Arabica coffee futures continued to advance, surpassing $2.90 per tonne, the strongest level since July 2, following President Trump’s threat to impose a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports. The move stoked concerns about coffee supply disruptions and possible retaliation from the world’s top coffee producer. Brazil accounted for 22% of US coffee imports in 2024. Nonetheless, the market is supported by expectations for a larger crop later this year, as Brazil’s coffee harvest progresses swiftly. According to the latest survey from Safras & Mercado, Brazil’s 2025/26 coffee harvest reached 69% of the planted area as of July 9, up 9 percentage points from the previous week. This pace surpasses both last year’s 66% and the five-year average of 62%, with 88% of robusta and 58% of arabica areas harvested - both rates are higher than usual for this stage of the season.
Coffee rose to 298.41 USd/Lbs on July 14, 2025, up 3.40% from the previous day. Over the past month, Coffee's price has fallen 13.51%, but it is still 23.60% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Historically, Coffee reached an all time high of 440.85 in February of 2025. Coffee - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on July 14 of 2025.
Coffee rose to 298.41 USd/Lbs on July 14, 2025, up 3.40% from the previous day. Over the past month, Coffee's price has fallen 13.51%, but it is still 23.60% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Coffee is expected to trade at 297.29 USd/Lbs by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 324.57 in 12 months time.