Objective

To evaluate the ability of preoperative multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) and a gallium-68 prostate-specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography/computed tomography (⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT) scan to predict pathological outcomes and also identify a group of men with a <5% risk of histological pelvic lymph node metastasis (LNM) at pelvic lymph node dissection (PLND) performed during a robot-assisted laparoscopic radical prostatectomy (RALP) for prostate cancer. We then aimed to compare these results to known risk calculators for LNM, including the Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment (CAPRA) score, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Centre (MSKCC) and Briganti nomograms.

Patients and methods

Between July 2014 and September 2019 only men who had both a preoperative mpMRI and staging ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT at our institution followed by a RALP with PLND referred to a single specialist uropathology laboratory were considered for inclusion. The data were collected retrospectively prior to February 2019 and in a prospective manner thereafter. A model was built to allocate probabilities of the men with a negative ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT scan having a <5% risk of histologically LNM at RALP based on the preoperative radiological staging.

Results

A total of 233 consecutive men met the inclusion criteria of which 58 men (24.9%) had a LNM identified on PLND histology. The median (range) International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) Grade was 5 (1-5) and the median (range) prostate-specific antigen level was 7.4 (1.5-72) ng/mL. The median (range) number of resected lymph nodes was 16 (1-53) and the median (range) number of positive nodes identified on histology was 2 (1-22). Seminal vesicle invasion on mpMRI was more common in node-positive men than in the absence of LNM (31% vs 12%). The maximum standardised uptake value of the primary tumour on ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT was higher in men with LNM (median 9.2 vs 7.2, P = 0.02). Suspected LNM were identified in 42/233 (18.0%) men with ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT compared with 22/233 (9.4%) men with mpMRI (P = 0.023). The positive and negative predictive value for ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT was 66.7% and 84.3% respectively, compared to 59.1% and 78.7% for mpMRI. A predictive model showed only two men (4.2%) with a negative preoperative ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT would be positive for a histological LNM if they are ISUP Grade < 5 and Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) <5; or ISUP Grade 5 with PI-RADS < 4. An inspection of three additional variables: CAPRA score, MSKCC and Briganti nomograms did not improve the predictive probability for this group. However, of the 61 men with ISUP Grade 4-5 malignancy and also a PI-RADS 5 mpMRI, 20 (32.8%) men had a microscopic LNM despite a negative preoperative ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT.

Conclusion

Preoperative ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA/PET CT was more sensitive in identifying histological pelvic LNM than 3-T mpMRI. Men with a negative ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT have a lower risk of LNM than predicted with CAPRA scores or MSKCC and Briganti nomograms. We identified that the combination of a negative preoperative ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT, ISUP biopsy Grade <5 and PI-RADS <5 prostate mpMRI, or an ISUP Grade 5 with PI-RADS <4 on mpMRI was associated with a <5% risk of a LNM. The addition of CAPRA scores, MSKCC and Briganti nomograms did not improve the predictive probability within this model. Conversely, men with ISUP Grade 4-5 malignancy associated with a PI-RADS 5 prostate mpMRI had a >30% risk of microscopic LNM despite a negative preoperative ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT and this high-risk group would appear suitable for an extended PLND at the time of a radical prostatectomy.