Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]

Skip to main content
Log in

Efficiency improvement of Kriging surrogate model by subset simulation in implicit expression problems

  • Published:
Computational and Applied Mathematics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In practical engineering and industry fields, complicated and correlated problems are often descripted by implicit expression. The Kriging model is one of the popular spatial interpolation models to surrogate the numerical relationship between input and output variables. But the efficiency of the Kriging surrogate model is limited when confronting with large databases. The subset simulation is a promising selection method to provide more important and typical samples. By the subset simulation, the Kriging surrogate model can significantly reduce the computational cost in regression, since much fewer samples are required. Besides, more reliable prediction results can be obtained because of the emphasis on the samples that are more representative in the Kriging fitting process. Examples are performed to confirm the properties of the Kriging surrogate model based on the subset simulation.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Au SK, Beck JL (2001) Estimation of small failure probabilities in high dimensions by subset simulation. Probab Eng Mech 16(4):263–277

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baar JHSD, Dwight RP, Bijl H (2013) Speeding up Kriging through fast estimation of the hyperparameters in the frequency-domain. Pergamon Press Inc, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Booker AJ, Dennis JE, Frank PD et al (1999) A rigorous framework for optimization of expensive functions by surrogates. Struct Optim 17(1):1–13

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bourinet JM, Deheeger F, Lemaire M (2011) Assessing small failure probabilities by combined subset simulation and support vector machines. Struct Saf 33(6):343–353

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chiachio M, Beck JL, Chiachio J et al (2014) Approximate Bayesian computation by subset simulation. Siam J Sci Comput 36(3):A1339–A1338

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Chilès JP, Delfiner P (2012) Geostatistics: modeling spatial uncertainty[M]

  • Ching J, Au SK, Beck JL (2005) Reliability estimation for dynamical systems subject to stochastic excitation using subset simulation with splitting. Comput Methods Appl Mech Eng 194(12–16):1557–1579

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Cousin A, Maatouk H, Rullière D (2016) Kriging of financial term-structures. Eur J Oper Res 255(2):631–648

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Cressie N, Johannesson G (2008) Fixed rank kriging for very large spatial data sets. J R Stat Soc 70(1):209–226

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Dubreuil S, Bartoli N, Gogu C et al (2018) Extreme value oriented random field discretization based on an hybrid polynomial chaos expansion—Kriging approach. Comput Methods Appl Mech Eng 332:540–571

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Fritz J, Neuweiler I, Nowak W (2009) Application of FFT-based algorithms for large-scale universal Kriging problems. Math Geosci 41(5):509–533

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Fuentes M (2007) Approximate likelihood for large irregularly spaced spatial data. J Am Stat Assoc 102(477):321–331

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Joseph VR (2006) Limit Kriging. Technometrics 48(4):458–466

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Katafygiotis LS, Cheung SH (2007) Application of spherical subset simulation method and auxiliary domain method on a benchmark reliability study. Struct Saf 29(3):194–207

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kleijnenab JPC (2005) Robustness of Kriging when interpolating in random simulation with heterogeneous variances: some experiments. Eur J Oper Res 165(3):826–834

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Lelièvre N, Beaurepaire P, Mattrand C et al (2018) AK-MCSi: a Kriging-based method to deal with small failure probabilities and time-consuming models. Struct Saf 73:1–11

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li HS, Au SK (2010) Design optimization using subset simulation algorithm. Struct Saf 32(6):384–392

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li R, Sudjianto A (2005) Analysis of computer experiments using penalized likelihood in Gaussian Kriging models. Technometrics 47(2):111–120

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Li YF, Ng SH, Xie M et al (2010) A systematic comparison of metamodeling techniques for simulation optimization in decision support systems. Appl Soft Comput 10(4):1257–1273

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li DQ, Xiao T, Cao ZJ et al (2016) Efficient and consistent reliability analysis of soil slope stability using both limit equilibrium analysis and finite element analysis. Appl Math Model 40(9–10):5216–5229

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Linkletter C, Bingham D, Hengartner N et al (2006) Variable selection for Gaussian process models in computer experiments. Technometrics 48(4):478–490

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Lophaven SN (2002) DACEA Matlab Kriging toolbox, version 2.0

  • Matheron G (1963) Principles of geostatistics. Econ Geol 58(8):1246–1266

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Papadopoulos V, Giovanis DG, Lagaros ND et al (2012) Accelerated subset simulation with neural networks for reliability analysis. Comput Methods Appl Mech Eng 223–224(2):70–80

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Pellissetti MF, Schuëller GI, Pradlwarter HJ et al (2006) Reliability analysis of spacecraft structures under static and dynamic loading. Comput Struct 84(21):1313–1325

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pistone G, Vicario G (2010) Comparing and generating latin hypercube designs in Kriging models. Asta Adv Stat Anal 94(4):353–366

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Rennen G (2009) Subset selection from large datasets for Kriging modeling. Struct Multidiscip Optim 38(6):545–569

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Roshan V, Ying H, Sudjianto A (2008) Blind Kriging: a new method for developing metamodels. J Mech Des 130(3):350–353

    Google Scholar 

  • Santoso AM, Phoon KK, Quek ST (2011) Modified metropolis-Hastings algorithm with reduced chain correlation for efficient subset simulation. Probab Eng Mech 26(2):331–341

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sen O, Gaul NJ, Choi KK et al (2017) Evaluation of kriging based surrogate models constructed from mesoscale computations of shock interaction with particles. J Comput Phys 336:235–260

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Siem AYD, Hertog DD (2007) Kriging models that are robust with respect to simulation errors. Ssrn Electron J 2007–68:1–28

    Google Scholar 

  • Simpson TW, Poplinski JD, Koch PN et al (2001) Metamodels for computer-based engineering design: survey and recommendations. Eng Comput 17(2):129–150

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Sunny MR, Mulani SB, Sanyal S, Kapania R (2016) An artificial neural network residual Kriging based surrogate model for curvilinearly stiffened panel optimization. Adv Comput Des 1:235

    Google Scholar 

  • Yin J, Ng SH, Ng KM (2011) Kriging metamodel with modified nugget-effect: the heteroscedastic variance case. Comput Ind Eng 61(3):760–777

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Zio E, Pedroni N (2012) Monte Carlo simulation-based sensitivity analysis of the model of a thermal–hydraulic passive system. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 107(4):90–106

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zuev KM, Katafygiotis LS (2011) Modified Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with delayed rejection. Probab Eng Mech 26(3):405–412

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zuev KM, Beck JL, Au SK et al (2012) Bayesian post-processor and other enhancements of subset simulation for estimating failure probabilities in high dimensions. Comput Struct 92–93(3):283–296

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Jiajia Shi.

Additional information

Communicated by Antonio José Silva Neto.

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Chu, L., Shi, J., Souza de Cursi, E. et al. Efficiency improvement of Kriging surrogate model by subset simulation in implicit expression problems. Comp. Appl. Math. 39, 119 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40314-020-01147-1

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40314-020-01147-1

Keywords

Mathematics Subject Classification

Navigation