Abstract
Forecasting road condition after maintenance can help in better road maintenance planning. As road administrations annually collect and store road-related data, data-driven methods can be used in determining forecasting models that result in improved accuracy. In this paper, we compare the prediction models identified by experts and currently used in road administration with simple data-driven prediction models, and parsimonious models based on a input selection algorithm. Furthermore, non-linear prediction using radial basis function networks is performed. We estimate and validate the prediction models with a database containing data of over two million road segments.
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Sirvio, K., Hollmén, J. (2011). Forecasting Road Condition after Maintenance Works by Linear Methods and Radial Basis Function Networks. In: Honkela, T., Duch, W., Girolami, M., Kaski, S. (eds) Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning – ICANN 2011. ICANN 2011. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 6792. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-21738-8_52
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-21738-8_52
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
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