Estimates District Domestic Product
Estimates District Domestic Product
Estimates District Domestic Product
R. P. Katyal, M. G. Sardana
and J. Satyanarayana
Socio-Economic Research Centre,
New Delhi
The analysis and policy recommendations of this Paper do not necessarily reflect the views of i
the United Nations Development Programme, its Executive Board or its Member States.
ii
Prologue
The central and state authorities and research institutions often require data on economic activities and levels of
living of people at the district level for planning and policy purposes. Income of a district is considered one of
the most important indicators/barometers to measure the economic growth/development of a district vis-à-vis
others. Preparation of District Income estimates has recently gained added importance, since it is one of the
three indicators to construct a composite Human Development Index (HDI) for inclusion in the Human Devel-
opment Reports (HDR) being prepared by several states in India.
The present paper has been written in a scenario where the national level data system is rigorous and well
designed, with matching state data but very little information at the district level. The 73rd and 74th constitutional
amendments have brought in a third tier of government – the Panchayats – into India. How does this major
change impact on data systems? The need thus is for district level indicators not only to make the state HDR
more relevant, but also to improve local understanding of the development process.
This background paper was presented at the National Workshop on State HDRs and the Estimation of District
Income & Poverty under the State HDR Project that is executed by the Planning Commission, GOI, with UNDP
support held in Bangalore in July 2001. It is the second in the HDRC’s Discussion Paper Series.
Dr. M.G. Sardana is the Chairperson and Dr. R.P. Katyal and Dr. J. Satyanarayana are Directors at the Socio-
Economic Research Centre, New Delhi
iii
GLOSSARY
iv
CONTENTS
1. INTRODUCTION 1
Fishing 10
Manufacturing 10
Construction 12
v
Public Administration 16
Other Services 16
Frequency of Estimates 18
Prices 19
Yield Rates 19
Forest Boundaries 19
Manufacturing - Registered 19
Workforce 20
BIBLIOGRAPHY 21
ANNEXURE 22
vi
Introduction
For planning and policy purposes, the of information. The Seventh Conference
central and state authorities and research of Central and State Statistical
institutions often require data on eco- Organisations which was held at
nomic activities and levels of living of Hyderabad in December 1985, discussed
people at the district level. Income of a issues relating to the estimation of in-
district is thought to be one of the most come at district as well as at rural and
important indicators/barometers to mea- urban levels. Keeping in view the demand
sure the economic growth/development from the Planning Commission and the
of a district vis-à-vis others. Preparation state governments for income estimates
of District Income Estimates has re- at the district and rural/urban levels, the
cently gained added importance, since it Conference recommended constitution Income of a district is
is one of the three indicators to construct of a Technical Group to examine the re- thought to be one of
a composite Human Development Index quirements of data and recommend ap- the most important
(HDI) for inclusion in the Human De- propriate methodology for compilation indicators/barometers
velopment Report being prepared by of these estimates. In pursuance of this to measure the
many State Governments in India. The recommendation, the Department of economic growth/
other two indicators for calculating HDI Statistics constituted a Technical Group development of a
are life expectancy and educational attain- for Estimation of Income at District and district vis-à-vis
ment. Rural/Urban Levels in January 1987. The others.
Group in its Report, which was submit-
Some of the State Governments have ted in September 1988 made the follow-
started preparing estimates of district in- ing observations (CSO, 1988):
come to measure income disparity and
to plan for the development of backward l To begin with, attempts should be
districts during the 1970s and early 1980s. made to compile district income es-
For example, the state of Uttar Pradesh timates following the standard meth-
compiled district income estimates for all odology, which is based on the in-
sectors for 1968-69 but later restricted come originating approach. This
the preparation of these estimates to method is similar to the one used for
commodity producing sectors only. compilation of state income esti-
mates. Due to the free flow of goods
The estimation of income at district level and services across district borders
is beset with the problems of availability and the non-availability of net factor
of data as well as collection and analysis income earned by the residents of
1
other districts/states/countries, the determining the backwardness/de-
income accruing approach is not fea- velopment of a district, and as a con-
sible. sequence for allocating resources, it
would be necessary to make essen-
l Even to compile estimates following tial adjustments in these estimates
the income approach, considerable with regard to significant flow of in-
additional data, as detailed in the Re- come across the territories of dis-
port, needs to be collected. tricts which are rich in minerals and/
or forest resources or where flow of
l For district income estimates, a large daily commuters, migration of labour
amount of information would need and cattle are involved.
to be collected and compiled at the
district as well as at state level. The l With the present availability of data
Group felt that the state governments at the district level, it would be suffi-
should assess the precise require- cient to compile these estimates at
With the present ments for additional resources for an interval of five years.
availability of data at implementing the recommendations
The Group also detailed the data require-
the district level, it of the Group and make necessary
ments for compilation of district income
would be sufficient to provisions in their core schemes.
estimates and annexed the essential items
compile these
l Since estimates at the district level for which data need to be maintained at
estimates at an
would be utilised for the purpose of the district level.
interval of five years.
With a view to giving impetus to the The methodology for compiling the
compilation of district income estimates DDP, given in the following paragraphs,
by the state governments and to takes into consideration the broad guide-
standardise the methodology of the Na- lines given in the Report of the Techni-
tional Accounts Division (NAD), the cal Group on District Income and also
Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) its recommendations and the methodol-
convened a meeting with the State Di- ogy which was developed jointly by the
rectorates of Economic and Statistics DES of Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh in
(DES) in 1995. The Meeting entrusted August 1996. The proposed methodol-
the development of the methodology of ogy takes into account the available data Broadly, the
compilation of District Domestic Prod- at the district level for the commodity methodology of
uct (DDP) jointly to the DES of the producing sectors and the results of the computation of
states of Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh surveys, both relating to socio-economic sectoral estimates is
which was completed in August 1996. aspects and unorganised sectors of the the same as adopted
The state governments have been fol- economy, conducted by the National for estimates of State
lowing this methodology for preparation Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) and Domestic Product
of district income estimates. states DES. For many sectors of the (SDP).
economy, the proposed methodology
A number of state governments have al- avoids allocation of state estimates to
ready initiated the process of prepara- districts in proportion to the districtwise
tion of DDP. While Andhra Pradesh, workforce, as this does not take into ac-
Bihar, Haryana, Karnataka, Kerala, count the income disparity at the district
Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, level.
Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu and Uttar
Pradesh are compiling estimates for all Broadly, the methodology of computa-
the sectors of the economy, Arunachal tion of sectoral estimates is the same as
Pradesh and Assam have restricted this adopted for estimates of State Domestic
to the commodity producing sectors. Product (SDP). The database for estima-
Specific comments on the methodology tion of DDP is still not satisfactory for
adopted for compiling the estimates of any of the states. Data for compilation
DDP by Karnataka, Maharashtra, and of DDP for commodity producing sec-
Tamil Nadu are given in the Annexure. tors viz., primary sector and manufactur-
ing (registered) sector, are mostly avail-
As in the case of SDP, the estimates of l Crops for which districtwise data on
value of output of agriculture and ani- production is available but corre-
mal husbandry may be prepared sepa- sponding districtwise prices are not
rately. Since farmers feed the animals to- available. For this category of crops,
gether and do not keep separate account districtwise value of output may be
of inputs for agricultural crops and ani- computed by using production data
mal products, the estimates of inputs can- of the district and available price data
not be prepared separately. As such, the from a neighbouring district. In case
value added estimates may be prepared neighbouring district prices are also Value added
for the overall activity of agriculture. not available, regional prices may be estimates may be
used. If these are also not available, prepared for the
Value of Output of Crop the only alternative is to use state overall activity of
Husbandry prices. Efforts should be made to agriculture
collect prices in respect of all such
As in the case of SDP, the estimates at crops for which area and yield esti-
district level can also be worked out us- mates are available.
ing the ‘production approach’. But dis-
trict level data on production and prices l Crops for which districtwise data,
are generally not available uniformly for both on production and prices, are
all the crops. Data is compiled by State not available but crop area figures
directorates for “Major Crops” as listed are available. In such cases,
by CSO. However the category “Minor districtwise value of output of these
Crops” varies according to specific states. crops may be worked out by allocat-
Hence, for estimation purposes, crops ing the state level value of output on
may be classified in the following the basis of districtwise crop area.
categories:
l Miscellaneous and unspecified crops
l Crops for which districtwise data on for which production and price data
production and prices (primary mar- are not available even at the state
ket or farm harvest prices) are avail- level but districtwise crop area is
able. In such cases, districtwise value available. In these cases, the value
of output for each crop may be of output may be worked out by mul-
the districts in proportion to the number the Animal Husbandry sector, the value
of animals of each category separately. of various input items are to be first de-
ducted from the gross value of output
Districtwise increment in stock for each of these sectors to which the gross prod-
category of animal/poultry may be uct from operation of government irri- To arrive at the
worked out as at the state level and these gation system is added. The deductible districtwise gross
may be evaluated by corresponding dis- inputs are the same as used in compila- value added (GVA)
trict prices. tion of SDP viz. from agriculture,
Seed including the Animal
The value of silkworm cocoons compiled l
Husbandry sector, the
for the SDP may be allocated to districts l Organic manure (cattle and buffalo
value of various input
in proportion to the area under mulberry dung)
items are to be first
in each district, after adjusting for the cost
l Chemical fertilisers deducted from the
of rearing silkworm cocoons.
l Feed of livestock gross value of output
Keeping in view the data gaps, it is sug- of these sectors to
l Pesticides & insecticides
gested that the coverage of ISS may be which the gross
l Diesel oil consumption product from
enlarged by the respective state govern-
ments so as to generate the estimates of l Electricity operation of
production of each of the animal prod- l Irrigation charges government irrigation
ucts at the district level. Further, prices system is added
l Market charge
of agricultural and animal products at the
l Repairs and maintenance of fixed
district level need to be collected and
assets and other operational costs and
compiled from representative centres so
that for each of the products price data l Financial intermediary services
are available and utilised for district in- indirectly measured (FISIM).
come estimates. To work out the value of these input items at
the district level, the state level estimates ar-
Value of Inputs for Crops and
rived at independently under the current
Animal Husbandry
series of state income estimates may be dis-
To arrive at the districtwise gross value tributed to the districts on the basis of the
added (GVA) from agriculture, including procedure indicated below:
Data on salaries and wages are likely to Districtwise value of output may be
be available with the district agriculture worked out using the districtwise produc-
departments. These should be collected tion and prices of different products
and used for allocation of the state level wherever available from the Minor For-
value of contribution by government est Products Corporation etc. For other
irrigation system to the districts in pro- products, in the absence of districtwise
portion to the districtwise salaries and data, the state level value of other minor
wages/area irrigated by government forest produce may be allocated to dis-
canals. tricts in proportion to the forest area in
the districts.
Fishing Manufacturing
In the case of marine fishing, the Registered
districtwise value of output may be
worked out by multiplying the The Annual Survey of Industry (ASI)
districtwise production by the corre- being conducted by the Field Operation
sponding district prices. A similar pro- Division (FOD) of the NSSO provides
cedure may be followed in the case of the requisite data for compiling estimates
inland fish also. The district wise data of GVA for manufacturing-registered
In case the on production of marine and inland fish sector (units registered under the Facto-
districtwise prices are is likely to be available from the district ries Act, 1948) both at the national and
not available, then fishery officer. In case the districtwise state levels. The sampling strategy
districtwise value may prices are not available, then districtwise adopted by ASI till 1996-98 aimed at pro-
be worked out using value may be worked out using viding data to generate district level esti-
districtwise districtwise production and adjoining mates by the DES.
production and district/region prices. Data on opera-
adjoining district/ tional costs, including repairs and main- On the recommendation of a Steering
region prices tenance are not available even for esti- Committee constituted by the Depart-
mating SDP and the national level norms ment of Statistics and Programme Imple-
are used for SDP. Thus, there is no other mentation, Government of India in May
alternative but to use the state level 1999, a revised sampling strategy has been
norm/ratios for DDP estimates also. put into operation from ASI 1998-99 so
as to enable the FOD of the NSSO to
Mining and Quarrying manage the field work of about 45000
units with the sanctioned field resources.
For major minerals including petroleum Under the new sampling strategy, ASI
(crude) and natural gas (utilised), the would cater to the generation of estimates
districtwise value of output as available only at all-India and State levels. All fac-
with Indian Bureau of Mines, Nagpur tories engaging 200 or more workers are
may be used. District wise value of pro- being covered on a complete enumera-
duction of coal can also be obtained tion basis (called census sector) and the
from Coal India Ltd. and that of natural remaining factories on a sample basis
gas and crude oil from Oil and Natural (called sample sector). However, in the
Gas Corporation (ONGC). For minor case of the small states /union territo-
minerals, the districtwise value of out- ries of Manipur, Meghalaya, Nagaland,
put may be collected from the State Tripura and Andaman and Nicobar
Cold Storage
Real Estate, Ownership of
Dwellings and Business
Cold Storage is covered under ASI. The Services
same procedure as used for manufactur-
Real Estate and Business services
ing (registered) may be adopted.
Districtwise estimates may be prepared
Storage not elsewhere classified
using the same procedure as for non-
Districtwise estimates may be prepared mechanised road transport sector.
using the same procedure as for the non-
Ownership of Dwellings
mechanised road transport sector.
State level estimates may be allocated to
districts in proportion to number of
Central Statistical Organisation (CSO), Centre for Research and Development, 1999,
1974, First Report of the Committee on “Estimation of Regional Income-Esti-
Regional Accounts, CSO, New Delhi. mate of NDP of Greater Mumbai”, pub-
lished in The Journal of Income and Wealth,
_________________________, 1976, Vol. 21, No. 1, January.
Final Report of the Committee on Regional
Accounts, CSO, New Delhi. Prabhu, K. Seeta and Suraj Kumar, 2001,
Data Base for Human Development As-
_________________________, 1988, sessment: Some Key Issues, Seminar on
Report of the Technical Group for Recom- Human Development Through Na-
mending Methodology for Estimation of tional Surveys, NSS Golden Jubilee
Income at the District and Rural/Urban Celebration, 6-7, April, National
Levels, September, CSO, New Delhi. Sample Survey Organisation, Pune.
21
ANNEXURE
Main comments on the methodology area. For Tamil Nadu, state level esti-
adopted for compiling the estimates of mates of forestry are allocated to dis-
DDP by the DES of Karnataka, tricts in proportion to districtwise area
Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu are set out under forest. Such a procedure does
below. not take into account the variation in
Price data for all yield rates as well as prices.
products, which are Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
important for a The agricultural departments at the dis-
Districtwise Prices trict/state levels are expected to have
particular district,
need to be collected these yield rates based on eye estimates
In the absence of district level prices DES in their records. These data need to be
and compiled on a Karnataka uses state level prices to value collected from their records. Data on for-
regular basis for use the district production for animal hus- est products also need to be collected at
in district income bandry, forestry and fishing sectors. Such district level
estimates. a procedure does not take into account
the variation in prices across districts. Eye estimates are no doubt subjective but
in the absence of yield rates based on
Price data for all products, which are im- objective criteria, these may be good
portant for a particular district, need to enough for allocation purposes.
be collected and compiled on a regular
basis for use in district income estimates. Fuelwood
In this regard it would be necessary for
the state income estimation units at the State level estimates are allocated to
state levels to first draw up specific lists districts in proportion to rural workforce
of such products for each district before for Karnataka and in proportion to
initiation of collection of prices. rural/urban population for Tamil Nadu.
For crops for which yield rates are not Data on inputs for forestry and logging
available for Karnataka, Maharashtra and fishing even at the national/state
and Tamil Nadu, state level estimates level are not available. DES of
are allocated to districts in proportion to Karnataka, Maharashtra, Tamil
23