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A multilevel factor model: Identification, asymptotic theory and applications

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  • In Choi
  • Dukpa Kim
  • Yun Jung Kim
  • Noh‐Sun Kwark
Abstract
This paper studies a multilevel factor model with global and country factors. The global factors affect all individuals, whereas the country factors affect only those within each specific country. A sequential procedure to identify the global and country factors separately is proposed. In the initial step, the global factors are estimated by canonical correlation analysis. Using this initial estimator, the principal component estimators (PCEs) of the global and country factors are constructed. It is shown that the PCEs estimate the spaces of the global and country factors consistently and are normally distributed in the limit. Several information criteria that can estimate the number of country factors are proposed. The number of global factors is assumed to be known. Extensive simulation results demonstrate that the sequential procedure and information criteria work well in finite samples. The method of this paper is applied to 25 OECD countries to identify an international business cycle. It is reported that the method extracts a global factor reasonably well.

Suggested Citation

  • In Choi & Dukpa Kim & Yun Jung Kim & Noh‐Sun Kwark, 2018. "A multilevel factor model: Identification, asymptotic theory and applications," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 355-377, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:japmet:v:33:y:2018:i:3:p:355-377
    DOI: 10.1002/jae.2611
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    7. Yufeng Mao & Bin Peng & Mervyn J Silvapulle & Param Silvapulle & Yanrong Yang, 2021. "Decomposition of Bilateral Trade Flows Using a Three-Dimensional Panel Data Model," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 7/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    8. Sung Hoon Choi & Donggyu Kim, 2023. "Large Global Volatility Matrix Analysis Based on Observation Structural Information," Papers 2305.01464, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    9. Ergemen, Yunus Emre & Rodríguez-Caballero, C. Vladimir, 2023. "Estimation of a dynamic multi-level factor model with possible long-range dependence," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 405-430.
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    18. Carlos Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero, 2016. "Panel Data with Cross-Sectional Dependence Characterized by a Multi-Level Factor Structure," CREATES Research Papers 2016-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    19. Camacho, Maximo & Lopez-Buenache, German, 2023. "Factor models for large and incomplete data sets with unknown group structure," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1205-1220.
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    22. Shiwen Liu & Zhen Zhang & Junhua Yang & Wei Hu, 2022. "Exploring Increasing Urban Resident Electricity Consumption: The Spatial Spillover Effect of Resident Income," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-17, June.

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