Abstract
Though there are several studies on uncertain single-period portfolio selection, the uncertain multiperiod portfolio selection literature is still in an exploration phase. Besides, the effects and influences of investors’ attitudes have not been extensively investigated in a multiperiod framework. Further, the possible application of the contingent and borrowing and lending constraints in an uncertain multiperiod portfolio selection framework has not been explored. In this paper, we propose an uncertain multiobjective multiperiod portfolio selection model that handles the uncertainty using the Me operator. The Me operator integrates the investor’s attitude (conservative, neutral, or aggressive) into the portfolio selection model. The proposed model maximizes the terminal wealth and minimizes the cumulative risk of the portfolio subject to several realistic constraints, such as minimum return threshold, borrowing, and lending of the capital, value-at-risk, liquidity, cardinality, minimal and maximal fraction, no short selling, and contingent constraints, for each period. These realistic constraints adequately address the practical concerns of the investors and aptly mimic the investment market conditions concerning multiperiod investment over a long investment horizon. The weighted goal programming then solves the proposed model. Finally, a detailed empirical illustration is presented to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed model. The proposed approach is also substantiated through comparison with the existing research works. The proposed approach effectively integrates the investor’s attitude and aptly simulates the real-world investment market conditions to incorporate the investor’s preferences into the portfolio selection.
Similar content being viewed by others
Explore related subjects
Discover the latest articles, news and stories from top researchers in related subjects.References
Chang CT (2005) A modified goal programming approach for the mean-absolute deviation portfolio optimization model. Appl Math Comput 171(1):567–572
Chang J, Sun L, Zhang B, Peng J (2020) Multi-period portfolio selection with mental accounts and realistic constraints based on uncertainty theory. J Comput Appl Math 377:112892
Chang TJ, Yang SC, Chang KJ (2009) Portfolio optimization problems in different risk measures using genetic algorithm. Expert Syst Appl 36(7):10529–10537
Corazza M (2021) A note on “portfolio selection under possibilistic mean-variance utility and a SMO algorithm’’. Eur J Oper Res 288(1):343–345
Cui X, Gao J, Shi Y, Zhu S (2019) Time-consistent and self-coordination strategies for multi-period mean-conditional value-at-risk portfolio selection. Eur J Oper Res 276(2):781–789
Dai Y, Qin Z (2021) Multi-period uncertain portfolio optimization model with minimum transaction lots and dynamic risk preference. Appl Soft Comput 109:107519
Deng X, Li R (2012) A portfolio selection model with borrowing constraint based on possibility theory. Appl Soft Comput J 12(2):754–758
Deng X, Geng F, Fang W, Huang C, Liang Y (2023) Performance evaluation of possibilistic fuzzy portfolios with different investor risk attitudes based on DEA approach. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 44:8387–8411
Dubois D, Prade H (1980) Fuzzy sets and systems: theory and applications. Math Sci Eng 144
Dymova L, Kaczmarek K, Sevastjanov P (2021) A new approach to the bi-criteria multi-period fuzzy portfolio selection. Knowl Based Syst 234:107582
Gao J, Xiong Y, Li D (2016) Dynamic mean-risk portfolio selection with multiple risk measures in continuous-time. Eur J Oper Res 249(2):647–656
Gong X, Min L, Yu C (2022) Multi-period portfolio selection under the coherent fuzzy environment with dynamic risk-tolerance and expected-return levels. Appl Soft Comput 114:108104
Guo S, Yu L, Li X, Kar S (2016) Fuzzy multi-period portfolio selection with different investment horizons. Eur J Oper Res 254(3):1026–1035
Gupta P (2022) Portfolio optimization using elliptic entropy and semi-entropy of coherent fuzzy numbers. Inf Sci 614:240–262
Gupta P, Mehlawat MK, Inuiguchi M, Chandra S (2014) Fuzzy portfolio optimization: advances in hybrid multi-criteria methodologies, studies in fuzziness and soft computing, vol 316. Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg
Gupta P, Mehlawat MK, Yadav S, Kumar A (2019) A polynomial goal programming approach for intuitionistic fuzzy portfolio optimization using entropy and higher moments. Appl Soft Comput J 85:105781
Gupta P, Mehlawat MK, Yadav S, Kumar A (2020) Intuitionistic fuzzy optimistic and pessimistic multi-period portfolio optimization models. Soft Comput 24(16):11931–11956
Gupta P, Mehlawat MK, Khan AZ (2021) Multi-period portfolio optimization using coherent fuzzy numbers in a credibilistic environment. Expert Syst Appl 167:114135
Huang X (2017) A review of uncertain portfolio selection. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 32(6):4453–4465
Huang X, Qiao L (2012) A risk index model for multi-period uncertain portfolio selection. Inf Sci 217:108–116
Huang X, Jiang G, Gupta P, Mehlawat MK (2021) A risk index model for uncertain portfolio selection with background risk. Comput Oper Res 132:105331
Jalota H, Mandal PK, Thakur M, Mittal G (2023) A novel approach to incorporate investor’s preference in fuzzy multi-objective portfolio selection problem using credibility measure. Expert Syst Appl 212:118583
Jin X, Chen N, Yuan Y (2019) Multi-period and tri-objective uncertain portfolio selection model: A behavioral approach. N Am J Econ Finan 47:492–504
Konno H, Yamazaki H (1991) Mean-absolute deviation portfolio optimization model and its applications to Tokyo stock market. Manag Sci 37(5):519–531
Kumar A, Yadav S, Gupta P, Mehlawat MK (2023) A credibilistic multiobjective multiperiod efficient portfolio selection approach using data envelopment analysis. IEEE Trans Eng Manag 70(6):2334–2348
Li B, Huang Y (2023) Uncertain random portfolio selection with different mental accounts based on mixed data. Chaos Solitons Fractals 168:113198
Li B, Lu Z (2023) Uncertain random enhanced index tracking for portfolio selection with parameter estimation and hypothesis test. Chaos Solitons Fractals 168:113125
Li B, Zhang R (2021) A new mean-variance-entropy model for uncertain portfolio optimization with liquidity and diversification. Chaos Solitons Fractals 146:110842
Li B, Zhu Y, Sun Y, Aw G, Teo KL (2018) Multi-period portfolio selection problem under uncertain environment with bankruptcy constraint. Appl Math Modell 56:539–550
Li B, Zhang R, Sun Y (2023) Multi-period portfolio selection based on uncertainty theory with bankruptcy control and liquidity. Automatica 147:110751
Li C, Wu Y, Lu Z, Wang J, Hu Y (2020) A Multi-Period Multi-Objective Portfolio Selection Model with Fuzzy Random Returns for Large Scale Securities Data. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 29(1):59–74
Li X, Uysal AS, Mulvey JM (2022) Multi-period portfolio optimization using model predictive control with mean-variance and risk parity frameworks. Eur J Oper Res 299(3):1158–1176
Ling A, Sun J, Wang M (2020) Robust multi-period portfolio selection based on downside risk with asymmetrically distributed uncertainty set. Eur J Oper Res 285(1):81–95
Liu B (2007) Uncertainty theory, studies in fuzziness and soft computing, vol 154. Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg
Liu B, Liu YK (2002) Expected value of fuzzy variable and fuzzy expected value models. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 10(4):445–450
Liu YJ, Zhang WG, Xu WJ (2012) Fuzzy multi-period portfolio selection optimization models using multiple criteria. Automatica 48(12):3042–3053
Markowitz H (1952) Portfolio selection. J Finance 7(1):77–91
Markowitz H (1959) Portfolio selection: efficient diversification of investments. New York- John Wiley & Sons, Inc
Mehlawat MK (2016) Credibilistic mean-entropy models for multi-period portfolio selection with multi-choice aspiration levels. Inf Sci 345:9–26
Mehlawat MK, Gupta P (2014) Fuzzy chance-constrained multiobjective portfolio selection model. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 22(3):653–671
Mehlawat MK, Gupta P, Kumar A, Yadav S, Aggarwal A (2020) Multiobjective fuzzy portfolio performance evaluation using data envelopment analysis under credibilistic framework. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 28(11):2726–2737
Moghadam MA, Ebrahimi SB, Rahmani D (2020) A constrained multi-period robust portfolio model with behavioral factors and an interval semi-absolute deviation. J Comput Appl Math 374:112742
Pahade JK, Jha M (2021) Credibilistic variance and skewness of trapezoidal fuzzy variable and mean-variance-skewness model for portfolio selection. Results Appl Math 11:100159
Qin Z, Kar S, Zheng H (2016) Uncertain portfolio adjusting model using semiabsolute deviation. Soft Comput 20(2):717–725
Sadjadi SJ, Seyedhosseini SM, Hassanlou K (2011) Fuzzy multi period portfolio selection with different rates for borrowing and lending. Appl Soft Comput J 11(4):3821–3826
Speranza MG (1993) Linear programming models for portfolio optimization. Finance 14:107–123
Tamiz M, Azmi RA (2019) Goal programming with extended factors for portfolio selection. Int Trans Oper Res 26(6):2324–2336
Tsaur RC (2013) Fuzzy portfolio model with different investor risk attitudes. Eur J Oper Res 227(2):385–390
Vercher E, Bermúdez JD (2015) Portfolio optimization using a credibility mean-absolute semi-deviation model. Expert Syst Appl 42(20):7121–7131
Wang B, Li Y, Watada J (2017) Multi-period portfolio selection with dynamic risk/expected-return level under fuzzy random uncertainty. Inf Sci 385–386:1–18
Wang X, Wang B, Li T, Li H, Watada J (2023) Multi-criteria fuzzy portfolio selection based on three-way decisions and cumulative prospect theory. Appl Soft Comput 134:110033
Xue L, Di H, Zhao X, Zhang Z (2019) Uncertain portfolio selection with mental accounts and realistic constraints. J Comput Appl Math 346:42–52
Yadav S, Kumar A, Mehlawat MK, Gupta P, Charles V (2023) A multi-objective sustainable financial portfolio selection approach under an intuitionistic fuzzy framework. Inf Sci 646:119379
Yang X, Chen J, Liu W, Zhao X (2023) A multi-period fuzzy portfolio optimization model with investors’ loss aversion. Soft Comput. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-023-09030-x
Zadeh LA (1965) Fuzzy sets. Inf Control 8(3):338–353
Zhang P (2019) Multiperiod mean absolute deviation uncertain portfolio selection with real constraints. Soft Comput 23(13):5081–5098
Zhao D, Bai L, Fang Y, Wang S (2022) Multi-period portfolio selection with investor views based on scenario tree. Appl Math Comput 418:126813
Zhou X, Wang J, Yang X, Lev B, Tu Y, Wang S (2018) Portfolio selection under different attitudes in fuzzy environment. Inf Sci 462:278–289
Acknowledgements
“The author, Sanjay Yadav, is supported by the National Fellowship for Other Backward Classes (OBC) granted by University Grants Commission (UGC), New Delhi, India vide letter no. F./2016-17/NFO-2015-17-OBC-DEL-34358/(SA-III/Website)”. The second and third authors acknowledge the support of the Institution of Eminence (IoE), University of Delhi, India through FRP scheme.
Funding
No funding was received to assist with the preparation of this manuscript.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
All authors have equally contributed to the manuscript.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Ethical approval
This article does not contain any studies with human participants or animals performed by any of the authors.
Informed consent
This article does not contain any studies with human participants or animals performed by any of the authors.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Yadav, S., Gupta, P., Mehlawat, M.K. et al. A multiobjective multiperiod portfolio selection approach with different investor attitudes under an uncertain environment. Soft Comput 28, 8013–8050 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-024-09719-7
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-024-09719-7