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NAFTA and Drug-Related Violence in Mexico

Eduardo Hidalgo (), Erik Hornung and Pablo Selaya
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Eduardo Hidalgo: University of Cologne, Albertus-Magnus-Platz, 50923 Cologne, Germany

No 196, ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series from University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany

Abstract: We study how NAFTA changed the geography of violence in Mexico. We propose that open borders increased trafficking profits of Mexican cartels and resulted in violent competition among them. We test this hypothesis by comparing changes in drug-related homicides after NAFTA's introduction in 1994 across municipalities with and without drug-trafficking routes. Routes are optimal paths connecting municipalities with a recent history of drug trafficking with U.S. ports of entry. On these routes, homicides increase by 27% relative to the pre-NAFTA mean. These results cannot be explained by changes in worker's opportunity costs of using violence resulting from the trade shock.

Keywords: Violence; NAFTA; Free Trade; Mexico; Illegal Drug Trafficking; Conflict (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 F14 K42 O54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 46 pages
Date: 2022-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dev, nep-int and nep-law
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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https://www.econtribute.de/RePEc/ajk/ajkdps/ECONtribute_196_2022.pdf First version, 2022 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: NAFTA and Drug-Related Violence in Mexico (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: NAFTA and drug-related violence in Mexico (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: NAFTA and drug-related violence in Mexico (2022) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ajk:ajkdps:196

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