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Are Bygones not Bygones? Modeling Price Level Targeting with an Escape Clause and Lessons from the Gold Standard. (2008). Shukayev, Malik ; Masson, Paul.
In: Staff Working Papers.
RePEc:bca:bocawp:08-27.

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  1. Indexed versus nominal government debt under inflation and price-level targeting. (2014). Hatcher, Michael.
    In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
    RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:45:y:2014:i:c:p:126-145.

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  2. Stabilization policy, rational expectations and price-level versus infl‡ation targeting: a survey. (2014). Minford, A. Patrick ; Hatcher, Michael.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:9820.

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  3. Indexed versus nominal government debt under inflation and price-level targeting. (2013). Hatcher, Michael.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:gla:glaewp:2013_11.

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  4. Aggregate and welfare effects of long run inflation risk under inflation and price-level targeting. (2013). Hatcher, Michael.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:gla:glaewp:2013_03.

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  5. Stabilization policy, rational expectations and price-level versus inflation targeting: a survey. (2013). Minford, A. Patrick ; Hatcher, Michael.
    In: Cardiff Economics Working Papers.
    RePEc:cdf:wpaper:2013/14.

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  6. Belling the cat: Eli F. Heckscher on the gold standard as a discipline device. (2011). Fregert, Klas.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:hhs:lunewp:2011_019.

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  7. Moving Monetary Policy Forward: Why Small Steps - and a Lower Inflation Target - Make Sense for the Bank of Canada. (2011). Melino, Angelo.
    In: C.D. Howe Institute Commentary.
    RePEc:cdh:commen:319.

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  8. Unstable Foundations: Assets Markets, Inflation Targets, and Canadas 2011 Policy Choices. (2008). Laidler, David ; Banerjee, Robin.
    In: C.D. Howe Institute Commentary.
    RePEc:cdh:commen:278.

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References

References cited by this document

  1. [1] K. Adam and R. M. Billi. Optimal monetary policy under commitment with a zero bound on nominal interest rates. Research Working Paper RWP 05-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 2005.

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  12. [21] Maurice Obstfeld. Models of currency crises with self-fulfilling features. European Economic Review, 40:1037-1048, 1996. [22] Alessandro Prati. Poincares stabilization: Stopping a run on government debt.

  13. [23] Kenneth Rogoff. The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target. Quarterly Journal of Economics, i00:1169-89, November 1985.

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  18. [28] James Yetman. The credibility of the monetary policy free lunch. Journal of Macroeconomics, 27:434-451, 2005.

  19. [3] Tamim Bayoumi and Michael D Bordo. Getting pegged: Comparing the 1879 and 1925 gold resumptions. Oxford Economic Papers, 50(i):122-49, January 1998.

  20. [4] Michael Bordo and Finn Kydland. The Gold Standard As a Rule: An Essay in Exploration. Explorations in Economic History, 32(4):423-464, October 1995. 11The IT regime could also be subject to an escape clause, in which case a proper comparison would compare PT and IT regimes, both having escape clauses. However, following the literature, we model IT as the optimal policy under discretion. The (Markov-perfect) optimality of IT makes escape clauses redundant in such regime. Moreover, the escape clause for PT relates solely to the issue of letting bygones be bygones, which IT does in any case.

  21. [5] Michael D. Bordo. The gold standard, Bretton Woods and other monetary regimes: a historical appraisal. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, March/April:123-191, 1993.

  22. [6] Gustav Cassell. The Downfall of the Gold Standard. Oxford at the Clarendon Press, London, 1936.
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  23. [7] Richard Clarida, R. Gali, and M. Gertler. The Science of Monetary Policy. Journal of Economic Literature, 37: 1661-1707, 1999. [8] Marcello de Cecco. Money and Empire: The International Gold Standard, 18901914.
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  24. [9] John Driffill and Zeno Rotondi. Credibility of Optimal Monetary Delegation: Comment. American Economic Review, 96(4):1361-1366, September 2006.

  25. Britain temporized, so Sweden was the first European country to resume the gold standard, which it did at the prewar parity in April 1924. At this point, Swedens prices were not out of line and until 1931 the country had no trouble maintaining the gold standard [6, p. 36]. Britain returned to gold at its pre-war parity in April, 1925, but British prices still needed to fall and Britain suffered deflation and stagnation for the rest of the decade.
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  26. France had more severe fiscal problems than Britain, and they led France to the verge of hyperinflation [22]. German reparations were expected to allow paying off wartime debt, but Germanys inability to do so, and the abortive French occupation of the Ruhr in 1923 led to accelerating inflation and a depreciating franc. Under the Poincaré government, France had stabilized its public finances with some difficulty by 1926, and it reassured bond investors by ruling out a capital levy [22]. When France 12Keynes, in his testimony, argued that the pre-war parity would imply an overvaluation of sterling against the dollar of 10-12 percent, but he thought that inflation in America would bring the two currencies into line if resumption was delayed.
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  27. officially resumed the gold standard in June, 1928, the value of the franc was only about 20 percent of its pre-war parity [6, p. 47]. While by this time resumption at the pre-war parity was probably not an option, it seems that the French authorities deliberately resisted a more appreciated rate, since Poincarés stabilization had changed sentiment and the franc was now appreciating [24]. By this time, all of the worlds major economies were back on the gold standard, but Germany and Belgium had also depreciated relative to pre-war parities.
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