435213000
0.7029056038397640 0.5367848070907420 0.8960605391395100
0.7463665172514420 0.5719513045538220 0.9458368838596900
0.7876378517733330 0.6054787101426780 0.9991455413951450
0.8255022628944290 0.6356730647031750 1.0413976475167900
0.8589724175279080 0.6661662512372330 1.0759178437931500
0.8874559267106450 0.6895961708713340 1.1069656916829100
0.9108637317844390 0.7105272709862270 1.1303711665678100
0.9296306099430660 0.7230845686340550 1.1558821886595500
0.9446410083530060 0.7252132040934450 1.1908638730025800
0.9570794742531970 0.7068348702828530 1.2395282462404500
0.9682411404422760 0.6811678138818510 1.2991443893729700
0.9793385096092280 0.6517592071211400 1.3747023840204200
0.9913286613357320 0.6190312208473770 1.4640395881682800
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.0947769108135422 0.0468501650800145 0.1609250029730050
0.0922924418016416 0.0466391706187565 0.1548711998906760
0.0907840573408487 0.0465527472765641 0.1515043450818810
0.0902334272109907 0.0472628889927489 0.1499792778523290
0.0906285462653305 0.0479441130871848 0.1500464159277270
0.0919616118465553 0.0490334951250237 0.1519718424723040
0.0942254542132587 0.0505684244533571 0.1546906824835210
0.0974093619985376 0.0525526378690975 0.1581308153147740
0.1014953228651050 0.0550143086756886 0.1649026711391460
0.1064558094640330 0.0576943158047046 0.1729057426450750
0.1122541626357730 0.0606448436686493 0.1819297757711140
0.1188482183301050 0.0653119561304293 0.1915802659194720
0.1261970531624210 0.0698604966676152 0.2028327010245200
0.1342697520171340 0.0752250478590508 0.2144537498846270
0.1430542947283850 0.0815492319072857 0.2276403270963490
0.1525644191588150 0.0890474212655378 0.2412248882239770
0.1628428414909490 0.0963847715338760 0.2528709718930740
0.1739603419668290 0.1049588211328250 0.2648817202918250
0.1860115015269270 0.1141053018415540 0.2808186929288020
0.1991087832170170 0.1237593251616570 0.2968426114693370
0.2133768460457190 0.1341852969452430 0.3145772303468680
0.2289483992658440 0.1458631891371130 0.3335021638853690
0.2459617637847290 0.1593491693474240 0.3547451369625810
0.2645590070185060 0.1736041265704990 0.3766687867555530
0.2848825484291830 0.1879376769626040 0.4024314655463130
0.3070679483886910 0.2058150739744050 0.4309079152445800
0.3312314682460420 0.2260893344887810 0.4611282619899500
0.3574529069965280 0.2466609717544900 0.4920914464937670
0.3857568140225620 0.2703702216815510 0.5270957676400970
0.4160977349314150 0.2938451704498740 0.5640771998587650
0.4483566703747880 0.3181086422981660 0.6032559204975950
0.4823553364071450 0.3437567895593330 0.6454557746973830
0.5178913995986760 0.3722871728484790 0.6917630945622680
0.5547919098578360 0.4053470276896260 0.7376593668509420
0.5929753648390420 0.4371556489164280 0.7836025332818610
0.6325079556578350 0.4690459996632770 0.8317651090556900
0.6736390834632500 0.4990459961873340 0.8791777037776340
0.7168059759507750 0.5201687136169930 0.9453036604031430
0.7626055693189380 0.5349773144992990 1.0252577152738600
0.8117406160958590 0.5420180147626650 1.1285971305366000
0.8649533017778590 0.5421779448169780 1.2554232801423600
0.9229621952988730 0.5393243279576000 1.4091384024772600
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.0688540132618229 0.0309070801732171 0.1229071879743050
0.0687618826269982 0.0316149070553295 0.1219371515676760
0.0688687251484859 0.0326578454816986 0.1210006421852680
0.0691886457725467 0.0334260381500550 0.1211663147427850
0.0697438312371925 0.0341180909634852 0.1207628774084310
0.0705616708370141 0.0344957784934583 0.1215176346032290
0.0716713261220507 0.0353254656880835 0.1223159661797250
0.0731007620234054 0.0363555074381629 0.1248184906815790
0.0748750693289683 0.0371025628147597 0.1286960267553670
0.0770165422781050 0.0380498923047459 0.1313420524499970
0.0795465272912390 0.0391792442436629 0.1374702592484310
0.0824886117308872 0.0408862566459047 0.1424214545261660
0.0858723502744746 0.0429236743123555 0.1485361316803380
0.0897365150714697 0.0452010869151444 0.1540477306567120
0.0941308821176338 0.0483839583585880 0.1595897827193650
0.0991158580109032 0.0522265639262355 0.1666733032000290
0.1047597524661250 0.0562378245382835 0.1735554583912610
0.1111340839407760 0.0611048422028543 0.1807766228417630
0.1183078175311760 0.0658307276752406 0.1903484593011030
0.1263417506574630 0.0713588927049360 0.2018886190011760
0.1352842955485620 0.0776741589438887 0.2143737652504440
0.1451696001641480 0.0841370716323830 0.2280810336125290
0.1560182907722290 0.0916368032368083 0.2417923937833140
0.1678402122537500 0.0995340767370766 0.2570415072611450
0.1806376601283130 0.1090484052203510 0.2749618383156060
0.1944071483085310 0.1191246802377190 0.2912059815756750
0.2091381058753470 0.1304342955867150 0.3089876356438490
0.2248081442645630 0.1430051133000700 0.3261326132165640
0.2413763805211360 0.1554138375229370 0.3464152438771150
0.2587780883283660 0.1697713874687860 0.3674822019057070
0.2769248795351380 0.1845010371491360 0.3899054848581560
0.2957140411161200 0.1989424437463420 0.4129489473654010
0.3150483548954970 0.2139444517366120 0.4394175600472280
0.3348641845713910 0.2279643657134570 0.4676026039175490
0.3551620153394270 0.2430390878550250 0.4966309379053420
0.3760315117216380 0.2558742488686180 0.5228659732812080
0.3976636738064620 0.2662636688495130 0.5561543607523540
0.4203459002739350 0.2751641493220410 0.5959211824016640
0.4444405770136620 0.2826651591785860 0.6413883647269370
0.4703524520537340 0.2840522120628140 0.7045013667222190
0.4984930728337330 0.2829365531894650 0.7845586540359180
0.5292514100448930 0.2770510112039430 0.8736704409551870
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.0372822115919002 0.0122747049327582 0.0784561488574390
0.0394964297759781 0.0137322445197686 0.0802493333544494
0.0419496228146606 0.0153784245511854 0.0833390783361728
0.0446383373842729 0.0172098777806934 0.0858427832510146
0.0475518667747617 0.0191585296471920 0.0891747140651470
0.0506699422360425 0.0214082016993069 0.0935333744467821
0.0539603584787235 0.0235542558451009 0.0981971905934325
0.0573776372466472 0.0261438057146893 0.1037963443772290
0.0608640651006507 0.0282796506828981 0.1093329788736230
0.0643541905770028 0.0303084066350196 0.1140421459761980
0.0677830309980984 0.0324102061555955 0.1191089937312530
0.0710969804529780 0.0342414410878421 0.1245688274634010
0.0742651866477696 0.0359986457829217 0.1293950039465490
0.0772885703727916 0.0375256625819003 0.1351068181511920
0.0802040919631819 0.0390044080647542 0.1396472816051600
0.0830832252847605 0.0408454675038168 0.1434212014284540
0.0860252918997110 0.0428068358714973 0.1475257187767800
0.0891475939257170 0.0445557644571379 0.1521508980684810
0.0925746928482080 0.0464268769779619 0.1572226761159760
0.0964287141067806 0.0489060241419215 0.1615269306187020
0.1008215694753010 0.0520902674266113 0.1686101563373220
0.1058489196681380 0.0549550948078714 0.1752905285240070
0.1115848666324620 0.0583319502361076 0.1831046723431080
0.1180759314287480 0.0621641665961155 0.1946293820933920
0.1253329249052950 0.0678289228940700 0.2042549844452240
0.1333199413422010 0.0736538103005845 0.2141096813815390
0.1419409848720400 0.0798148924237248 0.2234490594125000
0.1510266492815980 0.0870464952387404 0.2339853653651360
0.1603254898368230 0.0935092082705867 0.2474688708459760
0.1695064482024830 0.1000302377452140 0.2606337075057200
0.1781786483468040 0.1064089906324110 0.2715262004651210
0.1859317930504420 0.1114633346026480 0.2830303423748670
0.1923939593924610 0.1164711329313920 0.2930496715145150
0.1972955586803330 0.1191255533195920 0.2994996629573430
0.2005224062362920 0.1210991546492750 0.3055269419809930
0.2021412624687740 0.1193668959390490 0.3093821788494100
0.2023890634159930 0.1149646337642480 0.3144660325952730
0.2016290712499420 0.1102495456006850 0.3220879749202450
0.2002872919230140 0.1032954264386710 0.3344539143378360
0.1987859792327800 0.0960962591637220 0.3462461123454520
0.1974873577704710 0.0877499704329303 0.3636753909387720
0.1966531113429060 0.0798815171481186 0.3894783425908320
South West
Modelled % testing 95% Lower credible 95% Upper credible
positive for COVID-19 Interval Interval
0.0495320710107395 0.0203995117385125 0.0928485908144134
0.0483163153631113 0.0204530614898130 0.0891270861551827
0.0475184146789128 0.0207467365221446 0.0864850605575142
0.0471159878860787 0.0209629182341903 0.0855494850198459
0.0470879052041712 0.0212662978208454 0.0840976267122550
0.0474120405249294 0.0216416759773745 0.0835927376632179
0.0480624890309009 0.0220671751931650 0.0848146571586592
0.0490069539513055 0.0226735671926286 0.0875189386335748
0.0502050903434583 0.0235346583886288 0.0903546907165164
0.0516085490529997 0.0242578881505141 0.0928267328409822
0.0531632088298405 0.0247772656105651 0.0957076902458631
0.0548135761360866 0.0255440586754385 0.0983597871639550
0.0565086542829395 0.0262834047952870 0.1011554001468730
0.0582079788328951 0.0274844912360684 0.1037533348780000
0.0598862942176495 0.0281178562662336 0.1061489929647290
0.0615356915045635 0.0292501547991303 0.1080347465342060
0.0631648436225039 0.0302935816654382 0.1108336257891820
0.0647959115003300 0.0315053580042864 0.1145395719987190
0.0664603491536309 0.0323486558320843 0.1172383065786640
0.0681949753321896 0.0330417102582633 0.1207669216815390
0.0700393278190193 0.0338108640096913 0.1245548420194970
0.0720346801725577 0.0349170905150806 0.1272973351753850
0.0742244345303618 0.0361343106820377 0.1309140097235850
0.0766551162871866 0.0373425273153373 0.1349013542435150
0.0793770124280528 0.0393231389376676 0.1394552976616280
0.0824436488927228 0.0415854704817574 0.1432790777777410
0.0859097352659996 0.0438468042845528 0.1486955190887970
0.0898277861244380 0.0463297169472692 0.1531631779285140
0.0942441991596068 0.0493031596048303 0.1600026270288950
0.0991959906490383 0.0526820934079259 0.1660221719850360
0.1047095493579380 0.0560431149113823 0.1725408439044130
0.1108025789344220 0.0604481023985069 0.1794106736375500
0.1174897947129240 0.0646582137309249 0.1887838363458050
0.1247919601717860 0.0689940022622072 0.1981032289107950
0.1327467100788690 0.0734890550108475 0.2095699457746150
0.1414187148396450 0.0776861598180188 0.2241208439932300
0.1509065346259000 0.0815543657375748 0.2417347275975040
0.1613442347597570 0.0844715473433448 0.2639316931428480
0.1728973731163430 0.0870069360349822 0.2901563012681210
0.1857549182362740 0.0879978887212511 0.3243069502660660
0.2001205453051080 0.0867752457473174 0.3669606081912810
0.2162082946592880 0.0857162281643244 0.4193106886566660
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0319308345924828% 0.0101787192849150% 0.0671442657979213%
0.0325781439619103% 0.0109214155404759% 0.0659891262480011%
0.0332853092629411% 0.0117612707837583% 0.0661667201955911%
0.0340549295626170% 0.0123988543605645% 0.0663761144344613%
0.0348953069907841% 0.0132232202083660% 0.0671582434214445%
0.0358188796489454% 0.0141198355798869% 0.0686097336774364%
0.0368398536854000% 0.0149957294566986% 0.0699767138437295%
0.0379716679631842% 0.0157295906980109% 0.0713142162044809%
0.0392249072030918% 0.0165325713096776% 0.0739887222707623%
0.0406060993312918% 0.0174088994872944% 0.0764250119072449%
0.0421175586901566% 0.0181756786140596% 0.0790433521570577%
0.0437581337937329% 0.0189949130094872% 0.0816270136492121%
0.0455244466172716% 0.0199526465890359% 0.0841132377572535%
0.0474120373900459% 0.0209642371261351% 0.0867799904080486%
0.0494158235968989% 0.0220243888712400% 0.0893677748197689%
0.0515294829692107% 0.0232295340954146% 0.0928256380773616%
0.0537437491508155% 0.0244596257548946% 0.0964415624786871%
0.0560440609089275% 0.0256800180233806% 0.0992420735452916%
0.0584083799220491% 0.0272025779841031% 0.1025690483258100%
0.0608061401819312% 0.0282753513386155% 0.1075163538638410%
0.0631991170159492% 0.0294285801702214% 0.1108768840718770%
0.0655445000429978% 0.0308609925573056% 0.1148622897541200%
0.0677997389159879% 0.0322174032993093% 0.1177701777164230%
0.0699280440152423% 0.0336016257438602% 0.1225139662260200%
0.0719030634639463% 0.0347553723793609% 0.1261628910843610%
0.0737114366783939% 0.0361001570876528% 0.1286335556195990%
0.0753526315861273% 0.0370909446174720% 0.1311696688768440%
0.0768364376027220% 0.0379622698022239% 0.1326019534995970%
0.0781793041452512% 0.0385303166012232% 0.1342594390064340%
0.0794010491965774% 0.0387161010077780% 0.1357728613111600%
0.0805231998908480% 0.0390910949842185% 0.1389420547894950%
0.0815694964418323% 0.0390806911051618% 0.1410040434484740%
0.0825681830335966% 0.0388918563091623% 0.1430148797676420%
0.0835549605122674% 0.0384238351088530% 0.1458375639684380%
0.0845751560352987% 0.0379391194342756% 0.1498746741639400%
0.0856838876879832% 0.0370451300842474% 0.1547239223339150%
0.0869436781463105% 0.0357215968107097% 0.1598800314450400%
0.0884198469580298% 0.0344314872623088% 0.1673820604021170%
0.0901747924933695% 0.0326692406568260% 0.1778652617326440%
0.0922627703781694% 0.0310950958437059% 0.1928147007289660%
0.0947269579954181% 0.0290797859332069% 0.2113362392551520%
0.0976005594666223% 0.0268923910447910% 0.2305791553323440%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0175602745648346% 0.0035412891060655% 0.0444352476387562%
0.0188177464535928% 0.0041668252669392% 0.0464965365989339%
0.0202068379858003% 0.0048418990553538% 0.0481540270916536%
0.0217274593914372% 0.0056405317099457% 0.0508779467931457%
0.0233772865630914% 0.0066288873290323% 0.0527550055956381%
0.0251506160315366% 0.0074874640640490% 0.0550962786011896%
0.0270367620304945% 0.0085139257965921% 0.0572673116076493%
0.0290184746342663% 0.0095307803891797% 0.0607119828238502%
0.0310710932273872% 0.0106018649782778% 0.0649426927435294%
0.0331631730309431% 0.0117967992346467% 0.0684019677772121%
0.0352590420621050% 0.0128139475958917% 0.0712441576504617%
0.0373231720737234% 0.0140630380119126% 0.0746226097248650%
0.0393255421101168% 0.0149981485736898% 0.0772217198360334%
0.0412466301643798% 0.0160086351680459% 0.0803431350687491%
0.0430805801157081% 0.0170860300915385% 0.0821369839014109%
0.0448355652045497% 0.0183456861088090% 0.0851516297553247%
0.0465312253553907% 0.0194433817814323% 0.0877115979877403%
0.0481939127082278% 0.0203489441267985% 0.0905435310869394%
0.0498509836079535% 0.0211989926204130% 0.0927509093358810%
0.0515253894276031% 0.0222283969660431% 0.0948782231039285%
0.0532314453934928% 0.0228364645582753% 0.0976940716400260%
0.0549721177331879% 0.0236539517357926% 0.1003740541908580%
0.0567376733167039% 0.0251552840525421% 0.1032328036187530%
0.0585052205120667% 0.0264045642725008% 0.1057830062779870%
0.0602386111999461% 0.0276841373723262% 0.1082460791619880%
0.0618883997512885% 0.0285409234045035% 0.1102872870783290%
0.0633920285771249% 0.0289257253555733% 0.1128311143712230%
0.0646749945186291% 0.0296397769779017% 0.1155109771216670%
0.0656541929350854% 0.0301181840364804% 0.1170630501005570%
0.0662446135324273% 0.0301913234047520% 0.1192949320241080%
0.0663698122362656% 0.0297015608124254% 0.1198672786698070%
0.0659751132072653% 0.0283828100850917% 0.1203808995225870%
0.0650407605281639% 0.0270207398847292% 0.1200759639788920%
0.0635911092498570% 0.0252989590052442% 0.1197422127943590%
0.0616962933932173% 0.0231464668338087% 0.1184846754738910%
0.0594648679061715% 0.0208736102054007% 0.1187985063480010%
0.0570289082174725% 0.0188426442846845% 0.1188223683170550%
0.0545255108127274% 0.0162881501762791% 0.1195215022285860%
0.0520793796950618% 0.0139005731941666% 0.1211187500729250%
0.0497900448632762% 0.0119958967061268% 0.1225529923843320%
0.0477250827398467% 0.0100244137343147% 0.1260039462181130%
0.0459186503237846% 0.0083064486089403% 0.1289279711266840%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0267632782680178% 0.0077947044108397% 0.0579381386283844%
0.0260476781589548% 0.0079274034796410% 0.0555726980763346%
0.0255264306987852% 0.0081755902289932% 0.0536943473003591%
0.0251899817878590% 0.0082910352912557% 0.0524551012925716%
0.0250306436089185% 0.0084885920155773% 0.0519399298507614%
0.0250413432916033% 0.0086948718938137% 0.0517279288194845%
0.0252142415352225% 0.0089026161588692% 0.0518278005016657%
0.0255395264909012% 0.0092218484650465% 0.0521392255523692%
0.0260046657185698% 0.0094369952446428% 0.0529145585377015%
0.0265943340284242% 0.0097514950012949% 0.0544677960520959%
0.0272911184548722% 0.0099006674169808% 0.0556623278887194%
0.0280769296214387% 0.0100720589293830% 0.0572813740021824%
0.0289348477434075% 0.0104257418110734% 0.0587473904417774%
0.0298509679416118% 0.0108601182761348% 0.0604281012344676%
0.0308157664219191% 0.0113916403794501% 0.0619913787265558%
0.0318246361149198% 0.0118284000207987% 0.0642989697994743%
0.0328775116926320% 0.0122494390440211% 0.0660189536600048%
0.0339778188818468% 0.0128408737511471% 0.0676133246234420%
0.0351312142397354% 0.0133885252027499% 0.0695223540085696%
0.0363446369500275% 0.0138685616604874% 0.0716246921890367%
0.0376260545410491% 0.0145782588196306% 0.0731552042387690%
0.0389850031761177% 0.0151904251633049% 0.0749692375758440%
0.0404337012289783% 0.0160557073594674% 0.0769087931945030%
0.0419882665837875% 0.0169639536158865% 0.0793881890635560%
0.0436694849431878% 0.0180799752387841% 0.0819131386111802%
0.0455026938632848% 0.0193112248230679% 0.0844582442468001%
0.0475166295908521% 0.0208509276413343% 0.0867550534874740%
0.0497414405685820% 0.0227036472467874% 0.0897267113530590%
0.0522063976927067% 0.0243119183720250% 0.0938903002817784%
0.0549380429420450% 0.0260286476600763% 0.0974846136835879%
0.0579595593648198% 0.0279342864908056% 0.1023775823408690%
0.0612919790353641% 0.0297396838146664% 0.1075832678777200%
0.0649574558413099% 0.0319091056474703% 0.1131165856243090%
0.0689842600449688% 0.0337408688217269% 0.1204220325854700%
0.0734125448624403% 0.0351968088949472% 0.1274777925434620%
0.0782995216807635% 0.0368466853743373% 0.1360028588621340%
0.0837226796238831% 0.0379576085200141% 0.1470237434431320%
0.0897801809154711% 0.0389969476056205% 0.1596381144139890%
0.0965884545573769% 0.0400031759604403% 0.1805157424519670%
0.1042780883919130% 0.0401753988364003% 0.2044923265585910%
0.1129902073897770% 0.0398299020127390% 0.2351127330511260%
0.1228765713590000% 0.0392159011785397% 0.2737628239061620%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19
Modelled % testing
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0622846454097913% 0.0273649535139546% 0.1132266172893920%
0.0586122864212165% 0.0258451870560249% 0.1056683466952980%
0.0550777685153231% 0.0244828208041142% 0.0994161184568936%
0.0517034950929393% 0.0230259574660336% 0.0935134854450708%
0.0485250722846905% 0.0214394134363695% 0.0880838564049353%
0.0455810096469778% 0.0199226352166628% 0.0843533099993232%
0.0429044756909753% 0.0185035174179420% 0.0803243571094595%
0.0405183992275137% 0.0171386076946336% 0.0767862874726946%
0.0384339742044400% 0.0157923879552078% 0.0736324245562037%
0.0366517389089297% 0.0145563124408466% 0.0711889566945208%
0.0351640457621725% 0.0135552137920959% 0.0685864236247345%
0.0339578179951766% 0.0130319448968427% 0.0665719025181900%
0.0330167972621711% 0.0124875510947154% 0.0647249503394843%
0.0323228472085651% 0.0122039025990151% 0.0638878387831732%
0.0318562006992737% 0.0120060499724236% 0.0630496595273719%
0.0315947991345938% 0.0117096769019075% 0.0622521028136602%
0.0315130787796089% 0.0117263704321061% 0.0626891533769768%
0.0315807184038250% 0.0116929993785568% 0.0629809571938059%
0.0317619590776987% 0.0119035511031989% 0.0633878915607651%
0.0320160927826550% 0.0119312298232156% 0.0646291208280684%
0.0322995253649791% 0.0118480031902219% 0.0647498908492309%
0.0325694151030177% 0.0118590743500748% 0.0654433210085381%
0.0327883336340048% 0.0119247670969354% 0.0659335713565397%
0.0329288883808673% 0.0119770992006645% 0.0663320443628420%
0.0329770519703965% 0.0119555008108413% 0.0668232870333833%
0.0329332374895835% 0.0120798925520879% 0.0662965433341167%
0.0328108660842335% 0.0121404399190892% 0.0665188768446636%
0.0326329820090099% 0.0120319007668027% 0.0657658829000011%
0.0324280119652965% 0.0117414430017486% 0.0649163556066387%
0.0322258409144987% 0.0115548955941114% 0.0651090583387392%
0.0320550394006069% 0.0112985836349763% 0.0650246427896879%
0.0319415464106563% 0.0109100696769415% 0.0659948251376171%
0.0319086167309961% 0.0105079378811873% 0.0672378822547206%
0.0319775247752736% 0.0101383064462466% 0.0680344310383206%
0.0321684197643372% 0.0097554136026412% 0.0698091754521347%
0.0325008237849764% 0.0092277967392929% 0.0720072155619332%
0.0329934946261264% 0.0088530969924089% 0.0751441960319793%
0.0336636696372094% 0.0084333811174181% 0.0794432949158212%
0.0345260052209420% 0.0078263926353302% 0.0851857038194289%
0.0355917919056824% 0.0074317191708493% 0.0918286776209028%
0.0368692409451460% 0.0068504181785059% 0.0995057634957741%
0.0383657965283027% 0.0062236803216183% 0.1090846326972650%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0766843850861613% 0.0365794079764362% 0.1337089345557330%
0.0740206873841964% 0.0353512077871699% 0.1284314248816460%
0.0712235425981031% 0.0338118897439506% 0.1247083909513000%
0.0682921024267615% 0.0324792932509189% 0.1191842281113080%
0.0652502655549542% 0.0308067653662534% 0.1139943525105540%
0.0621386833523570% 0.0290410536403191% 0.1096384298252410%
0.0590058915764227% 0.0273372879649789% 0.1050502245304660%
0.0559007998747762% 0.0255712257751557% 0.1004963931734270%
0.0528678582550278% 0.0239214965172992% 0.0959509059622754%
0.0499450720505722% 0.0220856847097921% 0.0923308369840519%
0.0471641327470679% 0.0204851950917748% 0.0879123886505487%
0.0445515299976743% 0.0187210462185429% 0.0835495412880194%
0.0421296137764790% 0.0173595686545111% 0.0791218463285662%
0.0399170076327529% 0.0161378051949094% 0.0761558146406784%
0.0379282874039725% 0.0152287250599835% 0.0727028192922625%
0.0361732232127595% 0.0142832842440168% 0.0695082643123108%
0.0346560326350365% 0.0134546884910729% 0.0668966197921858%
0.0333750286857135% 0.0127747974478928% 0.0647857550322287%
0.0323228650503497% 0.0123356975292668% 0.0635535746242881%
0.0314873876158753% 0.0118746491652547% 0.0621555691582116%
0.0308529566076161% 0.0115373045150718% 0.0613714884268072%
0.0304020164972893% 0.0113602642444537% 0.0604053768145439%
0.0301166454154954% 0.0112679143288409% 0.0594378534323916%
0.0299798041994608% 0.0112295327670292% 0.0591989878217825%
0.0299760403542794% 0.0111693367393744% 0.0594179414424723%
0.0300915037730430% 0.0113047657177257% 0.0595864960024352%
0.0303132997829310% 0.0113794137922584% 0.0600711412009847%
0.0306284086604862% 0.0113556464540486% 0.0601936660954023%
0.0310225813857428% 0.0113399240989276% 0.0608278899719153%
0.0314797152343069% 0.0112871296525936% 0.0624110538027284%
0.0319821673455904% 0.0112288333376906% 0.0640989233194799%
0.0325122528289036% 0.0111217982074340% 0.0656239464073174%
0.0330548151727529% 0.0108714337696599% 0.0678015207791068%
0.0336003391696664% 0.0106261706331079% 0.0697447346279533%
0.0341477589984766% 0.0104302842294489% 0.0719590629232377%
0.0347060686846447% 0.0100539920453263% 0.0744927667893162%
0.0352941470077726% 0.0096835815039832% 0.0782480333440648%
0.0359387662817054% 0.0091601316859009% 0.0822842050867194%
0.0366713234858353% 0.0085200400985401% 0.0865015255075461%
0.0375241729603821% 0.0079189104828962% 0.0932876305208624%
0.0385274534743656% 0.0073069468329889% 0.1005562341676510%
0.0397070600499206% 0.0067424109254948% 0.1102941892017200%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0832832078594973% 0.0418913018292450% 0.1389006966673520%
0.0810650668016399% 0.0416867761105576% 0.1345418473696890%
0.0790222196248367% 0.0409887372664845% 0.1324763287816880%
0.0770994920924643% 0.0403448135087496% 0.1299818022361450%
0.0752477435648480% 0.0393761358085751% 0.1276281673411200%
0.0734219451627476% 0.0379708529752635% 0.1245429923557500%
0.0715793669427957% 0.0362052560773012% 0.1222231535386260%
0.0696791492793229% 0.0345502467150959% 0.1194600004616500%
0.0676840392836121% 0.0329366446620592% 0.1168234450435710%
0.0655642389774916% 0.0310911151585101% 0.1147068595012330%
0.0633023984793070% 0.0297141707241652% 0.1118267566478450%
0.0608981285316527% 0.0278434478216162% 0.1079303313502820%
0.0583703066414507% 0.0263552236376684% 0.1042400310776540%
0.0557560336270267% 0.0250159957849962% 0.1004635944757330%
0.0531061844972930% 0.0235999626876963% 0.0969181779811704%
0.0504786408947413% 0.0222191804533038% 0.0932146023968025%
0.0479309938122664% 0.0210294949952863% 0.0890662395613908%
0.0455144969661446% 0.0199383600250728% 0.0851031930978809%
0.0432704275612853% 0.0184406576167079% 0.0806582439729904%
0.0412291261776800% 0.0173414866886032% 0.0779045366018299%
0.0394112215259247% 0.0162851808119366% 0.0745009141514974%
0.0378301229915090% 0.0155387537735041% 0.0718523802006702%
0.0364948119163081% 0.0148750804834504% 0.0690356681012064%
0.0354121791353999% 0.0143946929229465% 0.0669521295878973%
0.0345884973487508% 0.0140877786672475% 0.0652992277879771%
0.0340299557642247% 0.0137688146079468% 0.0637421463078411%
0.0337424385407816% 0.0136026439217984% 0.0638381080709139%
0.0337308672973565% 0.0137105222207379% 0.0640103782131741%
0.0339984663798855% 0.0138206006168244% 0.0642339483149545%
0.0345462866353831% 0.0141999544211560% 0.0653073218494017%
0.0353732713530364% 0.0144445573490807% 0.0673706342493986%
0.0364770700677451% 0.0146680998328894% 0.0698638277060185%
0.0378556790846220% 0.0152680189704149% 0.0730441793440892%
0.0395097923732766% 0.0154147479377989% 0.0770711897106860%
0.0414455057226148% 0.0156043058875351% 0.0817032457031144%
0.0436768127487192% 0.0157003663719939% 0.0880203207281558%
0.0462272768566169% 0.0157695302111174% 0.0946510375352686%
0.0491304409562334% 0.0160674424987698% 0.1039423310650580%
0.0524289457903608% 0.0162798081815743% 0.1137671867651590%
0.0561728843225400% 0.0159914622464317% 0.1276565505577380%
0.0604185081664495% 0.0155446489747625% 0.1445825023830620%
0.0652289376946650% 0.0149284983825962% 0.1647743878897280%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1270508169974980% 0.0735148043996995% 0.1983706690280790%
0.1248471646012670% 0.0725126336072142% 0.1941430732916380%
0.1221251343607620% 0.0710490991282314% 0.1900807827848560%
0.1188981153513170% 0.0692281803313934% 0.1843898151406540%
0.1152291390158270% 0.0663303294831919% 0.1801887225843320%
0.1112142593807660% 0.0638959430479633% 0.1754763456641480%
0.1069628707069880% 0.0610930961293860% 0.1702668603832790%
0.1025800674240440% 0.0575792849689232% 0.1646395236968550%
0.0981544892425005% 0.0542881972883463% 0.1573147495406100%
0.0937527189927262% 0.0511807771509230% 0.1537528241919280%
0.0894192368095988% 0.0482360793530451% 0.1489034631289370%
0.0851797815764977% 0.0450417009543705% 0.1429520214126400%
0.0810458267012659% 0.0424516955506601% 0.1365857981758530%
0.0770184953982670% 0.0395133047406645% 0.1321193428305590%
0.0730912243738651% 0.0371002512796037% 0.1254354923454050%
0.0692514319972269% 0.0343739722347789% 0.1189518900296770%
0.0654820445820638% 0.0322029563391442% 0.1128959410655080%
0.0617638190996215% 0.0299173902654955% 0.1078156598869670%
0.0580789829436620% 0.0272084984321767% 0.1028859061723350%
0.0544159624605632% 0.0248733453158590% 0.0977112365548346%
0.0507741849254940% 0.0222962333559320% 0.0919538779654310%
0.0471674604897624% 0.0201927713927874% 0.0867604705438672%
0.0436245631725573% 0.0179984282475836% 0.0813673507197682%
0.0401863906594544% 0.0161483786660367% 0.0760710969357406%
0.0369002213239854% 0.0144987347355748% 0.0705867120177929%
0.0338125890524770% 0.0128513204727400% 0.0659298971906291%
0.0309626858642373% 0.0111367592134420% 0.0617241549424873%
0.0283778365003788% 0.0096350829604582% 0.0576773135222423%
0.0260717280316147% 0.0083800615558195% 0.0546344162119568%
0.0240451756494067% 0.0072104620876950% 0.0517812738924533%
0.0222886191425285% 0.0062808842565234% 0.0495124831136900%
0.0207853774429761% 0.0054814351188806% 0.0471581322428868%
0.0195148373030766% 0.0047480264286859% 0.0455473375501817%
0.0184550416538296% 0.0041277509201655% 0.0446974056779529%
0.0175844359522968% 0.0036347624402116% 0.0438612856428424%
0.0168827618463245% 0.0032333599599614% 0.0441133570694529%
0.0163312472841115% 0.0028576227675738% 0.0445832676619407%
0.0159123459176456% 0.0025233333161866% 0.0452575729919742%
0.0156093437809868% 0.0021892326953556% 0.0469132257682671%
0.0154061871300720% 0.0019349161182931% 0.0491849474877672%
0.0152878899968090% 0.0016926603760634% 0.0514874006657877%
0.0152418436562329% 0.0014923451269600% 0.0541847570098090%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1878825357165390% 0.1205796649657490% 0.2705806276891380%
0.1819287295451770% 0.1158619252929420% 0.2634352722290370%
0.1754701753544720% 0.1117218403677320% 0.2562339306648120%
0.1685773299644420% 0.1068168501164830% 0.2469009675548880%
0.1613779714202570% 0.1018858752538160% 0.2385081220708550%
0.1540313325274290% 0.0970132939491310% 0.2283448730640580%
0.1467012169520290% 0.0916706616678410% 0.2194260213455120%
0.1395341495344660% 0.0862885703523070% 0.2098669084686990%
0.1326459046955640% 0.0803591690191870% 0.2018017323826890%
0.1261166869149680% 0.0757338013999270% 0.1941449003806720%
0.1199929628870590% 0.0709487927546890% 0.1865700029136200%
0.1142929550844930% 0.0666696260574890% 0.1792192267590480%
0.1090129817506300% 0.0629004171483570% 0.1724613974932010%
0.1041327370560650% 0.0593647860657010% 0.1663883730023960%
0.0996187719046380% 0.0561391582492010% 0.1601199421734590%
0.0954264828438320% 0.0528859042110000% 0.1540745226050550%
0.0915016036251400% 0.0504657455081960% 0.1477305874732720%
0.0877824110620040% 0.0482340569285100% 0.1428838937403390%
0.0842036003082220% 0.0453890987051030% 0.1381675942428000%
0.0807021371175130% 0.0427297764941670% 0.1341252400956820%
0.0772245228611240% 0.0402479146344680% 0.1296679933313600%
0.0737340721193580% 0.0376535653600780% 0.1256084389325830%
0.0702163302222630% 0.0356239959906900% 0.1207032099007370%
0.0666809327412470% 0.0336531351512250% 0.1151304662069210%
0.0631590904737210% 0.0315861192117010% 0.1094007607960090%
0.0596971871287430% 0.0296163494868200% 0.1042812438081550%
0.0563481579215990% 0.0275517775634200% 0.0985276726732680%
0.0531628623810770% 0.0249911362943120% 0.0929023345226500%
0.0501833916871850% 0.0229261160704210% 0.0882653354390550%
0.0474393842200600% 0.0212089885801610% 0.0844465930713250%
0.0449474061156600% 0.0192167749941480% 0.0818479563907780%
0.0427126747105030% 0.0174087656455810% 0.0793752571446700%
0.0407320356801330% 0.0158002584722670% 0.0780190550245700%
0.0389971207374020% 0.0143329826440570% 0.0762553897788310%
0.0374968826792140% 0.0129005733701530% 0.0756520124243940%
0.0362190897652030% 0.0118657641853430% 0.0753600542717710%
0.0351507540897410% 0.0108157503514110% 0.0753028145203950%
0.0342777963462990% 0.0098655968875180% 0.0778204203651920%
0.0335844709758890% 0.0088311892612930% 0.0802108780897970%
0.0330531771141150% 0.0079823660721740% 0.0828655484000520%
0.0326652670400040% 0.0069990911314300% 0.0859943024443530%
0.0324033503571300% 0.0062373171434210% 0.0911654856880580%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.2731346958871290% 0.1883035175973910% 0.3748327159731750%
0.2679327274936440% 0.1848500209103580% 0.3684924570858750%
0.2611718874132800% 0.1791597150827870% 0.3594484650495830%
0.2529269388810270% 0.1726448992803930% 0.3476359375593200%
0.2434002798803530% 0.1655343438446950% 0.3353697136516830%
0.2328839093866340% 0.1587929863939690% 0.3218852188284660%
0.2217130105523330% 0.1508798139064010% 0.3084324529029300%
0.2102227224843300% 0.1419635945168630% 0.2950278454015730%
0.1987161203649370% 0.1325439075994530% 0.2824578458428350%
0.1874462166950860% 0.1232310885243930% 0.2688896480881660%
0.1766102933786560% 0.1147853213857230% 0.2569326110329510%
0.1663524179935710% 0.1059662004642860% 0.2451605367949090%
0.1567696971604460% 0.0985395266859448% 0.2332441349186560%
0.1479189795064570% 0.0920966404879731% 0.2203589904813480%
0.1398224161442460% 0.0861337715774388% 0.2085954774523790%
0.1324717751796980% 0.0807864804161275% 0.1984272472284100%
0.1258322970712250% 0.0755437932051899% 0.1896356985716310%
0.1198471106577890% 0.0715899351445449% 0.1816269545585400%
0.1144429557859730% 0.0677190484218044% 0.1752137306012610%
0.1095373974823890% 0.0645454775727182% 0.1685288462842850%
0.1050470699459490% 0.0612463379798743% 0.1626858403146210%
0.1008959251574540% 0.0578987464351451% 0.1575982665347990%
0.0970221379283432% 0.0550526607497948% 0.1525929736622290%
0.0933823746585782% 0.0524587068710293% 0.1471117249703820%
0.0899526214169411% 0.0503742865059774% 0.1431734262029330%
0.0867255834354587% 0.0483812956241824% 0.1384602149174530%
0.0837055446999171% 0.0467287343643369% 0.1342002734129210%
0.0809021887138625% 0.0445929989813883% 0.1304769199599670%
0.0783250098370869% 0.0423968336430753% 0.1267906793754410%
0.0759795763030905% 0.0404507231280916% 0.1240091173628440%
0.0738662158406836% 0.0385826081943926% 0.1223287644165770%
0.0719809362623673% 0.0367200995760958% 0.1201340376027090%
0.0703177896438134% 0.0348207443723591% 0.1185723113690680%
0.0688715793464361% 0.0330793906822615% 0.1173201105414120%
0.0676398439086066% 0.0314597443657033% 0.1161862820867160%
0.0666233968787866% 0.0297899231126587% 0.1168407307432200%
0.0658252463943093% 0.0279571332526166% 0.1188177279575820%
0.0652483005151480% 0.0264484189117169% 0.1221259826385380%
0.0648927230585013% 0.0250893786518231% 0.1271918800061560%
0.0647540369372034% 0.0233419018916647% 0.1327097651031300%
0.0648230563688738% 0.0212377902348970% 0.1396646007418460%
0.0650885111018893% 0.0192752766552176% 0.1492508066782470%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.2935566742889890% 0.2102103293779290% 0.3874509802191070%
0.2897424683138750% 0.2080129748987480% 0.3841809685356740%
0.2854814539767840% 0.2048199408904500% 0.3795847867931900%
0.2806849310468140% 0.2002208120529090% 0.3755789329648660%
0.2753053242791140% 0.1967740405377430% 0.3676717298044720%
0.2693269124943460% 0.1912634391933430% 0.3600846541692780%
0.2627538864214210% 0.1868026095248690% 0.3530996132248400%
0.2556006243673750% 0.1801120010702660% 0.3451582993063760%
0.2478875916353890% 0.1727790542152960% 0.3373659079232010%
0.2396436429656260% 0.1650190731628940% 0.3294400989862710%
0.2309127805910400% 0.1569832277204900% 0.3194168411653900%
0.2217616013936070% 0.1502668760709820% 0.3092839402959610%
0.2122833975379190% 0.1430065394848470% 0.2986226485622730%
0.2025962145218200% 0.1362555521125660% 0.2853539012703430%
0.1928345457411440% 0.1287392670555070% 0.2725526911815420%
0.1831367571219250% 0.1206850294206300% 0.2600142637507290%
0.1736318099213900% 0.1132781249678090% 0.2497388068455370%
0.1644288771240730% 0.1063314848843000% 0.2393077343227240%
0.1556121866404690% 0.0980704822185256% 0.2293932717490150%
0.1472415272201760% 0.0905890702790028% 0.2202272005664270%
0.1393570968302340% 0.0843221634399370% 0.2117752774892800%
0.1319863249057860% 0.0788775892301669% 0.2033390355031940%
0.1251501707369020% 0.0739737753318566% 0.1938174918885450%
0.1188670683029460% 0.0695245579527084% 0.1846242463748290%
0.1131538057389840% 0.0660196128669800% 0.1751160803887140%
0.1080237636478030% 0.0627054817637122% 0.1672865137461990%
0.1034837244355050% 0.0596174280752996% 0.1605174641056750%
0.0995307235738600% 0.0572623751712263% 0.1551201442240400%
0.0961501823732945% 0.0545510722889248% 0.1512147232308440%
0.0933160319548249% 0.0525387456076053% 0.1471310364802420%
0.0909929303624459% 0.0503279749348590% 0.1444922545272010%
0.0891401439279580% 0.0483865442181127% 0.1432171179353830%
0.0877162810365868% 0.0467929116627481% 0.1426502568035650%
0.0866838605616680% 0.0456740681580783% 0.1435661026617830%
0.0860126993413317% 0.0441796039276573% 0.1438368218569230%
0.0856813451229922% 0.0427979481540376% 0.1460338882349910%
0.0856762559929088% 0.0410486999768181% 0.1480824975495020%
0.0859890527003436% 0.0394576983650671% 0.1518198127139450%
0.0866128022166883% 0.0370339895566462% 0.1593542989832650%
0.0875387774346293% 0.0346576863131806% 0.1678481677822500%
0.0887553748598276% 0.0323226764044728% 0.1789641796623840%
0.0902508281817375% 0.0303719174164557% 0.1911156388660760%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.3385232157405650% 0.2509546892945690% 0.4422980646307940%
0.3338898485478360% 0.2458546216853980% 0.4381334514317060%
0.3290361421587020% 0.2415778382765960% 0.4342703316881300%
0.3239365145372540% 0.2377517267339800% 0.4284008354586540%
0.3186052274652190% 0.2345037191818440% 0.4201502164917750%
0.3130790965569670% 0.2312905492499430% 0.4126126444529040%
0.3073974061243620% 0.2278514302660480% 0.4062927448676450%
0.3015847030563930% 0.2217683367134060% 0.3980615876571300%
0.2956406278243270% 0.2157415481742680% 0.3916205793368150%
0.2895384039586790% 0.2090766570581710% 0.3840196994984180%
0.2832309643070230% 0.2021586669337630% 0.3781281620571830%
0.2766617139659000% 0.1964361792162270% 0.3712662219970790%
0.2697760928062580% 0.1903157619417310% 0.3633612438448890%
0.2625305429710970% 0.1854895479978420% 0.3559556031712850%
0.2548969873028880% 0.1805476108391470% 0.3447508786450660%
0.2468629260260060% 0.1732930354643840% 0.3345985300552330%
0.2384290100158040% 0.1663073705190190% 0.3253253341919700%
0.2296067733954050% 0.1584390428445930% 0.3154593318725790%
0.2204187895579880% 0.1503430515952230% 0.3057246978894640%
0.2109020450691030% 0.1424013438345920% 0.2960012841693850%
0.2011134384820770% 0.1343290915040730% 0.2853266677192310%
0.1911348283278980% 0.1264244835960070% 0.2727343373730100%
0.1810746514821880% 0.1183709151623820% 0.2601839353408630%
0.1710640387514920% 0.1106428922541940% 0.2479342992181420%
0.1612472202763010% 0.1037307841613720% 0.2336208903862780%
0.1517680467958140% 0.0970603088911863% 0.2209326858418650%
0.1427557939787960% 0.0908353209180239% 0.2100305355795020%
0.1343135643219130% 0.0842250084269829% 0.1985387312114820%
0.1265116264225360% 0.0773129904136139% 0.1894832871489930%
0.1193864605680640% 0.0716102543090964% 0.1811882869350700%
0.1129447560705530% 0.0659182439835839% 0.1729902817296450%
0.1071705841574500% 0.0609648306633601% 0.1664669956058110%
0.1020336041594230% 0.0568254408968962% 0.1617596380165750%
0.0974963716106637% 0.0522734016768681% 0.1575652868497410%
0.0935194215606996% 0.0488792581170097% 0.1528653291642610%
0.0900635989919008% 0.0452519523044435% 0.1494517350548900%
0.0870899163776331% 0.0425121651131765% 0.1482308964207120%
0.0845578806702909% 0.0394047200389441% 0.1484289266210240%
0.0824236420858047% 0.0363343212430636% 0.1500445430589880%
0.0806394337110246% 0.0328516722229076% 0.1540287351841600%
0.0791556096365501% 0.0294824698001603% 0.1580444697047000%
0.0779262013315808% 0.0264728659651468% 0.1665553795717120%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.4642923339529130% 0.3587950485630920% 0.5803570544935660%
0.4409931877854700% 0.3382442001586310% 0.5566282375431080%
0.4191539483843070% 0.3176855000770880% 0.5329143851467730%
0.3988669584830480% 0.3014921568650840% 0.5102390989811160%
0.3802526485421420% 0.2863459371951460% 0.4866605651458630%
0.3634256238309680% 0.2727055680218060% 0.4665495773352620%
0.3484658218565740% 0.2597557696606130% 0.4484338293160900%
0.3353992707805760% 0.2490365309340920% 0.4337151555706160%
0.3241896569962070% 0.2392186768694020% 0.4207930328707120%
0.3147391387923520% 0.2303372455628530% 0.4122475802446220%
0.3068952664903880% 0.2239311501720780% 0.4049494714030160%
0.3004605295709370% 0.2181879172044640% 0.4000963765332490%
0.2952016542676170% 0.2139382641165420% 0.3922649390021930%
0.2908569681942710% 0.2104593160219390% 0.3876089637015740%
0.2871416383490660% 0.2077612011775720% 0.3824592148238520%
0.2837521032640600% 0.2050661356410300% 0.3790379201138880%
0.2803722204275900% 0.2026628281143640% 0.3754003976624580%
0.2766841043742080% 0.2000356121185120% 0.3706814693557120%
0.2723859132790110% 0.1955212206274280% 0.3665866744122580%
0.2672167637099600% 0.1897973977185870% 0.3610633861813380%
0.2609858501135080% 0.1835376583694900% 0.3546663954833870%
0.2535997385171960% 0.1772197296433450% 0.3461877740498670%
0.2450801818774310% 0.1693543638738540% 0.3360970090379560%
0.2355659219995740% 0.1618596420407300% 0.3241218976378010%
0.2252959304008480% 0.1538093153613790% 0.3109000449642100%
0.2145769985630670% 0.1455296879547890% 0.2964098516091620%
0.2037431760276690% 0.1376558056246170% 0.2826076451217520%
0.1931163153587080% 0.1293335626017020% 0.2691533723301480%
0.1829754513679760% 0.1213157447326970% 0.2571067363477870%
0.1735390320144900% 0.1136049292971020% 0.2467377275114420%
0.1649599502088600% 0.1069082431714020% 0.2360286601760130%
0.1573303672219650% 0.1001145624612110% 0.2283380775575370%
0.1506920446685060% 0.0943729369758642% 0.2213212577749540%
0.1450481002997070% 0.0881660851460978% 0.2147302265457260%
0.1403731968244570% 0.0833083409456660% 0.2107162873372540%
0.1366206014585180% 0.0792056753312032% 0.2100208255114920%
0.1337259458773870% 0.0746489217865449% 0.2102824743918150%
0.1316086949566520% 0.0698166610237327% 0.2141644307511630%
0.1301732392544650% 0.0649856571976660% 0.2198006944380340%
0.1293121272949380% 0.0607639671163254% 0.2274366815048910%
0.1289141720568170% 0.0564042992004507% 0.2365475426725090%
0.1288798846732610% 0.0518168872986576% 0.2509243080296700%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.7775282541831910% 0.6356459390736430% 0.9348337223954390%
0.7388798453279030% 0.6015688872757180% 0.8950085832506950%
0.6967891428969790% 0.5643739336675590% 0.8469545889042000%
0.6524561553748630% 0.5276226195770660% 0.7942322850389980%
0.6073319731426770% 0.4895424634041050% 0.7393087919572500%
0.5629009517580410% 0.4514890750171100% 0.6857098205425760%
0.5204927546191070% 0.4158449844716910% 0.6368054116839500%
0.4811579974159550% 0.3797812166539760% 0.5933667651585090%
0.4456165087596110% 0.3470686743596560% 0.5547706913254190%
0.4142665273757600% 0.3193342820978410% 0.5211172200973830%
0.3872324918558840% 0.2953393807052450% 0.4924837169272690%
0.3644283576983260% 0.2745893006798370% 0.4682088835734370%
0.3456188752947130% 0.2578680643348900% 0.4446268058119100%
0.3304687757902950% 0.2459249791359130% 0.4267519289718460%
0.3185765304501280% 0.2362877212321890% 0.4116556305615510%
0.3094941723131530% 0.2295691390191710% 0.4004045361055230%
0.3027376171083990% 0.2235597136193590% 0.3918825716817280%
0.2977933820465560% 0.2201593367147460% 0.3872205371996240%
0.2941278154353530% 0.2159768851771840% 0.3837624302570370%
0.2912038538858630% 0.2131874887418390% 0.3836209797055950%
0.2885077515293790% 0.2096785175477010% 0.3810397832701040%
0.2855843466601450% 0.2062925199200900% 0.3785961879461770%
0.2820751528119190% 0.2026712524798350% 0.3769461537786940%
0.2777505076041910% 0.1978943956280960% 0.3726203276935480%
0.2725268452519320% 0.1938577214920270% 0.3656933579757520%
0.2664635063900650% 0.1899457215808120% 0.3586540599870260%
0.2597392704511810% 0.1860536317368570% 0.3498219939633080%
0.2526145623013340% 0.1805234497417470% 0.3405154393233350%
0.2453886178537310% 0.1741864220054780% 0.3326249465672040%
0.2383607122869490% 0.1676722357133000% 0.3248717105200300%
0.2318015267537130% 0.1619847796053340% 0.3170197841332490%
0.2259365894694570% 0.1567182475509580% 0.3107017853511900%
0.2209401849790620% 0.1506579644643610% 0.3062316218876180%
0.2169361346382120% 0.1465786293760550% 0.3037455549288700%
0.2140015130195130% 0.1440093824558560% 0.3000745838552050%
0.2121702547586180% 0.1399978491636510% 0.3002235233380530%
0.2114351684827760% 0.1359459803442880% 0.3014742912845680%
0.2117486620772020% 0.1323910963951920% 0.3103947706627330%
0.2130242049474550% 0.1270516046684480% 0.3251352991270410%
0.2151419856818000% 0.1219569060019770% 0.3422002139905350%
0.2179631028563660% 0.1156736070226810% 0.3643302022374940%
0.2213566448843970% 0.1092785155717650% 0.3918647013670230%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.9515966785314140% 0.7889572594261310% 1.1276891369753900%
0.9506802450928080% 0.7867896710645830% 1.1303661214058900%
0.9418155467942930% 0.7781912631157230% 1.1229064953960400%
0.9246950648034900% 0.7667884800667070% 1.1026016899099300%
0.8995810254943780% 0.7469262747244040% 1.0686154362246900%
0.8672597792303420% 0.7212945592637420% 1.0297646652988200%
0.8289317913159930% 0.6894982469975160% 0.9837184981030960%
0.7860659495524730% 0.6499993936494200% 0.9356725249494430%
0.7402482756273570% 0.6087181746314250% 0.8838717163314760%
0.6930479568454780% 0.5635749494902890% 0.8333300899982720%
0.6459129420631930% 0.5199445308670550% 0.7822404888202400%
0.6000979924947210% 0.4800935747338780% 0.7333378314642410%
0.5566224796891390% 0.4431258809559060% 0.6837562306342370%
0.5162532067648230% 0.4084228338837570% 0.6371988160297290%
0.4795074929195740% 0.3766148787808100% 0.5962293692289500%
0.4466721192239420% 0.3493259506673670% 0.5571647844706780%
0.4178337485493180% 0.3230416032535600% 0.5240169980212060%
0.3929162144472390% 0.2997519623505430% 0.4945271931495070%
0.3717200778031090% 0.2805753427377610% 0.4729224746360650%
0.3539603740241700% 0.2658865908660360% 0.4533251949320090%
0.3392994680099360% 0.2516644148224930% 0.4375124884698210%
0.3273731215565030% 0.2411816025294460% 0.4244820235181430%
0.3178089863997780% 0.2333553152771130% 0.4152265144711430%
0.3102376572963820% 0.2275042792764220% 0.4085565001963760%
0.3042972117568770% 0.2231373553028480% 0.4013907314730170%
0.2996329380770350% 0.2202050494696560% 0.3939995400904080%
0.2958947353515750% 0.2175163459278990% 0.3884487067114320%
0.2927353078447730% 0.2154963639254070% 0.3856383183330600%
0.2898124558612600% 0.2122885934731270% 0.3823045688698060%
0.2867981160636070% 0.2096961646350160% 0.3796659069884760%
0.2833950967389460% 0.2061668164081400% 0.3757525830323280%
0.2793598323473900% 0.2012892130415420% 0.3721499434774300%
0.2745266247836030% 0.1968346327545920% 0.3695188717172400%
0.2688268708317770% 0.1914887206087580% 0.3637193363113180%
0.2622968187996060% 0.1849117149806110% 0.3586007444660680%
0.2550698959283680% 0.1765321081271610% 0.3494719840634150%
0.2473538944179050% 0.1669023859985850% 0.3434266141461890%
0.2393976202994080% 0.1550577106657260% 0.3398482356760690%
0.2314542027241630% 0.1425780993705290% 0.3406807141492250%
0.2237482046992200% 0.1286089260110350% 0.3433192862870460%
0.2164513318077180% 0.1167415617533020% 0.3470754381299020%
0.2096681877978010% 0.1053718619166680% 0.3537031693342730%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
1.0769817520018400% 0.9073182411278210% 1.2662860441053300%
1.0300574641973900% 0.8605559267367470% 1.2167308255841800%
0.9932032302287530% 0.8260017581008680% 1.1756858530861400%
0.9651697172051380% 0.8005431584740240% 1.1448779294945600%
0.9445749737203950% 0.7878526505737760% 1.1137012568749400%
0.9298990309953560% 0.7797312363515850% 1.0925366308424100%
0.9194772161667640% 0.7746633546499790% 1.0823658042291500%
0.9115101672812030% 0.7678963155460810% 1.0744310033160900%
0.9041075297448210% 0.7588963989441050% 1.0672075255105200%
0.8953762382210440% 0.7465526790438930% 1.0566665865274900%
0.8835527029114380% 0.7306671061816080% 1.0491250029211500%
0.8671629281380740% 0.7135994621302620% 1.0360419810519000%
0.8451803006478170% 0.6933017290243550% 1.0096443284364900%
0.8171438210771110% 0.6693527423905310% 0.9763701990965910%
0.7832046660452480% 0.6408786273292180% 0.9377592260717940%
0.7440859973502970% 0.6092912330049480% 0.8934434064332930%
0.7009638949997690% 0.5755993995166510% 0.8455130511956460%
0.6552971237094370% 0.5346789848050180% 0.7948211854612440%
0.6086428446242370% 0.4907239520479320% 0.7447062785993760%
0.5624924238146900% 0.4504535977504550% 0.6956160131472960%
0.5181497260334250% 0.4097315713543450% 0.6447434446244820%
0.4766598659136930% 0.3710005161625250% 0.5977881991995730%
0.4387845687860350% 0.3381928761719930% 0.5526018186080710%
0.4050135021919960% 0.3086892854676520% 0.5121711401855290%
0.3755989357092420% 0.2843275862537590% 0.4758519046422410%
0.3506022498804150% 0.2644340432535260% 0.4476934674084360%
0.3299434212730970% 0.2475711168886820% 0.4215179937652180%
0.3134474818971920% 0.2342255273945800% 0.4030933796851830%
0.3008845028580570% 0.2249816766097150% 0.3889575826880100%
0.2920016669104130% 0.2180773441102530% 0.3808166347793390%
0.2865474049250640% 0.2131474736606350% 0.3758406143264470%
0.2842883619842790% 0.2095710505385940% 0.3741279769415510%
0.2850201692669510% 0.2098854193121550% 0.3748020580081130%
0.2885727600579280% 0.2121376675689670% 0.3791367069173630%
0.2948105283937010% 0.2160948006757830% 0.3877925533640320%
0.3036273266270770% 0.2212427177727590% 0.4012623795814640%
0.3149365008347760% 0.2267857073648170% 0.4178234280799840%
0.3286571726142800% 0.2298938142587140% 0.4433475718991490%
0.3446999321675540% 0.2320658505978400% 0.4765297643013300%
0.3629578990264990% 0.2335097121126800% 0.5195550952080900%
0.3833123055748860% 0.2346496109736210% 0.5751505303239230%
0.4056646616132250% 0.2340078812552800% 0.6408649175266560%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
1.4153155224581900% 1.2133537315605300% 1.6417420678918200%
1.3893998599263300% 1.1853027973693200% 1.6174951154958100%
1.3552716256791100% 1.1530172969776100% 1.5843149519995800%
1.3142144495988000% 1.1173272686740700% 1.5356603020522100%
1.2681239317176400% 1.0792979172636700% 1.4800202931600200%
1.2192287806224100% 1.0391480181186500% 1.4176708152660200%
1.1697959904555500% 0.9988434291785160% 1.3578187957172900%
1.1218792974720400% 0.9552878902351440% 1.3038972819747000%
1.0771457138416700% 0.9136094682765770% 1.2575557376715800%
1.0367866549022900% 0.8747110537003110% 1.2146601341129800%
1.0014986965903000% 0.8398127499247830% 1.1773114735956900%
0.9715090660989400% 0.8102025463144460% 1.1457105886906700%
0.9466216894530780% 0.7889237580303850% 1.1165591956268900%
0.9262671663323390% 0.7736308916182390% 1.0925648969566900%
0.9095502878218400% 0.7616118360711380% 1.0712547037304600%
0.8952984958203360% 0.7496314588789210% 1.0528067695205800%
0.8821217801612080% 0.7395292825334550% 1.0339601129413800%
0.8684971120011210% 0.7258575576817410% 1.0211710591854200%
0.8528870600982580% 0.7088921498480640% 1.0070893054574700%
0.8338921027324410% 0.6877620308173440% 0.9892148110566180%
0.8104209832618550% 0.6629082186001590% 0.9694637861788200%
0.7818481796612230% 0.6361548681445330% 0.9396285023217570%
0.7481195109653660% 0.6066363421610770% 0.9036506655075540%
0.7097724824692600% 0.5743252677039860% 0.8595162766699420%
0.6678581393176110% 0.5411360197521060% 0.8080707631460670%
0.6237792112835430% 0.5050815152895660% 0.7563434462727270%
0.5790833603947700% 0.4651812177448730% 0.7042711396121260%
0.5352600302538680% 0.4286927552079940% 0.6563070812560870%
0.4935818077865120% 0.3916456902508890% 0.6107817431742540%
0.4550118350492360% 0.3573090321839570% 0.5674382684109580%
0.4201773394226000% 0.3259072221901960% 0.5295909139357170%
0.3893939006744830% 0.2975704117645560% 0.4955291160349040%
0.3627188580956400% 0.2754093166134050% 0.4658943743532620%
0.3400139092877470% 0.2553417460237590% 0.4380504876685070%
0.3210029279911170% 0.2390778986529260% 0.4173075043164340%
0.3053179870987960% 0.2239662591061730% 0.3990885796540690%
0.2925325058393470% 0.2106988313129790% 0.3877041196759830%
0.2821846564045940% 0.1983655245205880% 0.3806586884356300%
0.2737967075989730% 0.1847229401274980% 0.3815770087320900%
0.2668970199966360% 0.1703189861237510% 0.3885067817839270%
0.2610509169258380% 0.1576295220634010% 0.3981263468448690%
0.2559045357577390% 0.1433445544095300% 0.4090116458798070%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
1.3101662570257100% 1.1117128019027000% 1.5190824531795100%
1.3592020187368600% 1.1522022688886500% 1.5772924455779600%
1.3991963596817600% 1.1864814106728600% 1.6253208820383200%
1.4285045360440900% 1.2147504444742800% 1.6571246760219800%
1.4461132319005800% 1.2369457491920800% 1.6719429945024400%
1.4517173226373900% 1.2512666493061900% 1.6732187846247200%
1.4457045512371800% 1.2471923808570200% 1.6610891819738700%
1.4290642285488600% 1.2382064963547900% 1.6376260587788800%
1.4032479495038700% 1.2107868960852100% 1.6092724087270500%
1.3700115709880400% 1.1796139740533900% 1.5790522795399900%
1.3312610734896300% 1.1403071036737100% 1.5395840008930900%
1.2889155054798600% 1.0993015364628000% 1.4964961117445800%
1.2447923827516500% 1.0557657156396500% 1.4479590218420700%
1.2005166275945200% 1.0150700918293200% 1.3999176201528100%
1.1574528892789300% 0.9795763003497110% 1.3479725353320000%
1.1166611725583100% 0.9454728574345590% 1.2986888900831600%
1.0788755671360300% 0.9151933481945690% 1.2570904386904000%
1.0445049049050600% 0.8861870253969310% 1.2203679666455700%
1.0136526488975500% 0.8547587703942890% 1.1879330473884000%
0.9861518781885430% 0.8285805610957950% 1.1617286601787100%
0.9616103732815160% 0.8044651811576070% 1.1347565897687900%
0.9394606939276830% 0.7846729219471760% 1.1132197455593300%
0.9190107264377840% 0.7648219579176650% 1.0888692916586600%
0.8994913791731870% 0.7515641359942680% 1.0621881478112300%
0.8800998542087370% 0.7351950068555300% 1.0391156836148900%
0.8600390245610530% 0.7195971346780030% 1.0140999478920500%
0.8385553952275850% 0.6975837506760840% 0.9898402829095500%
0.8149790928299010% 0.6759665348208980% 0.9642173405120180%
0.7887684362370370% 0.6526838667744010% 0.9407898871595750%
0.7595584846598150% 0.6244328541792240% 0.9156664696635960%
0.7272081286836060% 0.5942223332797010% 0.8807510418005830%
0.6918355421742420% 0.5610066289159100% 0.8421792071626250%
0.6538296148499980% 0.5270447382649700% 0.8010423192725270%
0.6138273810549290% 0.4919296054240690% 0.7526992777055770%
0.5726547308093300% 0.4554664231290720% 0.7044838351464950%
0.5312376582264190% 0.4185644341247550% 0.6568024207912140%
0.4905000277511440% 0.3800039135353340% 0.6144854361129810%
0.4512675706821600% 0.3421371373464300% 0.5794782918589510%
0.4141950692485370% 0.3031664971176540% 0.5462310673692090%
0.3797259602431480% 0.2648728181245720% 0.5208553522027990%
0.3480843848494130% 0.2284292065940200% 0.4993580860365440%
0.3192925059334590% 0.1969204020515220% 0.4794860669333280%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.9402740296313830% 0.7793214525995570% 1.1139225758134600%
0.9844554799869490% 0.8201201804874850% 1.1691401006707300%
1.0329470596406200% 0.8621004616242460% 1.2220359974739300%
1.0852639581616400% 0.9107832862815570% 1.2804057418902100%
1.1405227218006500% 0.9629241450582480% 1.3362525349403200%
1.1973972011271800% 1.0175049520911300% 1.3951688959228700%
1.2541072419897300% 1.0707783748384300% 1.4536391323311100%
1.3084628670532000% 1.1198178481156200% 1.5105325588389200%
1.3579838012324700% 1.1608481062297600% 1.5654877283324800%
1.4001015936069000% 1.1991130030852800% 1.6164687193855400%
1.4324297582695200% 1.2241551143504300% 1.6530367396336900%
1.4530618250660400% 1.2405093960437400% 1.6817727125314600%
1.4608379078602200% 1.2462089632018200% 1.6905683213797100%
1.4555176719694500% 1.2446732960504700% 1.6808836338189600%
1.4378161073573900% 1.2330294833741000% 1.6538209360963000%
1.4092933508776700% 1.2144590399125200% 1.6195127369610600%
1.3721277956198900% 1.1818676359856600% 1.5747929810342400%
1.3288281733095100% 1.1423270531694500% 1.5278406723274700%
1.2819465770092200% 1.0971815221609300% 1.4826241702112000%
1.2338415608886900% 1.0469617879263100% 1.4319437276122900%
1.1865170296782500% 1.0007067485072800% 1.3823019867622700%
1.1415390100546600% 0.9578353749356630% 1.3389288830677800%
1.1000159155486600% 0.9213505975235290% 1.2934323305477800%
1.0626209797570000% 0.8890852171106150% 1.2510997743697500%
1.0296366098028800% 0.8619886330714690% 1.2107083496401500%
1.0010062191491800% 0.8373955135843620% 1.1770029863110800%
0.9763864157767060% 0.8183851090306600% 1.1462016614480800%
0.9551989281736490% 0.8028868457639160% 1.1203101175393600%
0.9366859562684890% 0.7860895012723290% 1.1025925797756000%
0.9199739909080150% 0.7678708314012210% 1.0848299385749300%
0.9041492913437240% 0.7526166590534930% 1.0702747062282400%
0.8883435122109820% 0.7373670225302400% 1.0559966695837900%
0.8718217317172800% 0.7213037489415890% 1.0391615968243000%
0.8540596434857540% 0.7066734454489750% 1.0181055939696600%
0.8347946106102630% 0.6917970784917090% 0.9894310400349710%
0.8140384372734670% 0.6756437415222910% 0.9624639371223930%
0.7920477514946810% 0.6566383521997550% 0.9395935846413290%
0.7692580688772390% 0.6302296815829310% 0.9241698015909600%
0.7461959631680440% 0.5970630492270370% 0.9147805068507100%
0.7233871694431660% 0.5592468362107610% 0.9117048341539930%
0.7012761368959270% 0.5189176387591120% 0.9152995305879810%
0.6801662767532850% 0.4810959500224130% 0.9204466398860760%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.7976483684836140% 0.6364071547566210% 0.9822863321031270%
0.8059789843186180% 0.6452969070412860% 0.9945341525871880%
0.8170509735276150% 0.6536889840469110% 1.0079343990451100%
0.8312699516194930% 0.6673195113298480% 1.0226857921161600%
0.8490962189569290% 0.6857912757336630% 1.0418307604547100%
0.8710289302643740% 0.7087460829521760% 1.0607080266224400%
0.8975699947966720% 0.7352423680549160% 1.0856542486084200%
0.9291691417749190% 0.7681210881041990% 1.1092595155942900%
0.9661534551093150% 0.8068984030126570% 1.1470296252448700%
1.0086457851103700% 0.8465145391518000% 1.1898021478750000%
1.0564774641516000% 0.8883011634477170% 1.2403787723790300%
1.1091023515522300% 0.9334547803914840% 1.2973577721011100%
1.1655216859485400% 0.9799425146759600% 1.3610399615042000%
1.2242322581537700% 1.0324166096318300% 1.4298278765561300%
1.2832132509922300% 1.0866069535276100% 1.4945260652682300%
1.3399685343080100% 1.1387675388603500% 1.5581729200734400%
1.3916397164807300% 1.1914409267599600% 1.6123098137234100%
1.4351990710580000% 1.2312963902367700% 1.6553218398084800%
1.4677190802194900% 1.2594413206255700% 1.6884753637307600%
1.4866967210284500% 1.2755098501538900% 1.7094280077273100%
1.4903887969967300% 1.2762217673640400% 1.7152302017408900%
1.4780965875629600% 1.2615804150038600% 1.7039953408341500%
1.4503333452216600% 1.2362025367028000% 1.6776633517289000%
1.4088241976987900% 1.1986184420766100% 1.6319162213315500%
1.3563246149462200% 1.1551648517396300% 1.5771273799586800%
1.2962901452497000% 1.1045897170628600% 1.5080796458511600%
1.2324690499365700% 1.0484705142080400% 1.4307715602751600%
1.1685051314672500% 0.9914943869674760% 1.3561653952070400%
1.1076253538467400% 0.9381305416392020% 1.2878319106927300%
1.0524535629061100% 0.8877015787649190% 1.2318797486070700%
1.0049530108667800% 0.8416095975440600% 1.1834951992867700%
0.9664705620075730% 0.8049813607929920% 1.1462342765630800%
0.9378411955854100% 0.7748611514140310% 1.1161962484682300%
0.9195116085346980% 0.7567782694847020% 1.0950627818321800%
0.9116507668987200% 0.7522992473531410% 1.0828125051508400%
0.9142273022993340% 0.7586309235540710% 1.0800768649628900%
0.9270451532970470% 0.7732219938964300% 1.0933520839027200%
0.9497390918328080% 0.7929436223929540% 1.1192753404298200%
0.9817419685801050% 0.8121828172408980% 1.1654967941772000%
1.0222472914515600% 0.8260289230958880% 1.2361785498854600%
1.0702044838442200% 0.8362129783685990% 1.3342677298057900%
1.1243975673153700% 0.8407524366016460% 1.4511096322368100%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.6249651017454570% 0.4935646841776230% 0.7747208110288680%
0.6488768134345800% 0.5110643370801820% 0.8078742202514480%
0.6721562954298930% 0.5297794260052450% 0.8413484779598840%
0.6946151930752370% 0.5454142100298410% 0.8698751653168640%
0.7162427726210580% 0.5631811977741730% 0.8951397193684690%
0.7372201213322930% 0.5809707019057080% 0.9186088341475330%
0.7579052723618590% 0.6002183204000760% 0.9396113520573610%
0.7787872131081790% 0.6202987323891570% 0.9591163880626720%
0.8004118589789230% 0.6409249873243720% 0.9784210967555720%
0.8233535804269270% 0.6616262623531520% 0.9996044201721300%
0.8481770147640550% 0.6840824365127380% 1.0235122346673000%
0.8753993700620440% 0.7090954966992780% 1.0534562862988500%
0.9054604406573920% 0.7371085587000240% 1.0894929852451400%
0.9386967502919210% 0.7682894346993260% 1.1243390677583400%
0.9753148706411770% 0.8030286382072940% 1.1618665193850000%
1.0153596502353100% 0.8435046169292660% 1.2053811752451700%
1.0586756924502500% 0.8872561233569240% 1.2443655883178900%
1.1048644809831400% 0.9346031236544860% 1.2885116391902500%
1.1532442550561000% 0.9836082307971630% 1.3375968520477000%
1.2028238701559900% 1.0330811704791300% 1.3916654916229800%
1.2523038970465700% 1.0758975062486000% 1.4518188700273700%
1.3001165841128700% 1.1159775722288700% 1.5059594652073900%
1.3445102138892300% 1.1555482165515100% 1.5557796793171600%
1.3836735197311700% 1.1853529803696600% 1.5964515841135200%
1.4158848088937700% 1.2130574642250100% 1.6334445298704000%
1.4396622097748000% 1.2397593344378300% 1.6598839695263100%
1.4538896276886800% 1.2551193908099500% 1.6692297065960800%
1.4578988269742600% 1.2600326103956700% 1.6710780181611600%
1.4514994816967000% 1.2559025719242500% 1.6688909814271600%
1.4349614576501000% 1.2382860810333800% 1.6518251368093000%
1.4089622149506000% 1.2109158006627000% 1.6237980918253900%
1.3745144804043900% 1.1758197149430800% 1.5905895483259700%
1.3328859300545800% 1.1346188389662100% 1.5491978032489700%
1.2855167241148700% 1.0921621316493600% 1.4979851683010200%
1.2339360386013600% 1.0464006632157300% 1.4379001798458900%
1.1796775049210400% 1.0016008433691900% 1.3743604599702200%
1.1241956328273400% 0.9496763545605910% 1.3117798705006900%
1.0687888811046000% 0.8920545268168220% 1.2553946523173900%
1.0145375196885100% 0.8347683237556320% 1.2084519358150000%
0.9622641169895750% 0.7723416221086140% 1.1734974243396900%
0.9125212847262520% 0.7075022212829400% 1.1545601106388100%
0.8656064704771710% 0.6416456924450070% 1.1414162462473900%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.4701417600530750% 0.3646477181773050% 0.5909038275433240%
0.4911102531659690% 0.3829505174975260% 0.6130299858088730%
0.5130155746461220% 0.4012952769520470% 0.6381706630742140%
0.5357113054430880% 0.4195536023329480% 0.6631015854398500%
0.5590372875517620% 0.4397372427636330% 0.6890420451597180%
0.5828253303511120% 0.4622466543231300% 0.7170610370401370%
0.6069002253303810% 0.4823054625837200% 0.7440208932218430%
0.6310790392948350% 0.5028717623323950% 0.7704744078253790%
0.6551737040418330% 0.5224230797596140% 0.8003542520235210%
0.6790019940854630% 0.5400842173076180% 0.8356035812874310%
0.7024097390097200% 0.5566128194966630% 0.8664883944921390%
0.7253030973976940% 0.5716737593657270% 0.8986061851685720%
0.7476852761135410% 0.5855501983842920% 0.9272896769637830%
0.7696889511482850% 0.6019362422635960% 0.9545953795035580%
0.7915793800642930% 0.6211630024421910% 0.9822443808064620%
0.8137041456686930% 0.6422287746812640% 1.0037014064990700%
0.8365197022539350% 0.6658115762041640% 1.0240925300675100%
0.8605735549272540% 0.6931211245240690% 1.0459252613667900%
0.8864557110782070% 0.7198334404249330% 1.0692891687520700%
0.9147414958953600% 0.7484513634509570% 1.0994349552742700%
0.9459331234373160% 0.7786957098984090% 1.1323686490257400%
0.9804055949065430% 0.8116351776964550% 1.1670765381170400%
1.0183596962334700% 0.8443425913308120% 1.2039936426733800%
1.0597822470128200% 0.8819446706157340% 1.2485640673659600%
1.1044122462952400% 0.9254395503108070% 1.3008878738331700%
1.1517117942624300% 0.9719586428832400% 1.3520752416971800%
1.2008429338588400% 1.0174778705311700% 1.4032598389359200%
1.2506556453023000% 1.0694250120008300% 1.4524306694540300%
1.2996971247515300% 1.1167420718506200% 1.5042053547768900%
1.3462561496409600% 1.1545220274222800% 1.5575508750440900%
1.3884559739621900% 1.1895005436627500% 1.6019487793244800%
1.4244022607719100% 1.2177073868113500% 1.6477065859191100%
1.4523784465282700% 1.2401619730137000% 1.6821200562114000%
1.4710625788678100% 1.2544699780743500% 1.7064367705560600%
1.4797237288696700% 1.2667871230069800% 1.7134805173803600%
1.4783506425016700% 1.2722072954645800% 1.7074361767039700%
1.4676755953928100% 1.2668698371790700% 1.6880442985002100%
1.4490809103258400% 1.2447665363536300% 1.6699548554381400%
1.4244055047685500% 1.2117050251497200% 1.6561198674377200%
1.3956922019547300% 1.1586000212191600% 1.6465839869117300%
1.3649245495710900% 1.0980320815040300% 1.6584270474552600%
1.3337932462022800% 1.0299211013093400% 1.6760433643021100%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.4121334969921150% 0.3152183692536450% 0.5204277221924190%
0.4157425673096890% 0.3186908849100840% 0.5262037979958480%
0.4206352645964120% 0.3239500260759950% 0.5336084463697410%
0.4268654061428920% 0.3288572158981300% 0.5410172200737040%
0.4344726847604750% 0.3350259990527600% 0.5486999803187810%
0.4434807757954900% 0.3435834003082850% 0.5587748940923710%
0.4538921290008370% 0.3520104435933540% 0.5694128727901940%
0.4656816802102300% 0.3642618892344380% 0.5808230046013640%
0.4787927380996100% 0.3759862108619620% 0.5938617354536710%
0.4931383736993120% 0.3880899755781630% 0.6121960323401700%
0.5086106480851000% 0.3989965105224420% 0.6321540630584770%
0.5250980721432790% 0.4127269979041640% 0.6553430762766350%
0.5425092112833290% 0.4225692760433970% 0.6783972430301690%
0.5607980255358070% 0.4357388285983360% 0.7020258300088170%
0.5799851912216260% 0.4508205088744080% 0.7267349482998860%
0.6001698924411880% 0.4651616902795610% 0.7485049108629760%
0.6215284511052420% 0.4823630652507100% 0.7739812400918130%
0.6442990648440980% 0.5008632267689190% 0.8020323704977590%
0.6687548004816080% 0.5226197450828220% 0.8315856326406490%
0.6951688644165580% 0.5452667462837720% 0.8662238734049070%
0.7237765427822080% 0.5683455836213000% 0.9011760406362540%
0.7547543532964040% 0.5923094228978890% 0.9391618141113620%
0.7882405946316200% 0.6201710294090390% 0.9793045487487410%
0.8242630283453330% 0.6502004426584680% 1.0229213315440200%
0.8626990346636300% 0.6872079782914430% 1.0650858300608800%
0.9032523735240090% 0.7254577211565080% 1.1054163302708700%
0.9454297848533160% 0.7671083779941970% 1.1453585685588900%
0.9885204022671920% 0.8107550749690470% 1.1858042665443200%
1.0315856310874400% 0.8545359664020970% 1.2268424556507200%
1.0734713335462800% 0.8957207954830060% 1.2677681098532200%
1.1128555076374000% 0.9332212827445370% 1.3081590726764300%
1.1483407784385700% 0.9653652176376100% 1.3475634415986800%
1.1785908695980500% 0.9910390535823190% 1.3867768492221700%
1.2024954034826400% 1.0134968524808900% 1.4140215075206500%
1.2193327264600000% 1.0270762722852500% 1.4330908322124000%
1.2288926735936900% 1.0375799938528500% 1.4447325717202300%
1.2315255624010700% 1.0405294401175600% 1.4469047936868700%
1.2281005519231600% 1.0350219139034300% 1.4477188712283700%
1.2198799478040200% 1.0166063297584000% 1.4492270963343500%
1.2083366062178500% 0.9823812124265710% 1.4565905113339000%
1.1949512579129200% 0.9358943491019010% 1.4808290377010000%
1.1810228571227600% 0.8885729805965130% 1.5129711088542000%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.4348500824567840% 0.3411973845351800% 0.5423071078369440%
0.4254712779732470% 0.3319981036160050% 0.5335935928864610%
0.4179885434820580% 0.3256229601045410% 0.5269625297365860%
0.4124153986604290% 0.3203545677063060% 0.5210846696225350%
0.4087613546262470% 0.3157597611204280% 0.5171849421627680%
0.4070282321485110% 0.3167439157339500% 0.5143641870717430%
0.4072018236135500% 0.3172111367561160% 0.5131815530115020%
0.4092420100281380% 0.3193805835499140% 0.5142112831586500%
0.4130748680412350% 0.3218339913244770% 0.5184280453684190%
0.4185898350164120% 0.3260508516178640% 0.5264309598104390%
0.4256438096854270% 0.3312605490053000% 0.5388779370971120%
0.4340723555188360% 0.3371952040531320% 0.5466945659916260%
0.4437062381570950% 0.3435104259368050% 0.5587378208216880%
0.4543898237206140% 0.3541314271465630% 0.5739006480306940%
0.4659969660701890% 0.3643419412209560% 0.5861303915805310%
0.4784403892203410% 0.3760855948131640% 0.5970856435999060%
0.4916722989155020% 0.3883270900214130% 0.6114014618568180%
0.5056765562855510% 0.3998836731751900% 0.6285225464545690%
0.5204553246905190% 0.4112958199363310% 0.6465063460927350%
0.5360147254242790% 0.4222118192936560% 0.6675097022011230%
0.5523541213369630% 0.4318143430649180% 0.6907907134174010%
0.5694621511170290% 0.4419767616095500% 0.7157411112381190%
0.5873200498179600% 0.4548326892741590% 0.7422444681519180%
0.6059099599380070% 0.4686956758447240% 0.7676318972227400%
0.6252238259364860% 0.4814636815002820% 0.7908351182330050%
0.6452678722383610% 0.5008817056817280% 0.8125305586116290%
0.6660589401611480% 0.5176561985185120% 0.8367244147596730%
0.6876118234605910% 0.5388381373568570% 0.8587682779621870%
0.7099211022598200% 0.5594824801359830% 0.8822227293474500%
0.7329464020426680% 0.5795470676541850% 0.9096562419028720%
0.7566030467512600% 0.5990433941227340% 0.9342623031185980%
0.7807645935521960% 0.6174433220819480% 0.9643816213131870%
0.8052802523532780% 0.6385752992469790% 0.9922764902351410%
0.8300055002432440% 0.6613603044680750% 1.0199429409594300%
0.8548399168168870% 0.6864182837138390% 1.0408285123608000%
0.8797627610977970% 0.7168652699014440% 1.0607772523490900%
0.9048560168148490% 0.7445241900402690% 1.0826965814359900%
0.9303072490486360% 0.7674858889466940% 1.1096457637205600%
0.9563900521136320% 0.7861295598433850% 1.1404645634411600%
0.9834263893505670% 0.7931606157258430% 1.1850953520164100%
1.0117405939945100% 0.7945681140584410% 1.2526565688614400%
1.0416176046640600% 0.7806677302725610% 1.3397047280684000%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.7655642467180810% 0.6297749582955980% 0.9135700636859500%
0.7680921728262680% 0.6322982507271010% 0.9199542290246040%
0.7704702252753020% 0.6346941769108040% 0.9225435617779970%
0.7721300948194350% 0.6374885297815220% 0.9243586644576300%
0.7724480135485220% 0.6390874657825600% 0.9211197779527940%
0.7707722356968080% 0.6376931828507270% 0.9160654960853960%
0.7664597559425870% 0.6342856271295100% 0.9092558409970940%
0.7589258414291980% 0.6290301248671540% 0.9012021180437490%
0.7477059732336760% 0.6166452007601750% 0.8899684205261130%
0.7325235298924330% 0.6010200860416050% 0.8735425422623680%
0.7133502904202890% 0.5817842399015560% 0.8536861878631890%
0.6904436794998330% 0.5603168127776670% 0.8315330037016730%
0.6643470895982500% 0.5393754462129000% 0.8016719912693960%
0.6358478448404470% 0.5136871684872220% 0.7700300009018780%
0.6058987814678180% 0.4910250099542620% 0.7340653616764130%
0.5755194894686940% 0.4638405502317170% 0.6973932222143780%
0.5456979065917950% 0.4393845204168810% 0.6651536132919240%
0.5173106992983870% 0.4148197684619780% 0.6330296697410720%
0.4910733870210850% 0.3915661296966770% 0.6039005414389970%
0.4675220254105470% 0.3686117455632860% 0.5800101534112040%
0.4470208495721840% 0.3481019812028770% 0.5582975044610940%
0.4297863729427370% 0.3330076783641560% 0.5388226525273780%
0.4159180153618910% 0.3194717244390040% 0.5249575762588990%
0.4054272595936720% 0.3112390065825500% 0.5129499206467760%
0.3982602566291730% 0.3070086462563310% 0.5019083511237150%
0.3943117271299570% 0.3048521309058890% 0.4963272468982360%
0.3934304681311800% 0.3056675841197360% 0.4952281013262910%
0.3954186824345670% 0.3067874847928990% 0.4973297284111350%
0.4000287518228030% 0.3102513280018810% 0.5036250181904150%
0.4069619349417790% 0.3138414980136300% 0.5140541778450370%
0.4158735454041860% 0.3191682787661370% 0.5263431128541520%
0.4263880833225700% 0.3272266805128480% 0.5391117648110100%
0.4381253275254270% 0.3360072100514320% 0.5543709872376210%
0.4507348400110510% 0.3471413813788520% 0.5687045674579940%
0.4639327094847870% 0.3590115417382700% 0.5831069756806310%
0.4775321640529870% 0.3709331620704090% 0.5989734125236400%
0.4914601535350620% 0.3812097848751270% 0.6162358845456950%
0.5057553109334820% 0.3877440299980040% 0.6381764862174210%
0.5205476805867070% 0.3887864940834550% 0.6734846805431570%
0.5360252865446430% 0.3855882462371310% 0.7188421825280880%
0.5523952856935140% 0.3773235530981130% 0.7695063061851140%
0.5698474437532450% 0.3691278312452240% 0.8255532286621790%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.6892794264300650% 0.5542449364007750% 0.8454269985294070%
0.7030171844642930% 0.5640962783237180% 0.8644939231970960%
0.7170792576541500% 0.5747843034051860% 0.8804548711266550%
0.7311316832607170% 0.5881401432533810% 0.8936117029327370%
0.7447840498942290% 0.6032446296960050% 0.9046458630451790%
0.7575849550606400% 0.6163918633332530% 0.9168346856379820%
0.7690188523049290% 0.6311067423411080% 0.9257545802586500%
0.7785119542423610% 0.6420798319337150% 0.9325780588968070%
0.7854541924694430% 0.6480578518671790% 0.9388083949062860%
0.7892405447950940% 0.6518228844962830% 0.9440705740158730%
0.7893290631842260% 0.6494377441216360% 0.9458731280569340%
0.7853064744418640% 0.6455630515373460% 0.9423044085873350%
0.7769477110886490% 0.6375342830071600% 0.9348153080271190%
0.7642552877738340% 0.6262070568786020% 0.9205179627838720%
0.7474687771836910% 0.6150890268411740% 0.8990218522328050%
0.7270424259459480% 0.5971357851183210% 0.8706408662536880%
0.7035972405144100% 0.5776876198885050% 0.8430965542882250%
0.6778595045758050% 0.5566461250642800% 0.8166857312192980%
0.6505988419712770% 0.5322423854064980% 0.7849006648167240%
0.6225758886686130% 0.5060855722468990% 0.7535676243489320%
0.5945043368650070% 0.4791367628479010% 0.7237865192269330%
0.5670270054327760% 0.4544150499177280% 0.6924140412092200%
0.5407024347421630% 0.4316584202107580% 0.6593364321119530%
0.5159978106137530% 0.4116451954190310% 0.6309020998404030%
0.4932851850939010% 0.3942806080778380% 0.6036557508068960%
0.4728398342570890% 0.3773295498076200% 0.5802732302695840%
0.4548411288741320% 0.3626237767713700% 0.5608131106328130%
0.4393769498501640% 0.3476474961588480% 0.5458547401607730%
0.4264524678230540% 0.3348822829103830% 0.5316321868928980%
0.4160033672894390% 0.3234437420310950% 0.5217699714806560%
0.4079127102789290% 0.3153684377517280% 0.5129810032466190%
0.4020298448344480% 0.3068412718662170% 0.5081341332154970%
0.3981891754424230% 0.3030272193179820% 0.5059797387659880%
0.3962263040961460% 0.3021819014567580% 0.5037277966594430%
0.3959891553734870% 0.3030493889879400% 0.5062794285126770%
0.3973423816075880% 0.3013178088031820% 0.5085208637937920%
0.4001646863445010% 0.3016785366229180% 0.5156879859440220%
0.4043405912527750% 0.2974035082476380% 0.5305145172057230%
0.4097502693036400% 0.2914890060075750% 0.5517937473236080%
0.4162628991100080% 0.2817046020503490% 0.5792242435112510%
0.4237400720535250% 0.2724184657178200% 0.6161277187551170%
0.4320557537315060% 0.2606598605239930% 0.6585834873595710%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.5802433884120410% 0.4625864473878890% 0.7158331650357900%
0.5916761021576970% 0.4701930586539670% 0.7315828439363970%
0.6036505891979580% 0.4788814956360990% 0.7459213987479590%
0.6162127865025520% 0.4881624545854090% 0.7617568485069970%
0.6294431001804930% 0.4989726247528210% 0.7779560710321490%
0.6434327413751750% 0.5131692568903770% 0.7920742864343780%
0.6582500658321460% 0.5279198219838520% 0.8067401223302900%
0.6739034367636020% 0.5426910493890260% 0.8234828609648200%
0.6903075118120740% 0.5568045635669570% 0.8391479473630540%
0.7072586497148750% 0.5704409600482030% 0.8594025516440000%
0.7244229389008920% 0.5865715682789340% 0.8794183962148390%
0.7413378712463340% 0.6019075045723980% 0.8955206113482180%
0.7574265730841220% 0.6169199296131810% 0.9126568896754770%
0.7720222937359160% 0.6301976296425610% 0.9285749632351490%
0.7844008323506750% 0.6439725115243920% 0.9361518842483010%
0.7938196170871070% 0.6554617880674720% 0.9434654834462200%
0.7995635244043650% 0.6622179773161630% 0.9515193764066490%
0.8009980821825740% 0.6649301372706050% 0.9565552770808640%
0.7976293365435990% 0.6615768731770440% 0.9540137921846270%
0.7891660675443670% 0.6522323183232180% 0.9472007958832330%
0.7755752608067640% 0.6395970778989930% 0.9316436657832240%
0.7571181048939780% 0.6219550616321870% 0.9130479772834610%
0.7343539169200450% 0.5983576969523240% 0.8865276947615140%
0.7081046924137560% 0.5765398035601400% 0.8562673887078210%
0.6793823716273080% 0.5514357655330570% 0.8215750830675400%
0.6492910017339590% 0.5257072501039750% 0.7846111493764480%
0.6189226134600650% 0.5005888947277640% 0.7485766353247620%
0.5892661829502480% 0.4761560108168020% 0.7136467714061550%
0.5611437235273690% 0.4512891142971310% 0.6828414617342050%
0.5351790150358600% 0.4270541802159500% 0.6551576717969070%
0.5117961776840300% 0.4060389874426710% 0.6282901685272420%
0.4912397421955760% 0.3859371419705750% 0.6047019448108460%
0.4736058669463470% 0.3700566187453350% 0.5847061271712070%
0.4588753093606120% 0.3574194745799530% 0.5690061273209510%
0.4469414736571910% 0.3470368836353010% 0.5554074765953190%
0.4376302221822190% 0.3379371100519870% 0.5477713997779600%
0.4307114466011190% 0.3292124331378290% 0.5447893458061630%
0.4259053139152290% 0.3173432192960710% 0.5492026681187640%
0.4228884718987700% 0.3044757575504720% 0.5559454377635250%
0.4213071219382390% 0.2905087969947880% 0.5781247683320860%
0.4208043920430240% 0.2753885023987880% 0.6025074492839430%
0.4210684668846440% 0.2600363894155290% 0.6334126036205250%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.4086036219451750% 0.3184445083814780% 0.5117831067947840%
0.4330415873552070% 0.3382620771403000% 0.5422596916706000%
0.4578548243860140% 0.3578749539490030% 0.5719953069193590%
0.4827645047266760% 0.3782071279272390% 0.6019084069138080%
0.5075067973160010% 0.3992667274472970% 0.6323823314534530%
0.5318411106642620% 0.4215518071151530% 0.6584612979136720%
0.5555510271509120% 0.4424939202162580% 0.6837455410062410%
0.5784413130457560% 0.4621295137289040% 0.7112058770975780%
0.6003357944486430% 0.4797523291768530% 0.7366435035183510%
0.6210801767556320% 0.4953044826905870% 0.7610709112117810%
0.6405512821924490% 0.5100657727144440% 0.7840826425900580%
0.6586706874779330% 0.5241738081696640% 0.8056621685963240%
0.6754177599563860% 0.5373826893273270% 0.8280959177985880%
0.6908358742607420% 0.5510241534632140% 0.8451309203662730%
0.7050267404938920% 0.5642594759894320% 0.8619776724009170%
0.7181309444467840% 0.5788103280677670% 0.8711867321858830%
0.7302968357816200% 0.5923618462091950% 0.8860309321316310%
0.7416433495556860% 0.6041075020710590% 0.8972731312397550%
0.7522240827585060% 0.6162161362325580% 0.9075436511221580%
0.7619995647761710% 0.6222509386281760% 0.9156230797452680%
0.7708224929293710% 0.6276190395136340% 0.9261474270420280%
0.7784375708506850% 0.6354732852414590% 0.9335858040245970%
0.7844944795444410% 0.6403459195547400% 0.9416811867999960%
0.7885703415750930% 0.6452012274276590% 0.9430313135501820%
0.7901974358706460% 0.6474841688583850% 0.9426123736339370%
0.7888930124682520% 0.6493274044714070% 0.9375026843828530%
0.7841903056846090% 0.6474801845161720% 0.9297910554049630%
0.7756720883467850% 0.6396726362889670% 0.9201798263411780%
0.7630089349590520% 0.6310646494971130% 0.9096962683987900%
0.7460027549069890% 0.6177807765260640% 0.8926300244911380%
0.7246321770176830% 0.5968429150425080% 0.8714153802401210%
0.6990914622712850% 0.5742301597562240% 0.8437935721333580%
0.6698112732731580% 0.5490215833541230% 0.8122792438171180%
0.6374502647430010% 0.5199931412249220% 0.7723129642555030%
0.6028520341692590% 0.4874223009464120% 0.7354336736544420%
0.5669710407012840% 0.4552137145365880% 0.6927471064073420%
0.5307801701160630% 0.4190234131827540% 0.6544065719029560%
0.4951778484140800% 0.3791187336718310% 0.6204332264545810%
0.4609118647138340% 0.3417004334858760% 0.5948134028035630%
0.4285310406033640% 0.3037682444494860% 0.5737468872205580%
0.3983674709065160% 0.2672422973219900% 0.5542656323769590%
0.3705446396785000% 0.2348661841664660% 0.5401918527119150%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.3147056176647750% 0.2402602429518850% 0.4005582293190910%
0.3238324382603670% 0.2478408546705450% 0.4124521234970680%
0.3343207163928360% 0.2569729535350880% 0.4242632028378530%
0.3462783046611820% 0.2666087028458130% 0.4355394539182460%
0.3598045572680840% 0.2778848870975020% 0.4508591649698300%
0.3749790389191430% 0.2917375280558550% 0.4652435410731560%
0.3918460810557790% 0.3054498710838900% 0.4860356326669010%
0.4103980683960320% 0.3209777055394140% 0.5072650983598990%
0.4305611251423090% 0.3374652074577790% 0.5326983141510830%
0.4521868203789790% 0.3535524339420190% 0.5596796949663160%
0.4750525113214640% 0.3710442754115040% 0.5901873463383350%
0.4988710678736690% 0.3896059052014740% 0.6196510375153470%
0.5233083559941330% 0.4096739498187950% 0.6501870054650080%
0.5480047123710970% 0.4328447682043560% 0.6787648974379190%
0.5725955648164690% 0.4545357763557180% 0.7064097001143810%
0.5967269327170490% 0.4756035030684180% 0.7322851190079750%
0.6200637352743430% 0.4957210630286750% 0.7593948694240810%
0.6422918521620970% 0.5159618384477400% 0.7848670166131590%
0.6631174677541240% 0.5346631176902080% 0.8083402931197460%
0.6822682197726320% 0.5500649356309200% 0.8340737542552410%
0.6994995326398020% 0.5634446547760330% 0.8584699027380080%
0.7146066291253950% 0.5752776193955190% 0.8773669181436430%
0.7274392822674130% 0.5863592671058010% 0.8899525562308050%
0.7379139464103160% 0.5965088095091420% 0.8995462622923780%
0.7460177230924280% 0.6064857469984800% 0.9040511507920740%
0.7518009798678370% 0.6128923510601870% 0.9051534238884780%
0.7553595103571590% 0.6179790267559320% 0.9095194241697930%
0.7568112545801100% 0.6190482239271260% 0.9062235824812920%
0.7562750676352260% 0.6203263844609670% 0.9045731275025350%
0.7538587773204300% 0.6149838896965590% 0.9059692490083800%
0.7496608085181040% 0.6105268942698900% 0.9031744788537620%
0.7437849652888760% 0.6057832846152400% 0.8999204293566400%
0.7363631501152570% 0.5970792051849870% 0.8895251869346300%
0.7275775538856720% 0.5909675037260110% 0.8797287605091190%
0.7176734026955870% 0.5851400525761370% 0.8692336892818130%
0.7069559962114270% 0.5763956693093770% 0.8569598859708950%
0.6957706713957240% 0.5625478824628270% 0.8444253883678360%
0.6844697500277620% 0.5472725632063360% 0.8392075724443210%
0.6733745891691170% 0.5270414253435110% 0.8412293904888960%
0.6627423061745710% 0.4996745569913610% 0.8535066771741010%
0.6527454407788530% 0.4688746581125220% 0.8703651461471270%
0.6434695760116760% 0.4368161257701620% 0.8944178404133200%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.2953697576777720% 0.2178943571905610% 0.3820578031352770%
0.2954805125181200% 0.2190371035263210% 0.3803327807598330%
0.2964811194894010% 0.2217539940223560% 0.3807733325036670%
0.2984519861582880% 0.2246996374039280% 0.3809866203175080%
0.3014889208812290% 0.2285592214151440% 0.3837579584022430%
0.3056959794640760% 0.2331423801410450% 0.3879946144422850%
0.3111760244408140% 0.2397062888443270% 0.3925461855074750%
0.3180214292567940% 0.2459653540649220% 0.4007353554149060%
0.3263071101565540% 0.2533035334978520% 0.4125458326586110%
0.3360872882065380% 0.2614767674148310% 0.4254194576257960%
0.3473962867731340% 0.2695630259487450% 0.4397356235371090%
0.3602524788943340% 0.2792916440889450% 0.4548857707616890%
0.3746634524456240% 0.2898798192156260% 0.4724207882263980%
0.3906298232190990% 0.3030482468037940% 0.4917767086266140%
0.4081451442543240% 0.3175542444527300% 0.5111068871533950%
0.4271901616396330% 0.3342104705561800% 0.5318371856107310%
0.4477211592501060% 0.3519701373211200% 0.5570421083591750%
0.4696539759462870% 0.3705417318492310% 0.5823167353270980%
0.4928469510703270% 0.3910383710880610% 0.6132968337867650%
0.5170870045523660% 0.4100747050819690% 0.6437569371908520%
0.5420828617434260% 0.4282990377750390% 0.6753001276438700%
0.5674679572289600% 0.4487521776276410% 0.7045888369968760%
0.5928130930340270% 0.4686780374533370% 0.7366125269574300%
0.6176462472997470% 0.4892354331693220% 0.7644661412517450%
0.6414750814729590% 0.5102725299637580% 0.7881846395174680%
0.6638075949052750% 0.5291595580512650% 0.8113962214124460%
0.6841682921709310% 0.5497301634726770% 0.8328150496772040%
0.7021104716164970% 0.5681430730452260% 0.8520946175149740%
0.7172283299980230% 0.5826889819094570% 0.8690534464728620%
0.7291738502722220% 0.5906174670073220% 0.8843886907779880%
0.7376818715275600% 0.5953174785988850% 0.8980178740869410%
0.7426025431104760% 0.5990210336238760% 0.9036012786889010%
0.7439350939849790% 0.6003486059656970% 0.9071794717129370%
0.7418528791867390% 0.5983071748374450% 0.9028563105613850%
0.7367091580260810% 0.5976810320591560% 0.8938454982715030%
0.7290168227551040% 0.5926143625394740% 0.8813047479828880%
0.7194021909061600% 0.5817007005703920% 0.8727952273452220%
0.7085403248524890% 0.5610906888097920% 0.8712301911421090%
0.6970842508783610% 0.5376849379183170% 0.8764775938356330%
0.6856012309322500% 0.5052051256585680% 0.8880917513504850%
0.6745260955569990% 0.4744744827909310% 0.9074043488726740%
0.6641362908336710% 0.4413429960867840% 0.9379024056168330%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1995404197706640% 0.1344846104713390% 0.2810929638155840%
0.2085370937903770% 0.1433922863658050% 0.2901864135764620%
0.2177029569004030% 0.1520686485335470% 0.2978926313933610%
0.2269370133282020% 0.1609021330003700% 0.3079356898222920%
0.2361526812919090% 0.1690104028741400% 0.3179288067655160%
0.2452805405292890% 0.1780966129881000% 0.3259240082554960%
0.2542670192028230% 0.1858830908313130% 0.3352788545873020%
0.2630712333476710% 0.1946834010449020% 0.3438596504346930%
0.2716628914506320% 0.2018845139199340% 0.3520087088052650%
0.2800236852014680% 0.2093890140060720% 0.3621222389348610%
0.2881530658710760% 0.2162343708497140% 0.3719100377232840%
0.2960773242227690% 0.2229925444865120% 0.3814375750921280%
0.3038592209829990% 0.2283999916700630% 0.3913826612967660%
0.3116047297179800% 0.2351854377944640% 0.4005558334381380%
0.3194640470308380% 0.2435151475205720% 0.4071116095989350%
0.3276256631446540% 0.2515759838503540% 0.4141899144927630%
0.3363043116395980% 0.2594353495354260% 0.4226774890824720%
0.3457252603052800% 0.2678300621666040% 0.4328135627712030%
0.3561081275997580% 0.2776254598323510% 0.4437603218179770%
0.3676530861742670% 0.2862660640847360% 0.4579145104953860%
0.3805311878612680% 0.2966076339398230% 0.4740493041766540%
0.3948790398358690% 0.3075535889623340% 0.4941391874120890%
0.4107966205424400% 0.3202592205847640% 0.5143936823194990%
0.4283460202968880% 0.3342896862161030% 0.5354512799754220%
0.4475486127104090% 0.3506850887326760% 0.5580305426542350%
0.4683787878186120% 0.3693793943406920% 0.5813520090104520%
0.4907539150435060% 0.3892541866416950% 0.6077084075870400%
0.5145224139207030% 0.4088569252887390% 0.6382521324834170%
0.5394541538029770% 0.4276991349795850% 0.6678792838684080%
0.5652390706981870% 0.4469565164262380% 0.7008647375948810%
0.5914999568207090% 0.4657473871921440% 0.7346340159169540%
0.6178231383707080% 0.4849380872628190% 0.7670767694227510%
0.6438061823768570% 0.5063571606040380% 0.7987861543100580%
0.6691159101270700% 0.5279579444268890% 0.8263957888522500%
0.6935449133430660% 0.5529461275302390% 0.8548526496450010%
0.7170528138169470% 0.5742434847981550% 0.8789395099969020%
0.7397810544870090% 0.5903967264384500% 0.9033674408554280%
0.7620364904622280% 0.6063883822251460% 0.9376677514564520%
0.7842470127943010% 0.6128099037311200% 0.9777536648510500%
0.8068987644335580% 0.6110160053303230% 1.0331582361376800%
0.8304669839145910% 0.6060671197997650% 1.1002211606491900%
0.8553507904100780% 0.5943997218957360% 1.1794383111814400%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.1311081499141290% 0.0777681102497679% 0.1998497839881280%
0.1385207214904830% 0.0843827231948831% 0.2076043547775010%
0.1471961001845620% 0.0927771407007076% 0.2170621002770210%
0.1571748840866440% 0.1014640262342550% 0.2288698382729430%
0.1684404131466320% 0.1112765887647410% 0.2405800796867120%
0.1808999100794510% 0.1226854110606870% 0.2549418810707470%
0.1943659925569980% 0.1342697161666490% 0.2703634158650310%
0.2085443873863470% 0.1449665458177670% 0.2853265714291970%
0.2230353119725880% 0.1568789286290680% 0.3014355292794260%
0.2373554573825100% 0.1689808144256050% 0.3178721220020150%
0.2509837201124970% 0.1798029199228410% 0.3351282194610290%
0.2634269248851940% 0.1895563112300720% 0.3513870663731280%
0.2742938409857410% 0.1993174752070620% 0.3635888620583670%
0.2833604193084510% 0.2067091305182710% 0.3725126440947690%
0.2906096320636710% 0.2143762084538250% 0.3784158344766250%
0.2962362468181230% 0.2202664408040930% 0.3827426321753280%
0.3006175021529230% 0.2257582293730310% 0.3862569366119520%
0.3042601861518160% 0.2308534724397840% 0.3885183264599760%
0.3077391469957070% 0.2349207390567670% 0.3920567427856440%
0.3116408258411050% 0.2379360193280590% 0.3973420532102770%
0.3165198973611040% 0.2422869310837950% 0.4038180750124250%
0.3228705958399700% 0.2469735137204800% 0.4103571654176890%
0.3311092380092700% 0.2532237269676720% 0.4195262353294540%
0.3415618807142950% 0.2621026924247330% 0.4316656039368880%
0.3544508980014580% 0.2727125352233870% 0.4472022399880460%
0.3698760093568460% 0.2870697145323130% 0.4646143735710560%
0.3877884823714640% 0.3022023450881550% 0.4830373799973580%
0.4079615499503400% 0.3191829735540350% 0.5060578151134710%
0.4299650212235780% 0.3378643708405140% 0.5323456898030090%
0.4531564574958490% 0.3560908805493710% 0.5631467753619700%
0.4767030555047500% 0.3730818511355520% 0.5939801258068230%
0.4996450489871870% 0.3914716671727900% 0.6248227696718380%
0.5210016029882480% 0.4077163976342120% 0.6512199635731420%
0.5399054224801390% 0.4241702961414410% 0.6744295658563690%
0.5557380126854850% 0.4373468454559250% 0.6949894761230840%
0.5682310193084420% 0.4472687067799400% 0.7085648642815360%
0.5775052512849170% 0.4498135481940480% 0.7197438212572240%
0.5840364373248970% 0.4463295032645080% 0.7407723332181500%
0.5885577235225800% 0.4351342846815170% 0.7630294746942990%
0.5919237577888370% 0.4151729813544230% 0.7957407366372890%
0.5949641988261270% 0.3948197800706060% 0.8394211807352780%
0.5983465317742360% 0.3747532325647840% 0.8825039110185170%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0734061565201095% 0.0334286591451557% 0.1301295117707010%
0.0760964100024326% 0.0358452050119823% 0.1323851268451980%
0.0795251604455748% 0.0388355921921146% 0.1353432618709880%
0.0837808213643706% 0.0423419833955656% 0.1385225901184990%
0.0889568974567570% 0.0469149783531500% 0.1430870671479210%
0.0951472547743673% 0.0518186572797343% 0.1500064493313410%
0.1024379575754190% 0.0573249934800759% 0.1589192223431650%
0.1108959088016160% 0.0647248746970334% 0.1698846236178080%
0.1205552748458920% 0.0723599503658953% 0.1814743850858230%
0.1314035481964700% 0.0811768507220164% 0.1955961144475660%
0.1433698775968290% 0.0899244779773116% 0.2118292447057900%
0.1563185980185540% 0.0992278005845838% 0.2274297154510020%
0.1700503512447360% 0.1091632628467990% 0.2455055362920640%
0.1843117042764450% 0.1207834271469500% 0.2635901940457010%
0.1988121337249140% 0.1331049572545300% 0.2808570381837760%
0.2132454591868040% 0.1462274246847160% 0.2965002684292640%
0.2273121043340180% 0.1598263622358590% 0.3122897701418360%
0.2407392560141780% 0.1726956647800620% 0.3251899656750990%
0.2532976177125760% 0.1836025803672830% 0.3374581262191280%
0.2648150178535120% 0.1930848658196580% 0.3493565236417690%
0.2751877166224650% 0.2019203211026950% 0.3629034254726020%
0.2843895898793210% 0.2104256123219050% 0.3735312888687690%
0.2924780019685380% 0.2178471172999750% 0.3826971584328490%
0.2995941297101280% 0.2238219447141130% 0.3903674945599320%
0.3059556315072810% 0.2295674507499160% 0.3959586753593410%
0.3118410505690240% 0.2347874429426600% 0.4006622247297570%
0.3175675978963260% 0.2404447249060080% 0.4054572410608110%
0.3234659664879950% 0.2452208255403170% 0.4118410575145560%
0.3298567411302920% 0.2504412308242880% 0.4180295389482740%
0.3370325131465290% 0.2558168249024030% 0.4276681707320010%
0.3452482781048720% 0.2626995005810420% 0.4379466879394370%
0.3547206510301480% 0.2702221764127610% 0.4486073562467990%
0.3656344087593390% 0.2788850669793100% 0.4615601418310140%
0.3781532390663970% 0.2912256188273390% 0.4775987688848570%
0.3924306153967800% 0.3019436691664240% 0.4930353835612830%
0.4086166733670680% 0.3151932824511500% 0.5121120870704460%
0.4268580480109250% 0.3294300888195080% 0.5386172698889360%
0.4472899066389530% 0.3404795366060580% 0.5723499179138410%
0.4700227204484850% 0.3466537760993210% 0.6157331940881740%
0.4951302518435860% 0.3486789952874920% 0.6726344738056790%
0.5226491778328590% 0.3491890027601990% 0.7461617197653320%
0.5526039947398770% 0.3480438951142400% 0.8292756235135380%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0419695373869577% 0.0143420768682480% 0.0856046296422695%
0.0442857025211127% 0.0159974473552988% 0.0879316744003653%
0.0469122786457975% 0.0182298878677655% 0.0905561801401098%
0.0498874211767963% 0.0207104474225069% 0.0942530451748488%
0.0532558677860937% 0.0233292036544394% 0.0978857232721597%
0.0570673972190006% 0.0262939067474739% 0.1024612840804680%
0.0613739542957233% 0.0293637620609483% 0.1072815302098880%
0.0662259630174453% 0.0331821937663106% 0.1129216923358640%
0.0716686369942740% 0.0371713103744659% 0.1198033373498570%
0.0777392226685337% 0.0414502949560623% 0.1279500577721160%
0.0844660037245821% 0.0459516777002664% 0.1371529262560710%
0.0918694981273906% 0.0511746207678776% 0.1479499125696760%
0.0999656080172875% 0.0571500241401275% 0.1583454311788860%
0.1087696871160220% 0.0634586139615645% 0.1693986690758270%
0.1182998526187260% 0.0708880954528428% 0.1809272400243160%
0.1285776979127060% 0.0789544786930790% 0.1937267028350260%
0.1396250322882790% 0.0874416559287139% 0.2076452750389760%
0.1514563098361520% 0.0977022601738163% 0.2210256581866400%
0.1640677046282780% 0.1083477120441910% 0.2350054596409960%
0.1774249219387630% 0.1184057755933830% 0.2506799315310990%
0.1914524132634690% 0.1297468391223420% 0.2673817099279080%
0.2060264373872190% 0.1415117948142500% 0.2856388991751550%
0.2209733703178260% 0.1524505495747710% 0.3041592674526760%
0.2360731176722250% 0.1654865402666180% 0.3215894672470840%
0.2510660323496330% 0.1784543289067880% 0.3400574031348840%
0.2656611104493540% 0.1912252483593130% 0.3547410222883560%
0.2795439030964130% 0.2036454263972700% 0.3697947380194960%
0.2923844063017990% 0.2157031576487770% 0.3841486979155040%
0.3038473261490720% 0.2262975749443080% 0.3958365223426750%
0.3136082871392170% 0.2346996698370270% 0.4087744642935980%
0.3213786571346130% 0.2402955647679140% 0.4188341046850840%
0.3269384378294980% 0.2459893209217190% 0.4273896371568080%
0.3301720825128970% 0.2484945542026210% 0.4306270038497790%
0.3310981894597090% 0.2512361525071250% 0.4289034440188430%
0.3298830276945720% 0.2503671331917020% 0.4248750830046070%
0.3268309641401790% 0.2478141825563790% 0.4202822487427600%
0.3223512482736940% 0.2424656207098730% 0.4159150443071250%
0.3169076227673350% 0.2343298559538000% 0.4147512132909240%
0.3109618118916050% 0.2227321799754000% 0.4170405398037900%
0.3049223621302640% 0.2086777806774890% 0.4216640098801110%
0.2991069773936440% 0.1927665174728380% 0.4311309203090120%
0.2937213957161670% 0.1770104192564890% 0.4485690207636650%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0516576706009238% 0.0160455608959846% 0.1099288663971440%
0.0513283945353414% 0.0168351204766513% 0.1066684625976000%
0.0511809778588680% 0.0175490548968123% 0.1030836422726790%
0.0512151754840712% 0.0183439204630641% 0.1013891626016680%
0.0514401080552436% 0.0194019299381835% 0.1008703825361680%
0.0518702786408880% 0.0200480693523658% 0.0999301438411086%
0.0525210204857730% 0.0212644973408860% 0.1003820250742100%
0.0534048151816642% 0.0221032944366161% 0.1008227459035160%
0.0545296319569740% 0.0228536212014199% 0.1030717169668870%
0.0558998947464939% 0.0237890895352685% 0.1045465770811390%
0.0575200337060457% 0.0245918764296757% 0.1063352184627240%
0.0593999301642577% 0.0255018688346258% 0.1088914157982380%
0.0615610314586352% 0.0270905679330383% 0.1113425044871960%
0.0640416443380896% 0.0288544299482326% 0.1150289714590310%
0.0669000456300865% 0.0310712945949569% 0.1187679245934910%
0.0702145830112613% 0.0332521476189603% 0.1223000707745400%
0.0740806995529931% 0.0362264802072004% 0.1274465839789680%
0.0786055174992466% 0.0395619340783244% 0.1328532974330800%
0.0839010289026076% 0.0436207632692669% 0.1399577803868350%
0.0900770018514133% 0.0477127504873258% 0.1483907144736370%
0.0972345007800224% 0.0521189355455532% 0.1575282236774240%
0.1054605352987850% 0.0573668707424003% 0.1701423792154520%
0.1148238244459860% 0.0635431513790037% 0.1828792447037750%
0.1253709977413100% 0.0711876634528957% 0.1954442771145530%
0.1371218670230750% 0.0802254381934584% 0.2118731604930140%
0.1500620215132930% 0.0906913871472155% 0.2261602888231960%
0.1641314068322780% 0.1017980447789840% 0.2419733278565320%
0.1792091485108010% 0.1148317361540700% 0.2598279455336890%
0.1950976544722680% 0.1291424022917830% 0.2790412123712650%
0.2115122528484480% 0.1415979286439680% 0.2986578550417950%
0.2280847903760470% 0.1553659170553190% 0.3199217451774160%
0.2443888323690760% 0.1665725756089280% 0.3384994261267920%
0.2599890495133820% 0.1796047749825330% 0.3571685742223540%
0.2745086532357180% 0.1925163589476560% 0.3741882949708250%
0.2876996129440950% 0.2044906214191480% 0.3890482559375490%
0.2994957037103860% 0.2144323758154190% 0.4010576701851180%
0.3100316843933440% 0.2219359541463860% 0.4140162936191610%
0.3196223888393210% 0.2252783824900900% 0.4278547074875160%
0.3287082223434690% 0.2247203429476660% 0.4506338714312800%
0.3377823407177620% 0.2198377284563300% 0.4797843750666440%
0.3473162418440920% 0.2103305669468620% 0.5191073486027810%
0.3576955047770140% 0.2002788524990740% 0.5691896412958800%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0642883628566251% 0.0263769385888178% 0.1193669725936560%
0.0623959237758125% 0.0262229073265581% 0.1138895199034940%
0.0607961835388292% 0.0262036424403900% 0.1093247438049380%
0.0594796559484262% 0.0260382055230926% 0.1065850842611430%
0.0584390991826853% 0.0261522371465389% 0.1034064985605740%
0.0576694557028205% 0.0260509467349145% 0.1013955991627150%
0.0571676133711878% 0.0259662151538312% 0.1002914151801150%
0.0569320557688036% 0.0259706324236258% 0.0993831090411663%
0.0569624685588706% 0.0259583163257219% 0.0986681067038703%
0.0572593558492794% 0.0263162214210339% 0.0991873414182400%
0.0578237049054503% 0.0265475439647784% 0.1002354930239640%
0.0586567254736817% 0.0270700503438263% 0.1014190962173190%
0.0597596835571995% 0.0274536050496638% 0.1028798962189160%
0.0611338470138932% 0.0280889520890639% 0.1048340124846870%
0.0627805575316220% 0.0288917073941736% 0.1072674586020640%
0.0647014355867066% 0.0300679564601977% 0.1097151420351550%
0.0668987088473495% 0.0312313306307741% 0.1128418366638830%
0.0693756307015886% 0.0327996115345852% 0.1157257948576140%
0.0721369290827166% 0.0346029185923344% 0.1185491069029080%
0.0751892048015460% 0.0370963911629875% 0.1219105453699880%
0.0785411920668838% 0.0396178523280011% 0.1250682877977050%
0.0822038078650253% 0.0422870573948826% 0.1292800795111580%
0.0861899521446173% 0.0456314483938021% 0.1337540069413350%
0.0905140724327787% 0.0499418177119157% 0.1383219995876220%
0.0951915657968896% 0.0542945573736900% 0.1432412574757220%
0.1002381476928610% 0.0585732299672837% 0.1496848699788890%
0.1056693610083360% 0.0635193240002049% 0.1554770936908140%
0.1115004195557620% 0.0684200519815993% 0.1636454958102520%
0.1177465684905030% 0.0738017590260110% 0.1706448088176060%
0.1244240911314270% 0.0797488408859494% 0.1788040001193770%
0.1315519943946250% 0.0849315282653047% 0.1886512040611170%
0.1391542715903020% 0.0906887067962135% 0.1978867743178570%
0.1472624948275830% 0.0966597520276248% 0.2102142219166860%
0.1559183660521340% 0.1011541057711980% 0.2229423435909460%
0.1651757958862960% 0.1063968832583160% 0.2388491176416480%
0.1751021129898780% 0.1099458609713210% 0.2559169932969830%
0.1857781426918880% 0.1142991213785840% 0.2744774302046610%
0.1972971188740760% 0.1169266080690270% 0.2963249744371830%
0.2097626807592380% 0.1193568147417030% 0.3240830387989960%
0.2232865292090930% 0.1219269782665380% 0.3588649768724840%
0.2379866572153590% 0.1238963793629030% 0.3994324483709640%
0.2539874221706160% 0.1249659735354610% 0.4473992395136480%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0588284990637204% 0.0266195134664740% 0.1013495411393480%
0.0586966653354445% 0.0270682211737687% 0.0999028440313055%
0.0585973138303888% 0.0274073645488296% 0.0986931092859418%
0.0585308640950828% 0.0276480200243124% 0.0978678459133641%
0.0584983592424876% 0.0280215460947790% 0.0968050506657215%
0.0585014219028333% 0.0285486173699549% 0.0962035298049943%
0.0585421176068921% 0.0289049382035785% 0.0954080711850170%
0.0586227487261007% 0.0292946524841144% 0.0950922618006265%
0.0587456126900948% 0.0297370988176613% 0.0949977331191990%
0.0589127609147414% 0.0302308587762445% 0.0943440474094485%
0.0591257906076542% 0.0308230618847996% 0.0942076869923990%
0.0593856928361205% 0.0313461246514345% 0.0942461088570431%
0.0596927696493826% 0.0317443254202491% 0.0939443467398691%
0.0600466226002059% 0.0322314758922547% 0.0940943539414993%
0.0604462056925765% 0.0328056482975710% 0.0942770229036183%
0.0608899279899322% 0.0331909648995095% 0.0943559902460890%
0.0613757852098187% 0.0340026285931095% 0.0954127561465328%
0.0619014962404575% 0.0346525004594338% 0.0962171602777687%
0.0624646204805174% 0.0351983142375198% 0.0970116561726990%
0.0630626358900563% 0.0361306367589325% 0.0972021041907358%
0.0636929656806030% 0.0368693226197048% 0.0978350424234051%
0.0643529527751830% 0.0375250833073169% 0.0986860838878720%
0.0650397937570222% 0.0385411256299436% 0.0996452732818661%
0.0657504556885238% 0.0394077082794620% 0.1005813592340800%
0.0664816075893103% 0.0402217725144192% 0.1011478542485800%
0.0672296016160538% 0.0407856257972463% 0.1022918074707030%
0.0679905358797836% 0.0411055452830253% 0.1038398017648690%
0.0687604209301842% 0.0411636466851380% 0.1052778094363720%
0.0695354556226183% 0.0415913394388519% 0.1070376259639810%
0.0703123968018539% 0.0418792592369142% 0.1089233362080790%
0.0710889838689448% 0.0421022289358081% 0.1105449930368270%
0.0718643584407184% 0.0424047622737895% 0.1123173655060570%
0.0726394068440989% 0.0424434317739727% 0.1145185808673900%
0.0734169546705085% 0.0425915885137142% 0.1174435416608540%
0.0742017607894611% 0.0424788195963656% 0.1203593468079690%
0.0750002908895499% 0.0422867830859286% 0.1238943477355900%
0.0758202905324968% 0.0419387864494270% 0.1270891256020300%
0.0766702150466559% 0.0416715062161497% 0.1315256414057100%
0.0775585997878509% 0.0412369661079094% 0.1369368547791090%
0.0784934650526424% 0.0408613149792185% 0.1420003604215900%
0.0794818459332937% 0.0404470127196855% 0.1480180438472620%
0.0805295233205093% 0.0399263785853480% 0.1534797199184620%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0669369041978447% 0.0259293270662891% 0.1413668867079190%
0.0658681519041204% 0.0262859371059871% 0.1326425513227390%
0.0648972172217583% 0.0269090235553642% 0.1269530747836590%
0.0640201586414758% 0.0276237859355001% 0.1214013790877070%
0.0632332389429985% 0.0279339801053807% 0.1157940485425390%
0.0625323025306873% 0.0283191506947046% 0.1111096052145760%
0.0619128302056473% 0.0285309331799943% 0.1088111009889210%
0.0613703282029893% 0.0287616969708738% 0.1059425420892490%
0.0609007803764246% 0.0289844773982412% 0.1032225766540260%
0.0605009756406908% 0.0292971167643594% 0.1020215337660200%
0.0601686101797012% 0.0294270527741909% 0.1007206581316420%
0.0599021461666703% 0.0295315305799879% 0.0992967223376573%
0.0597004757666125% 0.0296128979675947% 0.0984002120725493%
0.0595624829417391% 0.0297964371028449% 0.0974224544436382%
0.0594866127621689% 0.0302161771990957% 0.0961868978616644%
0.0594705506289797% 0.0304430418585738% 0.0951739026925007%
0.0595110876129914% 0.0307212265079255% 0.0951539704665258%
0.0596042093633217% 0.0309894660550844% 0.0945867178046813%
0.0597454006142918% 0.0310075462799282% 0.0945292982030862%
0.0599301114370482% 0.0313423435450990% 0.0948334996994170%
0.0601542932376735% 0.0315068206240852% 0.0948458615105936%
0.0604148921969436% 0.0316637704706504% 0.0947354738518924%
0.0607101940698653% 0.0321368369522059% 0.0948066506570071%
0.0610399489930797% 0.0329246560245211% 0.0956009658020490%
0.0614052600284664% 0.0333922559015271% 0.0959917103821999%
0.0618082782625726% 0.0336870561059294% 0.0963090109841288%
0.0622517927656819% 0.0338925415875926% 0.0978399255045432%
0.0627388240676868% 0.0342504323470792% 0.0992068812121865%
0.0632723227736343% 0.0346358425473332% 0.0999892426015444%
0.0638550455852912% 0.0349354592803048% 0.1016956904006670%
0.0644896375234404% 0.0351525890480098% 0.1033470229353040%
0.0651788999567883% 0.0355421749897625% 0.1054821680361520%
0.0659261772465643% 0.0356949759707517% 0.1069724462088930%
0.0667357590102925% 0.0360920843760431% 0.1089750470613380%
0.0676131792787260% 0.0362381809044170% 0.1123488167882870%
0.0685653058815263% 0.0361946656692055% 0.1162962196587000%
0.0696001566564600% 0.0359735728113484% 0.1207699058525790%
0.0707264507127204% 0.0357491409314023% 0.1254295274405420%
0.0719529948092613% 0.0354893162986991% 0.1313457618215760%
0.0732881067812818% 0.0353118317954526% 0.1394203981858060%
0.0747393813782730% 0.0348788993885865% 0.1489092839123160%
0.0763142043475861% 0.0344776103736250% 0.1585886498506370%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0489512551929895% 0.0153177020512696% 0.1091521054676600%
0.0487472077568412% 0.0161924825425945% 0.1059719871979620%
0.0485858163905970% 0.0169446834284919% 0.1041056942240460%
0.0484644347582824% 0.0177501466817244% 0.1018234336833450%
0.0483789120963400% 0.0183102347558016% 0.0995022193072837%
0.0483236707452636% 0.0187456860066566% 0.0974613198493868%
0.0482921050231593% 0.0193364542671340% 0.0961091490464919%
0.0482771946619339% 0.0197754791750716% 0.0947204010107295%
0.0482721932429800% 0.0201920287130094% 0.0930902945325135%
0.0482712415606273% 0.0207184444657774% 0.0918433574242452%
0.0482697771711496% 0.0210288035699624% 0.0904091892147798%
0.0482646643088938% 0.0214300685501610% 0.0901067145201062%
0.0482540403182427% 0.0216712705706286% 0.0883359301243864%
0.0482369448634195% 0.0221339355447539% 0.0881121055626014%
0.0482128462755708% 0.0226483649926079% 0.0877372593022015%
0.0481811942440012% 0.0227518528022192% 0.0860405104077879%
0.0481411097399331% 0.0229105755626469% 0.0856632491525226%
0.0480912798371271% 0.0229303144881640% 0.0845364796974302%
0.0480300687878864% 0.0229951894501659% 0.0846912646206594%
0.0479558000037649% 0.0230003148947641% 0.0844946471412818%
0.0478671192029720% 0.0228973268859910% 0.0842452676523467%
0.0477633284686185% 0.0230152575720579% 0.0835506347564626%
0.0476445914475988% 0.0228558097165729% 0.0828181339629242%
0.0475119500610251% 0.0228231694518305% 0.0824580851454556%
0.0473671514021871% 0.0227574086271661% 0.0815202882714245%
0.0472123414765585% 0.0227218617742612% 0.0820903278883551%
0.0470497216293733% 0.0224688086165896% 0.0817672163789851%
0.0468812725445370% 0.0223972875966898% 0.0812941988410980%
0.0467086286574370% 0.0220630130407212% 0.0812911865968669%
0.0465331409004294% 0.0217955879764870% 0.0806369470090664%
0.0463561111928175% 0.0213949284112195% 0.0807416259668641%
0.0461791323132210% 0.0210829066485594% 0.0806854198327540%
0.0460044341898749% 0.0205962084066838% 0.0804930125915874%
0.0458351307014743% 0.0201641473472708% 0.0805047294014621%
0.0456752824088237% 0.0197982514338675% 0.0805404617123786%
0.0455297355456080% 0.0192137523811387% 0.0810125682071793%
0.0454037545525346% 0.0187449650668379% 0.0819779999178226%
0.0453025193935695% 0.0182453957414714% 0.0826505587087113%
0.0452305965521223% 0.0176506013186810% 0.0842460215993004%
0.0451915069393098% 0.0169025411187861% 0.0860514926790682%
0.0451875055010904% 0.0160044292208111% 0.0886757701207533%
0.0452196624889963% 0.0152816647763552% 0.0903780200465573%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0530928609196546% 0.0181821456953665% 0.1156618165210470%
0.0524006242985117% 0.0186684601528925% 0.1105122026827320%
0.0517791097489792% 0.0190268461569208% 0.1075784506264670%
0.0512227689547842% 0.0194852070884361% 0.1039822959051470%
0.0507263813607407% 0.0199605830035989% 0.1005836120164730%
0.0502848026995206% 0.0204275599827020% 0.0980552717215670%
0.0498931216753383% 0.0206703304182739% 0.0945271011221484%
0.0495470049668435% 0.0210095758017739% 0.0927441279317740%
0.0492430490936916% 0.0212828160962032% 0.0909701697427289%
0.0489790048468304% 0.0214335141094339% 0.0896721578010374%
0.0487537995293924% 0.0217282250016526% 0.0884382313307244%
0.0485673465256057% 0.0218921548851097% 0.0869597051836614%
0.0484201874917932% 0.0221248832519981% 0.0855110165997574%
0.0483130482910799% 0.0223206674613625% 0.0840165971383317%
0.0482464012678976% 0.0224538542626387% 0.0835429478304516%
0.0482201167359700% 0.0227352636626358% 0.0827432199468946%
0.0482332628497066% 0.0228295259357670% 0.0825532065030814%
0.0482840823670068% 0.0228330262060034% 0.0820011699418303%
0.0483701419104606% 0.0233024362170304% 0.0819268105204306%
0.0484886173416635% 0.0233121785647398% 0.0824030574799135%
0.0486366515498028% 0.0234292565621213% 0.0826398394786071%
0.0488117040777193% 0.0237914111534486% 0.0825403318695092%
0.0490118121175403% 0.0242311351741356% 0.0823546703029290%
0.0492357032413394% 0.0243153303253317% 0.0827442595143304%
0.0494827390346145% 0.0245718321174039% 0.0834396748899475%
0.0497527156197742% 0.0247977546889928% 0.0833650810381999%
0.0500455881629555% 0.0250322973359803% 0.0837164018187899%
0.0503612098621598% 0.0251365095916853% 0.0844095859428452%
0.0506991754854096% 0.0254922885192627% 0.0853633272296220%
0.0510588357576620% 0.0253775095853418% 0.0865531751591165%
0.0514395072726756% 0.0255297593753406% 0.0877050671111973%
0.0518408518377131% 0.0256377839345610% 0.0887337515866408%
0.0522633503236161% 0.0257318276168546% 0.0902674582579200%
0.0527087617461637% 0.0255541556468109% 0.0922969097406422%
0.0531804499093361% 0.0256517827087782% 0.0943688213097272%
0.0536834835464295% 0.0256404241620148% 0.0971112946503122%
0.0542244683883616% 0.0254107071635276% 0.0995736340448159%
0.0548111386665390% 0.0249522083744989% 0.1028636167405330%
0.0554518045786038% 0.0247981102598781% 0.1072249051057760%
0.0561548077463309% 0.0242613188125756% 0.1118631360983450%
0.0569281746485174% 0.0237762809815990% 0.1173246870658540%
0.0577796867772366% 0.0232609771171194% 0.1230893365465940%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0441262470454013% 0.0140246033453703% 0.0962775784728344%
0.0438944642152802% 0.0145464258760635% 0.0937735879456323%
0.0437035286269541% 0.0151278991979323% 0.0904906781733077%
0.0435506965078070% 0.0158217355517893% 0.0873439395777242%
0.0434322579570374% 0.0164919183261984% 0.0845108792622450%
0.0433436318273416% 0.0170206928192046% 0.0834326715218891%
0.0432797329023045% 0.0174967387533703% 0.0819158873624958%
0.0432354929837411% 0.0177993981075843% 0.0804929728181651%
0.0432064032526840% 0.0180024603535941% 0.0791612522115822%
0.0431889527876386% 0.0182256069542934% 0.0781538871844307%
0.0431808699172898% 0.0184335308982515% 0.0766244267356648%
0.0431811241245988% 0.0185979137438211% 0.0761699710850284%
0.0431897045069542% 0.0186629972251535% 0.0756691348345108%
0.0432072412963027% 0.0188066145350477% 0.0748878236087940%
0.0432345673601138% 0.0192757041951174% 0.0742525715701741%
0.0432723215423328% 0.0197313831424663% 0.0743975517010779%
0.0433206770367087% 0.0199033637070950% 0.0738909325628519%
0.0433792423061654% 0.0200866625395037% 0.0738918192425557%
0.0434471378817250% 0.0202499068788824% 0.0733795731920223%
0.0435232088902799% 0.0206302657713758% 0.0736227290064492%
0.0436063000512201% 0.0207501315943848% 0.0732900020340493%
0.0436955061351564% 0.0208577421509238% 0.0731956070851547%
0.0437903216694450% 0.0209345590414669% 0.0734813369387991%
0.0438906469382443% 0.0208509970936031% 0.0739915270055575%
0.0439966531211410% 0.0206675249840732% 0.0745575462231606%
0.0441085535560991% 0.0205100656177726% 0.0747526156610428%
0.0442263579836249% 0.0206548792799389% 0.0755319823010429%
0.0443496953716031% 0.0205230232657869% 0.0758945537249828%
0.0444777778947866% 0.0206944824757687% 0.0766590641135380%
0.0446095473525876% 0.0205937744396754% 0.0776611389699782%
0.0447440015180616% 0.0205311073340857% 0.0787975131330838%
0.0448806494606898% 0.0205770429675046% 0.0799284848118709%
0.0450200023159198% 0.0202888059530581% 0.0805889714932826%
0.0451639817158116% 0.0201064462921458% 0.0813366518978341%
0.0453161328054001% 0.0199291153381992% 0.0822713582367270%
0.0454815659312640% 0.0197062221761867% 0.0838521039123530%
0.0456666133453976% 0.0192482962075925% 0.0847409053516215%
0.0458782578736164% 0.0188687569499230% 0.0870333151975670%
0.0461234500621213% 0.0183747934877866% 0.0888399353535168%
0.0464084650021523% 0.0177741292291186% 0.0906346148887471%
0.0467384562263092% 0.0170381247974421% 0.0949277675314362%
0.0471173477379568% 0.0163545433257033% 0.0981240928665217%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0348005476041254% 0.0076675271874661% 0.0792745221659914%
0.0348499187133296% 0.0083230236765991% 0.0776040473755108%
0.0349322356376759% 0.0088927852121946% 0.0762023672190028%
0.0350464345990140% 0.0094557615873991% 0.0750341463191890%
0.0351901079803716% 0.0099986994951768% 0.0736523111185568%
0.0353594957580961% 0.0103973111847967% 0.0733988733736790%
0.0355497245236280% 0.0108775384312021% 0.0732547575876168%
0.0357552437456582% 0.0114872278848421% 0.0724511763753682%
0.0359703770718781% 0.0119321402852368% 0.0723798450349882%
0.0361898836795674% 0.0122171229499189% 0.0718325007730116%
0.0364094184473498% 0.0129323055230943% 0.0718088663512512%
0.0366257960627743% 0.0134160481467497% 0.0715223080744069%
0.0368370049311336% 0.0138363630055023% 0.0709482750152966%
0.0370419758364255% 0.0141930306153621% 0.0710512643359819%
0.0372401725336913% 0.0145707083904077% 0.0714774003429898%
0.0374311170379919% 0.0149406682190740% 0.0711786932098507%
0.0376139758355428% 0.0151834791298381% 0.0711985004901658%
0.0377873105687403% 0.0153226689547589% 0.0714975496643765%
0.0379490460881802% 0.0156141714733884% 0.0716878941954895%
0.0380966457859163% 0.0158874531013433% 0.0715401127307854%
0.0382274265587977% 0.0160157036620391% 0.0716477961609101%
0.0383389095560172% 0.0160715974805883% 0.0715283114540863%
0.0384290989975939% 0.0161241295003519% 0.0720891884574343%
0.0384966120826153% 0.0161470028729672% 0.0718091432458555%
0.0385406393381806% 0.0160777760819545% 0.0713965318531384%
0.0385607779127434% 0.0159275344999180% 0.0719709544307357%
0.0385568281977060% 0.0158783915553640% 0.0720431279045748%
0.0385286599303201% 0.0156493177149146% 0.0719626557969026%
0.0384762321404325% 0.0154769949291853% 0.0723713895912586%
0.0383997990319318% 0.0151005201781777% 0.0724669693083903%
0.0383002676750687% 0.0148550703821288% 0.0724085739299080%
0.0381796141845885% 0.0145122483925402% 0.0728872090237015%
0.0380412324509074% 0.0142732141593587% 0.0733159002742259%
0.0378900954387479% 0.0140926291923774% 0.0736570352936465%
0.0377326527482994% 0.0137154319746579% 0.0740508928635959%
0.0375764551424004% 0.0134069668393259% 0.0752821464204111%
0.0374295647568475% 0.0130033734794268% 0.0762006058529889%
0.0372998582860019% 0.0125510206278670% 0.0770455479805092%
0.0371943490997138% 0.0121146804348632% 0.0787759300166960%
0.0371186443710240% 0.0116323667121614% 0.0801563657470744%
0.0370766240866919% 0.0109263971731598% 0.0818056621608009%
0.0370703917041056% 0.0101115104452164% 0.0836042530317645%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0335800961586228% 0.0077244865233620% 0.0691375383098934%
0.0335541967901589% 0.0082299639418415% 0.0672627419814499%
0.0335620769237172% 0.0088075286257125% 0.0653885386421534%
0.0336047370240225% 0.0093332260783707% 0.0639012793475083%
0.0336827154081681% 0.0097947876350794% 0.0631842650614396%
0.0337958225559589% 0.0103228700430555% 0.0623576225610932%
0.0339431666411589% 0.0107456312801986% 0.0619718239853017%
0.0341233793627610% 0.0111952110185604% 0.0612835189107019%
0.0343349342809187% 0.0118345830418238% 0.0609710838704140%
0.0345764477478248% 0.0122795541672708% 0.0606523157220593%
0.0348468683375463% 0.0127058714349595% 0.0605211467691004%
0.0351454936276226% 0.0131281405578965% 0.0605569114912716%
0.0354717973717203% 0.0137300051128857% 0.0608378470197856%
0.0358250957931170% 0.0142384589590483% 0.0609757047247748%
0.0362041191081600% 0.0148111944344813% 0.0616518653162375%
0.0366065771944777% 0.0151806079693684% 0.0618390064826655%
0.0370288147456623% 0.0156160097437492% 0.0625882247986628%
0.0374656419411903% 0.0160679077992376% 0.0629544289734896%
0.0379104020693423% 0.0163603117183777% 0.0645286291264831%
0.0383552975686381% 0.0166569392973522% 0.0658936581552884%
0.0387919428491263% 0.0170736699817618% 0.0665467675785483%
0.0392120549640060% 0.0174207533705440% 0.0674888915308773%
0.0396081489201178% 0.0175260984071080% 0.0689089074569342%
0.0399740935683793% 0.0176022066715927% 0.0697227195624659%
0.0403054192282110% 0.0179184723066714% 0.0712586025095435%
0.0405993437917224% 0.0181485361803722% 0.0721908587083556%
0.0408545745142296% 0.0182315271029178% 0.0723316718597673%
0.0410710130807739% 0.0183275214008877% 0.0724284006886619%
0.0412495137922456% 0.0183474214708718% 0.0732098166349584%
0.0413918100679209% 0.0181128139404127% 0.0737089625216799%
0.0415006460677255% 0.0181002493161923% 0.0745873668174552%
0.0415800570954776% 0.0178156843934758% 0.0753633080453839%
0.0416356687237282% 0.0177746661626447% 0.0761941780145256%
0.0416748577134992% 0.0175369691169336% 0.0771468953693638%
0.0417066481245872% 0.0173649460917322% 0.0784885506231917%
0.0417412920083587% 0.0169262357582142% 0.0799560902537562%
0.0417895770916262% 0.0166610522652797% 0.0811655861826648%
0.0418619814920014% 0.0159335460346236% 0.0830743631262414%
0.0419678363806415% 0.0155385814645066% 0.0855757454642043%
0.0421146584543202% 0.0147647056270230% 0.0879750570683785%
0.0423077863221755% 0.0139326644449146% 0.0906885453052069%
0.0425504144512207% 0.0133439597114893% 0.0940112939479301%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0357857728636641% 0.0080746792972950% 0.0750741945939485%
0.0357626526985515% 0.0085456870172302% 0.0724074687359688%
0.0357809936803019% 0.0092265930653436% 0.0702321773161750%
0.0358410702581562% 0.0097050912093921% 0.0689069692168250%
0.0359426398357151% 0.0102691447313544% 0.0678700728131714%
0.0360847080367256% 0.0106797912013682% 0.0667832077402553%
0.0362656150540080% 0.0112616360148461% 0.0658095655664579%
0.0364833425480489% 0.0116290558763575% 0.0654651962820005%
0.0367359252141561% 0.0121028846429674% 0.0645758504642179%
0.0370218435253628% 0.0126610020877130% 0.0647739894365312%
0.0373402849866780% 0.0132579391503245% 0.0644546582529717%
0.0376911957782616% 0.0140301565535385% 0.0643310063966224%
0.0380750976416895% 0.0147048369172643% 0.0643552048009790%
0.0384927018101570% 0.0153317876208541% 0.0647861774812707%
0.0389443969347930% 0.0156816110666900% 0.0649820663928055%
0.0394297122127010% 0.0160958051703541% 0.0651276650419025%
0.0399468597742836% 0.0165571463768940% 0.0651896687897545%
0.0404924458201137% 0.0172093205349720% 0.0668450078653617%
0.0410614113320914% 0.0176941402428801% 0.0679323784560867%
0.0416472217147134% 0.0180453613936035% 0.0692774437637908%
0.0422422730903940% 0.0183468647285525% 0.0705716119934647%
0.0428384301820137% 0.0187345153312222% 0.0724702613403169%
0.0434275736813400% 0.0189810943611218% 0.0740559352732277%
0.0440020328564253% 0.0192160481723189% 0.0762021672157197%
0.0445548217214156% 0.0194116996088324% 0.0776580433294869%
0.0450796750927015% 0.0196735823495787% 0.0798928822259059%
0.0455709663344292% 0.0197329371389168% 0.0820661506154890%
0.0460236470691020% 0.0200285092174002% 0.0835926837887693%
0.0464333555046058% 0.0197934220536415% 0.0847031843502501%
0.0467967884069594% 0.0198158229276285% 0.0858162710651566%
0.0471123359116098% 0.0198199710033627% 0.0876375729917120%
0.0473808668515769% 0.0198158542147121% 0.0895029222019274%
0.0476064617751790% 0.0194431702707862% 0.0919115952424624%
0.0477968569474624% 0.0190113003462665% 0.0937117102064138%
0.0479634063316858% 0.0187217712252545% 0.0956046717344065%
0.0481204826304674% 0.0182461311803821% 0.0986706084417015%
0.0482843850121473% 0.0176055756459805% 0.1007832370638850%
0.0484719471141196% 0.0170832803190802% 0.1034081160661040%
0.0486991031841270% 0.0166984171759615% 0.1069481193469700%
0.0489796639488081% 0.0161664567706113% 0.1113381035790690%
0.0493245000361788% 0.0152856592670622% 0.1161499943908810%
0.0497412664996159% 0.0145757285705169% 0.1219746548883640%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0309674624830496% 0.0057916834727785% 0.0752400526827407%
0.0305658005644413% 0.0060806723031264% 0.0717827924272598%
0.0302252579101007% 0.0063368002897829% 0.0688707620212951%
0.0299432750721903% 0.0065286674054075% 0.0663329893861792%
0.0297176423175098% 0.0068802247809483% 0.0638032914033197%
0.0295462398703562% 0.0071709147808599% 0.0619190711476603%
0.0294271383521928% 0.0071382769219344% 0.0598780680152262%
0.0293588736667374% 0.0073245427046490% 0.0588218522692901%
0.0293407419772890% 0.0075966585323949% 0.0581549158686723%
0.0293730013065756% 0.0077959360981847% 0.0576357073726481%
0.0294569159502848% 0.0080076612831280% 0.0570997532972215%
0.0295946309680121% 0.0082303314784824% 0.0564599905147163%
0.0297889056954199% 0.0084407132419911% 0.0562683339658634%
0.0300427594907711% 0.0087526442312600% 0.0560403607735348%
0.0303590890002666% 0.0091388402532523% 0.0559346230718204%
0.0307403097075474% 0.0094311604457215% 0.0558174772168500%
0.0311880628077004% 0.0097851740271594% 0.0559881031907337%
0.0317030163376650% 0.0101728746185853% 0.0563300793457670%
0.0322847777225539% 0.0106561606515086% 0.0567150663183865%
0.0329319212752885% 0.0110479584211989% 0.0574161062896398%
0.0336421164129080% 0.0116943927084293% 0.0582279341679763%
0.0344123211562591% 0.0121371493834320% 0.0593843695375843%
0.0352389865676271% 0.0126664372958447% 0.0609560681515339%
0.0361182107838060% 0.0132726729458154% 0.0625837817681770%
0.0370457951568790% 0.0136456064777289% 0.0646370564258440%
0.0380171919740581% 0.0141589161714053% 0.0676539051299553%
0.0390273855390671% 0.0147682998431405% 0.0702711085481046%
0.0400708001548674% 0.0152303187160851% 0.0737335787723120%
0.0411413612771422% 0.0157413474108097% 0.0772865150568579%
0.0422328344251797% 0.0159150830886010% 0.0800885851660285%
0.0433395218862121% 0.0162042757118117% 0.0840643255572374%
0.0444573115431911% 0.0163441189762740% 0.0881152238443508%
0.0455849609652058% 0.0165146613020497% 0.0924834850043579%
0.0467253944639953% 0.0165229761250090% 0.0971428195539746%
0.0478867316116992% 0.0166452937259694% 0.1032582787212860%
0.0490827857664959% 0.0165757580481720% 0.1091229437340600%
0.0503328762534477% 0.0163242409890956% 0.1168712998492640%
0.0516609582998207% 0.0164206877689624% 0.1239238929854480%
0.0530942389304306% 0.0162152611625474% 0.1336109426525830%
0.0546615703134836% 0.0160859846277157% 0.1437214536088410%
0.0563919824326963% 0.0157373886208921% 0.1557150838987030%
0.0583137598106995% 0.0153679753058440% 0.1719119410925110%
South West
Modelled % testing 95% credible interval
positive for COVID-19 Lower Upper
0.0438917545994723% 0.0110749333468074% 0.1117122177978990%
0.0429916243563915% 0.0113037449316619% 0.1047436349822180%
0.0421775106257562% 0.0116250627425325% 0.0998910032681869%
0.0414392568312140% 0.0119001918904534% 0.0947822667972697%
0.0407660929473834% 0.0121040143313660% 0.0906038312725854%
0.0401469903384725% 0.0121696438302106% 0.0866797754493146%
0.0395713284321846% 0.0121544776533204% 0.0831526030092480%
0.0390296627512429% 0.0122252479525058% 0.0802179408985745%
0.0385144010855870% 0.0120855550694680% 0.0781992112851087%
0.0380202351349705% 0.0121420664797324% 0.0756163319358184%
0.0375442425112962% 0.0121887658542435% 0.0733565168554234%
0.0370856580104952% 0.0122408667325218% 0.0714740930452736%
0.0366453918837502% 0.0121924420691280% 0.0698683666837323%
0.0362254235745804% 0.0121305487041255% 0.0685814014102777%
0.0358282092703973% 0.0120546821347372% 0.0672803692221210%
0.0354562134246946% 0.0118992909779620% 0.0662736596157339%
0.0351116232149074% 0.0119121855095428% 0.0654209004412263%
0.0347962496659237% 0.0118025590609928% 0.0644537213628035%
0.0345115750912953% 0.0116807088279724% 0.0641169366277594%
0.0342588816233658% 0.0114362995035717% 0.0638196415508492%
0.0340393911991546% 0.0114020532273113% 0.0635952473842860%
0.0338543599753435% 0.0113069709029243% 0.0632446804026236%
0.0337050936077922% 0.0112235088875705% 0.0629715452469637%
0.0335928770624786% 0.0111766651603258% 0.0629202025589163%
0.0335188372158839% 0.0109998627269273% 0.0629088012902496%
0.0334837740439131% 0.0109725206836184% 0.0632154510041976%
0.0334880048860382% 0.0108685608219197% 0.0638245653292911%
0.0335312665130889% 0.0108331667362580% 0.0642612919853166%
0.0336127129550011% 0.0106534873777443% 0.0648911395443974%
0.0337310344064387% 0.0106118643729915% 0.0653525143294032%
0.0338847042838030% 0.0105513370043747% 0.0659663567230459%
0.0340723377259613% 0.0104371626972949% 0.0674083520494470%
0.0342931172958709% 0.0103463997206662% 0.0689621476469669%
0.0345472158123684% 0.0103154490902010% 0.0705247330532796%
0.0348361313134411% 0.0102589295480788% 0.0726369616869816%
0.0351628547844465% 0.0100935085226044% 0.0740504761709354%
0.0355318220908297% 0.0098492528186212% 0.0762405234168990%
0.0359486531299861% 0.0096567170454705% 0.0792694204786208%
0.0364197413698523% 0.0095320245881316% 0.0823630914376266%
0.0369518118846301% 0.0093037303434075% 0.0867137798295361%
0.0375516070512526% 0.0090421535043497% 0.0918196984582157%
0.0382258857518301% 0.0087301318581514% 0.0982241476444840%