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ASTRO: Reducing COVID-19 Exposure through Contact Prediction and Avoidance

Published: 30 December 2021 Publication History

Abstract

The fight against the COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance and benefits of recommending paths that reduce the exposure to and the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus by avoiding crowded indoor or outdoor areas. Existing path discovery techniques are inadequate for coping with such dynamic and heterogeneous (indoor and outdoor) environments—they typically find an optimal path assuming a homogeneous and/or static graph, and hence they cannot be used to support contact avoidance. In this article, we pose the need for Mobile Contact Avoidance Navigation and propose ASTRO (Accessible Spatio-Temporal Route Optimization), a novel graph-based path discovering algorithm that can reduce the risk of COVID-19 exposure by taking into consideration the congestion in indoor spaces. ASTRO operates in an A* manner to find the most promising path for safe movement within and across multiple buildings without constructing the full graph. For its path finding, ASTRO requires predicting congestion in corridors and hallways. Consequently, we propose a new grid-based partitioning scheme combined with a hash-based two-level structure to store congestion models, called CM-Structure, which enables on-the-fly forecasting of congestion in corridors and hallways. We demonstrate the effectiveness of ASTRO and the accuracy of CM-Structure’s congestion models empirically with realistic datasets, showing up to one order of magnitude reduction in COVID-19 exposure.

1 Introduction

The COVID-19 pandemic dramatically impacted the mobility behavior of people, from indoor and outdoor pedestrian movement to public transportation and ridesharing [22]. COVID-19 is highly contagious and a high percentage of infected people do not initially exhibit symptoms, making Contact Tracing (CT) a crucial task [4]. The biggest problem with human-based CT is that it is relatively slow (i.e., high latency) and cannot cope with the speed at which the virus spreads under loose distancing measures [18]. Thus, governments showed interest in building computerized systems and applications that can automate the contact tracing process and address the challenges of the high latency tracing procedure and massive human effort. However, the so-called Mobile Contact Tracing Applications (MCTAs) [18, 52] are not producing the expected results because of low participation rates and a lack of user trust due to privacy concerns [37, 51]. Furthermore, MCTAs only focus on detecting the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus, but not on reducing the risk of COVID-19 exposure of individuals.
We clearly need preventive measures to reduce the risk of COVID-19 exposure to people. The exposure risk can be reduced by observing social distancing, avoiding public transportation and ridesharing, and as long as weather conditions permit, by walking through outdoor paths. However, during winter, with subfreezing temperatures (as seen in Figure 1 - right), and during summer, with extreme heat and poor air quality (as seen in Figure 1 - left), minimizing the outdoor exposure is a necessity and indoor paths are desirable. Thus, indoor paths are desirable, if not unavoidable, and moving indoors through congested pathways dramatically increases the risk of exposure to airborne viruses1 (as seen in Figure 1 - center). According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), human coronaviruses and influenza, like any other crowd disease, most commonly spread from an infected person to others through the air by coughs, sneezes, and close personal contact, such as touching or shaking hands. That is, walking along congested pathways remains one of the most common ways for a person to contract the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus. This clearly highlights the importance of contact avoidance, besides contact tracing, in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, and the need for Mobile Contact Avoidance Navigation (MCAN) solutions that avoid crowded indoor hallways and indoor spaces. Posing the need for MCAN constitutes the broader impact of this article.
Fig. 1.
Fig. 1. (left) The public is being advised to take every precaution to avoid the extreme heat in Japan (BBC 2018); (center) US airports experienced their highest passenger numbers during Thanksgiving holiday since March 2020 (BBC 2020); (right) An elementary school closed due to cold weather in Des Moines, Iowa (CNN 2019).
MCAN solutions must satisfy the following four criteria to be effective and efficient: (i) be inclusive (i.e., consider with mobility barriers); (ii) be context-aware (i.e., adapt its recommendation at any given time based on the current situation); (iii) be location-aware (i.e., deal with the congestion in specific locations); and (iv) be practical (i.e., provide a holistic/end-to-end path.)
As these four criteria are not conflicting requirements, multi-objective navigation solutions are not applicable. Furthermore, for most current navigation solutions, these criteria focus on indoor or outdoor routing. Only a handful of the state-of-the-art solutions consider indoor-outdoor seamless transition techniques [34], but not a unified model that can support end-to-end path search [23]. Moreover, existing indoor solutions cannot support contact avoidance and reduce the risk of COVID-19 exposure by being oblivious to the congestion and movement directionality in corridors and hallways [41]. These solutions typically find an optimal path by assuming a homogeneous and/or static graph and cannot operate over time-varying dynamic graphs [20], which are inherent in the presence of congestion that changes over time.
Dynamically constructing a graph for path discovery with multiple constraints is very expensive, especially when the graph is complete (fully connected), which should be expected in MCAN solutions. Considering a real scenario where all outdoor vertices \(V_o\) (i.e., buildings) are connected using all indoor vertices \(V_i\) (i.e., doors) the complexity for the construction is O(\({|V_i|}^2\)), while the maximum number of edges are \(|E|=\frac{|V_i|*(|V_i|-1)}{2} = O({|V_i|}^2\)). The complexity for finding the path with a well-known algorithm such as Dijkstra is O(\({|V_i|}^2 + |V_i|*log|V_i|\)). Whereas, the complexity of the state-of-the-art temporal path discovery algorithm in a dynamic graph described in Reference [54] is O(\(|V_i| + {|V_i|}^2*log|V_i|\)). To the best of our knowledge, none of the existing path-finding algorithms can efficiently discover optimal paths with constraints in an indoor-outdoor complete graph to meet MCAN requirements. Therefore, in this work, we address the problem of fast and incremental temporal path discovery for an indoor-outdoor graph.
In this article, we propose ASTRO (Accessible Spatio-Temporal Route Optimization) for fast and incremental temporal path discovery for an indoor-outdoor graph. ASTRO is a novel graph-based path-finding algorithm that takes into consideration indoor congested spaces and can reduce the risk of COVID-19 exposure. ASTRO can operate over time-varying dynamic graphs without constructing the complete graph. It integrates outdoor nodes (i.e., buildings) with indoor nodes (e.g., doors, stairs, escalators, elevators) to efficiently provide a personalized contact-avoidance path satisfying a user-specified set of constraints (i.e., accessibility requirements, congestion tolerance, arrival time, and outdoor exposure). ASTRO uses time to innovatively unify indoor congestion and travel distance in an \(A^*\) search with a complexity of O(\({|V_i|}^2\)). However, our experiments over real datasets verify that the worst-case scenario will rarely happen due to the greedy \(A^*\) search reduction approach. The congestion of each indoor path segment is predicted based on the estimated arrival time at a segment and converted into travel time slowdown (i.e., delay).
ASTRO’s second innovation is a new grid-based partitioning scheme, named Building Grid Layout, combined with a multilevel access method, called Congestion Model Structure (CM-Structure), which supports efficient retrieval of the congestion prediction models during the path finding. CM-Structure is also used to store the trained forecasting models of each corridor and hallway segment. We use machine learning to build a congestion model for each indoor segment (i.e., corridor or hallway).
We evaluate our algorithms experimentally using two realistic datasets consisting of buildings at the University of Pittsburgh and University of Cyprus. Our experiments show that a Fully Connected Recurrent Neural Network (FC-RNN) is most suitable to be used for congestion prediction, since it offers very low inference time while requiring less memory than other commonly used models. Additionally, FC-RNN is proven to support continuous (lifelong) learning [14] so models can be re-trained in an online fashion to keep up with the ever-changing dynamics of the congestion. Similarly, CM-Structure with hash access method provides the most efficient storage and retrieval of the congestion models relevant to an indoor path. Our experiments also show that ASTRO using CM-Structure and FC-RNN can reduce congestion by up to one order of magnitude while incurring low response time.
Towards developing the first MCAN solution, the contributions of this article are summarized as follows:
We propose a novel efficient routing algorithm, dubbed ASTRO, for contact avoidance in which all combinations of all building’s entrances and exits are instantiated as separate nodes in an incrementally created search graph.
We propose the use of prediction models that support continuous learning to forecast congestion in indoor spaces.
We propose a novel partitioning scheme and algorithm, called Building Grid Layout, that works in conjunction with CM-Structure, a new access method to organize the trained congestion models, enabling on-the-fly congestion forecasting in hallways and corridors.
We propose a method to generate realistic indoor congestion datasets for experimental evaluation when real datasets are not available.
We measure the efficiency of ASTRO and the congestion models using two realistic datasets, showing that ASTRO produces an optimal path in terms of both satisfying the user-provided constraints and minimizing the travel time, while reducing COVID-19 exposure by up to one order of magnitude.
The remainder of the article is structured as follows: Section 2 formulates the problem and introduces our novel ASTRO algorithm. Section 3 describes the procedures we employ to accurately forecast the congestion in corridors. Section 4 outlines the steps we employ to generate realistic indoor congestion datasets. Section 5 presents an experimental evaluation of our proposed ASTRO algorithm and the congestion predictive models. Section 6 discusses related work and Section 7 concludes the article and discusses future work.

2 Context-aware Path Recommendation for Contact Avoidance

In this section, we formulate the Mobile Contact Avoidance Navigation (MCAN) problem and present our solution. First, we formalize our system model and underlying assumptions of our solution (Section 2.1) and then introduce our ASTRO algorithm (Section 2.2) and its implementation details (Section 2.3).

2.1 Problem Formulation

The objective of MCAN is to find a safe path between two locations for a given individual. Such a safe personalized path considers the preferences or constraints of an individual, which include any accessibility restrictions, departure and arrival time requirements, time spent outdoors at any given period, and congestion tolerance. Congestion tolerance is the degree/level of congestion that an individual can navigate through a crowded space with significantly reduced COVID-19 exposure risk. This risk depends on the vaccination and the masking of an individual. According to CDC, staying over 15 minutes in an indoor, congested space dramatically increases the COVID-19 exposure risk, depending on the quality of the mask. The median type of mask used provides a squared protection factor of the spreader and infectee PF2 =2 (reducing infection virus inhalation by only 51%). In contrast, the use of available higher-quality masks (KN95) produces a PF2 =400; a reduction of 99.75% or 200\(\times\) reduction in airborne infection when compared to the median cloth mask. Consequently, an individual wearing a KN95 mask can specify high congestion tolerance.
We are assuming the typical graph representation of urban topology \(G(B \cup D,E_o \cup E_i)\) consisting of outdoor vertices B representing buildings enhanced with the indoor vertices D representing entrances or exits (e.g., doors), as shown in Figure 2. Within each building edges \(e_i\) (\(e_i \in E_i\)) are corridors connecting entrances and exits. Each corridor is segmented into fixed area cells with predefined maximum density (shown in color/shaded in Figure 2). The actual density of a cell on a given date and time quantifies the cell’s congestion at that timestamp.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 2. ASTRO is an algorithm that can recommend a path with the limited outdoor exposure and congestion, while keeping the travel time low for each request along with the corresponding source and final destination. The red solid line represents a path without any constraints, the green dashed line represents a path with 7.5 minutes outdoor exposure limit, and the dotted blue path avoids the buildings \(b2\) and \(b4\), which are highly congested, marked in black color.
The constraints that defined the context of MCAN and our solution are as follows. The notation is summarized in Table 1.
Table 1.
NotationDescription
Bset of all outdoor vertices (e.g., buildings) \(j=1,\ldots ,n\)
\(b_i\)an outdoor vertex \(b_i \in B\)
Dset of all indoor vertices (e.g., door) \(l=1,\ldots ,m\)
\(d_i\)indoor vertex \(d_i \in D\) for an outdoor vertex b
ttravel time
\(o / OE\)outdoor exposure/outdoor exposure limit
\(c / CT\)congestion/congestion tolerance limit
Aaccessibility
hetaset of constraints (\(A, OE, CT\))
Mindexed set of the models
Table 1. Summary of Notations
Definition 2.1.
Accessibility (A) is a binary constraint that represents the requirement for handicap-accessible doors and corridors. For example, sufficiently wide doors (both into and in the building), with easily accessible automatic door openers and ramps.
Definition 2.2.
Outdoor Exposure Limit (OE) is the duration in seconds of a path or segment of a path that is exposed to outdoors conditions, i.e., \(OE \in \left[0, \infty \right)\). Specifically, if \(OE=0\), then only indoor paths will be considered. In contrast, if \(OE=\infty\), then the constraint is ignored.
Definition 2.3.
Congestion Tolerance Limit (CT) is the percentage of the density (i.e., number of people in a unit of indoor space), which is acceptable to go through a hallway or a corridor. For example, a congestion tolerance limit of 50% (\(CT = 0.5\)) in 9 \(m^2\) (3 \(\times\) 3 m) indoor space will be 4.5, assuming that an individual occupies 1 \(m^2\).
These three constraints are sufficient to express a wide range of preferences for pedestrians. For example, a pedestrian can: (i) set lower outdoor exposure tolerance when there is a heatwave or polar vortex; (ii) set higher congestion tolerance if vaccinated or wears KN95 mask; and (iii) enable accessibility when they prefer to avoid stairs, revolving doors, and so on. Another example beyond contact-avoidance of the generality of ASTRO with the three constraints is the use of congestion tolerance to address social anxiety and overstimulation conditions.
Research Goal: Given a set of buildings (i.e., outdoor vertices) and their floor plans (e.g., corridors, doors, and rooms) along with an origin and a destination point, ASTROaims to produce a path with the minimal total travel time from the origin to the destination that satisfies the accessibility constraint (A), the outdoor exposure limit (OE), and the congestion tolerance limit (CT).
The effectiveness of our proposed technique in achieving the above goal is measured as follows:
Definition 2.4.
Total Travel Time (T) is the total travel time of the path between the source and the destination point. This is the sum of the total outdoor exposure time (i.e., the duration of the path that is exposed to outdoors conditions) and the total indoor time (i.e., the duration of the path that is indoors). The indoor time includes the slowdown (i.e., delays) in going through a congested hallway or corridor.
Definition 2.5.
Congestion Reduction (C) is the indoor congestion of the path between the source and the destination point compared to a shortest path oblivious to congestion.
ASTRO is a single-objective (i.e., minimizing T) and multi-constrained (i.e., satisfying the set of constraints \(\lbrace A, OE, CT\rbrace\)) path-finding algorithm. Particularly, ASTRO discovers a feasible path (with respect to the aforementioned constraints) that is optimal path in terms of total travel time.

2.2 The ASTRO Algorithm

As mentioned above, the ASTRO algorithm behaves as an \(A^*\) traversal algorithm on a time-varying graph in which the unit of cost is time—both the distance covered \(g(n)\) (gScore) from start until the current node n, which includes indoor congestion delays, and the heuristic function \(h(n)\) of the remaining distance to the destination are expressed in terms of time. The time is calculated based on the average walking speed 1.4 m/s [6, 24]. ASTRO avoids the expensive construction of a complete graph G by pruning the edges and paths that do not satisfy the constraints \(\theta =(A, OE, CT)\) of accessibility, outdoor exposure, and congestion tolerance limits, and incrementally explores the constraint-satisfying search space (graph \(G^{\prime }\)) to find the best path.
Specifically, the algorithm integrates the outdoor and indoor travel time contributions as a weight on the outdoor edges (i.e., outdoor paths connecting pairs of buildings). That is, as shown in Figure 2, the weight \(w_{1.2, 3.1}\) of the edge from \(b_1\) to \(b_3\) records the time o to reach from building \(b_1\) to building \(b_3\), plus the indoor time i between the entrance door \(d_1\) and exit door \(d_2\) in \(b_3\). In other words, \(w_{1.2, 3.1}\) is the total time from the exit door \(d_2\) of \(b_1\) to exit door \(d_2\) of \(b_3\) plus any delay due to congestion c (i.e., \(t= o + i + i*c\)). ASTRO’s innovation is the time-varying exploration of every combination of an entrance \(d_i\) and an exit \(d_j\) of a building b as a separate node \(b_{d_i,d_j}\) in \(G^{\prime }\).
The indoor travel time i is calculated using the indoor distance provided by Anyplace [53] and the average walking speed. As indicated above, ASTRO calculates the delay due to congestion c as a percentage of the original indoor travel time. For example, if the original indoor time i = 10 s and there is 50% congestion, then the congestion delay is 5 s. The congestion is predicted for each segment of the indoor path using the CM-Structure described in Section 3.
At each iteration until reaching the destination, ASTRO visits all nodes \(b_{d_i,d_j}\) that satisfy the OE constraint (shown with circles in Figure 2) and have \(d_i\) and \(d_j\) satisfying the A constraint. ASTRO prunes out those that do not satisfy the CT constraint and selects the node with the minimum \(f(n)\) (fScore) to expand the path. The fScore of a node n is defined as follows:
\begin{equation} \begin{split} &f(n) = g (n) + h(n)\\ where ~~~~ g(n) = &\sum _{\forall pairs ~b_k.d_j, b_l.d_i~ \in ~current~ path} w_(b_k.d_j,b_l.d_i) .\end{split} \end{equation}
(1)
ASTRO uses a priority queue, named OPEN, to sort the nodes based on fScore and one set, named CLOSED, to store the visited nodes.
Theorem 2.1.
ASTRO is optimal.
Proof. ASTRO as an \(A^*\) variant is optimal [21]. ASTRO (Algorithm 2) satisfies the two criteria of \(A^*\) optimality:
(1)
ASTRO expands only nodes whose f-values are less (or equal) to the optimal cost path P* (\(f(n)\) is less-or-equal than P*).
(2)
The evaluation function of a goal node along an optimal path equals P*.
Example: To illustrate ASTRO in action, consider again the set of buildings in Figure 2 where a user wants to travel from a source start to the destination goal. Both start and goal are outdoor vertices with only one indoor vertex. For sake of simplicity, the outdoor vertices representing buildings correspond to only unidirectional pairs of indoor vertices (doors) that define an indoor path (e.g., only \(b1_{d1,d2}\) is added into the queue, but not \(b1_{d2,d1}\)). Additionally, each metric unit on Figure 2 maps to one minute.
First, the gScore and fScore are computed for the start vertex (\(start(g = 0,f=16.6)\)) and then start is placed into OPEN. Then ASTRO expands all neighboring nodes of start calculating the weights, gScore, and fScore. We illustrate how the next steps change: (i) when a constraint of 450 s outdoor exposure limit is specified; and (ii) when an additional constraint of 0% congestion tolerance limit (i.e., avoid the congested buildings) is specified. Particularly:
(i) With 450 seconds outdoor exposure limit: The OPEN queue changes to {\(b2_{d1,d2}(g=8,f=18)\), \(b1_{d1,d2}(g=6.2,f=19.4))\)} and the CLOSED set to {\(start(g= 0,f=16.6)\)}, as shown in Figure 3 (Iteration 1 - left). This happens because only the \(b2\) and \(b1\) satisfy the 450 seconds constraint starting from the start node. In the second iteration, the first element from the OPEN queue is dequeued, which is \(b2_{d1,d2}(g=8,f=18)\) and the weight, gScore, and fScore for each of its neighbor is calculated. Specifically, the gScore and fScore are calculated for \(b1\), \(b3\), \(b4\), and goal resulting in the addition only of \(b4\) and \(b3\) to the OPEN queue, as shown in Figure 3 (Iteration 2 - left). The goal’s outdoor time from \(b2\) is more than 450 seconds, thus it is not enqueued. In the third iteration, \(b4_{d1,d2}(g=16.8,f=19.0)\) is dequeued and the weights and scores for \(b1\), \(b3\), and goal are calculated. This results in an updated OPEN queue and CLOSED set as shown in Figure 3 (Iteration 3 - left). In the last iteration, goal is dequeued, the search stops (line 7), and the path is reconstructed (shown as a green dashed line in Figure 2).
Fig. 3.
Fig. 3. (left) ASTRO execution example when a constraint of 450 s outdoor exposure limit is specified and (right) when an additional constraint of 0% congestion tolerance limit is specified.
(ii) With 450 seconds outdoor exposure limit and congestion tolerance limit: The priority queue OPEN changes to {\(b1_{d1,d2}(g=6.2,f=19.4)\)} and the CLOSED set is {\(start(g=0,f=16.6)\)}, as shown in Figure 3 (Iteration 1 - right). This happens because only the \(b1\) satisfies the constraints from the start node. In the second iteration, the first element from the OPEN queue is dequeued again, which is \(b1_{d1,d2}(g=6.2,f=19.4)\) and the weight, gScore, and fScore for each of its neighbors are calculated. Specifically, the gScore and fScore are calculated for \(b3\), and goal resulting in the addition only of \(b3\) to the OPEN queue, as shown in Figure 3 (Iteration 2 - right). The outdoor time from \(b1\) to goal is more than 450 seconds, and \(b2\) and \(b4\) are highly congested and hence \(b1, b2,\) and \(b3\) are pruned out. In the third iteration, \(b3_{d1,d2}(g=12.7,f=19.7)\) is dequeued and the weights and scores for goal are recalculated. This results in an updated OPEN queue and CLOSED set, as shown in Figure 3 (Iteration 3 - right). In the last iteration, goal is dequeued, the search stops (line 7), and the path is reconstructed (shown as a blue dotted line in Figure 2).

2.3 The ASTRO Implementation

This section describes the details of the implementation along with the internal data structures used in ASTRO. To guarantee the correctness of the path, ASTRO uniquely determines an outdoor vertex based on the building identification code and the indoor path, i.e., the pair of the indoor vertices. For example, \(b_3\) with {\(d_1,d_2\)} is different than \(b_3\) with {\(d_1,d_3\)}. The indoor vertices \(d_i\)s encode their geographical coordinates, i.e., longitude and latitude.
The outdoor vertices \(b_i\) and \(b_j\) are connected using their selected indoor vertices \(d_k \in b_i\) and \(d_l \in b_j\), which are the entrances or the exits of the buildings. The status of a building \(b_j\) is a vector of values, i.e., \(\vec{s}=\lbrace c,i,o,t\rbrace\), that records the congestion c (i.e., minimum, average, and maximum congestion) in \(b_j\), the time spent indoors i in \(b_j\), the time spent outdoors o to reach \(b_j\), and the total travel time t (\(=i+o+i*c\)). Note that the status of \(b_j\) implements the concept of the edge \(b_i.d_k\) to \(b_j.d_l\) with its weight in search graph \(G^{\prime }\) described above.
The status vector is computed by the CalcStatus function, which is shown in Algorithm 1. CalcStatus accepts as inputs a pair of indoor vertices in and out and the current total travel time since start time. If in and out are in the same building (lines 2–5), then the indoor travel time i is calculated by using the function Distance that retrieves the shortest indoor path in-out from Anyplace [29, 53] and the average walking speed [6, 24]. PredictCongestion is invoked to calculate the percentage of congestion c using the CM-Structure described in Section 3. The total time t for the pair of vertices is the sum of the indoor time plus the delay due to congestion. The delay due to the congestion is calculated as \(indoor~time * congestion\) [2] (line 11). That is, if in and out are in the same building, then it returns the status \(\vec{s}=\lbrace c,i,0,t\rbrace\) (line 12). If the vertices in and out belong to two different outdoor vertices (lines 6–10), then the path is outdoors and, therefore, the indoor travel time and the congestion are set to 0, and \(t=o\). That is, the return status \(\vec{s}=\lbrace 0,0,o,t\rbrace\).
The ASTRO algorithm pseudocode is shown in Algorithm 2. In step 1, the priority queue OPEN and the set of visited outdoor vertices CLOSED are initialized. In the graph construction and path finding step (Step 2 - lines 3–36), the source outdoor vertex start is initialized and enqueued into OPEN.
While the OPEN is not empty, the top outdoor vertex in OPEN is dequeued into current. If current is the same with the goal, then the destination was reached and the path p is reconstructed using the ReconstructPath function (shown in the Algorithm 3) and terminates. If current is not in the CLOSED set, then the algorithm checks all the indoor paths (e.g., pairs of indoor vertices) by iterating over the indoor vertices in b for all of current’s neighbors in B set (line 13).
During the iterations, the status \(\vec{s1}\) to reach the next building b and the status \(\vec{s2}\) of the indoor path in b are computed using the CalcStatus function as described above (lines 16 and 19). The status \(\vec{s}\) of b is the integration of \(\vec{s1}\) and \(\vec{s2}\) and is a component of the state of b along with the partial path (pPath), exit door (exit), gScore, \(fScore,\) and the current originating building (cameFrom)(set in lines 23–27).
A tentative gScore is calculated using current’s gScore and the total time t of the previously computed status s (line 21). If the tentative gScore is less than b’s gScore and all the constraints \(\theta\) are satisfied, then the fScore is calculated based on a heuristic function h, and b is enqueued in the OPEN priority queue. The OPEN priority queue prioritizes the nodes based on the fScore. In case the node exists in the priority queue and its gScore is greater than the node to be inserted, then the already enqueued node is replaced (line 28).
The ReconstructPath function shown in Algorithm 3 creates the found path using the cameFrom attributes and the pPath of each one of the nodes.

3 Congestion Forecasting

The goal of congestion forecasting is to predict the future flow of congestion in a hallway or corridor in a given building at a given time. ASTRO only requires the congestion density for each segment of the building’s indoor path (e.g., hallways or corridors) to ensure that the congestion tolerance constraint is satisfied. In this section, we discuss the two components of the congestion forecasting used by ASTRO (PredictCongestion() in Algorithm 1). First, we explain how the building grid layout is constructed (Section 3.1), and then we introduce the methodology that we employ for training and accessing the congestion models (Section 3.2).

3.1 Building Grid Layout

To improve the accuracy and efficiency of our congestion forecasting models, we divide the building corridors into smaller segments and develop a Grid Layout algorithm. The benefit of this approach is two-fold: (i) each segment can be trained and maintained separately, which allows us to massively parallelize the training process while forecasting at a fine-grained level; and (ii) it improves efficiency at inference time, since we only forecast the congestion at the cells of interest and not for the entire building.
Given the floor plan in a structured format (e.g., GeoJSON), we develop a new Grid Layout algorithm that overlays a uniform grid over the building and detects those cells that overlap with corridors, doors, and rooms. The output is a partial grid, the Building Grid Layout, that contains only the cells that represent corridor segments, i.e., only the cells we are interested in modeling. The Grid Layout algorithm works as follows: First, the floor plan of the building is spatially indexed, i.e., corridors (polygons), rooms (polygons), and door locations (points) are loaded into a spatial index, specifically an R-tree. A uniform grid that covers the entire building is generated with a configurable cell size \(\phi\). Next, the grid cells are loaded into a second R-tree. Finally, a join operation between the floor plan components and the grid cells is performed using the previously constructed spatial indexes. Cells that overlap with any floor plan components, i.e., corridors, rooms, doors, are annotated as such whereas all other cells are discarded.
The output is a set of annotated grid cells. Figure 4 illustrates an example of such an output. On the left, the CS Department floor plan in the Sennot Square building at the University of Pittsburgh is depicted. The corresponding generated grid layout is shown on the right. The grid’s boundary is displayed in the background as a gray rectangle, whereas the actual shape of the building is shown as a thick purple line. Building doors are marked with black dots and cells that correspond to corridor segments are colored. Other types of cells are omitted for brevity.
Fig. 4.
Fig. 4. Floor plan of the Sennott Square building at the University of Pittsburgh campus (left) converted to a Building Grid Layout (right).

3.2 Congestion Prediction & Accessibility

Formally, we denote the congestion at a cell c as a signal \(X_c \in \mathbb {R}^{P}\), where P is the number of features for the cell. Let \(X_c^{(t)}\) be the congestion observed at cell c at timestep t. The congestion forecasting problem aims to learn a function \(h(\cdot)\) that maps \(T^{\prime }\) historical congestion signals to T future congestion signals:
\begin{equation} \left[X_c^{(t - T^{\prime } + 1)}, \dots , X_c^{(t)}\right] \xrightarrow {h(\cdot)} \left[X_c^{(t + 1)}, \dots , X_c^{(t + T)}\right]. \end{equation}
(2)

3.2.1 Training Phase.

After the grid layout has been constructed, the training phase begins. For every corridor cell in the grid, a separate model is trained on the congestion data that correspond to that cell. To model the temporal dependencies of the congestion, we leverage Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs). For the multiple steps ahead forecasting, we employ the Sequence-to-Sequence architecture [46]. Both the encoder and decoder are recurrent neural networks and as we show in our experiments (Section 5), we tested models with both LSTM and GRU neuron units as well as traditional fully connected RNN neurons.
During training, we feed the historical congestion time series into the encoder and use its final states to initialize the decoder. The decoder generates predictions given previous ground truth observations. At testing time, ground truth observations are replaced by predictions generated by the model itself. The entire network is trained by maximizing the likelihood of generating the target future time series using backpropagation through time.

3.2.2 Deployment and Inference Phase.

As discussed earlier, at inference time the system has to be able to quickly and efficiently load the models of interest, i.e., the models that overlap with the indoor pathway, and make predictions. To this end, we construct a spatial index, namely, CM-Structure, that maps cells to forecasting models. The Congestion Forecasting component maintains the CM-Structure, shown in Figure 5, which stores the forecasting model of each corridor cell and provides a fast Access Path. This allows ASTRO to efficiently look up the models it requires while searching for the optimal path to the destination.
Fig. 5.
Fig. 5. The CM-Structure provides the ASTRO algorithm with improved performance. One forecasting model is created for each segment in the building based on its historical data.
The CM-Structure Construction Algorithm is executed in an offline phase where the historical data are utilized to initialize and train a forecasting model for each corridor cell of the building model. Each model is inserted into the CM-Structure for faster retrievals during the last step of Algorithm 1. For example, the congestion data records of corridor cell c inside building \(b_i\) are used to train a model. Then, the trained model is inserted into the CM-Structure and becomes available to subsequent queries for any path P that intersects cell c.

3.2.3 Continuous Learning Phase.

The dynamic nature of congestion can very often render the deployed congestion forecasting models obsolete. As the congestion dynamics change (e.g., the class schedule updated leading to more (or less) scheduled traffic or new cafeteria opened in the building) models need to keep adjusting to those changes [14]. To achieve that, we propose an offline periodic phase where existing congestion models are further trained on new congestion data collected since the last time the model was fine-tuned.

3.3 Data Collection

Obtaining indoor congestion datasets can be done in a variety of ways. Perhaps the most common way to collect indoor congestion data is through the analysis of Wi-Fi access point logs. In particular, given the number of connected users to an access point, the signal strengths of the established connections, and the range of an access point, the expected number of pedestrians at different distance intervals can be computed. A more accurate method is through beacons. These devices have a shorter range and can therefore localize a device indoors with higher accuracy. Last, a recent work processed video streams in real-time to count the number of pedestrians passing from specific corridors. Unfortunately, such datasets are rarely released to the public and, therefore, in the next section, we propose a configurable method for generating realistic indoor congestion datasets.

4 Indoor Congestion Data Generator

We design and implement a synthetic data generator due to the limited availability of indoor congestion data. If the synthetic data is generated for an existing building floor plan, then we utilize our developed Building Grid Layout algorithm. Otherwise, we first generate realistic building floor plans before we generate the congestion of a building using parameters that we obtained from real congestion scenarios. The generator contains two separate components, namely, the Building Modeling and the Congestion Generator, that can be executed independently of each other. Sections 4.1 and 4.2 describe the internals of each component in detail, respectively.

4.1 Building Modeling

Constructing a realistic building model is a crucial prerequisite for the next step, i.e., the synthetic congestion generator. The algorithm, which is an extension of Building Grid Layout, requires two inputs: the location of the building’s doors and the grid cell size \(\phi\). For our experiments in Section 5, we set \(\phi = 3\) meters.
Step 1 (Grid Construction): Initially, the shape of the building is approximated using the convex hull of the door locations. Note that an accurate representation of the building’s shape is not required to generate a synthetic building model. The minimum bounding rectangle (MBR) of the doors (or of the convex hull) is used as the initial boundary of the grid. Subsequently, our algorithm generates the grid cells. The first cell is placed at the bottom left of the grid’s initial boundary and cells are generated until the boundary is filled. The cells on the right and top edges may extend over the boundary and, hence, we update the grid boundary to reflect this. Cells that do not overlap with the building’s shape are considered irrelevant and thus discarded.
Step 2 (Corridor Construction): Subsequently, the algorithm proceeds to generate corridors that connect all doors with each other. Our corridor generation algorithm has two objectives: (i) to minimize the number of direction changes, i.e., corridors must switch from horizontal to vertical orientation as few times as possible; and (ii) to reuse previous corridor segments whenever possible, as an architect would do in a real scenario. Satisfying both objectives leads to compact floor plans that are not flooded with corridor cells.
Step 3 (Room Placement): Last, a number of rooms is randomly placed along the unused cells of the grid and the corridors are extended to reach the doors of those rooms. The output is a set of grid cells, each annotated as CORRIDOR, ROOM, or UNUSED.
Figure 6 shows two examples of generated building models in which doors are marked as black dots, the grid’s initial boundary with a light gray rectangle, corridor and room cells with green (dark gray in grayscale) and orange (light gray with texture in grayscale) squares, respectively. Room doors are depicted with brown textured squares (dark gray with texture in grayscale). Cells that remain unused after modeling are painted red (light gray in grayscale). Note that rooms are assumed to only have one entrance and therefore can only be used either as a source or as a destination, i.e., no path cuts through a room.
Fig. 6.
Fig. 6. Generated building models for a building with 6 doors and 35 rooms (left) and a building with 5 doors and 14 rooms (right) using \(\phi = 3\) meters.

4.2 Congestion Generator

Our real-world observations show that traffic inside academic buildings can be separated into two main categories: scheduled and pass-through. Scheduled traffic is the traffic that follows a specific schedule, e.g., class schedule. This means that slightly before and slightly after a class, a spike of traffic appears in the building. Pass-through traffic is generated by people who enter the building in one door only to exit at another. Therefore, we design and implement a congestion generator that accounts for these two categories of traffic. To achieve this, congestion is generated in two phases. The first phase generates the pass-through traffic (browsers), whereas the second phase generates the scheduled traffic (commuters). Both phases require the building model as input as well as the date range of simulation. It is important to note that the building input does not necessarily have to come from the synthetic building modeler we introduced in the previous section. This means that the generator can simulate traffic for any building given its model.
Phase 1 (Pass-through traffic): The rate of congestion generated by this type of traffic varies, depending on the time of day. For example, there is almost zero traffic during nighttime but a lot of people will pass through the building during the daytime. Hence, the generator receives an additional input for this phase, namely, the arrival rate of people at different times of the day. For every timestep, the generator will randomly sample the number of people that arrive at each building door and for each person a destination exit door is selected. Then, assuming a constant walking speed, the trajectory of each person is simulated following the shortest path that is formed using corridor cells. The congestion of each cell is updated accordingly. It is important to highlight that, in this phase, the source and the destination of the simulated trajectories is always a building entrance/exit and that a trajectory will never involve a room or a room door, i.e., a simulated trajectory will never cut through a room.
Phase 2 (Scheduled traffic): Before beginning the scheduled traffic simulation, we need to have some sort of a schedule for every room in the building, i.e., the time classes start and end for different days of the week as well as the audience size of each class. Hence, the generator receives this schedule as an input for this phase. Obviously, a schedule does not exist for synthetic building models, so we will discuss the approach we employ to generate such schedules later on in this section. Besides the schedule, the generator requires an additional set of parameters, i.e., arrival rate of students before the class begins, departure rate after the class ends, and probability that a student is absent from class.
We simulate the arrival of students as a Gaussian distribution with mean \(\mu _a\) and standard deviation \(\sigma _a\) that samples the number of minutes before the start time of the class the student enters the building. Similarly, we simulate the departure of students from class as a Gaussian distribution with mean \(\mu _d\) and standard deviation \(\sigma _d\) that samples the number of minutes after the end time of the class when the students leave the classroom. Last, we simulate the absence of a student from class as a binomial distribution with \(p = \alpha\), An average walking speed v is assumed.
All parameters, i.e., \(\mu _a, \sigma _a, \mu _d, \sigma _d, \alpha , v\), are user-defined. The scheduled traffic generator algorithm iterates over every schedule item and generates the respective traffic. For every student in the class, we first draw a sample from the absence distribution to decide if the student is attending the class. If the student is attending, then we additionally draw a sample from the arrival distribution to decide how early that student is going to enter the building. An entrance door is selected uniformly at random and the student’s trajectory to the respective room is generated using a constant speed of \(v~m/s\). The congestion of the cells that intersect with the student’s path is updated accordingly. A similar process is employed for the departure of students from the class. For every student that was present, a departure time and an exit door are sampled and the student is routed while the congestion of cells that intersect with the path is updated. In sum, for all arrival (departure) trajectories, the source is a building entrance (or room door) and the destination is a room door (building exit). The final output is the congestion time series of every corridor cell aggregated in five-minute intervals.
Discussion: Although we discuss (and make use of) the proposed generator in the context of academic buildings, the process can be generalized to almost any kind of building. The only hard requirement is the floor plan of the building. All other parameters (\(\mu _a, \sigma _a, \mu _d, \sigma _d, \alpha , v\)) can be provided by the user or estimated using other datasets, such as Wi-Fi access point connection logs. For example, at USC, access point logs are analyzed to estimate and predict the congestion in buildings during the pandemic to reduce the spread of the virus. The logs tend to show a spike in the number of connections a few minutes before the start of a class and a drop in the number of connected users right after a class finishes. These spikes and drops can be correlated with the schedule to estimate the parameters \(\mu _a, \sigma _a, \mu _d, \sigma _d\).
Schedule Generator: In the scenario that a schedule does not exist for a building, we propose a simple method to generate one. Three input parameters are required: (i) the audience size distribution, which is assumed to be a Gaussian distribution with mean \(\mu _s\) and standard deviation \(\sigma _s\); (ii) a set of event durations (class, no class) along with their respective probabilities, which are modeled as multinomial distribution; and (iii) the probability \(p_c\) that an event is a class or not. Optionally, the time of day when classes begin and end, e.g., from 7AM to 9PM, can be provided. Starting at the time that the schedule is configured to begin, e.g., 7AM, we sample two pieces of information, namely, the duration of the next event \(\delta\) and whether the next event is a class or not. If the next event is a class, then the size of the audience is also sampled.
Figure 7 plots the generated congestion of two corridor cells during the first week of April 2019. On the top, the congestion of a corridor cell at the building’s entrance is shown while on the bottom the congestion of an intersection cell is shown. Both cells follow a realistic distribution in the sense that during the nighttime only a very small number of pedestrians is observed, whereas the number of pedestrians increases during the day and peaks around the beginning and ending of classes. As expected, the congestion at the intersection is much higher than at the entrance. This happens because pedestrians are very likely to walk by the intersection irrespective of the entrance or exit they used.
Fig. 7.
Fig. 7. Generated congestion for a corridor cell corresponding to Entrance 1 (top) and a corridor intersection (bottom) of Wesley W. Posvar Hall at University of Pittsburgh.

5 Experimental Evaluation

This section presents an experimental evaluation of our proposed methods. We start out with the experimental methodology and setup, followed by three experiments. The first experiment (Section 5.2) examines the influence of machine learning models described in Section 3. The second experiment (Section 5.3) investigates the tradeoffs of three CM-Structure implementations. Finally, in the third experiment (Section 5.4), the performance of ASTRO is compared against three baseline approaches with respect to the quality of recommendation and the cost of execution.

5.1 Experimental Setup

This section provides details regarding the algorithms, metrics, and datasets used for evaluating the performance of the proposed approach.
Testbed: Our evaluation is carried out on a dedicated Windows 10 server. The server is featuring 12 GB of RAM with 4 Cores (@ 2.90 GHz), a 500 GB SSD and a 750 GB HDD. We implement all path search algorithms using Scala 2.13 and the three machine learning models (FC-RNN, GRU, LSTM) utilizing Keras with Tensorflow [1] on an NVIDIA GeForce RTX 3080 GPU.
Algorithms: The proposed ASTRO algorithm (see Algorithm 2) is compared with the following approaches:
Dijkstra: This is a modified and optimized version of Dijkstra using a priority queue and early termination with additional constraints similar to ASTRO.
ASTROG: This is a greedy variant of ASTRO where the indoor path is selected based on the minimum indoor time instead of the overall time or the heuristic.
CBFS (Closest Building First Search): This is an algorithm where the closest building is always selected first.
Note that ASTRO is the core algorithm of the proposed solution in this article, Algorithm 2.
Datasets: We utilize the following two datasets in our evaluation:
PITT: A realistic dataset of the University of Pittsburgh campus. It consists of 9 buildings with each building having 2 to 6 doors (3 on average) and up to 582 corridor cells (126 on average). The average door-to-door corridor length is 69 meters.
UCY: A realistic dataset of the University of Cyprus campus. It consists of 9 buildings with each building having 2 to 7 doors (4 on average) and up to 396 corridor cells (106 on average). The average door-to-door corridor length is 48.5 meters.
We used camera analysis [15] on a two-hour session and extrapolated the congestion data using the University of Pittsburgh Fall 2019 schedule. Then, for both PITT and UCY datasets, we generate congestion data using the procedure we described in Section 4 using \(\mu _a = 4, \sigma _a = 1, \mu _d = 1, \sigma _d = 0.2\) and a walking speed of 1.4 \(m/s\) [6, 24] for a period of six months. Figure 8 shows the map of the two campuses and the average generated congestion density (number of people over corridor capacity) of all buildings on July 19, 2019.
Fig. 8.
Fig. 8. Datasets for the buildings in the University of Pittsburgh campus (top left) and the University of Cyprus campus (top right) and their average congestion for one day (bottom row). The green and red stars represent the source and destination nodes used in the experimental evaluation, and the blue box the search space for all algorithms.
Metrics: We evaluate the performance of ASTRO using the following metrics:
Outdoor exposure (O): measures the total outdoor exposure of the recommended path in seconds.
Indoor Time (I): measures the total indoor time of the generated path in seconds.
Total Time (T): measures the total travel time of the path between the source and the destination point in seconds.
Congestion Reduction (C): measures the indoor congestion of the generated path.
Response Time: measures the execution time using the average of 100 consecutive runs in milliseconds.
Memory (M): measures the memory footprint of the ML model in kilobytes.
Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE): measures the error of the model and is computed using the formula \(RMSE(X, \hat{X}) = \sqrt {\frac{1}{N} \sum _{i=1}^{N} (X_i - \hat{X_i})^2}\), where X is the ground truth and \(\hat{X}\) the prediction.
Mean Absolute Error (MAE): measures the error of the model and is computed using the formula \(MAE(X, \hat{X}) = \frac{1}{N} \sum _{i=1}^{N} |X - \hat{X}|\).
Query Throughput: measures the maximum number of queries that the system can sustain within a second in Queries Per Second (QPS).

5.2 Experiment 1: Congestion Forecasting Evaluation

We conduct our experiments on two buildings of the PITT dataset, namely, Wesley W. Posvar Hall (posvar) and Barco Law Building (barco). 70% of the data is used for training, 10% for validation, and the remainder 20% for testing. Additionally, we apply standard normalization as a pre-processing step to prepare the datasets for training and we include the time of day as a feature. We compare the performance of three time series regression models (seq-to-seq encoder-decoder architecture); (i) a fully connected RNN model (FC-RNN), (ii) a Gated Recurrent Unit RNN model (GRU), and (iii) a Long-Short Term Memory RNN model (LSTM). All models were trained for 30 epochs using the Adam optimizer and a learning rate of \(5E{-3}\) with a decay rate of 0.1 every 200 steps and with a batch size of 256. During training (and inference), we provide the last hour’s congestion in 5-minute windows as input to the model and receive the next hour’s congestion as output, i.e., 12 timesteps as input, 12 timesteps as output.
First, we train the models using posvar’s congestion data, which has the largest number of grid cells to tune them in terms of the number of layers and units hyperparameters. Specifically, we performed experiments using 1 hidden layer (with 16, 32, and 64 units) and 2 hidden layers (with 16/16, 32/32, and 64/64 units). Figure 9 plots the results. On the horizontal axis, we vary the number of hidden layers and number of units combination and on the vertical axis we plot the corresponding model’s MAE. We observe that the smallest error is achieved for all models when they use 2 hidden layers with 64 units each. Hence, for the remainder of the experiments, all the models were trained using 2 hidden layers with 64 units each.
Fig. 9.
Fig. 9. Examining the effect of hidden layers and number of units on the accuracy of the congestion models for Wesley W. Posvar Hall at University of Pittsburgh.
Next, we investigate three different aspects of the tuned models: (i) their accuracy, (ii) their memory footprint, and (iii) their inference time. It is crucial that our system adopts not only a model that is very accurate but also one that does not require a lot of memory and incurs small inference time, since, to predict the congestion of a path, tens of models, i.e., models corresponding to corridor cells that overlap with the path, may need to be invoked.
Figure 10 examines the accuracy of the tuned models. Specifically, the average MAE (left) and RMSE (right) metrics of all models (corresponding to grid cells) in each building is shown. We observe that all models are able to achieve similar accuracy for both buildings. Therefore, all models satisfy the requirement of high prediction accuracy and are suitable candidates for ASTRO.
Fig. 10.
Fig. 10. Examining the MAE (left) and RMSE (right) of the three ML models (2 hidden layers, 64 units each) for Wesley W. Posvar Hall and Barco Law buildings at University of Pittsburgh.
Figure 11 (left) examines the memory footprint of the models. As expected, due to its larger number of parameters, LSTM requires more memory, making it a less ideal model to adopt by our proposed approach for the reasons explained earlier. FC-RNN, however, requires much less memory while achieving almost identical accuracy to the other models. Therefore, in terms of memory requirements, FC-RNN and GRU are better candidates for ASTRO.
Fig. 11.
Fig. 11. Examining the memory footprint (left) and inference time (right) of the three ML models (2 hidden layers, 64 units each).
Finally, Figure 11 (right) examines the inference time of the models. We observe that FC-RNN incurs the smallest inference time of 40 milliseconds per cell, while GRU incurs 2.5\(\times\) more time than FC-RNN. This shows that only FC-RNN and LSTM satisfy the requirement of incurring small inference time.
Furthermore, we investigate which corridor cells incur the greatest error. Figure 12 examines the accuracy of every corridor cell in posvar, the largest building in the PITT dataset, in terms of MAE. This confirms our initial observations that all models perform similarly. It is also not surprising that corridors leading only to rooms and not exit doors, incur the highest error. The reason behind this is that, intuitively, congestion sporadically appears at those cells slightly before and exactly after a class. This kind of corridors only facilitate “commuters” and, hence, have almost 0 congestion most of the time, which makes it very difficult for the model to predict how congestion is going to change in the immediate future.
Fig. 12.
Fig. 12. Examining the error of every corridor cell in a building in terms of MAE for FC-RNN (left), LSTM (middle), and GRU (right) for Wesley W. Posvar Hall at University of Pittsburgh.
Summary: Taking all the above into consideration, we reach the conclusion that FC-RNN is the most ideal model to be adopted by ASTRO. This is due to the fact that it manages to satisfy all three requirements; (i) high accuracy; (ii) low memory footprint; and (iii) low inference time. Specifically, it achieves comparable accuracy to the other two models while requiring up to 4\(\times\) less memory and incurring up to 2.5\(\times\) less inference time.

5.3 Experiment 2: Congestion Model Access Method Evaluation

It is critical for our proposed algorithm to quickly identify and retrieve all models that intersect a corridor segment. Hence, we run experiments for three different Access Method implementations; (i) a Grid that stores models in a 2D array; (ii) a hashmap that maps cells to models; and (iii) an R-tree that indexes the cells based on their spatial boundaries. Figure 13 (left) illustrates the time required to load the models of posvar and construct the respective Access Path structure. All three structures incur relatively similar construction times. Figure 13 (center) examines the average time it takes to retrieve all the models that intersect a corridor. R-tree incurs the highest retrieval time, whereas the other two structures incur comparable times. Last, Figure 13 (right) investigates the memory footprint of the structures. As expected, the Grid is the most expensive, since it allocates space for all cells in the grid even though only a portion of them corresponds to corridors, whereas the other two only index corridor cells.
Fig. 13.
Fig. 13. Examining the performance of the Congestion Model Access Methods in terms of build time (left), retrieval time (center), and memory footprint (right).
Summary: Although both Grid and Hashmap Access Methods satisfy ASTRO’s requirements, we decide to adopt Hashmap, since it is slightly faster and requires 33% less memory than Grid.

5.4 Experiment 3: ASTRO Performance Evaluation

In the third set of experiments, we evaluate the performance of our proposed ASTRO algorithm against three baseline solutions using the datasets described in Section 5.1. We select source and destination nodes that maximize the search space for all algorithms, as shown in Figure 8. This allows the algorithms to consider paths that span multiple buildings and satisfy the constraints described in Section 2.1. We use Manhattan distance to better represent the pedestrian path and an average walking speed of 1.4 \(m/s\) [6, 24].

5.4.1 Series 1: Absence of Constraints.

In the first set of experiments, we focus solely on optimizing the total travel time, i.e., setting the constraints to \(A=false\), \(OE=\infty\), and \(CT=1.0\) (100%). The algorithms do not take into account any constraints, but the delay caused by congestion is considered in the calculation of the total travel time.
Dijkstra, ASTRO, and ASTROG behave identically (returning identical paths), as shown in Figure 14. All three incur 0 indoor time for PITT dataset with the path being totally outdoors, due to the absence of the outdoor exposure limit constraint. Interestingly, all three incur the same indoor time for UCY dataset (23 seconds) by finding a path through a building that forms a shortcut to the destination. The total time of the path is 456 seconds for PITT and 670 seconds for UCY.
Fig. 14.
Fig. 14. Examining the indoor total time (left), the outdoor total time (center), and the total travel time (right) in seconds for finding the longest path in the PITT and UCY datasets without any constraints.
In contrast, CBFS spends more than 270 seconds indoors for PITT dataset and almost 90 seconds for UCY dataset incurring 10% congestion. This happens because its strategy is to visit the closest building first irrespective of the presence or absence of constraints, therefore increasing the total travel time as shown in Figure 14 (right). The total time of the path provided by CBFS is 3\(\times\) larger than the path recommended by the other approaches.
In Figure 15, we can easily observe that ASTRO, ASTROG, and CBFS perform the same with ASTRO being slightly faster for PITT dataset. In contrast, Dijkstra incurs 100\(\times\) and 10\(\times\) more time (for UCY and PITT datasets, respectively) in finding the optimal path compared to ASTRO. This happens because Dijkstra’s search space is much larger, especially in the UCY dataset where the graph is very dense (i.e., the buildings are very close to each other). Dijkstra, ASTRO, ASTROG, and CBFS report 0 average and maximum congestion. However, CBFS has an average indoor congestion of approximately 10% and a maximum indoor congestion of 100%.
Fig. 15.
Fig. 15. Examining the response time (left) in milliseconds, the average congestion (center), and the maximum congestion (right) in percentage for finding the longest path in the PITT and UCY datasets without any constraints.
Dijkstra and ASTRO algorithms are optimal. This means that both algorithms find the path with minimum total travel time and at the same time satisfy all the constraints. However, ASTRO outperforms Dijkstra by up to 13\(\times\) in terms of execution time.

5.4.2 Series 2: Outdoor Exposure Constraint (300 Seconds).

In the second set of experiments, we focus on optimizing the total travel time while keeping the outdoor exposure time less than 300 seconds, i.e., setting the constraints to \(A=false\), \(OE=300\), and \(CT=1.0\) (100%).
Figure 16 shows the effect of the 300-second outdoor exposure limit. Particularly, Dijkstra incurs 8 seconds of indoor time for UCY and 38 seconds for PITT. ASTRO and ASTROG behave identically, i.e., they recommend the exact same path, which incurs approximately 25 and 38 seconds of indoor time for UCY and PITT, respectively. CBFS, however, recommends the same paths as before for both datasets. The total time for both datasets remains the same as in the previous experiment.
Fig. 16.
Fig. 16. Examining the indoor total time (left), the outdoor total time (center), and the total travel time (right) in seconds for finding the longest path in the PITT and UCY datasets with outdoor exposure time limit of 300 seconds.
In Figure 17, we observe that the response time for all of the approaches is slightly decreased in comparison to the previous experiment (shown in Figure 15). This happens because several edges are pruned due to the outdoor exposure constraint. However, ASTRO, ASTROG, and Dijkstra have the same average indoor congestion (7% for PITT and 0.3% for UCY). All three of them incur 35% maximum congestion for PITT and 16% for UCY. CBFS has the same average and maximum congestion with the previous experiment shown in Figure 15 (right).
Fig. 17.
Fig. 17. Examining the response time (left) in milliseconds, the average congestion (center), and the maximum congestion (right) in percentage for finding the longest path in the PITT and UCY datasets with outdoor exposure time limit of 300 seconds.

5.4.3 Series 3: Outdoor Exposure Constraint (300 Seconds) & Congestion Tolerance Limit (15%).

In the third set of experiments, we focus on optimizing the total travel time while keeping the outdoor exposure time less than 300 seconds, and the congestion tolerance limit less than 15%, i.e., setting the constraints to \(A=false\), \(OE=300\), and \(CT=0.15\) (15%).
Figure 18 shows the effect of 300 seconds outdoor exposure limit and 15% congestion tolerance limit. Specifically, Dijkstra incurs approximately 9 seconds of indoor time for PITT and 12 seconds for UCY. ASTRO and ASTROG behave identically recommending again the exact same path, which incurs approximately 9 seconds of indoor time for PITT and 29 seconds for UCY. Dijkstra, ASTRO, and ASTROG have the same total travel time of 670 seconds for UCY and 470 seconds for PITT (14 seconds overhead from the previous experiment). CBFS incurs 97 seconds and 124 seconds for UCY and PITT datasets, respectively.
Fig. 18.
Fig. 18. Examining the indoor total time (left), the outdoor total time (center), and the total travel time (right) in seconds for finding the longest path in the PITT and UCY datasets with outdoor exposure time limit of 300 seconds and 15% congestion tolerance limit.
Figure 19 shows that the congestion constraint affects the response time because additional paths are pruned. Particularly, Dijkstra’s response time drops to 6 milliseconds from 120 milliseconds for UCY datset and to 4 milliseconds from 9 milliseconds for PITT dataset. Finally, the average indoor congestion is decreased for all approaches. ASTRO, ASTROG, and Dijkstra have the same average indoor congestion 2% for PITT dataset and 0.3% for UCY dataset. Their maximum congestion is 4% and 1% for UCY and PITT datasets, respectively. CBFS reports 4% for PITT and 2% for UCY, while the maximum congestion is 11% and 14% for UCY and PITT datasets, respectively.
Fig. 19.
Fig. 19. Examining the response time (left) in milliseconds, the average congestion (center), and the maximum congestion (right) in percentage for finding the longest path in the PITT and UCY datasets with outdoor exposure time limit of 300 seconds and 15% congestion tolerance limit.
Summary: Even though both Dijkstra and ASTRO guarantee finding the optimal path in terms of satisfying the constraints and minimizing the total travel time, ASTRO is approximately one order of magnitude faster when constraints are imposed and two orders of magnitude faster when they are not. ASTRO reduces the maximum congestion by one order of magnitude compared to algorithms that are oblivious to congestion while maintaining comparable response time with the greedy approaches.

5.4.4 Series 4: Practicality of Our Solution.

In this set of experiments, we are examining the practicality of our solution by measuring the throughput for the longest path in PITT and UCY datasets.
Figure 20 shows the throughput in queries per second (QPS) without any constraints, with outdoor exposure time limit of 300 seconds, and with outdoor exposure time limit of 300 seconds and 15% congestion tolerance limit for finding the longest path in the PITT and UCY datasets. ASTRO, ASTROG, and CBFS outperform Dijkstra by up to two orders of magnitude for UCY dataset and up to one order of magnitude for PITT dataset. Particularly, Dijkstra incurs 58 QPS for UCY dataset and 127 QPS for PITT dataset on average, ASTRO incurs 757 QPS for UCY dataset and 1,757 QPS for PITT dataset on average, ASTROG incurs 835 QPS for UCY dataset and 1,780 QPS for PITT dataset on average, and CBFS incurs 925 QPS for UCY dataset and 1,253 QPS for PITT dataset on average.
Fig. 20.
Fig. 20. Examining the throughput, in queries per second (QPS), without any constraints (left), with outdoor exposure time limit of 300 seconds (center), and with outdoor exposure time limit of 300 seconds and 15% congestion tolerance limit (right) for finding the longest path in the PITT and UCY datasets.
Figure 21 shows the throughput in QPS with outdoor exposure time limit ranging from 100 to 500 seconds and congestion tolerance limit from 5% to 20% for finding the longest path in PITT and UCY datasets. ASTRO, ASTROG, and CBFS outperform Dijkstra by up to 2\(\times\) on average for both experiments for the PITT dataset and up to one order of magnitude on average for UCY dataset.
Fig. 21.
Fig. 21. Examining the throughput with outdoor exposure time limit ranging from 100 to 500 seconds (left), and with outdoor exposure time limit ranging from 100 to 500 seconds and congestion tolerance limit from 5% to 20% (right) in queries per second (QPS) for finding the longest path in the PITT and UCY datasets.
Summary: Even though both Dijkstra and ASTRO guarantee finding the optimal path in terms of satisfying the constraints and minimizing the total travel time, ASTRO is up to two orders of magnitude faster in most cases. This set of experiments shows that ASTRO’s high throughput supports route navigation incorporating congestion updates in real time. In contrast, traditional graph-based algorithms cannot cope with the requirements of modern navigation (e.g., Google Maps) and MCAN systems (e.g., HealthDist [11, 38]). In this setting, an initial route is recommended and then periodically refined to account for any traffic changes in real time.

6 Related Work

In this section, we present the background and related work in systems that can provide outdoor, indoor, or combined navigation and path recommendation. We also include the related work for the traffic prediction for completeness.

6.1 Outdoor Path Recommendation

Outdoor systems are well established and enhanced through a variety of data collection and processing techniques, e.g., OpenStreetMap, Google Maps, Bing Maps, Here WeGo, TomTom, Waze. Several systems integrate social network data or crowdsourcing data and produce enriched path recommendation using machine learning and providing alternative navigation services using immersive technologies [7]. For example, Dejavu is a path navigation system that utilizes cell-phone sensors to provide accurate and energy-efficient outdoor localization [5]. Gervey et al. demonstrate how an alternative outdoor path can be generated based on the safety of a route [19]. However, there are systems that are trying to provide the fastest and simplest route for a destination [43]. Mata et al. show how social network data from a user profile may affect the outdoor path recommendation [36] and enrich it using augmented reality navigation [35]. Other systems focus on the temporal or personal preferences of the user to discover outdoor activities [40].

6.2 Indoor Path Recommendation

With people spending the 90% of their time indoors [53], indoor navigation services optimized the shortest path search using magnetic fields for localization and a modified shortest path formulation [50]. An indoor environment has many elements with unique properties that are defining the indoor route [44]. Additionally, marking the indoor environment (e.g., Braille blocks) can assist the visual impaired people to navigate indoors [42].
Smart home and wireless sensor networks provide the opportunity to localize and navigate indoors with spatial awareness [26]. Indoor localization and navigation services have emerged due to the rapid growth of new large buildings (e.g., shopping centers, campuses, building complexes).
Anyplace is an infrastructure-free indoor navigation system that uses sensing data from smartphones to determine the user’s location [53]. Delail et al. proposed a context-aware system that enriches the indoor information by using augmented reality to provide indoor navigation [12].
Indoor environment and context are very important for determining the best indoor navigation route, especially to impaired people [17, 30]. Park et al. propose an indoor pedestrian network data model for emergency transportation services [39]. Afyouni et al. illustrate how to process indoor continuous path queries over traditional database management systems using a hierarchical, context-aware data model [3]. Feng et al. propose keyword-aware indoor path recommendation [16]. Last, Liu et al. propose the temporal variations-aware indoor path planning that takes the operating hours of shops into consideration [33]. However, none of the previous works consider dynamic edge weights such as the congestion, which is of critical importance during a pandemic.

6.3 Indoor-outdoor Path Recommendation

The majority of the indoor-outdoor systems focus on the seamless transition between indoor and outdoor navigation [34, 45]. Additionally, IODetector detects the indoor-outdoor environment changes accurately and efficiently, allowing the development of context-aware mobile applications [31]. IONavi is a joint indoor-outdoor navigation solution that uses mobile crowdsensing to create a collection of indoor-outdoor paths and then produces an indoor-outdoor path based on the generated collection [48]. Similarly, CrowdNavi solves the last-mile navigation problem using crowdsourcing and the guider-follower model [49]. Jensen et al. presented a unified model of indoor and outdoor spaces that can provide the shortest path by exploiting the nature of buildings and roads [23]. CAPRIO [8, 9, 10] is the latest indoor-outdoor path planning system that supports shortest path recommendations. CAPRIO users can specify outdoor exposure tolerance similar to ASTRO. However, these solutions are multi-objective path recommendation systems that cannot cope with multiple constraints and do not operate over time-varying graphs.

6.4 Constraint-based Path Selection

Previous work on constraint-based path selection was mostly focused on QoS routing, and their task is to find feasible paths while providing some guarantees. In Reference [25] the authors propose a multi-constrained optimal path (MCOP) selection algorithm that can be applied to any number of constraints. The authors of References [27, 28] provide a complete overview of all the proposed solutions. However, these solutions cannot be directly applied to ASTRO. These algorithms attempt to either find any path that satisfies the constraints or the optimal path in terms of a nonlinear cost function that involves the constraints over a single graph. Thus, their path-finding approaches, which are focused on QoS, cannot seamlessly integrate outdoor and indoor graphs to recommend routes for pedestrians.

6.5 Congestion Forecasting & Predictive Path Planning

Congestion forecasting is a classic problem in intelligent transportation systems research where the task is, given the current traffic situation, to forecast the future traffic situation. Traditionally, time-series regression techniques such as ARIMA, VAR, and others have been applied to predict the future situation of the traffic. Recently, more advanced techniques that involve complex and deep neural networks have been studied and are now considered state-of-the-art [32]. Additionally, some traffic prediction solutions, besides road monitoring data, also incorporate online information about events and weather conditions to achieve higher accuracy [55]. However, our work focuses on indoor foot traffic congestion, a task that is entirely different in the sense that conditions can change very fast; from little congestion in one minute, to high congestion in the next minute, and back to little congestion. Furthermore, in the transportation domain, the task is to forecast the congestion at a specific road segment (or sensor) that is strictly uni-directional, whereas corridors are bidirectional (people can walk in opposite directions at the same time at the same corridor).
Considering only the current traffic and assuming that it remains constant thereafter leads to suboptimal results due to the highly dynamic nature of indoor congestion. Therefore, it is imperative that predictive path planning [13] is employed to discover the best possible path that satisfies the constraints by predicting how congested a corridor will be when the person arrives there.

7 Conclusions and Future Work

In this article, we present ASTRO, a novel graph-based path discovering algorithm that reduces the risk of COVID-19 exposure and enables Mobile Contact Avoidance Navigation (MCAN). ASTRO algorithm integrates outdoor nodes (i.e., buildings) with indoor nodes (e.g., doors, stairs, escalators, elevators) to efficiently provide a personalized contact-avoidance path satisfying a user-specified set of constraints (i.e., accessibility requirements, congestion tolerance, arrival time, and outdoor exposure). ASTRO uses a two-level data structure, dubbed CM-Structure, which allows the algorithm to quickly retrieve the congestion models that are relevant to a corridor to forecast the congestion at a given point in time. A second contribution of this article is an experimental platform for indoor congestion generation to support congestion forecasting in indoor spaces. We have developed this platform as part of ASTRO’s evaluation to address the lack of readily available indoor congestion data to train ML models. Our experimental results show that ASTRO can reduce the risk of COVID-19 exposure by up to one order of magnitude while maintaining similar response time compared to algorithms that are oblivious to congestion.
Beyond MCAN, ASTRO can be used as a core component in the development of evacuation algorithms [47] and group recommendations where multiple requests arrived/submitted need to be considered together. In the future, we plan to incorporate ASTRO and CM-Structure in HealthDist [11, 38], our first MCAN prototype system. HealthDist can provide accessibility information about individuals for more accurate walking speed, which can be used by ASTRO to enhance prediction accuracy. We also aim to enhance the congestion modeling process to further improve the forecasting accuracy and efficiency of the models by exploring new machine learning models that exploit state and real-time information from crowdsourcing and sensing devices. Last, we also plan to investigate novel path scheduling solutions at the system level to prevent congestion hot-spots using participatory services.

Acknowledgments

We thank Brian Nixon, member of our group at the University of Pittsburgh for the assistance with the implementation. We also thank Thalia Chrysanthis and Diomides Papadiomidous for their valuable help in proofreading the manuscript.
Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of any of the sponsors.

Footnote

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cover image ACM Transactions on Spatial Algorithms and Systems
ACM Transactions on Spatial Algorithms and Systems  Volume 8, Issue 2
June 2022
253 pages
ISSN:2374-0353
EISSN:2374-0361
DOI:10.1145/3506671
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution International 4.0 License.

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Published: 30 December 2021
Accepted: 01 September 2021
Received: 01 December 2020
Published in TSAS Volume 8, Issue 2

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  1. Indoor
  2. outdoor
  3. path recommendation
  4. graph processing
  5. disability
  6. congestion forecasting

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  • (2023)CAPRIO with Inclusive Pedestrian Path Recommendations2023 24th IEEE International Conference on Mobile Data Management (MDM)10.1109/MDM58254.2023.00037(180-183)Online publication date: Jul-2023
  • (2022)Thinking Inclusively with CAPRIO2022 23rd IEEE International Conference on Mobile Data Management (MDM)10.1109/MDM55031.2022.00084(378-380)Online publication date: Jun-2022
  • (2022)ASTRO-K: Finding Top-k Sufficiently Distinct Indoor-Outdoor Paths2022 23rd IEEE International Conference on Mobile Data Management (MDM)10.1109/MDM55031.2022.00083(372-377)Online publication date: Jun-2022

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