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Boom goes the price: Giant resource discoveries and real exchange rate appreciation. (2016). Toews, Gerhard ; Stefanski, Radoslaw ; Harding, Torfinn.
In: CDMA Working Paper Series.
RePEc:san:cdmawp:1604.

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Cited: 37

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  1. The Dutch disease revisited: consistency of theory and evidence. (2024). Reisinezhad, Arsham.
    In: Environmental & Resource Economics.
    RePEc:kap:enreec:v:87:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1007_s10640-023-00827-w.

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  2. Adjusting toward long-run purchasing power parity. (2024). Ong, Kian.
    In: Journal of International Money and Finance.
    RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:149:y:2024:i:c:s0261560624001918.

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  3. The Silicon Valley Syndrome. (2023). Sorenson, Olav ; Kwon, Doris.
    In: Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice.
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  4. Public governance versus corporate governance: Evidence from oil drilling in forests. (2023). Rivera-Ballesteros, Alexis ; Krings, Hanna ; Harding, Torfinn ; Cust, James.
    In: Journal of Development Economics.
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  5. The Relationship between Oil Prices and Exchange Rate: A Systematic Literature Review. (2023). Khan, Uzma ; Naushad, Mohammad ; Ahmed, Haseen ; Siddiqui, Taufeeque Ahmad.
    In: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy.
    RePEc:eco:journ2:2023-03-63.

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  6. Natural resources and income inequality in developed countries: synthetic control method evidence. (2022). Popova, Olga ; Horvath, Roman ; Hartwell, Christopher ; Horvathova, Eva.
    In: Empirical Economics.
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  7. The Long-Term Health Effects of Oil Discoveries: Evidence from China. (2022). Zhang, Yan ; Raveh, Ohad.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:114059.

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  8. 40 Years of Dutch Disease Literature: Lessons for Developing Countries. (2022). Goujon, Michael ; Mien, Edouard.
    In: Comparative Economic Studies.
    RePEc:pal:compes:v:64:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1057_s41294-021-00177-w.

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  9. .

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  10. .

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  11. Oil discoveries and protectionism: role of news effects. (2021). van der Ploeg, Frederick (Rick) ; Raveh, Ohad ; Sebastian-Perez, Fidel ; VAN DERPLOEG, RICK .
    In: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:tin:wpaper:20210047.

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  12. Resource curse - Wikipedia. (2021). Nguyen, Minh-Hoang.
    In: OSF Preprints.
    RePEc:osf:osfxxx:36uyb.

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  13. 40 Years of Dutch Disease Literature: Lessons for Developing Countries. (2021). goujon, michael ; Mien, Edouard.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03256078.

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  14. How giant discoveries of natural resources impact sovereign debt ratings in developing and emerging countries ?. (2021). Seri, Regina.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03144330.

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  15. 40 Years of Dutch Disease Literature: Lessons for Developing Countries. (2021). Mien, Edouard ; Goujon, Michael.
    In: Post-Print.
    RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03456562.

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  16. Oil discoveries and protectionism: Role of news effects. (2021). van der Ploeg, Frederick (Rick) ; Perez Sebastian, Fidel ; Raveh, Ohad ; Perez-Sebastian, Fidel.
    In: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management.
    RePEc:eee:jeeman:v:107:y:2021:i:c:s0095069621000085.

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  17. Restoring Russia’s resource-dependent economy: From the Dutch Disease towards economic growth. (2020). Savelyeva, Irina N ; Yurchenko, Konstantin P.
    In: Journal of New Economy.
    RePEc:url:izvest:v:21:y:2020:i:3:p:28-47.

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  18. The Long Road to First Oil. (2020). Mihalyi, David.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:103725.

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  19. Carbon curse in developed countries. (2020). Fodha, Mouez ; Chiroleu-Assouline, Mireille ; Kirat, Yassine.
    In: PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint).
    RePEc:hal:pseptp:halshs-02902393.

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  20. Carbon curse in developed countries. (2020). Fodha, Mouez ; Chiroleu-Assouline, Mireille ; Kirat, Yassine.
    In: Post-Print.
    RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-02902393.

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  21. Carbon Curse in Developed Countries. (2020). Fodha, Mouez ; Chiroleu-Assouline, Mireille ; Kirat, Yassine .
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fae:wpaper:2020.17.

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  22. Carbon curse in developed countries. (2020). Fodha, Mouez ; Chiroleu-Assouline, Mireille ; Kirat, Yassine.
    In: Energy Economics.
    RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:90:y:2020:i:c:s0140988320301699.

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  23. Pushing Ones Luck: Petroleum ownership and discoveries. (2019). Poelhekke, Steven ; Brunnschweiler, Christa.
    In: University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:uea:ueaeco:2019_01.

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  24. Oil Discoveries and Protectionism. (2019). van der Ploeg, Frederick (Rick) ; Raveh, Ohad ; VAN DERPLOEG, RICK ; Perez-Sebastian, Fidel.
    In: Economics Series Working Papers.
    RePEc:oxf:wpaper:895.

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  25. Macro policy responses to natural resource windfalls and the crash in commodity prices. (2019). van der Ploeg, Frederick (Rick).
    In: Journal of International Money and Finance.
    RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:96:y:2019:i:c:p:263-282.

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  26. How do oil producers respond to giant oil field discoveries?. (2019). Güntner, Jochen.
    In: Energy Economics.
    RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:80:y:2019:i:c:p:59-74.

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  27. The Dutch disease revisited: absorption constraint and learning by doing. (2018). Iacono, Roberto.
    In: Portuguese Economic Journal.
    RePEc:spr:portec:v:17:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s10258-017-0137-x.

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  28. Evidence for a Presource Curse? Oil discoveries, Elevated Expectations, and Growth Disappointments. (2017). Cust, James ; Mihalyi, David .
    In: OxCarre Working Papers.
    RePEc:oxf:oxcrwp:193.

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  29. Dutch Disease Resistance: Evidence from Indonesian Firms. (2017). Vézina, Pierre-Louis ; Harding, Torfinn ; Cust, James ; Vezina, Pierre-Louis.
    In: OxCarre Working Papers.
    RePEc:oxf:oxcrwp:192.

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  30. How do oil producers respond to giant oil field discoveries?. (2017). Güntner, Jochen ; Guntner, Jochen.
    In: Economics working papers.
    RePEc:jku:econwp:2017_04.

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  31. Macro policy responses to natural resource windfalls and the crash in commodity prices. (2017). van der Ploeg, Frederick (Rick).
    In: BIS Working Papers.
    RePEc:bis:biswps:616.

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  32. , by Victor Menaldo. (2016). Gruben, William.
    In: The International Trade Journal.
    RePEc:taf:uitjxx:v:30:y:2016:i:5:p:486-488.

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  33. Macro Policy Responses to Natural Resource Windfalls and the Crash in Commodity Prices. (2016). van der Ploeg, Frederick (Rick) ; VAN DERPLOEG, RICK .
    In: OxCarre Working Papers.
    RePEc:oxf:oxcrwp:178.

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  34. Macro Policy Responses to Natural Resource Windfalls and the Crash in Commodity Prices. (2016). van der Ploeg, Frederick (Rick).
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:11520.

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References

References cited by this document

  1. φ 0.08 Elasticity of risk premium, van der Ploeg and Venables (2011) τt 0 Assumption γ 0.135 Average employment share in traded sector, 1970-2010. a 0.33 NPV of resource discovery is 100% of time zero GDP.
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  2. Allcott, Hunt and Daniel Keniston. 2014. Dutch disease or agglomeration? The local economic effects of natural resource booms in modern America. Technical report National Bureau of Economic Research.

  3. Arezki, Rabah, Valerie A Ramey and Liugang Sheng. 2015. News Shocks in Open Economies: Evidence from Giant Oil Discoveries. Technical report National Bureau of Economic Research.

  4. Asea, Patrick. K. and W. Max Corden. 1994. “The Balassa-Samuelson Model: an Overview*.” Review of International Economics 2(3):191–200.

  5. b0 = b̄ −1.42 Average consolidated Public Sector Debt to GDP ratio in US, 1970-2010 β 0.97 Average real interest rate in the US, 1970-2010.
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  6. Betts, C. M. and M. B. Devereux. 2000. “Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Model of Pricing-toMarket. ” Journal of International Economics 50:215–44.
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  7. Betts, Caroline M. and Timothy J. Kehoe. 2006. “U.S. Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Relative Price Fluctuations.” Journal of Monetary Economics 53(7):12971326.

  8. Betts, Caroline M. and Timothy J. Kehoe. 2008. “Real Exchange Rate Movements and the Relative Price of Non-traded Goods.” NBER Working Paper (14437).

  9. Brunnschweiler, Christa N and Erwin H Bulte. 2008. “The resource curse revisited and revised: A tale of paradoxes and red herrings.” Journal of environmental economics and management 55(3):248–264.

  10. Cashin, Paul, Luis F. Cspedes and Ratna Sahay. 2004. “Commodity currencies and the real exchange rate.” Journal of Development Economics 75(1):239 – 268.
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  11. Cassel, G. 1918. “Abnormal deviations in international exchanges.” Economic Journal 28.
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  15. Engel, Charles. 1999. “Accounting for US Real Exchange Rate Changes.” Journal of Political Economy 107(3). Harding, Torfinn and Anthony Venables. Forthcoming. “The Implications of Natural Resource Exports for Nonresource Trade.” IMF Economic Review .
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  16. gN − 1 0.009 Annualized average growth rate of HP-smooothed non-traded sector productivity in US, 1970-2010. 1 − α 0.67 Labor share in each sector.
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  17. gT − 1 0.03 Annualized average growth rate of HP-smooothed traded sector productivity in US, 1970-2010.
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  18. Horn, Mike Myron K. 2011. “Giant Oil and Gas Fields of the World.” http://www.datapages.
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  19. Hsiang, Solomon M and Amir S Jina. 2014. The causal effect of environmental catastrophe on long-run economic growth: Evidence from 6,700 cyclones. Technical report National Bureau of Economic Research.

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  21. Ismail, Kareem. 2010. The Structural Manifestation of the Dutch Disease’; The Case of Oil Exporting Countries. IMF Working Papers 10/103 International Monetary Fund.

  22. Kavanagh, Michael. 2013. “Abandoned oil discoveries enjoy revival.” www.ft.com/cms/s/0/ 2b41056a-a054-11e2-88b6-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2QGnIAn48. Accessed: 2013-04-10.
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  23. Kuralbayeva, Karlygash and Radoslaw Stefanski. 2013. “Windfalls, Structural Transformation and Specialization.” Journal of International Economics 90:273–301.

  24. Neary, Peter. 1988. “Determinants of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate.” American Economic Review 78(1):210–15.
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  25. Officer, Lawrence H. 2016. “What Was the Interest Rate Then?” MeasuringWorth.
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  26. Parameter Values Target AT 0 ,AN 0 1 Normalization As t As t = (gs)t−1970 Constant, exogenous sectoral productivity growth in sector s = T, N.
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  27. Pigou, A. 1923. “The foreign exchanges.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 37:52–74.
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  28. Rogoff, Kenneth. 1996. “The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle.” Journal of Economic Literature 34(2):647–668.
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  30. Sectoral price indices We calculate a sector specific price index for the US between 1970 and 2010 as: ps,t = V As,t/V As,t for T. (24) Sectoral employment We obtain sectoral and total employment data for the US between 1970 and 2010 from (Timmer, de Vries and de Vries, 2014). Total employment is taken as the non-mining, non-utilities employment in the US. Denote this by Lt. Traded sector employment is taken to be as employment in the manufacturing sector. Denote this by LT,t. Non-traded sector employment consists of total employment, less employment in mining, utilities and manufacturing. Denote this by LNT,t.
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  31. Sectoral value added per worker and growth Constant price sectoral value added per worker for the US between 1970 and 2010 is calculated as: vas,t ≡ V As,t Ls,t for s = NT, T. (25) The above sequences are then smoothed using a Hodrick-Prescott filter with smoothing parameter 100. Denote the smoothed sequences byt f vas,t. The annualized sectoral growth rates are calculated as: gs ≡ f vas,2010 f vas,1970 1 − 1. (26) US Real Interest Rate The real interest rate is calculated by subtracting the average growth rate of nominal traded good prices, pT,t, between 1970 and 2010 (approximately 2.7% per year) from the average annual nominal interest rate during the period (approximately 8.2% per year).
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  32. Sectoral value added We obtain one digit ISIC v.3 sectoral value-added data for the US between 1970 and 2010 from the UN (2014), both in 2005 constant US dollars and in current year US dollars. Denote by V As,t the constant (2005) price value added in sector s = N, T, at time t and by V As,t the corresponding value added in current period prices.
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  33. The interest rate data is obtained from (Officer, 2016). Thus, the implicit real interest rate is approximately R∗ = 8.2% − 2.7% ≈ 6%.
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  34. Timmer, M.P., G.J. de Vries and K. de Vries. 2014. “Patterns of Structural Change in Developing Countries.” GGDC research memorandum 149 .
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  36. UN. 2014. National Accounts Statistics database.
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  37. van der Ploeg, Frederick and Anthony J. Venables. 2011. “Harnessing Windfall Revenues: Optimal Policies for Resource-Rich Developing Economies.” The Economic Journal 121(551):1– 30.

  38. van der Ploeg, Frederick and Anthony J. Venables. 2013. “Absorbing a windfall of foreign exchange: Dutch disease dynamics.” Journal of Development Economics 103:229–243.

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  34. Tourism and Economic Development: Evidence from Mexicos Coastline. (2016). Faber, Benjamin ; Gaubert, Cecile.
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  35. Winning the Oil Lottery; The Impact of Natural Resource Extraction on Growth. (2016). Toscani, Frederik ; Da Mata, Daniel ; Cavalcanti, Tiago.
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  36. Commodity prices and fiscal policy design: Procyclical despite a rule. (2016). Thorsrud, Leif ; Bjørnland, Hilde.
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  37. African Mining, Gender, and Local Employment. (2016). Tolonen, Anja ; Kotsadam, Andreas.
    In: World Development.
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  38. Labor market impacts of U.S. tight oil development: The case of the Bakken. (2016). Miljkovic, Dragan ; Ripplinger, David.
    In: Energy Economics.
    RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:60:y:2016:i:c:p:306-312.

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  39. Can Black Gold Shine? The Effect of Oil Prices on Nighttime Light in Brazil. (2016). Klemp, Marc ; Gradstein, Mark.
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  40. Mining Matters: Natural Resource Extraction and Local Business Constraints. (2016). Poelhekke, Steven ; De Haas, Ralph.
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  41. The Impact of the Shale Oil Revolution on U.S. Oil and Gasoline Prices. (2016). Kilian, Lutz.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
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  42. Economics of modern energy boomtowns: do oil and gas shocks differ from shocks in the rest of the economy?. (2015). Tsvetkova, Alexandra ; Partridge, Mark.
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  43. The Impact of Windfalls: Firm selection, trade and welfare. (2015). Vermeulen, Wessel ; Oystenstad, Gry .
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  44. Geographic Dispersion of Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Fracking Revolution. (2015). Sacerdote, Bruce ; Mansur, Erin ; Feyrer, James.
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  45. The Economics of Shale Gas Development. (2015). Mason, Charles ; Olmstead, Sheila M. ; Muehlenbachs, Lucija A..
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    RePEc:fem:femwpa:2015.17.

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  46. Commodity prices and fiscal policy design: Procyclical despite a rule. (2015). Thorsrud, Leif ; Bjørnland, Hilde.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bny:wpaper:0033.

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  47. The impact of the shale oil revolution on U.S. oil and gasoline prices. (2014). Kilian, Lutz.
    In: CFS Working Paper Series.
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  48. Unconventional Gas and Oil Development in the United States: Economic Experience and Policy Issues. (2014). Partridge, Mark ; White, Nancy ; Kelsey, Timothy .
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  49. The Local Economic Impacts of Hydraulic Fracturing and Determinants of Dutch Disease. (2014). Mastromonaco, Ralph ; Maniloff, Peter.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:mns:wpaper:wp201408.

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  50. The Impact of the Shale Oil Revolution on U.S. Oil and Gasoline Prices. (2014). Kilian, Lutz.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:10304.

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