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2010 Nevada gubernatorial election

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See also: 2010 United States gubernatorial elections

2010 Nevada gubernatorial election
← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
 
Nominee Brian Sandoval Rory Reid
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 382,350 298,170
Percentage 53.36% 41.61%
County results
Sandoval:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Jim Gibbons
Republican

Elected Governor

Brian Sandoval
Republican

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The 2010 Nevada gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Nevada, who would serve a four-year term to begin on January 3, 2011. Despite speculation that incumbent Republican governor Jim Gibbons would not run for a second term due to low approval ratings, he ran for re-election.[1][2][3] He struggled in the polls, and ultimately federal judge and former attorney general of Nevada Brian Sandoval secured the nomination. Sandoval defeated Democrat Rory Reid, son of then-current U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who won his fifth term in the Senate on the same ballot.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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A total of five Republican candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.[4]

Declared

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Withdrew

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jim
Gibbons 		Mike
Montandon 		Brian
Sandoval 		Undecided
Research 2000[8] June 2, 2010 — — 27% 6% 48% —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[9] May 10–11, 2010 — — 27% 6% 45% —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[10] April 10, 2010 — — 25% 7% 39% —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[11] February 22–24, 2010 — — 30% 9% 37% —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[12] January 10, 2010 — — 23% 7% 39% —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[13] December 2009 — — 18% 6% 39% —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[14] October 8, 2009 — — 20% 4% 41% —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[15] August 21, 2009 — — 17% 3% 33% —

Results

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Republican primary results by county:
Sandoval
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
Gibbons
  •   <40%
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Sandoval 97,201 55.53%
Republican Jim Gibbons (incumbent) 47,616 27.20%
Republican Mike Montandon 22,003 12.57%
None of These Candidates 4,400 2.51%
Republican Tony Atwood 2,440 1.39%
Republican Stan Lusak 1,380 0.79%
Total votes 175,040 100.00%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Two Democratic candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.[4]

Declared

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Declined

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Polling

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Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Barbara
Buckley 		Oscar
Goodman 		Rory
Reid 		Undecided
Mason Dixon/LVJR[15] August 21, 2009 — — 25% 34% 13% —
— — 43% — 22% —

Results

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Democratic primary results by county:
Reid
  •   Reid—70–80%
  •   Reid—60–70%
  •   Reid—50–60%
  •   Reid—40–50%
  •   Reid—<40%
Conquest
  •   Conquest—<40%
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rory Reid 80,162 70.08%
None of These Candidates 17,454 15.26%
Democratic Frederick Conquest 16,775 14.66%
Total votes 114,391 100.00%

Other candidates

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Independents

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Declared

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  • Eugene "Gino" DiSimone[4]
  • Aaron Y. Honig[4]

Declined

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Green

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  • David Scott Curtis[4]

Independent American

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  • Floyd Fitzgibbons[4]

Libertarian

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  • Arthur Forest Lampitt[4]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[20] Likely R October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[21] Safe R October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[22] Likely R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Likely R October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[24] Tossup October 28, 2010

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Brian
Sandoval (R) 		Rory
Reid (D) 		Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports[25] October 5, 2010 — — 59% 41% — —
Rasmussen Reports[25] September 28, 2010 — — 49% 40% — —
Public Opinion Strategies[26] September 21–23, 2010 — — 45% 39% — —
Rasmussen Reports[25] September 21, 2010 — — 49% 35% — —
CNN/Time Magazine[27] September 10–14, 2010 — — 58% 31% — —
Reuters/Ipsos[28] September 10–12, 2010 — — 60% 31% — —
Mason-Dixon[29] September 9, 2010 — — 52% 36% — —
Rasmussen Reports[25] September 1, 2010 750 ± 4% 58% 33% 2% 7%
Mason-Dixon[30] August 23–25, 2010 — — 53% 31% — —
Rasmussen Reports[31] August 16, 2010 750 ± 4% 52% 36% 3% 8%
Mason-Dixon[32] August 11, 2010 — — 52% 36% — —
Rasmussen Reports[33] July 27, 2010 750 ± 4% 50% 40% 6% 4%
Public Policy Polling[34] July 16–18, 2010 — — 52% 38% — —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[35] July 12–14, 2010 — — 47% 36% — —
Rasmussen Reports[36] July 12, 2010 750 ± 4% 57% 36% 3% 4%
Rasmussen Reports[37] June 22, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 55% 33% 8% 4%
Rasmussen Reports[38] June 9, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 54% 31% 3% 13%
Research 2000[8] June 2, 2010 — — 51% 41% — —
Rasmussen Reports[39] April 27, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 53% 35% 12% 3%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[11] April 10, 2010 — — 50% 35% — —
Rasmussen Reports[33] March 31, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 55% 34% 6% 4%
Rasmussen Reports[33] March 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 53% 35% 7% 5%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[11] February 22–24, 2010 — — 51% 29% — —
Rasmussen Reports[40] February 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 33% 11% 12%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[41] January 10, 2010 — — 53% 31% — —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[13] December 4, 2009 — — 49% 35% — —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[14] October 8, 2009 — — 50% 33% — —
Hypothetical polling

With Gibbons

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jim
Gibbons (R) 		Rory
Reid (D) 		Other Undecided
Research 2000[8] June 2, 2010 — — 31% 52% — —
Rasmussen Reports[39] April 27, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 37% 47% 12% 3%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[11] April 10, 2010 — — 40% 42% — —
Rasmussen Reports[33] March 31, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 43% 8% 4%
Rasmussen Reports[33] March 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 36% 44% 15% 4%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[11] February 22–24, 2010 — — 38% 42% — —
Rasmussen Reports[40] February 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 35% 44% 13% 8%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[42] December 2009 — — 34% 48% — —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[14] October 8, 2009 — — 37% 49% — —
Mason Dixon/LVJR[43] August 21, 2009 — — 35% 47% — —

With Montandon

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mike
Montandon (R) 		Rory
Reid (D) 		Other Undecided
Research 2000[8] June 2, 2010 — — 40% 43% — —
Rasmussen Reports[39] April 27, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 39% 9% 8%
Rasmussen Reports[39] March 31, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 38% 9% 8%
Rasmussen Reports[39] March 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 42% 37% 13% 8%
Rasmussen Reports[40] February 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 36% 40% 14% 10%

Results

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Nevada gubernatorial election, 2010[44]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Brian Sandoval 382,350 53.36% +5.44%
Democratic Rory Reid 298,171 41.61% −2.31%
None of These Candidates 12,231 1.71% −1.85%
Independent Eugene DiSimone 6,403 0.89% +0.89%
Independent American Floyd Fitzgibbons 5,049 0.70% −2.73%
Libertarian Arthur Forest Lampitt, Jr. 4,672 0.65% +0.65%
Green David Scott Curtis 4,437 0.62% −0.54%
Independent Aaron Y. Honig 3,216 0.45% +0.45%
Majority 84,179 11.75%
Total votes 716,529 100.00%
Republican hold Swing +7.74%

County results

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County Brian Sandoval
Republican 		Rory Reid
Democratic 		None of
These Candidates 		Eugene DiSimone
Independent 		Floyd Fitzgibbons
Independent American 		Arthur Forest Lampitt Jr.
Libertarian 		David Scott Curtis
Green 		Aaron Y. Honig
Independent 		Margin Total votes cast[44]
# % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # %
Carson City 11,512 59.06% 6,676 34.25% 511 2.62% 267 1.37% 208 1.07% 115 0.59% 132 0.68% 71 0.36% 4,836 24.81% 19,492
Churchill 6,586 74.19% 1,697 19.12% 167 1.88% 117 1.32% 145 1.63% 60 0.68% 57 0.64% 48 0.54% 4,889 55.07% 8,877
Clark 224,751 48.61% 217,113 46.96% 7,008 1.52% 3,598 0.78% 2,347 0.51% 2,837 0.61% 2,547 0.55% 2,171 0.47% 7,638 1.65% 462,372
Douglas 15,001 69.10% 5,345 24.62% 396 1.82% 328 1.51% 231 1.06% 139 0.64% 192 0.88% 76 0.35% 9,656 44.48% 21,708
Elko 9,489 73.97% 2,194 17.10% 321 2.50% 159 1.24% 394 3.07% 102 0.80% 99 0.77% 71 0.55% 7,295 56.86% 12,829
Esmeralda 289 72.61% 48 12.06% 20 5.03% 6 1.51% 11 2.76% 12 3.02% 7 1.76% 5 1.26% 241 60.55% 398
Eureka 597 78.97% 76 10.05% 31 4.10% 9 1.19% 20 2.65% 12 1.59% 10 1.32% 1 0.13% 521 68.92% 756
Humboldt 3,564 71.61% 994 19.97% 120 2.41% 84 1.69% 116 2.33% 50 1.00% 23 0.46% 26 0.52% 2,570 51.64% 4,977
Lander 1,449 76.42% 277 14.61% 61 3.22% 28 1.48% 33 1.74% 16 0.84% 20 1.05% 12 0.63% 1,172 61.81% 1,896
Lincoln 1,381 70.93% 380 19.52% 72 3.70% 17 0.87% 48 2.47% 26 1.34% 12 0.62% 11 0.56% 1,001 51.41% 1,947
Lyon 11,937 68.46% 4,331 24.84% 340 1.95% 226 1.30% 266 1.53% 113 0.65% 139 0.80% 85 0.49% 7,606 43.62% 17,437
Mineral 1,136 59.88% 556 29.31% 89 4.69% 36 1.90% 43 2.27% 10 0.53% 18 0.95% 9 0.47% 580 30.57% 1,897
Nye 8,829 61.49% 4,224 29.42% 289 2.01% 221 1.54% 349 2.43% 206 1.43% 144 1.00% 97 0.68% 4,605 32.07% 14,359
Pershing 1,140 65.86% 396 22.88% 85 4.91% 32 1.85% 42 2.43% 10 0.58% 11 0.64% 15 0.87% 744 42.98% 1,731
Storey 1,355 63.70% 615 28.91% 53 2.49% 35 1.65% 26 1.22% 14 0.66% 22 1.03% 7 0.33% 740 34.79% 2,127
Washoe 81,073 57.72% 52,730 37.54% 2,555 1.82% 1,156 0.82% 685 0.49% 811 0.58% 970 0.69% 488 0.35% 28,343 20.18% 140,468
White Pine 2,261 69.40% 519 15.93% 113 3.47% 84 2.58% 85 2.61% 139 4.27% 34 1.04% 23 0.71% 1,742 53.47% 3,258
Totals 382,350 53.36% 298,171 41.61% 12,231 1.71% 6,403 0.89% 5,049 0.70% 4,672 0.65% 4,437 0.62% 3,216 0.45% 84,179 11.75% 716,529

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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See also

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References

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  1. ^ Gentry, Dana (June 4, 2008). "Consultants: No second term for Gibbons". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved January 1, 2008.
  2. ^ Vogel, Ed (June 13, 2008). "GOVERNING NEVADA: Disregard divorce, poll says". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved January 1, 2009.
  3. ^ Schwartz, David McGrath (July 19, 2009). "With scant crew, Gibbons reelection campaign sets sail". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved May 5, 2010.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "2010 Filed Candidates". Secretary of State of Nevada. Retrieved May 6, 2010.
  5. ^ McGrath Schwartz, David (September 21, 2008). "Rory Reid lays ground for run for governor". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved January 1, 2009.
  6. ^ "RUNNING FOR GOVERNOR: Montandon takes aim at Gibbons - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. July 1, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. ^ Damon, Anjeanette (September 15, 2009). "Sandoval: I am running for governor". Reno Gazette-Journal. Archived from the original on February 1, 2013. Retrieved September 16, 2009.
  8. ^ a b c d Research 2000
  9. ^ Mason Dixon/LVJR
  10. ^ Mason Dixon/LVJR
  11. ^ a b c d e Mason Dixon/LVJR
  12. ^ Mason Dixon/LVJR
  13. ^ a b Mason Dixon/LVJR
  14. ^ a b c Mason Dixon/LVJR
  15. ^ a b Mason Dixon/LVJR
  16. ^ a b "2010 Official Statewide Primary Election Results". Nevada Secretary of State. June 8, 2010. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
  17. ^ "Harry Reid's son enters Nevada gubernatorial race". CNN. October 14, 2009. Archived from the original on October 17, 2009. Retrieved October 15, 2009.
  18. ^ "Buckley passes on a run for Nevada governor - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. September 12, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  19. ^ "Top of the Ticket". Los Angeles Times. January 25, 2010. Retrieved May 20, 2010.
  20. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  21. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  22. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  23. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  24. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  25. ^ a b c d Rasmussen Reports
  26. ^ Public Opinion Strategies
  27. ^ CNN/Time Magazine
  28. ^ Reuters/Ipsos
  29. ^ Mason-Dixon
  30. ^ Mason-Dixon
  31. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  32. ^ Mason-Dixon
  33. ^ a b c d e Rasmussen Reports
  34. ^ Public Policy Polling
  35. ^ Mason Dixon/LVJR
  36. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  37. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  38. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  39. ^ a b c d e Rasmussen Reports
  40. ^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
  41. ^ Mason Dixon/LVJR
  42. ^ Mason Dixon/LVJR
  43. ^ Mason Dixon/LVJR
  44. ^ a b "2010 Official Statewide General Election Results". Nevada Secretary of State. November 2, 2010. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
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Debate

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