In September, the HSE Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge hosted an international working meeting with representatives from Brazilian, Egyptian, and Indian think tanks. The participants discussed opportunities for cooperation, including joint surveys, comparative studies, databases, and publications on foresight, technology, and innovation. It was also decided to draft a multilateral agreement to establish the BRICS Foresight Association.

Leonid Gokhberg, Director of the HSE Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge (ISSEK), welcomed the participants and presented an overview of research activities carried out at HSE University, including those at ISSEK.

With over 240 staff researchers, ISSEK includes 19 research centres and two international laboratories, making it the largest research unit within HSE University. Key fields of research at ISSEK include science, technology, innovation, digital economy, creative industries, education, and labour market and employment. ISSEK scholars carry out foresight for STI, sustainable economic growth, social welfare, and competitiveness, as well as policy analysis for innovation-driven growth.

ISSEK carries out research projects such as Doing Science in Russia, which analyses the current state of science in Russia and its prospects for development; the Russian Cluster Observatory, which studies cluster policy and offers consultancy; the HSE Global Cities Innovation Index, which analyses over 1000 agglomerations with the largest numbers of high tech and creative leaders from 144 countries; and iFORA, a system of intelligent big data analysis.

Leonid Gokhberg also proposed creating a BRICS Foresight Association that would facilitate the cooperation in these areas.

Fernando Rizzo, President of the Centre for Strategic Studies and Management in Science, Technology, and Innovation (CGEE), Brazil, introduced the audience to the history and activities of the Centre. Founded in 2001 and including 115 collaborators, CGEE supports decision-making processes on topics related to science, technology and innovation, through strategic prospecting and evaluation studies. CGEE experts plan, evaluate, and monitor public policies, identify technological opportunities, carry out foresight studies, provide strategic intelligence services for decision making, and offer competency mapping. CGEE includes several research observatories: HR Information Services for Science, Technology and Innovation; Space Technologies Observatory; Science, Technology and Innovation Observatory; Innovation Observatory for Sustainable Cities; Bioeconomy Observatory, and Digital Transformation Observatory.

In 2024, CGEE organised the 5^th National Conference on Science, Technology and Innovation, a major event that attracted a total of 30,000 participants across 27 states. At the Conference, the Brazilian Plan for Artificial Intelligence (BPAI) 2024–2028 was launched.

Dr Mohamed Ramadan Rezk, Director of the Egyptian Science, Technology and Innovation Observatory (ESTIO), Egypt, started his presentation with the unexpected idea that foresight had existed as far back as in Ancient Egypt, where stone carvings depicted a future life after death. In its modern understanding, foresight emerged in Egypt in 1975, when Food and Agriculture Organization explored the population outcomes of alternative strategies for development from 1975 to 1985. ESTIO was established in February 2014 as an affiliated tool of the Academy of Scientific Research and Technology (ASRT) in order to focus on STI indicators, conduct future studies, and raise awareness of foresight in Egypt. More recently, in 2021, the North African Applied System Analysis Centre (NAASAC) was established as part of cooperation between ASRT, the International Institute for the Application of Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Austria, and the Institute of National Planning. Its activities include developing an online applied research-oriented degree programme; driving applied research collaborations on challenges relevant to Egyptian, North African, and Arab decision makers; and providing consulting services to governments and businesses. ASRT carries out foresight studies in areas such as energy, water, the impact of COVID-19 on society, and climate change.

Dr Gautam Goswami, Leading Scientist at the Technology Information, Forecasting and Assessment Council (TIFAC), India, discussed the strengths of his organisation. TIFAC is a technology think tank under the Indian Government Department of Science and Technology that monitors future technology trends and outlines technology trajectories for the nation. Governed by a council of eminent experts from government agencies, R&D institutions, academia, and industry, TIFAC prepared Technology Vision 2020 in 1996, Technology Vision 2035 in 1996, and is now working on Technology Vision 2047. The think tank focuses on areas of technology information, technology foresight, technology assessment, technology demonstration, and innovation support. The Council’s experts create the Techno Market Survey Report to track new and emerging technologies; maintain technology and expert databases, and manage patent information. They put together short-term and long-term foresight reports; provide technology needs assessment for meeting India’s climate change targets, and conduct training on foresight for industry professionals, Indian government officials, and academics.

Iwao Ohashi, from Japan, Advisor on Japan and APAC, Industrial Parks of Russia, shared his view on the prospects of Russia’s technological development under sanctions. He believes that Russia should promote cooperation in technology and innovation through its ties with BRICS countries. Joint foresight research is also very important, and Iwao Ohashi suggested that founding a BRICS Foresight Association would be a very promising idea. Mr Ohashi emphasised that China will likely become the real leader in innovation in the nearest future. At the same time, ‘it is also important to create Russian innovation hubs within the country and its regions, and to invite foreign experts to Russia. This is the role of the city, and it should be done strategically’, he said.

After the presentations, scholars from ISSEK exchanged ideas of cooperation with the international participants. Dirk Meissner, Head of the Laboratory for Economics of Innovation and Academic Supervisor of the master’s programme in Science, Technology and Innovation Management and Policy, talked about their cooperation with colleagues from the University of Campinas, Brazil. ‘Geographical distance is no longer a problem,’ he said, emphasising the importance of online communication and learning.

Liliana Proskuryakova, Head of the Laboratory for Science and Technology Studies, noted that among the possible areas for joint research, many participants mentioned basic needs such as energy, water, and health, and suggested that these could be potential priorities for cooperation. Mikhail Gershman, Director of the Centre for Science, Technology, Innovation and Information Policy, who is responsible for Doing Science in Russia survey, invited colleagues to join forces in comparative cross-country studies on science environment and science-related policies. Ekaterina Streltsova, Director of the Centre for Statistics and Monitoring of S&T and Innovation, proposed cooperation on patent analysis and methodological approaches to technology assessment.

Evgeniy Kutsenko, Director of the Russian Cluster Observatory, explained their research agenda, which includes cluster excellence, unicorn companies, and creative industries. Mariia Antasheva, Expert at ISSEK Data Analysis Unit, presented iFORA, a big data mining system developed at ISSEK.

The participants agreed to promote international friendship and initiate cooperation in the areas discussed at the meeting. Leonid Gokhberg also suggested that ISSEK drafts a multilateral agreement to establish the BRICS Foresight Association.