References contributed by pba71-24433
Acemoglu, D., A. Ozdaglar and A. Tahbaz-Salehi (2015), Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks, American Economic Review, Vol. 105, pp. 564-608.
Aghion, P., G.-M. Angeletos, A. Banerjee and K. Manova (2010), Volatility and Growth: Credit Constraints and the Composition of Investment, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 57/3, pp.246-265.,http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2010.02.005
Ahrend, R. and A. Goujard (2012), International Capital Mobility and Financial Fragility-Part 1. Drivers of Systemic Banking Crises: The Role of Bank-Balance-Sheet Contagion and Financial Account Structure, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 902, OECD Publishing,http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5kg3k8ksgglw-en
Aizenman, J. and Y. Jinjarak (2013), Real Estate Valuation, Current Account and Credit Growth Patterns, Before and After the 2008-9 Crisis, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 19190, http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w19190
Alessi, L. and C. Detken (2011), Quasi real time early warning indicators for costly asset price boom/bust cycles: A role for global liquidity, European Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 27/3, pp. 520-533, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2011.01.003
- André, C. (2010), A Bird's Eye View of OECD Housing Markets,OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 746, OECD Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5kmlh5qvz1s4-en
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Andrews, D., A. Caldera Sánchez and Å. Johansson (2011), Housing Markets and Structural Policies in OECD Countries, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 836, OECD Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5kgk8t2k9vf3-en
Arregui, N., M. Norat, A. Pancorbo, J. Scarlata (2013), Addressing Interconnectedness: Concepts and Prudential Tools, IMF Working Paper, WP/13/199, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2013/wp13199.pdf
Bénétrix, A., P. Lane and J. Shambaugh (2015), International Currency Exposures, Valuation Effects and the Global Financial Crisis, Journal of International Economics, Vol. 96/S1, pp. S98-S109, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2014.11.002.
Babecký, J. et al., (2012), Banking, Debt and Currency Crises: Early Warning Indicators for developed Countries, ECB Working Paper Series, No. 1485. http://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp1485.pdf
Babecký, J., T. Havranek, J. Mateju, M. Rusnak, K. Smidkova, B. Vasicek (2013), Leading Indicators of Crisis Incidence: Evidencefrom Developed Countries, Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 35, pp. 1-19, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.01.001
Baldacci, E. I. Petrova, N. Belhocine, G. Dobrescu and S. Mazraani (2011b), Assessing Fiscal Stress, IMF Working Paper, WP/11/100, https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp11100.pdf
Baldacci, E., J. McHugh and I. Petrova (2011a), Measuring Fiscal Vulnerability and Fiscal Stress: A Proposed Set of Indicators, IMF Working Paper, WP/11/94, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1194.pdf
Barnes, S. (2010), Resolving and Avoiding Unsustainable Imbalances in the Euro Area, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 827, OECD Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5km33sv3jn8s-en
Barrel, R., E. P. Davis, D. Karim and I. Liadze (2010), Bank Regulation, Property Prices and Early Warning Systems for Banking Crises in OECD countries, Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 34/9, pp. 2255-2264, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.02.015
Behn, M., C. Detken, T. Peltonen and W. Schudel (2013), Setting Countercyclical Capital Buffers Based On Early Warning Models: Would it Work?, ECB Working Paper Series, No. 1604, http://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp1604.pdf
Bernanke, B. (2009), Four Questions about the Financial Crisis, Speech at the Morehouse College, Atlanta, Georgia, April 14, 2009, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20090414a.htm
Bernanke, B. and M. Gertler (1989), Agency Costs, Net Worth, and Business Fluctuations, The American Economic Review, Vol. 79, No. 1, pp. 14-31, http://www.jstor.org/stable/1804770
Bertrand, M. and A. Morse (2013), Trickle-Down Consumption, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 18883, http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w18883
- BIS (2012), A Framework for Dealing with Domestic Systemically Important Banks, Bank for International Settlements, http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs233.pdf
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- BIS (2013),Global Systemically Important Banks: Updated Assessment Methodology and Higher Loss Absorbency Requirement, Bank for International Settlements, http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs255.pdf
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Blanchard, O. and G.M. Milesi-Ferretti (2012), (Why) Should Current Account Balances Be Reduced?, IMF Staff Discussion Note, SDN/11/13, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2011/sdn1103.pdf
Blanchard, O. and J. Simon (2001), The Long and Large Decline in U.S. Output Volatility, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 2001/1, pp. 135-164, http://www.jstor.org/stable/1209161
Bloom, N. (2014), Fluctuations in Uncertainty, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 28/2, pp. 153-176, http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.28.2.153
Blundell-Wignall, A. and C. Roulet (2014), Macro-prudential policy, bank systemic risk and capital controls, OECD Journal: Financial Market Trends, Vol. 2013/2, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/fmt-2013-5jzb2rhkhks4
Bolton, P. and O. Jeanne (2011), Sovereign Default Risk and Bank Fragility in Financially Integrated Economies, IMF Economic Review, Vol. 59, pp. 162-194, http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/imfer.2011.5
Borio, C. and Drehmann,M. (2009), Assessing the Risk of Banking Crises –Revisited, BIS Quarterly Review, March 2009, pp. 29-46, http://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt0903e.pdf
- Borio, C. and P. Lowe (2002), Assessing the Risk of Banking Crisis, BIS Quarterly Review, December 2002, pp. 43-52, http://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt0212e.pdf
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Brunnermeier, M. (2009), Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007-2008, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 23/1, pp. 77-100, http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.23.1.77
Cabral, R. (2013),A Perspective on the Symptoms and Causes of the Financial Crisis, Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 37/1, pp. 103-117, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.08.005
- Caldera Sánchez, A., O. Röhn and M. Rasmussen (2015), Economic Resilience: What Role for Policies? OECD Economics Department Working Papers,No. 1251, OECD Publishing.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Catte, P., N. Girouard, R. Price and C. André (2004), Housing Markets, Wealth and the Business Cycle, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 394, OECD Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/534328100627
Cavallo, E. and J. Frankel (2008), Does openness to trade make countries more vulnerable to sudden stops, or less? Using gravity to establish causality, Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 27/8, pp. 1430-1452, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2007.10.004
Cecchetti, S., A. Flores-Lagunes and S. Krause (2006) Assessing the Sources of Changes in the Volatility of Real Growth, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 11946, http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w11946
Cespedes, L.F. and A. Velasco (2012), Macroeconomic Performance During Commodity Price Booms and Busts, IMF Economic Review, Vol. 60, pp. 570-599, http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/imfer.2012.22
Chen, R., G.M. Milesi-Ferretti and T. Tressel (2012), External Imbalances in the Euro Area, IMF Working Paper, WP/12/236, https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2012/wp12236.pdf
Chinn, M. and H. Ito (2008), Global Current Account Imbalances: American Fiscal Policy versus East Asian Savings, Review of International Economics, Vol. 16/3, pp. 479-498, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9396.2008.00741.x
Claessens, S., M. Kose and M. Terrones (2011), Financial cycles: What? How? When?, IMF Working Paper,WP/11/76, https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1176.pdf
Corsetti, G. K.Kuester, A. Meier, G. Mueller(2012), Sovereign Risk, Fiscal Policy, and Macroeconomic Stability, IMF Working Paper, WP/12/33, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2012/wp1233.pdfECO/WKP(2015)6729
- Cottarelli, C. (2011), The Risk Octagon: A Comprehensive Framework For Assessing Sovereign Risks, http://www.imf.org/external/np/fad/news/2011/docs/Cottarelli1.pdf
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Crowe, C. G. Dell'Ariccia, D. Igan and P. Rabanal (2013), How to Deal with Real Estate Booms: Lessons from Country Experiences, Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 9/3, pp. 300-319,http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2013.05.003
Csortos, O. and Z. Szalai (2014), Early warning indicators: financial and macroeconomic imbalances in Central and Eastern European countries, MNB Working Papers, Vol. 2014/ 2, Magyar Nemzeti Bank,http://english.mnb.hu/Root/Dokumentumtar/ENMNB/Kiadvanyok/mnben_mnbfuzetek/WP_2014-2.pdf
Dées, S. and J. Güntner (2014), The international dimension of confidence shocks, ECB Working Paper Series, No. 1669, http://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp1669.pdf
Dées, S. and P. Soares Brinca (2011), Consumer confidence as a predictor of consumption spending: Evidence for the United States and the Euro Area, ECB Working Paper Series, No. 1349, http://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp1349.pdf
Davis, E. P. (2010), Asset Prices and the Real Economic Activity, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 764, OECD Publishing,http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5kmft7p4dv34-en
de la Maisonneuve, C. and J. Oliveira Martins (2013), A Projection Method for Public Health and Long-Term Care Expenditures, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1048, OECD Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5k44v53w5w47-en
- de Serres, A. and A. Drew (2004), Short-term Economic Resilience, OECD, ECO/CPE/WP1(2004)10.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Dell'Ariccia, G., D. Igan, L.Laeven, and H. Tong. (2012), Policies for Macrofinancial Stability: How to Deal with Credit Booms,IMF Staff Discussion Notes, No. 12/6,https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2012/sdn1206.pdf
Denizer, C.A., M.F. Iyigun and A. Owen (2002),Finance and Macroeconomic Volatility, Contributions in Macroeconomics, Vol. 2/1, http://dx.doi.org/10.2202/1534-6005.1048
- Didier, T., C. Hevia and S. Schmukler (2011), How Resilient Were Emerging Economies to the Global Crisis?, Policy Research Working Paper, No. 5637, The World Bank, http://sciie.ucsc.edu/JIMF4/WPS5637_Schmukler.pdf
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Duval, R., J. Elmeskov and L. Vogel (2007), Structural Policies and Economic Resilience to Shocks, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 567, OECD Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/140152385131
Dynan, K.E., D.W. Elmendorf and D.E. Sichel (2006), Can Financial Innovation Help to Reduce Volatility of Economic Activity, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 53/1, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2005.10.012
- Easterly, W., R. Islam and J. Stiglitz (2000), Explaining growth volatility, World Bank, Washington D.C., http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/01/3387605/explaininggrowth-volatility
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- EBA (2014), Guidelines on Criteria for the Assessment of Other Systemically Important Institutions,European Banking Authority, https://www.eba.europa.eu/regulation-and-policy/own-funds/guidelines-on-criteria-to-to-assess-other-systemically-important-institutions-o-siis-/-/regulatory-activity/press-releaseECO/WKP(2015)6731
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- IMF (2012), Dealing with Household Debt in IMF, World Economic Outlook: Growth Resuming, Dangers Remain, International Monetary Fund, https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2012/01/pdf/c3.pdf
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Jordà O., M. Schularick and A. Taylor (2010), Financial Crises, Credit Booms, and External Imbalances: 140 Years of Lessons, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 16567, http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w16567
Jordà O., M. Schularick and A. Taylor (2013), When Credit Bites Back, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol. 45/2, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12069
Kaminsky, G. and C. Reinhart (1999), The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems, American Economic Review, Vol. 89/3, pp. 473-500, http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.89.3.473
Kato, R., S. Kobayashi and Y. Saita (2010), Calibrating the Level of Capital: The Way We See It, Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, No. 10-E-6, https://www.boj.or.jp/en/research/wps_rev/wps_2010/wp10e06.htm/
- King, M. (2009), Speech given to the CBI Dinner, Nottingham, at the East Midlands Conference Centre, 20 January 2009, Bank of England, http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/archive/Documents/historicpubs/speeches/2009/speech372.pdf
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Kiyotaki, N. and J. Moore (1997), Credit Cycles, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 105, No. 2, pp. 211-248, http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/262072
Kopits, G. (2014), Coping with fiscal risk: Analysis and practice, OECD Journal on Budgeting,Vol. 2014/1, pp. 47-71, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/16812336
Kumhof, M, R. Ranciere and P. Winant (2013), Inequality, Leverage and Crises: The Case of Endogenous Default, IMF Working Paper, No. 13/249, http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484310762.001
Laeven L. and F. Valencia (2012), Systemic Banking Crises Database: An Update, IMF Working Paper, No. 12/163, http://www.palgrave-journals.com/imfer/journal/v61/n2/pdf/imfer201312a.pdf
Lane, P. and G.M. Milesi-Ferretti (2010), The Cross-Country Incidence of the Global Crisis, IMF Working Paper, WP/10/171, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2010/wp10171.pdf
- Lo Duca, M. and T. Peltonen (2013), Assessing Systemic Risks and Predicting Systemic Events, Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 37/7, pp. 2183-2195, http://dx.doi.org/0.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.06.010
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Mendoza, E. and M. Terrones (2008), An Anatomy of Credit Booms: Evidence from Macro Aggregates and Micro Data, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 14049, http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w14049
Minoiu, C.,C.Kang, V.S. Subrahmanian and A. Berea(2013), Does Financial Connectedness Predict Crises?, IMF Working Paper, WP/13/267, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2013/wp13267.pdf
Myers, S.C. (1977), Determinants of Corporate Borrowing, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 5/2, pp. 147-175,http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(77)90015-0
- OECD (2011), The Impact of Structural Reforms on Current Account Imbalances, OECD Economics Department Policy Notes, No. 3, http://www.oecd.org/eco/monetary/47236633.pdf
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- OECD (2012a), OECD Economic Surveys: European Union 2012, OECD Publishing.http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/eco_surveys-eur-2012-en
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- OECD (2012b), OECD Economic Surveys: Euro Area 2012, OECD Publishing.http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/eco_surveys-euz-2012-en
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- OECD (2012c), International Capital Mobility: Which structural Policies Reduce Financial Fragility, OECD Economics Department Policy Papers, No. 2, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5k97gkcv5z27-en
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- OECD (2013), Global value chains: Managing the risks, in OECD,Interconnected Economies: Benefiting from Global Value Chains, OECD Publishing,http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264189560-10-en
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- OECD (2014a), OECD@100: Economic Policies for a Shifting World , ECO/CPE/WP1(2014)2OECD (2014b), Vulnerability of Social Institutions, OECD Economics Department Policy Papers, No. 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5jz158r4q0zn-en
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Ollivaud, P. and Turner, D.(2015), The Effect of the Global Financial Crisis on OECD Potential Output, OECD Journal: Economic Studies, Vol. 2014/1.
Ollivaud, P., E. Rusticelli and C. Schwellnus (2014), Would a Growth Slowdown in Emerging Markets Spill Over to High-income Countries?: A Quantitative Assessment, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1110, OECD Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5jz5m89p82d8-en
Price, R. W. and T. Dang (2011), Adjusting Fiscal Balances for Asset Price Cycles,OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 868, OECD Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5kgc42t3zqkl-en
Rajan, R. (2010), Fault Lines: How Hidden Fractures Still Threaten the World Economy,Princeton University Press.
- Ramskogler, P. (2014), Origins of the crisis: Drawing the big picture, OECD Publishing, http://www.oecd.org/naec/NAEC_Origins-of-the-Crisis_ENG.pdf
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Reinhart, C. and K. Rogoff (2008), Banking Crisis: An Equal Opportunity Menace, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 14587, http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w14587
Reinhart, C. and K. Rogoff (2011), From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis, American Economic Review, Vol. 101/5, pp. 1676-1706, http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.101.5.1676
Rose, A. and M. Spiegel (2011), Cross-country Causes and Consequences of the Crisis: An Update, Special Issue: Advances in International Macroeconomics: Lessons from the Crisis, European Economic Review, Vol. 55/3, pp. 309–324.http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2010.12.00633
Schich, S. and S. Lindh (2012), Implicit Guarantees for Bank Debt: Where Do We Stand?, OECD Journal: Financial Market Trends, Vol. 2012/1, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/fmt-2012-5k91hbvfkm9v
Schularick, M. and A. Taylor (2012), Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles, and Financial Crises, 1870-2008, American Economic Review, 102, No. 2, pp. 1029-61, http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.102.2.1029
Sutherland, D. and P. Hoeller (2012), Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: An Overview of the Literature and Some Empirics, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1006, OECD Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5k8xb75txzf5-en
Sutherland, D., P. Hoeller, R. Merola and V. Ziemann (2012), Debt and Macroeconomic Stability, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1003, OECD Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5k8xb76rhstl-en
Taylor, A. (2012), External Imbalances and Financial Crises,NBER Working Paper Series, No. 18606, http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w1860