Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]

create a website
Forecasting daily return densities from intraday data: A multifractal approach. (2014). Olmo, Jose ; Hallam, Mark.
In: International Journal of Forecasting.
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:4:p:863-881.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Cited: 4

Citations received by this document

Cites: 38

References cited by this document

Cocites: 50

Documents which have cited the same bibliography

Coauthors: 0

Authors who have wrote about the same topic

Citations

Citations received by this document

  1. Quantitative modelling frontiers: a literature review on the evolution in financial and risk modelling after the financial crisis (2008–2019). (2022). Vogl, Markus.
    In: SN Business & Economics.
    RePEc:spr:snbeco:v:2:y:2022:i:12:d:10.1007_s43546-022-00359-3.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  2. Wind speed forecasting using a hybrid model considering the turbulence of the airflow. (2022). Cadenas, Erasmo ; Campos-Amezcua, Rafael ; Mendez-Gordillo, Alma Rosa.
    In: Renewable Energy.
    RePEc:eee:renene:v:196:y:2022:i:c:p:422-431.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  3. How Informative is High-Frequency data for Tail Risk Estimation and Forecasting?. (2019). Dimitriadis, Timo ; Halbleib, Roxana.
    In: Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy.
    RePEc:zbw:vfsc19:203669.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  4. Forecasting stock index futures returns with mixed-frequency sentiment. (2017). Gao, Bin ; Yang, Chunpeng.
    In: International Review of Economics & Finance.
    RePEc:eee:reveco:v:49:y:2017:i:c:p:69-83.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

References

References cited by this document

  1. Žikěs, F. (2009). Semiparametric conditional quantile models for financial returns and realized volatility. Mimeo, Imperial College London.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  2. Alessio, E. ; Carbone, A. ; Castelli, G. ; Frappietro, V. Second-order moving average and scaling of stochastic time series. 2002 The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems. 27 197-200
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  3. Amisano, G. ; Giacomini, R. Comparing density forecasts via weighted likelihood ratio tests. 2007 Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. 25 177-190

  4. Andersen, T.G. ; Bollerslev, T. Deutsche mark-dollar volatility: intraday activity patterns, macroeconomic announcements, and longer run dependencies. 1998 Journal of Finance. 53 219-265

  5. Andersen, T.G. ; Bollerslev, T. ; Diebold, F.X. ; Labys, P. Modeling and forecasting realized volatility. 2003 Econometrica. 71 579-625

  6. Andersen, T.G. ; Bollerslev, T. ; Diebold, F.X. ; Labys, P. The distribution of realized exchange rate volatility. 2001 Journal of the American Statistical Association. 96 42-55

  7. Andersen, T.G. ; Bollerslev, T. ; Lange, S. Forecasting financial market volatility: sample frequency vis-ā-vis forecast horizon. 1999 Journal of Empirical Finance. 6 457-477

  8. Brooks, C. ; Burke, S. ; Heravi, S. ; Persand, G. Autoregressive conditional kurtosis. 2005 Journal of Financial Econometrics. 3 399-421

  9. Calvet, L. ; Fisher, A. How to forecast long-run volatility: regime switching and the estimation of multifractal processes. 2004 Journal of Financial Econometrics. 2 49-83

  10. Calvet, L. ; Fisher, A. Multifractality in asset returns: theory and evidence. 2002 Review of Economics and Statistics. 84 381-406

  11. Calvet, L. ; Fisher, A. ; Thompson, S. Volatility comovement: a multifrequency approach. 2006 Journal of Econometrics. 131 179-215

  12. Clements, M.P. ; Galvão, A. ; Kim, J. Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility. 2008 Journal of Empirical Finance. 15 729-750

  13. Di Matteo, T. Multi-scaling in finance. 2007 Quantitative Finance. 7 21-36

  14. Di Matteo, T. ; Aste, T. ; Dacorogna, M. Long-term memories of developed and emerging markets: using the scaling analysis to characterize their stage of development. 2005 Journal of Banking and Finance. 29 827-851

  15. Diebold, F.X. ; Gunther, T. ; Tay, A. Evaluating density forecasts with applications to financial risk management. 1998 International Economic Review. 39 863-883

  16. Dittmar, R. Nonlinear pricing kernels, kurtosis preference, and evidence from the cross section of equity returns. 2002 Journal of Finance. 57 369-403

  17. Fillol, J. Multifractality: theory and evidence, an application to the French stock market. 2003 Economics Bulletin. 3 1-12

  18. Fisher, A., Calvet, L., & Mandelbrot, B. (1997). Multifractality of Deutschemark/US Dollar exchange rates. Cowles Foundation discussion paper No. 1165.

  19. Giot, P. ; Laurent, S. Modelling daily value-at-risk using realized volatility and ARCH type models. 2004 Journal of Empirical Finance. 11 379-398

  20. Gneiting, T. ; Ranjan, R. Comparing density forecasts using threshold- and quantile-weighted scoring rules. 2011 Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. 29 411-422

  21. Guermat, C. ; Harris, R. Forecasting value at risk allowing for time variation in the variance and kurtosis of portfolio returns. 2002 International Journal of Forecasting. 18 409-419

  22. Hallam, M. ; Olmo, J. Semiparametric density forecasts of daily financial returns from intraday data. 2014 Journal of Financial Econometrics. 12 408-432

  23. Harvey, C. ; Siddique, A. Conditional skewness in asset pricing tests. 2000 Journal of Finance. 55 1263-1295

  24. Jondeau, E. ; Rockinger, M. Conditional volatility, skewness, and kurtosis: existence, persistence, and comovements. 2003 Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. 27 1699-1738

  25. Jondeau, E. ; Rockinger, M. Gram–Charlier densities. 2001 Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. 25 1457-1483

  26. Kantelhardt, J. Fractal and multifractal time series. 2009 En : Encyclopedia of complexity and systems science. Springer:
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  27. Kantelhardt, J. ; Zschiegner, S. ; Koscielny-Bunde, E. ; Havlin, S. ; Bunde, A. ; Stanley, H. Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of nonstationary time series. 2002 Physica A. Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. 316 87-114

  28. León, Á ; Rubio, G. ; Serna, G. Autoregresive conditional volatility, skewness and kurtosis. 2005 The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. 45 599-618

  29. Maheu, J. ; McCurdy, T. Do high-frequency measures of volatility improve forecasts of return distributions?. 2010 Journal of Econometrics. 160 69-76
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  30. Mandelbrot, B., Fisher, A., & Calvet, L. (1997). A multifractal model of asset returns. Cowles Foundation discussion papers, no. 1164, Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=78588.

  31. Matia, K. ; Ashkenazy, Y. ; Stanley, H. Multifractal properties of price fluctuations of stocks and commodities. 2003 Europhysics Letters. 61 422-428

  32. Muzy, J. ; Delour, J. ; Bacry, E. Modelling fluctuations of financial time series: from cascade process to stochastic volatility model. 2000 The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter. 17 537-548
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  33. Onali, E. ; Goddard, J. Unifractality and multifractality in the Italian stock market. 2009 International Review of Financial Analysis. 18 154-163

  34. Pagan, A. Econometric issues in the analysis of regressions with generated regressors. 1984 International Economic Review. 25 221-247

  35. Schmitt, F. ; Schertzer, D. ; Lovejoy, S. Multifractal analysis of foreign exchange data. 1999 Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis. 15 29-53

  36. Schumann, A. ; Kantelhardt, J. Multifractal moving average analysis and test of multifractal model with tuned correlations. 2011 Physica A. 390 2637-2654

  37. Selçuk, F. ; Gençay, R. Intraday dynamics of stock market returns and volatility. 2006 Physica A. 367 375-387
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  38. Xu, Z. ; Gençay, R. Scaling, self-similarity and multifractality in FX markets. 2003 Physica A. 323 578-590

Cocites

Documents in RePEc which have cited the same bibliography

  1. Dynamic Predictive Density Combinations for Large Data Sets in Economics and Finance. (2017). van Dijk, Herman ; Ravazzolo, Francesco ; Grassi, Stefano ; Casarin, Roberto.
    In: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:tin:wpaper:20150084.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  2. The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model with Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling. (2015). Chan, Joshua ; Joshua C. C. Chan, .
    In: CAMA Working Papers.
    RePEc:een:camaaa:2015-07.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  3. Optimal combination of survey forecasts. (2015). Giannone, Domenico ; Conflitti, Cristina ; de Mol, Christine .
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:4:p:1096-1103.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  4. Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs. (2015). Henzel, Steffen ; Berg, Tim.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:4:p:1067-1095.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  5. Asymmetric Quantile Persistence and Predictability: the Case of US Inflation. (2015). Zerom, Dawit ; Manzan, Sebastiano .
    In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.
    RePEc:bla:obuest:v:77:y:2015:i:2:p:297-318.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  6. Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR. (2015). Huber, Florian ; Feldkircher, Martin ; Dovern, Jonas.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:awi:wpaper:0590.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  7. A Bayesian MIDAS Approach to Modeling First and Second Moment Dynamics. (2014). Pettenuzzo, Davide ; Timmermann, Allan G ; Valkanov, Rossen .
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:10160.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  8. Incorporating Asymmetric Preferences into Fan Charts and Path Forecasts. (2014). Wang, Mu-Chun ; Demetrescu, Matei.
    In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.
    RePEc:bla:obuest:v:76:y:2014:i:2:p:287-297.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  9. Bond returns and market expectations. (2013). Costantini, Riccardo ; Altavilla, Carlo ; Carlo Altavilla , ; Giacomini, Raffaella.
    In: CeMMAP working papers.
    RePEc:ifs:cemmap:20/13.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  10. Money Growth and Inflation: evidence from a Markov Switching Bayesian VAR. (2013). amisano, gianni ; Colavecchio, Roberta .
    In: Macroeconomics and Finance Series.
    RePEc:hep:macppr:201304.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  11. Assessment of probabilistic forecasts: Proper scoring rules and moments. (2012). Tsyplakov, Alexander.
    In: Applied Econometrics.
    RePEc:ris:apltrx:0181.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  12. Constructing Optimal Density Forecasts from Point Forecast Combinations. (2012). Lima, Luiz ; Gaglianone, Wagner ; Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira Lima, .
    In: Série Textos para Discussão (Working Papers).
    RePEc:ppg:ppgewp:5.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  13. Multivariate Rotated ARCH Models. (2012). Sheppard, Kevin ; Shephard, Neil ; Noureldin, Diaa.
    In: Economics Papers.
    RePEc:nuf:econwp:1201.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  14. Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions. (2012). Primiceri, Giorgio ; Lenza, Michele ; Giannone, Domenico.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:18467.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  15. Robust Ranking of Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension. (2012). McAleer, Michael ; Caporin, Massimiliano.
    In: KIER Working Papers.
    RePEc:kyo:wpaper:815.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  16. Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs. (2012). Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Clark, Todd ; Carriero, Andrea.
    In: Working Papers (Old Series).
    RePEc:fip:fedcwp:1206.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  17. Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs. (2012). Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Clark, Todd ; Carriero, Andrea.
    In: Economics Working Papers.
    RePEc:eui:euiwps:eco2012/08.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  18. Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs. (2012). Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Clark, Todd ; Carriero, Andrea.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8894.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  19. Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions. (2012). Primiceri, Giorgio ; Lenza, Michele ; Giannone, Domenico.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8755.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  20. Estimating Phillips Curves in Turbulent Times using the ECBs Survey of Professional Forecasters*. (2011). onorante, luca ; Koop, Gary.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:str:wpaper:1109.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  21. Multivariate High-Frequency-Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models. (2011). Sheppard, Kevin ; Shephard, Neil ; Noureldin, Diaa.
    In: Economics Papers.
    RePEc:nuf:econwp:1101.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  22. Non-Parametric Estimation of Forecast Distributions in Non-Gaussian, Non-linear State Space Models. (2011). McCabe, Brendan ; Martin, Gael ; Forbes, Catherine ; Brendan P. M. McCabe, ; Ng, Jason .
    In: Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers.
    RePEc:msh:ebswps:2011-11.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  23. Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails. (2011). Diks, Cees ; Panchenko, Valentyn ; van Dijk, Dick.
    In: Post-Print.
    RePEc:hal:journl:peer-00834423.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  24. The Number of Regimes Across Asset Returns: Identification and Economic Value. (2011). Ielpo, Florian ; Gatumel, Mathieu .
    In: Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers).
    RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00658540.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  25. Scoring rules and survey density forecasts. (2011). Wallis, Kenneth ; Smith, Jeremy ; Boero, Gianna.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:379-393.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  26. Multivariate semi-nonparametric distributions with dynamic conditional correlations. (2011). Perote, Javier ; Ñíguez Grau, Trino ; DEL BRIO, ESTHER.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:347-364.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  27. Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails. (2011). van Dijk, Dick ; Panchenko, Valentyn ; Diks, Cees.
    In: Journal of Econometrics.
    RePEc:eee:econom:v:163:y:2011:i:2:p:215-230.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  28. Do high-frequency measures of volatility improve forecasts of return distributions?. (2011). McCurdy, Tom ; Maheu, John.
    In: Journal of Econometrics.
    RePEc:eee:econom:v:160:y:2011:i:1:p:69-76.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  29. Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves. (2011). Wakerly, Elizabeth ; Vahey, Shaun ; Mitchell, James ; Garratt, Anthony.
    In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance.
    RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:22:y:2011:i:1:p:77-87.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  30. Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities. (2011). Vahey, Shaun ; Mitchell, James ; Jore, Anne Sofie ; ShaunP. Vahey, ; Bache, Ida Wolden .
    In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
    RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:35:y:2011:i:10:p:1659-1670.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  31. Measuring Core Inflation in Australia with Disaggregate Ensembles. (2010). Ravazzolo, Francesco ; Vahey, Shaun P.
    In: RBA Annual Conference Volume.
    RePEc:rba:rbaacv:acv2009-10.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  32. Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities. (2010). Vahey, Shaun ; Mitchell, James ; Jore, Anne Sofie.
    In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
    RePEc:jae:japmet:v:25:y:2010:i:4:p:621-634.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  33. Testing for unconditional predictive ability. (2010). McCracken, Michael ; Clark, Todd.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2010-031.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  34. Comparing and evaluating Bayesian predictive distributions of asset returns. (2010). Geweke, John ; amisano, gianni.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:26:y::i:2:p:216-230.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  35. Retrieving risk neutral densities from European option prices based on the principle of maximum entropy. (2010). Rompolis, Leonidas.
    In: Journal of Empirical Finance.
    RePEc:eee:empfin:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:918-937.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  36. Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts. (2010). van Dijk, Dick ; Panchenko, Valentyn ; Diks, Cees.
    In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
    RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:34:y:2010:i:9:p:1596-1609.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  37. Forecasting with DSGE models. (2010). Warne, Anders ; Coenen, Günter ; Christoffel, Kai.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20101185.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  38. Long memory and nonlinearities in realized volatility: a Markov switching approach.. (2010). Raggi, Davide ; Bordignon, S..
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bol:bodewp:694.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  39. Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination. (2010). Rothman, Philip ; Ravazzolo, Francesco.
    In: Working Paper.
    RePEc:bno:worpap:2010_18.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  40. Dynamic Models of Exchange Rate Dependence Using Option Prices and Historical Returns. (2010). Tsiaras, Leonidas.
    In: CREATES Research Papers.
    RePEc:aah:create:2010-35.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  41. Are Macroeconomic Variables Useful for Forecasting the Distribution of U.S. Inflation?. (2009). Zerom, Dawit ; Manzan, Sebastiano .
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:14387.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  42. Understanding forecast failure in ESTAR models of real exchange rates. (2009). Buncic, Daniel.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:13121.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  43. Testing Predictive Ability and Power Robustification. (2009). Song, Kyungchul.
    In: PIER Working Paper Archive.
    RePEc:pen:papers:09-035.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  44. Understanding forecast failure of ESTAR models of real exchange rates. (2009). Buncic, Daniel.
    In: EERI Research Paper Series.
    RePEc:eei:rpaper:eeri_rp_2009_18.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  45. Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in the Euro Area. (2009). Paesani, Paolo ; onorante, luca ; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_2720.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  46. Do high-frequency measures of volatility improve forecasts of return distributions?. (2008). McCurdy, Tom ; Maheu, John.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:tor:tecipa:tecipa-324.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  47. Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts. (2008). van Dijk, Dick ; Panchenko, Valentyn ; Diks, Cees.
    In: Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:swe:wpaper:2008-23.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  48. Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails. (2008). van Dijk, Dick ; Panchenko, Valentyn ; Diks, Cees.
    In: Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:swe:wpaper:2008-10.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  49. Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts. (2008). van Dijk, Dick ; Panchenko, Valentyn ; Diks, Cees.
    In: CeNDEF Working Papers.
    RePEc:ams:ndfwpp:08-10.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  50. Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails. (2008). van Dijk, Dick ; Panchenko, Valentyn ; Diks, Cees.
    In: CeNDEF Working Papers.
    RePEc:ams:ndfwpp:08-03.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Coauthors

Authors registered in RePEc who have wrote about the same topic

Report date: 2024-12-18 07:09:01 || Missing content? Let us know

CitEc is a RePEc service, providing citation data for Economics since 2001. Sponsored by INOMICS. Last updated October, 6 2023. Contact: CitEc Team.