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Landslide susceptibility mapping using an integrated model of information value method and logistic regression in the Bailongjiang watershed, Gansu Province, China

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Abstract

Bailongjiang watershed in southern Gansu province, China, is one of the most landslide-prone regions in China, characterized by very high frequency of landslide occurrence. In order to predict the landslide occurrence, a comprehensive map of landslide susceptibility is required which may be significantly helpful in reducing loss of property and human life. In this study, an integrated model of information value method and logistic regression is proposed by using their merits at maximum and overcoming their weaknesses, which may enhance precision and accuracy of landslide susceptibility assessment. A detailed and reliable landslide inventory with 1587 landslides was prepared and randomly divided into two groups, (i) training dataset and (ii) testing dataset. Eight distinct landslide conditioning factors including lithology, slope gradient, aspect, elevation, distance to drainages, distance to faults, distance to roads and vegetation coverage were selected for landslide susceptibility mapping. The produced landslide susceptibility maps were validated by the success rate and prediction rate curves. The validation results show that the success rate and the prediction rate of the integrated model are 81.7 % and 84.6 %, respectively, which indicate that the proposed integrated method is reliable to produce an accurate landslide susceptibility map and the results may be used for landslides management and mitigation.

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Acknowledgements

This research was supported by the Project of the 12th Five-year National Sci-Tech Support Plan of China (2011BAK12B09) and China Special Project of Basic Work of Science and Technology (2011FY110100-2).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Key Laboratory of Neotectonic Movement and Geohazard, Institute of Geomechanics, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing, 100081, China

    Guo-liang Du, Yong-shuang Zhang, Zhi-hua Yang & Xin Yao

  2. Department of Earth Sciences, Abbottabad University of Science and Technology, Abbottabad, 22010, Pakistan

    Javed Iqbal

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  1. Guo-liang Du
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  2. Yong-shuang Zhang
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  4. Zhi-hua Yang
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Correspondence to Yong-shuang Zhang.

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Du, Gl., Zhang, Ys., Iqbal, J. et al. Landslide susceptibility mapping using an integrated model of information value method and logistic regression in the Bailongjiang watershed, Gansu Province, China. J. Mt. Sci. 14, 249–268 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-016-4126-9

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