Abstract
The prediction of energy consumption plays an important role in energy management system of enterprise. This paper presents an algorithm of grey model-GM(1,1) to forecast the energy consumption of enterprise. In this article, the principle of grey prediction is analyzed and grey model- GM(1,1) is established, at the same time, the validation of method is verified by making use of the sampled data of compressed air consumption from steel workshop. The average relative error of grey model-GM(1,1) is no more than 1%. The result shows that grey model-GM(1,1) has higher prediction precision and the trend of energy consumption can be reflected accurately in actual energy consumption forecasting.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Deng, J.: Foundation of grey theory. Huazhong University of Science and Technology Press, Wuhan (2002)
Liu, S.-F., Dang, Y.-G., Fang, Z.-G., et al.: Grey system theory and its application. Science Press, Beijing (2010) (in Chinese)
Shi, Y.: Prediction of energy consumption based on grey MarkoV model. Journal of Shandong Lnstltute of Light Industry 23(2), 63–65 (2009)
Yuan, J.-B., Li, X.: Study on highway passenger volume forecast by the method of the GM(1,3)–Markov chain model. Journal of Transport Science and Engineering 27(4), 68–72 (2011)
Zheng, S.-Q., Ma, J.-Z., Guan, J.: Application of a multi-variable grey model in prediction. Journal of Hebei University (Natural Science Edition) 26(4), 350–353 (2006) (in Chinese)
Liu, A., Zhao, S., Zhang, Y.-P.: Yield Forecast Based on Grey-Markov Model. Computer Technology and Development 17(6), 191–196 (2007)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Yu, X., Lu, Z. (2012). Prediction of Energy Consumption Based on Grey Model - GM (1,1). In: Lei, J., Wang, F.L., Deng, H., Miao, D. (eds) Artificial Intelligence and Computational Intelligence. AICI 2012. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 7530. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33478-8_25
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33478-8_25
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-33477-1
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-33478-8
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)