Realized volatility models and alternative Value-at-Risk prediction strategies
DP Louzis, S Xanthopoulos-Sisinis, AP Refenes - Economic Modelling, 2014 - Elsevier
… We examine the VaR performance of realized volatility and GARCH type … realized volatility
models. Overall, empirical evidence support the use of an asymmetric HAR realized volatility …
models. Overall, empirical evidence support the use of an asymmetric HAR realized volatility …
[HTML][HTML] Prediction of realized volatility and implied volatility indices using AI and machine learning: A review
ES Gunnarsson, HR Isern, A Kaloudis… - International Review of …, 2024 - Elsevier
… the existing studies predicting realized volatility and implied volatility indices using artificial
… Generally, we find the efficacy of AI and ML methods for volatility prediction to be highly …
… Generally, we find the efficacy of AI and ML methods for volatility prediction to be highly …
Forecasting realized volatility using a long-memory stochastic volatility model: estimation, prediction and seasonal adjustment
R Deo, C Hurvich, Y Lu - Journal of Econometrics, 2006 - Elsevier
… Using both simulated as well as real data, we compare the forecasting performance of the
LMSV model for forecasting realized volatility (RV) to that of a linear long-memory model fit to …
LMSV model for forecasting realized volatility (RV) to that of a linear long-memory model fit to …
The volatility of realized volatility
… literature has developed in several directions, one of which focuses on modeling and
predicting alternative measures of realized volatility. In this section, we first summarize recent …
predicting alternative measures of realized volatility. In this section, we first summarize recent …
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Artificial neural networks for realized volatility prediction in cryptocurrency time series
R Miura, L Pichl, T Kaizoji - Advances in Neural Networks–ISNN 2019 …, 2019 - Springer
… no a priori reason to sample the realized volatility at daily scale. Given the length … realized
volatility to model the increment process. Future work along these lines will include predicting …
volatility to model the increment process. Future work along these lines will include predicting …
Is implied volatility more informative for forecasting realized volatility: An international perspective
… or IVs may improve the accuracy in predicting the global volatility, we use a “kitchen sink”
model that contains all of the international realized (implied) volatilities in the benchmark of the …
model that contains all of the international realized (implied) volatilities in the benchmark of the …
Realized volatility: A review
M McAleer, MC Medeiros - Econometric reviews, 2008 - Taylor & Francis
… It is widely known that the daily returns of financial assets, especially of stocks, are difficult,
if not impossible, to predict, although the volatility of the returns seems to be relatively easier …
if not impossible, to predict, although the volatility of the returns seems to be relatively easier …
Realized volatility prediction
S Wing-Yi Chio, Y Li, R JingRan Yang - Proceedings of the 2021 …, 2021 - dl.acm.org
… the previous time slot’s realized volatility to predict current volatility. Another model is more
… realized volatility to make prediction. The models are referenced from other kagglers’s work. …
… realized volatility to make prediction. The models are referenced from other kagglers’s work. …
Modeling and forecasting realized volatility
… formal links between realized volatility and the conditional … for the logarithmic daily realized
volatilities perform admirably. … and correspondingly accurate quantile predictions. Our results …
volatilities perform admirably. … and correspondingly accurate quantile predictions. Our results …
Liquidity and realized volatility prediction in Chinese stock market: A time-varying transitional dynamic perspective
Y Xu, J Liu, F Ma, J Chu - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2024 - Elsevier
Basing on the features of emerging Chinese stock market, this article discusses whether
sharply deteriorating liquidity propels the stock market into a “crisis” state and investigates the …
sharply deteriorating liquidity propels the stock market into a “crisis” state and investigates the …