Abstract
This paper considers a statistical model of passenger flows between bus stops. By assumption, the intensities of incoming and outcoming passenger flows are known. We propose an estimation technique for the distribution of incoming passengers at a certain bus stop with respect to all successive bus stops. The simulation results based on natural experiments are also presented.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Artynov, A.P., Embulaev, V.N., Pupyshev, A.V., and Skaletskaya, V.V., Avtomatizatsiya upravleniya transportnymi sistemami (Automation of Transport Systems Management), Moscow: Nauka, 1984.
Bunday, B.D., Basic Optimization Methods, London: Edward Arnold, 1984. Translated under the title Metody optimizatsii. Vvodnyi kurs, Moscow: Radio i Svyaz’, 1988.
Borovkov, A.A., Teoriya veroyatnostei (Probability Theory), Moscow: Editorial URSS, 1999.
Bure, V.M. and Parilina, E.M., Teoriya veroyatnostei i matematicheskaya statistika: uchebnik (Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics: Textbook), St. Petersburg: Lan’, 2013.
Varelopulo, G.A., Organizatsiya dvizheniya i perevozok na gorodskom passazhirskom transporte (Organization of Traffic and Passenger Service of Urban Passenger Transport), Moscow: Transport, 1981.
Gill, P.E., Murray, W., and Wright, M.H., Practical Optimization, London: Academic, 1981. Translated under the title Prakticheskaya optimizatsiya, Moscow: Mir, 1985.
Draper, N.R. and Smith, H., Applied Regression Analysis, New York: Wiley, 1981. Translated under the title Prikladnoi regressionnyi analiz, Moscow: Finansy i Statistika, 1986, vol. 1, 2nd ed.
Ofitsial’nyi sait Rossiiskoi Federatsii v seti Internet dlya razmeshcheniya informatsii o razmeshchenii zakazov na postavki tovarov, vypolnenie rabot, okazanie uslug (The Official Web-Site of the Russian Federation in the Internet Designated for Publication of Information on Placement of Orders for Goods, Works and Services), http://zakupki.gov.ru/pgz/public/action/orders/info/commoninfo/show?notificationId=6795209 (accessed December 12, 2013).
Ofitsial’nyi sait Rossiiskoi Federatsii v seti Internet dlya razmeshcheniya informatsii o razmeshchenii zakazov na postavki tovarov, vypolnenie rabot, okazanie uslug (The Official Web-Site of the Russian Federation in the Internet Designated for Publication of Information on Placement of Orders for Goods, Works and Services), http://zakupki.gov.ru/pgz/public/action/orders/info/commoninfo/show?source=epz¬ificationId=8275955 (accessed December 25, 2013).
Ofitsial’nyi sait Rossiiskoi Federatsii v seti Internet dlya razmeshcheniya informatsii o razmeshchenii zakazov na postavki tovarov, vypolnenie rabot, okazanie uslug (The Official Web-Site of the Russian Federation in the Internet Designated for Publication of Information on Placement of Orders for Goods, Works and Services), http://zakupki.gov.ru/pgz/public/action/orders/info/commoninfo//show?source=epz¬ificationId=5629611 (accessed December 25, 2013).
Postnikova, E., Kvantil’naya regressiya (Quantile Regression), http://allmath.ru/highermath/probability/probability48/probability.htm (accessed December 12, 2013).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Original Russian Text © V.M. Bure, V.V. Mazalov, N.V. Plaksina, 2014, published in Upravlenie Bol’shimi Sistemami, 2014, No. 47, pp. 77–91.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Bure, V.M., Mazalov, V.V. & Plaksina, N.V. Estimating passenger traffic characteristics in transport systems. Autom Remote Control 76, 1673–1680 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0005117915090131
Received:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0005117915090131