DISTRIBUCION PROBABILISTICA GUMBEL

POTOSI (CUENCA COA COA)

AÑO Pmax 24h i Preci Weibull Gumbel Error Kolmogorov

2000 13.5 1 13.50 3.8% 15.9 0.2% 5.90 0.036
2002 16 2 16.00 7.7% 16.9 4.1% 0.78 0.036
2007 16.5 3 16.50 11.5% 17.6 5.9% 1.14 0.056
1997 18 4 18.00 15.4% 18.1 14.4% 0.02 0.010
2012 19.5 5 19.50 19.2% 18.6 26.5% 0.74 0.073
2016 20.2 6 20.20 23.1% 19.1 32.8% 1.19 0.097
2014 20.4 7 20.40 26.9% 19.5 34.7% 0.72 0.077
2004 20.5 8 20.50 30.8% 20.0 35.6% 0.27 0.048
2006 20.5 9 20.50 34.6% 20.4 35.6% 0.01 0.010
2008 20.5 10 20.50 38.5% 20.8 35.6% 0.10 0.029
2009 20.5 11 20.50 42.3% 21.2 35.6% 0.53 0.067
2010 20.5 12 20.50 46.2% 21.7 35.6% 1.34 0.106
1998 21 13 21.00 50.0% 22.1 40.2% 1.19 0.098
1993 21.5 14 21.50 53.8% 22.5 44.8% 1.08 0.091
1995 24.039445 15 24.04 57.7% 23.0 65.4% 1.06 0.077
1996 25 16 25.00 61.5% 23.5 71.6% 2.22 0.101
2005 25 17 25.00 65.4% 24.0 71.6% 0.92 0.062
2015 25 18 25.00 69.2% 24.6 71.6% 0.15 0.024
1992 25.1 19 25.10 73.1% 25.2 72.2% 0.02 0.009
2011 26.2 20 26.20 76.9% 26.0 78.1% 0.06 0.012
2003 28 21 28.00 80.8% 26.8 85.5% 1.49 0.047
2001 30.2 22 30.20 84.6% 27.8 91.4% 5.97 0.067
2013 30.2 23 30.20 88.5% 29.0 91.4% 1.47 0.029
1994 30.4 24 30.40 92.3% 30.7 91.8% 0.08 0.005
1999 35 25 35.00 96.2% 33.5 97.3% 2.17 0.012
4.70 0.106

Estadigrafos
Nº Datos 25
Media 22.93 DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL
Desviación 5.11
Asimetria 0.49 40.00
35.00
Parametros Gumbel
PRESIPITACION (mm)

30.00
alfa 3.98
miu 20.63 25.00
20.00
T P24 15.00
2 22.091 10.00
5 26.604
10 29.592 5.00
25 33.367 0.00
50 36.168 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
75 37.796 PROBABILIDAD
100 38.948
200 41.718
500 45.372

Univ. Ariel Marcelo Villalpando Guerra

 DISTRIBUCION PROBABILISTICA LOG-NORMAL
POTOSI (CUENCA COA COA)
P med
AÑO m X Ln(x) Alexeeff Log Normal Error
max
2000 13.50 1 13.5 2.603 3% 14.71 1% 1.45
2002 16.00 2 16.0 2.773 7% 16.09 7% 0.01
2007 16.50 3 16.5 2.803 11% 17.01 9% 0.26
1997 18.00 4 18.0 2.890 15% 17.75 16% 0.06
2012 19.50 5 19.5 2.970 19% 18.38 27% 1.25
2016 20.20 6 20.2 3.006 23% 18.96 32% 1.54
2014 20.40 7 20.4 3.016 27% 19.50 34% 0.82
2004 20.50 8 20.5 3.020 31% 20.01 35% 0.24
2006 20.50 9 20.5 3.020 35% 20.51 35% 0.00
2008 20.50 10 20.5 3.020 39% 20.99 35% 0.24
2009 20.50 11 20.5 3.020 43% 21.48 35% 0.95
2010 20.50 12 20.5 3.020 47% 21.96 35% 2.14
1998 21.00 13 21.0 3.045 50% 22.45 39% 2.12
1993 21.50 14 21.5 3.068 54% 22.96 43% 2.13
1995 24.04 15 24.0 3.180 58% 23.48 62% 0.31
1996 25.00 16 25.0 3.219 62% 24.02 69% 0.95
2005 25.00 17 25.0 3.219 66% 24.60 69% 0.16
2015 25.00 18 25.0 3.219 70% 25.22 69% 0.05
1992 25.10 19 25.1 3.223 74% 25.89 70% 0.63
2011 26.20 20 26.2 3.266 78% 26.65 76% 0.20
2003 28.00 21 28.0 3.332 82% 27.51 84% 0.24
2001 30.20 22 30.2 3.408 86% 28.53 91% 2.78
2013 30.20 23 30.2 3.408 90% 29.84 91% 0.13
1994 30.40 24 30.4 3.414 94% 31.71 91% 1.72
1999 35.00 25 35.0 3.555 98% 35.44 98% 0.19

Estadigrafos Log
Datos 25 DISTRIBUCION LOG NORMAL
Media 3.11
40.0
Desviación 0.22
35.0
Asimetria -0.09
PRESIPITACION (mm)

30.0

T P24 25.0
2 22.39 20.0
5 27.02 15.0
10 29.80 10.0
25 33.09 5.0
50 35.40 0.0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
75 36.71
100 37.62 PROBABILIDAD
200 39.776635
500 42.551602

Univ. Ariel Marcelo Villalpando Guerra

DISTRIBUCION PROBABILISTICA LOG-PEARSON
POTOSI (CUENCA COA COA)
P med
AÑO i x log(x) Hazen Log Pearson Error
max
2000 13.50 1 13.5 2.60 2% 14.3 1% 0.67
2002 16.00 2 16.0 2.77 6% 15.9 6% 0.01
2007 16.50 3 16.5 2.80 10% 16.9 8% 0.13
1997 18.00 4 18.0 2.89 14% 17.6 16% 0.15
2012 19.50 5 19.5 2.97 18% 18.2 27% 1.57
2016 20.20 6 20.2 3.01 22% 18.8 33% 1.89
2014 20.40 7 20.4 3.02 26% 19.4 34% 1.08
2004 20.50 8 20.5 3.02 30% 19.9 35% 0.39
2006 20.50 9 20.5 3.02 34% 20.4 35% 0.02
2008 20.50 10 20.5 3.02 38% 20.9 35% 0.12
2009 20.50 11 20.5 3.02 42% 21.3 35% 0.70
2010 20.50 12 20.5 3.02 46% 21.8 35% 1.75
1998 21.00 13 21.0 3.04 50% 22.3 39% 1.73
1993 21.50 14 21.5 3.07 54% 22.8 43% 1.75
1995 24.04 15 24.0 3.18 58% 23.3 63% 0.48
1996 25.00 16 25.0 3.22 62% 23.9 69% 1.22
2005 25.00 17 25.0 3.22 66% 24.5 69% 0.27
2015 25.00 18 25.0 3.22 70% 25.1 69% 0.01
1992 25.10 19 25.1 3.22 74% 25.8 70% 0.48
2011 26.20 20 26.2 3.27 78% 26.6 76% 0.13
2003 28.00 21 28.0 3.33 82% 27.4 84% 0.31
2001 30.20 22 30.2 3.41 86% 28.5 91% 2.86
2013 30.20 23 30.2 3.41 90% 29.9 91% 0.11
1994 30.40 24 30.4 3.41 94% 31.8 91% 2.04
1999 35.00 25 35.0 3.56 98% 35.8 97% 0.63
4.53

Estadigrafos log(x)
Nº Datos 25
Media 3.11 DISTRIBUCION LOG PEARSON
Desviación 0.22 40.0
Asimetria -0.09
35.0
Parametros Pearson
Forma 467.3 30.0
PRESIPITACION (mm)

Escala 0.01
25.0
Posición -1.71
T P24max 20.0
2 22.32
15.0
5 26.99
10 29.87 10.0

5.0
Univ. Ariel Marcelo Villalpando Guerra
0.0
 PRESIPIT
15.0
10.0
25 33.32 5.0
50 35.80
75 37.21 0.0
100 38.20 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
200 40.55 PROBABILIDAD
500 43.63

RESUMEN
P24[mm] COA COA
LOG LOG -
Tr (años) GUMBEL
NORMAL PEARSON III
0.0188186 17.2
0.1046747 19.7 2 22.09 22.4 22.3
0.1313212 20.2 5 26.6 27.0 27.0
0.1666263 20.8 10 29.6 29.8 29.9
0.2521716 22.1 25 33.4 33.1 33.3
0.2730417 22.4 50 36.2 35.4 35.8
0.3437647 23.4 75 37.8 36.7 37.2
0.3861599 24 100 38.9 37.6 38.2
0.4278667 24.6 200 41.7 39.8 40.6
0.4550732 25 500 45.4 42.6 43.6
0.5450208 26.4
0.5510796 26.5
0.6556573 28.4
0.6702887 28.7
0.6750518 28.8
0.7358874 30.2
0.8022407 32.1
0.870029 34.8
0.9489962 40.8
0.9778153 46.3

Univ. Ariel Marcelo Villalpando Guerra