Getting Tangible About Intangibles The Future of Growth and Productivity VF
Getting Tangible About Intangibles The Future of Growth and Productivity VF
Getting Tangible About Intangibles The Future of Growth and Productivity VF
about intangibles
The future of growth and productivity?
Discussion paper
June 2021
Authors
Eric Hazan, Paris
Sven Smit, Amsterdam
Jonathan Woetzel, Los Angeles and Shanghai
Biljana Cvetanovski, London
Mekala Krishnan, Boston
Brian Gregg, San Francisco
Jesko Perrey, Düsseldorf
Klemens Hjartar, Copenhagen
McKinsey Global Institute Michael Chui, Mekala Krishnan, McKinsey Marketing & Sales Practice
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In brief
Investment in intangible assets that productivity. Sectors that have time data-driven decision making,
underpin the knowledge or learning invested the most in intangibles— flexible architectures, and using
economy, such as intellectual property, more than 12 percent of their GVA— intangibles investment to embed data,
research, technology, software, and achieved 28 percent higher growth talent, and innovation in day-to-day
human capital, has risen inexorably than other sectors in GVA, at more operations is needed. Top growers
over the past quarter century, and than 2.7 percent per year between have a test-and-learn, risk-taking
during the COVID‑19 pandemic there 1995 and 2019. The relationship is mindset. They understand the need
appears to have been an accelerated strongest in knowledge-intensive to continually reexamine what type of
shift toward a dematerialized economy. services such as financial services intangibles are most likely to deliver
Could investment in intangible and in innovation-driven services on competitiveness and growth,
assets now breathe new life into such as telecommunications, media, can be scaled, and are most likely to
productivity growth and unlock new and technology. This apparent deliver synergies.
growth potential? This research uses correlation reflects the synergistic
Huge value is at stake, and
sector-level data and a new survey of nature of different types of intangibles.
executives and policy makers
more than 860 executives to explore Companies with top-notch digital
should ask themselves what it
the correlation between intangibles analytics attract the best talent, and
will take to realize the intangibles
investment and the performance of that talent improves the quality and
opportunity. If 10 percent more
sectors, economies, and firms, and to scope of the analytics. Reflecting such
companies were to attain the same
discover the formula for the effective synergies, companies and sectors that
share of intangibles investment and
deployment of intangible assets to invest across intangible categories post
GVA growth as top growers, this could
drive growth. Key findings include higher GVA than their peers.
produce an additional $1 trillion in
the following:
Regardless of the sector, companies GVA or a 2.7 percent increase across
Even through economic disruptions, that invest more in intangibles grow sectors in Organisation for Economic
intangibles investments have more. The new survey indicates that Co-operation and Development (OECD)
increased. Over the past 25 years, top growers, defined as companies in economies. Given mounting evidence
the United States and ten European the top quartile of GVA growth by sector of the correlation between intangibles
economies (Austria, Denmark, Finland, in 2018–19 (whose median growth was investment and GVA growth, there
France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, 20 percent) are investing 2.6 times should be more focus on these assets.
Spain, Sweden, and the United more in intangibles than low growers, For companies, execution is key; top
Kingdom) achieved 63 percent defined as the bottom 50 percent growers deploy these assets more
growth in gross value added (GVA), of companies for GVA growth in effectively than other companies.
a measure of economic growth. During 2018–19 (whose median growth was Mindset matters: top growers tend to
this period, the investment share of 3 percent). The gap increases to be more risk-taking and adopt a test-
intangibles increased by 29 percent. between five and seven times in sectors and-learn environment when deploying
Rising investment in intangibles has such as financial services where intangibles. As the intangible, digitized
been associated with increasing total competitive advantage is anchored economy spreads, reskilling becomes
factor productivity of entire economies. in knowledge. even more urgent. Intangibles-heavy
Growth in investment in intangibles superstar firms employ relatively fewer
Today’s top growers not only invest
slowed after the global financial crisis, people than less digitized businesses,
more in intangibles but take risks to
and productivity growth decelerated, but those people tend to be higher
deploy them and develop granular
too, suggesting a link. skilled and higher paid. If these
capabilities needed to accelerate
businesses pull even further ahead,
Investing in intangibles correlates impact. Both top and low growers
inequality could rise. Governments
with productivity and sector are investing in intangibles, but top
can play a key role in reskilling and
growth. In the past quarter century, growers take the deployment of
in ensuring that the right knowledge
intangibles investment has risen in all intangible capital to the next level. For
infrastructure—including education,
sectors, and data from INTAN-Invest example, it is not sufficient to invest
communications technology including
indicates that there is an observable in accessing data; companies also
internet, urban planning, and public
link between investment in intangibles need to have a data strategy enabling
science spending—is in place.
and GVA growth. It also indicates them to succeed in transforming their
a strong association with total factor analytics. Rigorous processes, real-
The role of intangible assets is a very broad and complex topic that raises many questions,
not least how they should be defined (see the discussion in the next section). Is this the start
of a new stage in the history of capitalism based on learning, knowledge, and intellectual
capital? After the pandemic, could a wave of investment in intangibles be the force that
unlocks new growth potential? Could intangibles help to unleash renewed productivity
growth and solve the Solow Paradox? 2 After a decade of rapid productivity gains enabled
by widespread adoption of information technology (IT) and trends such as globalization,
productivity growth crashed between 2005 and 2019 as these trends appeared to reach
the point of diminishing returns, and the next wave of technology—digitization of processes,
big data and analytics, cloud computing, the Internet of Things, and artificial intelligence—
was not ready to fill the gap. This paper does not address these broad issues but focuses
specifically on a link between intangibles investment and the performance of sectors,
economies, and companies, and on how intangible capital differs from tangible capital and
how its different characteristics heighten the imperative of effective deployment. We use
the INTAN-Invest database for a sector analysis and draw on a new survey of more than
860 executives to ascertain their views on which specific use cases they consider key to
making the most out of the intangible capital deployed. 3
Over the past 25 years, investment in intangible assets has risen steadily as a share of total
investment in the United States and ten European economies—Austria, Denmark, Finland,
France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom. In 1995,
the split was about 70:30 in favor of tangible investment; by 2019, the split was 60:40.4 It is
notable that the intangibles share continued to increase even in the face of major economic
disruptions; indeed, some evidence indicates that that trend may have accelerated during
the COVID‑19 pandemic in 2020 and early 2021.
Companies riding this trend effectively are outperforming others. The new survey indicates
that top growers, defined as companies in the top quartile of gross value added (GVA) growth
by sector in 2018–19 (whose median growth in all sectors was 20 percent) are investing
2.6 times more in intangibles than low growers, defined as the bottom 50 percent of
1
Joseph E. Stigliz and Bruce C. Greenwald, Creating a learning society: A new approach to growth, development, and social
progress, Columbia University Press, 2014; and Fritz Machlup, The production and distribution of knowledge in the United
States, Princeton University Press, 1962.
2
In 1987, economist Robert Solow said that the computer age was everywhere except in the productivity statistics. The
failure of innovation to boost productivity came to be known as the Solow Paradox. See Mekala Krishnan, Jan Mischke,
and Jaana Remes, “Is the Solow Paradox back?” McKinsey Quarterly, June 2018. Also see Felix Roth, “Intangible capital
and labor productivity growth: A review of the literature,” Hamburg Discussion Papers in International Economics, 2019,
Number 4; and Carol Corrado et al., Intangible investment in the EU and US before and since the Great Recession and its
contribution to productivity growth, EIB Working Papers number 2016/08, European Investment Bank, 2016.
3
INTAN-Invest disseminates harmonized cross-country data on investment in intangibles by industry covering 15 EU
countries and the United States from 1995 onward. See intaninvest.net. For full details of sources and methodology, see
the technical appendix.
4
Data for 2015–2019 are extrapolated.
Could intangibles be an important part of the formula needed for robust economic recovery
from the COVID‑19 crisis, which not only has taken a terrible human toll but has been
the deepest disruption to economies around the world since World War II? In 2020, GDP fell
by 3.5 percent in the United States, 9.9 percent in the United Kingdom, and 11.0 percent in
Spain, for instance. Meanwhile, the seeds of a different type of recovery were being sown.
Under pressure from economic lockdowns and plunging demand, many firms accelerated
digitization and, to a lesser extent, automation. A McKinsey executive survey conducted in
December 2020 found that three-quarters of respondents in North America and Europe
said that they expected investment in new technologies to accelerate in 2020–24, up from
55 percent who said they increased such investment in 2014–19. Intangibles investment as
a share of total investment reported by national statistical offices rose in the United States
and six large European economies in the first three quarters of 2020, for example, by as much
as 2.8 percentage points in France and 1.9 in the United Kingdom.6
The shift toward intangibles has continued even in the face of major disruption, suggesting
that it is a long-standing trend but one that is not fully reflected in traditional accounting.
The full transformative power of intangibles has yet to be revealed. Amid the perennial
discussion about the long-term structural decline in private investment, it may well be that
companies, or at least large, high-performing companies, are, in fact, investing heavily—but
more in intangibles than in tangibles.
Yet this new era is not showing up in national accounts or, indeed, corporate balance
sheets, and it is likely that we are heavily underestimating the role they are playing in
accelerating the development and spread of the knowledge economy (see Box 1, “A new look
at intangibles”).
5
The survey was conducted in March 2021 in 16 countries in three regions covering 21 sectors. Of the 861 respondents,
nearly 80 percent were C-suite executives. Of the companies represented, two-thirds had revenue of $500 million or
more, and just over half had revenue of $1 billion or more. The main analyses were performed for the most important
sectors by size of GVA, and we ensured that these sectors were represented in the survey. Of 861 respondents, 20 percent
were in advanced manufacturing; 16 percent in telecommunications, media, and tech; 14 percent in retail trade; 13 percent
in financial services; and 6 percent in energy and utilities. The survey results also enabled us to undertake analyses of
approaches to intangibles at the firm level. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) defines
gross value added as the value of output less the value of intermediate consumption; it is a measure of the contribution
to GDP made by an individual producer, industry, or sector. See Glossary of statistical terms, OECD, stats.oecd.org/
glossary/index.htm.
6
Will productivity and growth return after the COVID‑19 crisis? McKinsey Global Institute, March 2021, on McKinsey.com.
7
The term “network society” came to prominence in an influential book by Manuel Castells. See Manuel Castells, The rise of
the network society: Economy, society, and culture, Blackwell Publishing, 1996. The term “weightless world” was used as
the title of a 1999 publication focused on the rise of the digital economy. See Diane Coyle, The weightless world: Strategies
for managing the digital economy, The MIT Press, 1999.
8
Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake, Capitalism without capital: The rise of the intangible economy, Princeton University
Press, 2017.
National statistics and corporates today broadly recognize the same categories of investment
as intangible assets, including IP, R&D, goodwill, and computer software. However, they
treat specific items differently. For instance, goodwill is reported as “intangible assets” by
corporates but recognized as “financial” capital in national accounts when first created. The R
in R&D is systematically recognized as an intangible asset by national accounts but not always
by corporates. These nuances may result in differences in the measurement and scope
of intangibles.
— The OECD defines an intangible as “something which is not a physical asset or a financial
asset, which is capable of being owned or controlled for use in commercial activities, and
whose use or transfer would be compensated had it occurred in a transaction between
independent parties in comparable circumstances.” 1 In essence, the value of an intangible
is dematerialized and becomes apparent only when, say, a company is sold and the market
assigns a value to it. Specifically, national accounts compiled by statistical agencies
usually include various types of IP, including patents, know-how and trade secrets,
trademarks, trade names and brands, rights under contracts, and government licenses, as
well as goodwill and ongoing concern value and investment in software.
As a result, many types of expenditure that create multiyear valuable assets are simply
expensed through the profit-and-loss account or considered intermediary expenditure in
national accounts. When business leaders and, by extension, shareholders are “trapped”
in accounting norms that are not necessarily fit-for-purpose and consider investments in
intangibles as costs rather than assets, this can lead to suboptimal decisions. By adjusting
accounting norms, the full value of intangibles could become clearer, which could lead to
better decisions.
Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake highlighted three categories of intangibles in their
influential book, Capitalism without capital: “intellectual property/innovative property,”
which includes R&D, mineral licenses, design, financial innovation, and artistic originals;
“computerized information,” including software and databases; and “economic competencies”
such as advertising and brands, marketing research, organizational capital, and training.
This broader definition and analysis of intangibles has more relevance than traditional
categorization to the role they are increasingly playing in companies, sectors, and economies.
In this paper, we use the INTAN-Invest database developed by Haskel and Westlake,
further developing the three categories into four to include a broader set of capabilities
(marketing, management, and digital) that are key to building future growth prospects.
Those categories are also intangible: innovation capital; digital and analytics capital; human
and relational capital, which includes two subcategories: organizational and managerial
capital, and ecosystems and networks; and brand capital, such as customer insights and
customer experience.
1
Guidance on transfer pricing aspects of intangibles, OECD/G20 Base Erosion and Profit Shifting Project, OECD, 2014.
Future work is needed to better capture the nature of investment in intangibles by revising
and adjusting the accounting treatment of expenditures associated with these assets.
Instead of showing up simply as in-year expenses or not being accounted for at all, spending
on intangible assets could be capitalized—recognized as capital investment in an asset that
will create value not only in the year of that investment but in future years, too (Exhibit 1).
Looking at business investment and economies through the lens of intangibles enhances
understanding of where and how they are increasingly creating value. Changing accounting
norms is not theoretical but practical, and it is arguably the prerequisite for revealing the full
value of intangible assets.
Exhibit 1
Sales
Cost of goods
sold
Gross margin
Marketing
0.6× 0.55
research
EBITDA
1. Capitalization factor is the share of expenditure that is capitalized into the balance sheet.
Source: Corrado et al., 2012; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
— Innovation capital. This arises from investments that build a company’s IP. It includes
investments in R&D in, for instance, new product development across industries from
manufacturing to biotechnology; design, such as new product interfaces—digital
(payment gateways in apps) or physical (larger iPhone screens); and entertainment and
artistic originals, including book publishing and movie production. For an electronics
company, this could be investment in the design of a new device (for instance, IBM’s two-
nanometer chip).10 For a mining company, it could be investing in geological intelligence
for exploration.
— Digital and analytics capital. This arises from investments in building software such
as the installation and maintenance of customer relationship management software;
developing databases, including building a data lake and a data management platform;
digital platforms such as a front-end e-commerce interface; and analytics models and
algorithms, the latter including, for instance, a personalization process that enables real-
time and tailored social media campaigns.
— Human and relational capital. This spans two subcategories. First, organizational and
managerial capital includes investments that build individual or organizational skills
through training, including to advance the skills of a workforce in a particular specialty
and the development of capabilities through, for instance, a talent strategy that builds
employees’ critical digital and cognitive capabilities, their social and emotional skills,
and their adaptability and resilience. Second, capital associated with ecosystems and
networks includes activities related to developing and improving privileged relationships;
partnerships with, for example, key suppliers; and networks including, for instance,
an ecosystem of data partners.
— Brand capital. This arises from investments in marketing and sales that build and
improve brand equity, including, for instance, a TV campaign to improve brand awareness;
convening consumer panels to develop customer insights and better understand the voice
of the customer; and targeted promotions aimed at avoiding customer churn or offering
excellent customer service, which enable improved customer retention.
9
Carol Corrado, Jonathan Haskel, and Cecilia Jona-Lasinio, Intangible capital and growth in advanced economies:
Measurement methods and comparative results, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), discussion paper number 6733,
July 2012.
10
IBM unveils world’s first 2 nanometer chip technology, opening new frontier for semiconductors, IBM, May 6, 2021.
11
Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake, Capitalism without capital: The rise of the intangible economy, Princeton University
Press, 2017. The authors note that the characteristics of intangibles have consequences for economies. They note that
investment appears low because some is unrecorded.
Both Amazon’s development of an internal search process that promotes next products to
buy and Netflix’s efforts to fine-tune personal recommendations to increase video viewing
and retain customers incurred considerable up-front costs, but those were also investments
that contributed to building intangible assets that have been just as valuable as—and arguably
more valuable than—building a factory 25 years ago. There is a risk that intangible assets can
be copied or stolen from others. Think of smartphone features that are widely available across
different brands. However, two characteristics make up-front investment worthwhile. First,
intangibles can be scaled. Take Coca-Cola as an example; developing the brand together with
a marketing and communications strategy takes a lot of money but, once developed, can be
replicated anywhere in the world. Second, intangibles offer synergies. Google, for instance,
invests heavily in developing human capital through training, which enables the company to
attract and retain talent that, in turn, delivers an edge in highly valuable digital and analytical
know-how.13
Importantly, ensuring that intangibles investments yield returns requires different capabilities
and know-how, which we discuss in some depth in this paper. But they also help create new
capabilities that can unlock considerable value.
The European economies started from a lower base than the United States. US investment in
intangibles was markedly higher as a share of investment than in Europe in 1995, 36 percent
versus 25 percent. From 1995 to 2019, Europe’s share rose faster than the US share, but at
the end of the period was still lower, at 36 percent compared with 42 percent. Over this period,
the US economy grew at a rate of 2.3 percent but the ten European economies on average at
1.6 percent, indicating a broad relationship between level of intangibles investment and GVA
growth rates.
It is notable that the share of intangibles in total investment has risen steadily even in the face
of economic disruptions such as the bursting of the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s—
although with some temporary periods of deceleration in that increasing share, as observed in
the aftermath of the global financial crisis in 2008 (Exhibit 2). It picked up again after that and
appears to have accelerated during the economic crisis triggered by the COVID‑19 pandemic.
As social distancing necessitated remote working, digitization (and to a lesser extent
automation) accelerated, and investment in intangibles was part of this story. Some evidence
indicates that the rise in intangibles investment as a share of total investment quickened. In
the United States, for example, the share of intangibles investment (as measured by gross
fixed capital formation) increased by one percentage point between the first three quarters
of 2019 and 2020 to reach 29 percent of total investment. The same trend was observed
in European economies, some of which experienced even faster increases. In France,
for example, the increase was 2.8 percentage points, while in the United Kingdom it was
1.9 percentage points.14
12
Harry Dempsey and Sarah Neville, “BioNTech to price vaccine ‘well below’ market rates,” Financial Times, November 10,
2020.
13
Paul Fain, Employers as educators, Inside Higher Ed, July 17, 2019.
14
Will productivity and growth return after the COVID‑19 crisis? McKinsey Global Institute, March 2021, on McKinsey.com.
The investment mix has shifted toward intangibles over the past 25 years.
Share
growth
Tangibles
Examples
Residential and 60 -13%
nonresidential buildings 69
Transportation equipment
Machinery equipment
Communication equipment
Intangibles
Examples
Intellectual/innovative
40 +29%
31
property
Computerized information
Economic competencies
1995 2000 05 10 15 2019
Extrapolated2
1. European countries are Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, and United Kingdom.
2. Data extrapolated for 2015–19 based on 2010–15 average growth.
Source: EU-KLEMS; Eurostat; INTAN-Invest; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
Investment in intangibles may have been significant enough to have a positive impact on
the GVA of entire economies—economies that have large intangible-rich sectors (Exhibit 3).
Three economies stand out for having achieved both high investment in intangibles and
robust growth in GVA: Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Sweden
achieved annual 2.4 percent GVA between 1995 and 2020, the United States 2.3 percent,
and the United Kingdom 2.2 percent. All three economies have larger shares of knowledge
and innovation sectors, in which intangibles investment is prominent. Conversely, economies
that posted lower rates of growth in GVA over this period were more exposed to resource- or
labor-intensive sectors that tend to invest less in intangibles. Many other factors determine
growth, of course, and they should be examined in detail, but there does appear to be a link
between investment in intangibles and GVA growth at the whole-economy level.
An intangibles-rich economic model is not the only way for an economy to promote
productivity and growth. Nevertheless, economies that are experiencing growth in intangibles
investment are also posting growth in total factor productivity (Exhibit 4).15 This suggests that
total factor productivity growth and growth in intangibles investment may be correlated—an
increase in intangibles investment may trigger an increase in total factor productivity, and
therefore long-term economic growth. Future research is needed to ascertain how strong this
correlation is and what other factors may be in play.
15
Total factor productivity is a measure of the output of an economy relative to the size of all of its primary factor inputs
(capital and labor). When the growth of a nation’s economic output over time is compared with the growth of its labor force
and its capital stock (inputs), the former usually exceeds the latter. This is due to growth in total factor productivity, that
is, the ability to combine the factors (labor and capital) more effectively over time. This can be due to changes in qualities
(more appropriate skills or embedded technologies) or to better methods of organization. See Antonin Bergaud, Gilbert
Cette, and Rémy Lecat, “Productivity trends in advanced countries between 1890 and 2012,” Review of Income and
Wealth, 2016, Volume 62, Number 3.
Some countries invested heavily in different types of intangibles and have grown the fastest.
Average annual investment share of gross value added investment by country, 1995–2019, %1
Countries with high level of intangibles Countries with low level of intangibles
Low High
investment and above-average growth investment and below-average growth
Productivity growth has historically been correlated with growth in intangibles investment
across countries.
Growth in total factor productivity and intangibles investment, United States and 9 European countries, 1999–2017,
compound annual growth rate (CAGR), %1
1.5 R2 = 55%2
Finland
Sweden
United
1.0 States
United
Austria
Kingdom
Denmark
0.5 Netherlands
France
Spain
0
Italy
-0.5
0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5
Growth in intangibles investment, CAGR, %
Sectors that have invested the most in intangibles—more than 12 percent of their GVA—
have achieved higher growth in GVA, at more than 2.7 percent per year (28 percent higher
than other sectors). However, the strength of this correlation is not uniform across sectors.
Knowledge-intensive services appear to have deployed intangibles more effectively than
other groups of sectors, investing 15 percent of their GVA and, on average, achieving above-
average GVA growth of 3.0 percent a year. Innovation-driven services on average invested
17.4 percent of their GVA in intangibles and grew at 2.9 percent a year.
Average annual intangibles investment share of GVA by sector, 1995–2019, %1 Low High
Entertainment
5.3 0.8 5.1 1.9 13.7 3.0
and recreation
Knowledge-
intensive Finance and
3.6 3.3 6.2 1.6 14.6 2.6
services insurance
Professional
3.8 3.2 6.2 1.6 14.9 3.4
services
Labor-
intensive Wholesale trade 1.9 1.4 3.8 2.1 9.3 1.8
services
Transportation
1.0 1.1 3.1 0.6 5.8 1.9
and warehousing
Accommodation
0.7 0.3 3.2 1.5 5.7 2.8
and food services
Resource-
intensive Mining4 25.0 0.8 1.9 0.0 27.9 3.8
goods
1. Data extrapolated for 2015–19 based on 2010–15 average growth. European countries are Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain,
Sweden, and United Kingdom.
2. Non-business sectors (eg, government and education) not considered because no data available for human and relational capital and brand capital.
3. Includes other minor intangibles categories (<2 of total intangibles investment).
4. Most investment in innovation capital in mining relates to mineral exploration, which is considered an intangible in national accounts.
Note: Color coding realized for each intangible capital category independently.
Source: INTAN-Invest; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
Exhibit 6
Sectors that invest the most in intangibles have grown the fastest.
GVA growth and investment in intangibles, US and 10 European countries, Size based on adjusted GVA, 2019
1995–2019, % share of GVA by sector1
Finance and
2.5 Education insurance
ICT
Average
2.0 GVA growth =
2.2
Retail trade
Govern-
1.5 ment
Construction
1.0 Utilities
Transportation
and warehousing
0.5
Manufacturing
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Average investment in intangibles,
1995–2019, % share of GVA
1. Data extrapolated for 2015–19 based on 2010–15 average growth. European countries are Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain,
Sweden, and United Kingdom.
Source: INTAN-Invest; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
16
R&D locations, Pfizer, pfizer.com; and Peggy Hollinger, “Rolls-Royce designs a revolution on factory floor,” Financial
Times, February 10, 2016.
Manufacturing Services
0.20 0.20
0.15 0.15
0.10 0.10
0.05 0.05
0 0
1995 2000 05 2011 1995 2000 05 2011
Note: Intangibles intensity in manufacturing and services (real shares of real sector value added, EU and US, non-farm business); author calculations from INTAN-Invest
and SPINTAN.
Source: Haskel and Westlake, 2018; INTAN-Invest; SPINTAN; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
17
We measured only 2018–19 and 2019–20 because of constraints in the survey, but INTAN-Invest data suggest that the
correlation exists at both the sector and economy levels.
Top growers invest 2.6 times more in intangibles than low growers across sectors.
5.2
8
7
7.8x
4
2.6x 3.2x
4
2 2
2.0x
2 1 1 1 1
Total, median Financial services Telecommuni- Advanced Retail trade Energy and utilities
(n = 72) cations, media, manufacturing (n = 80) (n = 41)
technology (n = 115)
(n = 102)
Even sectors with relatively lower growth, such as manufacturing, have top growers that
are using high investment in intangibles to outgrow the market. Moreover, outperformers
are increasingly diversifying growth by entering “intangible-like” adjacencies as an avenue
to achieve disproportionate growth. Manufacturing companies in slower-growing
industries have used their intangible assets (such as brand) to carve out resilient niches
within the industry or find new growth markets while others have focused on productivity
improvements. In summary, companies can outperform the sector in which their core business
operates by expanding the activities in which they engage and the ecosystems in which
they operate.
18
This maps to ICT, entertainment, and recreation in the INTAN-Invest classification.
19
KO, Big data behind Disney Magic, HBS Digital Initiative, November 2019, digital.hbs.edu; Bernard Marr, “Disney uses big
data, IoT and machine learning to boost customer experience,” Forbes, August 24, 2017.
20
“How Disney Plus personalizes your viewing experience,” Forbes Insights, April 21, 2020.
— Top growers in retail trade, a labor-intensive-services sector, invest 8.0 times more
in intangibles than low growers. In the past, US discount retailer Walmart relied on
investments in tangibles to drive its revenue, opening new stores, optimizing the layout
of shelves within stores, and expanding the size of its warehouses. However, in 2019,
the company opened only ten additional stores in the United States, its most important
market, as its focus turned to building an innovation culture. Among its initiatives were
using new technologies to enable driver-free deliveries and developing a comprehensive
ecosystem of partners in order to be competitive with e-commerce platforms. Enhancing
its brand capital, the company offered customers a loyalty program with a focus on free
delivery, more choice, and a personalized pricing system. Walmart also developed its
human, organizational, and managerial capital, reskilling existing workers and attracting
new talent. The company developed more than 40 new partnerships to improve customer
convenience. Digital and analytics capital development played a key role in this new
ecosystem, enabling the company to connect its partners, businesses it acquired, and
customers on a single digital platform while embedding machine learning across many
areas of its business. Investments in digital and analytics helped not only to build a stable
technology platform but also to generate advertising revenues through detailed data
gathering and analysis of customers’ shopping patterns.23
21
Todd Spangler, “Disney Plus to increase prices in early 2021, eyes up to 260M subscribers by end of 2024,” Variety,
December 10, 2020.
22
Statista, Disney+’s number of subscribers worldwide from 1st quarter 2020 to 2nd quarter 2021, statista.com/.
23
Timothy Green, Amazon spends more on advertising than Wal-Mart, Target, Best Buy, Home Depot, and Kroger
combined, The Motley Fool, February 2018; A. Guttmann, Walmart: Advertising spending 2015-2020, Statista, September
2020; and Stewart Samuel, Walmart: investing to develop a global ecosystem, Retail Analysis, October 2018.
24
In the McKinsey survey, the energy and materials sector bundles mining and utilities companies, and the advanced
manufacturing sector combines advanced electronics, automotive and assembly, aerospace and defense, and
semiconductor players. These differences in classification from the INTAN-Invest database make it more challenging to
compare the survey results with INTAN-Invest data than in other sectors.
The scalability of intangibles is already enabling large and profitable firms to emerge, and
they could potentially pull further ahead, thereby widening the productivity and profit gaps
between leaders and laggards.27 Previous MGI research found that a key distinguishing
feature of “superstar” companies is their investment in intangibles. On an annual basis,
superstar companies spend two to three times more on R&D than their peers, and their
share of R&D spending has increased over the past 20 years. Superstar companies in
the top 1 percent by economic profit are almost three times more R&D-intensive than median
companies are, and nearly ten times more R&D-intensive than companies in the bottom
decile. Capitalized spending on intangibles accounts for one-third of superstars’ invested
capital, four times the share for bottom-decile companies.28
An increasing concentration of revenue and profit in a small group of successful firms risks
increasing inequality. Intangibles-heavy superstar firms employ relatively fewer people than
less digitized businesses, but they tend to be more highly skilled and paid. If these businesses
pull even further ahead, the labor share of income—the percentage of national income that
goes to worker compensation—could decline even more. Past MGI research showed that this
phenomenon has been responsible for about 20 percent of the reduction in labor share in
the United States since 2000, a period in which three-quarters of the decline since 1947 was
registered.29 Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake have argued that the rise of intangibles
explains several aspects of the long-term rise in inequality. Synergies and spillovers create
inequality between competing companies, and this leads to inequalities in employees’ pay.
Second, the rise of intangibles makes cities—the incubators of spillovers and synergies—even
more attractive places to be, and this drives up property prices: inequality of wealth. 30
25
Our strategy, Valeo, valeo.com.
26
Valeo Investor Day 2019, Valeo Group, December 2019.
27
Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake, Capitalism without capital: The rise of the intangible economy, Princeton University
Press, 2017. The authors argue that the scalability of intangibles enables large and profitable firms to emerge, raising the
productivity and profits gap between leaders and laggards, and contributing to increased income inequality. Also see
Productivity growth in the digital age, OECD, February 2019.
28
MGI analyzed 5,750 of the world’s largest public and private companies, each with annual revenue greater than $1 billion.
Together, they made up 65 percent of global corporate pretax earnings (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation,
and amortization) from 1994 to 2016. The metric used for superstar companies was economic profit, a measure of a
company’s invested capital times its return above its weighted cost of capital. Economic profit is used because it reflects
the economic value created by a company’s operating activities and investments. See Superstars: The dynamics of firms,
sectors, and cities leading the global economy, McKinsey Global Institute, October 2018; and “What every CEO needs to
know about ‘superstar’ companies,” McKinsey Global Institute, April 2019, on McKinsey.com.
29
A new look at the declining labor share of income in the United States, McKinsey Global Institute, October 2018, on
McKinsey.com.
30
Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake, Capitalism without capital: The rise of the intangible economy, Princeton University
Press, November 28, 2017.
Over the past 25 years, across sectors, there has been a high correlation between
investments in digital and analytics capital and human and relational capital, between brand
capital and digital and analytics capital, and between brand capital and human and relational
capital (Exhibit 9).
Exhibit 9
Correlation between different types of investments, on their GVA share for sectors and countries,, 1995–20191
Innovation
R² = 19% R²=16% R² = 14%
capital
Digital and
analytics R²=40% R²= 35%
capital
Human and
relational R²=58%
capital
Brand
capital
1. Data extrapolated for 2015–19 based on 2010–15 average growth. European countries are Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain,
Sweden, and United Kingdom.
Source: INTAN-Invest; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
This correlation reflects the synergistic nature of different types of intangibles. For example,
investment in human capital can drive a better return on investment in digital and analytics.
Companies that have top-notch digital analytics are able to attract the best talent, and that
talent, in turn, improves the quality and scope of those analytics. Intensive investment in
human and relational capital, proxied in the exhibit by organizational capital, and in digital and
analytics capital, proxied by software and databases, is associated separately with higher
productivity—but investing in both is associated with disproportionately higher productivity.
Companies with higher levels of investment in digital and analytics capital and in human and
relational capital have higher productivity per full-time employee (Exhibit 10).
Investments in digital and analytics capital and in human and relational capital appear to be
highly complementary.
Low productivity ($20 per hour) High productivity ($200 per hour)
0
0 350
Cumulative investment in
digital and analytics capital,
$ thousand per person employed
1. Proxied by investments in organizational and managerial capital, a subcategory of human and relational capital.
Note: Deepnet model based on 12 countries, 11 sectors, and 14 asset types, 1995–2015.
Source: EU KLEMS; INTAN-Invest; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
Likewise, companies that excel in marketing tend to be those that have invested not only in
brand capital but also in digital and analytics capital, the latter being the key to enabling real-
time and personalized marketing, which in turn enhances brand capital. We find the same
synergies in the case of brand capital and innovation capital (Exhibit 11).
Low productivity ($20 per hour) High productivity ($200 per hour)
Cumulative investment in 90
brand capital,
$ thousand per person employed1
0
0 260
Cumulative investment in
innovation capital,
$ thousand per person employed1
1. Proxied by investments in organizational and managerial capital, a subcategory of human and relational capital.
Note: Deepnet model based on 12 countries, 11 sectors, and 14 asset types, 1995–2015.
Source: EU KLEMS; INTAN-Invest; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
The survey indicates that a large majority, 81 percent, of companies invest in all types of
intangible capital, and the evidence indicates that the more categories in which they invest
substantially (in the top quartile), the higher their growth in GVA—proof of the power of
synergies. Companies that are in the top quartile for investment in three intangible capital
categories and the two subcategories of the fourth (human and relational capital) grow
2.0 to 2.5 times faster than companies that were not in the top quartile for investment in any
intangible category. Across sectors in 2018–19, a company that was not in the top quartile
for any intangible category grew at 5.0 percent, but a company in the top quartile for one
category grew at 7.0 percent (median), rising to 7.5 percent for three categories, 8.0 percent
for four, and 10.0 percent for five (Exhibit 12).
During the COVID‑19 pandemic (in the course of 2020), companies that invested significantly
in the three intangible capital categories and the two subcategories of the fourth (human and
relational capital) outperformed others; only firms investing substantially in all four categories
of intangible asset (five, taking into account the two subcategories of human and relational
capital) were able to maintain 2019 levels of growth. This indicates that breadth of investment
in intangibles promotes resilience.
Companies that invest in multiple intangibles categories report the highest growth.
Median growth of companies investing at top quartile level of 0–5 intangible categories, by cluster and sector, %1
Number of categories
0 1 2 3 4 5
2018–19 10.0
8.0
7.5 7.5
7.0 2.0×
5.0
2019–20 10.0
7.0
6.5 2.5×
5.0
4.0 4.0
Number of 332 66 56 38 44 55
companies
Labor-intensive services overall invest less than half the average share of GVA of other
sectors—1.4 percent of GVA versus 3.0 percent. When they do invest in intangibles, they
tend to prioritize human and relational capital, reflecting the fact that these sectors employ
more people on average (as their name suggests) and still have a large element of in-person
services. Within this category, retail trade also overindexes brand capital, which include
activities such as brand equity, customer engagement, and customer acquisition. Retailers
have increasingly focused on establishing direct-to-consumer channels as the route to
increasing customer acquisition. One example of a brand success is Casper, a mattress
company that achieved $750 million of revenue in four years thanks to a well-executed
marketing strategy. 34 To obtain more leads for its online store, the company set out to gain
deep understanding of Google and Facebook advertising algorithms and then used that
information to create relevant and targeted content for each stage of its funnel that convinced
large numbers of consumers to adopt quickly. Again, this resonates with the survey’s findings
that top growers appear to be driving above-average investment in these intangibles
categories. Top growers invest 7.4 times more than low growers in brand capital and 6.2 times
more in organizational and managerial capital, a subcategory of human and relational capital.
31
Dana Maor, “A strategic blueprint for making the most of banking talent,” May 2019, McKinsey.com.
32
Michael Chui, James Manyika, and Mehdi Miremadi, “Where machines could replace humans—and where they can’t (yet),”
McKinsey Quarterly, June 2016, McKinsey.com.
33
5 killer fintech marketing campaigns, Content Works, February 2020, contentworks.agency; and Amy Lewin,
N26’s strategy to stand out in the UK’s sea of fintechs, Sifted, April 22, 2019.
34
Sam Thomas Davies, Casper Marketing: How a mattress company went from zero to $750 million in 4 years (case study),
Sleeknote, December 2020.
Top growers prioritize different types of intangibles investment than low growers
across sectors.
Intangibles investment revenue ratio, top growers vs low growers, by sector and category of intangible, multiple
Intangible categories
Human and relational capital
Organizational
Innovation Data and and managerial Ecosystems and
capital analytics capital practices networks Brand capital
Knowledge- Financial 10.2
intensive services
services (n = 72)
7.9
6.8
4.3
3.7
The combination of high investment and effective deployment is the major differentiator
between top growers and low growers. All companies understand that data and analytics
are not just buzzwords, but capabilities that need to be mastered to survive and thrive in
highly competitive markets. They know, too, that talent is not simply an input but a necessary
investment that, together with creativity and audacity, enables companies to deliver on
innovation. There appears to be widespread acknowledgement that companies’ role is
not simply to create profit for stakeholders but to benefit society. But top growers take
the deployment of intangible capital to the next level and display a detailed understanding
of how intangibles can be used to develop the capabilities that are most likely to deliver on
growth. Most companies agree that more investment in intangibles is key, but the survey
asked what else can be done to fully reap the benefits of investment. Asked to be precise
about what delivers disproportionate returns, respondents cite specific use cases, rigorous
processes, data-driven decision making, and, broadly, using intangibles investment to embed
data, talent, innovation, and purpose in day-to-day operations (Exhibit 14).
Looking at the survey results in more detail, there is considerable agreement among top
and low growers across sectors that intangible capabilities are key to delivering growth and
competitiveness. In the survey, about 24 percent of both top and low growers strongly agreed
that digital and analytics capital is crucial for building a sustainable competitive advantage,
and this finding holds across sectors—from telecommunications, media, and technology,
where data have been a valuable asset for building ecosystems, to advanced manufacturing
as more players digitize their supply chains. About 30 percent of survey respondents, among
both top and low growers, strongly agreed that brand capital is a winning value proposition
when combined with a clear purpose and mission statement. In the case of innovation capital,
about 27 percent of top growers and approximately 23 percent of low growers strongly
agreed with the statement that creativity and audacity and taking into account the voice of
the customer are central to mastering this category of intangibles investment.
In the survey, human and relational capital has two subcategories: organizational and
managerial capital, and ecosystems and networks. Both exhibit considerable common
ground between top growers and low growers. In the case of organizational and managerial
capital, both top and low growers stress the importance of a strategy and an environment
that enables them to attract talent and have in place a robust talent strategy to sustain critical
capabilities. On ecosystems and networks, 23 percent of both categories of companies
strongly agree that growth strategy and vision translated into a clear road map with owners is
important, and about 30 percent of top and low growers concur strongly with the need to have
a clear purpose and mission statement.
Looking through a different lens—the type of intangible asset—a clear picture of higher
growth driven by effective deployment and use of intangibles emerges (Exhibit 15).
Top and low growers recognize the importance of strategy and vision in intangibles,
but top growers take concrete steps toward implementation.
Ratio of top growers to low growers per capability, Low High
based on % of executives who strongly agree on the following capabilities
Flexible Co-creation of Run analytics in 360° customer DnA critical to Access to data
architecture DnA real time view with data build a for employees
cube competitive
advantage
Human Organiza- 2.6
and rela- tional and 2.0
tional managerial 1.7
capital practices 1.0 0.9
0.6
Ecosystem 3.0
and
networks 1.9
1.5
1.0 1.0 1.0
Note: Survey respondents had the option to comment on more than one capability.
Source: McKinsey survey; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
Effective deployment and use of intangibles distinguishes top growers from low growers.
— Digital and analytics capital. Only top growers say that they have taken the next steps
needed to implement their digital strategy, including making effective use of proprietary
data, investing in flexible architecture to avoid being held back by legacy systems—
so-called tech debt—and ensuring that they can leverage the full power of intangibles
through real-time analytics. Top growers are 1.3 times more likely to have proprietary data,
1.8 times more likely to run analytics decisions in real time, and 2.0 times more likely to
have a flexible infrastructure. One of the most common challenges leaders face is striking
the right balance between giving teams flexibility to choose their tools and maintaining
required levels of consistency and standardization. Without flexible architecture,
developers will be slowed by dependencies across teams, time spent stabilizing or
integrating code bases after their development, and a lack of team-level ownership and
accountability. Top growers understand this and are allocating significant investments to
modernize their architecture.
— Human and relational capital. Looking at the first of the two subcategories—
organizational and managerial capital—both top and low growers agree on the importance
of attracting talent, but top growers are 2.6 times more likely than low growers to strive
to retain talent by offering a unique value proposition. Top growers are twice as likely to
define performance measures for all parts of the organization, and 1.7 times more likely to
put in place talent-management processes to foster diversity. This last element is striking
as companies have increasingly begun to regard inclusion and diversity as a key enabler
of growth. Yet progress on diversification initiatives has been slow. McKinsey’s Delivering
through diversity research reaffirms the global relevance of the link between diversity and
company financial outperformance. Using 2014 diversity data, we found that companies
in the top quartile for gender diversity on their executive teams were 15 percent more
likely to experience above-average profitability than companies in the fourth quartile.
On the second subcategory, ecosystems and networks rely on regular, streamlined, and
agile processes throughout an organization and with key partners. The survey findings
are similar for top growers and others on the importance of forming external partnerships,
including ecosystems, joint ventures, and consumer partnerships, in order to sustain
growth in the period after the COVID‑19 crisis. However, top growers are 1.4 times more
likely than other companies to have developed an ecosystem of partners to open up new
markets and develop new customers and capabilities. They are also 1.4 times more likely
to have created scalable, disruptive new business models. The best corporate strategies
force a multibusiness company to make clear, holistic choices about its portfolio and
the allocation of resources. The survey indicates that top growers are 3.0 times more likely
to make investment decisions holistically, to do so on a systematic and regular basis, and
to maintain agility. Top growers are 1.5 times more likely to make decisions about spending
and investment allocation through systematic but agile evaluation of returns. Finally, top
growers are twice as likely as low growers to agree strongly that it is important to scale
disruptive new business models.
— Brand capital. Only top growers are already deploying this type of intangible to ensure
that they can leverage brands effectively not only by listening to consumers but by
listening in a tailored way to serve them with personalized offerings backed by real-
time data analytics and tailored pricing and promotion. It is notable that 2.5 times more
top growers than low growers regard personalization as the core part of the customer
experience, and more than double the share of top growers say that they continuously
allocate and reallocate marketing spending in or near real time. Top marketers are
It is important to appreciate that the experience thus far of top growers and the findings in this
paper offer a current picture. However, deploying intangibles is a moving target. It is already
clear that success comes from investing in intangibles, but arguably less well appreciated is
that deploying these investments is not a static process but a dynamic one. As businesses
invest, they should continually assess not only what is key to success today but what areas
they may need to prioritize for growth in the future. Continuous reexamination of the types
of intangibles that are most likely to deliver on competitiveness and growth, that can be
scaled, and that are most likely to deliver synergies that may create value in other areas of
the learning economy will require a high level of visibility. Companies should consider setting
up a control tower that monitors the skills the organization needs, what IP will deliver the next
slice of competitive advantage, and what area innovation capital should focus on.
Huge value is at stake, and executives and policy makers should ask
themselves what it will take to realize the intangibles opportunity
Huge additional value could be created by investing in intangibles and deploying them
effectively. As a thought exercise, consider the potential value that could be created if
10 percent more companies were to attain the share of intangibles investment, and the GVA
growth, of top growers. This could produce an additional $1 trillion in GVA or a 2.7 percent
increase across sectors in OECD economies. If more companies could capture more of
the productivity- and growth-driving power of intangibles, these assets could play a major
role in the bounce-back of companies and economies from the COVID‑19 crisis.
As the correlation between investment in, and deployment of, intangibles and GVA growth
becomes ever clearer, executives—and governments—searching for sources of growth
should arguably pay more attention to the full range of these types of assets. The formula that
top growers have apparently hit upon may help other businesses understand the best way to
invest in intangibles and deploy them, and help policy makers to put in place the right kinds of
enabling infrastructure.
For companies, execution is key. Top growers not only invest 2.6 times more in intangibles
than low growers and invest in the four major types of intangible capital, they also deploy
them effectively with a focus on embedding intangibles in day-to-day business operations to
achieve returns. Low growers should consider investing in the following categories:
— Innovation capital. Ideas and creativity matter, but rigorous processes and decision
making based on data are necessary to ensure the effective implementation of creative
and disruptive ideas.
— Digital and analytics capital. Having a flexible technology architecture is a must in order
to rapidly process proprietary or external data and deliver real-time analytics. These
capabilities unlock other intangible capital benefits and create synergies between them.
— Human and relational capital. Top growers not only attract but also retain talent by
offering an unrivaled environment and a unique value proposition. To bring their strategy
to the next level, they master process making holistically and build scalable business
models that enhance their leadership position across markets.
— Brand capital. Digital marketing skills are not sufficient to achieve outstanding
performance. High performers distinguish themselves by integrating personalized
experiences into customer journeys, reallocating their marketing spend in real time, and
using data and analytics capabilities.
The shift from tangible to intangible assets increases the need for knowledge infrastructure.
Policy makers will need to focus on facilitating knowledge infrastructure, including education,
as well as communications technology including the internet, urban planning, and public
science spending. Increasingly important will be digital infrastructure to store and manage
data, the technology needed to support high-speed connectivity to transport data, and
powerful high-performance computers to process data. This infrastructure will fully unlock
the value of big data and foster scientific and technological innovation that enables firms
to achieve their digital and innovation objectives. Because intangibles generate spillovers,
a cluster-based approach to developing knowledge infrastructure may be an effective way
to enable synergies. It is notable that the rise of intangibles does not mean that physical
infrastructure is obsolete. The skilled people who work in this sphere and whose talent
is required to unlock its potential still need places to live, high-quality transportation
infrastructure, hospitals, and schools, for instance. And, as in any business cluster, people
need to be able to network and interact with one another; that means well-run cities.
How the intangible economy develops will also depend on the institutional infrastructure,
including effective IP law that strikes the right balance between protecting firms that have
invested heavily in their IP and ensuring that this protection is not so broad or overly strong
35
Will productivity and growth return after the COVID‑19 crisis? McKinsey Global Institute, March 2021, on McKinsey.com.
36
The future of work after COVID‑19, McKinsey Global Institute, February 2021, on McKinsey.com.
The evidence is stacking up in an age increasingly driven by innovation and knowledge that
firms and sectors that invest most heavily in intangibles are reinforcing and deepening their
competitive advantage and achieving the highest rates of growth in gross value added.
The full potential of these game-changing assets will not be realized unless companies are
smart about how they deploy them to create synergies and scale and to enhance a range of
capabilities that can deliver on growth. This paper has focused on an exploration of the link
between investment in intangible assets and economic growth and, digging deeper, on
which corporate approaches are already proving to be most successful for optimizing this
investment. The role of intangibles in the growing knowledge economy is a multifaceted,
complex topic that requires the attention not only of executives but also of policy makers if
firms and economies are to make the most of them.
1. Data sources
2. Sector definitions
6. Analyzing capabilities
1. Data sources
For this analysis, we used the following data sources.
— Proprietary survey. The survey was conducted in March 2021 in 16 countries in three
regions covering 21 sectors. Of the 861 respondents, nearly 80 percent were C-suite
executives. Of the companies represented, two-thirds had revenue of $500 million
or more, and just over half had revenue of $1 billion or more. The main analyses were
performed for the most important sectors by size of GVA, and we ensured that these
sectors were represented in the survey. Of the 861 respondents, 20 percent were in
advanced manufacturing; 16 percent in telecommunications, media, and technology;
14 percent in retail trade; 13 percent in financial services; and 6 percent in energy and
utilities. For our analyses, we used the responses of 591 of those surveyed, eliminating
outliers who reported extraordinarily high investment in intangibles or responded “I don’t
know” to more than two questions.
— Additional database. For data on gross GVA, we used statistics from the EU
KLEMS database.
2. Sector definitions
The definitions of sectors used in this research differ somewhat from those in the INTAN-
Invest database. In the case of financial services, this research does not include insurance,
as INTAN-Invest does. In telecommunications, media, and technology, the research includes
high tech, media, entertainment, and telecommunications; INTAN-Invest includes information,
communication, entertainment, and recreation. In the case of retail trade, the research
includes retail only, but INTAN-Invest adds wholesale and vehicle repair. The definition
of advanced industries is much broader than that of INTAN-Invest, which includes only
manufacturing; in this research, advanced industries includes advanced electronics,
automotive and assembly, and aerospace and defense. INTAN-Invest’s definition of energy
and materials includes only utilities and mining; this research includes electric power and
natural gas, metals and mining, and oil and gas.
In the scope of this analysis were Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy,
the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States. We used
the INTAN-Invest database for 1995 to 2015. For 2016 to 2019, we extrapolated data
based on the average growth rate between 2010 and 2015 for each sector and country.
We supplemented the INTAN-Invest data with gross value added data from EU KLEMS. To
equalize the purchasing power of different currencies, we converted all absolute data into
2010 dollars at purchasing power parity.
In the survey, we asked executives how much their organization invested in different
predefined intangible categories and summed these findings to give us the overall level of
investment in intangibles, which we analyzed as a percentage of revenue.
— For digital and analytics capital, we considered the computerized software and
databases categories.
— For human and relational capital, we considered the organizational and managerial
capital and training categories.
The proprietary survey asked executives how much their companies invest in:
— Innovation, for example, activities related to R&D and developing trademarks, copyrights,
licenses, patents, designs, and artistic originals.
— Digital and analytics, for example, activities related to development and maintenance
of digital platforms, analytics models and algorithms, data and databases, proprietary
software, and spending on third-party software.
— Organizational and managerial capital, for example, activities related to developing and
improving organization reputation, and workforce quality, including training and skills, and
management process and practices.
— Ecosystems and networks, for example, activities related to developing and improving
privileged relationships, partnerships, and networks, and to assessing and developing
geographic footprints.
— Brand, for example, activities related to developing and improving brand equity, customer
insights, customer base, customer loyalty, and content.
37
For the underlying assumptions for calculating these data and the corresponding challenges, see Carol Corrado, Jonathan
Haskel, and Cecilia Jona-Lasinio, Intangible capital and growth in advanced economies: Measurement methods and
comparative results, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), discussion paper number 6733, July 2012.
1
Service Annual Survey, US Census Bureau, census.gov.
— Innovation, for example, activities related to R&D and developing trademarks, copyrights,
licenses, patents, designs, and artistic originals.
— Digital and analytics, for example, activities related to development and maintenance
of digital platforms, analytics models and algorithms, data and databases, proprietary
software, and spending on third-party software.
— Organizational and managerial capital, for example, activities related to developing and
improving organization reputation, and workforce quality, including training and skills, and
management process and practices.
— Ecosystems and networks, for example, activities related to developing and improving
privileged relationships, partnerships, and networks, and to assessing and developing
geographic footprints.
— Brand, for example, activities related to developing and improving brand equity, customer
insights, customer base, customer loyalty, and content.
— Top growers were defined as the top 25 percent of companies in GVA growth in 2018–19.
— Low growers were defined as the bottom 50 percent of companies in GVA growth in
2018–19. 38
Steady growers, which we do not highlight in the paper, are companies in the third quartile in
GVA growth in 2018–19.
6. Analyzing capabilities
In the McKinsey survey, executives responded to a range of statements on each type of
capability. For each capability, we selected top statements based on the percentage of
respondents strongly agreeing with the statement among top growers and low growers
(on a six-point scale). Based on these percentage shares of strong agreement, a score of
zero to five was given to each statement in four groups of capabilities by type of intangible
capital: innovation capital, digital and analytics capital, human and relational capital, and
brand capital.
38
New McKinsey Global Institute research finds that between the periods 1994–96 and 2016–18, investment in intangible
assets tripled while investment in tangible assets dropped by half as a proportion of revenue. This research takes a
narrower view of corporate activity than this paper does, focusing only on about 5,000 public and private companies in the
OECD with annual revenue of $1 billion or more. See Companies in the 21st century: A new look at how corporations impact
the economy and households, McKinsey Global Institute, June 2021, on McKinsey.com.
This paper is a collaboration between the McKinsey Global Institute (MGI) and McKinsey &
Company’s marketing and sales, and digital and analytics teams.
This project benefited enormously from close collaboration with Jonathan Haskel, professor
of economics at Imperial College Business School, and Stian Westlake, chief executive
at the Royal Statistical Society, the coauthors of Capitalism without capital: The rise of
the intangible economy (Princeton University Press. 2017). Special thanks go to Tera Allas,
McKinsey director of research and economics in London, for her invaluable input.
The research was led by Eric Hazan, a McKinsey senior partner in Paris and a member of
the MGI Council; Sven Smit, a McKinsey senior partner in Amsterdam and co-chair of MGI;
Jonathan Woetzel, a McKinsey senior partner and a director of MGI in Shanghai and Los
Angeles; Biljana Cvetanovski, a McKinsey partner in London; Mekala Krishnan, an MGI
partner in Boston; Brian Gregg, a McKinsey senior partner in San Francisco; Jesko Perrey,
a McKinsey senior partner in Düsseldorf; and Klemens Hjartar, a McKinsey senior partner
in Copenhagen. The project team comprised Moira Borens, Cherry Chen, Phoebe FY Chen,
Isabel Cordoba, Guillaume Dagorret, Valerie Ford, Armine Gstrein Hassanaly, Claire Gu,
Orsi Jojart, Diana Khramina, Rebeca Kung, Tancrede Peronnet, Fleur Porter, Arushi Singh,
Maria Sliwinska, Ana Rita Sousa, Zsofia Sveiczer, Marija Vukojevic, Justus Winkelmann, and
Nils Wittman. We are grateful to James Manyika, a McKinsey senior partner in San Francisco
and co-chair of MGI, for his guidance, and Kevin Russell, an MGI fellow in Charlotte, who
collaborated with us on MGI’s work on 21st-century companies.
From MGI, we would like to thank Janet Bush, senior editor, who edited and produced
this paper; Nienke Beuwer, EMEA director of communications; Vasudha Gupta, editorial
production manager; Peter Gumbel, editorial director; Stephanie Strom, senior editor;
Marisa Carder and Patrick White, design specialists; Lauren Meling, digital editor;
Tim Beacom, research specialist; and Dennis Alexander of the MGI communication team.
From McKinsey’s marketing and sales team, we thank Julie F. Hayes, Mianne Ortega,
Christina Sheffield, Eric Sherman, Cindy Van Horne, and Kinga Young. We are also grateful
to the many McKinsey colleagues who contributed their industry expertise and perspectives
to this research: Kabir Ahuja, Michael Betz, Marco Catena, Joy Chen, Dianne Esber,
Harald Fanderi, Lars Fiedler, Rock Khanna, Dieter Kiewell, Anna Koivuniemi, Karin Loeffler,
Duncan Miller, Peter Saffert, Christina Sheffield, Dennis Spillecke, and Michael Viertler.
Superstars: The dynamics of firms, sectors, and cities leading the global
economy (October 2018)
This discussion paper assesses the extent to which a superstar effect can be
observed in the global economy in three arenas—firms, sectors, and cities—and
inspects the dynamics, including churn and changing characteristics, in each of
these arenas.
Will productivity and growth return after the COVID‑19 crisis? (March 2021)
This report examines the bold and innovative steps companies took to respond to
the COVID‑19 pandemic and how spreading such rapid innovation more broadly
could produce significant gains in productivity and economic growth.
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June 2021
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