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More intense and less elevation-dependent hydrological intensity from 2000 to 2015 in the high mountains

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Abstract

Climate change is expected to alter the hydrologic cycle through precipitation and evapotranspiration. The hydrologic intensity is more complex under climate change in high mountainous regions. The spatial and temporal patterns of hydrological intensity were analyzed. The results showed that the degree of annual variations of hydrological intensity increased between 2001 and 2015 compared to 1980 and 2000. The slope of hydrological intensification showed a significant downward trend along the elevation gradient from 1980 to 2000, but no significant elevation-dependent pattern existed from 2001 to 2015. The variation of hydrologic intensity in spring before 2000 and after 2000 was most significant, while the change of hydrologic intensity in summer was not significant. Precipitation, air temperature, net radiation, and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) were significantly correlated with the hydrological intensity before 2000, while only precipitation and air temperature were significantly correlated with hydrological intensity after 2000. The spatial correlation coefficient between hydrological intensity and vertically integrated moisture flux at different altitudes was distributed more homogeneity after 2000. Local meteorological factors and large-scale circulation can influence the elevation-dependent precipitation variation. Under climate change, more attention should be paid to no elevation-dependent changes in hydrological intensity and societal decision-making in mountainous regions.

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Data availability

The meteorological data supporting this study's findings are available at the China Meteorological Data Service Center (http://data.cma.cn).

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Acknowledgements

This study is financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41890821, 41790431), the Strategy project, Chinese Academy of Sciences (XDA23090201).

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (41890821, 41790431), Natural Science Foundation of Sichuan Province (24NSFSC0159).

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  1. State Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering (Sichuan University), Chengdu, 610041, China

    Xiangyang Sun, Genxu Wang, Juying Sun, Chunlin Song, Zhaoyong Hu & Shan Lin

  2. Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu, 610041, China

    Genxu Wang

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Sun, X., Wang, G., Sun, J. et al. More intense and less elevation-dependent hydrological intensity from 2000 to 2015 in the high mountains. Clim Dyn 62, 6665–6682 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07229-8

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