Search Results

A Useful Interpretation of R2; in Binary Choice Models (Or, Have We Dismissed the Good Old R2; Prematurely),
Reuben Gronau, from Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section. (1998)
Keywords: binary variable, qualitative choice, arithmetic mean

IN A GLOBALIZED WORLD TRADE,
Daniela Ditescu, in Annals of University of Craiova - Economic Sciences Series (2012)
Keywords: globalization, international trade system, institutionalization, trade liberalization, WTO

A COMPOSITE LEADING INDICATOR CALCULATION FOR TURKISH EXPORTS,
Güzin Bayar and Rahmet Uslu, in Anadolu University Journal of Social Sciences (2012)
Keywords: Export, Leading Indicator, Noise/Signal Ratio

China and the U.S. face the Global Economic Crisis,
Talmaciu Iuliana and Voicu Ioana-Iulica, in Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series (2010)
Keywords: imports, exports, industrial production, unemployment rate, economic crisis

A Structural Analysis for Forecasting Korea's Export Quantity,
Sang-Ho Lee and Soo-Sup Song, in Korean Economic Review (1999)
Keywords: Export Quantity, Dynamic Equation, Equilibrium Equation

Trade Elasticity of China,
Lo Chu-Ping, in Annals of Economics and Finance (2016)
Keywords: Trade elasticity, China

Application of the VARMA Model for Sales Forecast: Case of Urmia Gray Cement Factory,
Ramin Bashir Khodaparasti and Samad Moslehi, in Timisoara Journal of Economics and Business (2014)
Keywords: Forecasting Models; Autoregressive Process.

China's New Silk Road and China-EU Trade,
Chu Lo, in Annals of Economics and Finance (2018)
Keywords: One Belt One Road, New Silk Road, China, Europe

Adjustment scenarios for the US current account balance:an assessment based on different NiGEM calibrations,
L. Potier and A. Saint-Guilhem, in Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France (2006)
Keywords: US current account deficit, exchange rate adjustment, adjustment through lower US domestic demand.

Trade is a good gauge of economic activity. Given the economic and geographical attributes of a place, one can assess the likely levels of trading activity, and this may be used as an indicator of the relative economic potential among the areas. However, trade estimates are available only at the regional level of disaggregation, despite the fact that planning by local governments and even by line agencies of the central government happens mostly at the sub-regional level. In this research, we fill this data gap by estimating trade at town or city level via a gravity model of trade. Normally sub-regional trade is estimated using Ordinary Least Regression, but this research uses Poisson Regression which is better at handling zero trade values without transformation. The research results have been applied by a number of government agencies in their respective programs,
Nikkin Beronilla, Patrocinio Jude Esguerra and Jamir Ocampo, in Philippine Review of Economics (2016)
Keywords: gravity model of trade, Poisson regression, economic potential for growth

Report AIECE Working Group on Foreign Trade; Autumn 2008,
Gerard van Welzenis, from CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (2008)

Prospects of China-Mongolia-Russia trade in the light of the COVID-19 pandemic,
Xiujie Zhang, in R-Economy (2021)
Keywords: China, Russia, Mongolia, China-Mongolia-Russia Economic Corridor, import and export, trade characteristics, COVID-19

Macro-model analysis of Japan’s economic and fiscal conditions: Analysis by the Office of Econometric Analysis for Fiscal and Economic Policy, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance,
Takahide Koike, Katsuyuki Hasegawa, Takeshi Kogawa, Daisuke Ishikawa and Daizo Kojima, in Public Policy Review (2018)
Keywords: Macroeconometric models; Economic forecasting; Fiscal sustainability

The Model of a Shared Interest Rate for a Group of Countries to Circulate a Digital Currency: Featuring the BRICS,
Mikhail V. Zharikov, in Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice (2022)
Keywords: BRICS, digital currency, virtual money market, shared interest rate, liberal and gradualist approaches, credit surplus, digital money revenue.

An Update of the OECD International Trade Equations,
Myriam Morin and Cyrille Schwellnus, from OECD Publishing (2014)
Keywords: commerce international, prévisions de commerce, trade, trade elasticity, trade forecasting, élasticité du commerce

Trade Flows of Emerging Economies in The Current Economic Context-Developments and Trends,
Luiza Loredana Nastase, in Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series (2012)
Keywords: emerging economy, BRICS, sustainability, economic growth

Trade Flows in Southeast Europe,
Edward Christie, from The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw (2004)
Keywords: International trade, trade in services, gravity models, Southeast Europe

Zahraničnoobchodný efekt vstupu Slovenska do colnej únie Európskej únie,
Richard Outrata, Michaela Gajdošová and Saleh Obadi, in Politická ekonomie (2004)
Keywords: trade creation, international trade specialization, trade diversion, non preferential and preferential third countries, inter and intra-industry trade, unit cost and price advantages

Možnosti modelování vývozu a dovozu v období restrukturalizace (Import and Export Modelling in a Transition Economy),
Martin Hlušek and Miroslav Singer, in Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver) (1999)
Keywords: ekonometrické modely, obchodní bilance

Econometric Estimation of Bilateral Transboundary Trade between Russia and China,
Evgenie P. Zharikov, Alla A. Kravchenko, Olesya O. Sergeeva and Viktor Stetsyuk, in International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues (2016)
Keywords: Transboundary Trade, Trade Flows, Gravity Model, Multiplication Model, Trade Turnover

Модели за взимане на решения относно обема и цената при покупките в търговията на едро,
Алексей Заложнев and Дмитриий В. Чистов, in Business Management (2022)
Keywords: търговия на едро, математическо моделиране, оптимизация, ценообразуване, продавач, дилър, купувач

Evolution of the Textile Production Chain in East Asia from the Hub-Spoke Structure Viewpoint,
Tzu-Han Yang, Deng-Shing Huang and Yo-Yi Huang, in Journal of Economic Integration (2020)
Keywords: East Asia; vertical integration; textile products; hub-spoke analysis

Pricing Asian power options under jump-fraction process,
Bin Peng and Fei Peng, in Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science (2012)
Keywords: Asian power option; Geometric average; Arithmetic average; Jump-fraction process; Control variate

Models For Making Decisions On The Volume And Price Of Purchases In Wholesale Trade,
Alexey Zalozhnev and Dmitriy Chistov, in Business Management (2022)
Keywords: wholesale trade, mathematical modeling, optimization, pricing, seller, dealer, buyer

Using the Box-Jenkins Method to Forecast Sesame Exports in Sudan during the Period 1990-2028,
Waraq Ali Waraq Nacer, in Management & Economics Research Journal (2019)
Keywords: Box-Jenkins, Prediction, Sesame Exports, Sudan Economic

Who fears or favors globalization? Evidence from individual-level survey data in Japan,
Koichi Kagitani and Kozo Harimaya, in International Economics (2018)
Keywords: Individual preference;Globalization;Self-interest;National interest;Japan

Revealing Comparative Advantage: Chaotic or Coherent Patterns Across Time and Sector and U.S. Trading Partner?,
J. David Richardson and Chi Zhang, from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1999)

Economic Implications of Deeper Asian Integration,
Joseph Francois and Ganeshan Wignaraja, from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008)
Keywords: Asean; Asian ftas; Gravity model of services; Preferential trade; Regionalism; Trade costs and infrastructure

Thinking outside the container: A machine learning approach to forecasting trade flows,
Vincent Stamer, from Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) (2021)
Keywords: Trade, Forecasting, Machine Learning, Container Shipping

Die Preisbildung im westdeutschen Außenhandel: Eine empirische Analyse,
Malte Fischer, from Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) (1996)
Keywords: International Trade, Time-Series Models, Simulations

Determinants of exports in the G7-countries,
Susanne Lapp, Joachim Scheide and Ralph Solveen, from Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) (1995)

Impacts of Donald Trump’s Tariff Increase against China on Global Economy: Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) Model,
Saiful Alim Rosyadi and Tri Widodo, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2017)
Keywords: Donald Trump, Tariff Increase, GTAP Model

Impact of Sensitive Lists under SAFTA: Quantitative Assessment using a Partial Equilibrium Modeling,
Shahid Ahmed and Sushil Kumar, from Job Market Papers (2014)

Ein Input-Output-Ansatz für die Außenhandelstheorie,
Martin Klein, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2007)
Keywords: Input-output analysis, international trade, intermediate inputs, offshoring,

THE EFFECTS OF LOGISTICAL AND SUPPLY CHAIN ON THE PERFORMANCE OF SHALLOT FARMERS EAST JAVA,
La Ode Andi Hermawan, Arik Prasetya and Saparila Worokinasih, in JOURNAL OF LIFE ECONOMICS (2019)
Keywords: Shallots, transportation, integrative supply chain, business performance

India’s PTAs and their Economic Impacts: Quantitative Assessments using a Partial Equilibrium Modeling Framework,
Selim Raihan, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2009)
Keywords: PTA; India; Partial Equilibrium Model

Do RTAs Increase Bilateral Trade in the MENA Region?,
Duddy Roesmara Donna, Tri Widodo and Sri Adiningsih, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2018)
Keywords: trade, export, RTA, Gravity Model, MENA

The Role of Governance Quality in Increasing Intra-ASEAN Trade,
Rini Setyastuti, Sri Adiningsih and Tri Widodo, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2018)
Keywords: Trade, ASEAN, Institutions, Governance Quality, Export, Gravity model

The Dynamics of Comparative Advantage in the ASEAN Region,
Rini Setyastuti, Sri Adiningsih and Tri Widodo, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2018)
Keywords: Comparative Advantage, RSCA, TBI, Flying Geese, ASEAN

The Impact of ASEAN’S FTAs with China, Japan, Korea and Australia-New Zealand: An Analysis in GTAP Framework,
Reninta Dewi Nugraheni and Tri Widodo, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2018)
Keywords: ASEAN, Free Trade Agreement, Tariff Liberalisation, GTAP Simulations

ASEAN Economic Community: Theoretical versus Practical Economic Integration,
Rini Setyastuti, Sri Adiningsih and Tri Widodo, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2018)
Keywords: ASEAN, integration, potential problems, AEC

Revenue, Welfare and Trade Effects of European Union Free Trade Agreement on South Africa,
M A Guei, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2017)
Keywords: Revenue, Welfare, Trade Effects, EU FTA, South Africa

India's merchandise trade with China: growth, prospects and future potential?,
Nassir ul Wani and Jasdeep kaur Dhami, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2016)
Keywords: India: China: Economic Performance: EII and III

Pattern of Comparative Advantage in Middle East and North Africa (MENA),
Duddy Roesmara Donna, Tri Widodo and Sri Adiningsih, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2017)
Keywords: comparative advantage, RSCA, MENA

Magyar-orosz kereskedelem 1992-1996 között a két ország gazdasági teljesítményének tükrében,
Sándor Réthi, in Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences) (1997)

Analysis of Intra-Industry Trade between Indonesia and Japan: A Case Study in Manufactured and Agricultural Products,
Zamroni, in Economics and Finance in Indonesia (2005)
Keywords: Intra-industry trade -Indonesia and Japan

Factor Endowments and Comparative Advantages of East Asia,
Tri Widodo, in Economics and Finance in Indonesia (2008)
Keywords: Factor Endowments, Factor Intensity, Comparative Advantage

How will global trade patterns evolve in the long run?,
Eddy Bekkers, Erwin L. Corong, Jeanne Métivier and Daniil Orlov, from World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division (2023)
Keywords: Global trade patterns, long-run projections, dynamic CGE models

Export licensing in the WTO context,
Carlo Gamberale and Irina Tarasenko, from World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division (2023)
Keywords: trade policy, export licensing, export restrictions

Is Greece's export performance really low?,
Christos Papazoglou, in Economic Bulletin (2009)
Keywords: export demand; Greek competitiveness

Who fears or favors globalization? Evidence from individual-level survey data in Japan,
Koichi Kagitani and Kozo Harimaya, in International Economics (2018)
Keywords: Individual preference; Globalization; Self-interest; National interest; Japan;

The practicality of regional import substitution as a strategy for sustainable development in the Caribbean,
Antonio Alleyne, Troy Lorde and Winston Moore, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2022)
Keywords: trade, import substitution, Caribbean, CARICOM

Competition Clauses in Bilateral Trade Treaties - Analysing the Issues in the Context of India’s Future Negotiating Strategy,
Sanghamitra Sahu and Neha Gupta, from East Asian Bureau of Economic Research (2008)
Keywords: trade, India, Competition Clauses

Dynamique des exportations: une comparaison France-Allemagne,
Guillaume Gaulier, Amina Lahrèche-Révil and Isabelle Mejean, in La Lettre du CEPII (2005)

Economic Crisis and Trade Liberalization: A CGE Analysis On The Forestry Sector,
Tubagus Feridhanusetyawan and Yose Rizal Damuri, from Centre for Strategic and International Studies, Jakarta, Indonesia (2004)
Keywords: Southeast Asia, Indonesia, Asian crisis, forestry sector, computable general equilibrium (CGE)

Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Trade in Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation,
Shehu Aliyu, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2009)
Keywords: exchange rate volatility, non oil exports, terms of trade, index of openness, unit root and cointegration analysis

International trade cooperation's impact on the world economy,
Jeanne Métivier, Marc Bacchetta, Eddy Bekkers and Robert Bernard Koopman, from World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division (2023)
Keywords: Trade policy simulations, CGE modeling

The Eastward Enlargement of the Eurozone: Trade and FDI,
José Caetano, Aurora Galego, Elsa Vaz, C. Vieira and I. Vieira, from Free University Berlin, Jean Monnet Centre of Excellence (2002)
Keywords: Trade and FDI, Economic Integration

The Impacts of East Asia FTA: A CGE Model Simulation Study,
Mitsuyo Ando and Shujiro Urata, in East Asian Economic Review (2007)
Keywords: FTA; East Asia; CGE Model; Capital Accumulation; Trade And Investment Facilitations

The Impacts of an East Asia FTA on Foreign Trade in East Asia,
Shujiro Urata and Kozo Kiyota, from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003)

International trade cooperation’s impact on the world economy,
Jeanne Métivier, Marc Bacchetta, Eddy Bekkers and Robert Koopman, in Journal of Policy Modeling (2023)
Keywords: Trade policy simulations; CGE modeling;

Does Democracy Increase Bilateral Trade in MENA Region?,
Duddy Roesmara Donna, Tri Widodo and Sri Adiningsih, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2018)
Keywords: trade, export, democracy, Gravity Model, MENA.

The trade effects of a new agreement on services domestic regulation,
Roger Yu So and Eddy Bekkers, from World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division (2024)
Keywords: Computable General Equilibrium models, gravity estimation, services trade

EU Enlargement and Beyond: A Simulation Study on EU and CIS Integration,
Mika Widgrén and Pekka Sulamaa, from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2003)
Keywords: European integration; Cge-models

Trade and Skills in Uruguay: Long Term Skill Requirements,
Rossana Patron and María Terra, in Revista de Economía y Estadística (2009)
Keywords: Trade, labour skills, economic development

Wine: The punching bag in trade retaliation,
William Ridley, Jeff Luckstead and Stephen Devadoss, in Food Policy (2022)
Keywords: Wine trade; Collateral tariffs; Retaliation; Gravity;

Konjunkturschlaglicht: Die deutsche Exportlücke im Handel mit China,
Stamer Vincent, in Wirtschaftsdienst (2023)

Investigating the Cyclical Properties of World Trade,
Monika Ruschinski, from ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2006)

Bilateral Services Trade Data and the GTAP database,
Nico van Leeuwen and Arjan Lejour, from CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (2006)

The quality of bilateral services trade data: contribution to GTAP7 database,
Arjan Lejour, Nico van Leeuwen and Arie ten Cate, from CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (2008)

Preferential trade agreements: The case of EU-Mexico,
Matthias Busse, Matthias Huth and Georg Koopmann, from Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA) (2000)
Keywords: Free Trade Agreement, European Union, Mexico

Trade Effects of the East African Community: Do We Need a Transitional Fund?,
Matthias Busse and Rasul Shams, from Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA) (2003)
Keywords: Customs Union, EAC, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda

Infrastructure and trade,
Hildegunn Nordås and Roberta Piermartini, from World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division (2004)
Keywords: trade, infrastructure, gravity model, resistance terms, tariffs, WTO

Le ralentissement du commerce mondial annonce un changement de tendance,
Sebastien Jean, in La Lettre du CEPII (2015)

Elasticity of Substitution in the U.S. Market with Endogenous Transport Costs: a Sectoral Approach,
Danielken Molina, in Revista de Economía del Rosario (2009)
Keywords: Elasticity of substitution, Transport Costs, ISIC Classification. ** Elasticidad de Sustitución, Costos de Transporte, Clasificación ISIC.

Measures of the Real GDP of U.S. Trading Partners: Methodology and Results,
Claudio H. Dos Santos, Anwar M. Shaikh and Gennaro Zezza, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2003)
Keywords: international growth, economic measurement, GDP quarterly estimates

International Trade Performance: The Gravity of Australia's Remoteness,
Bryn Battersby and Robert Ewing, from The Treasury, Australian Government (2005)
Keywords: Gravity trade model, Australia, remoteness

Le commerce extérieur français à la dérive ?,
Marion Cochard, in Revue de l'OFCE (2008)
Keywords: external trade, competitiveness, error correction model

Transatlantic Free Trade: The View Point of Germany,
Gabriel Felbermayr, Rahel Aichele and Gabriel J. Felbermayr, from CESifo (2014)
Keywords: Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership, preferential trade agreements, gravity, investor-state dispute settlement

Estimating Import Demand and Export Supply Elasticities,
Marcelo Olarreaga, Hiau Looi Kee and Alessandro Nicita, from Econometric Society (2004)
Keywords: Trade Elasticities

Changes in the geographical structure of trade in Central Asia: Real flows in the 1989-2016 period versus gravity model predictions,
Behrooz Gharleghi and Vladimir Popov, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2018)
Keywords: Central Asia, Gravity Model, Trade

Forecasting sectoral trade growth under flexible exchange rates,
Helmut Herwartz and Henning Weber, from Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes (2003)
Keywords: exchange rate uncertainty, GARCH, forecasting, international trade, nonlinear models

Impact of liberalization and improved connectivity and facilitation in ASEAN,
Ken Itakura, in Journal of Asian Economics (2014)
Keywords: ASEAN; FTA; CGE model;

Exchange Rate Effects on the Volume and Variability of Trade Flows,
Mustafa Caglayan, Christopher Baum and John Barkoulas, from Koc University (1998)
Keywords: EXCHANGE RATE ; TRADE

Trade Liberalization and Poverty in Developing Countries: Literature Survey,
Jeong-Soo Oh and Phouphet Kyophilavong, in International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER) (2015)
Keywords: Trade liberalization, Poverty, Income Distribution, CGE model

Effects of AFTA on Poverty: Evidence from Laos,
Phouphet Kyophilavong, Richard Record, Shinya Takamatsu, Konesawang Nghardsaysone and Inpaeng Sayvaya, in Journal of Economic Integration (2016)
Keywords: ssociation of South-East Asian Nations; Computable General Equilibrium Model; Laos; Microsimulation

Volume and Comparative Advantage in East-West Trade,
Dieter Schumacher and Parvati Trübswetter, from DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2000)
Keywords: East-West trade, gravity model, comparative advantages

Forecasting the Great Trade Collapse,
Hakan Yilmazkuday, from Florida International University, Department of Economics (2016)
Keywords: Great Trade Collapse, Non-Homothetic Preferences, Forecasting

A CGE Study of Economic Impact of Accession of Hong Kong to ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement,
Ken Itakura, Yoshifumi Fukunaga and Ikumo Isono, from Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA) (2013)
Keywords: FTA;computable general equilibrium (CGE) model;tariff elimination;services liberalization;trade facilitation

Quantitative Restrictions on Clothing Imports: Impact and Determinants of the Common Trade Policy Towards Developing Countries,
Juliette Milgram Baleix, from Centro de Estudios Andaluces (2003)
Keywords: MFA, Trade policy, quantitative restrictions, endogeneity bias,gravity model.