Abstract
A prediction model, called BPNN-weighted grey model and cumulated 3-point least square polynomial (BWGC), is used for resolving the overshoot effect; however, it may encounter volatility clustering due to the lack of localization property. Thus, we incorporate the non-linear generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (NGARCH) into BWGC to compensate for the time-varying variance of residual errors when volatility clustering occurs. Furthermore, in order for adapting both models optimally, a neuromorphic quantum-based adaptive support vector regression (NQASVR) is schemed to regularize the coefficients for both BWGC and NGARCH linearly to improve the generalization and the localization at the same time effectively.
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Chang, B.R., Tsai, H.F. (2007). Neuromorphic Quantum-Based Adaptive Support Vector Regression for Tuning BWGC/NGARCH Forecast Model. In: Liu, D., Fei, S., Hou, Z., Zhang, H., Sun, C. (eds) Advances in Neural Networks – ISNN 2007. ISNN 2007. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 4493. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72395-0_46
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72395-0_46
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-72394-3
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