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International Financial Integration and Crisis Intensity. (2012). Rose, Andrew.
In: ADBI Working Papers.
RePEc:ris:adbiwp:0341.

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  1. Monetary policy shocks and resource misallocations in the Periphery: Evidence from Chinese provincial bond yields. (2023). Tsang, Andrew ; Dekle, Robert.
    In: Journal of International Money and Finance.
    RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:137:y:2023:i:c:s026156062300092x.

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References

References cited by this document

  1. Aigner, D. J., C. Hsiao, A. Kapetyn, and T. Wansbreek. 2004. Latent Variable Models in Econometrics. In Handbook of Econometrics II, Edited by Z. Griliches and M.D. Intriligator. Elsevier Science: Amsterdam.

  2. Berg, A., E. Borensztein, and C. Patillo. 2004. Assessing Early Warning Systems: How Have They Worked in Practice? IMF Working Paper No. WP/04/52, March.

  3. Blanchard, O., H. Faruqee, and M. Das. 2010. The Initial Impact of the Crisis on Emerging Market Countries. Unpublished.

  4. Eichengreen, B. 2011. Exorbitant Privilege. Oxford University Press: New York.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  5. Gertler, P. J. 1988. A Latent Variable Model of Quality Determination. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 6: 97â107.

  6. Giannone, D., M. Lenza, and L.Reichlin. 2010. Market Freedom and the Global Recession. Forthcoming IMF Economic Review.

  7. Goldberger, A. S. 1972 Structural Equation Methods in the Social Sciences. Econometrica 40: 979â1001.

  8. I emphasize at the outset that this project has a limited scope. My analysis is cross-sectional in nature, and is focused deliberately on a period of time when we all know that there was a major financial/economic crisis that affected a large number of economies. That is, I make no attempt at all to model the timing of the crisis. I consider the latter to be a challenging objective than mine, which is merely to study the incidence of the 2008 crisis across economies.
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  9. I follow Breusch (2005) in choosing to load first on the stock market because it delivers a better fit in a bivariate regression than our three other crisis indicators. As well as a large number of financial and macroeconomic features, this work extensively tests a variety of measures of international trade linkages; they typically have little effect in explaining crisis incidence across economies.
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  10. Kindleberger, C. P. 1973. The World in Depression. University of California: Berkeley, CA.
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  11. Much of the previous literature on the determinants of financial crises (e.g., Berg et al. 2004) has used discrete characterizations of economies as being in or out of crisis, either in an ad hoc way or based on some objective criteria; this variable as then treated as observed without error. In actuality, the severity of a crisis is like to be a continuous variable, and one that is only observed with error. The MIMIC framework accounts for both measurement error and continuity.
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  12. Park, Y. C., and C. Wyplosz. 2008. Monetary and Financial Integration in East Asia. European Economy, Economic Papers 329.
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  13. Rabe-Hesketh, S., A. Skrondal, and A. Pickles. 2004a. Generalized Multilevel Structural Equation Modeling. Psychometrika 69 (2): 167â190.

  14. Rose, A. K., and M. M. Spiegel. 2009a. Cross-Country Causes and Consequences of the 2008 Crisis: Early Warning. CEPR Discussion Paper No. 7354.

  15. Rose, A. K., and M. M. Spiegel. 2009b. Cross-Country Causes and Consequences of the 2008 Crisis: International Linkages and American Exposure. CEPR Discussion Paper No. 7354.

  16. Rose, A. K., and M. M. Spiegel. 2010. Cross-Country Causes and Consequences of the Crisis: An Update. CEPR Discussion Paper No. 7466.

  17. This means in practice that I ignore measures of bank leverage, real estate and other asset prices, measures of indebtedness, and so forth; the interested reader is referred to Rose and Spiegel (2009a, 2009b, 2010). ADBI Working Paper 341 Rose
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    RePEc:ris:adbiwp:0341.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

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