Mainstreet - Manitoba June 2016

MANITOBA IN JUNE
EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM - JUNE 16, 2016

PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK
Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 1,227 Manitoba Residents by Smart IVR on June 9, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cell
phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 2.81%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by age and gender based on the
2011 Canadian Census.
A2
"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected

by copyright. The information and/or data may only
be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper
credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.
HONEYMOON FOR PALLISTER

June 16, (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll conducted for the Winnipeg Sun nds
honeymoon polling numbers for Brian Pallister and the PCs. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of
error of +/- 2.81%, 19 times out of 20.
If an election were held today Pallisers Tories would receive 58% of the vote compared to 28% for the NDP
among decided and leaning voters. Asked about Pallisters job performance as Premier 54% approve of his
performance so far. 33% disapprove and a further 13% are not sure.
These numbers are what you would expect with a new government, but even so, these are impressive
numbers for the PCs, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. While there isnt an election
taking place tomorrow well be continuing to track public support for the government and its initiatives,
he added.
Manitobans were asked if the province should delay reducing the PST until the budget is balanced. The poll
nds 32% support a delay while 45% say no delay is necessary. Meanwhile another 51% of Manitobans say
any major future tax hikes should be put to a vote.
The nancial pressures the government is facing means future budgets will have to be very creative in
balancing scal and political pressures, continued Maggi. While many Manitobans would like to see the
PST decreased immediately the government may not be able to aord it particularly because the decit the
PCs have inherited is much larger than previously estimated. That being said, Premier Pallister has four
years in front of him and will be judged based on what he delivers before the next election. Its not
surprising there hasnt been much talk from this government about the PST because they may have realized
its a promise they cant aord to keep, he nished.
About Mainstreet Research

Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of
government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public
opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British
Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling rm
in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only
polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.
-30Available for Interview from Ottawa: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
For more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca
A3
If a provincial election were held today which

party would you support?
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
7-Jan 27-Jan 11-Feb 20-Feb 12-Mar 19-Mar 29-Mar 5-Apr 14-Apr 9-Jun
NDP
PC
Liberal
Green
Undecided
A4

7-Jan 33%
17%
27-Jan 39%
21%
15%
11-Feb 41%
14%
17%
20-Feb 40%
18%
17%
29-Mar 36%
18%
18%
19%
14-Apr 46%
10
5% 26%
5% 24%
6% 22%
13%
21%
9-Jun 50%
0
5% 22%
16%
19-Mar 36%
7% 22%
7% 7%
23%
20
30
40
50
26%
6% 21%
17%
19%
5-Apr 39%
7%
16%
17%
12-Mar 35%
5% 24%
60
19%
5% 5% 17%
70
80
90
100
A5

18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
Male
Female
PC
47%
47%
55%
52%
49%
51%
NDP
21%
25%
22%
26%
27%
19%
Liberal
4%
5%
6%
5%
5%
5%
Green
10%
4%
1%
2%
1%
8%
Undecided
18%
19%
16%
15%
17%
17%
Sample
183
235
407
587
696
809
Manitoba
Winnipeg
Rest of MB
PC
50%
46%
57%
NDP
23%
27%
16%
Liberal
5%
5%
5%
Green
5%
7%
2%
Undecided
17%
15%
20%
Sample
1,412
801
611
A6
DECIDED AND LEANING
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
7-Jan 27-Jan 11-Feb 20-Feb 12-Mar 19-Mar 29-Mar 5-Apr 14-Apr 9-Jun
NDP
PC
Liberal
Green
A7
DECIDED AND LEANING
7-Jan 44%
23%
27%
27-Jan 52%
20%
11-Feb 51%
21%
20-Feb 50%
21%
12-Mar 43%
23%
5-Apr 50%
10
7%
30
40
50
7%
24%
8%
17%
60
9%
11%
28%
20
6%
7%
26%
9-Jun 58%
0
20%
24%
24%
14-Apr 55%
9%
24%
24%
29-Mar 45%
20%
23%
27%
19-Mar 44%
6%
8%
70
80
90
9%
6%
100
A8
If the provincial election were held today which

[DECIDED AND LEANING]
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
Male
Female
PC
52%
58%
63%
61%
59%
57%
NDP
26%
31%
27%
31%
33%
24%
Liberal
11%
6%
8%
6%
7%
9%
Green
12%
5%
3%
3%
2%
10%
Sample
156
197
357
517
531
696
Manitoba
Winnipeg
Rest of MB
PC
58%
52%
70%
NDP
28%
32%
21%
Liberal
8%
9%
6%
Green
6%
8%
2%
1,227
719
508
Sample
A9
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian

Pallister is handling his job as Premier?
13%
27%
14%
19%
27%
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Strongly Disapprove
Somewhat Disapprove
Not Sure
A10
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian

Pallister is handling his job as Premier?
MB 27%
27%
Winnipeg 19%
19%
35%
21%
Non-Wpg 41%
14%
Male 32%
23%
Female 22%
10
20
30
40
14%
50
60
12%
15%
18%
13%
10%
13%
10%
14%
70
11%
15%
16%
26%
26%
13%
14%
18%
27%
65+ 33%
15%
14%
17%
30%
50-64 24%
15%
17%
25%
35-49 29%
13%
20%
31%
18-34 25%
14%
80
14%
90
100
A11
Should the government publicly release the

results of departmental audits?
34%
41%
25%
Yes
No
Not Sure
A12
Should the government publicly release the

results of departmental audits?
MB 41%
25%
Winnipeg 36%
28%
36%
Non-Wpg 49%
20%
Male 39%
34%
23%
18-34 37%
34%
27%
35-49 43%
36%
22%
50-64 40%
35%
26%
65+ 46%
10
31%
27%
Female 43%
34%
34%
24%
20
30
40
50
30%
60
70
80
90
100
A13
Should the government

amalgamate school boards?
36%
41%
23%
Yes
No
Not Sure
A14
Should the government

amalgamate school boards?
MB 41%
23%
Winnipeg 46%
17%
Non-Wpg 32%
35%
23%
Female 43%
38%
23%
18-34 35%
34%
31%
35-49 47%
35%
16%
50-64 46%
36%
24%
65+ 36%
10
37%
32%
Male 39%
36%
18%
20
30
40
30%
46%
50
60
70
80
90
100
A15
In your opinion, should the provincial

government delay reducing the PST
until the budget is balanced?
23%
32%
45%
Yes
No
Not Sure
A16
In your opinion, should the provincial

government delay reducing the PST
until the budget is balanced?
MB 32%
45%
Winnipeg 35%
42%
Non-Wpg 27%
24%
48%
Female 35%
23%
42%
18-34 27%
23%
53%
35-49 33%
20%
40%
50-64 34%
27%
43%
65+ 36%
10
22%
49%
Male 29%
23%
23%
41%
20
30
40
23%
50
60
70
80
90
100
A17
Should major tax hikes be subject to a

referendum?
20%
51%
29%
Yes
No
Not Sure
A18
Should major tax hikes be subject to a

referendum?
MB 51%
29%
Winnipeg 44%
34%
22%
Non-Wpg 63%
20%
Male 52%
17%
27%
18-34 52%
27%
35-49 52%
28%
50-64 52%
27%
65+ 47%
10
16%
31%
Female 50%
20%
23%
21%
20%
21%
35%
20
30
40
50
18%
60
70
80
90
100
A19
SCRIPT
If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?
Progressive Conservatives led by Brian Pallister
NDP led by Flor Marcelino
Liberal Party led by Rana Bokhari
Green Party led James Beddome
Undecided
And which party are you leaning towards voting for?
Progressive Conservatives led by Brian Pallister
NDP led by Flor Marcelino
Liberal Party led by Rana Bokhari
Green Party led James Beddome
Undecided
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian Pallister is handling his job as Premier?
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
Not Sure
In your opinion, should the government publicly release the results of departmental audits?
Yes
No
Not Sure
And, in your opinion, should the government amalgamate school boards?
Yes
No
Not Sure
And, in your opinion, should the provincial government delay reducing the PST until the budget is
balanced?
Yes
No
Not Sure
And, should major tax hikes be subject to a referendum?
Yes
No
Not Sure
CALGARY GREENWAY
WHITBY
Most Accurate Pollster of the Calgary

Greenway by election.
Most Accurate Pollster of the

Whitby by election.
SASKATCHEWAN
MANITOBA
Most Active Pollster of Saskatchewans

general election, top results within MoE.
Most Active Pollster of Manitobas general

election, top results within MoE.
Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority
government in the 2015 federal election.
CONNECT WITH US:
WEBSITE
mainstreetresearch.ca
TWITTER
@MainStResearch
FACEBOOK
fb.com/mainstresearch
2016 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved

Mainstreet - Manitoba June 2016

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Mainstreet - Manitoba June 2016

Uploaded by

Document Information

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

Mainstreet - Manitoba June 2016

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

MANITOBA IN JUNE

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM - JUNE 16, 2016

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected

HONEYMOON FOR PALLISTER

About Mainstreet Research

If a provincial election were held today which

If a provincial election were held today which

If a provincial election were held today which

DECIDED AND LEANING

DECIDED AND LEANING

If the provincial election were held today which

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian

Should the government publicly release the

Should the government publicly release the

Should the government

Should the government

In your opinion, should the provincial

In your opinion, should the provincial

Should major tax hikes be subject to a

Should major tax hikes be subject to a

Most Accurate Pollster of the Calgary

Most Accurate Pollster of the

Most Active Pollster of Saskatchewans

Most Active Pollster of Manitobas general

CONNECT WITH US:

2016 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved

You might also like