How Do You Value A Company?
How Do You Value A Company?
This question, or variations of it, should be answered by talking about 2 primary valuation methodologies:
Since the free cash flows in an unlevered DCF analysis are pre-debt (i.e. a helpful way to think
about this is to think of unlevered cash flows as the company’s cash flows as if it had no debt – so no
interest expense, and no tax benefit from that interest expense), the cost of the cash flows relate to both
the lenders and the equity providers of capital. Thus, the discount rate is the weighted average cost of
capital to all providers of capital (both debt and equity).
The cost of debt is readily observable in the market as the yield on debt with equivalent risk, while
the cost of equity is more difficult to estimate.
Cost of equity is typically estimated using the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), which links the
expected return of equity to its sensitivity to the overall market (see WSP’s DCF module for a detailed
analysis of calculating the cost of equity).
The cost of equity is higher than the cost of debt because the cost associated with borrowing debt
(interest expense) is tax deductible, creating a tax shield. Additionally, the cost of equity is typically higher
because unlike lenders, equity investors are not guaranteed fixed payments, and are last in line at
liquidation.
There are several competing models for estimating the cost of equity, however, the capital asset pricing
model (CAPM) is predominantly used on the street. The CAPM links the expected return of a security to its
sensitivity the overall market basket (often proxied using the S&P 500). The formula is:
Cost of equity (re) = Risk free rate (rf) + β x Market risk premium (rm-rf )
Risk free rate: The risk free rate should theoretically reflect yield to maturity of a default-free
government bonds of equivalent maturity to the duration of each cash flows being discounted. In practice,
lack of liquidity in long term bonds have made the current yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds as the
preferred proxy for the risk-free rate for US companies.
Market risk premium: The market risk premium (rm-rf) represents the excess returns of investing
in stocks over the risk free rate. Practitioners often use the historical excess returns method, and compare
historical spreads between S&P 500 returns and the yield on 10 year treasury bonds.
Beta (β): Beta provides a method to estimate the degree of an asset’s systematic (non-
diversifiable) risk. Beta equals the covariance between expected returns on the asset and on the stock
market, divided by the variance of expected returns on the stock market. A company whose equity has a
beta of 1.0 is “as risky” as the overall stock market and should therefore be expected to provide returns to
investors that rise and fall as fast as the stock market. A company with an equity beta of 2.0 should see
returns on its equity rise twice as fast or drop twice as fast as the overall market.
5. How would you calculate beta for a company?
Calculating raw betas from historical returns and even projected betas is an imprecise measurement of
future beta because of estimation errors (i.e. standard errors create a large potential range for beta). As a
result, it is recommended that we use an industry beta. Of course, since the betas of comparable
companies are distorted because of different rates of leverage, we should unlever the betas of these
comparable companies as such:
Then, once an average unlevered beta is calculated, relever this beta at the target company’s capital
structure:
6. How do you calculate unlevered free cash flows for DCF analysis?
Free cash flows = Operating profit (EBIT) * (1 –tax rate) + depreciation & amortization – changes in net
working capital – capital expenditures
EBIT, EBITDA, unlevered cash flow, and revenue multiples all have enterprise value as the numerator
because the denominator is an unlevered (pre-debt) measure of profitability. Conversely, EPS, after-tax
cash flows, and book value of equity all have equity value as the numerator because the denominator is
levered – or post-debt.
8. How would you value a company with negative historical cash flows?
Given that negative profitability will make most multiples analyses meaningless, a DCF valuation approach
is appropriate here.
9. When should you value a company using a revenue multiple vs. EBITDA?
Companies with negative profits and EBITDA will have meaningless EBITDA multiples. As a result,
Revenue multiples are more insightful.
10. Two companies are identical in earnings, growth prospects, leverage, returns on capital,
and risk. Company A is trading at a 15 P/E multiple, while the other trades at 10 P/E. Which
would you prefer as an investment?
10 P/E: A rational investor would rather pay less per unit of ownership.
A debenture is an unsecured loan you offer to a company. The company does not give
any collateral for the debenture, but pays a higher rate of interest to its creditors. In
case of bankruptcy or financial difficulties, the debenture holders are paid later than
bondholders. Debentures are different from stocks and bonds, although all three are
types of investment. Let us discuss about different types of investment options for small
investors and entrepreneurs.
Debentures are more secure than stocks, in the sense that you are guaranteed
payments with high interest rates. You are paid an interest on the money you lend the
company until the maturity period, after which whatever you invested in the company is
paid back to you. The interest is the profit you make from debentures. While stocks are
for those who like playing the field, and are willing to take risks for the sake of high
returns, debentures are for people who want a safe and secure income.
A debenture is more secure than a stock, but not as secure as a bond. In case of
bankruptcy, you have no collateral you can claim from the company. To compensate for
this, companies pay higher interest rates to debenture holders.
All investment, including stocks bonds or debentures carry an element of risk. If you are
unsure of the investment options that are best for your business, then you can consult a
small business consultant who will guide you to the best investment options available to
you. Investing wisely today can pay heavy dividends tomorrow.