Intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics model for the preoperative prediction of cribriform component in invasive lung adenocarcinoma: a multicenter study

Purpose: This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics model for the cribriform component (CC) of invasive lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).

Materials and methods: The 144 patients with invasive LUAD from our center were randomly divided into training set (n = 100) and internal validation set (n = 44) in a ratio of 7:3, and 75 patients from center 2 were regarded as the external validation set. Clinical risk factors were examined using univariate and multivariate logistic regression to construct the clinical model. We extracted radiomics features from gross tumor volume (GTV), gross and peritumoral volume (GPTV), and peritumoral volume (PTV), respectively. Radiomics models were constructed with selected features. A combined model based on the optimal Radscore and clinically independent predictors was constructed, and its predictive performance was assessed by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: The area under curves (AUCs) of the GTV model were 0.882 (95% CI 0.817-0.948), 0.794 (95% CI 0.656-0.932), and 0.766 (95% CI 0.657-0.875) in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets, and the PTV model had AUCs of 0.812 (95% CI 0.725-0.899), 0.749 (95% CI 0.597-0.902), and 0.670 (95% CI 0.543-0.798) in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets, respectively. However, the GPTV radiomics model showed better predictive performance compared with the GTV and PTV radiomics models, with the AUCs of 0.950 (95% CI 0.911-0.989), 0.844 (95% CI 0.728-0.959), and 0.815 (95% CI 0.713-0.917) in the training, internal validation and external validation sets, respectively. In the clinical model, tumor shape, lobulation sign and maximal diameter were the independent predictors of CC in invasive LUAD. The combined model including independent clinical predictors and GPTV-Radscore show the considerable instructive to clinical practice, with the AUCs of 0.954(95% CI 0.918-0.990), 0.861(95% CI 0.752-0.970), and 0.794(95% CI 0.690-0.898) in training, internal validation, and external validation sets, respectively. DCA showed that the combined model had good clinical value and correction effect.

Conclusion: Radiomics model is a very powerful tool for predicting CC growth pattern in invasive LUAD and can help clinicians make the strategies of treatment and surveillance in patients with invasive LUAD.