Abstract
As the temperature of mountain roads is low and the temperature difference between day and night is large, the change of road surface temperature and humidity will affect the road conditions. For example, cold and wet roads are prone to ice condensation, which will reduce the pavement performance and affect driving safety, greatly increasing the accident risk at the tunnel entrance and exit. Therefore, in this paper, the temperature and humidity of the road surface at different distances and times are measured on the spot to explore their spatio-temporal variation patterns, and the improved distribution estimation particle swarm optimization (DEPSO-Bi-LSTM) model is used to predict them. Compared with LSTM and Bi-LSTM, the results show that the R2 predicted by this model is 0.92 and 0.86. Because of its advantages in feature extraction and multi-dimensional data processing, its performance is better than other algorithms. The presented method can provide technical references for temperature prediction of the pavement and the development of an early-warning system for icy pavements in cold regions.
Similar content being viewed by others
Explore related subjects
Discover the latest articles, news and stories from top researchers in related subjects.Data availability
Data supporting the results of this study are available from the corresponding author upon request.
References
Alberta CA, Asefzadeh LH, Bayat A (2023) Development of statistical temperature prediction models for a test road in Edmonton. Int J Pavement Res Technol, 10(5):369–382, Alberta, Canada
Andersson AK, Chapman L (2011) The impact of climate change on winter road maintenance and traffic accidents in West Midlands, UK. Accid Anal Prev 43(1):284–289
Bassan S (2015) Sight distance and horizontal curve aspects in the design of road tunnels vs. highways. Tunn Undergr Space Technol 45:214–226. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.tust.2014.10.004
Chen J, Zhao P, Luo Y, Deng X, Liu Q (2017) Damage of shotcrete under freeze-thaw loading. J Civ Eng Manag 23(5):583–593
Hao C, Yu G, Xia H (2013) Online modeling with tunable RBF network. IEEE Trans Cybern. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSMCB.2012.2218804
Jun KJ, Hwang YC, Yune CY (2017) Field measurement of temperature inside tunnel in winter in Gangwon, Korea. Cold Reg Sci Technol. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2017.08.011
Lazarev Y, Medres C, Raty J, Bondarenko A (2017) Method of assessment and prediction of temperature conditions of roadway surfacing as a factor of the road safety. Transp Res Proced. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.2017.01.064
Li CQ, Ding LY, Zhong BT (2019) Highway planning and design in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau of China: a cost-safety balance perspective. Engineering 5(2):337–349. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eng.2018.12.008
Li Y, Chen J, Dan H, Wang H (2022) Probability prediction of pavement surface low temperature in winter based on bayesian structural time series and neural network. Cold Reg Sci Technol 194:103434
Nojumi M, Mohamad YH, Hashemian L, Bayat A (2022) Application of machine learning for temperature prediction in a test road in Alberta. Int J Pavement Res Technol 15(2):303–319
Peng L, Liu S, Liu R, Wang L (2018) Effective long short-term memory with differential evolution algorithm for electricity price prediction. Energy 162:1301–1314
Pflitsch A, Holmgren D (2014) Climate study in an abandoned auto tunnel in Alaska, USA. In: International Workshop on Ice Caves
Sokol Z, Zacharov P, Sedlak P, Hosek J, Bliznak V, Chladova Z, Pesice P, Skuthan M (2014) First experience with the application of the METRo model in the Czech Republic. Atmos Res 143:1–16
Sokol Z, Bližňák V, Sedlák P, Zacharov P, Pešice P, Škuthan M (2017) Ensemble forecasts of road surface temperatures. Atmos Res 187:33–41
Tabrizi SE, Xiao K, Griensven JV, Saad M, Gharabaghi B (2021) Hourly road pavement surface temperature forecasting using deep learning modelsa. J Hydrol 603(1):126877
Tan X, Chen W, Yang D, Dai Y, Wu G, Yang J, Yu H, Tian H, Zhao W (2014) Study on the influence of airflow on the temperature of the surrounding rock in a cold region tunnel and its application to insulation layer design. Appl Therm Eng 67(1–2):320–334
Xu B, Dan HC, Li L (2017) Temperature prediction model of asphalt pavement in cold regions based on an improved BP neural network. Appl Therm Eng 120:568–580
Yan Q, Li B, Zhang Y, Yan J, Zhang C (2017) Numerical investigation of heat-insulating layers in a cold region tunnel, taking into account airflow and heat transfer. Appl Sci 7(7):679
Yang X, You Z, Hiller J, Watkins D (2018) Pavement performance zone based on mechanistic-empirical design and temperature indices. Transportmetrica A 15:91–113
Yang S, Chen D, Li S, Wang W (2020) Carbon price forecasting based on modified ensemble empirical mode decomposition and long short-term memory optimized by improved whale optimization algorithm. Sci Tot Environ 716:137117
Yeung JS, Wong YD (2013) Road traffic accidents in Singapore expressway tunnels. Tunn Undergr Space Technol 38:534–541. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2013.09.002
Zhang Z-G, Yin J-C, Wang N-n, Hui Z-G (2019) Vessel traffic flow analysis and prediction by an improved PSO-BP mechanism based on AIS data. Evol Syst 10(3):397–407. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12530-018-9243-y
Zhang G, Tan F, Wu Y (2020) Ship motion attitude prediction based on an adaptive dynamic particle swarm optimization algorithm and bidirectional LSTM neural network. IEEE Access. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2020.2993909
Zhao P, Chen J, Luo Y, Li Y, Chen L, Wang C, TaoTao Hu (2020) Field measurement of air temperature in a cold region tunnel in northeast China. Cold Reg Sci Technol 171:102957
Funding
This work was supported by the Key Research and Development Project of Hebei Province (19211210D) and the Science and Technology Project of Shanxi Provincial Department of Transport (HE2263).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Supplementary Information
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Tao, R., Peng, R., Wang, H. et al. Temperature and humidity prediction of mountain highway tunnel entrance road surface based on improved Bi-LSTM neural network. Evolving Systems 15, 691–702 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12530-023-09496-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12530-023-09496-y