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Ecological Applications, 17(4), 2007, pp. 957–964
Ó 2007 by the Ecological Society of America
EFFECTS OF MANAGEMENT AND CLIMATE ON ELK BRUCELLOSIS
IN THE GREATER YELLOWSTONE ECOSYSTEM
PAUL C. CROSS,1,2,5 WILLIAM H. EDWARDS,3 BRANDON M. SCURLOCK,4 ERIC J. MAICHAK,4
1
AND
JARED D. ROGERSON4
Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Bozeman, Montana 59717 USA
2
Department of Ecology, Montana State University, Bozeman, Montana 59717 USA
3
Wyoming Game and Fish Department, Laramie, Wyoming 82071 USA
4
Wyoming Game and Fish Department, Pinedale, Wyoming 82941 USA
Abstract. Every winter, government agencies feed ;6000 metric tons (6 3 106 kg) of hay
to elk in the southern Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem (GYE) to limit transmission of Brucella
abortus, the causative agent of brucellosis, from elk to cattle. Supplemental feeding, however,
is likely to increase the transmission of brucellosis in elk, and may be affected by climatic
factors, such as snowpack. We assessed these possibilities using snowpack and feeding data
from 1952 to 2006 and disease testing data from 1993 to 2006. Brucellosis seroprevalence was
strongly correlated with the timing of the feeding season. Longer feeding seasons were
associated with higher seroprevalence, but elk population size and density had only minor
effects. In other words, the duration of host aggregation and whether it coincided with peak
transmission periods was more important than just the host population size. Accurate
modeling of disease transmission depends upon incorporating information on how host
contact rates fluctuate over time relative to peak transmission periods. We also found that
supplemental feeding seasons lasted longer during years with deeper snowpack. Therefore,
milder winters and/or management strategies that reduce the length of the feeding season may
reduce the seroprevalence of brucellosis in the elk populations of the southern GYE.
Key words: Brucella abortus; brucellosis; Cervus elaphus; disease management; elk; Greater
Yellowstone Ecosystem (USA); supplemental feeding.
INTRODUCTION
Supplemental feeding of wildlife can range from
private citizens providing pastries to bears (Gray et al.
2004) to government agencies distributing hay annually
to elk around the southern Greater Yellowstone
Ecosystem (GYE; Smith 2001; see Plate 1). The effects
of supplemental feeding on wildlife include altered
survival, reproduction, space-use patterns, and densities
(Boutin 1990), all of which may also affect disease
dynamics (Farnsworth et al. 2005, Rudolph et al. 2006).
Using feeding and snowpack data from 1952 to 2006
and disease testing data from 1993 to 2006, we assessed
the relationships between snowpack, supplemental
feeding, and brucellosis in elk (Cervus elaphus) populations around the southern GYE (Appendix D).
Brucellosis, caused by Brucella abortus, is a chronic
bacterial disease widespread in many livestock and
wildlife populations and is among the most common
Manuscript received 22 September 2006; revised 25 January
2007; accepted 30 January 2007. Corresponding Editor: R. S.
Ostfeld.
5
E-mail: pcross@usgs.gov
zoonotic infections worldwide (Godfroid and Kasbohrer
2002, Pappas et al. 2006). Prior to the introduction of
pasteurization, dairy products were the primary source
of infection in the human population, causing undulant
fever, anxiety, and depression (Godfroid 2002). B.
abortus is transmitted within and among wildlife and
livestock primarily by contact with infected fetuses and
placentas from abortion events (Cheville et al. 1998). B.
abortus-caused abortions in livestock also result in
economic losses and trade restrictions (Thorne 2001,
Godfroid 2002).
Brucellosis is particularly contentious in the GYE
where elk and bison (Bison bison) are among the last
reservoirs of infection in the USA (Cheville et al. 1998,
Bienen and Tabor 2006). Brucellosis was probably
introduced from cattle to bison in the GYE shortly
before 1917 (Meagher and Meyer 1994), but due to a
successful eradication campaign the cattle populations
of most states in the USA are free of the disease (Ragan
2002). To prevent transmission of the disease from bison
to cattle, management agencies attempt to restrict bison
from leaving Yellowstone National Park (YNP) and in
2006 over one-fifth of the bison population (.1000
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PAUL C. CROSS ET AL.
individuals) was culled. Despite the intensive management of bison, it was transmission from elk to cattle that
caused Wyoming and Idaho cattle to lose their
brucellosis-free status in 2004 and 2006, respectively
(Galey et al. 2005), costing each state millions of U.S.
dollars. Wyoming cattle recently regained their brucellosis-free status, but the threat of spillover from elk and
bison remains.
At the center of an elk management debate among
environmentalists, ranchers, and managers are 23
supplemental elk feedgrounds maintained by the Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD) and the
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS). Supplemental
feeding in the southern region of the GYE began in 1910
to limit elk impacts on agricultural land and maintain
elk populations despite shrinking native winter range
(Smith 2001). Since 1910, elk populations on and off the
feedgrounds have increased dramatically, and in many
places around the GYE are above management targets
(Dickson 2005). Feedgrounds are intended to minimize
contact between elk and cattle during winter, but they
also increase the concentration of elk between November and April, and the transmission of Brucella abortus
among elk is most likely between February and June
(Roffe et al. 2004; WGFD, unpublished data). Thus,
feedgrounds could sustain or intensify the problems of
brucellosis within elk populations, potentially increasing
the exposure of neighboring livestock. The average
seroprevalence of brucellosis on elk feedgrounds is
;26% while elk populations in other regions of the
GYE tend to have a seroprevalence of 2–3% (Aune et al.
2002, Etter and Drew 2006; WGFD, unpublished data),
and elk outside GYE are not known to sustain the
disease.
The elk feedgrounds facilitate a brucellosis vaccination program that began in 1985. Almost all calves are
vaccinated annually using Strain 19 biobullets on all
feedgrounds except Dell Creek (WGFD, unpublished
data). In captive studies, the Strain 19 vaccine reduced
abortion events from 93% to 71% during the first
pregnancy (Roffe et al. 2004). Over the longer term the
reduced abortion rate, and thus transmission, may result
in lower seroprevalence on the vaccinated feedgrounds.
The elk feedgrounds provide a rare opportunity to
investigate the ecological and management-related
factors driving the prevalence of a chronic disease in a
large mammal where sufficient replication is often
difficult to attain.
We expect that longer feeding seasons and larger elk
populations will be associated with higher brucellosis
seroprevalence. We first assess how brucellosis status is
associated with the date tested, age, elk population size,
beginning and ending dates of the feeding season, and
the total number of days fed. We then explore the effects
of snowpack and proximity to local cattle operations on
the timing of supplemental feeding. Elk are typically fed
until they leave the feedgrounds as native forage
becomes available in spring. Therefore, we hypothesize
that length of the feeding season is associated with the
variation in snowpack conditions among sites and years.
METHODS
Biology of the host and pathogen
Brucella abortus is transmitted among cattle and elk
primarily by inducing abortion events or births of
nonviable calves. Other individuals are then infected by
licking or ingesting the contaminated material (Thorne
et al. 1978a). Venereal or airborne transmission of the
bacteria is not known to be an important route of
infection (Thorne et al. 1978a). Thorne and colleagues
(1978a) found that ;50% of infected elk lose their calves
in the year following infection; one of nine lost their
calves in the second year, and one of five lost a calf in the
third year. Live calves born to infected mothers tend to
lose their serological titers soon after birth, but some
may have latent infections that resurface later in life
(Thorne et al. 1978a).
In the GYE, elk comprise the majority of the ungulate
community, and unfed elk populations tend to aggregate
into small herds (13.9 6 0.67 elk, mean 6 SE; Creel et
al. 2005), whereas elk that are supplementally fed are in
groups of ;260 to 7400 elk (Appendix A). The
supplemental feeding of elk in Wyoming begins between
late November and early January, and ends between
March and April depending upon the site and year.
Data on when abortion events occur are limited, but
may range from February to June, whereas natural
births occur in May and June (Roffe et al. 2004; WGFD,
unpublished data).
Supplemental feeding, snowpack, and disease testing data
WGFD and the USFWS began recording the
beginning and ending dates of the supplemental feeding
as well as the number of elk on feedgrounds as early as
1952 with complete data from all feedgrounds from 1980
to 2006. Elk population size was measured annually via
a direct census of all individuals on each feedground
when peak attendance was expected (usually in January
or February). We estimated the maximum elk density at
each site by dividing elk population size by the area
delineated for typical feeding operations. Feeding area
measurements were not available for the National Elk
Refuge (NER), so it was excluded from analyses that
included density as a predictor.
Disease testing data came from elk captured on four
to six feedgrounds per year from January to April using
corral traps, helicopter, or ground darting. We excluded
tests lacking information on the age of the individual or
date of the test. Of the remaining 2136 tests, 55 were
tests on individuals that had been captured in previous
years. We kept these records in the analyses because this
represented ,3% of all tests. Blood samples were taken
from calves and yearling and adult females to determine
brucellosis disease status using the following four
serological tests: card test, standard plate agglutination
test (SPT), complement-fixation test (CF), and rivanol
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ELK BRUCELLOSIS IN THE GYE
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TABLE 1. Selection statistics for logistic regression models of brucellosis status using test results of
2136 female elk from 1993 to 2006 in the southern Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, USA.
Model
df
AICà
DAICà
A priori
Age§ þ begin þ end þ elk þ feedground
Age þ begin þ end þ elk þ testdate þ feedground
Age þ begin þ elk þ feedground
Age þ end þ elk þ feedground
Age þ begin þ end þ feedground
Age þ begin þ feedground
Age þ days þ elk þ feedground
Age þ elk þ feedground
Age þ end þ feedground
Age þ days þ feedground
Age þ feedground
Feedground
23
24
22
22
22
21
22
21
21
21
20
18
2067.45
2068.99
2073.77
2075.79
2083.90
2085.13
2096.19
2101.76
2102.90
2106.64
2121.26
2189.07
19.5
21.0
25.8
27.8
35.9
37.2
48.2
53.8
54.9
58.7
73.3
141.1
Post hoc
Age þ
Age þ
Age þ
Age þ
Age þ
Age þ
23
22
23
22
23
23
2047.95
2047.97
2049.97
2096.68
2098.69
2104.06
begin þ end þ elk þ feedground (previous 8-yr mean)
end þ elk þ feedground (previous 8-yr mean)
end þ elk þ testdate þ feedground (previous 8-yr mean)
begin þ elk þ feedground (previous 8-yr mean)
begin þ end þ elk þ feedground (previous 2-yr mean)
begin þ end þ elk þ feedground (previous year)
0.00
0.02
2.02
48.7
50.7
56.1
Unless otherwise noted, begin date, end date, total days fed, elk population size, and density
were the mean values from the four years prior to the sampling year.
à AIC, Akaike Information Criterion; DAIC ¼ AICcurrent AICbest.
§ Age was a categorical variable (calf, yearling, adult). All other variables are defined in
Methods: Statistical analysis.
6
hhttp://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/snowi
ranked on a four point scale, which we collapsed to a
binary variable of those considered most at risk vs. all
other feedgrounds.
Statistical analysis
We used logistic regression models of brucellosis
status to assess the role of: beginning (begin) and ending
(end) dates of the feeding season; total number of days
fed (days); age, testing date (date), and elk population
size (elk) and density. Models were ranked according to
Akaike Information Criterion (AIC, Burnham and
Anderson 2002). Because serological titers may last for
several years and due to the lag between exposure and
seroconversion (Thorne et al. 1978a, b), we expected test
results to be associated with conditions of previous
years. Therefore, we correlated brucellosis status with
conditions from the previous year, and the mean over
the previous two, four, and eight years. Due to the
infectious nature of the disease, individuals within a
feedground may not be independent of one another.
Therefore we included feedground as a variable in all
models. We used both generalized linear models (GLM)
and generalized linear mixed models with feedground as
a fixed and random effect, respectively. The two
approaches led to similar conclusions, therefore we
present only the GLM results because almost all possible
feedgrounds were included in the analyses. We started
with a set of 12 a priori models, but then expanded upon
this set in an attempt to improve upon the best a priori
model (Table 1). Because many of the feedgrounds were
only sampled for one or two years, we did not include
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test. These serological tests indicate whether or not an
individual has been exposed, but not whether they are
currently infected. We did not include the few samples
available on males because they are not known to
transmit the infection (Thorne 2001). We interpreted the
test results using the U.S. Department of Agriculture
(USDA) Uniform Methods and Rules for cervids,
whereby reactors were those animals with positive card
tests, rivanol 1:25 or higher, CF of 2þ at 1:20, and SPT
1:100 or higher. To differentiate vaccine titers from
field strain titers we analyzed samples from 1993 to 2006
using the competitive enzyme-linked immunosorbent
assay (cELISA, Van Houten et al. 2003).
Our data on snowpack consisted of snow-water
equivalents (SWE; depth of water that would result
from melting the snowpack) taken in April from the
USDA snowpack telemetry site (SNOTEL) nearest to
each feedground (data available online).6 SWE at nearby
SNOTEL sites may not be indicative of local conditions
at each feedground; therefore we included elevation of
each feedground assuming that this may also be
associated with local snowpack conditions. In addition
to snowpack data, we used several feedground characteristics as explanatory variables in the analysis of
feeding times. Feedground characteristics were taken
from a Western Ecosystems Technology report (2004),
which categorized feedgrounds according to the proximity to livestock operations, whether there had been elk
comingling issues in the past, and the potential for elk
damage (Appendix A). The potential for elk damage was
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FIG. 1. (A) Mean seroprevalence of brucellosis as a function of mean total days fed, and (B) the mean beginning and (C) mean
ending dates of the feeding season averaged from 1990 to 2006. Both the beginning and ending date are based on the number of
days since 1 November. The lines are linear regressions weighted by the reciprocal of the estimated variance in seroprevalence.
Point size is proportional to the sample size of serological tests on each feedground. NER indicates the National Elk Refuge.
any interaction terms as many of these parameters could
not be estimated.
The inclusion of feedground identity in the models
may obscure the effects of other factors because begin
and end date as well as population size were more
variable across sites than over time. Thus, the inclusion
of feedground in the statistical models may confound
the effects of other variables. As a result, we used
weighted linear regression as an alternative method to
assess the relationship between seroprevalence (using all
tests at a given feedground) and the begin date, end date,
total days fed, and population size and density, which
were mean values for each feedground using data from
1990 to 2006. For this analysis we excluded feedgrounds
with fewer than 30 serological tests and weighted the
other feedgrounds according to the reciprocal of the
variance of each estimate (Draper and Smith 1998).
Although this method reduced our sample size to 18
feedgrounds and obscured temporal variation, it emphasized among-site variation and avoided some of the
confounding effect of feedground identity. Seroprevalence estimates were not transformed because they did
not approach zero or one, and the residuals were
approximately normally distributed.
The previous analyses highlighted the importance of
the date feeding ends in the spring (see Results).
Therefore, our subsequent analyses focused on assessing
how snowpack and nearby livestock operations may
affect when managers decided to end the feeding season.
We first used linear models to assess the correlation
between the interannual variation in April SWE and end
date, averaged across all feedgrounds (1955–2006; N ¼
52 years). We then used a GLM to assess the effects of
nearby livestock allotments (presence/absence), elk–
cattle comingling (yes/no), the likelihood of elk damage
to hay stacks (high/low), elevation, and April SWE on
the among-site variation in end date, averaged across all
years (Appendix A; N ¼ 23 feedgrounds). Finally, we
assessed both the spatial and temporal variation in
feeding end date using a GLM with all the main effects
(end ; AprilSWE þ damage þ year þ elkpop þ comingle
þ livestock þ elevation; N ¼ 903 feedground years). For
this analysis we also explored potential interactions
among April SWE and elk damage and proximity to
livestock allotments but none were found to be
significant. We conducted all statistical analyses in R
(R Core Development Team 2005).
RESULTS
Both the logistic and linear regression analyses
indicated that the supplemental feeding season was
strongly associated with brucellosis status and seroprevalence (Fig. 1, Table 1, Appendix B). The weighted
linear regression indicated that the length of the feeding
season accounted for 58% of the variation in brucellosis
seroprevalence among feedgrounds (Fig. 1, b ¼ 0.002 6
0.0004, mean 6 SE, P ¼ 0.0008). Both the start and end
dates were associated with brucellosis seroprevalence
(Fig. 1); however, they were also negatively correlated
with one another (r ¼ 0.53, P ¼ 0.018). When we
included both start and end date in the same weighted
linear regression, they became nonsignificant even
though the model predicted brucellosis seroprevalence
well (R2 ¼ 0.59, df ¼ 12, P ¼ 0.0047). As a result, it was
difficult to determine from this type of analysis which of
these two variables was a more important factor. Due to
the influence of the NER, which has low seroprevalence
but roughly 10 times the number of elk as any other
feedground (Appendix A), elk population size was
significantly negatively correlated with seroprevalence
(data not shown). This result is opposite of what would
be expected from theoretical models (McCallum et al.
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ELK BRUCELLOSIS IN THE GYE
FIG. 2. Effect of the mean feeding end date (days since 1
November) across all feedgrounds on April snow-water
equivalent (SWE). Black squares represent the years from
1990 to 2006, and gray circles represent the years from 1955 to
1989. The linear regression and associated statistics are based
on the years from 1990 to 2006.
specific variation in end date was primarily associated
with whether or not WGFD personnel perceived the site
as having a high likelihood of elk damage to neighboring
properties. Feedgrounds where elk damage was more
likely were fed on average 10.5 days (CL: 4, 16, all values
are mean and 95% CL) later in the spring than other
sites (t test, P , 0.003). The presence of nearby livestock
allotments, elevation, and April SWE (from the nearest
SNOTEL site) were uncorrelated with site-specific
variation in end date, while elk population size was
negatively correlated with end date, probably due to the
influence of the NER, which had the shortest feeding
season (72 6 5 days, mean 6 SE) but the largest
population size (7400 6 305 elk, mean 6 SE). Finally,
we included all factors as main effects into one model in
an attempt to explain both the spatial and temporal
variation in ending date (Appendix C). This approach
showed that feeding seasons have tended to end earlier
over time, and feedgrounds with livestock operations
nearby tended to end ;3 days later than those that did
not (Appendix C). However, the current set of
explanatory variables only explained 18% of the total
spatial and temporal variation in when managers ended
the supplemental feeding season.
DISCUSSION
Many disease models assume that disease transmission is a function of host population size or density (for
a review see McCallum et al. 2001). We found, however,
that brucellosis was unrelated to the population size and
density of elk at each feedground, but was highly
correlated with the timing and duration of aggregation.
Feedgrounds that continued to feed elk longer had
higher brucellosis seroprevalence. Further, the ending
date of the feeding season was highly correlated with
April snowpack conditions (Figs. 1 and 2). Dobson and
Meagher (1996) as well as Joly and Messier (2004) also
found only weak or no evidence for a relationship
between brucellosis seroprevalence in bison and population size/density. The lack of support for an effect of
population size or density may be common to many
wildlife disease systems where densities and transmission
rates vary seasonally (Altizer et al. 2006). If contact rates
are density dependent, then parasite transmission will be
proportional to the population density integrated over
the time interval of transmission, which for brucellosis is
probably limited to the early spring just prior to and
during the calving season. Thus, the mixed results of
comparative analyses that investigated the effect of
population size and density on the immune system or
parasite diversity (Côté and Poulin 1995, Nunn et al.
2000, Nunn 2002, Stanko et al. 2002, Tella 2002, Nunn
et al. 2003a, b) may be due to an incomplete understanding of how host population densities fluctuate
relative to peak transmission periods.
Data from a captive study of elk suggest that more
abortion events occur later in the feeding season from
March to June (Roffe et al. 2004). Although begin date
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2001). When NER was excluded from the analysis,
neither population size nor density were significant (P ¼
0.66 and 0.77, respectively).
In the logistic regression models individual age, end
date, elk population size, and feedground were all
important factors (Table 1, Appendix B). No calves
tested positive (n ¼ 55), 13% of the 478 yearlings were
positive, and 26% of 1603 adult females were positive.
Although we expected to see more positive test results
closer to calving season in the spring, test date did not
appear to be an important factor (Table 1). Similar to
the linear regression results, the effect of elk population
size was negative and heavily influenced by the NER.
Although begin date was included in the best a priori
model, removing begin date resulted in a model that was
almost tied for the best post hoc model suggesting that
begin date may be less important than ending date
(Table 1). Further, the parameter estimate on begin date
was not significantly different from zero (Appendix B).
For the best AIC model, ending date was the most
important variable (Table 1, Appendix B). Finally,
brucellosis status was predicted best by the average
conditions over the previous eight years compared to
just the previous year or the mean of the last two or four
years (Table 1).
We focused subsequent analyses on those factors that
were associated with the end of the feeding season.
Feedground identity accounted for 22% of the variation
in end date, while interannual variation was responsible
for 38% of the variation in end date. The interannual
variation in end date was highly correlated with April
SWE, particularly in more recent years (Fig. 2). Site-
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PLATE 1. Feeding time at the National Elk Refuge, Wyoming, USA. Photo credits: Mark Gocke.
was highly correlated with seroprevalence in the
weighted linear regression (Fig. 1C), it appeared to be
less important in the logistic regression approach (Table
1, Appendix B). Feedgrounds that started earlier also
tended to end later. Therefore, some of the importance
of begin date may be due to its association with end
date. We believe that late-season abortions, and the
associated brucellosis transmission events, are the
mechanism driving the higher brucellosis seroprevalence
on feedgrounds with longer feeding seasons. If the
associations shown here reflect causal relationships, a
30-day decrease in the length of the feeding season (due
to earlier snowmelt or altered management) would result
in a drop in brucellosis seroprevalence of approximately
two-thirds (Fig. 1C).
The end date of the feeding season was highly variable
among sites and years (Figs. 1 and 2). Although
feedgrounds with the perceived potential for elk damage
were fed longer than other sites, this difference was
relatively minor compared to the amount of interannual
variation associated with snowpack conditions. Feeding
seasons lasted up to 30 days longer during years with
deep snowpacks, and the correlation between the ending
date of the feeding season and April SWE has increased
over time (Fig. 2). Although future precipitation
patterns are difficult to predict, several studies project
a future decline in the winter snowpacks of the northern
Rocky Mountains (Byrne et al. 1999, Lapp et al. 2002,
2005, Schindler and Donahue 2006). Our analyses
suggest that if the trend over the past 50 years toward
earlier snowmelt in the GYE continues (Wilmers and
Getz 2005), the feeding season is likely to also shorten,
which may result in lower brucellosis prevalence over the
long term.
Despite the strong correlation between mean end date
each year and April SWE, there remains a large amount
of unexplained among-site variation in when the feeding
season ends. Models including all possible main effects
only explained 18% of the total variation (i.e., spatial
and temporal) in end date (Appendix C). We hypothesized that the sites and years with more snow would
have longer feeding seasons, due to increased nutritional
demands of elk. However, the site-to-site variation in the
end of the feeding season was unassociated with the
snowpack conditions at the nearest SNOTEL site. This
suggests three possibilities: (1) SNOTEL sites are not a
good indicator of local snowpack conditions at each
feedground; (2) other environmental factors, such as hay
quality, are more important than snowpack conditions;
and/or (3) the end of the feeding season is more related
to management decisions than to biological demand. If
feeding season length is primarily due to management
rather than climate or ecological constraints, then this
suggests potential flexibility in feeding season lengths
that would allow for experimental manipulation. Experimental manipulation of feeding season length, and
in particular the end date of the feeding season, would
provide the controlled test necessary to determine if the
correlations shown here also reflect causal relationships.
Two feedgrounds in this analysis are particularly
noteworthy. The NER feeds more elk than any other
feedground (;6700 elk in 2006 compared to 585 6 203
elk, [mean 6 SD] on other feedgrounds) and of those
feedgrounds with .30 samples it has the lowest
brucellosis seroprevalence (seroprevalence ¼ 0.11; CL:
0.07, 0.14, all values are mean and 95% CL). This is
possibly due to the short feeding season at NER, which
reduces the probability of abortion events later in the
season occurring while the elk are on the feedground.
The second noteworthy feedground is Dell Creek, which
is the only unvaccinated feedground. Nearly all juveniles
at other feedgrounds are vaccinated annually with Strain
19 biobullets (Roffe et al. 2004). Previously, the lower
seroprevalence on other feedgrounds, compared to Dell
Creek, suggested a protective effect of vaccination. Our
analyses, however, indicate that the average seroprevalence on Dell Creek is no higher than would be expected
given the length of its feeding season (Fig. 1). Thus, the
data presented here (though indirect and based on a
single population) are not suggestive of a strong
protective effect of Strain 19 vaccination at a feedground
level, which agrees with previous captive studies
(Herriges et al. 1989, Roffe et al. 2004).
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ELK BRUCELLOSIS IN THE GYE
This study is the first to identify those factors that
explain the variation in brucellosis seroprevalence
among the feedgrounds of western Wyoming. Further
research is necessary to prove the causality of the
relationships found here, but we believe the mechanism
of longer feeding seasons facilitating more disease
exposure is highly plausible. Decommissioning elk
feedgrounds may lead to a decrease in brucellosis
seroprevalence among elk in the long term. Wildlife
and livestock managers, however, remain concerned that
reduced feeding would lead to increased B. abortus
transmission from elk to cattle. Whether reduced feeding
would result in lower elk population sizes, which may
also reduce contact rates between livestock and elk,
remains an open question. The management of brucellosis in the GYE is complicated by many political,
ecological, and economic factors (Bienen and Tabor
2006), but most constituents have a common goal of
maintaining open space and healthy elk populations in
one of the fastest developing regions of the United
States.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
LITERATURE CITED
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Aune, K., K. Alt, and T. Lemke. 2002. Managing wildlife
habitat to control brucellosis in the Montana portion of the
greater Yellowstone area. Pages 109–119 in T. J. Kreeger,
editor. Brucellosis in elk and bison in the greater Yellowstone
area. Wyoming Game and Fish Department, Cheyenne,
Wyoming, USA.
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We thank S. Creel, V. Ezenwa, D. Gesink Law, L. Kueppers,
G. Luikart, R. Plowright, M. Smith Cross, S. Ryan, C.
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USGS.
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APPENDIX A
A table of summary statistics on the feeding and disease testing data at each of the 23 Wyoming elk feedgrounds and the
covariates used in the statistical analyses (Ecological Archives A017-035-A1).
APPENDIX B
Parameter estimates from the best AIC logistic regression model of elk brucellosis status (Ecological Archives A017-035-A2).
APPENDIX C
Parameter estimates from the general linear model using all main effects to explain the end of the supplemental feeding season
(Ecological Archives A017-035-A3).
APPENDIX D
A photo of the elk feeding ground at Soda Lake in northwestern Wyoming, USA (Ecological Archives A017-035-A4).