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Next Irish general election

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Next Irish general election
Republic of Ireland
← 2020 No later than March 2025
174 seats in Dáil Éireann
88 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
Fianna Fáil Micheál Martin 35
Sinn Féin Mary Lou McDonald 33
Fine Gael Simon Harris 32
Green Roderic O'Gorman 12
Labour Ivana Bacik 6
Social Democrats Holly Cairns 6
PBP–Solidarity Collective leadership 5
Independent Ireland Michael Collins 3
Aontú Peadar Tóibín 1
Right to Change Joan Collins 1
Independent — 20
Ceann Comhairle Seán Ó Fearghaíl 1
Vacant — 5
Map of the Dáil constituencies to be used at the election.
Incumbent Taoiseach
Simon Harris
Fine Gael
Dáil constituencies to be used at the next general election

The next Irish general election must be held no later than March 2025 to elect the 34th Dáil, the lower house of the Oireachtas, Ireland's parliament. It will elect Teachtaí Dála (TDs) across Dáil constituencies of between 3 and 5 seats.

Under the Electoral (Amendment) Act 2023, there will be 174 TDs at the next election, an increase of 14 seats from the current Dáil, and an increase in the number of constituencies from 39 to 43. This will be the largest Dáil in the history of the state.

The 33rd Dáil must be dissolved by the president at the request of the Taoiseach no later than 19 February 2025. The incumbent Taoiseach is Simon Harris, leader of Fine Gael, who is leading a coalition government of Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael, and the Green Party. He took office as Taoiseach on 9 April 2024, following the resignation of Leo Varadkar.

Constituency revision

In August 2023, the Electoral Commission proposed a Dáil size of 174 TDs to be elected across 43 Dáil constituencies – an increase of 14 TDs and four constituencies.[1] This was the first review of constituencies carried out by the Commission established under the Electoral Reform Act 2022, where previously they had been carried out by a Constituency Commission. This would be the largest size of the Dáil in the history of the State, surpassing the previous number of 166 TDs from 1981 to 2016.[2] The Electoral (Amendment) Act 2023 implemented the recommendations of the commission.[3]

The preliminary results of the 2022 census showed a population of over 5.1 million, which required a minimum Dáil size of 171 TDs.[4] The Commission was required by law to recommend a size of the Dáil of between 171 and 181 TDs.[5] This range reflects the growth in the population of the state, and the requirement of Article 16.6.2° of the Constitution of Ireland that there be one TD elected for no less than every 20,000 of the population and no more than every 30,000.[6]

Electoral system

Main article: Single transferable vote

Under the system of proportional representation by means of the single transferable vote (PR-STV), each voter may mark all candidates in order of preference. The quota is determined at the first count in each constituency by dividing the number of valid votes by one more than the number of seats (therefore, the quota is 25% in a three-seat constituency, 20% in a four-seat constituency, and 16.67% in a five-seat constituency).

Any candidate reaching or exceeding the quota is elected. If fewer candidates reach the quota than the number of seats to be filled, the last-placed candidate is removed from the count and the next available preferences on those ballot papers are redistributed until a candidate is elected. If such a candidate now has more votes than the quota, their surplus is distributed to remaining candidates in order of ranking on the ballot papers. This is repeated until sufficient candidates have passed the quota to fill the available seats,[7] or where a seat remains to be filled in a constituency and no candidate is capable of achieving a quota as there is nobody left to eliminate for a distribution then the highest place candidate without a quota is deemed elected.

The outgoing Ceann Comhairle (currently Seán Ó Fearghaíl) is due to be returned automatically, unless he announces to the Dáil that he does not wish to be a member of the incoming Dáil.[8]

Date of election

The Taoiseach may advise the president to dissolve the Dáil at any time during the period of the Dáil, which can be refused by the president only where the Taoiseach has ceased to retain the support of a majority in the Dáil. Electoral law provides that the "same Dáil shall not continue for a longer period than five years from the date of its first meeting".[9] When the Dáil is dissolved, the Clerk of the Dáil must issue a writ of election to the returning officer for each constituency.[10] The election must take place on a date set by the Minister for Housing, Local Government and Heritage 18 to 25 days (disregarding any excluded day) after the writs have been issued.[11][12][13]

The 33rd Dáil first met on 20 February 2020, and must be dissolved no later than 19 February 2025. This means that, per a calculation in The Irish Times, the latest date the election can be held is 22 March 2025.[14][15]

For most of 2024, many pundits believed that an autumn election was likely; coalition leaders repeatedly said they would like the government to complete its full term but were open to an early election if the circumstances provided for it.[16] Polling conducted in October 2024 indicated a majority of the public supported an early election to be held in November of the same year.[17]

Following the announcement on 1 October 2024 of the 2025 budget, speculation began in earnest that an election would be called for November or December.[18][19] In late October, Taoiseach Simon Harris said that he expected the election to be held before the end of 2024.[20]

Vacancies

Four TDs were elected to the European Parliament and took office on 16 July, vacating their seats in the Dáil; a writ to fill the vacancies must be moved within six months of that date, unless there has been a dissolution of the Dáil.[21] One TD, Joe Carey, has resigned from the Dáil.[22]

TD Constituency Party Date Reason
Barry Cowen Laois–Offaly Fianna Fáil 16 July 2024 Elected to the European Parliament
Kathleen Funchion Carlow–Kilkenny Sinn Féin 16 July 2024 Elected to the European Parliament
Michael McNamara Clare Independent 16 July 2024 Elected to the European Parliament
Aodhán Ó Ríordáin Dublin Bay North Labour 16 July 2024 Elected to the European Parliament
Joe Carey Clare Fine Gael 27 August 2024[22] Resignation due to illness

Retiring incumbents

The following members of the 33rd Dáil are not seeking re-election:

Departing TD Constituency Party First elected Date confirmed
Joe McHugh Donegal Fine Gael 2007 4 May 2022[23][24]
Brendan Griffin Kerry Fine Gael 2011 31 January 2023[25]
Denis Naughten Roscommon–Galway Independent 1997 13 February 2023[26]
John Paul Phelan Carlow–Kilkenny Fine Gael 2011 18 April 2023[27]
Michael Creed Cork North-West Fine Gael 1989 24 April 2023[28]
David Stanton Cork East Fine Gael 1997 23 May 2023[29]
Bríd Smith Dublin South-Central PBP–Solidarity 2016 10 July 2023[30][31]
Richard Bruton Dublin Bay North Fine Gael 1982 5 September 2023[32]
Charles Flanagan Laois–Offaly Fine Gael 1987 25 September 2023[33]
Brendan Howlin Wexford Labour 1987 6 October 2023[34]
Seán Sherlock Cork East Labour 2007 9 October 2023[35]
Marc MacSharry Sligo–Leitrim Independent[a] 2016 18 October 2023[36]
Fergus O'Dowd Louth Fine Gael 2002 27 November 2023[37]
Imelda Munster Louth Sinn Féin 2016 1 December 2023[38]
Seán Haughey Dublin Bay North Fianna Fáil 1987 6 February 2024[39]
Paul Kehoe Wexford Fine Gael 2002 12 February 2024[40]
Ciarán Cannon Galway East Fine Gael 2011 19 March 2024[41]
Josepha Madigan Dublin Rathdown Fine Gael 2016 22 March 2024[42]
Eamon Ryan Dublin Bay South Green 2002 18 June 2024[43]
Catherine Murphy Kildare North Social Democrats 2005 2 July 2024[44]
Róisín Shortall Dublin North-West Social Democrats 1992 2 July 2024[44]
Simon Coveney Cork South-Central Fine Gael 1998 10 July 2024[45]
Leo Varadkar Dublin West Fine Gael 2007 16 July 2024[46]
Éamon Ó Cuív Galway West Fianna Fáil 1992 24 July 2024[47]
Michael Ring Mayo Fine Gael 1994 30 July 2024[48]
Peter Fitzpatrick Louth Independent 2011 30 August 2024[49]
Damien English Meath West Fine Gael 2002 18 September 2024[50]
Heather Humphreys Cavan–Monaghan Fine Gael 2011 19 October 2024[51]
Jackie Cahill Tipperary Fianna Fáil 2016 21 October 2024[52]
  1. ^ MacSharry was elected as a Fianna Fáil TD but left the party in 2022.

Candidates

Main article: Candidates in the next Irish general election

Opinion polls

On 1 November, Coimisiún na Meán announced the lifting of the reporting moratorium that had been in place since 1997, and which had prevented election coverage from 14:00 on the day prior to the election until the close of polls. However, the agency also advised broadcasters not to report on opinion polls or exit polls while voting is underway.[53]

Various organisations conduct regular opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Irish general election, held on 8 February 2020, to the next election, which can be held no later than March 2025.

Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.
Last date
of polling 		Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size 		SF FF FG GP Lab SD PBP–S Aon II O/I[nb 1]
2 November 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 1] 1,832 18 20 26 4 4 6 2 3 – [nb 2] 16
23 October 2024 Red C/Business Post[p 2][p 3] 1,003 17 21 22 3 4 5 3 3 5 15
16 October 2024 Opinions/The Sunday Times[p 4] 1,005 16 19 24 4 5 5 3 2 – [nb 2] 22
4 October 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 5] 1,413 19 19 26 4 5 6 2 4 – [nb 2] 16
19 September 2024 Opinions/The Sunday Times[p 6] 1,000 18 20 24 4 4 5 3 2 – [nb 2] 20
17 September 2024 Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[p 7] 1,200 20 19 27 5 6 4 2 1 – [nb 2] 16
10 September 2024 Red C/Business Post[p 8][p 9] 1,004 18 18 23 4 4 6 3 4 4 15
31 August 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 10] 1,423 18 21 25 4 4 4 2 3 – [nb 2] 19
3 August 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 11] 1,388 19 20 24 4 4 5 2 4 – [nb 2] 18
5 July 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 12] 1,394 18 20 24 4 3 4 3 4 – [nb 2] 20
26 June 2024 Red C/Business Post[p 13] 1,000 20 19 21 5 3 5 3 3 5 15
31 May 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 14] 1,770 22 17 22 4 3 5 2 3 – [nb 2] 23
22 May 2024 Red C/Business Post[p 15] 1,021 23 15 22 4 4 5 3 3 – [nb 2] 21[nb 3]
15 May 2024 Opinions/The Sunday Times[p 16] 1,100 27 16 19 5 3 6 3 3 – [nb 2] 18
15 May 2024 Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[p 17] 1,500 23 20 23 4 5 3 2 1 – [nb 2] 17
3 May 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 18] 1,316 29 16 19 4 3 6 2 3 – [nb 2] 19
25 April 2024 Red C/Business Post[p 19] 1,027 27 14 20 3 3 6 2 4 – [nb 2] 21[nb 3]
17 April 2024 Opinions/The Sunday Times[p 20] 1,100 27 16 20 6 5 4 3 3 – [nb 2] 16
6 April 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 21] 1,334 26 16 21 4 3 6 2 4 – [nb 2] 17
23 March 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 22][p 23] 1,304 27 17 22 4 4 6 2 4 – [nb 2] 14
20 March 2024 Red C/Business Post[p 24] 1,027 25 16 19 4 3 6 3 5 – [nb 2] 19
2 March 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 25] 1,083 27 18 20 4 4 7 2 2 – [nb 2] 17
21 February 2024 Red C/Business Post[p 26] 1,009 28 16 20 3 4 7 3 3 – [nb 2] 16
6 February 2024 Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[p 27] 1,200 28 20 19 5 4 4 2 1 – [nb 2] 17
2 February 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 28] 1,394 29 17 19 3 4 5 3 3 – [nb 2] 18
24 January 2024 Red C/Business Post[p 29] 1,003 25 17 20 4 4 6 3 3 – [nb 2] 18
6 January 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 30] 1,270 30 17 20 3 3 5 3 3 – [nb 2] 17
2 December 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 31] 1,306 28 19 21 3 4 5 4 3 – [nb 2] 14
22 November 2023 Red C/Business Post[p 32] 1,021 29 16 20 4 4 6 3 2 – [nb 2] 16
3 November 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 33] 1,387 31 18 21 4 3 5 4 3 – [nb 4] 11
25 October 2023 Red C/Business Post[p 34] 1,018 32 15 20 4 5 6 3 2 – [nb 4] 12
29 September 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 35] 1,196 35 17 19 4 3 5 2 3 – [nb 4] 12
26 September 2023 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 36] 1,200 34 20 18 3 3 2 1 1 – [nb 4] 18
12 September 2023 Red C/Business Post[p 37] 1,011 31 16 21 4 4 5 3 3 – [nb 4] 12
12 September 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[54] 910 33 21 20 6 4 3 2 1 – [nb 4] 9
1 September 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 38] 1,228 33 18 21 2 3 6 3 2 – [nb 4] 10
5 August 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 39] 1,272 34 18 19 5 4 5 3 2 – [nb 4] 10
12 July 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 40] 910 34 24 19 4 4 2 2 1 – [nb 4] 10
1 July 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 41] 1,076 31 19 19 3 2 6 4 3 – [nb 4] 13
21 June 2023 Red C/Business Post[p 42][p 43] 1,011 29 16 22 4 5 5 3 2 – [nb 4] 14
13 June 2023 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 44] 1,200 31 21 18 4 4 5 2 1 – [nb 4] 14
2 June 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 45] 1,136 32 19 20 3 3 6 2 3 – [nb 4] 13
24 May 2023 Red C/Business Post[p 46] 1,011 34 15 20 4 4 6 3 1 – [nb 4] 13
9 May 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 47] 906 35 22 17 5 4 3 1 1 – [nb 4] 12
6 May 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 48] 1,175 31 19 20 3 4 5 4 2 – [nb 4] 12
26 April 2023 Red C/Business Post[p 49] 1,016 31 16 22 4 4 5 2 2 – [nb 4] 14
4 April 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 50] 909 37 21 15 6 4 4 2 2 – [nb 4] 8
1 April 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 51] 1,102 31 16 22 4 3 7 3 3 – [nb 4] 10
22 March 2023 Red C/Business Post[p 52] 1,005 31 15 22 3 4 6 3 2 – [nb 4] 14
14 March 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 53][p 54] 943 32 20 23 5 5 4 2 – [nb 2] – [nb 4] 9
3 March 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 55] 1,162 29 19 21 4 3 9 2 3 – [nb 4] 10
22 February 2023 Red C/Business Post[p 56] 998 31 17 21 4 4 4 3 2 – [nb 4] 14
21 February 2023 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 57] 1,200 35 18 22 4 4 2 – [nb 2] – [nb 2] – [nb 4] 16
14 February 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 58] 921 31 24 23 5 5 2 1 – [nb 2] – [nb 4] 9
3 February 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 59] 1,212 31 18 22 4 4 4 3 4 – [nb 4] 10
25 January 2023 Red C/Business Post[p 60] 1,004 33 15 21 4 4 6 3 2 – [nb 4] 12
17 January 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 61] 936 34 25 19 5 4 2 2 1 – [nb 4] 8
6 January 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 62] 1,104 32 16 25 4 3 3 4 3 – [nb 4] 10
6 December 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 63] 923 34 21 23 5 3 1 1 – [nb 2] – [nb 4] 12
2 December 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 64] 1,352 34 17 23 3 3 5 3 4 – [nb 4] 9
23 November 2022 Red C/Business Post[p 65] >1,000 31 15 24 5 4 4 3 2 – [nb 4] 11
8 November 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 66] 923 34 23 21 4 5 2 1 1 – [nb 4] 9
4 November 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 67] 1,002 34 17 21 3 3 4 5 4 – [nb 4] 10
25 October 2022 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 68] 1,200 35 21 22 4 3 3 2 1 – [nb 4] 10
15 October 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 69] 931 34 22 21 4 6 2 2 0 – [nb 4] 9
1 October 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 70] 1,254 37 17 21 4 3 3 4 3 – [nb 4] 8
6 September 2022 Red C/Business Post[p 71] 1,004 35 17 18 5 4 4 3 2 – [nb 4] 12
6 September 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 72] 905 35 24 20 5 4 3 2 0 – [nb 4] 8
3 September 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 73][p 74] 1,127 36 16 21 2 3 4 5 3 – [nb 4] 11
6 August 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 75][p 76] 1,180 36 17 22 4 3 4 4 3 – [nb 4] 9
12 July 2022 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 77][p 78] 1,200 36 20 18 3 4 2 3 1 – [nb 4] 14
1 July 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 79] 1,133 36 15 22 4 4 3 3 3 – [nb 4] 10
22 June 2022 Red C/Business Post[p 80] 1,004 36 14 19 4 3 4 4 3 – [nb 4] 12
7 June 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 81] ? 37 22 23 4 5 0 1 1 – [nb 4] 8
4 June 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 82] 1,211 35 17 20 3 4 5 3 3 – [nb 4] 8
25 May 2022 Red C/Business Post[p 83] 1,000+ 36 15 20 5 3 4 3 2 – [nb 4] 11
10 May 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 84][p 85] 908 36 24 19 2 5 2 2 1 – [nb 4] 9
7 May 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 86] 1,002 34 16 23 3 4 4 4 3 – [nb 4] 8
27 April 2022 Red C/Business Post[p 87] 1,014 34 16 21 4 4 5 3 2 – [nb 4] 11
1 April 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 88] 1,135 33 18 22 3 4 6 2 3 – [nb 4] 10
23 March 2022 Red C/Business Post[p 89] 1,001 33 16 19 5 5 5 3 2 – [nb 4] 12
8 March 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 90] 928 33 23 24 4 3 1 2 1 – [nb 4] 9
4 March 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 91] 1,011 31 20 21 4 3 6 4 2 – [nb 4] 9
23 February 2022 Red C/Business Post[p 92] 1,001 33 17 20 5 4 4 3 2 – [nb 4] 11
8 February 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 93] 922 34 25 20 5 4 2 1 0 – [nb 4] 9
5 February 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 94] 1,086 32 17 23 4 3 5 3 3 – [nb 4] 10
26 January 2022 Red C/Business Post[p 95] 1,001 33 15 21 6 4 5 2 2 – [nb 4] 12
18 January 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 96] ? 34 24 22 3 4 1 2 0 – [nb 4] 10
8 January 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 97] 1,369 33 19 23 3 4 4 3 2 – [nb 4] 9
12 December 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 98] ? 31 17 25 4 4 3 4 3 – [nb 4] 9
8 December 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 99] 933 34 23 20 5 5 2 1 0 – [nb 4] 9
8 December 2021 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 100][p 101] 1,200 35 20 20 5 4 2 2 1 – [nb 4] 10
25 November 2021 Red C/Business Post[p 102] 1,001 33 15 22 5 4 5 2 2 – [nb 4] 10
14 November 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 103] ? 32 17 24 5 5 4 3 3 – [nb 4] 7
9 November 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 104] 912 37 20 21 5 3 3 1 1 – [nb 4] 8
22 October 2021 Red C/Business Post[p 105] ? 33 12 25 4 5 6 3 2 – [nb 4] 10
16 October 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 106] 1,200 31 16 26 6 4 4 3 3 – [nb 4] – [nb 2]
12 October 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 107] 943 31 23 21 5 5 4 1 1 – [nb 4] 8
5 October 2021 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 108][p 109] 1,200 32 20 22 7 4 3 2 1 – [nb 4] 10
18 September 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 110] 1,000 29 19 23 4 4 6 4 4 – [nb 4] – [nb 2]
9 September 2021 Red C/Business Post[p 111] 1,031 29 13 28 4 5 5 3 2 – [nb 4] 10
8 September 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 112] 922 33 21 23 5 5 2 2 0 – [nb 4] 8
21 August 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 113] 1,203 30 15 24 4 6 6 3 3 – [nb 4] 9
17 July 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 114] 1,001 30 14 25 4 7 5 4 4 – [nb 4] 7
13 July 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 115] 894 30 20 25 5 5 1 3 1 – [nb 4] 10
26 June 2021 Red C/Business Post[p 116] 1,020 29 13 30 5 3 4 2 2 – [nb 4] 12
19 June 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 117] 1,274 32 15 24 3 4 5 4 4 – [nb 4] 10
15 June 2021 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 118] 1,200 31 20 27 6 3 2 2 1 – [nb 4] 8
8 June 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 119] 909 34 20 24 4 3 4 1 1 – [nb 4] 9
27 May 2021 Red C/Business Post[p 120][p 121] 1,034 29 14 29 5 3 5 3 2 – [nb 4] 10
18 May 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 122] 914 30 22 28 5 4 2 1 – [nb 2] – [nb 4] 8
15 May 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 123] 1,237 30 15 25 3 4 7 3 4 – [nb 4] 9
22 April 2021 Red C/Business Post[p 124] 1,025 27 13 30 4 5 5 2 2 – [nb 4] 11
15 April 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 125] 1,087 27 16 26 3 5 6 3 4 – [nb 4] 10
25 March 2021 Red C/Business Post[p 126] 1,000 29 11 30 5 4 5 2 2 – [nb 4] 11
20 March 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 127] 1,026 31 14 27 2 5 7 3 3 – [nb 4] 8
25 February 2021 Red C/Business Post[p 128][p 129] 1,000 29 13 29 3 4 6 2 2 – [nb 4] 12
23 February 2021 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 130] 1,200 28 14 30 6 3 3 1 1 – [nb 4] 14
12 February 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 131] 1,068 28 15 26 5 5 6 3 4 – [nb 4] 9
28 January 2021 Red C/Business Post[p 132][p 133] 1,000 27 16 29 5 3 5 3 2 – [nb 4] 10
17 January 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 134] 1,247 29 15 28 3 5 5 3 4 – [nb 4] 7
15 December 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 135] 916 32 22 27 3 5 1 2 0 – [nb 4] 7
29 November 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 136] 1,044 28 17 28 4 4 5 2 4 – [nb 4] 9
25 November 2020 Red C/Business Post[p 137] 1,000 30 12 33 5 3 4 3 2 – [nb 4] 8
24 October 2020 Red C/Business Post[p 138][p 139] 1,000 27 11 37 6 3 3 2 2 – [nb 4] 9
17 October 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 140] 931 30 19 31 5 4 2 2 1 – [nb 4] 5
6 October 2020 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 141] 1,200 29 17 35 4 4 2 1 – [nb 2] – [nb 4] 8
26 September 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 142] 1,200 28 14 32 4 4 5 3 3 – [nb 4] 7
15 September 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 143] 900 32 19 30 5 3 1 1 0 – [nb 4] 9
9 September 2020 Red C/Business Post[p 144] 1,000 27 10 35 6 3 4 2 2 – [nb 4] 10
22 August 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 145] 1,000 30 11 35 3 5 5 2 2 – [nb 4] 7
28 July 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 146] 921 30 20 29 6 3 1 1 0 – [nb 4] 11
18 July 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 147] 1,000 26 12 38 5 4 3 2 – [nb 2] – [nb 4] 10
20 June 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 148] 1,000 27 13 34 8 4 3 2 – [nb 2] – [nb 4] 10
14 June 2020 Ipsos MRBI/|Irish Times[p 149] 1,200 25 13 37 12 2 [nb 5] [nb 5] [nb 5] – [nb 4] 10[nb 5]
27 May 2020 Red C/Business Post[p 150][p 151] 1,000 27 15 35 5 3 4 2 1 – [nb 4] 8
23 May 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 152] 1,012 27 16 36 6 4 3 2 – [nb 2] – [nb 4] 6
29 April 2020 Red C/Business Post[p 153][p 154] 1,019 27 14 35 7 3 3 2 1 – [nb 4] 8
25 March 2020 Red C/Business Post[p 155][p 156] 1,062 28 18 34 5 3 3 2 2 – [nb 4] 5
10 March 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 157][p 158] 912 35 19 21 6 3 1 3 0 – [nb 4] 11
25 February 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 159][p 160] 917 35 20 18 6 3 2 3 1 – [nb 4] 12
16 February 2020 Amárach Research/Extra.ie[p 161][p 162] 1,040 35 17 18 9 3 5 3 – [nb 2] – [nb 4] 10
8 February 2020 General election – 24.5 22.2 20.9 7.1 4.4 2.9 2.6 1.9 – [nb 4] 13.5

Notes

  1. ^ The figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am Not specifically mentioned in the report.
  3. ^ a b Includes 19% for 'Independent' and 2% for 'Other Party'.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj Party did not exist.
  5. ^ a b c d The figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. In the MRBI Poll conducted up to 14 June this figure appears to include all independents as well as all of PBP/S, Aontú and the SocDems.
Poll references
  1. ^ Ryan, Philip (2 November 2024). "Gap between Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael tightens as Micheál Martin targets Simon Harris's party". Sunday Independent. Retrieved 3 November 2024.
  2. ^ Thomas, Cónal (26 October 2024). "Red C Poll analysis: Fianna Fáil close in on Fine Gael as gap over Sinn Féin grows". Business Post. Retrieved 26 October 2024.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  3. ^ Lehane, Mícheál (26 October 2024). "FF and FG almost equal ahead of election, poll suggests". RTÉ. Retrieved 27 October 2024.
  4. ^ O'Connell, Hugh (20 October 2024). "Scandals leave Sinn Fein facing hefty seat losses in general election". The Sunday Times. Retrieved 20 October 2024.
  5. ^ Gataveckaite, Gabija (5 October 2024). "Exclusive Poll: Small gains for Fine Gael as Fianna Fáil down in poll following 'giveaway' budget". Irish Independent. Retrieved 5 October 2024.
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See also

References

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