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CN1234092C - Predictive modelling method application to computer-aided medical diagnosis - Google Patents

Predictive modelling method application to computer-aided medical diagnosis Download PDF

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CN1234092C
CN1234092C CNB031321410A CN03132141A CN1234092C CN 1234092 C CN1234092 C CN 1234092C CN B031321410 A CNB031321410 A CN B031321410A CN 03132141 A CN03132141 A CN 03132141A CN 1234092 C CN1234092 C CN 1234092C
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symptom
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周志华
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Nanjing University
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Abstract

本发明公开了一种适用于计算机辅助医疗诊断的预测建模方法,包括通过医学症状检测设备获取待诊对象的症状形成症状向量,经预测模型处理,即可得到预测结果,该方法包括以下步骤:(1)若预测模型未训练好,则执行步骤(2),否则转到步骤(6);(2)利用历史病例产生初始训练数据集;(3)利用初始训练数据集训练出一个神经网络集成;(4)利用神经网络集成对初始训练数据集进行处理以产生规则训练数据集;(5)利用规则学习技术从规则训练数据集中产生规则模型;(6)利用规则模型进行预测并给出结果及解释。本发明的优点是为计算机辅助医疗诊断装置提供了一种高精度、高可理解性的预测建模方法。

The invention discloses a predictive modeling method suitable for computer-aided medical diagnosis, which includes obtaining symptom vectors of symptoms of objects to be treated through medical symptom detection equipment, and obtaining predictive results through predictive model processing. The method includes the following steps : (1) If the prediction model is not trained well, then execute step (2), otherwise go to step (6); (2) Use the historical cases to generate the initial training data set; (3) Use the initial training data set to train a neural network Network integration; (4) use neural network integration to process the initial training data set to generate a rule training data set; (5) use rule learning technology to generate a rule model from the rule training data set; (6) use the rule model to predict and give Results and explanations. The invention has the advantage of providing a high precision and high comprehensibility predictive modeling method for a computer aided medical diagnosis device.

Description

一种适用于计算机辅助医疗诊断的预测建模方法A Predictive Modeling Approach for Computer-Aided Medical Diagnosis

一、技术领域1. Technical field

本发明涉及一种计算机辅助医疗诊断装置,特别涉及一种利用神经网络集成技术和规则学习技术的高精度、高可理解性预测建模方法。The invention relates to a computer-aided medical diagnosis device, in particular to a high-precision and high-understandability predictive modeling method using neural network integration technology and rule learning technology.

二、背景技术2. Background technology

随着计算机技术的发展,计算机辅助医疗诊断装置由于不受疲劳、情绪等因素的影响,已成为重要的辅助诊断手段。计算机辅助医疗诊断装置通常是利用一些预测建模方法对历史病例进行分析,从而建立预测模型,然后再用该预测模型来对新病例进行诊断,其结果提交给医学专家进行进一步的分析确诊,从而在一定程度上减轻医学专家的工作负担。因此,预测建模方法是计算机辅助医疗诊断装置的关键。一方面,由于医疗诊断务求精确,因此适用的预测建模方法必须具有很高的精度;另一方面,由于医疗诊断事关被诊者的身体健康和生命安全,因此适用的预测建模方法必须具有很高的可理解性,即在作出诊断结论之后还需要能提供对诊断的解释,这不仅是被诊者及其家属的需要,还是医学专家检查诊断过程的需要。然而,现有技术如神经网络等虽然具有高精度,但不具有高可理解性;而规则学习等虽然具有高可理解性,但却不具有高精度,这就对计算机辅助医疗诊断装置的性能造成了不利影响。With the development of computer technology, computer-aided medical diagnosis equipment has become an important auxiliary diagnosis method because it is not affected by factors such as fatigue and emotion. Computer-aided medical diagnosis devices usually use some predictive modeling methods to analyze historical cases to establish a predictive model, and then use the predictive model to diagnose new cases, and the results are submitted to medical experts for further analysis and diagnosis. Reduce the workload of medical experts to a certain extent. Therefore, predictive modeling methods are the key to computer-aided medical diagnosis devices. On the one hand, due to the precision of medical diagnosis, the applicable predictive modeling method must have high precision; It has high comprehensibility, that is, it is necessary to provide an explanation for the diagnosis after the diagnosis conclusion is made. This is not only the need of the patient and his family members, but also the need of medical experts to check the diagnosis process. However, although existing technologies such as neural networks have high precision, they do not have high comprehensibility; and rule learning, etc., have high comprehensibility, but do not have high precision, which affects the performance of computer-aided medical diagnosis devices. had an adverse effect.

三、发明内容3. Contents of the invention

本发明的目的是针对现有技术难以产生适用于计算机辅助医疗诊断装置的高精度、高可理解性预测模型的问题,提供一种高精度、高可理解性的预测建模方法,以辅助提高计算机辅助医疗诊断装置的性能。The purpose of the present invention is to provide a high-precision, high-understandability predictive modeling method to assist in improving the Performance of computer-aided medical diagnostic devices.

为实现本发明所述目的,本发明提供一种利用机器学习中的神经网络集成技术和规则学习技术进行预测建模的方法,该方法包括以下步骤:(1)若预测模型未训练好,则执行步骤2,否则转到步骤6;(2)利用历史病例产生初始训练数据集;(3)利用初始训练数据集训练出一个神经网络集成;(4)利用神经网络集成对初始训练数据集进行处理以产生规则训练数据集;(5)利用规则学习技术从规则训练数据集中产生规则模型;(6)利用规则模型进行预测并给出结果及解释;(7)结束。In order to achieve the stated purpose of the present invention, the present invention provides a method for predictive modeling using neural network integration technology and rule learning technology in machine learning, the method comprising the following steps: (1) if the predictive model is not well trained, then Execute step 2, otherwise go to step 6; (2) use historical cases to generate an initial training data set; (3) use the initial training data set to train a neural network ensemble; (4) use the neural network ensemble to perform an initial training data set Process to generate a rule training data set; (5) use rule learning technology to generate a rule model from the rule training data set; (6) use the rule model to predict and give results and explanations; (7) end.

本发明的优点是为计算机辅助医疗诊断装置提供了一种高精度、高可理解性的预测建模方法,以辅助提高计算机辅助医疗诊断装置的性能。The advantage of the present invention is that it provides a high-precision and high-understandability predictive modeling method for computer-aided medical diagnosis devices, so as to help improve the performance of computer-aided medical diagnosis devices.

下面将结合附图对最佳实施例进行详细说明。The preferred embodiment will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings.

四、附图说明4. Description of drawings

图1是计算机辅助医疗诊断装置的工作流程图。Fig. 1 is a working flow chart of the computer-aided medical diagnosis device.

图2是本发明方法的流程图。Figure 2 is a flow chart of the method of the present invention.

图3是用神经网络集成产生规则训练数据集的流程图。Fig. 3 is a flow chart of generating regular training data sets with neural network ensemble.

五、具体实施方式5. Specific implementation

如图1所示,计算机辅助医疗诊断装置利用医学症状检测设备例如体温、血压测量设备等获取待诊对象的症状例如体温、血压等,然后将症状进行量化以得到症状向量,例如[t1,t2,…,tn],其中t1表示第一个症状值,t2表示第二个症状值,依此类推。症状向量交给预测模型处理,即可得到预测结果及解释的数字化表示形式,经过文字化处理后,就产生了最后提交给用户的诊断结论及解释。As shown in Figure 1, the computer-aided medical diagnosis device uses medical symptom detection equipment such as body temperature, blood pressure measurement equipment, etc. to obtain the symptoms of the subject to be diagnosed, such as body temperature, blood pressure, etc., and then quantifies the symptoms to obtain a symptom vector, such as [t 1 , t2 ,..., tn ], where t1 represents the first symptom value, t2 represents the second symptom value, and so on. The symptom vector is handed over to the prediction model for processing, and the digital representation of the prediction result and explanation can be obtained. After text processing, the final diagnosis conclusion and explanation submitted to the user are produced.

本发明的方法如图2所示。步骤10是初始动作。步骤11判断预测模型是否已经训练好,若已训练好则可处理诊断任务,执行步骤16;否则需进行训练,执行步骤12。步骤12利用历史病例产生初始训练数据集,为叙述方便,称初始训练数据集为L0。L0中包含了每一历史病例所对应的症状向量及其类别,即诊断出的具体疾病类别(“没有疾病”也作为一种类别)。步骤13利用统计学中常用的可重复取样技术从L0中产生N个数据集,并用这N个数据集中的每一个训练出一个神经网络,这些神经网络就组成了神经网络集成。N是一个用户预设的整数值例如9,它确定了神经网络集成所包含的神经网络个数。这里使用的神经网络可以是任何类型的神经网络,只要可以执行预测任务即可,例如可以使用神经网络教科书中介绍的多层前馈BP网络。步骤14利用神经网络集成产生用于建立规则模型的规则训练数据集L1,该步骤将在后面的部分结合图3进行具体介绍。The method of the present invention is shown in FIG. 2 . Step 10 is the initial action. Step 11 judges whether the prediction model has been trained, and if it has been trained, it can handle the diagnosis task, then go to step 16; otherwise, it needs to be trained, go to step 12. Step 12 uses historical cases to generate an initial training data set, which is called L 0 for the convenience of description. L 0 contains the symptom vector and its category corresponding to each historical case, that is, the diagnosed specific disease category ("no disease" is also used as a category). Step 13 uses repeatable sampling techniques commonly used in statistics to generate N data sets from L 0 , and uses each of the N data sets to train a neural network, and these neural networks constitute a neural network ensemble. N is a user-preset integer value such as 9, which determines the number of neural networks included in the neural network ensemble. The neural network used here can be any type of neural network as long as it can perform prediction tasks, for example, the multi-layer feed-forward BP network introduced in the neural network textbook can be used. Step 14 utilizes neural network integration to generate a rule training data set L 1 for establishing a rule model, and this step will be described in detail in the following part with reference to FIG. 3 .

图2的步骤15利用L1训练出规则模型。规则模型是一个出很多条IF-Then或类似形式的规则组成的预测模型,它由某种规则学习方法从某个训练数据集(这里就是L1)中训练出来。这里可以使用任何类型的规则学习方法,只要其产生的模型可以执行预测任务即可,例如可以使用机器学习教科书中介绍的RIPPER、C4.5 Rule等。步骤16接收待诊断的症状向量。步骤17将症状向量提交给训练好的规则模型进行预测。步骤18给出规则模型产生的预测结果及预测过程中使用的规则,这些规则就组成了对该预测结果的解释。步骤19是结束状态。Step 15 in FIG. 2 uses L 1 to train a regular model. The rule model is a prediction model composed of many IF-Then or similar rules, which is trained from a training data set (here L 1 ) by a rule learning method. Any type of rule learning method can be used here, as long as the model it produces can perform prediction tasks, for example, RIPPER, C4.5 Rule, etc. introduced in machine learning textbooks can be used. Step 16 receives a symptom vector to be diagnosed. Step 17 submits the symptom vector to the trained regular model for prediction. Step 18 gives the prediction results generated by the rule model and the rules used in the prediction process, and these rules constitute the interpretation of the prediction results. Step 19 is the end state.

由于本发明的方法建立的预测模型是规则模型,因此其具有高理解性;又由于该方法利用了具有高精度的神经网络集成来产生建立规则模型的训练数据集,这可以视为对初始数据集进行了去噪、增强等良性处理,因此建立的规则模型也具有高精度。Because the predictive model that the method of the present invention establishes is a regular model, it has high comprehension; and because the method utilizes the neural network integration with high precision to produce the training data set that establishes the regular model, this can be regarded as the initial data The set has undergone benign processing such as denoising and enhancement, so the established rule model is also of high precision.

图3详细说明了图2的步骤14,其作用是利用神经网络集成来产生用于建立规则模型的规则训练数据集L1。图3的步骤140是起始状态。步骤141将L1置为空集。步骤142从图2的步骤12产生的初始训练数据集L0中获取一个症状向量及其类别。步骤143为每个类别分别设置一个计数器,这些计数器用来记录有多少个神经网络给出的预测结果是该类别,这里的各类别分别对应了诊断出的具体疾病类别(“没有疾病”也作为一种类别)。步骤144将所有计数器清零。步骤145将控制参数k置为1,k是一个大于等于1但小于等于图2中步骤13的N的一个整数值,它用来指示当前考察的神经网络的序号。步骤146取得神经网络集成中第k个神经网络对待诊症状向量给出的预测结果,为叙述方便,称该结果为Fk。步骤147将Fk所对应的类别的计数器加一。步骤148将k加一。步骤149判断k是否小于等于神经网络集成中神经网络的个数,即图2中步骤13的N,如果是则表明还有其他神经网络尚未考察,转到步骤146;否则就执行步骤150。FIG. 3 illustrates step 14 in FIG. 2 in detail, and its function is to use neural network integration to generate a rule training data set L 1 for building a rule model. Step 140 of Figure 3 is the initial state. Step 141 sets L 1 as an empty set. Step 142 obtains a symptom vector and its category from the initial training data set L 0 generated in step 12 of FIG. 2 . Step 143 sets a counter respectively for each category, and these counters are used for recording how many neural networks give the prediction result is this category, and each category here corresponds to the specific disease category diagnosed ("no disease" is also used as a category). Step 144 clears all counters. Step 145 sets the control parameter k to 1. k is an integer value greater than or equal to 1 but less than or equal to N in step 13 in FIG. Step 146 obtains the prediction result given by the kth neural network in the neural network ensemble for the symptom vector to be diagnosed. For the convenience of description, this result is called F k . Step 147 increments the counter of the class corresponding to F k by one. Step 148 increments k by one. Step 149 judges whether k is less than or equal to the number of neural networks in the neural network ensemble, that is, N in step 13 in FIG.

图3的步骤150对所有计数器中的值进行比较,找出值最大的计数器,并将其对应的类别作为当前症状向量的新类别;如果有多个计数器中的值均为最大值,则以这些计数器对应的类别中出现机会最大的疾病种类作为当前症状向量的新类别。步骤151将当前症状向量及其新类别加入L1。步骤152判断L0中是否还有未考察的症状向量,如果有则转到步骤142;否则就进入步骤153,即图3的结束状态。Step 150 of Fig. 3 compares the values in all counters, finds the counter with the largest value, and uses its corresponding category as the new category of the current symptom vector; if the values in multiple counters are all maximum values, then use The disease category with the greatest chance of occurrence in the category corresponding to these counters is used as a new category of the current symptom vector. Step 151 adds the current symptom vector and its new category to L 1 . Step 152 judges whether there are unexamined symptom vectors in L0, if so, go to step 142; otherwise, go to step 153, which is the end state of FIG. 3 .

Claims (1)

1, a kind of forecast modeling method that is applicable to computer-aided medical diagnosis comprises the symptom of obtaining the follow-up object by the medical symptom checkout equipment, then symptom is quantized to obtain symptom vector [t 1, t 2..., t n], t wherein nRepresent n symptom value, the symptom vector is given forecast model and is handled, and the digitized representations form that can be predicted the outcome and explain is characterized in that this method may further comprise the steps:
(1) if forecast model does not train, execution in step (2) then, otherwise forward step (6) to;
(2) utilize historical case to produce the initial training data set;
(3) it is integrated to utilize the initial training data set to train a neural network;
(4) but the neural network of utilizing the repeated sampling technology to generate is integrated that the initial training data set is handled with the generation rule training dataset;
(5) utilize the rule learning technology to concentrate the generation rule model from regular training data;
(6) utilize rule model to predict and provide result and explanation;
(7) finish;
In (4), utilize the integrated generation of neural network to be used to set up the regular training dataset L of rule model 1Step be:
(4.1) with L 1Be changed to empty set;
(4.2) from initial training data set L 0In obtain a symptom vector and classification thereof;
(4.3) for each classification a counter is set respectively, is used for writing down the generic number that predicts the outcome that neural network provides;
(4.4) with all counter O resets;
(4.5) controlled variable k is changed to 1, k be one more than or equal to 1 but smaller or equal to neural network integrated in the number N of neural network;
(4.6) obtain neural network integrated in k the F that predicts the outcome that neural network provides follow-up symptom vector k
(4.7) with F kThe counter of pairing classification adds 1;
(4.8) k is added 1;
(4.9) judge k whether smaller or equal to neural network integrated in the number N of neural network, if show that then other neural networks are investigated as yet in addition, forward step (4.6) to; Otherwise execution in step (4.10);
(4.10) value in all counters is compared, the counter that the value of finding out is maximum, and with the new classification of its corresponding class as current symptom vector; If there is the value in a plurality of counters to be maximal value, then to occur the new classification of the kinds of Diseases of chance maximum in these counter corresponding class as current symptom vector;
(4.11) current symptom vector and new classification thereof are added L 1
(4.12) judge L 0In whether also have the symptom vector of not investigating, if having then forward step (4.2) to; Otherwise enter step (4.13);
(4.13) finish.
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