Abstract
We discuss two major reviews of the accuracy of dichotomous (yes/no) violence predictions (Monahan, 1981; Otto, 1992), which reported rates offalse positive errors that were calculated using conceptually and mathematically dissimilar methods. We outline potential problems that result from analyzing data in the form of 2×2 contingency tables and offer some recommendations for future research on the prediction of violence.
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Hart, S.D., Webster, C.D. & Menzies, R.J. A note on portraying the accuracy of violence predictions. Law Hum Behav 17, 695–700 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01044690
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01044690