Group 1 STOCK PITCH
Group 1 STOCK PITCH
Group 1 STOCK PITCH
(:)
Investment Thesis
Recommendation : Buy
Target Price : JPY 8,856
Company Introduction - Business Model
Cv+D+A
1. Convenience
: Long business hours and no holidays
2. Discount
: Low prices
3. Amusement
: New and creative products & Fun shopping
Sales by Products Category
Macro Overview
- Weaker Yen
- Government policy
Macro Overview
Number of foreign tourists trends Additional tax-exemption products
& Foreign exchange rate (including food, medicines and cosmetics)
from Oct 1, 2014
Macro Overview
Substitutes
Internet services offering lower prices and a higher selection
Suppliers
Import of a major parts of its products, and increasing reliance on import
SWOT Analysis
Strengths Weaknesses
- Dependence on the High-Traffic Urban
- Strong Brand
Areas
- Niche-like market
- Limited core client target
- Easy Capital Access
- Difficulty of a growth oversea
- Both Cost and Differentiation
- Legacy reputation
Opportunities Threats
- Cheap Yen
- Tokyo Olympics - A near untouched market segment that
- QE might attract big companies
- Increased tourism / migration - One man company
- Reinforcement of Internet based services
Investment Highlights
Increasing
MEGA
Inbound PB Products
Don Quijote Majica
Foreign Increase
Expansion
Tourists
- 2800 products
(Daily necessities, food, clothing, appliances)
+7.7% +5.9%
Valuation (Comparative Analysis)
- Mixed result in comparison to peer group.
- Unable to determine possitive or negative
Valuation (Discounted Cash Flow Analysis)
- Favorable situation
BUY
Risk Factors
Cheap Yen
Higher cost of import
Yen in Dollars
Long-run threats
Reinforcement of the internet competition
AMZN 5 years
Import uncertainty
Higher and higher dependency on imports
Import Prices
Questions to CEO