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7. Will China and Russia be the new Axis of Oil? Supply and demand
trends, plus this week’s surprise from the OPEC cartel, suggest that these
emerging giants may yet up-end energy market.
With oil prices above $30 a barrel, OPEC was not expected to cut output
quotas at its meeting in Algeria this week, merely to clamp down on
quota busting, which adds some 1.5m barrels per day (bpd) to official
quotas of 24.5m bpd. But, on February 10th, it agreed to cut quotas by 1m
bpd from April.
Why? “The second quarter is a bad quarter,” explained one oil minister.
He was talking of the risk of price collapse as the northern-hemisphere
winter (when demand peaks) gives way to warmer spring (when oil use
declines). Yet, OPEC may be playing with fire. Edward Morse of
HETCO, an energy trader, points out that inventories are currently
unusually low. Even if OPEC cuts output by half of what it threatens, he
says, there may still be sharp price spikes: “There’s no cushion left.”
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8. There are now, according to Ben Bradshaw, a farming minister, about
1.5m deer roaming Britain—more than at any time since the last Ice Age.
One reason is milder weather. Another is that farmers increasingly sow
grain and rape seed in autumn rather than spring, because crops grow
more vigorously in spring and so produce better yields. That provides
fodder for deer in winter. At last, it seems, an agricultural technique
which improves farmers’ profits and boosts wildlife.
Not quite. Autumn planting may help see deer through hard times. But it
is also blamed for a decline in numbers of certain bird species.
Graham Appleton, of the British Trust for Ornithology, says that autumn
and winter planting means less grain lying around fields in winter.

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