Visioning

Community Psychology (CP) is a relatively young and marginalized discipline in Canada, with only four graduate programs, concentrated in two provinces–Ontario and Que ́bec. Recognising the need to develop cohesion and an identity as a field, several senior Canadian community psychologists proposed hosting a biennial conference, which began in 2002 at the University of Ottawa. Starting in 2006, the conference became a forum for CP faculty, students, and community partners to collaboratively develop a vision for the future of CP in Canada. Diverse teams of conference participants were engaged in facilitated discussions, culminating in a plenary session in which delegates shared their perspectives with the larger group. Eight themes emerged from the visioning exercises in 2006, which lead to the development of special interest groups in the following areas: developing a sense of identity; clarifying and defining the field of CP; raising the profile of CP in Canada; promoting a CP education across Canada; enhancing recognition, credibility, and accreditation; establishing links within the field of psychology; building interdisciplinary bridges; international and diverse perspectives; and promoting healthy communities through grassroots social action.

Résumé

Tant au niveau planétaire qu’en Suisse, le Mouvement évangélique intrigue par sa croissance rapide. Selon Fath (chiffre de 2020), plus d’un chrétien sur quatre est protestant évangélique, ce qui représente environ 660 millions de personnes sur 2.5 milliards de chrétiens dans le monde. Cependant, la sécularisation, les approches alternatives, le non-conformisme, les dérives sectaires et le prosélytisme sont des causes de la diminution du rapport de la population suisse à la religion chrétienne.

Ce travail est basé sur l’hypothèse qu’une démarche prospective d’accompagnement permettrait aux églises évangéliques de Suisse romande de vivre des transformations managériales, au niveau de leur gouvernance, sans entacher leur raison d’être. La dimension prospective permettrait de redynamiser les églises évangéliques en améliorant leur image auprès de la société romande. Cette étude permettrait par ailleurs de mieux cerner les difficultés de notre siècle en matière de gouvernance et d’aider les églises évangéliques, par l’autonomie de leur forme de gouvernance congrégationaliste, à mieux s’y inscrire afin de répondre aux besoins sociétaux de demain.

Étant donné que chaque église évangélique possède sa propre raison d’être, il est plus approprié d’en choisir une comme modèle de base, qui serait d’accord de se remettre en question, en faisant preuve de résilience. Intéressée par cette démarche, l’Église Évangélique de Lonay (EEL) s’est portée volontaire pour ce sujet d’étude.

La méthodologie se basera sur une étude rétrospective-prospective, non expérimentale et de type transversal, car elle permet la reproductibilité de la démarche d’accompagnement avec fiabilité pour d’autres églises évangéliques. Le travail sera composé de 3 étapes :

• Étape 1 : analyse des besoins sociétaux de demain (en matière de gouvernance), à travers plusieurs cadres théoriques (la Spirale Dynamique de Clare W. Graves, les niveaux logiques de Robert Dilts et les quatre styles de leadership de Petit et Delanghe)

• Étape 2 : analyse de la gouvernance de l’EEL (pratiques et valeurs actuelles), à travers plusieurs outils (une enquête sous forme de questionnaire en ligne, la combinaison de la priorisation et de la charte des valeurs, ainsi que les profils Leonardo 3.4.5)

• Étape 3 : analyse des écarts (évaluation de la capacité au changement de l’EEL), à travers l’alignement spiral, celui des niveaux logiques et celui du style de leadership de la gouvernance de l’EEL avec les besoins sociétaux de demain

Un management plus agile de la gouvernance de l’EEL a pu être obtenu par la création d’une charte des valeurs, qui permet de donner une cohérence aux valeurs et un équilibre à l’EEL, car ces valeurs servent à guider, à orienter et à gouverner. De plus, les quatre principes d’une organisation apprenante permettent à la gouvernance de l’EEL d’être plus en phase avec son écosystème par l’intermédiaire d’une auto-organisation.

Finalement, l’approche « Visioning » a permis de synthétiser ce travail de master et d’évaluer la capacité au changement de l’EEL, tout en amenant un aspect dynamique stimulant le progrès. Les axes de développement pour le leadership stratégique ont permis de trouver des trajectoires possibles et souhaitables, à travers les recommandations écloses, qui permettront l’amélioration sur le long terme de l’efficacité de la gouvernance de l’EEL. Ainsi, les transformations managériales proposées à l’EEL, permettront à leur gouvernance de s’adapter aux besoins sociétaux de demain, tout en préservant leur raison d’être.

This magazine is intended to provide a comprehensive insight into the Creative Collections project. The project was funded from February 2018 to December 2020 in two phases of the program "Digitale Wege ins Museum" of the Ministerium für Wissenschaft, Forschung und Kunst Baden-Württemberg. After delays due to the pandemic, the project came to a close at the end of June 2021 with the publication of Ping! The Museum App. Building on the new museum concept of the Badisches Landesmuseum, the project aimed to actively involve citizens in the digital reorientation of the museum. The aim of the magazine is to bring together the contexts, results and backgrounds of the projekt and to provide an insight into the resulting perspectives, projects and positions.

This is a working paper from the exploratory phase of Visions and Pathways 2040 project. The paper presents a scan of futures inquiry trends, an outline of recent advances in relevant theory, and critically reviews similar ‘transition’-focused and related projects in Europe and the United States.

Co-authored with Stephen McGrail

This paper describes a futures method called the "Three Horizons " which enables different futures and strategic methods to be integrated as and when appropriate. The method is still in development. It differs significantly from the original version described in the management literature a decade ago. The approach has several strengths. It can relate drivers and trends-based futures analysis to emerging issues. It enables policy or strategy implications of futures to be identified. And it links futures work to processes of change. The paper connects this latter aspect to models of change developed within the 'social shaping ' school of technology. Finally, it summarises a number of futures applications where this evolving technique has been used.

Directors, boards and business leaders face the challenge of pressure to recover from a widespread and deep recession caused by the impact of COVID-19 and Government and public responses to it without reverting to previous practices that damage the environment, reduce biodiversity and contribute to climate change, and a historic window of opportunity to seize the moment and review, re-purpose, re-boot and transition to more environment friendly, inclusive, responsible and sustainable policies, practices and development models. Board leadership and programme management have vital roles to play in creating the ‘new normal’ that emerges from the current situation and ensuring future changes and initiatives address inclusion and environmental concerns and longer-term challenges such as climate change. Key skills for directors and corporate leaders include: listening, visioning and communication; identifying relevant sources of objective advice; stakeholder consultation, engagement and involvement; understanding evolving stakeholder aspirations, preferences and priorities; and knowing what questions to ask in relation to: climate change; issue monitoring and management; water and energy security issues; pollution prevention and waste management; the circular economy; collaboration and responding to environmental challenges and opportunities.

Academic examinations of visioning, the active imagination of possible futures, have been largely overlooked in tourism studies. While a significant tradition of research on visioning exists outside tourism, particularly within urban planning, there is a lack of knowledge on host community visioning processes in island tourism destinations and potential positive outcomes of such processes. This paper explores possible futures envisioned by residents of the Indonesian island of Bali, as well as the transformative potential of such processes. Writing templates were embraced as an appropriate mode of qualitative inquiry, through which 202 Balinese residents assessed the current state of their island and envisioned possible futures for it. Through a detailed thematic analysis of templates, visions of better transportation, education and health systems emerged. It is argued that such visions should inform efforts to address sustainability challenges when fed back to the community through wider political dialogue. Results of the study have therefore informed the development of Bali's practical tourism strategy framework, especially Bali's 2050 roadmap for sustainable tourism development. Although the current state of tourism was perceived in a more positive than negative way, respondents nonetheless imagined change for future tourism on the island. Due to soaring visitor numbers, the long-term sustainability of Bali as an important island destination depends on changes which the visions presented here may help effect.

Mitte September 2011 besetzten ein paar Hundert Demonstranten unter dem Slogan „Occupy Wall Street!“ den Zuccotti Park in Lower Manhattan und benannten ihn in „Liberty Square“ um. Damit war der Startschuss für die sogenannte Occupy-Bewegung gefallen, welche zu einem bestimmenden Thema öffentlicher Debatten im letzten Drittel des Jahres 2011 werden sollte. Oliver Lerone Schultz traf am 17. Oktober 2011 am Rande der – mittlerweile geräumten – Occupy-Wallstreet-Besetzung in New York City den Theoretiker und Aktivisten Max Haiven vom Edufactory-Kollektiv, um sich mit ihm über die Geschichte, Bedeutung und Perspektiven der Bewegung zu unterhalten.

The process of Vikalp Sangam (Alternatives Confluence) involves visioning of an ideal built on grounded initiatives, spanning the full range of alternative approaches to justice, equity, and sustainability. The focus is on India, but the lessons and visions emerging are relevant globally. It attempts to document, network, and create collaborations amongst movements and groups involved in such alternatives.

The formulation of policies requires the selection and configuration of effective and acceptable courses of action to reach explicit goals. A one-size-fits-all policy is unlikely to achieve the desired goals; as a result, the identification of a suite of alternative policies, together with clear indications of their trade-offs, is crucial to accommodate the diversity of stakeholders’ preferences. At present, the formulation of transport policies is done manually; this fact, together with the size of the space of possible policies, results in a large part of that space being left unexplored. A six-step framework to explore the space of alternative transport policies in order to achieve environmental targets is proposed. The process starts with a user-defined set of specific policy measures, using them as building blocks in the generation of alternative policy packages, clusters and future images according to the user's preferences and goals.The analysis framework is based on the visioning and backcasting approach used in the VIBAT report [Banister, D., & Hickman, R. (2006a). Visioning and backcasting for UK transport policy (VIBAT) project. Department for Transport's Horizons Research Programme 2004/06. The Bartlett school of planning and Halcrow Group Ltd. Retrieved 1/18/2008 http://www.ucl.ac.uk/∼ucft696/vibat2.html]. The framework is being implemented as a prototype decision support system around a case study: the formulation and analysis of policies required to achieve CO2 emission targets for the transport sector in the UK. Important insights on how to develop the framework have also been elicited from engineering design. The goal is to accelerate the task of policy-making and improve the effectiveness of the resulting policies.The proposed method and computer implementation is fundamentally different from the tools commonly used in the transport sector and is intended to assist (not replace) transport policy makers, and complement (not substitute nor compete with) existing mathematical modelling tools. This research constitutes the first step towards the development of a general family of computer-based systems that support the design of policies to achieve environmental targets—not only for transport, but also for other sectors such as energy and water.

Throughout the United States, urban food systems are in suboptimal states that are not operating efficiently or equitably and thus do not support food security for all. Creating transformation to a more sustainable and desirable state first requires acknowledging the different values of diverse groups within a city. Then these diverse values can be used to explore pluralistic pathways to futures that maximize benefits for multiple stakeholders. We demonstrate how integrating visioning and Q-methodology can achieve an inclusive understanding of values as priorities for such a food system. Applied in Flint, Michigan, a postindustrial Rust Belt city, this approach can shape the planning process for cities experiencing food insecurity. Qualitative analysis of data from a visioning workshop resulted in sixteen values as priorities for a sustainable and desirable food system. Values as priorities were then ranked in a Q-sort activity, from which three unique groups of ranking patterns emerged, each of which can be interpreted as a vision for a better future. The three visions were a food system with healthy foods that residents are willing to travel for; a food system with convenient, fresh food options for those who cannot travel; and a food system that maintains the community's food traditions. Our novel mixed methods approach empowers communities by giving them a voice in the planning process but also allows decision makers to create transformation pathways that more accurately reflect the needs of the various subsets of community members who hold diverse visions and priorities.

The paper reports on a comparative study of three different cases on vision and strategy development for climate change adaptation planning in (i) The South African Breede–Overberg Catchment, (ii) The Mississippi Estuary-New Orleans region and (iii) The Dutch Rhine-Meuse Estuary. The objective of the paper is twofold: to develop a better understanding of such processes and to further develop the Backcasting-Adaptive Management (BCAM) methodology. A framework for case evaluation is developed using six dimensions: (i) inputs and resources, (ii) future vision, (iii) stakeholder engagement, (iv) methodological aspects, (v) pathway development and (vi) impact. Major conclusions based on a cross-case comparison and testing propositions are (i) participatory vision development is a strong tool for climate change adaptation planning in different governance contexts and shows considerable diversity in its application in these contexts; (ii) a single, shared future vision is not a prerequisite for vision and pathway development and endorsement; (iii) broad stakeholder engagement enriches strategy development, but the involvement of marginal groups requires additional efforts and capacity building; (iv) multiple pathways and robust elements are useful but require novel expertise; and (v) more institutional embeddedness and support for participatory processes lead to better implementation of the outcomes of these processes.

How does the reflexive knowledge we develop about institutions and environments influence the expectations we might have about the future? The paper addresses this question in the context of Foresight in local governance. It describes a project aiming at creating visions for a Norwegian municipality by inviting schoolchildren to contribute with their ideas of the future. The focus is on how the interactions between project owners and participants produced certain forms of resistance and led to visions best described as idealistic conformism. Introducing the idea of ‘reflexive futures’, I suggest that that a broader understanding of reflexivity as containing both enabling and constraining features can help to unlock certain paradoxes of current Foresight and provide a renewed inquiry into the practise of visioning for strategy and long-term planning.

Scenarios are powerful tools for stimulating creative thinking about the future. Scenarios are especially valuable for planning and decision-making in complex and uncertain circumstances. This paper presents how Scenarios and Visioning are useful tools for environmental education, in particularly for changing environments (social and biophysical). We first outline the Scenarios methodology. We then present lessons learnt from applying Scenarios to environmental education with children and youth in Peru. We conclude with an analysis of the benefits and challenges of using scenarios for environmental education to accomplish environmental awareness objectives.

Vom 9. bis zum 11. Juni fand zum fünften mal das Junge Forum für Bildwissenschaften der interdisziplinären Arbeitsgruppe »Bildkulturen« an der Berlin-Brandenburgischen Akademie der Wissenschaften statt. Die Tagung, zu der 14 NachwuchswissenschaftlerInnen beitrugen, stellte die Frage ...

Although we are surrounded by dystopian stories about the age of the Anthropocene, the future does not have to be bleak. Seeds of alternative good futures occur in many places around the world and we can use these to help us think more creatively about pathways to more desirable futures in the Anthropocene. This paper describes the Seeds of Good Anthropocenes (SOGA) project that aims to identify where elements of Good Anthropocenes (‘seeds’) currently exist on the planet and how they can be used to help us envision pathways towards new, positive futures for the Earth and humanity. Each of the seeds is a potential solution that could help to shift us onto a more sustainable trajectory that will ensure both planetary and human wellbeing. The project has developed and combined novel visioning tools that engage a broad set of stakeholders in identifying potentially game-changing seed initiatives, and exploring how these could develop and combine to create radically alternative futures. ...

Although we are surrounded by dystopian stories about the age of the Anthropocene, the future does not have to be bleak. Seeds of alternative good futures occur in many places around the world and we can use these to help us think more creatively about pathways to more desirable futures in the Anthropocene. This paper describes the Seeds of Good Anthropocenes (SOGA) project that aims to identify where elements of Good Anthropocenes (‘seeds’) currently exist on the planet and how they can be used to help us envision pathways towards new, positive futures for the Earth and humanity. Each of the seeds is a potential solution that could help to shift us onto a more sustainable trajectory that will ensure both planetary and human wellbeing. The project has developed and combined novel visioning tools that engage a broad set of stakeholders in identifying potentially game-changing seed initiatives, and exploring how these could develop and combine to create radically alternative futures. ...

Scenarios are powerful tools for stimulating creative thinking about the future. Scenarios are especially valuable for planning and decision-making in complex and uncertain circumstances. This paper presents how Scenarios and Visioning are useful tools for environmental education, in particularly for changing environments (social and biophysical). We first outline the Scenarios methodology. We then present lessons learnt from applying Scenarios to environmental education with children and youth in Peru. We ...

Seit Mitte November stehen am Tahrir-Platz in Ägyptens Hauptstadt Kairo wieder Zelte. Die Demonstrationen, die nach dem Rücktritt von Präsident Mubarak im Februar 2011 kurzzeitig abgeklungen waren, gewannen im Vorfeld der Parlamentswahlen wieder an Dynamik. Der in Kairo und Paris lebende Aalam Wassef hat die Ereignisse in Ägypten aus nächster Nähe beobachtet und auf seinem Blog kommentiert. Oliver Lerone Schultz traf den Medienkünstier und Betreiber der Plattform Peerevaluation.org Mitte November 2011 im Post-Media Lab in Lüneburg zum Interview.

Scenarios are powerful tools for stimulating creative thinking about the future. Scenarios are especially valuable for planning and decision-making in complex and uncertain circumstances. This paper presents how Scenarios and Visioning are useful tools for environmental education, in particularly for changing environments (social and biophysical). We first outline the Scenarios methodology. We then present lessons learnt from applying Scenarios to environmental education with children and youth in Peru. We ...

An overview of current issues and questions for directors and boards in relation to governance and sustainability. Explores the consequences, implications and relevance of contemporary approaches and possible future scenarios. Published in a book of papers to coincide with the 16th London Global Convention on Governance and Sustainability as: Coulson-Thomas, Colin (2016), Governance, Sustainability and Contemporary Boards, in Ahluwalia J. S. (Editor), Boards Evolving Role in an uncertain Global Economy, London, IOD Publishing, 15th October, pp 54-65 [ISBN: 978-81-932503-9-6]

Motivations:
- Explore academic concepts of community, visioning and universities' roles and responsibilities.
- Develop a conceptual understanding of the St Andrews "community".
- Identify how Transition: University of St Andrews (www.transitionsta.org) can more effectively initiate practical sustainability action in collaboration with the wider community.
Aims:
- Explore perceptions of the St Andrews community.
- Identify visions for the future for the community of St Andrews.
- Determine how the University is perceived to influence and relate to the community of St Andrews

A strategic visioning slide presentation made at a comprehensive regional university. The powerpoint includes positioning statement, strategic goals, major initiatives, current/transitional/desired states, key themes points of inquiry, establishing identity, and the critical dimensions of focus.

This contribution contains an analysis of the relationship between theory and practice in architecture, started from the particular similarity between scientific and design research and intended to nurture the debate around the possible evolution of the disciplinary tools of Architectural Technology. The contents are organized as follows: In the first section, there are investigated the affinities that supported the constitution of the methodological and instrumental apparatus of the technological culture of design. The second part is introducing the relationship between technological culture of design and post-normal sciences as a possible answer to the particular conditions of complexity and uncertainty of the moment. The third section is emphasizing the analogy between the instrumentations of several research areas that operate between environmental sustainability, futures studies and technological and environmental design as a starting point for further operational insights.

Scenarios are powerful tools for stimulating creative thinking about the future. Scenarios are especially valuable for planning and decision-making in complex and uncertain circumstances. This paper presents how Scenarios and Visioning are useful tools for environmental education, in particularly for changing environments (social and biophysical). We first outline the Scenarios methodology. We then present lessons learnt from applying Scenarios to environmental education with children and youth in Peru. We conclude with an analysis of the benefits and challenges of using scenarios for environmental education to accomplish environmental awareness objectives.