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Diebold FX, Rudebusch GD. 1989. Scoring the leading indicators. Journal of Business 62: 369-391.
Hamilton JD. 2000. What is an oil shock? Journal of Econometrics 113: 363-398.
West KD. 1996. Asymptotic inference about predictive ability. Econometrica 64: 1067-1084.
Winkler RL. 1996. Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities (with discussion). Test 5: 1-60.
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