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Search Results (1,064)

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13 pages, 9768 KiB  
Communication
Reduced Gaussian Kernel Filtered-x LMS Algorithm with Historical Error Correction for Nonlinear Active Noise Control
by Jinhua Ku, Hongyu Han, Weixi Zhou, Hong Wang and Sheng Zhang
Entropy 2024, 26(12), 1010; https://doi.org/10.3390/e26121010 - 22 Nov 2024
Viewed by 177
Abstract
This paper introduces a reduced Gaussian kernel filtered-x least mean square (RGKxLMS) algorithm for a nonlinear active noise control (NANC) system. This algorithm addresses the computational and storage challenges posed by the traditional kernel (i.e., KFxLMS) algorithm. Then, we analyze the mean weight [...] Read more.
This paper introduces a reduced Gaussian kernel filtered-x least mean square (RGKxLMS) algorithm for a nonlinear active noise control (NANC) system. This algorithm addresses the computational and storage challenges posed by the traditional kernel (i.e., KFxLMS) algorithm. Then, we analyze the mean weight behavior and computational complexity of the RGKxLMS, demonstrating its reduced complexity compared to existing kernel filtering methods and its mean stable performance. To further enhance noise reduction, we also develop the historical error correction RGKxLMS (HECRGKxLMS) algorithm, incorporating historical error information. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms is validated, using Lorenz chaotic noise, non-stationary noise environments, and factory noise. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Multidisciplinary Applications)
20 pages, 1959 KiB  
Article
Predictive Analytics for Energy Efficiency: Leveraging Machine Learning to Optimize Household Energy Consumption
by Piotr Powroźnik and Paweł Szcześniak
Energies 2024, 17(23), 5866; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17235866 - 22 Nov 2024
Viewed by 171
Abstract
This paper presents a novel machine learning framework useful for optimizing energy consumption in households. Home appliances have a great potential to optimize electricity consumption by mitigating peaks in the grid load or peaks in renewable energy generation. However, such functionality of home [...] Read more.
This paper presents a novel machine learning framework useful for optimizing energy consumption in households. Home appliances have a great potential to optimize electricity consumption by mitigating peaks in the grid load or peaks in renewable energy generation. However, such functionality of home appliances requires their users to change their behavior regarding energy consumption. One of the criteria that could encourage electricity users to change their behavior is the cost of energy. The introduction of dynamic energy prices can significantly increase energy costs for unsuspecting consumers. In order to be able to make the right decisions about the process of electricity use in households, an algorithm based on machine learning is proposed. The presented proposal for optimizing electricity consumption takes into account dynamic changes in energy prices, energy production from renewable energy sources, and home appliances that can participate in the energy optimization process. The proposed model uses data from smart meters and dynamic price information to generate personalized recommendations tailored to individual households. The algorithm, based on machine learning and historical household behavior data, calculates a metric to determine whether to send a notification (message) to the user. This notification may suggest increasing or decreasing energy consumption at a specific time, or may inform the user about potential cost fluctuations in the upcoming hours. This will allow energy users to use energy more consciously or to set priorities in home energy management systems (HEMS). This is a different approach than in previous publications, where the main goal of optimizing energy consumption was to optimize the operation of the power system while taking into account the profits of energy suppliers. The proposed algorithms can be implemented either in HEMS or smart energy meters. In this work, simulations of the application of machine learning with different characteristics were carried out in the MATLAB program. An analysis of machine learning algorithms for different input data and amounts of data and the characteristic features of models is presented. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Novel Energy Management Approaches in Microgrid Systems)
16 pages, 260 KiB  
Article
The Spillover of the ‘Border Spectacle’ into Schools: Undocumented Youth, Media Frames, and the School-to-Deportation Pipeline
by Eric Macias and Laura Singer
Youth 2024, 4(4), 1647-1662; https://doi.org/10.3390/youth4040105 - 22 Nov 2024
Viewed by 270
Abstract
This article examines how media outlets create a “border spectacle” (De Genova 2013) in schools, which contributes to the criminalization and deportability of undocumented immigrant students. Using content analysis, we studied n = 30 news articles that covered an incident in 2017 where [...] Read more.
This article examines how media outlets create a “border spectacle” (De Genova 2013) in schools, which contributes to the criminalization and deportability of undocumented immigrant students. Using content analysis, we studied n = 30 news articles that covered an incident in 2017 where two undocumented young men were accused of sexual assault and rape of a young woman in the school they all attended. This paper builds on the “school-to-deportation pipeline” by suggesting that, in addition to the zero-tolerance behavioral policies established by schools and teacher’s racist behaviors, the media coverage of alleged criminal acts also play a role in the expulsion and criminalization of undocumented students. The analysis of the news articles highlights four types of media frames employed to criminalize the young men involved in the case prior to these allegations being addressed by a court of law: (1) immigrant youth as sexual predators; (2) immigration as a correlation to a criminal act; (3) parents as the real victims of the case; and (4) sexual assault victims as collateral damage. Each of these media frames are built on xenophobic tropes that have historically facilitated the marginalization of Black and Latinx people, but in this case, it specifically targets undocumented young men. Collectively, the four media frames exemplify how media create a “border spectacle” in schools, manufacturing a moral hysteria to further marginalize and criminalize undocumented youth. We argue that, as a result of schools becoming border spectacles, undocumented young people’s fear of feeling targeted based on their “illegality” is intensified, and their sense of inclusion is hindered in an often thought to be safe and inclusive space for undocumented young people. Full article
13 pages, 2316 KiB  
Article
The Growth and Stagnation of US Life Expectancy: A Dynamic Simulation Model and Implications
by Jack Homer
Systems 2024, 12(12), 510; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems12120510 - 21 Nov 2024
Viewed by 272
Abstract
US life expectancy now lags significantly behind the majority of high-income countries, having grown more slowly since 1980 for reasons that are not evident and have been debated. An exploratory system dynamics model is presented that reproduces the full pattern of US life [...] Read more.
US life expectancy now lags significantly behind the majority of high-income countries, having grown more slowly since 1980 for reasons that are not evident and have been debated. An exploratory system dynamics model is presented that reproduces the full pattern of US life expectancy from 1960 to the present. Multiple socioeconomic and behavioral factors help to explain the historical pattern, two of them apparently most responsible for the stagnation since 1980: the growth of obesity and the leveling off of growth in social spending. Some of the factors in the model are traced back to earlier causes, and obesity’s growth in particular is traced back to excess growth in private health care spending and its adverse effect on workers’ wages. The model’s base run does a good job of reproducing a variety of historical time series data going back to the 1960s, and counterfactual tests produce plausible results and clarify the model’s main themes. The model may thus be considered a reasonable starting point for more conclusive future modeling of US life expectancy. Full article
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<p>Causal-loop diagram overview of the US LEB simulation model. Source: Author’s diagram. Notes: Blue arrow denotes same-polarity causal link; red arrow with minus sign denotes inverse-polarity causal link. “Railroad track” crossing of links (from obesity and smoking to LEB) denotes a delayed effect. Small blue circular arrow (obesity, smoking) denotes a self-reinforcing effect of social influence. Blue text denotes an exogenous variable, determined by input time series. Rectangle indicates an aging chain structure with embedded stocks and flows. The full population aging chain includes stocks for 0–24, 25–64, and 65-plus age groups. The aging chains of high school and college graduates include stocks for 25–64 and 65-plus age groups. Most high schoolers graduate by age 18, and college students by age 25, but the model also depicts significant flows of people completing their education at a later time. All variables in this diagram are supported by historical data (see <a href="#systems-12-00510-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a>); COVID-19 effect on LEB is inferred from the downward spike of LEB reported by UNDP for 2020–2021 and CDC for 2020–2023.</p>
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<p>Base run comparison to historical data for seven output variables. Source: Author’s model testing and data described in <a href="#systems-12-00510-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a>. Notes: See <a href="#systems-12-00510-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a> for variable definitions and data sources. Thick blue and green lines are from base run simulation. Thin red and black lines are historical data. Simulated LEB reflects assumed COVID-19 effect 2020–2024. Simulated social trust includes exogenous resurgence 1996–2005. (<b>a</b>) Life expectancy at birth (LEB, 65–85), (red = UNDP, black = CDC). (<b>b</b>) Wages fraction of GDP (blue/red, 0–0.6); obesity (green/black, 0–0.6). (<b>c</b>) College grads (blue/red, 0–0.6); smoking (green/black, 0–0.6). (<b>d</b>) Social trust (blue/red, 0–1); suicide death rate (green/black, 0–20).</p>
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<p>Health care and social spending inputs for base run and counterfactual tests. SOURCE: Author’s model testing. NOTES: In the left-side graph, the blue line is from NHE through 2021 (=0.152), then assumed flat to 2040. The red line is for counterfactual tests CF1 and CF3; the health care spending fraction remains flat at 0.113 after 2000. In the right-side graph, the blue line is from OECD through 2021 (=0.227), assumed to ramp down to 0.20 by 2024, then flat to 2040. The green line is for counterfactual tests CF2 and CF3; the social spending fraction steps up to 0.24 after 2000 and remains there to 2040. (<b>a</b>) Personal health care spending fraction of GDP (0–0.2). (<b>b</b>) Government social spending fraction of GDP (0–0.3).</p>
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<p>Outputs from base run and three counterfactual tests. Source: Author’s model testing. Notes: In the top-left graph for social trust and in the lower-left graph for obese fraction, the blue line is from the base run and CF2, and the red line is from CF1 and CF3. In the top-right graph for college graduate fraction, the blue line is from the base run and CF1, and the green line is from CF2 and CF3. In the lower-right graph for LEB, the blue line is the base run, red is CF1, green is CF2, and black is CF3.</p>
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<p>Outputs from base run and three counterfactual tests. Source: Author’s model testing. Notes: In the top-left graph for social trust and in the lower-left graph for obese fraction, the blue line is from the base run and CF2, and the red line is from CF1 and CF3. In the top-right graph for college graduate fraction, the blue line is from the base run and CF1, and the green line is from CF2 and CF3. In the lower-right graph for LEB, the blue line is the base run, red is CF1, green is CF2, and black is CF3.</p>
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28 pages, 2533 KiB  
Article
Multiphysics Modeling of Power Transmission Line Failures Across Four US States
by Prakash KC, Maryam Naghibolhosseini and Mohsen Zayernouri
Modelling 2024, 5(4), 1745-1772; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling5040091 - 20 Nov 2024
Viewed by 302
Abstract
The failure of overhead transmission lines in the United States can lead to significant economic losses and widespread blackouts, affecting the lives of millions. This study focuses on analyzing the failure of transmission lines, specifically considering the effects of wind, ambient temperature, and [...] Read more.
The failure of overhead transmission lines in the United States can lead to significant economic losses and widespread blackouts, affecting the lives of millions. This study focuses on analyzing the failure of transmission lines, specifically considering the effects of wind, ambient temperature, and current demands, incorporating minimal and significant pre-existing damage. We propose a multiphysics framework to analyze the transmission line failures across sensitive and affected states of the United States, integrating historical data on wind and ambient temperature. By combining numerical simulation with historical data analysis, our research assesses the impact of varying environmental conditions on the reliability of transmission lines. Our methodology begins with a deterministic approach to model temperature and damage evolution, using phase-field modeling for fatigue and damage coupled with electrical and thermal models. Later, we adopt the probability collocation method to investigate the stochastic behavior of the system, enhancing our understanding of uncertainties in model parameters, conducting sensitivity analysis to identify the most significant model parameters, and estimating the probability of failures over time. This approach allows for a comprehensive analysis of factors affecting transmission line reliability, contributing valuable insights into improving power line’s resilience against environmental conditions. Full article
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<p>Schematic representation of transmission lines.</p>
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<p>One-dimensional representation of transmission line.</p>
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<p>Values of <math display="inline"><semantics> <msub> <mi>C</mi> <mi>D</mi> </msub> </semantics></math> for different <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>R</mi> <msub> <mi>e</mi> <mi>D</mi> </msub> </mrow> </semantics></math>.</p>
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<p>Wind and temperature data for Texas. (<b>a</b>) Original wind data. (<b>b</b>) Transformed wind data. (<b>c</b>) Original temperature data. (<b>d</b>) Transformed temperature data.</p>
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<p>Wind and temperature data for California. (<b>a</b>) Original wind data. (<b>b</b>) Transformed wind data. (<b>c</b>) Original temperature data. (<b>d</b>) Transformed temperature data.</p>
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<p>Wind and temperature data for Michigan. (<b>a</b>) Original wind data. (<b>b</b>) Transformed wind data. (<b>c</b>) Original temperature data. (<b>d</b>) Transformed temperature data.</p>
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<p>Wind and temperature data for Florida. (<b>a</b>) Original wind data. (<b>b</b>) Transformed wind data. (<b>c</b>) Original temperature data. (<b>d</b>) Transformed temperature data.</p>
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<p>Schematic diagram illustrating the interconnection between four different aspects of the multiphysics framework.</p>
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<p>Variable cross-section areas for different values of <math display="inline"><semantics> <msub> <mi>A</mi> <mi>σ</mi> </msub> </semantics></math>.</p>
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<p>Evolution of field variables. (<b>a</b>) Damage evolution along the line. (<b>b</b>) Fatigue evolution along the line. (<b>c</b>) Temperature evolution along the line. (<b>d</b>) Voltage drops along the line.</p>
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<p>Effect of initial damage on maximum field values over time. (<b>a</b>) Maximum damage. (<b>b</b>) Maximum fatigue. (<b>c</b>) Maximum Temperature. (<b>d</b>) Maximum voltage drop.</p>
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<p>The failure of transmission lines for different values of initial damage. (<b>a</b>) Texas. (<b>b</b>) California. (<b>c</b>) Michigan. (<b>d</b>) Florida.</p>
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<p>Expected temperature and standard deviation of temperature under the material parametric space <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mi>ξ</mi> <mi>m</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>ω</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> </semantics></math> in the Texas scenario. (<b>a</b>) Expected temperature. (<b>b</b>) Temperature standard deviation.</p>
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<p>Expected maximum temperature and standard deviation of maximum temperature under material parametric space <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mi>ξ</mi> <mi>m</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>ω</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> </semantics></math> in the Texas scenario. (<b>a</b>) Maximum expected temperature. (<b>b</b>) Standard deviation of maximum temperature.</p>
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<p>Expected maximum temperature and standard deviation of maximum temperature under the parametric space <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mi>ξ</mi> <mi>l</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>ω</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> </semantics></math> in the Texas scenario. (<b>a</b>) Maximum expected temperature. (<b>b</b>) Standard deviation of maximum temperature.</p>
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<p>Sensitivity index <math display="inline"><semantics> <msub> <mi>S</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </semantics></math> for the Texas scenario for material parameters, <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mi>ξ</mi> <mi>m</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>ω</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> </semantics></math>, and loading parameters, <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mi>ξ</mi> <mi>l</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>ω</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> </semantics></math>. (<b>a</b>) Material parameters. (<b>b</b>) External loading.</p>
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<p>Expected maximum temperature, standard deviation of maximum temperature, and sensitivity index over time under parametric space <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ξ</mi> <mo>(</mo> <mi>ω</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </semantics></math> in the Texas scenario. (<b>a</b>) Maximum expected temperature. (<b>b</b>) Standard deviation of maximum temperature. (<b>c</b>) Sensitivity index.</p>
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<p>Expected maximum temperature, standard deviation of maximum temperature, and sensitivity index over time under parametric space <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ξ</mi> <mo>(</mo> <mi>ω</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </semantics></math> in the California scenario. (<b>a</b>) Maximum expected temperature. (<b>b</b>) Standard deviation of maximum temperature. (<b>c</b>) Sensitivity index.</p>
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<p>Expected maximum temperature, standard deviation of maximum temperature, and sensitivity index over time under parametric space <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ξ</mi> <mo>(</mo> <mi>ω</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </semantics></math> in the Michigan scenario. (<b>a</b>) Maximum expected temperature. (<b>b</b>) Standard deviation of maximum temperature. (<b>c</b>) Sensitivity index.</p>
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<p>Expected maximum temperature, standard deviation of maximum temperature, and sensitivity index over time under parametric space <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ξ</mi> <mo>(</mo> <mi>ω</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </semantics></math> in the Florida scenario. (<b>a</b>) Maximum expected temperature. (<b>b</b>) Standard deviation of maximum temperature. (<b>c</b>) Sensitivity index.</p>
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<p>Probability of failure for Texas, California, Michigan, and Florida.</p>
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<p>The probability of failure of transmission lines for different values of initial damage (shown in legends). (<b>a</b>) Texas. (<b>b</b>) California. (<b>c</b>) Michigan. (<b>d</b>) Florida.</p>
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<p>The probability of failure of transmission lines for different values of initial damage (shown in legends). (<b>a</b>) Texas. (<b>b</b>) California. (<b>c</b>) Michigan. (<b>d</b>) Florida.</p>
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<p>Error estimation using PCM and MC method plots (<b>a</b>) PCM; (<b>b</b>) MC.</p>
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19 pages, 479 KiB  
Article
“Very Misunderstood”: Self-Perceived Social Communication Experiences of Autistic Young Adults
by Aieshea L. Banks, Karen J. Mainess, Heather Javaherian and Misaki N. Natsuaki
Youth 2024, 4(4), 1628-1646; https://doi.org/10.3390/youth4040104 - 19 Nov 2024
Viewed by 538
Abstract
Historically, society has labeled social communication differences in autistic individuals as disordered by comparing them to the social communication behaviors of the predominant non-autistic population. This study explores how autistic young adults view their social communication experiences and how their differences impact them [...] Read more.
Historically, society has labeled social communication differences in autistic individuals as disordered by comparing them to the social communication behaviors of the predominant non-autistic population. This study explores how autistic young adults view their social communication experiences and how their differences impact them when navigating social situations in predominantly non-autistic environments. This qualitative study utilized purposive sampling to recruit 15 autistic adults aged 18–28 in the United States. All participants were conversation-level speaking communicators and high school graduates. Each participant engaged in an individual semi-structured, conversational interview with the first author via Zoom video conferences between November 2019 and June 2020. The data analysis identified inductive themes through interpretive phenomenological analysis. Five major themes emerged from the data that captured the challenges of autistic adults: (a) “Communication definitely is a struggle at times”, (b) “if it’s a very comfortable situation, then it’s fine”, (c) my communication style has “been very misunderstood”, (d) “I have to learn people”, and (e) “we’re all human. Autistic too, we’re still human”. The participants’ experiences suggest that differences in their communication style and social behavior resulted in overwhelming feelings of uncertainty and marginalization as they put great effort into engaging with non-autistic individuals. Full article
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<p>Thematic Map. <b>Note:</b> This figure illustrates the 16 codes derived from the interviews, which were organized into five overarching themes to highlight key patterns and relationships in the analysis.</p>
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13 pages, 6430 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
Detection of Non-Technical Losses in Special Customers with Telemetering, Based on Artificial Intelligence
by José Luis Llagua Arévalo and Patricio Antonio Pesántez Sarmiento
Eng. Proc. 2024, 77(1), 29; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2024077029 - 18 Nov 2024
Viewed by 145
Abstract
The Ecuadorian electricity sector, until April 2024, presented losses of 15.64% (6.6% technical and 9.04% non-technical), so it is important to detect the areas that potentially sub-register energy in order to reduce Non-Technical Losses (NTLs). The “Empresa Eléctrica de Ambato Sociedad Anónima” (EEASA), [...] Read more.
The Ecuadorian electricity sector, until April 2024, presented losses of 15.64% (6.6% technical and 9.04% non-technical), so it is important to detect the areas that potentially sub-register energy in order to reduce Non-Technical Losses (NTLs). The “Empresa Eléctrica de Ambato Sociedad Anónima” (EEASA), as a distribution company, has, to reduce NTLs, incorporated many smart meters in special clients, generating a large amount of data that are stored. This historical information is analyzed to detect anomalous consumption that is not easily recognized and is a significant part of the NTLs. The use of machine learning with appropriate clustering techniques and deep learning neural networks work together to detect abnormal curves that record lower readings than the real energy consumption. The developed methodology uses three k-means validation indices to classify daily energy curves based on the days of the week and holidays that present similar behaviors in terms of energy consumption. The developed algorithm groups similar consumption patterns as input data sets for learning, testing, and validating the densely connected classification neural network, allowing for the identification of daily curves described by customers. The results obtained from the system detected customers who sub-register energy. It is worth mentioning that this methodology is replicable for distribution companies that store historical consumption data with Advanced Measurement Infrastructure (AMI) systems. Full article
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<p>Methodology flowchart.</p>
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<p>Variabilit.</p>
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<p>Demand.</p>
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<p>Grouping using the Soft-DTW k-means index for a k = 5, represented the centroid curves in red color.</p>
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<p>Grouping assigned values.</p>
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<p>Normal and fraudulent consumption curves with percentage decrease. (<b>a</b>) Type 1 with 36% of customer 6 in zone 2. (<b>b</b>) Type 2 with 56% of customer 4 in zone 1 and (<b>c</b>) Type 3 with 82% of customer 6 in zone 7.</p>
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<p>Model network design for the holiday group.</p>
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<p>KNIME—Python link and deep learning libraries.</p>
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<p>Completed neural network in the working environment.</p>
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<p>Accuracy curves of the neural network.</p>
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<p>Losses curves of the neural network.</p>
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<p>Weekend neural network results.</p>
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<p>Results of the neural network from Monday to Friday.</p>
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21 pages, 13819 KiB  
Article
Operational Modal Analysis and Safety Assessment of a Historical Masonry Bell Tower
by Corrado Chisari, Mattia Zizi, Angelo Lavino, Salvatore Freda and Gianfranco De Matteis
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(22), 10604; https://doi.org/10.3390/app142210604 - 17 Nov 2024
Viewed by 494
Abstract
The seismic assessment of historical masonry bell towers is of significant interest, particularly in Italy, due to their widespread presence and inherent vulnerability given by their slenderness. According to technical codes and standard practice, the seismic evaluation of masonry bell towers can be [...] Read more.
The seismic assessment of historical masonry bell towers is of significant interest, particularly in Italy, due to their widespread presence and inherent vulnerability given by their slenderness. According to technical codes and standard practice, the seismic evaluation of masonry bell towers can be conducted using a range of methodologies that vary in their level of detail. This paper presents a case study of a historical masonry bell tower located in the Caserta Province (Italy). Extensive investigative efforts were undertaken to determine the tower’s key geometric and structural characteristics, as well as to document ongoing damage phenomena. The dynamic behavior of the tower was assessed through ambient vibration testing, which enabled the identification of the principal modal shapes and corresponding frequencies, also highlighting peculiar dynamical characteristics caused by the damage conditions. Subsequently, the seismic assessment was carried out using both Level 1 (simplified mechanical) and Level 2 (kinematic limit analysis) methodologies. This assessment helped identify the most probable collapse mechanisms and laid the foundation for employing more advanced methodologies to design necessary retrofitting interventions. The study emphasizes the importance of Level 2 analyses for structures where out-of-plane failure mechanisms are likely due to pre-existing cracking. Both approaches provide less-than-unity acceleration factors, ranging from 0.45 for Level 1 (assuming non-ductile behavior) to 0.59 for Level 2, in this case specifically using the information available about existing cracking pattern. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Technologies in Seismic Design, Assessment and Retrofitting)
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<p>The tower of the St. Lucia Church in Cellole (CE): (<b>a</b>) south-west, (<b>b</b>) south and (<b>c</b>) north views.</p>
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<p>Global view of the 3D laser scanner survey.</p>
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<p>Geometrical survey of the tower of St. Lucia Church in Cellole (CE).</p>
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<p>Cracking phenomenon observed on the west façade: inspection with thermal imager from ground (<b>a</b>) and with drone (<b>b</b>). Cracks are circled in white.</p>
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<p>Cracking phenomenon observed on the east façade: (<b>a</b>) photo of the external wall and inspection with thermal imager from ground (<b>b</b>) and with drone (<b>c</b>). The vertical crack is highlighted in white.</p>
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<p>AVT setups: (<b>a</b>) position of the accelerometers, labelled as T (triaxial) or B (biaxial), with the Roman letter indicating the setup number; (<b>b</b>) view of T1 and (<b>c</b>) B6-III.</p>
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<p>Fast Fourier Transform of the signals in the three directions: (<b>a</b>) setup I, (<b>b</b>) setup II and (<b>c</b>) setup III.</p>
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<p>First Singular Value plot and identification of the first five frequencies.</p>
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<p>Identified modes of the bell tower.</p>
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<p>MAC table of the identified modes.</p>
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<p>Elastic response spectrum for EL1 analysis.</p>
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<p>Normalized mode-proportional displacement profiles adopted for the EL1 checks.</p>
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<p>Subdivision of the tower in sectors and sections adopted for the EL1 checks.</p>
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<p>Comparison between design and resisting bending moments at each relevant section (linear acceleration profile).</p>
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<p>Comparison between design and resisting bending moment at each relevant section: (<b>a</b>) 1st mode-proportional and (<b>b</b>) 2nd mode proportional acceleration profiles.</p>
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<p>Comparison between design and resisting bending moment at each relevant section, with <span class="html-italic">q</span> = 1.5 (linear acceleration profile).</p>
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<p>Comparison between design and resisting bending moment at each relevant section with <span class="html-italic">q</span> = 1.5: (<b>a</b>) 1st mode-proportional and (<b>b</b>) 2nd mode proportional acceleration profiles.</p>
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<p>The considered collapse mechanisms for the EL2 assessment: (<b>a</b>) overturning of part of sector 4, (<b>b</b>) overturning of part of sectors 3 and 4, (<b>c</b>) overturning of sector 5, (<b>d</b>) overturning of sectors 4 and 5.</p>
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20 pages, 3171 KiB  
Article
Multimodal Trajectory Prediction for Diverse Vehicle Types in Autonomous Driving with Heterogeneous Data and Physical Constraints
by Maoning Ge, Kento Ohtani, Ming Ding, Yingjie Niu, Yuxiao Zhang and Kazuya Takeda
Sensors 2024, 24(22), 7323; https://doi.org/10.3390/s24227323 - 16 Nov 2024
Viewed by 434
Abstract
The accurate prediction of vehicle behavior is crucial for autonomous driving systems, impacting their safety and efficiency in complex urban environments. To address the challenge of multi-agent trajectory prediction, we propose a novel model integrating multiple input modalities, including historical trajectories, map data, [...] Read more.
The accurate prediction of vehicle behavior is crucial for autonomous driving systems, impacting their safety and efficiency in complex urban environments. To address the challenge of multi-agent trajectory prediction, we propose a novel model integrating multiple input modalities, including historical trajectories, map data, vehicle features, and interaction information. Our approach employs a Conditional Variational Autoencoder (CVAE) framework with a decoder that predicts control actions using the Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and then converts these actions into dynamically feasible trajectories through a bicycle model. Evaluated on the nuScenes dataset, the model achieves great performance across key metrics, including minADE5 of 1.26 and minFDE5 of 2.85, demonstrating robust performance across various vehicle types and prediction horizons. These results indicate that integrating multiple data sources, physical models, and probabilistic methods significantly improves trajectory prediction accuracy and reliability for autonomous driving. Our approach generates diverse yet realistic predictions, capturing the multimodal nature of future outcomes while adhering to Physical Constraints and vehicle dynamics. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue AI-Driving for Autonomous Vehicles)
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<p>Trajectory prediction for lane merging maneuvers when merging in front of a sedan (<b>left</b>) and a truck (<b>right</b>), illustrating the predicted paths, acceleration areas, and decision-making process of the autonomous vehicle.</p>
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<p>Architecture of the proposed MTP-HPC model, integrating historical trajectories, vehicle features, environmental data, and Physical Constraints to generate accurate and diverse future vehicle trajectories.</p>
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<p>The semantic map includes three separate channels: (<b>a</b>) drivable areas, (<b>b</b>) road dividers, (<b>c</b>) lane dividers, and (<b>d</b>) a composite RGB image combining the three channels.</p>
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<p>Comparison of mask maps before and after rotation based on the vehicle’s heading direction. (<b>a</b>) Before rotation. (<b>b</b>) After rotation.</p>
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<p>Trajectory prediction metrics over different prediction horizons for all vehicles.</p>
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<p>Performance metrics across vehicle types for varying numbers of predicted trajectories: (<b>a</b>) minFDE, (<b>b</b>) KDE NLL, and (<b>c</b>) minADE for 5, 10, and 15 predictions.</p>
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<p>Trajectories of different vehicle types. (<b>a</b>) Bus trajectory. (<b>b</b>) Car trajectory. (<b>c</b>) Trailer trajectory. (<b>d</b>) Truck trajectory.</p>
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<p>Three-dimensional scatter plot illustrating the relationship between inference time, the number of nodes, and the number of edges in online inference.</p>
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23 pages, 2964 KiB  
Article
FuturesNet: Capturing Patterns of Price Fluctuations in Domestic Futures Trading
by Qingyi Pan, Suyu Sun, Pei Yang and Jingyi Zhang
Electronics 2024, 13(22), 4482; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13224482 - 15 Nov 2024
Viewed by 369
Abstract
Futures trading analysis plays a pivotal role in the development of macroeconomic policies and corporate strategy planning. High-frequency futures data, typically presented as time series, contain valuable historical patterns. To address challenges such as non-stationary in modeling futures prices, we propose a novel [...] Read more.
Futures trading analysis plays a pivotal role in the development of macroeconomic policies and corporate strategy planning. High-frequency futures data, typically presented as time series, contain valuable historical patterns. To address challenges such as non-stationary in modeling futures prices, we propose a novel architecture called FuturesNet, which uses an InceptionTime module to capture the short-term fluctuations between ask and bid orders, as well as a long-short-term-memory (LSTM) module with skip connections to capture long-term temporal dependencies. We evaluated the performance of FuturesNet using datasets numbered 50, 300, and 500 from the domestic financial market. The comprehensive experimental results show that FuturesNet outperforms other competitive baselines in most settings. Additionally, we conducted ablation studies to interpret the behaviors of FuturesNet. Our code and collected futures datasets are released. Full article
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<p>The domestic futures dataset shows significant price fluctuations between buyers and sellers at various time intervals.</p>
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<p>The visualization of the futures markets with labels {−2, −1, 0, 1, 2} represented by orange and red lines, capturing both upward and downward trends.</p>
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<p>A diagram of a sliding window. Orange defines the features utilized by the current training sample (i.e., historical data from the previous <span class="html-italic">w</span> steps), and blue is the target label (i.e., the trend pattern at each time step).</p>
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<p>The upward and downward trend patterns. We sampled every 10 min to reduce noise from overly dense points to better capture overall trend changes.</p>
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<p>The architecture of FuturesNet for predicting futures trends is composed of the InceptionTime module, the long short-term memory module, and the auto-regressive module.</p>
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<p>The multi-scale receptive fields of a multi-layer convolutional neural network.</p>
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<p>LSTM memory cell structure, including forget gate, input gate, output gate, intermediate outputs, and cell states.</p>
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<p>The price fluctuations between buyers and sellers for Futures 50, 300, and 500. (<b>a</b>) The prices and volumes in Futures 50, exhibiting fluctuations at [200, 500]; (<b>b</b>) the prices and volumes in Futures 300, also exhibiting fluctuations at [200, 500]; (<b>c</b>) the prices and volumes for buyers and sellers in Futures 500, exhibiting significant fluctuations at [600, 800].</p>
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<p>The price fluctuations between buyers and sellers for Futures 50, 300, and 500. (<b>a</b>) The prices and volumes in Futures 50, exhibiting fluctuations at [200, 500]; (<b>b</b>) the prices and volumes in Futures 300, also exhibiting fluctuations at [200, 500]; (<b>c</b>) the prices and volumes for buyers and sellers in Futures 500, exhibiting significant fluctuations at [600, 800].</p>
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<p>The price spreads between open and close prices and between the highest and lowest prices for various futures datasets. The <b>left</b> subfigure highlights the periodicity between open &amp; close prices. The <b>right</b> subfigure highlights the periodicity between high and low prices.</p>
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<p>The volume changes over time across different Futures 50, 300, and 500.</p>
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<p>Visualization of upward and downward patterns in the Futures 50, 300, and 500 datasets.</p>
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<p>The proportion of trend labels across different futures. (<b>a</b>) The proportion of trend labels across different futures (bar chart); (<b>b</b>) the proportion of trend labels across different futures (pie chart).</p>
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<p>A comparison between FuturesNet and other baselines across different years.</p>
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<p>The averaged performance of FuturesNet and other baselines on multiple futures. (<b>a</b>) The averaged performance of individual futures across different years; (<b>b</b>) The averaged performance across different futures for each year.</p>
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<p>The feature importance for Futures 50 and 300. Our results show that both the ask prices and volumes of buyers in historical datasets of the most recent fifteen minutes are crucial for futures trading, aligning with existing microeconomic principles [<a href="#B46-electronics-13-04482" class="html-bibr">46</a>].</p>
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<p>The effect of different sample sizes on the S-value and accuracy. Deep models achieve optimal performance when the training set size reaches 6–7 months. The left subfigure shows the performance curve of accuracy, and the right subfigure shows the performance curve of the S-value.</p>
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<p>FuturesNet’s performance curve for Futures 50 across different years (2019, 2020, and 2021). The left subfigure shows the performance curve of accuracy, and the right subfigure shows the performance curve of the S-value.</p>
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<p>FuturesNet’s performance decreases as the test set size gradually increases.</p>
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<p>The contributions of trading costs <math display="inline"><semantics> <msub> <mi mathvariant="script">L</mi> <mi>c</mi> </msub> </semantics></math> in Equation (<a href="#FD17-electronics-13-04482" class="html-disp-formula">17</a>), cross-entropy loss <math display="inline"><semantics> <msub> <mi mathvariant="script">L</mi> <mrow> <mi>c</mi> <mi>e</mi> </mrow> </msub> </semantics></math>, and dynamic weighting mechanisms in Equation (<a href="#FD18-electronics-13-04482" class="html-disp-formula">18</a>).</p>
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<p>The impact of different window sizes on performance in Futures 50. The experimental results indicate that a window size of 96 achieves the best performance.</p>
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18 pages, 3820 KiB  
Article
Numerical Thermo-Hydraulic Simulation of Infiltration and Evaporation of Small-Scale Replica of Typical Dike Covers
by Elisa Ponzoni, Rafaela Cardoso and Cristina Jommi
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(22), 10170; https://doi.org/10.3390/app142210170 - 6 Nov 2024
Viewed by 388
Abstract
Measurements taken on a historical dike in the Netherlands over one year showed that interaction with the atmosphere led to oscillation of the piezometric surface of about 0.7 m. The observation raised concerns about the long-term performance of similar dikes and promoted a [...] Read more.
Measurements taken on a historical dike in the Netherlands over one year showed that interaction with the atmosphere led to oscillation of the piezometric surface of about 0.7 m. The observation raised concerns about the long-term performance of similar dikes and promoted a deeper investigation of the response of the cover layer to increasing climatic stresses. An experimental and numerical study was undertaken, which included an investigation in the laboratory of the unsaturated behavior of a scaled replica of the field cover. A sample extracted from the top clayey layer in the dike was subjected to eight drying and wetting cycles in a HYPROP™ device. Data recorded during the test provide an indication of the delayed response with depth during evaporation and infiltration. The measurements taken during this continuous dynamic process were simulated by means of a finite element discretization of the time-dependent coupled thermohydraulic response. The results of the numerical simulations are affected by the way in which the environmental loads are translated into numerical boundary conditions. Here, it was chosen to model drying considering only the transport of water vapor after equilibrium with the room atmosphere, while water in the liquid phase was added upon wetting. The simulation was able to reproduce the water mass balance exchange observed during four complete drying–wetting cycles, although the simulated drying rate was faster than the observed one. The numerical curves describing suction, the amount of vapor and temperature are identical, confirming that vapor generation and its equilibrium is control the hydraulic response of the material. Vapor generation and diffusion depend on temperature; therefore, correct characterization of the thermal properties of the soil is of paramount importance when dealing with evaporation and related non-steady equilibrium states. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Civil Engineering)
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<p>Grading size distribution of several samples of the soil.</p>
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<p>Geometry of the HYPROP equipment and scheme illustrating the experimental setup adopted for wetting during the cycles.</p>
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<p>Water retention curve found using both equipment: (<b>a</b>) first drying, showing the HYPROP measurements for both tensiometers; (<b>b</b>) complete set of experimental points, using the average measurements of the two tensiometers and including the curves adjusted for using Equation (2).</p>
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<p>Data logged during drying and wetting cycles: (<b>a</b>) inner and outer temperature; (<b>b</b>) RH% and mass loss ratio; (<b>c</b>) net sample weight; (<b>d</b>) suction.</p>
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<p>HYPROP measurements during the four drying–wetting cycles for the tensiometers (first cycle in black; last cycle in grey): (<b>a</b>) short shaft; (<b>b</b>) long shaft; (<b>c</b>) average values.</p>
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<p>Discretization of the HYPROP sample using CODE BRIGHT (radial symmetry along <span class="html-italic">y</span>-axis).</p>
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<p>Comparison between numerical and experimental data measured in the two tensiometers. The arrows indicate the time steps when wetting was carried out.</p>
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<p>Comparison between numerical and experimental values for the degree of saturation in the cell. The arrows indicate the time steps when wetting was carried out.</p>
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<p>Analysis of vapor equilibrium considering (<b>a</b>) water vapor content computed, equal in the two tensiometers; (<b>b</b>) temperature evolution measured during the test and computed. The arrows mean wetting.</p>
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18 pages, 580 KiB  
Systematic Review
Changes in Adolescent Heterosexual Behaviors from the 1980s to the Present in Various Western Countries: A Systematic Review
by José Luis Martínez-Álvarez, Mᵃ Rosario Pozo-García and Judit García-Martín
Sexes 2024, 5(4), 652-669; https://doi.org/10.3390/sexes5040042 - 5 Nov 2024
Viewed by 456
Abstract
Adolescence is a stage of significant intrapersonal and interpersonal changes, influenced by cultural and historical shifts. This study aims to analyze the changes in heterosexual behaviors among adolescents in Western countries over the past 50 years approximately. For this purpose, we conducted a [...] Read more.
Adolescence is a stage of significant intrapersonal and interpersonal changes, influenced by cultural and historical shifts. This study aims to analyze the changes in heterosexual behaviors among adolescents in Western countries over the past 50 years approximately. For this purpose, we conducted a systematic review following the PRISMA model, utilizing the online databases EBSCO, WoS, and Scopus, covering the period from 1980 to 2024, across ten European countries. The review focused on studies published in scientific journals with regional or national samples. In addition to the 30 selected studies, three more were included due to their relevance as cited in the selected articles. Despite the considerable methodological heterogeneity, the results showed a relative stabilization of the differences in sexual behaviors of boys and girls throughout time. Those differences were more evident in Southern European countries. Some changes were also noted, such as the delay in the initiation of the first sexual intercourse, a trend observed over the last decade. The findings are discussed in terms of the sexual script theory, highlighting the importance of these mental frameworks in the heteronormative sexual socialization of boys and girls. Future research should emphasize the diversity of heterosexual behaviors, their significance, and the emotional experiences that accompany them. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sexual Behavior and Attitudes)
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<p>PRISMA Flow Diagram.</p>
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24 pages, 4521 KiB  
Article
The Polarization Loop: How Emotions Drive Propagation of Disinformation in Online Media—The Case of Conspiracy Theories and Extreme Right Movements in Southern Europe
by Erik Bran Marino, Jesus M. Benitez-Baleato and Ana Sofia Ribeiro
Soc. Sci. 2024, 13(11), 603; https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci13110603 - 5 Nov 2024
Viewed by 956
Abstract
This paper examines the influence of emotions on political polarization, looking at online propagation of conspiracy thinking by extreme right movements in Southern Europe. Integrating insights from psychology, political science, media studies, and system theory, we propose the ‘polarization loop’, a causal mechanism [...] Read more.
This paper examines the influence of emotions on political polarization, looking at online propagation of conspiracy thinking by extreme right movements in Southern Europe. Integrating insights from psychology, political science, media studies, and system theory, we propose the ‘polarization loop’, a causal mechanism explaining the cyclical relationship between extreme messages, emotional engagement, media amplification, and societal polarization. We illustrate the utility of the polarization loop observing the use of the Great Replacement Theory by extreme right movements in Italy, Portugal, and Spain. We suggest possible options to mitigate the negative effects of online polarization in democracy, including public oversight of algorithmic decission-making, involving social science and humanities in algorithmic design, and strengthening resilience of citizenship to prevent emotional overflow. We encourage interdisciplinary research where historical analysis can guide computational methods such as Natural Language Processing (NLP), using Large Language Models fine-tunned consistently with political science research. Provided the intimate nature of emotions, the focus of connected research should remain on structural patterns rather than individual behavior, making it explicit that results derived from this research cannot be applied as the base for decisions, automated or not, that may affect individuals. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Disinformation in the Public Media in the Internet Society)
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<p>The Feedback Loop in Political Communication.</p>
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<p>Giorgia Meloni’s Tweet on Ethnic Substitution.</p>
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<p>Tweet by Matteo Salvini on Ethnic Substitution.</p>
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<p>Tweet by Matteo Salvini on Ethnic Substitution.</p>
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<p>Chega’s tweet on alleged population replacement in Lisbon.</p>
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<p>Chega tweet emphasizing cultural conflicts over religious constructions.</p>
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<p>Tweet by Vox questioning the rationality of demographic replacement theories.</p>
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<p>Tweet by Vox claiming widespread recognition of demographic replacement in Spain.</p>
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15 pages, 616 KiB  
Review
Factors Considered for the Assessment of Risk in Administrative Review Boards of Canada: A Scoping Review
by Jane-Caroline Pellerin, Marie Désilets, Stéphanie Borduas Pagé and Alexandre Hudon
Forensic Sci. 2024, 4(4), 573-587; https://doi.org/10.3390/forensicsci4040039 - 1 Nov 2024
Viewed by 519
Abstract
Background: This scoping review examines the risk factors considered in assessing the dangerousness of individuals found Not Criminally Responsible on Account of Mental Disorder (NCRMD) in Canadian administrative courts. This review aims to identify the factors used by mental health review boards [...] Read more.
Background: This scoping review examines the risk factors considered in assessing the dangerousness of individuals found Not Criminally Responsible on Account of Mental Disorder (NCRMD) in Canadian administrative courts. This review aims to identify the factors used by mental health review boards during annual case reviews to guide decisions on detention or release. Methods: Using a scoping review approach following PRISMA guidelines, this study analyzed research across multiple databases to identify relevant studies focusing on risk assessment for NCRMD cases. Results: The findings indicate that five primary categories of risk factors—historical, clinical, behavioral, legal, and miscellaneous—are influential in the decision-making process. Historical factors, such as past violence and early psychiatric contacts, are critical in predicting future risk. Clinical factors, including psychiatric diagnosis and treatment adherence, are key to evaluating current and potential future risks. This study reveals variability in the application of standardized risk assessment tools, highlighting a need for more consistent practices across Canadian jurisdictions. Conclusion: This review concludes that, while a multifaceted approach to risk assessment is essential for balancing public safety with individual rehabilitation, further research is needed to refine these processes and establish more uniform standards for managing NCRMD cases in forensic psychiatry. Full article
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<p>Flowchart of the identified studies.</p>
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12 pages, 1124 KiB  
Article
Implementation and Baseline Evaluation of an Evidence-Based Group Antenatal Care Program in Two Nigerian States
by William Douglas Evans, Chinwe L. Ochu, Jeffery B. Bingenheimer, Samson Babatunde Adebayo, Fasiku Adekunle David, Sani Ali Gar and Masduk Abdulkarim
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2024, 21(11), 1461; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph21111461 - 31 Oct 2024
Viewed by 617
Abstract
Northern Nigeria has had historically low antenatal care (ANC) utilization rates with poor health outcomes. Previous studies have shown that group antenatal care (gANC) improves ANC behavior and pregnancy outcomes. The gANC has been adopted in Kaduna and Kano States, Nigeria. This paper [...] Read more.
Northern Nigeria has had historically low antenatal care (ANC) utilization rates with poor health outcomes. Previous studies have shown that group antenatal care (gANC) improves ANC behavior and pregnancy outcomes. The gANC has been adopted in Kaduna and Kano States, Nigeria. This paper presents baseline findings from the implementation of the gANC program in Kaduna and Kano States, Nigeria, based on data collected from 1269 and 1200 pregnant women, respectively, from March to April 2024. Analyses of sociodemographic and pregnancy behavior data were performed. Participants were mostly between the age of 19 and 31 years, married or living with a partner, with over 50% having their own businesses. Over 62% and 34% had completed secondary- or higher-level education, with 60% and 80% living in urban areas in Kaduna and Kano States, respectively. In Kano State, >60% of the women had their last delivery at home, with 41.6% not assisted by a skilled birth attendant. In Kaduna, >63% delivered in the hospital and >50% had skilled attendance during labor. Almost half had not used contraceptives previously. This study has provided baseline evaluation data for the implementation of gANC in two states in Nigeria. Subsequent longitudinal data will examine the impact of gANC utilization on perinatal outcomes and contraceptive behavior to inform the scaling of the program in the country. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Global Health)
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<p>Theory of change for gANC.</p>
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<p>Intended delivery site by education level.</p>
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