Abstract
This paper concentrates on the forecasting time series with multiple seasonal periods using new immune inspired method. Proposed model includes two populations of immune memory cells – antibodies, which recognize patterns of the time series sequences represented by antigens. The empirical probabilities, that the pattern of forecasted sequence is detected by the jth antibody from the first population while the corresponding pattern of input sequence is detected by the ith antibody from the second population, are computed and applied to the forecast construction. The suitability of the proposed approach is illustrated through an application to electrical load forecasting.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Dudek, G.: Similarity-based Approaches to Short-Term Load Forecasting. In: Forecasting Models: Methods and Applications, pp. 161–178. iConcept Press (2010), http://www.iconceptpress.com/site/download_publishedPaper.php?paper_id=100917020141
Dudek, G.: Artificial Immune System for Short-term Electric Load Forecasting. In: Rutkowski, L., Tadeusiewicz, R., Zadeh, L.A., Zurada, J.M. (eds.) ICAISC 2008. LNCS(LNAI), vol. 5097, pp. 1007–1017. Springer, Heidelberg (2008)
Hart, E., Timmis, J.: Application Areas of AIS: The Past, the Present and the Future. Applied Soft Computing 8(1), 191–201 (2008)
Perelson, A.S., Weisbuch, G.: Immunology for Physicists. Rev. Modern Phys. 69, 1219–1267 (1997)
De Castro, L.N., Timmis, J.: Artificial Immune Systems as a Novel Soft Computing Paradigm. Soft Computing 7(8), 526–544 (2003)
Lendasse, A., Verleysen, M., de Bodt, E., Cottrell, M., Gregoire, P.: Forecasting Time-Series by Kohonen Classification. In: Proc. the European Symposium on Artificial Neural Networks, Bruges, Belgium, pp. 221–226 (1998)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2011 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Dudek, G. (2011). Artificial Immune Clustering Algorithm to Forecasting Seasonal Time Series. In: Jędrzejowicz, P., Nguyen, N.T., Hoang, K. (eds) Computational Collective Intelligence. Technologies and Applications. ICCCI 2011. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 6922. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-23935-9_46
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-23935-9_46
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-23934-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-23935-9
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)