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Has Canadian house price growth been excessive?

Author

Listed:
  • Allen Head
  • Huw Lloyd-Ellis
Abstract
The dramatic rise in the ratio of Canada's average house price to average rent has led to speculation that there is a bubble in the Canadian housing market. Others have argued, however, that the currently high level of house prices may be rationalized by the low cost of financing, given the decline in interest rates over the last two decades. In this article, we assess these arguments through the lens of a simple asset pricing model applied to city-level data. We quantify the extent to which excess growth in Canadian house prices depends on the nature of the current regime governing real interest rates, expectations of rent growth in different cities and variations in property taxes.

Suggested Citation

  • Allen Head & Huw Lloyd-Ellis, 2016. "Has Canadian house price growth been excessive?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1367-1400, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:49:y:2016:i:4:p:1367-1400
    DOI: 10.1111/caje.12237
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    Cited by:

    1. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose Eduardo & Sanin-Restrepo, Sebastian, 2018. "The maple bubble: A history of migration among Canadian provinces," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 57-71.
    2. Benjamin Dachis & Vincent Thivierge, 2018. "Through the Roof: The High Cost of Barriers to Building New Housing in Canadian Municipalities," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 513, May.
    3. Du, Zaichao & Yin, Hua & Zhang, Lin, 2022. "Foreign buyer taxes and house prices in Canada: A tale of two cities," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    4. Xufeng Jiang & Zelu Jia & Lefei Li & Tianhong Zhao, 2022. "Understanding Housing Prices Using Geographic Big Data: A Case Study in Shenzhen," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-20, April.

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    JEL classification:

    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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