Featured
-
-
Article
| Open AccessMaintenance and transformation of representational formats during working memory prioritization
How prioritization affects the format of visual working memory representations is currently not understood. Analyzing iEEG recordings in epilepsy patients, the authors demonstrate the critical role of recurrent computations and beta frequency oscillations during the selective attention to particular visual working memory content in the PFC.
- Daniel Pacheco-Estefan
- , Marie-Christin Fellner
- & Nikolai Axmacher
-
Comment
| Open AccessTemporary mitigation off-ramps could help manage decarbonization headwinds
Compressing global energy and industrial system decarbonization into less than three decades creates unique social, technical, financial and political risks. Here we introduce ‘off-ramps’ as one potential approach to manage these whilst still driving rapid emissions reductions.
- Sam Uden
- & Chris Greig
-
Article
| Open AccessIntergenerational effects of a casino-funded family transfer program on educational outcomes in an American Indian community
Being born to a family with low-income has been related to lower socioeconomic status attainment in adulthood. Here, the authors report the effects of exposure to a family income transfer in an American Indian population on educational outcomes of the next generation of children.
- Tim A. Bruckner
- , Brenda Bustos
- & William E. Copeland
-
Article
| Open AccessGlobalization of wild capture and farmed aquatic foods
Despite high levels of trade, the basic characteristics of the aquatic food trade are largely unknown. Here, the authors present a global seafood trade database showing the increasing globalization of farmed and wild aquatic foods.
- Jessica A. Gephart
- , Rahul Agrawal Bejarano
- & Max Troell
-
Article
| Open AccessThe challenge of phasing-out fossil fuel finance in the banking sector
Rickman and colleagues explore scenarios for phasing out lending to fossil fuel firms. They analyse over $7 trillion of fossil fuel debt and show that financial regulation and international co-operation will be critical for a timely and just phase-out of fossil fuel finance.
- J. Rickman
- , M. Falkenberg
- & N. Ameli
-
Article
| Open AccessSpatial consistency of co-exposure to air and surface water pollution and cancer in China
Dissecting the associations between exposure to environmental pollution and cancer risk remains crucial. Here, the authors evaluate the impact of air and water pollution on cancer incidence in China using a spatial evaluation system and show that most excess cancer cases occurred in areas with the highest level of co-pollution.
- Jingmei Jiang
- , Luwen Zhang
- & Chengyu Jiang
-
Registered Report
| Open AccessTesting the convergent validity, domain generality, and temporal stability of selected measures of people’s tendency to explore
Exploratory behaviours involve a trade-off between exploration and exploitation. Here the authors investigate exploration behaviour across different domains and whether tendency to explore is stable over time.
- Farid Anvari
- , Stephan Billinger
- & Davide Marchiori
-
Article
| Open AccessInfants expect some degree of positive and negative reciprocity between strangers
Direct reciprocity helps regulate social interactions between unrelated individuals. Here the authors show that infants who observe two strangers interact already expect some degree of positive and negative reciprocity between them.
- Kyong-sun Jin
- , Fransisca Ting
- & Renée Baillargeon
-
Article
| Open AccessHuman detection of political speech deepfakes across transcripts, audio, and video
With advances in generative AI, political speech deepfakes are becoming more realistic. Here, the authors show that people’s ability to distinguish between real and fake speeches relies on audio and visual information more than the speech content.
- Matthew Groh
- , Aruna Sankaranarayanan
- & Rosalind Picard
-
Article
| Open AccessA worldwide analysis of stranded fossil fuel assets’ impact on power plants’ CO2 emissions
Since the signing of the Paris Agreement, power plants have emitted more CO2 in countries where more fossil fuel assets would be stranded under this treaty. In the United States, 16% of its electricity sector’s carbon budget could be spent within ten years due solely to the stranded asset effect.
- Don Grant
- , Tyler Hansen
- & Wesley Longhofer
-
Article
| Open AccessLeveraging artificial intelligence to identify the psychological factors associated with conspiracy theory beliefs online
Understanding the psychological factors related to the spread of conspiracy theories online is crucial. Here, the authors find that older age, self-rated political leaning, belief in false information, and confidence in spotting misinformation are factors associated with spreading conspiracy theories online.
- Jonas R. Kunst
- , Aleksander B. Gundersen
- & Mikolaj Morzy
-
Article
| Open AccessReconstruction of human dispersal during Aurignacian on pan-European scale
Anatomically modern humans dispersed through Europe during the Upper Palaeolithic. Here, the authors model this dispersal combining archaeological, paleoclimate, and palaeoecological data and investigating how these variables impacted human demographic processes.
- Yaping Shao
- , Christian Wegener
- & Gerd-Christian Weniger
-
Article
| Open AccessThe temporal dynamics of group interactions in higher-order social networks
The structure and dynamics of many social systems where human interactions involve communities can be described by higher-order networks. The authors propose a hypergraph-based model that describes how individuals form groups and navigate between groups of different sizes.
- Iacopo Iacopini
- , Márton Karsai
- & Alain Barrat
-
Comment
| Open AccessResponsibility to defend Earth as a core principle of the planetary defense security regime
This manuscript proposes the Responsibility to Defend Earth (R2DE) as a core principle for planetary defense, aiming to foster international cooperation and policy changes. Despite technical advancements and creation of bodies like IAWN and SMPAG, it highlights the need for consensus on action and means.
- Nikola Schmidt
-
Article
| Open AccessDimensions of wisdom perception across twelve countries on five continents
The authors examine wisdom perception in convenience samples from twelve countries. They observe two latent dimensions that guide participant’s evaluation of wisdom-related characteristics in others and the self—reflective orientation and socio-emotional awareness, which were consistent across the studied cultural regions.
- M. Rudnev
- , H. C. Barrett
- & I. Grossmann
-
Article
| Open AccessImpacts of large-scale deployment of vertical bifacial photovoltaics on European electricity market dynamics
The study investigates the potential of vertical bifacial photovoltaics (PV) adoption in the European electricity market. It shows that with up to 50% deployment, curtailment levels could be reduced, system costs lowered by around 3.8 billion Euros, and gas consumption decreased by nearly 12%.
- Laszlo Szabo
- , Magda Moner- Girona
- & Sandor Szabo
-
Article
| Open AccessRare and highly destructive wildfires drive human migration in the U.S.
This study examines the impact of destructive wildfires on human migration in the contiguous United States, showing that only the most extreme events affected existing migration trends. Migration in response to wildfire building destruction was rare, while immobility was a more common response.
- Kathryn McConnell
- , Elizabeth Fussell
- & Kobie Price
-
Perspective
| Open AccessIntegrating fire safety into bridge design is essential for resilient infrastructure
Bridge fires cause significant disruptions and economic losses in modern society, yet fire hazards are still often ignored or oversimplified in bridge design. This Perspective emphasizes the need for more holistic and comprehensive fire-safety design when retrofitting or designing new bridges.
- Andrea Franchini
- , Bosibori Barake
- & Jose L. Torero
-
Article
| Open AccessUnequal exchange of labour in the world economy
Hickel and colleagues find that, in 2021, the economies of the global North net-appropriated 826 billion hours of embodied labour from the global South, across all skill levels and sectors. Unequal exchange is understood to be driven in part by systematic wage inequalities. They find Southern wages are 87-95% lower than Northern wages for work of equal skill. While Southern workers contribute 90% of the labour that powers the world economy, they receive only 21% of global income.
- Jason Hickel
- , Morena Hanbury Lemos
- & Felix Barbour
-
Article
| Open AccessUnderstanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposure
Hydrological risks drive migration more than socioeconomic factors. Vulnerable groups often stay in high-risk areas or migrate nearby. The study reveals an S-shaped migration pattern influenced by settlement resilience and adaptability.
- Renlu Qiao
- , Shuo Gao
- & Zhiqiang Wu
-
Article
| Open AccessSeed dispersal by Martu peoples promotes the distribution of native plants in arid Australia
Human dispersal of wild plants has received limited attention. Here, the authors combine ecological surveys and ethnographic observations to examine how Martu Aboriginal people’s seed dispersal and landscape burning impact plant distribution.
- Rebecca Bliege Bird
- , Douglas W. Bird
- & Peter M. Veth
-
Article
| Open AccessPedestrians' safety using projected time-to-collision to electric scooters
Regulators’ approach to electric scooters on sidewalks is inconsistent and conflicting worldwide. Maintaining a minimum projected time-to-collision as a near-miss metric provides a sufficient condition for pedestrian safety as well as improving pedestrian subjective perceived safety.
- Alireza Jafari
- & Yen-Chen Liu
-
Article
| Open AccessEconomic segregation is associated with reduced concerns about economic inequality
The authors show that real and hypothetical economic segregation is related to reduced concerns about inequality and that this is true even when holding constant both actual and perceived gaps between people of different economic means.
- Shai Davidai
- , Daniela Goya-Tocchetto
- & M. Asher Lawson
-
Article
| Open AccessAsset-level assessment of climate physical risk matters for adaptation finance
The authors develop a methodology to quantify climate physical risks, both chronic and acute, on productive assets. Investor losses are underestimated up to 70% when neglecting asset level information, and up to 82% when neglecting tail acute risks.
- Giacomo Bressan
- , Anja Đuranović
- & Stefano Battiston
-
Article
| Open AccessAn outside individual option increases optimism and facilitates collaboration when groups form flexibly
Recent research shows the existence of outside individual options may hinder group collaboration. Here, the authors show that, when group boundaries are not fixed ex-ante, they facilitate collaboration via the formation of more optimistic groups.
- Ryutaro Mori
- , Nobuyuki Hanaki
- & Tatsuya Kameda
-
Article
| Open AccessA political economy theory of fossil fuel subsidy reforms in OECD countries
This study on fossil fuel subsidy reforms shows that the share of renewable energy and insulation of political processes from pro-subsidy interests can provide leverage points to break path-dependencies in fossil fuel-based economies.
- Nils Droste
- , Benjamin Chatterton
- & Jakob Skovgaard
-
Article
| Open AccessData-driven approaches linking wastewater and source estimation hazardous waste for environmental management
AI-based data-driven methods can simulate the relationship between wastewater and hazardous waste generation, enabling source estimation of hazardous waste from diverse enterprises in a uniform and lightweight manner in China.
- Wenjun Xie
- , Qingyuan Yu
- & Jun Bi
-
Article
| Open AccessEvolutionary dynamics of any multiplayer game on regular graphs
Evolutionary multiplayer games in structured populations illustrate a variety of phenomena in natural and social systems. This research provides a mathematical framework to analyze multiplayer games with an arbitrary number of strategies on regular graphs.
- Chaoqian Wang
- , Matjaž Perc
- & Attila Szolnoki
-
Article
| Open AccessLocal Network Interaction as a Mechanism for Wealth Inequality
Yu and colleagues leverage population-level data to construct a large-scale, geographically defined, inter-household social network. Using a multilevel network model, they show that having social ties in close geographic proximity is associated with stable household asset conditions, while geographically distant ties correlate to changes in asset allocation. Notably, they find that localised network interactions are associated with an increase in wealth inequality at the regional level, demonstrating how macro-level inequality may arise from micro-level social processes.
- Shao-Tzu Yu
- , Peng Wang
- & Brian Houle
-
Article
| Open AccessEstimating digital product trade through corporate revenue data
This study introduces a method to quantify trade in digital products, like cloud computing and mobile games. It finds that this trade grows rapidly, may impact trade balances, support economic decoupling, and enhance economic complexity measures.
- Viktor Stojkoski
- , Philipp Koch
- & César A. Hidalgo
-
Article
| Open AccessSimple autonomous agents can enhance creative semantic discovery by human groups
Discovering innovative ideas from numerous candidates is hard. Here, the authors show that simple autonomous agents (AI bots) can facilitate creative semantic discovery in human groups by leveraging the wisdom of crowds, essentially reducing noise.
- Atsushi Ueshima
- , Matthew I. Jones
- & Nicholas A. Christakis
-
Article
| Open AccessA matched case-control analysis of autonomous vs human-driven vehicle accidents
Through a matched case-control analysis this study reveals accident risk disparities between autonomous and human-driven vehicles. It suggests that accidents of vehicles equipped with Advanced Driving Systems generally have lower occurrence chance than human-driven ones in most scenarios.
- Mohamed Abdel-Aty
- & Shengxuan Ding
-
Article
| Open AccessIncome and racial disparity in household publicly available electric vehicle infrastructure accessibility
This paper finds that on average lower-income groups encounter reduced accessibility to public EV infrastructure in urban and rural areas. Black households have less rural accessibility, but greater urban accessibility compared to White households.
- Jiehong Lou
- , Xingchi Shen
- & Nathan Hultman
-
Article
| Open AccessNonlinear country-heterogenous impact of the Indian Ocean Dipole on global economies
The authors find a nonlinear, multiyear-long and country-heterogeneous economic loss induced by the Indian Ocean Dipole. Under a high emission scenario, the amplitude of the dipole is increasing, causing additional financial losses in the 21st century.
- Wenju Cai
- , Yi Liu
- & David Newth
-
Perspective
| Open AccessEthical considerations for the age of non-governmental space exploration
New and dynamically changing opportunities for commercial/private and civilian spaceflight raise the need for an examination of how to ethically guide space industry and community. This Perspective explores such considerations with respect to space traveler selection and human subject research.
- Allen Seylani
- , Aman Singh Galsinh
- & Dana Tulodziecki
-
Comment
| Open AccessDecolonizing climate agreements strengthens policy and research for all future generations
Global climate policy has increasingly acknowledged the specific contributions of Indigenous Peoples. The outcome of COP 28, however, demonstrates that this acknowledgement has not shifted the conceptual foundations of dominant climate solutions, nor has it created space for Indigenous Peoples to effectively contribute. Drawing on our expertise as Indigenous scholars and practitioners, we offer four recommendations to shift climate policy and research away from these foundations towards reciprocal relationships with the natural world – strengthening it for future generations.
- Graeme Reed
- , Angele Alook
- & Deborah McGregor
-
Article
| Open AccessHeterogeneous peer effects of college roommates on academic performance
Educational environment is known to influence learning efficiency of students, however qualitative analysis of this effect has open questions. The authors propose a model to quantify roommate peer effects based on student accommodation distribution and their academic performance.
- Yi Cao
- , Tao Zhou
- & Jian Gao
-
Article
| Open AccessUnravelling the spatial directionality of urban mobility
Zhao P.J. and his colleagues uncover spatial directionality of urban mobility by using new metrics of anisotropy and centripetality. They find monocentric cities have longer commutes with city expansion, while polycentric cities maintain consistent commuting patterns.
- Pengjun Zhao
- , Hao Wang
- & Jingzhong Li
-
Article
| Open AccessHeterogeneity in strategy use during arbitration between experiential and observational learning
People learn by observing others and from personal experience, but which strategy they favor varies. Here, the authors show that while some people dynamically arbitrate and switch to the strategy that is most reliable, others preferentially use one or a fixed mixture of strategies.
- Caroline J. Charpentier
- , Qianying Wu
- & John P. O’Doherty
-
Article
| Open AccessAbrupt onset of intensive human occupation 44,000 years ago on the threshold of Sahul
Archaeological and genetic evidence suggest differing scenarios for human migration out of Africa. Here, the authors present archaeological evidence of intense occupation in Wallacea from 44 thousand years ago, suggesting that this occupation obscured genetic evidence of earlier dispersals.
- Ceri Shipton
- , Mike W. Morley
- & Sue O’Connor
-
Perspective
| Open AccessPlacing engineering in the earthquake response and the survival chain
This Perspective provides insightful discussion in how engineers can aid human health and safety during earthquake disasters. From search and rescue, helping mobilize patients, and securing medical facilities and treatment engineering can work towards bettering earthquake response.
- Luis Ceferino
- , Yvonne Merino
- & Baturalp Ozturk
-
Article
| Open AccessAbsolute dating of the European Neolithic using the 5259 BC rapid 14C excursion
The Neolithic site of Dispilio, Northern Greece, is a pile-dwelling site with 900+ piles excavated. Here, the authors use the 5259 BC Miyake event to date the juniper tree-ring chronology constructed from these piles to 5140 BC, making it the first Neolithic site in the region to be absolutely calendar dated.
- Andrej Maczkowski
- , Charlotte Pearson
- & Albert Hafner
-
Article
| Open AccessSystematic review and meta-analysis of ex-post evaluations on the effectiveness of carbon pricing
Carbon pricing policies are adopted in many countries around the world to mitigate climate change. This systematic review shows that significant emission reductions of between 5 and 21% are achieved by at least 17 out of 21 reviewed policy schemes.
- Niklas Döbbeling-Hildebrandt
- , Klaas Miersch
- & Jan C. Minx
-
Article
| Open AccessImportance of social inequalities to contact patterns, vaccine uptake, and epidemic dynamics
Contact patterns influence the spread of infectious diseases, but mathematical models of epidemics typically only account for age differences in contacts. Here, the authors investigate the importance of other sociodemographic characteristics in shaping contact patterns and vaccine uptake using survey data from Hungary.
- Adriana Manna
- , Júlia Koltai
- & Márton Karsai
-
Article
| Open AccessEnabling 3D CT-scanning of cultural heritage objects using only in-house 2D X-ray equipment in museums
Visualising the structure of museum objects is a crucial step in understanding the origin, state, and composition of cultural heritage artifacts. Here the authors present an approach for creating computed tomography reconstructions using only standard 2D radiography equipment already available in most larger museums.
- Francien G. Bossema
- , Willem Jan Palenstijn
- & K. Joost Batenburg
-
Article
| Open AccessFinancial markets value skillful forecasts of seasonal climate
Traders of financial options bet that firms’ stock prices will be affected by forecasts of seasonal climate produced by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Firms are exposed throughout the economy, and traders spend more to hedge the news from more skillful forecasts
- Derek Lemoine
- & Sarah Kapnick
-
Article
| Open AccessGlobal musical diversity is largely independent of linguistic and genetic histories
Human groups preserve cultural history in songs passed between generations. Here the authors show that musical histories are largely independent of the history preserved in genes and languages.
- Sam Passmore
- , Anna L. C. Wood
- & Patrick E. Savage
-
Article
| Open AccessHigh-resolution impact-based early warning system for riverine flooding
A hindcast experiment of the 2021 summer flood in West Germany unveils a 17-hour lead time for preparedness and advisable action, holding promise for impact-based forecasting of inundated roads, railways and building footprint in real-time.
- Husain Najafi
- , Pallav Kumar Shrestha
- & Luis Samaniego
-
Article
| Open AccessLoneliness trajectories over three decades are associated with conspiracist worldviews in midlife
Here, the authors show that elevated loneliness in adolescence and increasing loneliness over three decades is associated with heightened conspiracy beliefs in midlife.
- Kinga Bierwiaczonek
- , Sam Fluit
- & Jonas R. Kunst