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| Open AccessProsocial preferences can escalate intergroup conflicts by countering selfish motivations to leave
When individuals meet hostile groups, they can choose whether to defend themselves or flee and leave others behind. Here, the authors show that pro-social preferences predict staying and defense, while leaving is predicted by concerns for personal costs and risk.
- Luuk L. Snijder
- , Jörg Gross
- & Carsten K. W. De Dreu
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Comment
| Open AccessTemporary mitigation off-ramps could help manage decarbonization headwinds
Compressing global energy and industrial system decarbonization into less than three decades creates unique social, technical, financial and political risks. Here we introduce ‘off-ramps’ as one potential approach to manage these whilst still driving rapid emissions reductions.
- Sam Uden
- & Chris Greig
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Registered Report
| Open AccessTesting the convergent validity, domain generality, and temporal stability of selected measures of people’s tendency to explore
Exploratory behaviours involve a trade-off between exploration and exploitation. Here the authors investigate exploration behaviour across different domains and whether tendency to explore is stable over time.
- Farid Anvari
- , Stephan Billinger
- & Davide Marchiori
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Article
| Open AccessHuman detection of political speech deepfakes across transcripts, audio, and video
With advances in generative AI, political speech deepfakes are becoming more realistic. Here, the authors show that people’s ability to distinguish between real and fake speeches relies on audio and visual information more than the speech content.
- Matthew Groh
- , Aruna Sankaranarayanan
- & Rosalind Picard
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Perspective
| Open AccessIntegrating fire safety into bridge design is essential for resilient infrastructure
Bridge fires cause significant disruptions and economic losses in modern society, yet fire hazards are still often ignored or oversimplified in bridge design. This Perspective emphasizes the need for more holistic and comprehensive fire-safety design when retrofitting or designing new bridges.
- Andrea Franchini
- , Bosibori Barake
- & Jose L. Torero
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Article
| Open AccessA matched case-control analysis of autonomous vs human-driven vehicle accidents
Through a matched case-control analysis this study reveals accident risk disparities between autonomous and human-driven vehicles. It suggests that accidents of vehicles equipped with Advanced Driving Systems generally have lower occurrence chance than human-driven ones in most scenarios.
- Mohamed Abdel-Aty
- & Shengxuan Ding
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Article
| Open AccessHigh-resolution impact-based early warning system for riverine flooding
A hindcast experiment of the 2021 summer flood in West Germany unveils a 17-hour lead time for preparedness and advisable action, holding promise for impact-based forecasting of inundated roads, railways and building footprint in real-time.
- Husain Najafi
- , Pallav Kumar Shrestha
- & Luis Samaniego
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Article
| Open AccessDynamics of collective cooperation under personalised strategy updates
Collective cooperation is found across many social and biological systems. Here, the authors find that infrequent hub updates promote the emergence of collective cooperation and develop an algorithm that optimises collective cooperation with update rates.
- Yao Meng
- , Sean P. Cornelius
- & Aming Li
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Article
| Open AccessPublic perceptions and support of climate intervention technologies across the Global North and Global South
This article establishes a global baseline of public perceptions of climate-intervention technologies. Publics across the global South are more favorable and supportive but concerned about impacts on mitigation and unequal burdens of risks on poor countries.
- Chad M. Baum
- , Livia Fritz
- & Benjamin K. Sovacool
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Article
| Open AccessPeople quasi-randomly assigned to farm rice are more collectivistic than people assigned to farm wheat
According to the rice theory, the demands of rice farming might make cultures more collectivistic. Here the authors provide evidence in support of this theory by showing that Chinese farmers who were quasi-randomly assigned to farm rice score higher on measures related to collectivism than those assigned to farm wheat.
- Thomas Talhelm
- & Xiawei Dong
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Article
| Open AccessA randomized trial looking at planning prompts to reduce opioid prescribing
A personalized letter from the Medical Examiner-Coroner in Los Angeles County has proven effective at reducing opioid and benzodiazepine prescribing. Here the authors show that the introduction of if/when-then planning prompts in to the letter further reduced opioid prescribing by 12.85% and benzodiazepine prescribing by 8.32%; they were most effective for clinicians with multiple patient deaths due to accidental opioid-related overdose.
- Jason N. Doctor
- , Marcella A. Kelley
- & Emily P. Stewart
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Article
| Open AccessDynamic predictors of COVID-19 vaccination uptake and their interconnections over two years in Hong Kong
Understanding factors associated with COVID-19 vaccine uptake in an evolving pandemic context is important for future vaccine campaigns. Here, the authors investigate the main drivers of vaccine hesitancy in Hong Kong at different stages of the pandemic, where uptake was initially low despite high availability.
- Jiehu Yuan
- , Yucan Xu
- & Qiuyan Liao
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Article
| Open AccessMessage framing to promote solar panels
Green technologies foster the use of green energy; however, large investment costs hinder adoption. In a large-scale field experiment, the authors show that message framing can promote a serious commitment to solar panels among the broader public.
- Dominik Bär
- , Stefan Feuerriegel
- & Markus Weinmann
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Article
| Open AccessNeural and computational underpinnings of biased confidence in human reinforcement learning
The mechanism of confidence formation in learning remains poorly understood. Here, the authors show that both dorsal and ventral prefrontal networks encode confidence, but only the ventral network incorporates the valence-induced bias.
- Chih-Chung Ting
- , Nahuel Salem-Garcia
- & Maël Lebreton
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Article
| Open AccessPartner choice and cooperation in social dilemmas can increase resource inequality
Cooperation is more likely when individuals can choose their interaction partner. However, here, the authors show that partner choice can increase resource inequality in a public goods game when people differ in resources and productivity needed for cooperation.
- Mirre Stallen
- , Luuk L. Snijder
- & Carsten K. W. De Dreu
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Review Article
| Open AccessThe promise of data science for health research in Africa
In this Review article, the authors discuss emerging efforts to build ethical governance frameworks for data science health research in Africa and the opportunities to advance these through investments by African governments and institutions, international funding organizations and collaborations for research and capacity development.
- Clement A. Adebamowo
- , Shawneequa Callier
- & Sally N. Adebamowo
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Article
| Open AccessInterconnectedness enhances network resilience of multimodal public transportation systems for Safe-to-Fail urban mobility
The growing interconnectedness of networked infrastructures has a complex impact on resilience in urban environments. Xu and Chopra quantify these effects using network resilience analysis and highlight the benefits of topological interconnectedness within multimodal public transportation systems.
- Zizhen Xu
- & Shauhrat S. Chopra
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Comment
| Open AccessStakeholder alliances are essential to reduce the scourge of plastic pollution
Progress to reduce plastic pollution has been painfully slow and the consequent damage to the natural environment and to human health is likely to increase further. This has been because the views and ways of working of four distinct stakeholder communities are not sufficiently well integrated. (1) Scientists, (2) industry, (3) society at large and (4) those making policy and legislation must in future find ways to work together.
- Richard S. Lampitt
- , Stephen Fletcher
- & Adrian Whyle
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Article
| Open AccessUnintended consequences of combating desertification in China
This paper shows that desertification combating practices decline incomes of farmers and herders, and China needs to adapt its ecological programmes to address the impacts of climate change and create positive synergies to combat desertification.
- Xunming Wang
- , Quansheng Ge
- & Fahu Chen
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Article
| Open AccessNeural implementation of computational mechanisms underlying the continuous trade-off between cooperation and competition
Social interactions change continuously from cooperation to competition. Here, using an economic game, the authors show how the social context and inferences about others’ intentions modulate cooperativeness, and examine the neural network underlying the continuous cooperation competition trade-off.
- M. A. Pisauro
- , E. F. Fouragnan
- & M. G. Philiastides
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Article
| Open AccessAssociations of hurricane exposure and forecasting with impaired birth outcomes
Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare, but less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational study, the authors examine over 700,000 births in the path of Hurricane Irene and find exposure was associated with impaired birth outcomes.
- Jacob Hochard
- , Yuanhao Li
- & Nino Abashidze
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Article
| Open AccessHuman cooperation in changing groups in a large-scale public goods game
Little is known about the dynamics of human cooperation in groups with changing compositions. Using data from a large-scale and long-term online public goods game, this study shows how group changes are associated with temporarily lower cooperation.
- Kasper Otten
- , Ulrich J. Frey
- & Naomi Ellemers
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Article
| Open AccessIncorporating social knowledge structures into computational models
People are remarkably good at learning about others’ personalities. Here, the authors develop computational models showing that this learning relies on a combination of prior beliefs and similarities between personality traits.
- Koen M. M. Frolichs
- , Gabriela Rosenblau
- & Christoph W. Korn
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Article
| Open AccessReputation effects drive the joint evolution of cooperation and social rewarding
Rewards can motivate people to cooperate, but the evolution of rewarding behavior is itself poorly understood. Here, a game-theoretic analysis shows that reputation effects facilitate the simultaneous evolution of cooperation and social rewarding policies.
- Saptarshi Pal
- & Christian Hilbe
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Article
| Open AccessBalancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development
Selecting economic policies to achieve sustainable development is challenging due to the many sectors involved and the trade-offs implied. Artificial intelligence combined with economy-wide computer simulations can help.
- Mohammed Basheer
- , Victor Nechifor
- & Julien J. Harou
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Comment
| Open AccessDifferences in barriers for controlled learning about safety between biotechnology and chemistry
In contrast to chemical industry, biotechnology is still not competitive for the production of chemicals, materials, and biofuels. Here, the authors discuss the underlying reasons and propose to address the problem through regulatory changes and risk management.
- Britte Bouchaut
- , Frank Hollmann
- & Lotte Asveld
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Comment
| Open AccessOpportunities to tackle structural racism and ethnicity-based discrimination in recovering and rebuilding from the COVID-19 pandemic
The impact of COVID-19 has been disproportionately felt by populations experiencing structural racial- and ethnicity-based discrimination. Here, the authors describe opportunities for COVID-19 response and recovery efforts to help build more equal and resilient societies.
- Natalia Linos
- , Mary T. Bassett
- & Theadora Swift Koller
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Article
| Open AccessRisk caused by the propagation of earthquake losses through the economy
The integration of risk analysis and spatial CGE modeling frameworks allowed for measuring the direct and indirect consequences of extreme events via novel probabilistic risk indicators which incorporate elements of uncertainty and systemic effects
- J. A. León
- , M. Ordaz
- & I. F. Araújo
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Article
| Open AccessA computational theory of the subjective experience of flow
Flow is a desired but elusive state characterized by the subjective experience of immersion and engagement in an activity. Here, the authors develop and empirically validate a formal model that specifies variables and computations involved in the subjective experience of flow.
- David E. Melnikoff
- , Ryan W. Carlson
- & Paul E. Stillman
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Article
| Open AccessIdentifying regions for enhanced control of gambiense sleeping sickness in the Democratic Republic of Congo
Gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (sleeping sickness or gHAT) has been targeted for elimination of transmission by 2030. Here, the authors project impacts of gHAT interventions in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and derive a priority list of health zones requiring enhanced control to achieve this target.
- Ching-I Huang
- , Ronald E. Crump
- & Kat S. Rock
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Article
| Open AccessCooperation in alternating interactions with memory constraints
In many instances of reciprocity, individuals cooperate in turns. Here, the authors analyze the equilibria and the dynamics of such alternating games, and in particular describe all strategies with one-round memory that maintain cooperation.
- Peter S. Park
- , Martin A. Nowak
- & Christian Hilbe
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Comment
| Open AccessRelevance of international partnerships in the implementation of the UN Sustainable Development Goals
Sustainable Development Goal 17 focuses on partnerships that can enable the achievement of other SDGs. In this comment the authors examine the obstacles to the success of SDG 17 and suggest measures to overcome these.
- Walter Leal Filho
- , Tony Wall
- & Julianna Ramirez
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Article
| Open AccessA meritocratic network formation model for the rise of social media influencers
Dynamical development process of various social network platforms shows emergence and transformation of user communities. The authors model social network formation processes considering the meritocratic perspective, where users make their decisions based on the user-generated content.
- Nicolò Pagan
- , Wenjun Mei
- & Florian Dörfler
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Article
| Open AccessCollective patterns of social diffusion are shaped by individual inertia and trend-seeking
Social convention change due to diffusion is often described by agent-based models focusing on the role of social coordination. In this work the authors uncover two additional individual-level mechanisms, trend-seeking and inertia, that can critically shape the collective behavior of the population.
- Mengbin Ye
- , Lorenzo Zino
- & Ming Cao
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Article
| Open AccessEvidence from a long-term experiment that collective risks change social norms and promote cooperation
Large-scale cooperation is needed to reduce existential risks like those posed by pandemics and climate change. Here the authors demonstrate that social norms can emerge and sustain cooperation in situations of collective risk and that the level of risk influences the strength of the norms.
- Aron Szekely
- , Francesca Lipari
- & Giulia Andrighetto
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Article
| Open AccessImpact of tiered restrictions on human activities and the epidemiology of the second wave of COVID-19 in Italy
Italy introduced a system of tiered SARS-CoV-2 control measures in November 2020. Here, the authors quantify the effect of these measures on SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility and hospitalisation, and find reductions across all tiers with the greatest impacts associated with the most restrictive level.
- Mattia Manica
- , Giorgio Guzzetta
- & Stefano Merler
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Article
| Open AccessHigher socioeconomic status does not predict decreased prosocial behavior in a field experiment
Previous work had suggested association between socioeconomic status and pro-social behaviour. Here the authors investigate in a field experiment if socioeconomic status is associated with pro-social behaviour.
- James Andreoni
- , Nikos Nikiforakis
- & Jan Stoop
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Article
| Open AccessWise reasoning, intergroup positivity, and attitude polarization across contexts
Here, the authors show that an integrative thinking process linked philosophically to wisdom may reduce group polarization. Specifically, wise reasoning improves intergroup attitudes and behavior even at time of heightened societal conflicts.
- Justin P. Brienza
- , Franki Y. H. Kung
- & Melody M. Chao
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Article
| Open AccessIncentive-driven transition to high ride-sharing adoption
Ride-sharing, combining similar concurrent trips into one, may support sustainable urban mobility yet lacks broad adoption. Storch et al. reveal how collective interactions in shared rides explain essential characteristics of ride-sharing adoption patterns e.g. observed in New York City and Chicago.
- David-Maximilian Storch
- , Marc Timme
- & Malte Schröder
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Article
| Open AccessModularity and composite diversity affect the collective gathering of information online
Here, the authors test the ability of groups to predict real world geopolitical events using online content, and provide evidence suggesting that group diversity helps forecasting ability as a function of group size.
- Niccolò Pescetelli
- , Alex Rutherford
- & Iyad Rahwan
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Comment
| Open AccessBreaking new ground in antimicrobial stewardship in companion animal veterinary practice
Singleton and colleagues publish in Nature Communications an intervention study to reduce antimicrobial usage in companion animal practice. They identify significant reductions in antimicrobial usage with their more active intervention group over approximately a 6-month period. The study offers an exciting way forward to explore further the trial interventions and assess alternative methods to improve antimicrobial stewardship in veterinary practice.
- David Brodbelt
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Article
| Open AccessA randomised controlled trial to reduce highest priority critically important antimicrobial prescription in companion animals
Effective use of antimicrobials in both humans and animals is essential to help slow the emergence of antimicrobial resistance. Here, Singleton et al. present a randomised controlled trial demonstrating the efficacy of social norm messaging to reduce antibiotic prescription frequency in veterinary surgeries.
- David A. Singleton
- , Angela Rayner
- & Gina L. Pinchbeck
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Article
| Open AccessProsociality predicts labor market success around the world
Previous research on the importance of prosociality is based on observations from WEIRD societies, questioning the generalizability of these findings. Here the authors present a global investigation of the relation between prosociality and labor market success and generalize the positive relation to a wide geographical context.
- Fabian Kosse
- & Michela M. Tincani
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Article
| Open AccessSelf-reliance crowds out group cooperation and increases wealth inequality
Cooperation among humans is threatened by the free-rider problem. Here the authors identify another challenge to human cooperation: self-reliance, the ability to solve shared problems individually. The experiment reveals that self-reliance crowds out cooperation and increases wealth inequality.
- Jörg Gross
- , Sonja Veistola
- & Eric Van Dijk
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Article
| Open AccessTransferring structural knowledge across cognitive maps in humans and models
Humans are able to exploit patterns or schemas when performing new tasks, but the mechanism for this ability is still unknown. Using graph-learning tasks, we show that humans are able to transfer abstract structural knowledge and suggest a computational mechanism by which such transfer can occur.
- Shirley Mark
- , Rani Moran
- & Timothy E. J. Behrens
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Article
| Open AccessSynchronization of complex human networks
Understanding the synchronization of human networks is important in many aspects, but current research is suffering from limited control and noisy environments. Shahal et al. show a quantitative study with full control over the network connectivity, coupling strength and delay among interacting violin players.
- Shir Shahal
- , Ateret Wurzberg
- & Moti Fridman
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Article
| Open AccessEvolving cooperation in multichannel games
Most evolutionary game theory focuses on isolated games. Here, Donahue et al. present a general framework for ‘multichannel games’ in which individuals engage in a set of parallel games with a partner, and show that such parallel interactions favor the evolution of reciprocity across games.
- Kate Donahue
- , Oliver P. Hauser
- & Christian Hilbe
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Article
| Open AccessAttentional priorities drive effects of time pressure on altruistic choice
Forcing people to choose quickly often changes pro-social behavior, but it is unclear why. Here, the authors show that under time pressure, people engage in incomplete information searches biased by concern (or lack thereof) for others, explaining effects often attributed to automatic processing.
- Yi Yang Teoh
- , Ziqing Yao
- & Cendri A. Hutcherson
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Article
| Open AccessDirect and indirect punishment of norm violations in daily life
People regularly punish norm violations using gossip and direct confrontation. Here, the authors show that the use of gossip versus direct confrontation is context sensitive, with confrontation used more when punishers have more to gain, and gossip used more when the costs of retaliation loom large.
- Catherine Molho
- , Joshua M. Tybur
- & Daniel Balliet