Trace The Development of Adalat System in India: Prepared by
Trace The Development of Adalat System in India: Prepared by
Trace The Development of Adalat System in India: Prepared by
Prepared By:
Ishan Mazumder
ID: 218085
Subject: Subject
Teacher:
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
CONTENTS
1. Introduction 3
2. Overview: Global Recession 3
a. Critiquing: The Traditional
Approach
3. Rationale 4
4. Research Methodology 4
5. Discussion 4
a. No Property Rule 4
b. Legislation & Exceptions to the 5
No Property Rule
c. Jurisprudential Evolution vis-à- 6
vis Case Laws
d. Foetal & Embroyic tissues for 8
in-vitro fertilisation
6. Conclusion 9
7. Bibliography 10
I. INTRODUCTION
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
The global pandemic caused by the virus known as nCOv-19 or Corona Virus is having a
huge impact on the global economy. This paper highlights the economic channels cutting
across territorial boundaries which shall affect the economic activities stating the
estimated cost the global economy would incur due to the virus. Moreover, it also pens
down the thought regarding the conundrum as to whether the scenario is such that global
recession is almost inevitable now. Moreover, the paper militate the traditional approach
of measuring the affect which a pandemic shall have on the economy by way of mortality
rate and illness due to which there will be a loss in income due to loss of lives.
The current pandemic is a 21st century one throws at us various other challenges as a
result of which it will not be prudent to compare the current exigency with past
experiences. Various data and fiscal reports shows that though biological similarity can
be traced between covid-19 and SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome), however,
according to statistics it is proved that both cannot be compared and contrasted with
respect to economic effects.
It is not unknown that globally maximum countries have put a lockdown to stop the chain
and as a result of which several sectors are bound to get affected. However, it is also true
that the effect would not be distributed proportionately as some would benefit and other
shall get several profits as in view of every nation's monetary structure some shall be
more impacted than others. Nations with more help situated economies, for instance,
would be increasingly affected, and have progressively unstable occupations. Thus the
paper finally traces the fact whether Covid-19 would lead to a further rise in capitalism. A
report published in nakedcapitalism.com1 and a claim by Naomi Klein2 throws feeble light
on the chances of capitalism surge as the one who shall benefit from the situation
contribute for the current vulnerabilities. As a culminating point, the paper estimates and
assumes various fiscal forecasts as to what list ahead along with estimating the GDP of
various nations.
1
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2020/02/bad-bets-and-the-corona-virus-epidemic.html
2
https://www.democracynow.org/2020/3/19/naomi_klein_coronavirus_capitalism?
fbclid=IwAR3cbHWq0wZ3Ug4qO9eaQLJcx532nIaAwL8tW8-ZnhRxKnQibDlH0RgxJAA
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
As of news reports, the first impression of Covid-19 can be traced back to the city of
China first figured out in December, 2019. While penning down this report, worldwide 7,
24,201 cases were confirmed and 1, 161 cases confirmed in India. Some of the countries
and till date even India is successful in precluding the virus from traversing into the third
stage.3 However, when it comes to the economy, the effect is not symmetrical. It is also
true that due to the volatile nature of the virus every day WHO updates and takes within
its ambit new countries and area where the virus is rounded off.
The effect of the virus on economy comes firstly due to the packages and contingency
plans of government along with shutdown of most workplaces and industries. We were
seeing serious lockdowns in China which resulted in cut in demand along with severe
restrictions on production.4 Generally, global supply chains have affected their operation,
impacting businesses across the globe. In the coming months, millions of people will lose
their jobs. Furthermore, we hear troubling reports every day about more businesses
closing down operations, revising forecasts or announcing layoffs. Consumers have also
modified their habits of consumption, leading to shortages of many products in
supermarkets across the globe. Global financial markets have undergone sharp downturns
and uncertainty is close to, or beyond, the 2008/9 financial crisis.5
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has constructed some new development
conjectures in 2020 (Feb 2020) regardless of this unrest. Under its new conjectures, the
IMF anticipates that China to lag by 0.4 rate, just as a 0.1 rate point log jam under
worldwide development. Toward the beginning of March the OECD likewise changed its
figures. It anticipated worldwide financial development for the whole year to tumble to
2.4 percent, contrasted with 2.9 percent in 2019. I accept all figures have known to be
mistaken, and are probably going to be refreshed in the months to come.
There are a few different ways by which the economy is influenced by a pandemic. The
standard way to deal with estimating an outbreak's financial damage utilizes mortality
rate and sickness information to quantify the loss of potential fiscal matters from death.
However, Loss of time, benefits, and direct funding of healthcare sector also consists of
the traditional method of quantification.
The traditional medico fatality way to deal with financial loss thinks little of the genuine
expenses of the present emergency. We saw this in past irresistible ailments for which
there was also no vaccination at the time of their upsurge such as the SARS and MERS
along with HIV-AIDs.7 The accessible information from these past epidemics,
nonetheless, offers a few subtleties that can assist us with starting to consider the full
ramifications of COVID-19.
There are various data which could help was in the present scenario, however, the
distinctions are imperative to get highlighted. Here, we are confronted with a different
astonishment. The proof shows that in the COVID-19 emergency there is no association
between the monetary impacts and death rates. Governments, organizations, clients and
media reactions have all produced a concurrent stun of interest and supply. At the date of
this report, I accept the wellbeing hazard is not really associated with the financial hazard
to the worldwide economy.
a. Influenza of 1918
6
Bhattarai A., Long, H. and Siegel, R. (2020, March 11) “The first US layoffs from the coronavirus are here.
Stars and Stripes”. Available at: https://www.stripes.com/news/us/the-first-us-layoffs-fromthe-coronavirus-are-
here-1.622069. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
7
Bloom D. E., Cadarette D. and Sevilla J.P., “The Economic Risks and Impacts of Epidemics”, International
Monetary Fund, F&D Magazine, June 2018.
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
A portion of the most pessimistic scenario situations for the present pandemic depend on
the 1918 worldwide flu that, somewhere in the range of 1918 and 1919, executed 40
million individuals around the world. During a brief timeframe, just the Black Death
(fourteenth century) killed more individuals (around 60 million). 33% of the total
populace had been attacked by worldwide flu in 1918. 8 It could prompt more than 80
million passings if a comparative infection happened today, with a lot bigger populace,
and with longer travel times over the world. This pandemic caused dread, notwithstanding
the awful death rates, and truly affected the worldwide economy and exchange. Many
think a repeat of the flu pandemic of 1918/19 might cost more than $4 trillion.9
The research conducted by the Congressional Budget Office of U.S. in 2005 examined
dual situation of the pandemic within the U.S. A moderate situation (20 per cent assault
rate; 0.1 per cent death rate), and a progressively genuine situation (30 per cent assault
rate; 2.5 per cent mortality).10 As of the report, the GDP decrease for the United States
will be 1.5 per cent for the moderate case and 5 per cent in extreme situations. Moreover,
the World Bank detailed that a worldwide flu equivalent to that of 1918 would cost the
US$ 3 trillion economies, around 5 per cent of GDP. Furthermore, the downgrade will be
2.2 per cent of GDP in a moderate circumstance.11
b. Ebola
This paper pursued correlations with other epidemics and pandemics leading to the
fact that Ebola plague in Africa are the biggest among them. This episode of the Ebola
infection in 2013–2016 took 11,300 lives.12
Economic Impacts:
The US incurred a loss of $53 Million from the Ebola outbreak in Africa
GDP of Sierra Leone’s saw a drop of 20%
8
“China’s Economy Suffers Historic Slump Due to Virus Shutdown”. (2020, March 16). Bloomberg News.
Available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-16/chinamanufacturing-and-retail-contract-
for-first-time-on-virus. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
9
Chou, J., N.-F. Kuo, et al., 2004. “Potential Impacts of the SARS Outbreak on Taiwan's Economy”. Asian
Economic Papers 3(1), 84-112.
10
“Cineplex closing all theatres across Canada due to COVID-19 concerns”. (2020, March 16). City News.
Available at: https://toronto.citynews.ca/2020/03/16/cineplex-closing-all-theatres-acrosscanada-due-to-covid-
19-concerns/. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
11
Congressional Budget Office (2005) “A Potential Influenza Pandemic: Possible Macroeconomic Effects and
Policy Issues”. CBO Washington DC.
12
Dean, J. (2020, March 17) “American GDP to shrink 5%, warns Goldman Sachs”. The Times. Available at:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/american-gdp-to-shrink-5-warns-goldmansachs-ljh2fgmvk. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
This outbreak has likewise instructed us that despite the fact that an outbreak's wellbeing
impact is genuinely little, it can have critical and durable financial outcomes. For instance,
from 2013 to 2014, Liberia's GDP declined by 8 %, even as the general demise rate in the
nation dropped over in the same time.13
The exigency which is posed before us this time cannot be compared and contrasted with
other past experiences of fiscal crisis due to the following factors14:
We can see the previously mentioned proof in the light of late business occasions. The
monetary impact of the worldwide health emergency is lamentably felt across ventures
and countries.15 This is a little diagram of the exercises identified with the previous
weeks:
13
“Ebola situation report – 16 March 2016. Geneva: World Health Organization” (2016.) Available from:
http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/204629/1/ebolasitrep_16Mar2016_eng.pdf?ua= 1 [cited 2016 Apr 2].
14
Esposito, A. (2020, March 16) “The Worst Hit Equity Sectors in 2020”. Morningstar. Available at_
https://www.morningstar.co.uk/uk/news/200469/the-worst-hit-equity-sectors-in-2020.aspx. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
15
Fan V. Y., Jamison D. T. & Summers L. H. (2018) “Pandemic risk: how large are the expected losses?”
Bulletin of the World Health Organization.
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
In 2002/3 the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) spread to other Asian nations
from Guangdong, in China. Over 8,000 individuals were affected when until it was
controlled and over 900 individuals had passed on WHO. 16 It has prompted a decrease of
0.5 to 1 rate point in China's 2003 creation. As per the World Bank, by and large, the cost
of SARS to the worldwide economy is anticipated to be $54 billion.17
There is still a lot of disarray about COVID-19. The proof accessible show this is more
irresistible than SARS, near avian influenza. On the other hand, COVID-19 has a much
lower death rate (between 2-4%) than SARS (10%). What's more, both are marginally
lower than avian influenza (60 per cent).18
16
Fan V.Y., Jamison D.T., Summers L.H. (2015) “The Inclusive Cost of Pandemic Influenza Risk”. NBER
Work Pap N. 22137
17
Fernandes, N. (2017) “Finance for Executives: A Practical Guide for Managers”. 2nd Edition, Chapter 13.
18
Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (2019). “A world at risk: annual report on global preparedness for
health emergencies”. Geneva: World Health Organization.
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
Regardless of their likenesses from a clinical perspective (both are coronavirus diseases),
they are relied upon to have to some degree diverse financial effects. All things
considered, correlations with SARS must be adjusted fittingly19:
19
Haacker, M., (2002a). “The economic consequences of HIV/AIDS in Southern Africa”. IMF Working Paper
W/02/38, 41-95.
20
Hai, W., Z. Zhao, et al. (2004). “The Short-Term Impact of SARS on the Chinese Economy”. Asian Economic
Papers 3(1), 57-61.
21
Huber, C., Finelli, L. & Stevens, W. (2018). “The Economic and Social Burden of the 2014 Ebola Outbreak in
West Africa". The Journal of Infectious Diseases 2018;0000:S1–7. https://academic.oup.com/jid/advance-
article/doi/10.1093/infdis/jiy213/5129071
22
“Italian Car Sales ‘Could Fall over 15%’ amid Coronavirus Spread”. (2020, March 19). The New York Times.
Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-autos/italiancar-sales-could-fall-over-
15-amid-coronavirus-spread-idUSKBN20T28B. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
23
JP Morgan (2019, December 19) “Global Market Outlook 2019: Higher Growth Outside of US, Lower
Returns”. Available at: https://www.jpmorgan.com/global/research/global-marketoutlook-2020. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
24
“China Retail Sales, Industrial Production Plunge”. (2020, March 16). Bloomberg Markets. Available at:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2020-03-16/china-retail-sales-industrialproduction-plunge-video.
[Accessed: 19 March 2020]
25
Jennings, R. (2020, March 17) “'Unprecedented' Lockdown of Manila Expected to Cut Philippine Economic
Growth”. The News Lens. Available at: https://international.thenewslens.com/article/132572. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
These diagrams show little importance for any correlation with 2003. China's job in the
worldwide economy has developed essentially from that point forward.26 Furthermore, along
26
Kostova D., Cassell C.H., Redd J.T., Williams D.E., Singh T., Martel L.D., Bunnell R.E. (2010) “Long‐
distance effects of epidemics: Assessing the link between the 2014 West Africa Ebola outbreak and U.S. exports
and employment”, Health Economics, Vol. 28 No. 11, pp. 1248–1261.
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
these lines overflow impacts happen across chains of exchange and supply (see areas 2.1-
Relevant market and financial news and measurements, and 3.2-upset stockpile chains).27
The on-going proof shows a decrease in China's GDP right now. Since China is around 16
percent of the worldwide economy, this is terrible news for the world all in all. Before the
emergency, China's anticipated GDP development was 6 percent in the main quarter of
2020.28
We are confronting a worldwide pandemic situation as from today. Nations are hurrying to
follow China's model: lockdowns, limitations on movement, huge emergency clinics in
isolate, expanded general health activities, security of the old, and so forth.29
We have started forcing limitations on open life in Europe in the most recent week. For
specific nations, for instance, the schools are shut. There are additionally travel limitations,
organizations send their staff home, airplanes are grounded, and so on. 30 The truth of the
matter is that as far as the pestilence most western nations are 1-2, 5 months behind China.
They are still behind in executing restorative measures and it is impossible if the fenced in
area endeavours would be as fruitful as they were in China.31
Subsequently, the subsequent quarter is relied upon to be lower than Q1 in many nations
around the globe.
27
Lee J-W and W. McKibbin (2004) “Globalization and Disease: The Case of SARS”. Asian Economic Papers
Vol. 3 No. 1, pp. 113-131.
28
Lo, K. (2020, March 1) “Coronavirus: China says over 90 per cent of state firms back in business after
manufacturing index hits all-time low”. South China Morning Post. Available at:
https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3053073/coronavirus-china-says-90- cent-state-firms-
back-business.[Accessed: 19 March 2020]
29
McKibbin W. and A. Sidorenko (2006) “Global Macroeconomic Consequences of Pandemic Influenza”.
Brookings. Available at: https://www.brookings.edu/research/globalmacroeconomic-consequences-of-
pandemic-influenza/. [Accessed: 20 March 2020)
30
Morris, K. and Karmin, C. (2020, March 13) “Hotels Turn to Layoffs, Room Rate Cuts as Business Staggers”.
The Wall Street Journal. Available at: https://www.wsj.com/articles/hotels-turn-tolayoffs-room-rate-cuts-as-
business-staggers-11584108223. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
31
OECD (2020, 2 March) “Global economy faces gravest threat since the crisis as coronavirus spreads”.
Available at: http://www.oecd.org/economy/global-economy-faces-gravest-threatsince-the-crisis-as-
coronavirus-spreads.htm. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
We face travel limitations, scratch-offs of games and preclusion on social events. In Europe,
individuals don't utilize open vehicle and aversion open territories, for example, eateries,
shopping centres and exhibition halls.33
This will affect all ventures. By and by, the impacts of COVID-19 won't be spread
consistently through the economy as indicated by the proof seen in past areas. A few
enterprises may likewise benefit monetarily (everybody knows the tales of bathroom
tissue ...), while others will endure significantly.34
The issues are particularly awful in areas identifying with friendliness. In reality, the
worldwide travel industry-from aircraft to voyage administrators, from gambling clubs to
inns faces activity decreases of over 90%.35 Traveller goals are surrendered as referenced in
past articles, aircraft are landing armadas and terminating representatives, exchange fairs and
travels are being dropped, inns and gambling clubs shutting all tasks...
Notwithstanding these, different organizations depend on the travel industry and will
encounter overflow impacts.
Associations drop travel and gatherings notwithstanding travel bans and isolates, and
governments have shut outskirts.36 Moreover, Chinese guests are notable to be the greatest
32
OECD (2020, 2 March) “Global economy faces gravest threat since the crisis as coronavirus spreads”.
Available at: http://www.oecd.org/economy/global-economy-faces-gravest-threatsince-the-crisis-as-
coronavirus-spreads.htm. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
33
Payme, A. (2020, March 13) “Germany has offered companies 'unlimited' loans to stop them from collapsing
because of the coronavirus pandemic”. Business Insider. Available at:
https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-germany-offers-affected-companies-unlimitedloans-covid-19-
2020-3?IR=T. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
34
Roberts, C. (2020, March 17) “Europe Resorts to Unprecedented Restrictions on Public Life”. CNN Money
Switzerland. Available at: https://www.cnnmoney.ch/shows/big-picture/videos/europeresorts-unprecedented-
restrictions-public-life. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
35
Ruffino, G. (2020, March 12) “Coronavirus causes Swiss Watch makers more Grief”. CNN Money
Switzerland. Available at: https://www.cnnmoney.ch/shows/big-picture/videos/coronaviruscauses-swiss-
watchmakers-more-grief. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
36
Solsvick, T. (2020, March 16) “Norwegian Air to cancel 85% of flights and lay off 90% of staff”. Reuters.
Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirusnorwegianair/norwegian-air-to-cancel-85-of-
flights-and-lay-off-90-of-staff-idUSKBN2132F7. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
spenders on the planet. The figure below shows the circulation of the general commitment of
movement and the travel industry to GDP in the various nations.37
Regardless of globalization, there's still a great deal of nearby improvement. A large number
of the products that we utilize regular are not traded and are bought locally. Here as well, the
economy is having a noteworthy negative impact.39
At the point when individuals drop dental specialist arrangements, defer their hair styles,
don't go out for their week after week supper, or stand by to put their home available, this is a
sharp hit to support situated economies. Without a doubt, a great part of the lost creation can
never be recovered in the administration segments. At the point when you're discussing
buying a wireless or a microwave, you're probably going to pause and buy the item later
37
Sui, A. and Y. C. R. Wong, 2004. “Economic Impact of SARS: The Case of Hong-Kong”. Asian Economic
Papers Vol. 3 No. 1), 62-83.
38
Tatelbaum, J. (2020, March 17) “Hopes of a coronavirus vaccine mount as three key biotech players make
progress”. CNBC. Available at: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/17/hopes-of-acoronavirus-vaccine-mount-as-
three-key-biotech-players-make-progress.html. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
39
Taylor, D. and Schwartz, J. (2020, March 17) “Volkswagen suspends production as coronavirus hits sales”.
Reuters. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-volkswagen-results2019/volkswagen-suspends-
production-as-coronavirus-hits-sales-idUSKBN2140OF. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
(accepting this stun is brief you're despite everything finding a new line of work and salary
accessible when it's finished).40
Be that as it may, on the off chance that you don't go out to cafés during this shut-down for
your week after week supper, it's suspicious you'll begin having feast out each day when the
COVID-19 emergency closes, to compensate for the "missing meals," nor would you trim
your hair twice around the same time.41
Inventory network systems are another instrument by which COVID-19 influences the
worldwide economy contrarily. As information from various markets recommends, the
present emergency has upset the functions of worldwide stock chains. Also, this makes
overflow impacts across different provider arrange stages.42
Vehicle firms are shutting down tasks because of the absence of parts. That is going on in
many segments of the industry. Makers additionally face interfered with loads of segments in
extravagance items, for example, Swiss watches.43
The stock chains unsteadiness would raise working expenses for assembling undertakings.
Enterprises – including toy creator Hasbro, which imports roughly 70% of its merchandise
from China – are battling. At the point when manufacturing plants shut down in China, and
delivery lines disintegrate, promoting their merchandise has gotten incredibly hard for a
professional Hasbro.44
According to the U.S. Supply the board foundation, 75% of organizations report delays in
their inventory chains. As per this report, lead times for a few U.S. organizations have
multiplied, as well.45 Also, crude materials and completed products have been a shortage. The
40
Volkman, E. (2020, March 16) “MGM Closes All US Casino Resorts”. The Motley Fool. Available at:
https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/03/16/mgm-closes-all-casino-resorts.aspx. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
41
Voytko, L. (2020, March 18) “Coronavirus Layoffs: Marriott, Danny Meyer Restaurants Join List Of
Companies Shedding Jobs Due To The Pandemic”. Forbs. Available at:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/lisettevoytko/2020/03/18/coronavirus-layoffs-marriott-lauraashley-join-list-of-
companies-shedding-jobs-due-to-the-pandemic/#599f8b42183e. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
42
Wakket, M. (2020, February 25) “As coronavirus goes global, Maersk prepares for a major financial hit”. The
Load Star. Available at: https://theloadstar.com/as-coronavirus-goes-globalmaersk-prepares-for-a-major-
financial-hit/. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
43
Walsh, D. (2020, March 17) “Travel giant in lockdown as it applies for state aid”. The Times. Available at:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/travel-giant-in-lockdown-as-it-applies-forstate-aid-psk68650k. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
44
Wilton, P. (1993). "Spanish flu outdid WWI in number of lives claimed". Canadian Medical Association
Journal 148(11): 2036-7.
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
entirety of this is aggravated by the deficiency of air and sea cargo choices for moving
products around the globe.
The harm is genuinely genuine. This brings into question numerous organizations 'in the nick
of time strategy, which tries to decrease inventories no matter what. Most chiefs presently
found the exchange off among efficiency and flexibility evident. 46 It is justifiable that specific
organizations will in general have offices (or providers) in various nations as a methodology
for chance minimization, even though that implies a somewhat higher than normal cost.
Chinese authorities said the pandemic tallness had spent a week ago. Many concur it will take
a very long time before the arrival of China's economy to typical however.47 The spread of the
infection over the world frequently triggers worries of a worldwide downturn that further
declines Chinese item request.
The National Bureau of Statistics 'latest information shows how most of spectators were
mistaken and thought little of the seriousness of the emergency. 48 The information as of late
distributed shows that mechanical creation dropped by more than 13.5 percent in the initial
two months of 2020. Reuters 'middle figure of examiners anticipated an addition of 1.5%.
Chinese clients have acknowledged the lockdowns and the exhortation of their specialists.
They were frightened of the contamination, fleeing from shopping centres, cafés and films.
Subsequently, retail deals plunged by 20%, contrasted with investigators 'gauge of 0.8% (and
extremely distant from December's + 8% development).49
45
Wink, B. (2020, March 13) “JP Morgan officially forecasts a coronavirus-driven recession will rock the US
and Europe by July. Market Insider”. Available at:
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/coronavirus-fuel-recession-forecast-useurope-economic-july-
market-jpmorgan-2020-3-1028994637. [Accessed: 10 March 2020]
46
World Bank Group (2019) “Pandemic Preparedness Financing – Status update”. World Bank, September
2019.
47
World Bank Group (2019) “Pandemic Preparedness Financing” – Status update'”. Washington, DC: World
Bank Group.
48
World Bank Group (2017) “From panic and neglect to investing in health security: financing pandemic
preparedness at a national level”. Washington, DC: World Bank Group
49
World Bank Group (2019). “Pandemic Preparedness Financing-STATUS UPDATE, June 2019”
Commissioned paper by the GPMB, www.who. int/gpmb.
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
Information distributed March 16, 2020 uncovered that in January and February (CNBC) 5
million individuals lost their positions in China. Be that as it may, the number will probably
ascend to more than 9 million (Economist Intelligence Unit).50
Interest in framework has additionally dropped in the initial two months (30 percent from the
earlier year). This is given the instalment by neighbourhood governments for an assortment
of activities through their bonds gave since the start of the year ($140 billion).51
It is critical to know that 2020 likewise denotes the finish of the most recent five-year
advancement plan for China. Under this program, an objective was set to twofold the size of
the Chinese economy by 2020 (comparative with 2010).52 To do that, development was
required over 6 percent by 2020.
Utilizing monetary boost the specialists are attempting to keep up stable desires for
development. By and by, capital venture by organizations and purchaser buys will in the long
run present challenges in focusing on the GDP level that is the objective. 53 To be sure, even
as the economy is working once more, organizations are as yet not working at full limit, a
quarter of a year after the outbreak. The normal Chinese SME, for instance, is at a work pace
of 60 percent.54
It is presently additionally apparent that COVID-19 has spread around the world, which will
hose request all inclusive and result in less interest for Chinese merchandise.
50
World Health Organization (2019) “A World at Risk’. Annual report on global preparedness for health
emergencies”. Geneva: World Health Organization.
51
Ziady, A. (2020, February 29) “Maersk operates massive container ships. It's canceled 50 sailings over
coronavirus”. CNN Business. Available at: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/02/20/business/maersk-earnings-
coronavirus/index.html. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
52
Wakket, M. (2020, February 25) “As coronavirus goes global, Maersk prepares for a major financial hit”. The
Load Star. Available at: https://theloadstar.com/as-coronavirus-goes-globalmaersk-prepares-for-a-major-
financial-hit/. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
53
Wakket, M. (2020, February 25) “As coronavirus goes global, Maersk prepares for a major financial hit”. The
Load Star. Available at: https://theloadstar.com/as-coronavirus-goes-globalmaersk-prepares-for-a-major-
financial-hit/. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
54
World Bank Group (2019). “Pandemic Preparedness Financing-STATUS UPDATE, June 2019”
Commissioned paper by the GPMB, www.who. int/gpmb.
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
In March 2020, money related markets crumbled. Most stock records worldwide have posted
their greatest one-day drop. What's more, in a couple of days, some notable organizations saw
their offer costs plunge more than 80 percent.55
The above figure shows the US financial exchange results. The list is currently 30 percent
beneath its tallness after a long positively trending market. We are back to the pre-Trump
period at present valuation rates, at the rate last observed in mid-2016. Furthermore, the
United States can't in that.56
The above figure shows the year - to-date decreases for chosen nations on the capital markets.
The K.U. Also, the presentation of German money related markets was far more detestable
than that of the US (UK - 37%, Germany - 33%).57
55
Tatelbaum, J. (2020, March 17) “Hopes of a coronavirus vaccine mount as three key biotech players make
progress”. CNBC. Available at: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/17/hopes-of-acoronavirus-vaccine-mount-as-
three-key-biotech-players-make-progress.html. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
56
Walsh, D. (2020, March 17) “Travel giant in lockdown as it applies for state aid”. The Times. Available at:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/travel-giant-in-lockdown-as-it-applies-forstate-aid-psk68650k. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
57
McKibbin W. and A. Sidorenko (2006) “Global Macroeconomic Consequences of Pandemic Influenza”.
Brookings. Available at: https://www.brookings.edu/research/globalmacroeconomic-consequences-of-
pandemic-influenza/. [Accessed: 20 March 2020)
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
b. Sectors
Figure 8 shows the year - to-date return on stock for enterprises which have been particularly
hard hit since the COVID-19 outbreak. Carbon, gas, and coal firms are driving the negative
profits (on normal 50 percent underneath beginning of-year costs) drove basically by a drop
in oil costs and a downturn in worldwide interest. 58 Travel and recreation (counting lodgings,
58
Taylor, D. and Schwartz, J. (2020, March 17) “Volkswagen suspends production as coronavirus hits sales”.
Reuters. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-volkswagen-results2019/volkswagen-suspends-
production-as-coronavirus-hits-sales-idUSKBN2140OF. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
cafés, and so on.), aviation, mining, banks, and media are on the whole instances of divisions
which have fallen by more than 30 percent.
The accident in stock costs left no part safe. What's more, generally stable businesses, (for
example, vitality, cigarettes and pharmaceuticals) are for the most part somewhere near 20%
or more.59
c. Volatile
Above figure shows the suggested showcase unpredictability. The long haul VIX normal is
around 20 percent.
59
Tatelbaum, J. (2020, March 17) “Hopes of a coronavirus vaccine mount as three key biotech players make
progress”. CNBC. Available at: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/17/hopes-of-acoronavirus-vaccine-mount-as-
three-key-biotech-players-make-progress.html. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
60
Taylor, D. and Schwartz, J. (2020, March 17) “Volkswagen suspends production as coronavirus hits sales”.
Reuters. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-volkswagen-results2019/volkswagen-suspends-
production-as-coronavirus-hits-sales-idUSKBN2140OF. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
Nonetheless, it can unmistakably be seen that it developed significantly in the wake of the
money related emergency of 2008/9, in this way speaking to the vulnerability about the
eventual fate of speculators. At present, it's over those rates today.61
None of the past models was so little (and now and again negative) in times where the
beginning stage for financing costs was. This could make financial specialists stress that there
is no place for fruitful arrangement reaction.
(v) Prognostication
Right now the financial impact of the COVID-19 emergency is hard to predict. As referenced
above, there is no recorded benchmark we can expressly use. Without a doubt, no past
emergency has begun this way: a worldwide wellbeing wonder that at the same time
influences market interest, when national banks have little assets left (on account of the zero
or negative financing costs as of now set up).63 Regardless, to figure key presumptions in the
anticipating model, we have to utilize the accessible information to the most ideal degree.
A nation's yearly GDP is separated into months, disregarding regularity. At that point, we
need appraises about the length of the current monetary action shutdown. In the base
situation, it is evaluated that the significant shutdown of financial action would last from mid-
March until end-April.64 That is the length of China's hardest control measures, pretty much.
Its idea There will be a month of recuperation. For most of the ventures that are the
establishment supposition. Yet, for those identified with the travel industry, it is normal that
61
Wakket, M. (2020, February 25) “As coronavirus goes global, Maersk prepares for a major financial hit”. The
Load Star. Available at: https://theloadstar.com/as-coronavirus-goes-globalmaersk-prepares-for-a-major-
financial-hit/. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
62
Congressional Budget Office (2005) “A Potential Influenza Pandemic: Possible Macroeconomic Effects and
Policy Issues”. CBO Washington DC.
63
Ruffino, G. (2020, March 12) “Coronavirus causes Swiss Watch makers more Grief”. CNN Money
Switzerland. Available at: https://www.cnnmoney.ch/shows/big-picture/videos/coronaviruscauses-swiss-
watchmakers-more-grief. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
64
Wakket, M. (2020, February 25) “As coronavirus goes global, Maersk prepares for a major financial hit”. The
Load Star. Available at: https://theloadstar.com/as-coronavirus-goes-globalmaersk-prepares-for-a-major-
financial-hit/. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
the recuperation procedure (May and June) will take somewhat more. The monetary
movement comes back to its normal way after the recuperation time frame.65
The length of the present emergency is dubious at the hour of this Study. Such desires may
bring about a to some degree preservationist situation, as there is no assurance that financial
movement will continue in May with ordinariness. 66 Without a doubt, with some likelihood,
given the generous stun to work and product markets during the emergency months, the post-
emergency months would be beneath norms set before the emergency.67 We ignore the (more
negative) speculation in our model. This is, in the base case situation, we'll assume this, for
instance, the number of autos sold in August 2020 will come back to the sum expected in
mid-2020 for the month back.
We additionally use information from past articles, about the Chinese and worldwide
economies, in addition to division explicit effects, to base a few appraisals. The discoveries
are likewise connected with the decrease in shopper spending during the SARS episode in
China.68 Moreover, our model is additionally balanced regarding utilization, development,
consumption, retail deals, and so on., during the lockdown months, utilizing the information
accessible for China in the primary long periods of 2020. This can add to underestimating.
Chinese clients are solid online business clients. That implies that the effects on utilization
might be higher in nations where internet business is less evolved.69
The model uses GDP, which is deteriorated into the distinctive financial parts of every world.
It is accepted that administration situated enterprises will be more affected during the
emergency months than horticulture or assembling. As clarified in past articles, aircraft,
retail, cordiality and media outlets are completely expected to experience the ill effects of the
episode with fewer guests and lower by and large utilization. In past assessments, the
65
Walsh, D. (2020, March 17) “Travel giant in lockdown as it applies for state aid”. The Times. Available at:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/travel-giant-in-lockdown-as-it-applies-forstate-aid-psk68650k. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
66
Walsh, D. (2020, March 17) “Travel giant in lockdown as it applies for state aid”. The Times. Available at:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/travel-giant-in-lockdown-as-it-applies-forstate-aid-psk68650k. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
67
Walsh, D. (2020, March 17) “Travel giant in lockdown as it applies for state aid”. The Times. Available at:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/travel-giant-in-lockdown-as-it-applies-forstate-aid-psk68650k. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
68
Tatelbaum, J. (2020, March 17) “Hopes of a coronavirus vaccine mount as three key biotech players make
progress”. CNBC. Available at: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/17/hopes-of-acoronavirus-vaccine-mount-as-
three-key-biotech-players-make-progress.html. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
69
World Health Organization (2019) “A World at Risk’. Annual report on global preparedness for health
emergencies”. Geneva: World Health Organization.
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
The model doesn't consider immediate and roundabout wellbeing costs, thus the genuine
financial effect can be belittled. There will be stunned to the inventory of work in every
nation.72 What's more, they can differ with death rates for the contaminated because of
sicknesses and postponements in coming back to work. There will be truancy from work even
because of wiped out relatives. In conclusion, the model doesn't include potential overflows
to the money related division. On the off chance that a significant disturbance happens to the
money related segment, this would unavoidably influence organizations with high paces of
monetary reliance.73
The table below shows the financial stun from the current COVID-19 emergency (and an
interim of certainty), communicated as a level of GDP for every nation. Under a few
presumptions (past areas), they give an estimation of the general monetary expense of the
emergency. Prime among them, the shutdown right now evaluated to be 1.5 months.74
70
Solsvick, T. (2020, March 16) “Norwegian Air to cancel 85% of flights and lay off 90% of staff”. Reuters.
Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirusnorwegianair/norwegian-air-to-cancel-85-of-
flights-and-lay-off-90-of-staff-idUSKBN2132F7. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
71
Fan V. Y., Jamison D. T. & Summers L. H. (2018) “Pandemic risk: how large are the expected losses?”
Bulletin of the World Health Organization.
72
Jennings, R. (2020, March 17) “'Unprecedented' Lockdown of Manila Expected to Cut Philippine Economic
Growth”. The News Lens. Available at: https://international.thenewslens.com/article/132572. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
73
Wakket, M. (2020, February 25) “As coronavirus goes global, Maersk prepares for a major financial hit”. The
Load Star. Available at: https://theloadstar.com/as-coronavirus-goes-globalmaersk-prepares-for-a-major-
financial-hit/. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
74
Taylor, D. and Schwartz, J. (2020, March 17) “Volkswagen suspends production as coronavirus hits sales”.
Reuters. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-volkswagen-results2019/volkswagen-suspends-
production-as-coronavirus-hits-sales-idUSKBN2140OF. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
In the US, it is assessed that the emergency would cost roughly 3 per cent of its GDP. In
general, a normal financial impact of - 3.5 per cent of GDP is anticipated for all assessed
nations. The model considers the different GDP pieces in various nations. For instance, the
more prominent the travel industry's weight, the more noteworthy the impact of the
emergency. Thusly, the estimates show that Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain will be among
those generally influenced by the emergency.75
b. Estimation of GDP
The normal GDP development is evaluated considering the anticipated (pre-emergency) 2020
GDP development for every nation (IMF projections for end-2019) and the previously
mentioned financial expenses of the COVID-19 emergency (in the 1.5-month situation). 76
France, for instance, was relied upon to ascend by 1.2 per cent in 2020. Considering the
monetary impact of the emergency (- 3.2%), the French GDP's normal development rate is -
2%.77
It is anticipated that the US will enter a downturn with GDP development of - 0.8%. It
presently appears to be likely that the coronavirus-related monetary decay will end the
longest-running extension in U.S. history.
75
Tatelbaum, J. (2020, March 17) “Hopes of a coronavirus vaccine mount as three key biotech players make
progress”. CNBC. Available at: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/17/hopes-of-acoronavirus-vaccine-mount-as-
three-key-biotech-players-make-progress.html. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
76
McKibbin W. and A. Sidorenko (2006) “Global Macroeconomic Consequences of Pandemic Influenza”.
Brookings. Available at: https://www.brookings.edu/research/globalmacroeconomic-consequences-of-
pandemic-influenza/. [Accessed: 20 March 2020)
77
Walsh, D. (2020, March 17) “Travel giant in lockdown as it applies for state aid”. The Times. Available at:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/travel-giant-in-lockdown-as-it-applies-forstate-aid-psk68650k. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
Again the impacts of the present emergency around the globe would be unique. Right now,
will at present have a solid GDP development (pre-emergency 6%, presently under 3%).
Then again, it will confront significant downturns in most European nations. European
nations were not expected to grow much during the pre-emergency period. Furthermore,
presently, they see their GDP constrictions of - 2 to - 3 percent. A fall in GDP of this size, in
light of past downturns, would raise joblessness fundamentally.78
By and large, this situation prompts a normal development of - 1.7 percent for these nations
in 2020. This is somewhat beneath the development pace of around + 3 percent seen in 2019.
c. Other Estimation
It appears to be likely the financial torment will keep going for more than 1.5 months. Having
set bans and restrictions in western nations, governments and open area associations would be
profoundly careful about their withdrawal. 79 Nations like Italy, Spain, and Switzerland are
probably going to be careful about reviving their outskirts in dread of reinfection.
3 months shutdown
The accompanying table offers sway projections if the emergency goes on until mid-June
(two extra months).
78
Jennings, R. (2020, March 17) “'Unprecedented' Lockdown of Manila Expected to Cut Philippine Economic
Growth”. The News Lens. Available at: https://international.thenewslens.com/article/132572. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
79
Walsh, D. (2020, March 17) “Travel giant in lockdown as it applies for state aid”. The Times. Available at:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/travel-giant-in-lockdown-as-it-applies-forstate-aid-psk68650k. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
By and large, this increasingly extreme situation brings about a compression of GDP in each
district. The impact of the emergency will be distinctive overall by and by. On the off chance
that intense advances connected to COVID-19 proceed until the finish of June 2020, the US
will see its GDP fall by about 4 per cent. Improvement in Germany, Greece, Italy, Portugal
and Spain will decay by - 6%. A rising extra month of the emergency costs on normal 2 per
cent - 2.5 per cent of worldwide GDP.80
(vi) Conclusion
A week ago, the COVID-19 emergency spread rapidly around the world. Joined with an oil-
value war between Saudi Arabia and Russia, in addition to travel bans, this has pushed
monetary markets to their most noticeably awful day since 1987. 81 Also, valuations are
presently beneath their past tops by 30 per cent (or more). We are confronted with a different
sort of emergency. Right now, a hazard to wellbeing (real mortality and contamination rates)
doesn't consequently relate to the worldwide economy's financial hazard.
It currently appears as though a worldwide downturn is approaching. In any case, how serious
and long the downturn will be relied upon the adequacy of steps taken to forestall COVID-19
from spreading, on the effect of government approaches to relieve liquidity issues in SMEs,
80
Walsh, D. (2020, March 17) “Travel giant in lockdown as it applies for state aid”. The Times. Available at:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/travel-giant-in-lockdown-as-it-applies-forstate-aid-psk68650k. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
81
Wakket, M. (2020, February 25) “As coronavirus goes global, Maersk prepares for a major financial hit”. The
Load Star. Available at: https://theloadstar.com/as-coronavirus-goes-globalmaersk-prepares-for-a-major-
financial-hit/. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
to help families in budgetary trouble, and to make sure about occupations. 82 It additionally
relies upon how organizations react, and to what extent the present lockdowns last.
Conveyance chains are significant as well.
National banks made a move. The United States, on March 15 As did the Bank of England
and others, the Federal Reserve brought down its rates to 0-0.25 per cent. 83 The European
Central Bank (ECB), which had negative rates for quite a long while effectively, raised the
sum accessible for the quantitative facilitating program, on March 18. Governments were
likewise scrambling to dispatch measures to help liquidity. 84 These administrative and
national bank activities, in any case, have done almost no to balance out business sectors or
simplicity selling offs.
National banks made a move. The United States, on March 15 As did the Bank of England
and others, the Federal Reserve brought down its rates to 0-0.25 per cent. The European
Central Bank (ECB), which had negative rates for quite a long while effectively, raised the
sum accessible for the quantitative facilitating program, on March 18. 85 Governments were
likewise scrambling to dispatch measures to help liquidity. These administrative and national
bank activities, in any case, have done almost no to balance out business sectors or simplicity
selling offs.
Nobody can precisely anticipate COVID-19's last budgetary effect. This relies upon timing,
the size of the pandemic into weeks/months to come, and the approach reactions of nations.
Any expectations of building up a coronavirus immunization, which would be uplifting news,
as well. On the off chance that the monetary downturn goes on until the finish of the late
spring, the worldwide economy is confronting the most genuine test in the course of the most
recent two centuries.
82
Wakket, M. (2020, February 25) “As coronavirus goes global, Maersk prepares for a major financial hit”. The
Load Star. Available at: https://theloadstar.com/as-coronavirus-goes-globalmaersk-prepares-for-a-major-
financial-hit/. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
83
Walsh, D. (2020, March 17) “Travel giant in lockdown as it applies for state aid”. The Times. Available at:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/travel-giant-in-lockdown-as-it-applies-forstate-aid-psk68650k. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
84
Jennings, R. (2020, March 17) “'Unprecedented' Lockdown of Manila Expected to Cut Philippine Economic
Growth”. The News Lens. Available at: https://international.thenewslens.com/article/132572. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
85
Jennings, R. (2020, March 17) “'Unprecedented' Lockdown of Manila Expected to Cut Philippine Economic
Growth”. The News Lens. Available at: https://international.thenewslens.com/article/132572. [Accessed: 19
March 2020]
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
Bibliography
Amaro, S. (2020, March 17) “Macron warns ‘we are at war’ as France unveils $50
billion in coronavirus measures”. CNBC. Available at:
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/17/hopes-of-acoronavirus-vaccine-mount-as-three-
key-biotech-players-make-progress.html. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Barry, John M. (2004). “The Great Influenza: The Epic Story of the Deadliest Plague
in History”. New York: Penguin Group. Bhattarai A., Long, H. and Siegel, R. (2020,
March 11) “The first US layoffs from the coronavirus are here. Stars and Stripes”.
Available at: https://www.stripes.com/news/us/the-first-us-layoffs-fromthe-
coronavirus-are-here-1.622069. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Bloom D. E., Cadarette D. and Sevilla J.P., “The Economic Risks and Impacts of
Epidemics”, International Monetary Fund, F&D Magazine, June 2018. “China’s
Economy Suffers Historic Slump Due to Virus Shutdown”. (2020, March 16).
Bloomberg News. Available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-
16/chinamanufacturing-and-retail-contract-for-first-time-on-virus. [Accessed: 19
March 2020] Chou, J., N.-F. Kuo, et al., 2004. “Potential Impacts of the SARS
Outbreak on Taiwan's Economy”. Asian Economic Papers 3(1), 84-112. “Cineplex
closing all theatres across Canada due to COVID-19 concerns”. (2020, March 16).
City News. Available at: https://toronto.citynews.ca/2020/03/16/cineplex-closing-all-
theatres-acrosscanada-due-to-covid-19-concerns/. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Congressional Budget Office (2005) “A Potential Influenza Pandemic: Possible
Macroeconomic Effects and Policy Issues”. CBO Washington DC. Crosby, Alfred W.
(2003).
“America’s Forgotten Pandemic: The Influenza of 1918”. Cambridge University
Press. Dean, J. (2020, March 17) “American GDP to shrink 5%, warns Goldman
Sachs”.
The Times. Available at: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/american-gdp-to-shrink-
5-warns-goldmansachs-ljh2fgmvk. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
“Ebola situation report – 16 March 2016. Geneva: World Health Organization”
(2016.) Available from:
http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/204629/1/ebolasitrep_16Mar2016_eng.pdf?
ua= 1 [cited 2016 Apr 2].
Esposito, A. (2020, March 16) “The Worst Hit Equity Sectors in 2020”. Morningstar.
Available at_ https://www.morningstar.co.uk/uk/news/200469/the-worst-hit-equity-
sectors-in-2020.aspx. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Fan V. Y., Jamison D. T. & Summers L. H. (2018) “Pandemic risk: how large are the
expected losses?” Bulletin of the World Health Organization.
Fan V.Y., Jamison D.T., Summers L.H. (2015) “The Inclusive Cost of Pandemic
Influenza Risk”. NBER Work Pap N. 22137 Fernandes, N. (2017)
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
“Finance for Executives: A Practical Guide for Managers”. 2nd Edition, Chapter 13.
Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (2019). “A world at risk: annual report on
global preparedness for health emergencies”. Geneva: World Health Organization.
Haacker, M., (2002a).
“The economic consequences of HIV/AIDS in Southern Africa”. IMF Working Paper
W/02/38, 41-95. Hai, W., Z. Zhao, et al. (2004).
“The Short-Term Impact of SARS on the Chinese Economy”. Asian Economic Papers
3(1), 57-61. Huber, C., Finelli, L. & Stevens, W. (2018).
“The Economic and Social Burden of the 2014 Ebola Outbreak in West Africa". The
Journal of Infectious Diseases 2018;0000:S1–7.
https://academic.oup.com/jid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/infdis/jiy213/5129071
“Italian Car Sales ‘Could Fall over 15%’ amid Coronavirus Spread”. (2020, March
19).
The New York Times. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-
coronavirus-italy-autos/italiancar-sales-could-fall-over-15-amid-coronavirus-spread-
idUSKBN20T28B. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
JP Morgan (2019, December 19) “Global Market Outlook 2019: Higher Growth
Outside of US, Lower Returns”. Available at:
https://www.jpmorgan.com/global/research/global-marketoutlook-2020. [Accessed:
19 March 2020]
Jennings, R. (2020, March 17) “'Unprecedented' Lockdown of Manila Expected to
Cut Philippine Economic Growth”. The News Lens. Available at:
https://international.thenewslens.com/article/132572. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
Kostova D., Cassell C.H., Redd J.T., Williams D.E., Singh T., Martel L.D., Bunnell
R.E. (2010) “Long‐ distance effects of epidemics: Assessing the link between the
2014 West Africa Ebola outbreak and U.S. exports and employment”, Health
Economics, Vol. 28 No. 11, pp. 1248–1261. Lee J-W and W. McKibbin (2004)
“Globalization and Disease: The Case of SARS”. Asian Economic Papers Vol. 3 No.
1, pp. 113-131. Lo, K. (2020, March 1) “Coronavirus: China says over 90 per cent of
state firms back in business after manufacturing index hits all-time low”. South China
Morning Post. Available at: https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-
economy/article/3053073/coronavirus-china-says-90- cent-state-firms-back-business.
[Accessed: 19 March 2020]
McKibbin W. and A. Sidorenko (2006) “Global Macroeconomic Consequences of
Pandemic Influenza”. Brookings. Available at:
https://www.brookings.edu/research/globalmacroeconomic-consequences-of-
pandemic-influenza/. [Accessed: 20 March 2020)
Morris, K. and Karmin, C. (2020, March 13) “Hotels Turn to Layoffs, Room Rate
Cuts as Business Staggers”. The Wall Street Journal. Available at:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/hotels-turn-tolayoffs-room-rate-cuts-as-business-
staggers-11584108223. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]
OECD (2020, 2 March) “Global economy faces gravest threat since the crisis as
coronavirus spreads”. Available at: http://www.oecd.org/economy/global-economy-
Economy amidst Covid-19 & Surreptitious Surge of Capitalism
Wilton, P. (1993). "Spanish flu outdid WWI in number of lives claimed". Canadian
Medical Association Journal 148(11): 2036-7. Wink, B. (2020, March 13)
“JP Morgan officially forecasts a coronavirus-driven recession will rock the US and
Europe by July. Market Insider”. Available at:
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/coronavirus-fuel-recession-forecast-
useurope-economic-july-market-jpmorgan-2020-3-1028994637. [Accessed: 10 March
2020]
World Bank Group (2019) “Pandemic Preparedness Financing – Status update”.
World Bank, September 2019. World Bank Group (2019) “Pandemic Preparedness
Financing” – Status update'”. Washington, DC: World Bank Group.
World Bank Group (2017) “From panic and neglect to investing in health security:
financing pandemic preparedness at a national level”. Washington, DC: World Bank
Group World Bank Group (2019).
“Pandemic Preparedness Financing-STATUS UPDATE, June 2019” Commissioned
paper by the GPMB, www.who. int/gpmb. World Health Organization (2019) “A
World at Risk’. Annual report on global preparedness for health emergencies”.
Geneva: World Health Organization. Ziady, A. (2020, February 29)
“Maersk operates massive container ships. It's canceled 50 sailings over coronavirus”.
CNN Business. Available at: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/02/20/business/maersk-
earnings-coronavirus/index.html. [Accessed: 19 March 2020]