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Churn Prediction in Enterprises with High Customer Turnover

Published: 04 December 2023 Publication History

Abstract

Most research about Machine Learning (ML) models for churn prediction has focused on sectors like telecommunications, while this problem can be particularly challenging in industries with High Customer Turnover (HCT) like food delivery, e-commerce, and gaming. This article addresses this gap by investigating the effectiveness of four alternative ML models that have been effective for churn prediction in particular HCT enterprises - Multilayer Perceptron, SVM, Decision Trees, and Random Forests. We trained and evaluated the models on three representative datasets from distinct sectors, aiming to identify the models and data features that provide the best results. We propose and employ a framework to help achieve this goal. It allowed high-performance churn prediction in our experiments, exploiting mainly the purchase data features of the distinct HCT enterprises. The Random Forest model achieved the best accuracy (around 90%) on the three datasets, and the best precision and F1-score on two of them.

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        Published In

        cover image Guide Proceedings
        Information Integration and Web Intelligence: 25th International Conference, iiWAS 2023, Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia, December 4–6, 2023, Proceedings
        Dec 2023
        562 pages
        ISBN:978-3-031-48315-8
        DOI:10.1007/978-3-031-48316-5
        • Editors:
        • Pari Delir Haghighi,
        • Eric Pardede,
        • Gillian Dobbie,
        • Vithya Yogarajan,
        • Ngurah Agus Sanjaya ER,
        • Gabriele Kotsis,
        • Ismail Khalil

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        Springer-Verlag

        Berlin, Heidelberg

        Publication History

        Published: 04 December 2023

        Author Tags

        1. Churn Prediction
        2. Machine Learning
        3. Classification Model Comparison
        4. High Customer Turnover
        5. High Churn Rate

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